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09/22/2012 | Heidegger KTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Energy production represents the peak of our manipulation of the environment-~--the aff is standing reserve logic that obviates our relation to the Earth and causes extinction-~--only refusing action in favor of contemplating solves, and it leads to more effective policies Dr. Richard Grego 7, Associate Professor, Department of Humanities/ Culture, Daytona Beach College, 2007, “Global Warming, Environmental Philosophy and Public Policy: John Dewey vs Martin Heidegger,” online: http://www.philosophos.com/philosophy_article_153.html This essay compares and contrasts …needed for the earth's sustainable future. | |
09/22/2012 | ASPECTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Agency discussions are essential to education about energy policy Valentine 10 Scott Victor Valentine - Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore, “Canada’s constitutional separation of (wind) power” Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421509009227 Should policymakers facilitate renewable …energy policy instrument development is merited. | |
09/22/2012 | States CPTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Text: The fifty state governments of the United States should provide loan guarantees for liquid fuel thorium-based Small Modular Reactors. States solve best—innovation, flexibility, and specificity Thomson and Arroyo 11 (Vivian Thomson, an Associate Professor in the Departments of Politics and Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia. She also directs the Environmental Thought and Practice program, a selective interdisciplinary BA program, and she is director of the University of Virginia's Panama Initiative AND Vicki Arroyo is the Executive Director of Georgetown's Climate Center at Georgetown Law, “UPSIDE-DOWN COOPERATIVE FEDERALISM: CLIMATE CHANGE POLICYMAKING AND THE STATES”, 29 Va. Envtl. L.J. 1, Lexis) However, we believe that … political traditions and economic interests. State governments can use financial incentives to spur nuclear power electricity for consumers lower. | |
09/22/2012 | Market CPTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung The United States federal government should phase out all energy subsidies. The United States federal government should establish a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions in the United States. The federal government should reduce the corporate income tax and business capital-gains taxes
Targeting specific industries and technology fails-~--cap and trade is key to market-based solutions that solve the case better Morris et al 12 Adele C. Morris, Fellow and Deputy Director of the. Climate and Energy Economics project at Brookings, Pietro S. Nivola, Charles Schultze, Brookings Scholars, "CLEAN ENERGY:REVISITING THE CHALLENGES OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY" June 4 www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/6/04%20clean%20energy%20morris%20nivola%20schultze/04_clean_energy_morris_nivola_schultze.pdf Public investments of these … will succeed in deploying new technologies.
Incentives cause government dependence and undermines incentives for innovation Loris 11 Nicolas Loris is an analyst in the Heritage Foundation’s Roe Institute of Economic Policy Studies. "Power Down the Subsidies to Energy Producers" Aug 3 www.heritage.org/research/commentary/2011/08/power-down-the-subsidies-to-energy-producers America has an … compete without them.
Picking winners is bad – creates market confusion and undercuts SMR’s Jack Spencer 11, senior research fellow @ Heritage and Nicolas Loris, ditto, 2-2-2011, “ A Big Future for Small Nuclear Reactors?”, Backgrounder no. 2514 Too many policymakers …that already dominates the marketplace.
Solves great power war Baru 9 Sanjaya is a Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School in Singapore Geopolitical Implications of the Current Global Financial Crisis, Strategic Analysis, Volume 33, Issue 2 March 2009 , pages 163 – 168 Hence, economic …economic growth and military power. | |
09/22/2012 | Solvency vs NuclearTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Status quo loan guarantees are enough – current levels for new nuclear haven’t been used up Pamir Wang, “Federal Clean Energy Loan Guarantees,” 2011, Non Proliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/file/ure%20Risk-Chapter%201.pdf Mr. Rowe has also …guarantees will resonate.
SMR’s can’t be online for over a decade Carroll 12 Jeff, JD from the University of Chicago, March/April, "A new generation: Small modular nuclear reactors could have economic and safety benefits, a Chicago study reports", mag.uchicago.edu/science-medicine/new-generation The new reactors … first ones come online.
Thorium tech isn’t ready Howarth ’10 – Managing Director of the UK National Nuclear Laboratory (Paul, “The Thorium Fuel Cycle,” August, UK National Nuclear Laboratory, http://ripassetseu.s3.amazonaws.com/www.nnl.co.uk/_files/documents/aug_11/NNL__1314092891_Thorium_Cycle_Position_Paper.pdf) In the event of … market conditions are conducive.
Lack of education/training prevents solvency Klein 12 Andrew C, Professor of Nuclear Engineering and Radiation Health Physics at Oregon State University, “Required Infrastructure for the Future of Nuclear Energy”, Federation of American Scientists, February, www.fas.org/pubs/_docs/Nuclear_Energy_Report-lowres.pdf One potential limiting … normal and accident conditions.
Nuclear can’t be cost competitive with NG – even subsidies aren’t enough Holbert Janson 12, 2-21-2012, “Rethinking the Nuclear Energy Renaissance,” Energy Collective, http://theenergycollective.com/node/77122 Cost is a significant …the $14billion+ price tag.
Nuclear expansion impossible – laundry list of supply and siting constraints Lisa Zyga, 5-11-2011, “Why nuclear power will never supply the world’s energy needs,” PhysOrg, http://phys.org/news/2011-05-nuclear-power-world-energy.html The 440 commercial nuclear … likely a long way off. Solvency 2NC SMRs are decades away-~--NRC pace is glacial Tucker 12 William, author of Terrestrial Energy: How Nuclear Power Will Lead the Green Revolution and End America's Energy Odyssey, American Spectator, "Nuclear Since Fukushima", March, Vol. 45, Issue 2, EBSCO The real problem … develop his Travelling Wave abroad.
40 years minimum Howarth ’10 – Managing Director of the UK National Nuclear Laboratory (Paul, “The Thorium Fuel Cycle,” August, UK National Nuclear Laboratory, http://ripassetseu.s3.amazonaws.com/www.nnl.co.uk/_files/documents/aug_11/NNL__1314092891_Thorium_Cycle_Position_Paper.pdf) In the foreseeable … in existing reactors will be long.
Loan guarantees empirically haven’t inspired nuclear power expansion Christian Parenti, 4-24-2008, What Nuclear Renaissance?, The Nation, http://www.thenation.com/doc/20080512/parenti In an effort …or on budget. | |
09/22/2012 | AT Energy Security Adv vs NuclearTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Nuclear power doesn’t compete with oil – can’t replace it Ferenc Toth, senior energy economist @ IAEA, and Hans-Holger Rogner, section head @ IAEA, 2006, “Oil and nuclear power: Past, present, and future”, Energy Economics 28, 2006, p. 22 While the … for electricity (WNA, 2004).
Oil DA Oil dependence key to middle east engagement and Saudi relations Gonzalez 12 Angel Gonzalez is Houston Bureau Chief for Dow Jones Newswires, "Expanded Oil Drilling Helps U.S.Wean Itself From Mideast" June 27, 2012 online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304441404577480952719124264.html Still, growing … presence in the region.
That accesses all impacts-~--terrorism, econ, Iran, middle eastern war Cordesman 11 (Anthony Cordesman - Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at CSIS, national security analyst for ABC News, served as director of intelligence assessment in the Office of the Secretary of Defense and as civilian assistant to the deputy secretary of defense, "Understanding Saudi Stability and Instability – Cordesman" Saudi-US Relations Information Service, March 1, 2011www.susris.com/2011/03/01/understanding-saudi-stability-and-instability-cordesman/) History scarcely … friendly and moderate regime.
Oil dependence key to hegemony-~--military power, credibility, and dollar primacy Hulbert 12 Matthew Hulbert is senior fellow at the Clingendael International Energy Programme "America Will Deeply Regret Its Fixation On Energy Independence" 8/19/12 www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/19/why-america-will-deeply-regret-us-energy-independence/4/ The U.S. energy independence debate …influence across the globe.
No risk of resource wars-~--historical evidence all concludes neg-~--cooperation is way more likely and solves Jeremy Allouche 11 is currently a Research Fellow at the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex. "The sustainability and resilience of global water and food systems: Political analysis of the interplay between security, resource scarcity, political systems and global trade" Food PolicyVolume 36, Supplement 1, January 2011, Pages S3-S8 Accessed via: Science Direct Sciverse Water/food resources, war and conflict The question …[Kevane and Gray, 2008]).
Resource wars won’t escalate Dombrowski 4 – associate professor, US Naval War College's Strategic Research Department (Peter, Naval War College Review, http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0JIW/is_1_57/ai_113755359/print, AG) Unfortunately, Klare barely … shock of the 1970s.
Zero statistical data backs their args Ole Theisen 8 PhD Poli Sci at NTNU candidate, Master in Political Science NTNU 2006, "Blood and Soil? Resource Scarcity and Internal Armed Conflict Revisited" Journal of Peace Research ,vol. 45, no. 6, 2008, pp. 801–818, SAGE Faulty Theory or Poor Testing? The preceding analyses … than scarce resources.
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09/22/2012 | AT Prolif Adv vs NuclearTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung New proliferators will build small arsenals which are uniquely stable. Seng 98 (Jordan, PhD Candidate in Pol. Sci. – U. Chicago, Dissertation, “Strategy for Pandora's Children: Stable Nuclear Proliferation Among Minor States”, p. 203-206)
However, this "state …to press that button.
Uncertainty solves war Karl 96—president of the Asia Strategy Initiative and a lecturer in IR, USC (David, Winter, “Proliferation Pessimism and Emerging Nuclear Powers”, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2539274?seq=9, Aly M) Optimists have … other nuclear powers."28
Prolif will be slow Tepperman 9 Deputy Editor at Newsweek. Frmr Deputy Managing Editor, Foreign Affairs. LLM, i-law, NYU. MA, jurisprudence, Oxford. (Jonathan, Why Obama Should Learn to Love the Bomb, http://jonathantepperman.com/Welcome_files/nukes_Final.pdf) The risk of … tend to mellow behavior.
No domino effect Alagappa 9—Distinguished Senior Fellow, East-West Center. PhD, IR, Tufts (Muthiah, The long shadow: nuclear weapons and security in 21st century Asia, ed. Alagappa, 521-2) It will be useful … and the Middle East.
Deterrence breakdowns don’t cause full-scale nuclear war – states will limit damage at every stage of the conflict Kenneth Waltz, Emeritus Professor of Political Science at UC Berkeley and Adjunct Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University, 2003, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed, p. 34-35 States are deterred … during World War II.
Prolif decreases war and encourages rationality Simon Shen, IR prof @ Hong Kong Inst. Of Ed., 2011, “Have Nuclear Weapons Made the DPRK a Rogue State?” J. of Comparative Asian Development, v. 10, iss. 2, tandf In our traditional … mere purpose of interest maximization.
Prolif solves conventional wars Preston 9—assoc prof, IR, Wash State U (Thomas, From Lambs to Lions, 31-2) Advocates of deterrence … have resulted in war (Hagerty 1998).
Curbing nuclear prolif causes a shift to bioweapons. Zilinskas 2k—Former Clinical Microbiologist. Dir. – Chem/Bio Weapons Nonproliferation Program – Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies (Raymond, Biological warfare: modern offense and defense, 1-2) It is an …cadavers into citadels (Poupard and Miller, 1992).
Extinction Ochs 2 [Richard, Naturalist – Grand Teton National park with Masters in Natural Resource Management – Rutgers, “Biological Weapons must be abolished immediately” 6-9, http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html] Of all … EXTINCTION IS NOW POSSIBLE.
Prolif makes the transition stable preventing great power war. Alagappa 9—Distinguished Senior Fellow, East-West Center. PhD, IR, Tufts (Muthiah, The long shadow: nuclear weapons and security in 21st century Asia, ed. Alagappa, 484) The fear of escalation … tend to be limited.
New nuclear regimes aren’t irrational Kenneth Waltz 12, senior research scholar @ Saltzman, Poly Sci Prof @ Columbia, Jul/Aug 2012, “Why Iran Should Get the Bomb,” Foreign Affairs 91.4, pq One reason the …response to such a move.
They confuse rationality with bad behavior Waltz 2k – Emeritus Professor of Political Science, UC Berkeley (Kenneth, Interview: Is Kenneth Waltz Still M.A.D. about Nukes?, Georgetown Journal of International Affairs 1.1, http://www.ciaonet.org/olj/gjia/gjia_winspr00f.html) Waltz We have this peculiar … undeterrable? But we do say it.
Crazy leaders adopt rational foreign policies. Truly irrational leaders could never sustain power long enough to obtain an arsenal Goldstein 2k Avery, Department of Political Science University of Pennsylvania, 2000, Deterrence and Security in the 21st Century, p. 275-276
These are certainly … orders inviting national suicide.
This means we control prolif offense – there’s no risk of the floodgates opening, and prolif is most stable if it happens naturally and slowly Kenneth Waltz, Emeritus Professor of Political Science at UC Berkeley and Adjunct Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University, 2003, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed, p. 42-43 Some have feared … can afford to pay.
No risk of terrorist transfer Tepperman 9—Deputy Editor at Newsweek. Frmr Deputy Managing Editor, Foreign Affairs. LLM, i-law, NYU. MA, jurisprudence, Oxford. (Jonathan, Why Obama Should Learn to Love the Bomb, http://jonathantepperman.com/Welcome_files/nukes_Final.pdf) Note – Michael Desch = prof, polsci, Notre Dame Still, even if Iran …—and would respond accordingly.
No motivation to use nukes Moodie 2— headed the Chemical and Biological Arms Control Institute and served as assistant director for multilateral affairs at the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency. president of the Chemical and Biological Arms Control Institute (Brad Roberts and Michael Moodie, Biological Weapons: Toward a Threat Reduction Strategy, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/DefHor/DH15/DH15.htm) The argument … annihilation of the perpetrators.
Multiple reasons Mearsheimer 10—pol sci, U Chicago (John, Imperial by Design, 16 December 2010, http://nationalinterest.org/article/imperial-by-design-4576) The fact is that … a serious threat.
Fear of retaliation solves Posen 6 – Prof of PolSci, MIT (Barry, a nuclear armed iran, http://www.tcf.org/publications/internationalaffairs/posen_nuclear-armed.pdf) Since the September 11… kind that they discover.
No chance of miscalc or accidents—this evidence answers all their arguments and is way better Quinlan 9—distinguished frmr British defence strategist and former Permanent Under-Secretary of State. (Michael, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, 63-9) Even if initial nuclear …way belongs to science fiction.
A strong NPT is the only scenario for dangerous prolif – it forces opacity and underground development which is the only route to their offense Michael Wesley, professor and director of the Griffith Asia Institute at Griffith University, previously Assistant Director-General for Transnational Issues at the Office of National Assessments, September 2005, “It's time to scrap the NPT,” Australian Journal of International Affairs, Vol. 59, No. 3 By prohibiting proliferation, without the … nuclear or radiological weapons. | |
09/22/2012 | Elections DA vs NuclearTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty CM | Judge: S Chung Obama will win now but it’s close Burns and Schultheis 9/19 Alexander and Emily are writers for Politico. “Mitt Romney needs poll vault to win,” 2012, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81392.html Mitt Romney faces an increasingly … right track and the economy is improving.
The plan’s explosive with the public – Fukushima had a chilling effect CSI 12 Civil Society Institute. “SURVEY: AMERICANS NOT WARMING UP TO NUCLEAR POWER ONE YEAR AFTER FUKUSHIMA,” 3/7, http://www.civilsocietyinstitute.org/media/030712release.cfm Contrary to Industry Predictions, … in the March 2011 survey.
That swings the election Seattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html WASHINGTON — As the economy colors …and neck until November.
Romney will label China a currency manipulator – causes a trade war Palmer 12 Doug is a Reuters trade reporter. “Romney would squeeze China on currency manipulation-adviser,” Mar 27, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/28/us-usa-romney-china-idUSBRE82Q0ZS20120328 (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Mitt … a House vote on the currency bill.
That causes full-scale war Landy 7 [Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, National Journal, and Government Executive magazines April 3, 2007, http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/#comments,] The greatest threat for the … military budgets and anti-satellite tests.
Extinction Straits Times 2K [June, 25, No one gains in war over Taiwan] The US estimates that … American way of thinking. " Elections 1NR a) Romney gaffes and swing states Jim Malone 9/21/12, reporter for Voice of America News, "Obama Rising," Voice of America News, blogs.voanews.com/2012-election/2012/09/21/obama-rising/ It’s been three weeks … running mate, Paul Ryan.
b) Nate Silver agrees Silver 9/20 Nate is the chief pollster for the NYT’s 538 blog. “Sept. 20: Obama’s Convention Bounce May Not Be Receding,” 2012, https://www.google.com/search?q=obama+will+winandnum=100andhl=enandsafe=offandprmd=imvnsuandsource=univandtbm=nwsandtbo=uandsa=Xandei=k-FcUK2wGIOU2wX_tIGQDAandved=0CCAQqAIandbiw=1162andbih=683 President Obama’s position inched … Mr. Romney’s remarks were uncovered.
Prefer Nate Silver LB 10 Leigh Bureau, the world’s preeminent lecture bureau, “Nate Silver,” 2010, http://www.leighbureau.com/speaker.asp?id=498 Nate Silver has been … the District of Columbia.
c) Predictions markets and they’re the most accurate Adelmann 9/11 Bob, "CU Professors Predict Romney Win; Intrade Foresees Obama Win", 2012, www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/politics/item/12803-cu-professors-predict-romney-win-intrade-foresees-obama-win On the other hand, … in a dead statistical heat.
Being under 50% means nothing-~--Obama will win Enten 9/21 Harry is a writer for the Guardian. “The '50% rule' misconception: how you can win with less than half the vote,” 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/sep/21/50percent-rule-misconception?newsfeed=true Sometimes, there is a myth that … clear favorite to win in November.
SMRs are politically “nuclear” Fairley 10 Peter, IEEE Spectrum, May, "Downsizing Nuclear Power Plants,” spectrum.ieee.org/energy/nuclear/downsizing-nuclear-power-plants/0 However, there are political … they’re just as nuclear.
Their ev just says people support nuclear power-~--BUT a majority oppose building new plants – this indicts the NEI Daily Kos 12 “Nuclear Power and Public Opinion: What the polls say,” 6/5, http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/06/05/1097574/-Nuclear-Power-and-Public-Opinion-What-the-polls-say Conclusion 3: On new reactors, … their own local area.”
The base and environmentalists backlash to the plan Koch 10 Wendy is a writer for USA Today. “Obama's call for nuclear power plants angers supporters,” 1/30, http://content.usatoday.com/communities/greenhouse/post/2010/01/obamas-call-for-new-nuclear-power-plants-triggers-outrage/1#.UElvKI1lScw
President Obama's call Wednesday… a commentary posted on its website. He adds: Obama will only receive blame, not credit Nicholas and Hook 10 Peter and Janet, Staff Writers – LA Times, “Obama the Velcro president”, LA Times, 7-30, http://articles.latimes.com/2010/jul/30/nation/la-na-velcro-presidency-20100730/3 If Ronald Reagan was the classic … the president or his agenda.
Energy is THE crucial issue NJ 11 (National Journal, “Perry -- Like Obama -- Touts Questionable Job Gains in Energy Plan,” 10/14, Lexis) It's not clear how the Perry campaign … long as Republicans control one chamber.
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09/23/2012 | Courts CPTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: Courts can effectively rule to invalidate restrictions on all forms of energy production Simon 7 [Christopher A. Simon - Director, Master of Public Administration, Political Science Department, University of Utah, Professor, Political Science, “Alternative Energy: Political, Economic, and Social Feasibility”] THE COURTS The institutional power of the AND in- terpretation and national policy priorities.
It’s competitive -~-- doesn’t reduce restrictions, just rules them unenforceable Treanor and Sperling 93 William - Prof Law at Fordham. Gene - Deputy Assistant to President for Economic Policy. “PROSPECTIVE OVERRULING AND THE REVIVAL OF "UNCONSTITUTIONAL" STATUTES,” Columbia Law Review, Dec 93, lexis Unlike the Supreme Court, several state courts have AND in which there was a holding that a statute did not revive does not offer a convincing rationale for nonrevival.
Only congress can amend, not the courts – proves our distinction about enforceability Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary, 6-27-2012, “Sanctuary Laws and Regulations,” http://montereybay.noaa.gov/intro/mp/regs.html, Only Congress and AND statutes and regulations. | |
09/23/2012 | Manufacturing DA vs LNG ExportsTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: Markey 12 Ed Markey - Ranking Member, House Natural Resources Committee, April 18, 2012 “Exporting Gas = Exporting Jobs” http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2012/04/what-should-us-policy-be-on-en.php But ask an American manufacturer AND
increase in American production of natural gas compared to last year. That’s key to competitiveness, the economy and national security Department of Commerce 12 (U.S. Department of Commerce in consultation with the National Economic Council, January 2012, "The Competitiveness and InnovativeCapacity of the United States www.commerce.gov/sites/default/files/documents/2012/january/competes_010511_0.pdf) A flourishing manufacturing sector in AND
catastrophic supply chain disruptions. Solves great power war Baru 9 Sanjaya is a Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School in Singapore Geopolitical Implications of the Current Global Financial Crisis, Strategic Analysis, Volume 33, Issue 2 March 2009 , pages 163 – 168 Hence, economic policies and performance do AND
economic growth and military power. | |
09/23/2012 | Condition CP vs LNG ExportsTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: CP Solves LNG Exports -~-- avoids politics and allows for successful TPP negotiations Levi 12 (Michael Levi- senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports” Council on Foreign Relations, JUNE 2012 http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf) I thus propose that, to facilitate potential AND evolution; in¶ principle, it might also reveal opportunities for focused¶ cooperation. TPP NB Leverage solves TPP Negotiations Levi 12 (Michael Levi- senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports” Council on Foreign Relations, JUNE 2012 http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf) Potential U.S. exports AND for U.S. consumers and firms. That solves the alliance Naoki 11 (Tanaka Naoki - PhD Economics, president of the Center for International Pubic Policy Studies. February-March 2011, "TPP May Spark Japanese Political Restructuring," www.japanechoweb.jp/jew0505/) Another point to note is that the AND our country the chance to play a positive role in the restructuring of the global economy. Strong US Japan alliance solves multiple scenarios for global nuclear conflict INSS, 2k (Institute for National Strategic Studies – National Defense University. The United States and Japan: Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership, October, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/strforum/SR_01/SR_Japan.htm) Major war in Europe is inconceivable AND to America’s global security strategy 2NC And Leverage is key Levi 12 (Michael Levi- senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports” Council on Foreign Relations, JUNE 2012 http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf) U.S. law distinguishes AND and market-based pricing. Removing the restriction destroys trade agreements Slutz 9/4 (Interview with James Slutz - the President and Managing Director of Global Energy Strategies LLC, by Lynann Butkiewicz - Project Manager for Trade, Economic, and Energy Affair at NBR."The Shale Gas Revolution: Implications for U.S. and Canadian Energy Policy and Asian Energy Security," The National Bureau of Asian Research, 9/4/12 www.nbr.org/research/activity.aspx?id=270) What steps are required AND ,” the FTA issue in terms of gas exports doesn’t matter. It doesn’t remove the restriction -~-- there’s a legal distinction Levi 12 (Michael Levi- senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports” Council on Foreign Relations, JUNE 2012 http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf) U.S. law distinguishes AND and market-based pricing.
Should = No Condition The word “should” requires the plan be unconditional Summers 94 - Justice, Supreme Court of Oklahoma, 11-8-1994, “Kelsey v. Dollarsaver Food Warehouse of Durant,” online: http://www.oscn.net/applications/oscn/DeliverDocument.asp?CiteID=20287#marker3fn14 Certain contexts mandate a AND the jury which tells the triers they "should disregard false testimony").
Here’s evidence that makes this clear McKay and Charlton 5 – William R. McKay, Lecturer at the Inns of Court School of Law, Institute of Law, City University, London, and Helen E. Charlton, 2005, Legal English: How to Understand and Master the Language of Law, p. 43 Conditional sentences can AND in the future please inform me.
Substantial = No Condition The word “substantial” requires that the plan be unconditional Words and Phrases 64 (40 WandP 759) The words "outward, open, AND ; sole; opposed to inclusive. Bass v. Pease, 79 111. App. 308, 31R
Japan’s entry in the TPP enforces free trade and prevents Chinese protectionism Naoki 11 (Tanaka Naoki - PhD Economics, president of the Center for International Pubic Policy Studies. February-March 2011, "TPP May Spark Japanese Political Restructuring," www.japanechoweb.jp/jew0505/) For this reason, the TPP has AND to counter China in terms of scale and other conditions.
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09/23/2012 | Elections vs LNG ExportsTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: Obama will win now but it’s close Burns and Schultheis 9/19 Alexander and Emily are writers for Politico. “Mitt Romney needs poll vault to win,” 2012, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81392.html Mitt Romney faces an AND is the modest rise in the percentage of Americans saying the country is on the right track and the economy is improving.
Everyone hates the plan Levi 12 Michael is a Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports,” June, http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf But there is also great wariness in AND to secure cheap energy inputs for their industries.
That swings the election Seattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html WASHINGTON — As the economy colors and AND neck until November.
Romney will label China a currency manipulator – causes a trade war Palmer 12 Doug is a Reuters trade reporter. “Romney would squeeze China on currency manipulation-adviser,” Mar 27, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/28/us-usa-romney-china-idUSBRE82Q0ZS20120328 (Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Mitt AND Obama administration has not pushed for a House vote on the currency bill.
That causes full-scale war Landy 7 [Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, National Journal, and Government Executive magazines April 3, 2007, http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/#comments,] The greatest threat for the AND increases in military budgets and anti-satellite tests.
Extinction Straits Times 2K [June, 25, No one gains in war over Taiwan] The US estimates that China possesses AND according to the American way of thinking. "
1NR Obama’s win is likely but by no means certain-~--the plan could derail it Mylles 9/21—political analyst at Absolute Strategy Research, an independent consultancy based in London. (9/21/12, Richard, Why Obama could still lose in November, www.newstatesman.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/why-obama-could-still-lose-november) A somewhat blithe consensus has AND labour that many seem to think.
Obama’s ahead slightly but could still lose Purdum 9/12 Todd S, Vanity Fair national editor, "Questions of Precedent", 2012, www.vanityfair.com/politics/purdum/2012/09/obama-precedent-win-november Predicting the outcome of a presidential race that has been so close AND -September usually wins.
QE3 doesn’t affect the election-~--experts agree Cillizza 9/13 Chris, Washington Post, "Why QE3 will matter less than you think in the 2012 election", 2012, www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/09/13/why-qe3-will-matter-less-than-you-think/ The news out today that the Federal Reserve will take further action to stimulate AND . Keep that in mind amid the din of “what it all means” analysis sure to fill the airwaves (and blog….waves?) over the next 24-48 hours.
Energy is perceived as THE crucial economic issue NJ 11 (National Journal, “Perry -- Like Obama -- Touts Questionable Job Gains in Energy Plan,” 10/14, Lexis) It's not clear how the Perry campaign came up with the 1.2 million jobs number, AND -- nor are they likely to as long as Republicans control one chamber.
Election models are correct 85% of the time Sides 12 John, Associate Professor of Political Science. PhD, University of California, Berkeley, “In Defense of Presidential Forecasting Models”, 3/29, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/29/in-defense-of-presidential-forecasting-models/ Second, as Nate acknowledges AND trial heat polls from the campaign.
Minds aren’t made up in the key swing states and the margins are slim Robillard 9/19 Kevin is a writer at Politico. “Poll: Swing states could still swing,” 2012, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81381.html More than one-fifth of AND
percent gave it a “slight chance.”
Everyone hates the plan – we have the only link about exports – FRAMING ISSUE – the link is faster – it’s perception based while the plan relies on fracking creating jobs which only occurs after the election – that’s Levi – 3 warrants Some fear that allowing AND social and environmental disruption.
The plan alienates environmentalists and is perceived as bad for employment Gold and Johnson 12 Russell and Keith are writers for the Wall Street Journal. “Odd Alliance Says No to Gas Exports,” March 9, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203961204577269672522415982.html Energy companies have AND environmental concerns.
The plan’s unpopular – the public loves fracking regulations – specifically true in Ohio Bloomberg 12 Jim Efstathiou. “Tighter Fracking Regulations Favored by 65% of U.S. in Poll,” 3/14, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-15/tighter-fracking-regulations-favored-by-65-of-u-s-in-poll.html The U.S. public favors AND say the process is safe.
Obama solves the case Stoffel 7/5 Brian is a contributor to The Motley Fool, an investment group. "How Energy Will Fare if Obama Is Re-Elected," 2012, http://www.dailyfinance.com/2012/07/05/how-energy-will-fare-if-obama-is-re-elected/ Despite a desire to strike a more AND more transparent.
It’s not just campaign rhetoric – Romney will take action The Atlantic 12 "The Risks of Romney's Anti-China Rhetoric,” 2/21, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/02/the-risks-of-romneys-anti-china-rhetoric/253362/ The business community for AND a position," said the lobbyist, who backed Romney in 2008.
Nuclear war turns warming Duncan Clark 9, editorial environmental consultant to the London Guardian, co-director of GreenProfile, January 2, 2009, “The carbon footprint of nuclear war,” online: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/jan/02/nuclear-war-emissions Almost 700m [million] tonnes of AND emissions when comparing energy sources." | |
09/23/2012 | AT: European Gas Dependence AdvTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: Exporting will take decades CNBC 12 (Constance Gustke, "Domestic Critics Slow Potential LNG Export Boom," 20 Jun 2012, www.cnbc.com/id/47279981) Natural Gas Some experts say the AND amounts of natural gas exports.
Spot pricing causes short term volatility -~-- Russia floods the market to crowd out producers and engages in collusion to drive up future prices -~-- turns the whole case Hulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. “Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World,” 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) But it’s not all bad news for Russia. The first AND global gas potential. Ironic times indeed.
EU is obsolete and useless Sked 3/14/12 Alan, professor of international history and a former convener of European studies at the London School of Economics, “Why would anyone want to join the EU?” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/03/14/hey_serbia_be_careful_what_you_wish_for?page=0,1 Superficially, the EU seems to AND out weaker ones when they get into debt.)
Conflict is inevitable – outside intervention doesn’t solve and makes it worse Jovanovic 12/14/10 Zivadin is President of the Belgrade Forum for a World of Equals, Former Federal Minister of Foreign Affairs of FR of Yugoslavia “Kosovo: Prime Cause of Instability in the Balkans” http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=vaandaid=22342 It has been repeatedly noted that the AND valued at over 100 billion US dollars.
No imminent threat – NATO solves Marzouk 10 (Lawrence Marzouk, journalist, 2/3/2010, http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/main/news/25446/) Mr Blair* said he "remained AND to the force’s effectiveness and democratic development.” *Dennis Blair is US Director of National Intelligence
Russia has abandoned aggression in favor of cooperation Sawczak 11 [Dr. Peter Sawczak, Adjunct Research Fellow at Monash University, “Obama’s Russia Policy: The Wages and Pitfalls of the Reset,” peer reviewed paper presented at the 10th Biennial Conference of the Australasian Association for Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Feb 3-4 2011, http://cais.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/Sawczak_Obama.pdf] As a measure of their optimism, US AND leaders, or incited civil war.
2NC Turns the case -~-- US entrance in the energy market doesn’t solve Russian energy dominance -~-- it results in gas dumping and undercutting of the LNG Market Ryan 12 (Margaret Ryan - Vice President, Double Forte’, Management Consulting Services, "Oil-linked Natural Gas Pricing Under Continued Pressure in Europe," August 28, 2012, energy.aol.com/2012/08/28/oil-linked-natural-gas-pricing-under-continued-pressure-in-europ/?icid=related2#?icid=apb2#page2) Europe is supplied by a AND , Portugal, Spain and Italy, the nations worst hit by the ongoing economic crisis.
Oil indexing solves energy security and supply side collusion -~-- only spot pricing allows manipulation and volatility EER 11 (European Energy Review, "Pricing Mechanisms for Natural Gas Factsheet" December 4, 2011, www.europeanenergyreview.eu/data/docs/Viewpoints/081120 Factsheet - Pricing mechanism for natural gas in Europe.pdf) Decoupling does not AND advantage would be lost.
Delinking prices crashes the Algerian economy IMF 12 ("IMF Study Examines Changing Patterns in Global Gas Markets," February 1, 2012, www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2012/int020112a.htm) IMF Survey online: How have all these changes affected the gas export trade of major suppliers? Gijón: The 2009 financial crisis depressed demand AND, particularly by investing earnings from oil and gas in sectors that will generate tradable income.
Gas revenues key to counterterrorism operations – solves terrorism The Soufan Group 12 is an international strategic consultancy that works with governments, companies, and institutions 7/13, “TSG IntelBrief: Algeria: The Rising Storm of Turmoil” http://soufangroup.com/briefs/details/?Article_Id=337 • While the Algerian AND gas production and therefore regain its status as a major threat to the country.
Global nuclear war Speice, 6 (Patrick, JD Candidate, 47 Wm and Mary L. Rev. 1427, February, Lexis) Terrorist groups could acquire a AND will draw in the United States and escalate to the use of nuclear weapons.
The EU fails to resolve conflict Hinderaker 11/18/10 John, lawyer and fellow at the Claremont Institute “Hoping the EU Fails” http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2010/11/027718.php Actually, I do think that Europeans– AND into a currency and politic
EU is useless and its failure is inevitable Orr 12/16/11 Deborah, The Guardian “The Harsh Reality is that the EU has already failed” http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/dec/16/eu-already-failed-deborah-orr The desperate assumption is that AND The IMF? Who wants it to rule the world?
Russia is the opposite of aggressive – they’ve stood by despite Western provocations Ottens 11 [Nick Ottens, editor of the transatlantic news and commentary site the Atlantic Sentinel and contributing analyst for the geostrategic consultancy Wikistrat, “The Myth of Russia’s Resurgence,” August 20 2011, http://atlanticsentinel.com/2011/08/the-myth-of-russias-resurgence/] Wikistrat‘s Thomas Barnett reminds AND hundred army divisions to less than one hundred brigades.”
Georgia just proves Russia is less aggressive than the US Larison 10 [Daniel Larison, Ph.D. graduate from the University of Chicago and contributing editor at The American Conservative, “Russian ‘Aggression,’” July 5 2010, http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/russian-aggression/] No one denies the authoritarianism, AND to see an expanding NATO as some sort of threat to Russia and its allies. | |
09/23/2012 | AT: Warming AdvTournament: GSU | Round: 4 | Opponent: UMW MM | Judge: Exporting LNG increases emissions and causes catastrophic warming and extinction Romm 12 (Joe Romm – PhD from MIT, Fellow at American Progress, editor of Climate Progress, previously assistant secretary of energy for energy efficiency and renewable energy. “Exporting Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Is Bad For The Climate,” Jun 18, 2012 http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/06/18/500954/exporting-liquefied-natural-gas-lng-is-bad-for-the-climate/) The surge in U.S. production of AND catastrophic impacts.
Expanding natural gas causes warming Pooley 12 Eric Pooley - senior VP @Environmental Defense Fund, Served as chief political correspondent of Time, managing editor of Fortune, and deputy editor of Bloomberg Businessweek. “Natural Gas – A Briefing Paper For Candidates,” August 10, 2012, http://blogs.edf.org/energyexchange/2012/08/10/natural-gas-a-briefing-paper-for-candidates/) Reducing Methane Leakage In the absence of AND increased climate forcing on any time frame.
Shale gas hurts renewables National Geographic News 12 (Mason Inman, January 17, 2012, " Shale Gas: A Boon That Could Stunt Alternatives, Study Says," news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/01/120117-shale-gas-boom-impact-on-renewables/) Shale gas has transformed the U.S. energy landscape in the AND not to allow the greater ease of the near-term task to erod
No impact-~--mitigation and adaptation will solve-~--no tipping point or “1% risk” args Robert O. Mendelsohn 9, the Edwin Weyerhaeuser Davis Professor, Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, June 2009, “Climate Change and Economic Growth,” online: http://www.growthcommission.org/storage/cgdev/documents/gcwp060web.pdf The heart of the debate about AND are long‐run balanced responses.
No extinction from climate change NIPCC 11 – the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, an international panel of nongovernment scientists and scholars, March 8, 2011, “Surviving the Unprecedented Climate Change of the IPCC,” online: http://www.nipccreport.org/articles/2011/mar/8mar2011a5.html In a paper published in Systematics AND wide amplitude fluctuations in climate."
2NC Exporting LNG increases warming -~-- any tradeoffs are overcome by leakage, and the energy intensive liquefying Romm 12 (Joe Romm – PhD from MIT, Fellow at American Progress, editor of Climate Progress, previously assistant secretary of energy for energy efficiency and renewable energy. “Exporting Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Is Still Bad For The Climate — And A Very Poor Long-Term Investment,” August 16, 2012, http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/08/16/699601/exporting-liquefied-natural-gas-lng-bad-for-climate-poor-long-term-investment/) The surge in U.S. production of shale gas is AND multiple simultaneous catastrophic impacts.
Exports net increase emissions EIA 12 (Energy Information Administration, "Effect of Increased Natural Gas Exports on Domestic Energy Markets as requested by the Office of Fossil Energy," January 2012, www.eia.gov/analysis/requests/fe/pdf/fe_lng.pdf) While lower domestic natural AND associated baseline case.
Methane is comparatively more important than CO2 to stall warming Frongillo 12 Dominic Frongillo - deputy town supervisor of Caroline, Tompkins County, and founder of Elected Officials to Protect New York , “Wrong Time to Push Fracking,”August 15, 2012 http://www.timesunion.com/opinion/article/Wrong-time-to-push-fracking-3788647.php) Why should this ring alarm bells AND our ability to meet these targets?
Tech and adaptive advances prevent all climate impacts-~--warming won’t cause war Dr. S. Fred Singer et al 11, Research Fellow at The Independent Institute, Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia, President of the Science and Environmental Policy Project, a Fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and a Member of the International Academy of Astronautics; Robert M. Carter, Research Professor at James Cook University (Queensland) and the University of Adelaide (South Australia), palaeontologist, stratigrapher, marine geologist and environmental scientist with more than thirty years professional experience; and Craig D. Idso, founder and chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, member of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Geophysical Union, American Meteorological Society, Arizona-Nevada Academy of Sciences, and Association of American Geographers, et al, 2011, “Climate Change Reconsidered: 2011 Interim Report,” online: http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/2011/pdf/FrontMatter.pdf Decades-long empirical trends of AND, and social stability.
No data supports mass extinction theories-~--their models are flawed David Stockwell 11, Researcher at the San Diego Supercomputer Center, Ph.D. in Ecosystem Dynamics from the Australian National University, developed the Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production system making contributions modeling of invasive species, epidemiology of human diseases, the discovery of new species, and effects on species of climate change, April 21, 2011, “Errors of Global Warming Effects Modeling,” online: http://landshape.org/enm/errors-of-global-warming-effects-modeling/ Predictions of massive species AND one is really looking for them. | |
09/26/2012 | DOD CP vs SMRTournament: GSU | Round: Quarters | Opponent: Emory | Judge: TEXT: The United States Department of Defense should establish a power purchase agreement for the expansion of small modular reactors in the United States.DOD is crucial – plan doesn’t spur investment because tech is still not readyAndres and Breetz 11 Richard B, Professor of National Security Strategy at the National War College and a Senior Fellow and Energy and Environmental Security and Policy Chair in the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies, at the National Defense University and Hanna L, doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at The Massachusetts Institute of Technology, February, "Small Nuclear Reactors for Military Installations: Capabilities, Costs, and Technological Implications", www.ndu.edu/press/lib/pdf/StrForum/SF-262.pdf DOD spending is insulated from politicsBinyamin Appelbaum 12, Defense cuts would hurt scientific R%26D, experts say, The New York Times, 1-8-12, http://hamptonroads.com/2012/01/defense-cuts-would-hurt-scientific-rd-experts-say DOD is key – solves, overcomes restrictions and doesn’t link to politicsMadia 12 William, Chairman of the Board of Overseers and Vice President for the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory at Stanford University, Spring, "Small Modular Reactors: A Potential Game-changing Technology", energyclub.stanford.edu/index.php/Journal/Small_Modular_Reactors_by_William_Madia Alternative financing doesn’t spend cash up-frontDOE 11, On-site renewable PPAs allow AND Panetta shields Obama from GOP backlash to DOD spendingFrance24 ’11, 30/06/2011, http://www.france24.com/en/20110630-usa-politics-defence-secretary-leon-panetta-obama-cia Panetta shields Obama from GOP criticismPolitico 11 Can he provide Obama with the AND Panetta will shield Obama from GOP criticismForbes 10-3, 2011 When Leon Panetta was sworn in as the nation’s 23rd AND | |
09/26/2012 | Warming Adv CPTournament: GSU | Round: Quarters | Opponent: Emory PS | Judge: TEXT: The United States federal government should deploy sunshades and provide all necessary funding for the construction and operation of all necessary water treatment facilities to increase the alkalinity of the oceans by removing hydrochloric acid via electrolysis, neutralizing it with silicate rock, and returning the products to the ocean.CP solves warming – water treatment offsets all emissionsMongabay 7 ("Ocean CO2 collector could fight global warming and ocean acification" http://news.mongabay.com/2007/1120-geoengineering.html , November 20, 2007) Sunshades solve warmingNaomi E. Vaughan and Timothy Lenton 11 School of Environmental Sciences and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research,22 March 2011 © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011 "A Review of Climate Geoengineering proposals" http://www.springerlink.com/content/351246645074460l/fulltext.pdf | |
09/26/2012 | T ProcurementTournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: but they are not incentives. | |
09/26/2012 | SK DA vs SMRTournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: Slattery The US is pushing for a new 123 agreement with South Korea to include a "no enrichment and reprocessing" pledge but will cave due to lack of leverage and nuclear leadershipMark Hibbs 12, SENIOR ASSOCIATE, NUCLEAR POLICY PROGRAM, Carnegie Endowment, "Negotiating Nuclear Cooperation Agreements," NUCLEAR ENERGY BRIEF, AUGUST 7, 2012 http://carnegieendowment.org/2012/08/07/negotiating-nuclear-cooperation-agreements/d98z-http://carnegieendowment.org/2012/08/07/negotiating-nuclear-cooperation-agreements/d98z That kills the alliance —- key test caseSeongho Sheen 11, associate professor at the Graduate School of International Studies, Seoul National University, Nuclear Sovereignty versus Nuclear Security: Renewing the ROK-U.S. Atomic Energy Agreement, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol. 23, No. 2, June 2011, 273–288, http://www.brookings.edu/~~/media/research/files/papers/2011/8/nuclear%20korea%20sheen/08_nuclear_korea_sheen Key to deter North Korea and maintain regional stabilityKurt M. Campbell 11 Assistant Secretary, Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs "U.S. Policy Toward North Korea" March 1 Testimony Before SFRC Triggers escalation and war —- draws in great powersDibb 6, Emeritus Prof of IR @ Australian National University, Sydney Morning Herald (Australia), August 15, 2006 Tuesday, As one nuclear flashpoint reaches a lull, another simmers away, Pg. 11, Lexis 1NR Brink of Korean war now—-fast timeframe and high probability—-causes nuclear escalation and extinction – answers all their impact DChol 11 Kim Myong Chol is author of a number of books and papers in Korean, Japanese and English on North Korea, including Kim Jong-il’s Strategy for Reunification. He has a PhD from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s Academy of Social Sciences "Dangerous games" Aug 20 www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/MH20Dg01.html spewing as much radioactive fallout as 150-180 H-bombs. Outweighs on magnitudeHayes 10 Peter Hayes, *Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development, AND, Michael Hamel-Green, Executive Dean of the Faculty of Arts, Education and Human Development act Victoria University (1/5/10, Executive Dean at Victoria, "The Path Not Taken, the Way Still Open: Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia," http://www.nautilus.org/fora/security/10001HayesHamalGreen.pdf the international community. Turns everything—-Asian war wrecks the overall international systemHugh White 8, Professor of Strategic Studies at Australian National University and Visiting Fellow, the Lowy Institute, June 4, 2008, "’Why War in Asia Remains Thinkable’ ," online: http://www.iiss.org/conferences/global-strategic-challenges-as-played-out-in-asia/asias-strategic-challenges-in-search-of-a-common-agenda/conference-papers/fifth-session-conflict-in-asia/why-war-in-asia-remains-thinkable-prof-hugh-white/ to study, understand and prevent. Refusing ENR restrictions on South Korean-US nuclear tech tradeDr. Chen Kane 10, Senior Research Associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, "Nonproliferation Issues in U.S.-ROK Nuclear Cooperation", U.S.-ROK Workshop on Nuclear Energy and Nonproliferation, The Henry L. Stimson Center and The Asia Foundation Center for U.S.-Korea Policy, http://asiafoundation.org/resources/pdfs/ChenKane100120.pdf ones embedded in the Korean reactors. Turns the case —- South Korean components are key to domestic nuclear power plantsDoosan 12 – Doosan Heavy Industries %26 Construction, Main website – no date http://www.doosan.com/doosanheavybiz/en/services/power/power/nuclear.page to China also. True for SMRsStephen M. Goldberg 11, Current. Assistant to the Director at Argonne National Laboratory, and Robert Rosner, William E. Wrather Distinguished Service Professor, Departments of Astronomy and Astrophysics, and Physics, and the College at the University of Chicago, "Nuclear Reactors: Generation to Generation", AMERICAN ACADEMY OF AR TS %26 SCIENCES, March 2011, http://www.amacad.org/pdfs/nuclearreactors.pdf China and the United States. Expanding SMRs spur effective US leadership and leverage in 123 agreements —- ensures the US refuses to make concessions on ENRMiller 12 —- et al – former associate director of the Nuclear Security Science and Policy Institute at Texas A %26 M University as well as adjunct professor. He was a co-leader of the small team that successfully proposed establishing the . Former assistant secretary for nuclear energy at the U.S. Department of Energy under Obama. Worked at Los Alamos National Laboratory where he served for 27 years as a computational physics researcher and senior administrator (A Report of the Bipartisan Policy Center’s Nuclear Initiative; Co-chaired by Senator Pete Domenici and Dr. Warren F. Miller, July 2012, Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets, bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Leadership%20in%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Markets.pdf , development, and deployment (RD%26D) programs. 123 agreements are the primary arena to exercise US leverage —- US is on the fence now but increased influence means they’ll push for no-ENRJEFFREY LEWIS 12, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation, "It’s Not as Easy as 1-2-3", Foreign Policy, 8-1, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/08/01/it_s_not_as_easy_as_1_2_3?print=yes%26hidecomments=yes%26page=full As it is, they will try — but not very hard. US will cave on reprocessing now —- failure destroys the allianceChosun Ilbo 9-24, "S.Korea Must be Allowed to Reprocess Spent Nuclear Fuel", http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2010/02/16/2010021600765.html rods for peaceful purposes. South Korea will convince the US to make concessions on ENR now —- US isn’t exerting leverageGSN 12, Global Security Newswire, a publication of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, "South Korea Waiting for U.S. Response on Atomic Fuel Reprocessing", 7-24, http://www.nti.org/gsn/article/us-seen-still-unconvinced-south-korean-need-atomic-fuel-reprocessing/ continued (Song Sang-ho, Korea Herald, July 23). No impactKatz 11—Director of the Akirov Institute for Business and Environment at Tel Aviv University. PhD (David, Hydro-Political Hyperbole, Global Environmental Politics, 11; 1; Feb 2011) them to state that "support for a scarcity theory of water conflict is somewhat ambiguous."42 | |
09/26/2012 | Microgrid CPTournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: Slattery and duration of a grid outage. 2NC as discussed in the Solar Potential Assessment chapter. Diesel solves and is commonly used requirements a more cost effective solution. DOD mandates already lock in a baseline level of solar generation---the CP’s key to long-term islanding instead focuses on the integration of plug-in electric vehicles on DoD installations. they can earn value helping to meet those needs. critical functions for an indefinite period of time. waste would be devastating. Military adoption of greentech solves the impact ago for GPS systems or the Internet. the public health and safety [48]. Accidents turn heg—interrupt military ops to national security. | |
09/26/2012 | Solvency vs SMRTournament: GSu | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: Slattery 1NCDOE development now—-spills over to military tech—-private sector’s driving tech development which means none of their "DOE fails" args applyFT 11 – Financial Times, 1/14/11, "Mini nuclear: very small reactors will need huge sales effort," http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/22c1b17a-1f71-11e0-87ca-00144feab49a.html~~%23axzz27G3R5gBh generate low-carbon electricity. The Prism answers all three, he says, by using plutonium and nuclear waste products as fuel.¶ Plan takes 10 years to solveKing 11 (Marcus King, Project Director and Research Analyst for the Environment and Energy Team at Center for Naval Analyses, LaVar Huntzinger, Thoi Nguyen, "Feasibility of Nuclear Power on U.S. Military Installations", March, http://www.cna.org/sites/default/files/research/Nuclear%20Power%20on%20Military%20Installations%20D0023932%20A5.pdf) and construction to approximately 6 years ~[45~]. Solvency takes decades—-SMRs require re-orienting the entire manufacturing industryDylan Ryan 11, Masters in Mechanical Engineering, expertise in energy, sustainability, Computer Aided Engineering, renewables technology; Ph.D. in solar energy systems, 2011, "Part 10 – Small modular reactors and mass production options," http://daryanenergyblog.wordpress.com/ca/part-10-smallreactors-mass-prod/-http://daryanenergyblog.wordpress.com/ca/part-10-smallreactors-mass-prod/ (initially anyway) and probably more expensive too. SMRs will be developed slowly in the status quo—-the plan speeds up the process which causes Fukushima-style accidentsUcilia Wang 12, renewable energy and green tech journalist for Forbes, 1/20/12, "Feds To Finance Small Nuclear Reactor Designs," online: http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/-http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/ important part of the country’s energy mix. 1NRSolvency takes decades—-SMRs require re-orienting the entire manufacturing industryDylan Ryan 11, Masters in Mechanical Engineering, expertise in energy, sustainability, Computer Aided Engineering, renewables technology; Ph.D. in solar energy systems, 2011, "Part 10 – Small modular reactors and mass production options," http://daryanenergyblog.wordpress.com/ca/part-10-smallreactors-mass-prod/-http://daryanenergyblog.wordpress.com/ca/part-10-smallreactors-mass-prod/ (initially anyway) and probably more expensive too. SMRs will be developed slowly in the status quo—-the plan speeds up the process which causes Fukushima-style accidentsUcilia Wang 12, renewable energy and green tech journalist for Forbes, 1/20/12, "Feds To Finance Small Nuclear Reactor Designs," online: http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/-http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/ important part of the country’s energy mix. Regulatory approval for civilian-grid SMRs will take decades, independently of the techFT 11 – Financial Times, 1/14/11, "Mini nuclear: very small reactors will need huge sales effort," http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/22c1b17a-1f71-11e0-87ca-00144feab49a.html~~%23axzz27G3R5gBh make the expenditure." | |
09/26/2012 | AT Prolif Adv vs SMRTournament: GSu | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: Slattery 1NCPlan causes massive IAEA overstretch—-only SMRs link—-turns prolifDr. Edwin Lyman 11, Senior Scientist, Global Security Program, Union of Concerned Scientists, July 14, 2011, Testimony Before the Energy and Water Development Subcommittee, Committee on Appropriations, U.S. Senate, “An Examination of the Safety and Economics of Light Water Small Modular Reactors,” http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/nuclear_power/lyman-appropriations-subcom-7-14-11.pdf would be difficult, if feasible at all. Lack of effective inspections turns the whole case—-makes SMRs worse for prolif, safety and security than large reactorsDr. Edwin Lyman 11, Senior Scientist, Global Security Program, Union of Concerned Scientists, July 14, 2011, Testimony Before the Energy and Water Development Subcommittee, Committee on Appropriations, U.S. Senate, "An Examination of the Safety and Economics of Light Water Small Modular Reactors" than large reactors. SMRs are worse for prolif than large reactorsCorey Nealon 11, "Could small nukes be the energy answer?," 12-4-11, http://articles.dailypress.com/2011-12-04/news/dp-nws-nuclear-reactors-20111203_1_nuclear-power-reactors-energy-department "We’re not pursuing them," Rick Zuercher said. New proliferators will build small arsenals which don’t cause warSeng 98 (Jordan, PhD Candidate in Pol. Sci. – U. Chicago, Dissertation, "Strategy for Pandora’s Children: Stable Nuclear Proliferation Among Minor States", p. 203-206) However, this "state of affairs" is not AND launched without a definite, informed and unambiguous decision to press that button. Uncertainty means no preemptive strike of the reaction of other nuclear powers."28 Prolif will be slowTepperman 9 Deputy Editor at Newsweek. Frmr Deputy Managing Editor, Foreign Affairs. LLM, i-law, NYU. MA, jurisprudence, Oxford. (Jonathan, Why Obama Should Learn to Love the Bomb, http://jonathantepperman.com/Welcome_files/nukes_Final.pdf) The risk of an arms race—with, say, AND bombs tend to mellow behavior. United States during World War II. 2NCPreserving sufficient IAEA resources solves their internal link—-means inspections prevent inevitable global nuclear energy expansion from causing prolifAdam M. Scheinman 8, Assistant deputy administrator, Nonproliferation and international security, DOE/NNSA, March 31, 2008, "A TIME FOR ACTION: THE U.S. NEXT GENERATION SAFEGUARDS INITIATIVE" all provides assurances that nations respect their international obligations. Declining confidence in IAEA inspections causes breakout prolifAdam M. Scheinman 8, Assistant deputy administrator, Nonproliferation and international security, DOE/NNSA, March 31, 2008, "A TIME FOR ACTION: THE U.S. NEXT GENERATION SAFEGUARDS INITIATIVE" international safeguards The Next Generation Safeguards program generates uniqueness—-remedies past problems with IAEA resourcesAdam M. Scheinman 8, Assistant deputy administrator, Nonproliferation and international security, DOE/NNSA, March 31, 2008, "A TIME FOR ACTION: THE U.S. NEXT GENERATION SAFEGUARDS INITIATIVE" the development and application of safeguards measures along the way. Overstretch means IAEA can’t contain meltdownsMarschall 2007 (Ivonnne, "IAEA Warns Cash Shortage Will Affect Nuclear Security Work" http://news.monstersandcritics.com/europe/features/article_1321201.php/IAEA_warns_cash_shortage_will_affect_nuclear_security_work-http://news.monstersandcritics.com/europe/features/article_1321201.php/IAEA_warns_cash_shortage_will_affect_nuclear_security_work) in promoting nuclear energy as well as safeguarding nuclear facilities is likely to expand even further. ExtinctionLendman 11 ~[Stephen Lendman, Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization, 03/ 13, "Nuclear Meltdown in Japan," http://www.thepeoplesvoice.org/TPV3/Voices.php/2011/03/13/nuclear-meltdown-in-japan~~] and parts of South America. Consensus votes negOfira Seliktar, Poly Sci Prof @ Gratz, 2011, "Assessing Iran’s Nuclear Rationality," The ’Eye of the Beholder’ Problem," J. of the ME and Africa, v. 2, iss. 2, p. t%26f a cost/benefit approach rather than a rush to weapons." 58 The risk of their offense is really slimSechser 8—assist. prof, pol sci, UVA. PhD, pol sci, Stanford (Todd, The Stabilizing Effects of Nuclear Proliferation, http://faculty.virginia.edu/tsechser/Sechser-Haas-2009.pdf) A final objection to this AND make us skeptical of its claims. Role of the ballot is to make history-based judgmentsGraham 94 – professor emeritus of history, California (Otis, Losing Time, p 4) Yet the status quo, defended by no one, AND , in the 1980-1990 indian summer of America’s economic leadership. Aff’s spin is biasedBetts 2k – Prof and the Dir., Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia (Richard, The Coming Crisis, ed Utgoff, 64-5) The Waltz argument cannot be brushed off, but AND than for other countries that want strategic independence. Prolif will be opaque – that’s good and solves your offenseHagerty 98—assoc. prof, pol sci, U Maryland BC (Devin, The Consequences of Nuclear Proliferation: Lessons from South Asia, 187-90 ) table omitted But the concept’s inventor may have AND add any empirical heft to this argument. Also, only countries that need them for deterrence will acquire them—only a risk of our offense because prolif isn’t like domino’s falling, it’s caused by security concerns—most states don’t want or need nukesWaltz 7 (Kenneth, Prof. Emeritus of Pol. Sci. – Berkeley, Journal of International Affairs, "A Nuclear Iran: Promoting Stability or Courting Diseaster", 60:2, Proquest) I don’t notice that many religiously-oriented people AND that their security requires their having nuclear weapons. Alarmist predictions empirically deniedPotter 8—Prof of Nonproliferation Studies and Dir of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies—AND—Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova (William, Divining Nuclear Intentions, International Security, Vol 33, Num 1, Summer 2008, MUSE) Today it is hard to find an analyst or AND that dimension of the proliferation puzzle.48 Prolif can’t be stoppedHymans 6—assist prof, IR, USC. PhD, pol sci, Harvard Jacques, The Psychology of Nuclear Proliferation, 225-6) there’s a will, there’s a way. Their impact can’t go global – no risk of superpowers getting involved in nuclear wars among new proliferantsJoseph Cirincione, President of the Ploughshares Fund, senior vice president for national security and international policy at the Center for American Progress and as director for nonproliferation at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2007, Bomb Scare: The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons, p. 84-85 we still worry about the fate of our cities. | |
09/26/2012 | AT DoD Adv vs SMRTournament: GSU | Round: 6 | Opponent: Georgetown AM | Judge: Slattery 1NC
| |
09/26/2012 | AT Warming Adv vs SMRTournament: GSU | Round: 7 | Opponent: Wake | Judge: Nuclear power emits GHGs, takes too long, and has a minimal effect on overall emissionsSlater ’08 – New York Director, of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation and Convenor No impact—-mitigation and adaptation will solve—-no tipping point or "1% risk" argsRobert O. Mendelsohn 9, the Edwin Weyerhaeuser Davis Professor, Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, June 2009, "Climate Change and Economic Growth," online: http://www.growthcommission.org/storage/cgdev/documents/gcwp060web.pdf No positive feedbacks—-this takes out 100% of the impact to warmingFritz Vahrenholt 12, Honorary Professor of chemistry at the University of Hamburg, former Umweltsenator in the German Ministry for Environment, Scientific Reviewer for the 2010 IPCC, June 18, 2012, "Global warming: second thoughts of an environmentalist," The Telegraph, online: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/9338939/Global-warming-second-thoughts-of-an-environmentalist.html | |
09/26/2012 | AT Navy Adv vs SMRTournament: GSU | Round: 7 | Opponent: Wake | Judge: 1NCNaval primacy inevitable – US will adapt and is too far aheadHarris 8 (Stuart, BEc (Sydney) and PhD (The Australian National University), is Professor in the Department of International Relations at the Australian National University, "China’s "new" diplomacy: tactical or fundamental change?", Google Books, pg 20) AND U.S. naval superiority will remain for a long time. DOD SMR procurement sends a global signal of impending U.S. military aggression—-causes resentment against U.S. unilateralismTerrence P. Smith 11, program coordinator and research assistant with the William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy at the CSIS, February 16, 2011, "An Idea I Can Do Without: "Small Nuclear Reactors for Military Installations,"" http://csis.org/blog/idea-i-can-do-without-small-nuclear-reactors-military-installations is where they should stay. The U.S. is pursuing a grand strategy of multilateral legitimacy now—-perception of a swing back toward unilateral military primacy collapses hegKevin Fujimoto 12, Lt. Colonel, U.S. Army, January 11, 2012, "Preserving U.S. National Security Interests Through a Liberal World Construct," online: http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Preserving-US-National-Security-Interests-Liberal-World-Construct/2012/1/11-http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Preserving-US-National-Security-Interests-Liberal-World-Construct/2012/1/11 only superpower. 2NCPerception of overwhelming U.S. power collapses hegemony—-causes global backlash that makes effective leadership impossibleMaher 11 – Richard Maher, Ph.D. candidate in the Political Science department at Brown University, Winter 2011, "The Paradox of American Unipolarity: Why the United States May Be Better Off in a Post-Unipolar World," Orbis, Vol. 55, No. 1, p. 53-68 Nuclear war turns warmingDuncan Clark 9, editorial environmental consultant to the London Guardian, co-director of GreenProfile, January 2, 2009, "The carbon footprint of nuclear war," online: http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/jan/02/nuclear-war-emissions comparing energy sources." Nuke war outweighs warmingHarrell 9 quoting Robock, Rutgers professor who uses NASA data 1/22, Eben, Time, "Regional nuclear war and the environment",http://www.time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1873164,00.html worrying about global warming. The DoD is modernizing to focus on Asia now —- budget cuts threaten to undermine the pivotChaffin 12 (Greg, intern at the National Bureau of Asian Research, interview with Thomas Mahnken, currently Jerome E. Levy Chair of Economic Geography and National Security at the U.S. Naval War College, and a Visiting Scholar at the Philip Merrill Center for Strategic Studies at The Johns Hopkins University’s Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Dr. Mahnken served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Policy Planning from 2006 to 2009, "An Interview with Thomas G. Mahnken", 7/30, http://www.nbr.org/research/activity.aspx?id=265) Pivot is key to contain China`s rise and prevent nuke war | |
09/26/2012 | T vs KY AffTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: The aff overturns a regulation on who can own a company, not a restriction on production.SHACKLEFORD 17 Florida SC Justice Opinion in ATLANTIC COAST LINE RAILROAD COMPANY, A CORPORATION, et al., Plaintiff in Error, v. THE STATE OF FLORIDA, Defendant in Error~[NO DOCKET NUMBER~]SUPREME COURT OF FLORIDA73 Fla. 609; 74 So. 595; 1917 Fla. LEXIS 487March 12, 1917; Petition for Rehearing Denied March 17, 1917, lexis to impose a penalty upon the three railroads for failure to comply with the order for the erection of a union depot. Prefer our interpretation—A— Restriction is narrower than regulation—precisions is keyUS District Court 9—Judge Thomas E. Johnson, US District Court for the Southern District of West Virginia, http://law.justia.com/cases/federal/district-courts/west-virginia/wvsdce/5:2009cv00152/61171/33 restrictions upon commercial speech may be no more broad or no more expansive than ’necessary’ to serve its substantial interests"). | |
09/26/2012 | CP vs KY GSTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: TEXT:The United States Federal Government should amend Exon-Florio to define "national security" so as to consider the following factors in reviewing foreign acquisitions:A. Potential effect upon assets essential to the military aspects of national defense, specifically those firms whose contributions to the national defense cannot be easily replaced by another domestic corporation; Amending Exon-Florio to narrowly define national security solves the case —- it removes "economic security" as a consideration in the CFIUS process —- this accurate reading of their Carroll solvency evidence provides further support:Carroll 9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 2009, lexis Exon-Florio should be amended to AND This obviously harms national security since Chinese companies can freely buy-up US oil companies —- fuels their aggressive expansionism —- and it’s politically unpopularAlex Newman 12, "Communist China Lobbying to Take Over U.S. Oil, Lawmakers Still Concerned," NewAmerican, 8-7-12, http://www.thenewamerican.com/economy/sectors/item/12364-communist-china-lobbying-to-take-over-us-oil-lawmakers-still-concerned Top American lawmakers on both sides of AND Only the CP solves this national security threatCarroll 9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 2009, lexis | |
09/26/2012 | Fiscal Cliff PoliticsTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: Obama has the influence to prevail in fiscal cliff negotiations now—-political capital is keySprung 9/21 (Andrew Sprung is a political commentator %26 media consultant. He is the CEO of Sprung PR and hold a PhD from the University of Rochestor, "Ezra Klein’s unconvincing theory that Obama misunderstands (or misrepresents) "change," http://xpostfactoid.blogspot.com/2012/09/ezra-kleins-unconvincing-theory-that.html) want to decide who you can marry, or control health-care choices that women should make for themselves. The plan makes China a pivotal election issue – causes backlashYingzi, 10 (Tan, "US likely to give nod to CNOOC deal, despite opposition" 10/14, China Daily, company, said Scissors from the Heritage Foundation. Link turns the case —- public backlash disrupts FDIMerrill 11 - * B.A. Tufts University; J.D. Columbia Law School (Margaret, "Overcoming CFIUS Jitters: A Practical Guide for Understanding the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States", 30 Quinnipiac L. Rev. 1, lexis) will make it that much more resistant to political attack. Presidential leadership is key to compromise – failure collapses heg and wrecks the economyHutchison, U.S. Senator from the great state of Texas, 9/21/2012 (Kay Bailey, "A Looming Threat to National Security," States News Service, Lexis) to reduce %241 trillion annual budget deficits, without the harsh tax increases that could stall economic growth and punish working families. Hegemony prevents extinctionThomas P.M. Barnett 11 Former Senior Strategic Researcher and Professor in the Warfare Analysis %26 Research Department, Center for Naval Warfare Studies, U.S. Naval War College American military geostrategist and Chief Analyst at Wikistrat., worked as the Assistant for Strategic Futures in the Office of Force Transformation in the Department of Defense, "The New Rules: Leadership Fatigue Puts U.S., and Globalization, at Crossroads," March 7 http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads the geometry to come. ) Obama’s PC forces compromiseDennis 9/24 (Steven, Roll Call Staff, "Voters Will Likely Resolve Fiscal Cliff", http://www.rollcall.com/issues/58_24/Voters-Will-Likely-Resolve-Fiscal-Cliff-217774-1.html?pos=opolh) told the Washington Post last week that "if the president wins re-election, taxes are going up," adding, "There’s not a lot we can do about that." b) Vote counts but Obama leverage keyBecker and Wasson 9/21 (Bernie Becker and Erik Wasson, The Hill’s Finance and Economy Blog, "GOP fears reelected Obama would have the upper hand on taxes", http://thehill.com/blogs/on-the-money/domestic-taxes/251095-gop-fears-reelected-obama-would-have-leverage-to-raise-taxes) coming off a loss at the polls. c) Deal now but that could changeThe Fiscal Times 9/23 ("Republicans Brace for Four More Years of Obama", http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2012/09/23/Republicans-Brace-for-Four-More-Years-of-Obama.aspx~~%23BYku8GHeEvvd77kS.99) -Mich., according to Politico. The meeting with Camp focused on the year-end expiration of tax rates. Top of lame-duck agenda means there is timeAP 9/21 Associated Press, "Unpopular Congress exits Washington to hit campaign trail, leaving lots of work undone", 2012, html deficit "supercommittee" to strike a deal. Heg underwrites trade, not the other way aroundMueller 9—pol sci prof and IR, Ohio State. Widely-recognized expert on terrorism threats in foreign policy. AB from U Chicago, MA in pol sci from UCLA and PhD in pol sci from UCLA (John, Faulty Correlation, Foolish Consistency, Fatal Consequence: Democracy, Peace, and Theory in the Middle East, 15 June 2007, http://psweb.sbs.ohio-state.edu/faculty/jmueller/KENT2.PDF) of the system, not the product.18 Sequestration is a bigger and faster internal link to all of their impactsSkelton, partner with Husch Blackwell and former Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, 9/20/2012 ("Sequestration means cuts we can’t afford," Roll Call, Lexis) , but the threats themselves won’t wait. Bipartisan support for being tough on China through CFIUS – answers their no backlash argBarron, 12 -Mint Press’s New York Correspondent. She has worked for leading news organizations, including Time, Inc., CNN, CNBC and CBS News, in Europe, Asia, Africa, South America and the Middle East as well as in the United States (Lisa, "Republicans, Democrats Come Together To Oppose Chinese Oil Deal" Mint Press News, 7/30, http://www.mintpress.net/chinese-oil-deal-becoming-political-football-in-u-s/) investment overall helps the economy and investment in the oil and gas sector in particular helps the U.S. become less dependent on oil from overseas. The plan isn’t a win, it’s an ambush – Obama hasn’t been pushing it for a long time and our link proves it has no supportersObama’s Velcro—-only blame sticks to him—-means winners lose—-healthcare provesNicholas %26 Hook 10 Peter and Janet, Staff Writers – LA Times, "Obama the Velcro president", LA Times, 7-30, http://articles.latimes.com/2010/jul/30/nation/la-na-velcro-presidency-20100730/3 translated into dinner table conversations." Winners lose—-PC’s not renewable, is zero-sum, and diminishes fastRyan 9 Selwyn, Professor Emeritus and former Director, Institute of Social and Economic Research, University of the West Indies, "Obama and political capital," 1/18 http://www.trinidadexpress.com/index.pl/article_opinion?id=161426968 strong constituency in cyberspace (the latent "Obama Party"). Chinese investment prompts Congressional backlashAP 8-23, 2012, China investment in US rises despite tough talk, http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-08-23/news/33342341_1_chinese-investment-china-investment-chinese-companies/2-http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-08-23/news/33342341_1_chinese-investment-china-investment-chinese-companies/2 surveillance equipment to Iran. UnpopularMATTHEW R. BYRNE 6, J.D., The Ohio State University Moritz College of Law, expected 2007, Protecting National Security and Promoting Foreign Investment: Maintaining the Exon-Florio Balance, OHIO STATE LAW JOURNAL, 2006, http://moritzlaw.osu.edu/students/groups/oslj/files/2012/04/67.4.byrne_.pdf China to acquire an American oil company.162 More evCarroll 9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 2009, lexis | |
09/26/2012 | AT KY Shocks AdvTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: No shocks—-macroeconomic policy and fundamental rebalancing of the global economy shield against themDecressin 12 Jörg Decressin is Senior Advisor in the IMF’s Research Department, in charge of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, "Global Economy Learns to Absorb Oil Price Hikes" May 25 2012 http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2012/NUM052512A.htm in energy intensity is expected to continue. Cooperation and lack of motivation prevents conflictPradt 12 – PhD candidate at the Freie Universität of Berlin (Tilman, "ASIA’S NEW GREAT GAME? THE GEOPOLITICS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA," Political Reflection, Vol. 3, No. 1) among the two Asian heavyweights. No Chinese naval threat – can’t project through Africa or South America.Polmar 9 (Norman Polmar, 4/27/09, "China’s ’Increasing Naval Threat’ Overstated" http://defensetech.org/2009/04/27/chinas-increasing-naval-threat-overstated/) would take at least a decade, and most likely longer. Aggression is not in China’s interestGupta 11 ~[Rukmani Gupta, Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, "South China Sea Conflict? No Way," http://the-diplomat.com/2011/10/23/south-china-sea-conflict-no-way/2/-http://the-diplomat.com/2011/10/23/south-china-sea-conflict-no-way/2/~] claims so as to secure a better negotiating stance. No Chinese aggression in the SCSFravel 3/22—Associate Professor of Political Science and member of the Security Studies Program at MIT. (Taylor, All Quiet in the South China Sea, 3/22/12, www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137346/m-taylor-fravel/all-quiet-in-the-south-china-sea?page=show) demarcation of the Gulf of Tonkin. | |
09/26/2012 | AT KY Iran AdvTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: CNOOC's US$ 15 billion purchase of Canadian oil firm Nexen. Alternate causalities swamp the case --- a handful of other industries will still politicize the CFIUS national security standard of CFIUS and the way Exon-Florio is administered. Congress and the public will backlash regardless of CFIUS --- scuttles deals before they reach review --- empirically proven mere possibilities, not certainties. No impact to nuclear Iran – doesn’t snowball or cause aggression Of course, hard-line US neoconservatives reject this AND contained and deterred successfully by the US. Alternate causalities swamp the case --- a handful of other industries will still politicize the CFIUS national security standard and the way Exon-Florio is administered. No US or Israel strike on Iran---their evidence ignores Israel’s true motives Portrayal of Iran as a marketable international AND its Palestinian dilemmas. Long timeframe By declaring that Iran AND is upon its neck". No chance of an Israeli strike 'Hold me back!' is a part of AND of control. Think about the consequences! | |
09/26/2012 | AT KY Trade AdvTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: KY GS | Judge: No impact —- CFIUS approves 99.9% of all transactionsMarchick 7 (David, partner at Covington %26 Burling, where he advises companies on the CFIUS process, "Swinging the Pendulum too Far: An Analysis of the CFIUS Process Post-Dubai Ports World," Jan, http://www.nfap.net/researchactivities/studies/NFAPPolicyBriefCFIUS0107.pdf) were to block an acquisition would be substantial. Minimal effect on investmentMark E. Plotkin 6, partner in Covington %26 Burling’s Washington office, chairs the firm’s Electronic Commerce and Information Technology practice, David M. Marchick, leading authority on the Exon-Florio amendment to the Defense Production Act of 1950, and David N. Fagan, associate - Covington %26 Burling, Foreign Investment Laws and National Security: Lessons from Exon-Florio, May, 2006, http://www.cov.com/files/Publication/8fdb961b-d279-4e73-802e-e6de0555af86/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/2696e4d4-1d5f-4c9d-8589-f1b433c93009/oid14563.pdf-http://www.cov.com/files/Publication/8fdb961b-d279-4e73-802e-e6de0555af86/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/2696e4d4-1d5f-4c9d-8589-f1b433c93009/oid14563.pdf contractor in the aviation sector. Global trade resilientBarnett 9—senior managing director of Enterra Solutions LLC (Thomas, The New Rules: Security Remains Stable Amid Financial Crisis, 25 August 2009, http://www.aprodex.com/the-new-rules—security-remains-stable-amid-financial-crisis-398-bl.aspx) Indeed, no. The world’s major AND War II international liberal trade order. It defiantly won’t go nuclearBremmer 9—IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford. (Ian, "The Political Risks From Washington," 24 March 2009, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/03/top_five_risks_and_a_red_herri.html) There is one serious risk I think we AND against interconnectedness, trade, or global supply chains. Even massive economic decline has zero chance of warRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 crisis, an optimist MARKED HERE Interdependence doesn’t solve warMay 5—Professor Emeritus (Research) in the Stanford University School of Engineering and a senior fellow with the Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Former co-director of Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Principal Investigator for the DHS. (Michael, "The U.S.-China Strategic Relationship," September 2005, http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/2005/Sep/maySep05.asp) However important and beneficial this AND determine which myths are believed. | |
10/03/2012 | KY RR V. GtownTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Kritik1NCIt is a fundamental ontological condition of human beings to have anxiety towards death -~-- the Aff’s response to that ontological anxiety is a drive to action based on scientific rationality that forecloses any discussion of being -~-- their Enframing of the world limits out any ontological questioning and ensures a violent monopoly on truthBurke 7—Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations in the University of New South Wales (Anthony, Theory and Event, Volume 10, Issue 2, 2007, “Ontologies of War: Violence, Existence and Reason,” Project MUSE)
This essay develops a theory about the causes of war -- and thus aims to AND themselves, making them betray not only commitments but their own substance'. 21
This alienation from questions of Being is a condition of modernity and makes all of their impacts inevitable -~-- destroys the condition of Being and ensures planetary destructionCaputo 93 John is a professor of Humanities at Syracuse, founder of weak theology, MA from Villanova, PhD from Bryn Mawr in Philosophy. “Demythologizing Heidegger,” p. 136-141 In his essay "The Thing" Heidegger remarks upon the prospect of a nuclear AND to a more inward, profound, essential, authentic, ontological destruction. Instead we should reorient our reaction to anxiety about finitude by engaging in the fundamental question of Being -~-- we should engage in meditative reflection and ask the question of BeingSwazo 2 Norman is a Professor of Philosophy at the University of Alaska. “Crisis Theory and World Order: Heideggerian Reflections,” p. 12-14 In line with the above thought, I have noted that world order scholars are AND can hope to overcome the destructive proliferation of violently opposing ways of life."
Impact OverviewIn the context of SMRs our attachment to technological thinking turns humanity into a resource and amplifies the likelihood and impact of catastrophic events like Fukushima -~-- rethinking our ontological relationship to nuclear power is essential to bring humanity back from the edge of disasterYoshio 11 (Tsuda Yoshio Sophia University, Organization Staff for Eco-Sophia Symposium. “The essence of today’s “ECO” movement and its twofold dangers ――with Heidegger’s criticism of technology――” http://iwc8-japan.com/proceedings/Parallel.pdf) The town and nuclear power plant destroyed by the earthquake will recover little by little AND then what will our world and ourselves look like? Aren’t they uncanny? If we win their ontological foundation for nuclear policy is flawed there’s a policy DA in their framework -~-- our capacity to predict the result of SMR construction and distribution is impossible and the attempt to rationalize it through hegemony and state-centric notions of absolute truth result in violenceDillon and Reid 2K (Michael, Lecturer at the University of Lancaster and Julian, Lecturer on International Politics at University of London, Alternatives: Social Transformation and Humane Governance, Vol. 25 Iss. 1, January-March) Serial policy failure is no simple shortcoming that science and policy--and policy AND evolved in biophilosophical and biomolecular as well as Foucauldian "biopower" ways.
FrameworkOntological questions are prior to hegemonic epistemologies and problem solving through nuclear techGary Backhaus 9 Phil @ Loyola Maryland, "Automobility: Global Warming as Symptomatology" April 2009, www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/1/2/187url:http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/1/2/187 Gore unwittingly bases his exposition on unwarranted epistemological assumptions that comprise an ordering function in AND us from our environmental degradation while economic expansion continues on its same course. Ontology is a critical starting point to address nuclear proliferation and technologiesMichael Dillon 99, Professor of Politics at the University of Lancaster, 1999, “The Scandal of the Refugee,” in Moral Spaces, p. 96-101 Perhaps the most important development in the history of philosophy in the last hundred years AND as a mode of thought is itself construed and may be further reconstrued.
Ontology precedes epistemology and method questions-~--the 1AC’s epistemology and method can be internally consistent but still based on bad ontological foundations-~--this evaluation’s key to political scienceLiam Stanley 12, Ph.D. Candidate, School of Government and Society, University of Birmingham, May 2012, “Rethinking the Definition and Role of Ontology in Political Science,” Politics, 32 (2 ), 93–99 Discussions regarding the role and purpose of ontology are becoming increasingly prominent within political science AND This is consistent with what I have described as ‘secondorder’ political science. AT Owen
concludes ontological interrogations come before politics of the affOwen 2 David, Reader in Political Theory at the University of Southampton “Reorienting International Relations: On Pragmatism, Pluralism and Practical Reasoning”, Millennium: Journal of International Studies, Vol. 31, No. 3 The first dimension concerns the relationship between positivist IR theory and postmodernist IR ‘theory’ AND Shapiro and Rob Walker is to prevent us from becoming too readily bewitched.
AltThe aff prevents choice in the context of action -~-- proven by the idea that hegemony is the only and necessary system, and SMRs are the KEY tech that can save us -~-- it’s irrefutable because it’s based on science -~-- makes deliberation impossible and militarism inevitableBurke 7—Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations in the University of New South Wales (Anthony, Theory and Event, Volume 10, Issue 2, 2007, “Ontologies of War: Violence, Existence and Reason,” Project MUSE) What I take from Heidegger's argument -- one that I have sought to extend by AND and violence as necessary policy responses, however ineffective, dysfunctional or chaotic. Questioning as such frees us from the Aff’s enframingBurke 7—Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations in the University of New South Wales (Anthony, Theory and Event, Volume 10, Issue 2, 2007, “Ontologies of War: Violence, Existence and Reason,” Project MUSE) The force of my own and Heidegger's analysis does, admittedly, tend towards a AND to end the global rule of insecurity and violence? Will our thought?
Perm AnswerSMRs technological strategy of dominance overwhelms the permThiele 95 Leslie Paul Professor of Political Science at University of Florida Timely Meditations, pgs. 200-201 The Midas touch of technology is ontologically devastating. Its defining characteristic is not simply AND a lost sense of relatedness to the world as a place of boundaries.
DOD AdvantageSquo SolvesStatus quo solves islanding-~--the military figured out their advantage and fixed itMichael Aimone 9-12, Director, Business Enterprise Integration, Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Installations and Environment), 9/12/12, Statement Before the House Committee on Homeland Security, Subcommittee on Cybersecurity, Infrastructure Protection and Security Technologies, http://homeland.house.gov/sites/homeland.house.gov/files/Testimony%20-%20Aimone.pdf DoD’s facility energy strategy is also focused heavily on grid security in the name of AND , to Keesler Air Force Base in Mississippi, to support base recovery. DOD is massively increasing efforts to ensure operational continuity-~--means zero risk of mission interruption during a significant commercial grid outageMichael Aimone 9-12, Director, Business Enterprise Integration, Office of the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense (Installations and Environment), 9/12/12, Statement Before the House Committee on Homeland Security, Subcommittee on Cybersecurity, Infrastructure Protection and Security Technologies, http://homeland.house.gov/sites/homeland.house.gov/files/Testimony%20-%20Aimone.pdf Chairman Lungren and distinguished Members of the Subcommittee. Thank you for the opportunity to AND the challenges to DoD mission assurance that lie far beyond our military bases.
Power Purchasing Not Cause Islanding-~--1NCAlternative financing means utilities-~--not the military-~--own the SMRsGAO 12 – Government Accountability Office, 4/4/12, “IMPROVED GUIDANCE AND INFORMATION SHARING NEEDED FOR DOD PROJECT-LEVEL OFFICIALS,” RPT-NUMBER: GAO-12-401, p. lexis -- Operation and maintenance of equipment. According to several officials, the operation and AND of the equipment, which can be a drawback of these two approaches.
That means the plan doesn’t cause islanding-~--utilities say noAnnie Snider 12, EandE reporter, 1/27/12, “Clean energy doesn't always bring security for military,” http://www.eenews.net/public/Greenwire/2012/01/27/1 Just north of Las Vegas, a shimmering array of solar panels captures energy from the blazing sun to power some of the Air Force's most advanced work, including testing and flying drones. Nellis Air Force Base's 14.2-megawatt solar power plant has been lauded AND federal green-energy mandates but provide little security benefit to the military. Power Purchasing FailsThe private sector won’t fund the RandD necessary to build SMRs-~--the plan’s lack of up-front financing for development costs means nobody builds themMatt Stepp et al. 11, specialist in clean energy innovation at the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation, formerly Fellow at the Breakthrough Institute, et al, May 2011, “Ten Principles for Creating a New U.S. Clean Energy Policy,” http://www.itif.org/files/2011-guiding-principles.pdf RandD is fundamentally the most important part of an effective clean energy innovation AND energy technologies with little hope for dramatic price reductions of next generation innovations. Power purchase isn’t credible to the private sector-~--nobody believes DOD would actually pay inflated prices for a new energy sourceDaniel Sarewitz 12, Co-Director, Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes, Arizona State University; and Samuel Thernstrom Senior Climate Policy Advisor, Clean Air Task Force, March 2012, “Energy Innovation at the Department of Defense: Assessing the Opportunities,” p. 9 Liquid fuels are indispensable for the U.S. military. Nuclear reactors power AND to premature efforts to commercialize technologies that later prove unsustainable or simply uncompetitive. Space AdvantageHege No ImpactNo impactFettweis, 11 Christopher J. Fettweis, Department of Political Science, Tulane University, 9/26/11, Free Riding or Restraint? Examining European Grand Strategy, Comparative Strategy, 30:316–332, EBSCO It is perhaps worth noting that there is no evidence to support a direct relationship AND global policeman. Those who think otherwise base their view on faith alone. No impact to heg-~--decline doesn’t cause conflict, lashout, or draw-in-~--all their studies are wrongPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, “Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment,” International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 How do great powers respond to acute decline? The erosion of the relative power AND none of the declining powers that failed to retrench recovered their relative position. U.S. primacy isn’t key to peace-~--their data is flawedChristopher Preble 10, director of Foreign Policy Studies at the CATO Institute, August 3, 2010, “U.S. Military Power: Preeminence for What Purpose?,” online: http:~/~/www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/ Most in Washington still embraces the notion that America is, and forever will be AND States while the schlubs in fly-over country pick up the tab. ***Other Cards***TFinancial incentives include funding and loan guarantees; procurement is a non-financial incentiveCzinkota et al, 9 - Associate Professor at the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University (Michael, Fundamentals of International Business, p. 69 – google books) Incentives offered by policymakers to facilitate foreign investments are mainly of three types: fiscal AND import quotas, and local content requirements, and investments in infrastructure facilities.
1NRFinancial incentives are distinct from rules and regulations and voluntary measures (and excludes government purchasing)Menz, 5 - Faculty of Economics and Finance, School of Business, Clarkson University, Bertrand H. Snell Hall, Potsdam, NY, also from the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo (CICERO), Norway (Fredric, “Green electricity policies in the United States: case study,” Energy Policy, December, Science Direct) Italics in original
There is considerable variation among states in both their regulatory environments and the policies that AND programs, and other programs to increase market support for renewable energy technologies. Financial incentives laundry list – and distinguishes them from ‘rules, regulations and policies’ – there is another DSIRE card in this file that is shorter and better that makes this argument – but this card provides quite a bit of explanation about existing ‘financial’ incentivesDSIRE, 12 – Database of State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency (Glossary, “Financial Incentives” http://www.dsireusa.org/glossary/) DSIRE organizes incentives and policies that promote renewable energy and energy efficiency into two general AND supported the development of) model wind ordinances for use by local governments. Energy production is exclusively the extraction of energy from its source – excludes conversion and electricity generationSagar 6 Ambuj D. Sagar is a Senior Research Associate in the Science, Technology, and. Public Policy Program at the John F. Kennedy School of Government @ Harvard, Hongyan H. Oliver, and Ananth P. Chikkatur, "Climate Change, Energy, and Developing Countries" Vermont Journal of Environmental LawVolume 7 2005-2006 www.vjel.org/journal/VJEL10041.html The energy sector encompasses activities relating to the production, conversion, and use of AND forms in industrial, residential, commercial, transportation and other end-uses They explode limitsDyson et al 3 - International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (Megan, Flow: The Essentials of Environmental Flows, p. 67-68) Understanding of the term ‘incentives’ varies and economists have produced numerous typologies. A AND these incentives within the realm of economic and fiscal policy is practically limitless.
Add onZero impact to asteroids – either too improbable or too small to matterBennett, 10 James, Eminent Scholar and William P. Snavely Professor of Political Economy and Public Policy at George Mason University, and Director of The John M. Olin Institute for Employment Practice and Policy, “The Chicken Littles of Big Science; or, Here Come the Killer Asteroids!” THE DOOMSDAY LOBBY 2010, 139-185, DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4419-6685-8_6
The smallest falling bodies, those with diameters under a few meters, are of AND of their diversion. 82 This is exactly what the NEO lobby wants.
PxCongress is on track to make a deal to prevent sequestration cuts now-~--Obama’s political capital is key to forge a compromiseWeisman 10/1 Jonathan is a writer at the New York Times. “Leaders at Work on Plan to Avert Mandatory Cuts,” 2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/02/us/senate-leaders-at-work-on-plan-to-avert-fiscal-cliff.html?hpand_r=0 WASHINGTON — Senate leaders are closing in on a path for dealing with the “ AND the deal, deliver the members of his party and sign the bill.” Pushing military energy initiatives poisons the well for fiscal cliff negotiations-~--the link’s unique because green military spending’s been cutJeff Sorenson 9-28, a retired lieutenant general (U.S. Army), is a vice president and partner in A.T. Kearney's defense practice and a former U.S. Army chief information officer, 9/28/12, “Saving energy, saving soldiers' lives,” http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/economy-a-budget/259163-saving-energy-saving-soldiers-lives From biofuels that could propel the Navy’s Great Green Fleet to spending billions of dollars AND make one question the fiscal sense of investing billions on renewable energy projects. Going over the fiscal cliff causes a second great depressionMorici 8/7 Peter, PhD, is a "recognized expert on economic policy and international economics." He is a Professor of International Business at the R.H. Smith School of Business at the University of Maryland. "Fix fiscal cliff now or face next Great Depression," 2012, http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/08/07/fix-fiscal-cliff-now-or-face-next-great-depression/ President Obama and Republicans are engaging in dangerous brinksmanship. Putting off a political solution to the looming “fiscal cliff” until after the election risks a second Great Depression.¶ Without a compromise by January, $400 billion in mandatory spending cuts and more than $100 billion in tax increases will immediately go into effect. With our economy only growing by only $300 billion annually, such a shock would thrust it into a prolonged contraction. Global nuclear warHarris and Burrows 9 Mathew, PhD European History @ Cambridge, counselor of the U.S. National Intelligence Council (NIC) and Jennifer, member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis” http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is AND within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world. CPThe United States Federal Government should substantially increase investment in smart microgrid technology for installations the plan applies to via a diverse portfolio tailored to individual installation circumstances, including non-nuclear renewable energies for on-site generation, increased backup generation capacity, improvements in energy efficiency and energy storage, intelligent local energy management, and accelerated implementation of the SPIDERS project.Smart microgrids solve DOD grid vulnerability-~--the combination of the CP’s mechanisms resolves the problems with each individual componentSERDP 12 – the Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program, DoD’s environmental science and technology program, executed in partnership with DOE and EPA, 7/10/12, “DoD Study Finds Microgrids Offer Improved Energy Security for DoD Installations,” http://www.serdp.org/News-and-Events/News-Announcements/Program-News/DoD-study-finds-microgrids-offer-improved-energy-security-for-DoD-installations Advanced microgrids offer a cost-effective solution to military installations' growing vulnerability to the AND market opportunities for DoD in the area of demand response and ancillary services. The study highlights the extent of ongoing microgrid work across DoD. It identified 44 AND are configured so that they can earn value helping to meet those needs.
SPIDERS will produce effective renewable-based microgrids that guarantee communications and control survive grid outagesRobert K. Ackerman 12, SIGNAL Magazine, February 2012, “Military Energy Enters SPIDERS Web,” http://www.afcea.org/content/?q=node/2877 No man may be an island, but each U.S. military base AND existing assets. Johnson emphasizes that SPIDERS will be energy-source agnostic. DOD AdvTurnDOD pursuit of SMRs sends a global signal of impending U.S. military aggression-~--causes resentment against U.S. unilateralismTerrence P. Smith 11, program coordinator and research assistant with the William E. Simon Chair in Political Economy at the CSIS, February 16, 2011, “An Idea I Can Do Without: “Small Nuclear Reactors for Military Installations,”” http://csis.org/blog/idea-i-can-do-without-small-nuclear-reactors-military-installations The report repeatedly emphasizes the point that “DOD’s “’first mover’ pursuit of small AND for the most part, “caught between the drawing board and production.” My point is, maybe that is where they should stay.
The U.S. is pursuing a grand strategy of multilateral legitimacy now-~--perception of a swing back toward unilateral military primacy collapses hegKevin Fujimoto 12, Lt. Colonel, U.S. Army, January 11, 2012, “Preserving U.S. National Security Interests Through a Liberal World Construct,” online: http:~/~/www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Preserving-US-National-Security-Interests-Liberal-World-Construct/2012/1/11url:http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/index.cfm/articles/Preserving-US-National-Security-Interests-Liberal-World-Construct/2012/1/11 The emergence of peer competitors, not terrorism, presents the greatest long-term AND protect its interests later when we are no longer the world's only superpower.
Long TFThe Air Force already tried to get companies to build SMRs-~--they concluded tech’s a decade awayKate Anderson 10, Senior Engineer in the Integrated Applications Office, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2/1/10, “SMALL NUCLEAR REACTORS,” https://smr.inl.gov/Document.ashx?path=DOCS%2FReading+Room%2Fgeneral%2FNuclear+White+Paper+by+NREL+020110.pdf Small nuclear reactors were originally developed for defense applications. The US Navy began developing AND is 12 to 14 years away from building such a power plant.7 Impact DNo SCS impactCreehan 12 – Senior Editor of the SAIS Review of International Affairs (Sean, “Assessing the Risks of Conflict in the South China Sea,” Winter/Spring, SAIS Review, Vol. 32, No. 1) Regarding Secretary Clinton’s first requirement, the risk of actual closure of the South China AND conflict are so great that significant changes to the status quo are unlikely.
No chance of warTT 11—official website of the Philadelphia Trumpet newsmagazine (The Trumpet, Taiwan’s Strides Toward China Accelerate, http://www.thetrumpet.com/?q=7808.6407.0.0) Ma = Taiwanese PM Ma explained that since people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait share common ancestry AND , all of the duties on those goods will come down to zero. Also on the same day, in an indication of strengthening cultural ties, Taiwan’s Education Ministry announced that the island’s universities will admit their first batch of Chinese students this year.
Korea AdvGradualism-~--1NCThe U.S. nuclear industry is focused on licensing for existing reactor designs now-~--that’s key to restart the U.S. nuclear base-~--switching their focus to new reactor designs collapses the system learning that’s key to the industry’s revivalDan O’Connor 10, Policy Fellow in the New Energy Leaders Project at Americans for Energy Leadership, 12/16/10, “Putting the Cart Before the Horse with Nuclear Research,” http://leadenergy.org/2010/12/putting-the-cart-before-the-horse-with-nuclear-rd/ If the Senate receives the Nuclear Energy Research and Development Act of 2010 with the AND the badly-needed testing and reform of the certification and licensing processes. Italics in original SMRs will be developed slowly in the status quo-~--the plan speeds up the process which causes Fukushima-style accidentsUcilia Wang 12, renewable energy and green tech journalist for Forbes, 1/20/12, “Feds To Finance Small Nuclear Reactor Designs,” online: http:~/~/www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/http://www.forbes.com/sites/uciliawang/2012/01/20/feds-to-finance-small-nuclear-reactor-designs/print/ The U.S. Department of Energy on Friday announced a plan to support AND that nuclear power should remain an important part of the country’s energy mix. Rushing SMR tech causes global diffusion of dangerous, accident-prone reactors-~--turns the whole caseSonja Schmid 11 is an assistant professor in Science and Technology Studies at Virginia Tech, and Ross Carper, a writer based in Washington state, is the founding editor of the creative nonfiction project BeyondtheBracelet.com, Summer 2011, “The Little Reactor that Could?,” Issues in Science and Technology, http://www.issues.org/27.4/carper.html Our foray into the light-water approaches coalesced in one question: Does inertia AND nuclear liability framework? Questions like these are not easy ones to answer.” AT: North KoreaSquo BMD systems are enough to deter North KoreaTetsuya 2 (Umemoto, Professor @ Shizuoka-Kenritsu University, “Japan-US Cooperation in Ballistic Missile Defense,” March 27-28, http://cns.miis.edu/archive/cns/programs/dc/track2/2nd/tet.pdf)
By way of summary, Japanese ballistic missile defense (BMD) systems including upper AND the control of ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons in the former Soviet Union. North Korea won’t attack- even if they did it wouldn’t escalateSwami 10- Diplomatic editor of telegraph.co.uk (Praveen, “Why North Korean strike will not trigger world war three,”11/23/10, http:~/~/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/8154274/html(% style="font-size:7.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt;mso-bidi-font-family:"Arabic Typesetting"" %),) South Korea is one of the engines of Asian prosperity, on which the world's AND Kashmir in 1999, a year after both countries tested their nuclear weapons.
| |
10/06/2012 | Rd 1 KYTournament: Ky | Round: 1 | Opponent: James Madison | Judge: Hester ASPECAgency discussions are essential to education about energy policyValentine 10 Scott Victor Valentine - Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore, "Canada’s constitutional separation of (wind) power" Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421509009227 instrument development is merited. CP1NCThe United States federal government should establish a cap-and-trade system for carbon emissions in the United States. The federal government should reduce the corporate income tax and business capital-gains taxesThe United States federal government should phase out all energy subsidies.Targeting specific industries and technology fails—-cap and trade is key to market-based solutions that solve the case betterMorris et al 12 Adele C. Morris, Fellow and Deputy Director of the. Climate and Energy Economics project at Brookings, Pietro S. Nivola, Charles Schultze, Brookings Scholars, "CLEAN ENERGY:REVISITING THE CHALLENGES OF INDUSTRIAL POLICY" June 4 www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/6/04%20clean%20energy%20morris%20nivola%20schultze/04_clean_energy_morris_nivola_schultze.pdf will succeed in deploying new technologies. Subsidy and incentive elimination levels the playing field—-allows a free market approach to energy policyWSJ 12 "The Energy Subsidy Tally" Aug 18 lexis energy plan that makes sense. The aff cannot solve—-neg on presumptionLovins 10 AMORY B. LOVINS is Chair and Chief Scientist of Rocky Mountain Institute "Nuclear Socialism" Weekly Standard, VOL. 16, NO. 06 Oct 25 www.weeklystandard.com/articles/nuclear-socialism_508830.html?page=1 three years, capacity for two. Incentives cause government dependence and undermines incentives for innovationLoris 11 Nicolas Loris is an analyst in the Heritage Foundation’s Roe Institute of Economic Policy Studies. "Power Down the Subsidies to Energy Producers" Aug 3 www.heritage.org/research/commentary/2011/08/power-down-the-subsidies-to-energy-producers are those that cannot compete without them. Solves great power warBaru 9 Sanjaya is a Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School in Singapore Geopolitical Implications of the Current Global Financial Crisis, Strategic Analysis, Volume 33, Issue 2 March 2009 , pages 163 – 168 sustain economic growth and military power. Solvency—-Nuclear—-2NCSpurs nuclearTucker 12 William, prominent published write on nuclear energy, "WILLIAM TUCKER: Should Nuclear Support a Carbon Tax?" Sept 4 www.nucleartownhall.com/blog/william-tucker-should-nuclear-support-a-carbon-tax/ the nuclear construction effort. Overview—-2NCThe CP solves the case, their methodology is suspect, and the plan’s winner picking will cause a fannie and Freddie explosion in the energy sectorBoskin 12 Michael J. Boskin, is Professor of Economics at Stanford University and Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, and a former chairman of the US President’s Council of Economic Advisers. "PICKING LOSERS, KILLING WINNERS" www.stanford.edu/~boskin/Publications/boskin%20wsj%2002%2015%202012%20industrial%20policy%20-%20long.pdf bad an idea today. Nuclear—-2NCNuclear investments cause uncompetitive frankensteins that spur speculative bubbles and energy-sector collapse—-also jacks solvency which means neg on presumptionLovins 10 AMORY B. LOVINS is Chair and Chief Scientist of Rocky Mountain Institute "Nuclear Socialism" Weekly Standard, VOL. 16, NO. 06 Oct 25 www.weeklystandard.com/articles/nuclear-socialism_508830.html?page=1 , yet so costly they need subsidies of 100 percent or more. And, short-term benefits will crash in the long term—-sets the industry back and creates fodder for anti-nuclear critics which causes a backlashSpencer 8 Jack Spencer, Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies @ Heritage, "A Free-Market Approach to Managing Used Nuclear Fuel," June 23, http://www.heritage.org/research/energyandenvironment/bg2149.cfm progress in the private sector. Nuclear loan guarantees distort the market and cripple competitiveness by causing dependenceSpencer 9 Jack Spencer, Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies @ The Heritage Foundation, "The Problem with Increasing Energy Loan Guarantees," 2/6 http://www.heritage.org/Research/EnergyandEnvironment/wm2277.cfm are inviting government dependence. The distort market forces by driving capital away from competitive projects while undermining innovation incentivesSpencer 9 Jack Spencer, Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies @ The Heritage Foundation, "The Problem with Increasing Energy Loan Guarantees," 2/6 http://www.heritage.org/Research/EnergyandEnvironment/wm2277.cfm long-term competitiveness. That turns solvencySpencer 9 Jack Spencer, Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies @ The Heritage Foundation, "The Problem with Increasing Energy Loan Guarantees," 2/6 http://www.heritage.org/Research/EnergyandEnvironment/wm2277.cfm not promote growth, innovation, or competition. KYou should prioritize questions of epistemology—-in the context of economics the knowledge-production process is more important than the outcomesAnderson 89 Thomas, Libertarian Alliance, "Economics and Knowledge" Economic Notes No. 21 www.libertarian.co.uk/lapubs/econn/econn021.pdf isolate, present and check your fundamental premises. The affirmative forecloses the ability of markets and human ingenuity to solve the impacts they invoke—-fatal conceit in the context of energy policy makes their impacts inevitable and cause policy failureRobinson 8 Colin, Institute of Economic Affairs "Climate Change Policy: Challenging the Activists," http://www.iea.org.uk/files/upld-book440pdf?.pdf were still lower in real terms than in 1980.3 This is an a priori voting issue—-sound economic epistemology is key to the efficacy of all social and political praxes—-accesses every impactReisman 96 George, Pepperdine University Professor Emeritus of Economics, Capitalism: A Treatise on Economics, http://www.capitalism.net/Capitalism/Economics%20and%20Capitalism.htm of Western food and medical supplies. Elections1NCObama will win now but it’s closeBeaumont 9/30 Thomas is a writer for the Associated Press. "Obama Would Win If Election Held Today: AP," 2012, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/30/obama-election-2012-romney_n_1926620.html aggressively. Time, though, is running out. Advocating nuclear would be election suicide for Obama—-he’s backing off it nowLevine 9/7 Gregg is a contributing editor and former managing editor of Firedoglake. "Obama Drops Nuclear from Energy Segment of Convention Speech," 2012, http://capitoilette.com/2012/09/07/obama-drops-nuclear-from-energy-segment-of-convention-speech/ nuclear power is political deadweight. That swings the electionSeattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html and neck until November. Romney causes massive foreign backlash and nuclear wars globallyBandow 12 Doug is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute. "Mitt Romney: The Foreign Policy of Know-Nothingism," 5/15, http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism-http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism know-nothing president OverviewConceded internal link to Romney bashing China – no new internal link answers – causes a trade warPalmer 12 Doug is a Reuters trade reporter. "Romney would squeeze China on currency manipulation-adviser," Mar 27, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/28/us-usa-romney-china-idUSBRE82Q0ZS20120328 not pushed for a House vote on the currency bill. That causes full-scale war – turns the caseLandy 7 ~Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, National Journal, and Government Executive magazines April 3, 2007, http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/~~%23comments-http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/,~ increases in military budgets and anti-satellite tests. Conceded Bandow says causes Romney causes Afghan and Pakistan destabilizationNuclear warCarafano 10 – James Jay is a senior research fellow for national security at The Heritage Foundation and directs its Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, "Con: Obama must win fast in Afghanistan or risk new wars across the globe," Jan 2 http://gazettextra.com/news/2010/jan/02/con-obama-must-win-fast-afghanistan-or-risk-new-wa/ of defending the interests of its nations. Romney win causes economic collapseMiller 6/4 Rich is a writer at Bloomberg, citing Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate Economist. "Nobel Winner Stiglitz Sees More Recession Odds in Romney," 2012, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-04/nobel-winner-stiglitz-sees-more-recession-odds-in-romney.html-http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-04/nobel-winner-stiglitz-sees-more-recession-odds-in-romney.html to stimulate the economy," Stiglitz said. Uniqueness WallMore warrants:a) Most recent polls in Ohio and swing statesNBC 10/1 "2012: Obama maintains his lead," 2012, http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/01/14168992-2012-obama-maintains-his-lead , and upend Obama in either Ohio or Iowa." b) Silver agrees – post debate – the plan pushes Romney to winNate Silver, you know who he is, 10-4-2012, "Polls Show a Strong Debate for Romney," NYT, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/04/polls-show-a-strong-debate-for-romney/~~%23more-35501 presidential debate next week and then two more presidential debates on Oct. 16 and Oct. 22. Prefer Nate SilverLB 10 Leigh Bureau, the world’s preeminent lecture bureau, "Nate Silver," 2010, http://www.leighbureau.com/speaker.asp?id=498 and the District of Columbia. National polls are more accurate than swing state pollsBernstein 12 Jonathan, Political Scientist who contributes to the Washington Post, Star Tribune, 6/9, http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y-http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y find out what’s really going on. Link DebateBuilding new plants angers everyone—-independents, the base, and womenCooper and Sussman 11 Michael and Dalia are writers for the New York Times. "Nuclear Power Loses Support in New Poll," 3/22, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/23/us/23poll.html-http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/23/us/23poll.html that a nuclear accident could occur in the United States. The plan’s explosive with the public – Fukushima had a chilling effectCSI 12 Civil Society Institute. "SURVEY: AMERICANS NOT WARMING UP TO NUCLEAR POWER ONE YEAR AFTER FUKUSHIMA," 3/7, http://www.civilsocietyinstitute.org/media/030712release.cfm was little changed from the 53 percent level seen in the March 2011 survey. Fukushima means nuclear’s unpopular – our ev cites momentum-also says the only people who do support nuclear are in demographics Obama’s not going after if they expect to gain the trust of Americans." The public strongly opposes loan guarantees for nuclearDaily Kos 6/5 "Nuclear Power and Public Opinion: What the polls say," 2012, http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/06/05/1097574/-Nuclear-Power-and-Public-Opinion-What-the-polls-say strongly" holding that opinion both years. AT: Environmentalists Pissed/Voting for ObamaThe environmental base is key to swing Obama over the edge—-they’re on board now but could swingBloomberg 11 Mark Drajem and Jim Efstathiou Jr. "Green Vote Cools Toward Obama Risking A Replay Of Gore-Nader," Aug 30, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-31/green-vote-cools-to-obama-over-pipeline-concerns.html to be re- elected. It’s as simple as that." Alienating the green base depresses youth turnout – key to reelectionGeman 11 Ben is an environment and energy writer for The Hill. "Obama faces big green tests in 2012," 8/20, http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/177607-obama-faces-big-green-tests-heading-into-2012 George Washington University. Energy KeyEnergy is the KEY issueNJ 11 (National Journal, "Perry — Like Obama — Touts Questionable Job Gains in Energy Plan," 10/14, Lexis) or green-energy bills made it through Congress — nor are they likely to as long as Republicans control one chamber. AT: Florida/Latino Link TurnSwing states don’t matter – overall support is key and Latinos aren’t keyBernstein 12 Jonathan, Political Scientist who contributes to the Washington Post, Star Tribune, 6/9, http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y-http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y much difference. Woman are key in swing states and the overall electionBeaumont 7/30 Thomas is a writer for the Associated Press. "Election 2012: In swing states, women seen as a key to victory," 2012, http://www.pressherald.com/news/nationworld/in-swing-states-women-seen-as-a-key-to-victory_2012-07-28.html Both the Democratic president AND the White House. EconPower plants don’t create enough jobsTucker 8/16/12 – the author of Terrestrial Energy: How Nuclear Power Will Lead the Green Revolution and End America’s Energy Odyssey (William, "Nuclear’s Problem — Too Much Energy, Not Enough Jobs," Nuclear Townhall, http://www.nucleartownhall.com/blog/william-tucker-nuclear%E2%80%99s-problem-%E2%80%94-too-much-energy-not-enough-jobs/-http://www.nucleartownhall.com/blog/william-tucker-nuclear%E2%80%99s-problem-%E2%80%94-too-much-energy-not-enough-jobs/) So there you have it. America’s energy future is a AND only good at producing energy. Even massive economic decline has zero chance of warRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 , it will not make war thinkable. Royal cites a few warrantsFirst — Diversionary theory —- it’s wrongBoehmer, 07 – political science professor at the University of Texas (Charles, Politics %26 Policy, 35:4, "The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict") both events occurring in the same year.3 Next is collapse of trade —- but trade doesn’t solve warMay 5—Professor Emeritus (Research) in the Stanford University School of Engineering and a senior fellow with the Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Former co-director of Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Principal Investigator for the DHS. (Michael, "The U.S.-China Strategic Relationship," September 2005, http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/2005/Sep/maySep05.asp) However important and beneficial this AND they determine which myths are believed. And collapse of trade doesn’t cause warBremmer 9—IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford. (Ian, "The Political Risks From Washington," 24 March 2009, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/03/top_five_risks_and_a_red_herri.html) There is one serious risk I think we can AND against interconnectedness, trade, or global supply chains. Third Terrorism —- no scenarioMueller 8/2—IR prof at Ohio State. PhD in pol sci from UCLA (2 August 2011, John, The Truth about Al Qaeda, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68012/john-mueller/the-truth-about-al-qaeda?page=show) stands at one in 3.5 million per year, even with 9/11 included. Forth —- Miscalc —- there’s no scenario for miscalculationQuinlan 9—distinguished frmr British defence strategist and former Permanent Under-Secretary of State. (Michael, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, 63-9) Even if initial nuclear use did not quickly AND this way belongs to science fiction. NuclearNo nuclear labor shortage – new agreement to use ex-NavyWorld Nuclear News, 8-23-2012, "More options open for US workforce," WNN, http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NP-More_options_open_for_US_workforce-2308127.html the Navy and the nation," he said. Status quo programs will fill the nuclear skills gapGlobalData, 7-11-2012, "The US Must Foster Nuclear Education to Support the Industry," http://www.globaldata.com/PressReleaseDetails.aspx?PRID=245%26Type=Industry%26Title=Nuclear+Energy workforce", Jennifer Santos, GlobalData’s Head Consultant observed. New proliferators will build small arsenals which are uniquely stable.Seng 98 (Jordan, PhD Candidate in Pol. Sci. – U. Chicago, Dissertation, "Strategy for Pandora’s Children: Stable Nuclear Proliferation Among Minor States", p. 203-206) However, this "state of affairs" is not as AND launched without a definite, informed and unambiguous decision to press that button. Uncertainty solves war reaction of other nuclear powers."28 Prolif will be slowTepperman 9 Deputy Editor at Newsweek. Frmr Deputy Managing Editor, Foreign Affairs. LLM, i-law, NYU. MA, jurisprudence, Oxford. (Jonathan, Why Obama Should Learn to Love the Bomb, http://jonathantepperman.com/Welcome_files/nukes_Final.pdf) The risk of an arms race—with, say, other AND tend to mellow behavior. Prolif decreases war and encourages rationalitySimon Shen, IR prof @ Hong Kong Inst. Of Ed., 2011, "Have Nuclear Weapons Made the DPRK a Rogue State?" J. of Comparative Asian Development, v. 10, iss. 2, t%26f mere purpose of interest maximization. ChinaUS is still the nuclear tech leaderPete Domenici 12, senator and Warren Miller, co-chair of Nuclear Initiative, former DOE Assist. Sec., July 2012, "Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets," Bipartisan Policy Center fuel-cycle issues. Conditions have changed—US and China can coexistKissinger 12 – Chair of Kissinger Associates and a former U.S. Secretary of State and National Security Adviser (Henry A., "The Future of U.S.-Chinese Relations: Conflict Is a Choice, Not a Necessity," March/April, Foreign Affairs, Vol. 91, No. 2, Proquest) such as the United States. No chance of warTT 11—official website of the Philadelphia Trumpet newsmagazine (The Trumpet, Taiwan’s Strides Toward China Accelerate, http://www.thetrumpet.com/?q=7808.6407.0.0) of Chinese students this year. AT: Indo-PakNo warTurkish Weekly 6/28 (28 July 2011, India and Pakistan Pledge ’New Spirit of Cooperation’, http://www.turkishweekly.net/news/120330/india-and-pakistan-pledge-39-new-spirit-of-cooperation-39-.html) The foreign ministers of India and Pakistan AND building measures. AT: Japan MilMultiple barriers to nukesChanlett-Avery %26 Nikitin, 09 – *Specialist in Asian Affairs AND Analyst in Nonproliferation at the Congressional Research Service (2/19/09, Emma and Mary Beth, "Japan’s Nuclear Future: Policy Debate, Prospects and U.S. Interests," http://www.nautilus.org/fora/security/09024CRS.pdf, JMP) This paper examines the prospects for Japan AND its traditional approach is analyzed. AT: East Asian StabilityMultiple factors make Asia war unlikelyVannarith 10—Executive Director of the Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and Peace. PhD in Asia Pacific Studies, Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific U (Chheang, Asia Pacific Security Issues: Challenges and Adaptive Mechanism, http://www.cicp.org.kh/download/CICP%20Policy%20brief/CICP%20Policy%20brief%20No%203.pdf-http://www.cicp.org.kh/download/CICP Policy brief/CICP Policy brief No 3.pdf) improved in this region. Solvency1NC SQ Loan Guarantees SolveStatus quo loan guarantees are enough – current levels for new nuclear haven’t been used upPamir Wang, "Federal Clean Energy Loan Guarantees," 2011, Non Proliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/file/ure%20Risk-Chapter%201.pdf the facts against loan guarantees will resonate. 1NC Expansion ImpossibleNuclear expansion impossible – laundry list of supply and siting constraintsLisa Zyga, 5-11-2011, "Why nuclear power will never supply the world’s energy needs," PhysOrg, http://phys.org/news/2011-05-nuclear-power-world-energy.html fusion is still likely a long way off. 2NC Ext – Uranium ShortageZyga evidence cites two reasons they can’t solve Uranium shortages inevitable now – global demand and low-grade oreMatthew Wild, freelance journalist, 2010, "Its worse than you think," Peak Generation, http://peakgeneration.blogspot.com/p/global-hydrocarbons-peak.html Association said in a 2009 report. 1NC – Cheap NGNuclear can’t be cost competitive with NG – even subsidies aren’t enoughHolbert Janson 12, 2-21-2012, "Rethinking the Nuclear Energy Renaissance," Energy Collective, http://theenergycollective.com/node/77122-http://theenergycollective.com/node/77122 remainder of the %2414billion+ price tag. Default DALoan guarantees distort market signals and end up in defaultPamir Wang, "Federal Clean Energy Loan Guarantees," 2011, Non Proliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/file/ure%20Risk-Chapter%201.pdf are already substantial risks in the government’s portfolio. | |
10/06/2012 | Rd 3 KYTournament: KY | Round: 3 | Opponent: Arizona St | Judge: Waste CP1NCTEXT: The United States Federal Government should develop laser launchers for nuclear waste disposalIt can handle wasteKare, PhD in Astrophysics, 90 ~Jordin T. Kare, "GROUND-TO-ORBITLASER PROPULSION ADVANCED APPLICATIONS" www.osti.gov/bridge/servlets/purl/6203669-Uxrfwv/6203669.pdf~ launched is constant and the reliability is high. The CP is cheap, efficient, safe, and feasible—prototype technologies have been used in the past.Coopersmith, professor of history, 5—associate professor of history at Texas A%26M University, specializes in the history of technology and the history of Russia ~August 22, 2005, Jonathan Coopersmith, "Nuclear waste in space?" http://www.thespacereview.com/article/437/1~~ the possibility of something going wrong. US is still the nuclear tech leaderPete Domenici 12, senator and Warren Miller, co-chair of Nuclear Initiative, former DOE Assist. Sec., July 2012, "Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets," Bipartisan Policy Center aspects of international fuel-cycle issues. Aff is necessary but not sufficient to remedy US nuclear leadership – multi-prong strategy is criticalTimothy A. Frazier 11, Blue Ribbon Comm. On America’s Nuclear Future, 7-29-2011, "Draft Report to the Secretary of Energy," http://cybercemetery.unt.edu/archive/brc/20120620231124/http://brc.gov/sites/default/files/documents/brc_draft_report_29jul2011_0.pdf-http://cybercemetery.unt.edu/archive/brc/20120620231124/http://brc.gov/sites/default/files/documents/brc_draft_report_29jul2011_0.pdf , and security concerns. Nuclear leadership fails—-U.S. won’t exercise it, agency competition constrains it, and it doesn’t cause other states to change behaviorRichard Cleary 12, Research Assistant at the American Enterprise Institute, 8/13/12, "Persuading Countries to Forgo Nuclear Fuel-Making: What History Suggests," http://npolicy.org/article.php?aid=1192%26tid=30 considering fuel-making, can be influential. ElectionsUniquenessObama will win now but it’s closeBeaumont 9/30 Thomas is a writer for the Associated Press. "Obama Would Win If Election Held Today: AP," 2012, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/30/obama-election-2012-romney_n_1926620.html aggressively. Time, though, is running out. a) Silver agrees post-debate that Obama’s winning swing statesSilver 10/4 Nate is head of NYT’s 538 blog. "Oct. 3: Romney’s Electoral Challenge, and More on Debate Instant Polls," 2012, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/04/oct-3-romneys-electoral-challenge-and-more-on-debate-instant-polls/ totaling 275 electoral votes: Prefer Nate SilverLB 10 Leigh Bureau, the world’s preeminent lecture bureau, "Nate Silver," 2010, http://www.leighbureau.com/speaker.asp?id=498 and the District of Columbia. b) Intrade votes negCraft 9/30 Matthew is a writer for the Associated Press. "Investors prepare for Obama victory, more expensive gridlock," 2012, http://marketday.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/30/14143239-investors-prepare-for-obama-victory-more-expensive-gridlock?lite percent at the start of September. Prefer IntradeTierney 8 John is a politics writer for the New York Times. "Bettors Beat Pundits," Nov 24, http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/24/bettors-beat-pundits/ , James Carville and Alex Castellanos. ====The way Romney won the debate means it won’t have an impact—-historics prove==== American presidential debates. AT: Nevada Link TurnNo uniqueness – Obama’s ahead in NevadaFlatt 10/6 David, "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: October 6, 2012", 2012, www.examiner.com/article/daily-presidential-tracking-poll-october-6-2012 finished their presidential poll for Nevada on October 3, 2012. Swing states don’t matter – overall support is keyBernstein 12 Jonathan, Political Scientist who contributes to the Washington Post, Star Tribune, 6/9, http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y-http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y much difference. National polls are more accurate than swing state pollsBernstein 12 Jonathan, Political Scientist who contributes to the Washington Post, Star Tribune, 6/9, http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y-http://m.startribune.com/opinion/?id=158323795%26c=y find out what’s really going on. Link DebateAdvocating nuclear would be election suicide for Obama—-he’s backing off it nowLevine 9/7 Gregg is a contributing editor and former managing editor of Firedoglake. "Obama Drops Nuclear from Energy Segment of Convention Speech," 2012, http://capitoilette.com/2012/09/07/obama-drops-nuclear-from-energy-segment-of-convention-speech/ nuclear power is political deadweight. That swings the electionSeattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html neck and neck until November. Obama’s ahead in FloridaFarrington 10/6 Brendan, 2012, www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20121006/us-florida-gop-region/ County essential to his overall strategy. The plan’s unpopular – expense concerns and angers environmentalistsKoenig 11 Robert is a Beacon Washington correspondent. "From Yucca to reprocessing, nuclear waste options spark hot debates," 3/29, https://www.stlbeacon.org/~~%23%21/content/16591/from_yucca_to_reprocessing_nuclear_waste_options_spark_hot_debates_ liquid radioactive waste into the English Channel. The Court ruling on waste confidence makes spent fuel highly visible to the public—-they’re scared of waste’s environmental impactWill Davis 12, Atomic Power Review, 6/10/12, "DFRP Concept: A fresh approach to national waste storage," http://atomicpowerreview.blogspot.com/2012/06/dfrp-concept-fresh-approach-to-national.html for spent nuclear fuel off the site of nuclear plant owner-operators will finally have to be completed. Angry voter theory means that backlash will be more salient than any gainsHarpuder 3 Brian, PhD in Philosophy at Ohio State University. "Electoral behavior in U.S. senate elections, a simultaneous choice model," http://etd.ohiolink.edu/send-pdf.cgi/Harpuder%20Brian%20Eric.pdf?osu1069347453 are also shown to have a limited impact on electoral behavior. AT: Economy/Jobs Link TurnNo turns - Obama gets blame for wasteful spending but won’t get credit for improvements in economy and jobsSkelley 12 Geoffrey is a political analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. "Unemployment Update: Who Gets the Credit?" May 23rd, http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/unemployment-update-who-gets-the-credit/ . In this close election, Obama has little margin for error. ImpactsRomney causes massive foreign backlash and nuclear wars globallyBandow 12 Doug is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute. "Mitt Romney: The Foreign Policy of Know-Nothingism," 5/15, http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism-http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism another know-nothing president. ExtinctionAllison 11 (Graham, 10/30, Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, "10 reasons why Russia still matters," http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=161EF282-72F9-4D48-8B9C-C5B3396CA0E6) U.N. Security Council resolutions. Nuclear warCarafano 10 – James Jay is a senior research fellow for national security at The Heritage Foundation and directs its Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, "Con: Obama must win fast in Afghanistan or risk new wars across the globe," Jan 2 http://gazettextra.com/news/2010/jan/02/con-obama-must-win-fast-afghanistan-or-risk-new-wa/ of defending the interests of its nations. HC ImpactRomney win causes healthcare repealKlein 6/29 Ezra Klein is a political columnist for the Washington Post, Bloomberg, and MSNBC. "If Romney wins, he can repeal health reform. And he should." 2012, http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/06/29/if-romney-wins-he-can-repeal-health-reform-and-he-should/ a central campaign promise. Healthcare’s key to prevent bioterror attacks from escalatingGreen 4 ("Bioterrorism and Health Care Reform : No Preparedness Without Access" Shane K PhD. is Program Leader in Ethics Interim Program and Leader in Commercialization McLaughlin-Rotman Centre for Global Health http://virtualmentor.ama-assn.org/2004/05/pfor2-0405.html) care system altogether due to mistrust or language barriers ~7~. Bioweapons cause extinctionOchs 2 | Past president of the Aberdeen Proving Ground Superfund Citizens Coalition, Member of the Depleted Uranium Task force of the Military Toxics Project, and M of the Chemical Weapons Working Group ~Richard Ochs, , June 9, 2002, "Biological Weapons Must Be Abolished Immediately," http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html-http://www.freefromterror.net/other_articles/abolish.html~~ US bioweapons? How slippery is this slope? ASPECAgency discussions are essential to education about energy policyValentine 10 Scott Victor Valentine - Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore, "Canada’s constitutional separation of (wind) power" Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421509009227 instrument development is merited. FederalismFederalism is being decided now through energy policy—-the plan reverses moves towards the statesKay 12 (David, Cornell Community and Regional Development Institute, "Energy Federalism: Who Decides?", July, http://devsoc.cals.cornell.edu/cals/devsoc/outreach/cardi/programs/loader.cfm?csModule=security/getfile%26PageID=1071714) to their mostly urban points of consumption. Federalism solves hegNivola 10 (Pietro, The American Interest, "Rebalancing American Federalism", March/April, http://www.the-american-interest.com/article-bd.cfm?piece=787) less chance of mitigating such tragedies. Heg solves warBarnett 11 (Thomas P.M., Former Senior Strategic Researcher and Professor in the Warfare Analysis %26 Research Department, Center for Naval Warfare Studies, U.S. Naval War College American military geostrategist and Chief Analyst at Wikistrat., worked as the Assistant for Strategic Futures in the Office of Force Transformation in the Department of Defense, "The New Rules: Leadership Fatigue Puts U.S., and Globalization, at Crossroads," March 7 http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads-http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads) stage for the Pacific Century now unfolding. States CPTEXT: The fifty states and relevant territories of the United States should provide an investment tax credit equivalent to twenty-percent of federal tax for the deployment of domestic nuclear fuel recyclingStates solveNEI 9 (Nuclear Energy Institute, "Policies That Support New Nuclear Power Plant Development", http://www.nei.org/resourcesandstats/documentlibrary/newplants/factsheet/policiessupportnewplantdevelopment/?print=true) the cost of electricity for consumers lower. Econ AdvResource WarsNo risk of resource wars—-historical evidence all concludes neg—-cooperation is way more likely and solvesJeremy Allouche 11 is currently a Research Fellow at the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex. "The sustainability and resilience of global water and food systems: Political analysis of the interplay between security, resource scarcity, political systems and global trade" Food PolicyVolume 36, Supplement 1, January 2011, Pages S3-S8 Accessed via: Science Direct Sciverse thin (~Barnett and Adger, 2007~ and ~Kevane and Gray, 2008~). Resource wars won’t escalateDombrowski 4 – associate professor, US Naval War College’s Strategic Research Department (Peter, Naval War College Review, http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0JIW/is_1_57/ai_113755359/print) much more energy efficient since the oil shock of the 1970s. War Debate1NCEven massive economic decline has zero chance of warRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 conflict, it will not make war thinkable. 2NCFirst — Diversionary theory —- it’s wrongBoehmer, 07 – political science professor at the University of Texas (Charles, Politics %26 Policy, 35:4, "The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict") , or both events occurring in the same year.3 Next is collapse of trade —- but trade doesn’t solve warMay 5—Professor Emeritus (Research) in the Stanford University School of Engineering and a senior fellow with the Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Former co-director of Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Principal Investigator for the DHS. (Michael, "The U.S.-China Strategic Relationship," September 2005, http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/2005/Sep/maySep05.asp) However important and beneficial this AND determine which myths are believed. And collapse of trade doesn’t cause warBremmer 9—IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford. (Ian, "The Political Risks From Washington," 24 March 2009, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/03/top_five_risks_and_a_red_herri.html) There is one serious risk I think we can AND interconnectedness, trade, or global supply chains. Forth —- Miscalc —- there’s no scenario for miscalculationQuinlan 9—distinguished frmr British defence strategist and former Permanent Under-Secretary of State. (Michael, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, 63-9) in this way belongs to science fiction. Prefer our evPrefer our authors – their evidence is biased by economic Stockholm syndromeDornbrook, 10 – Reporter for the Kansas City Business Journal, Citing Brian Wesbury – Chief Economist for First Trust Advisors and Author (James, "Economist: Ongoing rebound gives reason for optimism", January 8th 2010, May 21st 2010, http://kansascity.bizjournals.com/kansascity/stories/2010/01/04/daily46.html) 2009 and that recovery is under way, he said. War DAGrowth causes warTrainer 2 Senior Lecturer of School of Social Work @ University of New South Wales (Ted, If You Want Affluence, Prepare for War, Democracy %26 Nature, Vol. 8, No. 2, EBSCO) rich countries move to ’The Simpler Way’. ExtinctionChase-Dunn 96 Distinguished Professor of Sociology and Director of the Institute for Research on World-Systems at the University of (Christopher, Conflict Among Core States: World-System Cycles and Trends, 23 January 1996, http://wsarch.ucr.edu/archive/papers/c-d%26hall/warprop.htm) Sweat call this the "resource theory of war." Sustainability/AltCollapse Inevitable 1NCEconomic collapse inevitable —- now’s better than laterMacKenzie 8 ~Debora, Are We Doomed, New Scientist, Vol. 197 Issue 2650, p32-35, 4p, 4 May 2005, EBSCO) run this cannot be sustainable. Collapse InevComplexity means quick collapse is net-better for human welfare even if they win their offense—-delay magnifies environmental and human impactsVail 5 – Jeff Vail, attorney at Davis Graham %26 Stubbs LLP in Denver, Colorado specializing in litigation and energy issues, former intelligence officer with the US Air Force and energy infrastructure counterterrorism specialist with the US Department of the Interior, April 28, 2005, "The Logic of Collapse," online: http://www.jeffvail.net/2005/04/logic-of-collapse.html civilization, things will be different"? Only collapse now ensures there’s enough natural resources and ecosystem resilience left to create sustainable societies—-delay means extinctionBarry 8 – Glen Barry, Ph.D. in Land Resources from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, MS in Conservation Biology and Sustainable Development from Madison, Founder and President of Ecological Internet, January 14, 2008, "Economic Collapse and Global Ecology," online: http://www.countercurrents.org/barry140108.htm can be a final, fatal death swoon. It’s linear—-the longer we wait the worse it’ll beBarry 10 – Glen Barry, Ph.D. in Land Resources from the University of Wisconsin-Madison, MS in Conservation Biology and Sustainable Development from Madison, Founder and President of Ecological Internet, whole Earth remains to be renewed. Mindset Shift AltStructural economic decline now causes a transition to a post-growth equilibrium economyHeinberg 10 – Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow at The Post-Carbon Institute, Professor at the New College of California, March 4, 2010, "What if the economy doesn’t recover?," online: http://www.countercurrents.org/heinberg040310.htm than upward from now on. Economic collapse forces a cultural change away from growth, which solves—-prefer our ev that cites pollingSpeth 8 – James Gustave Speth, dean of the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies at Yale University, founder of the World Resources Institute, Professor at Vermont Law School, Former Chairman of the Council on Environmental Quality in the Executive Office of the President, Co-founder of the Natural Resources Defense Council, 2008, The Bridge at the Edge of the World, p. 211-213 and dissonance could help lead to real change. EnvironmentEnvironment DAEconomic collapse prevents extinction from environmental destructionSpeth 2008 Served as President Jimmy Carter’s White House environmental adviser and as head of the United Nations’ largest agency for international development Prof at Vermont law school. Former dean of the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies at Yale University . Former Professor of Law at Georgetown University Law Center, teaching environmental and constitutional law. .Former Chairman of the Council on Environmental Quality in the Executive Office of the President. Co-founder of the Natural Resources Defense Council. Was law clerk to U.S. Supreme Court Justice Hugo L. Black JD, Yale. (James Gustave, The Bridge at the Edge of the World: Capitalism, the Environment, and Crossing from Crisis to Sustainability, Gigapedia, 6-9) seeking to identify the transformative changes needed. Warming DAGrowth leads to runaway climate change—extinction—adaptation is impossibleRoberts 12/8/2011 David Roberts is a staff writer for Grist "The brutal logic of climate change mitigation" www.grist.org/climate-policy/2011-12-08-the-brutal-logic-of-climate-change-mitigation avoided at literally any cost. Alt SolvesTransition solves—-de-growth would be sustainable and is key to the environmentValentí Rull 10 is the head of the Laboratory of Palynology and Paleoecology, Botanic Institute of Barcelona, Who needs a greener revolution? EMBO reports (2010) 11, 659 - 663 accessed via: Nature *( ) gender modified entropic waste (Pelletier, 2010). Waste Advantage1NCWaste Ban NowBan on reprocessing now means they can’t solveWald 11 Matthew L, NYT, Nov 16, green.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/11/16/a-long-long-road-to-recycling-nuclear-fuel/ operations to recover plutonium, the thinking went. But the idea died. MeltdownsNo impactAdams 12 Rod, Former submarine Engineer Officer, Founder, Adams Atomic Engines, Inc., "Has Apocalyptic Portrayal of Climate Change Risk Backfired?", May 2, http://atomicinsights.com/2012/05/has-apocalyptic-portrayal-of-climate-change-risk-backfired.html?utm_source=feedburner%26utm_medium=feed%26utm_campaign=Feed%3A+AtomicInsights+%28Atomic+Insights%29-http://atomicinsights.com/2012/05/has-apocalyptic-portrayal-of-climate-change-risk-backfired.html?utm_source=feedburner%26utm_medium=feed%26utm_campaign=Feed%3A+AtomicInsights+%28Atomic+Insights%29 market fear and trembling. TerrorNo chance of a terrorist attackMueller 11—IR prof at Ohio State. PhD in pol sci from UCLA (2 August 2011, John, The Truth about Al Qaeda, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68012/john-mueller/the-truth-about-al-qaeda?page=show) in 3.5 million per year, even with 9/11 included. Terrorists aren’t pursuing nuclear attacksWolfe 12 – Alan Wolfe is Professor of Political Science at Boston College. He is also a Senior Fellow with the World Policy Institute at the New School University in New York. A contributing editor of The New Republic, The Wilson Quarterly, Commonwealth Magazine, and In Character, Professor Wolfe writes often for those publications as well as for Commonweal, The New York Times, Harper’s, The Atlantic Monthly, The Washington Post, and other magazines and newspapers. March 27, 2012, "Fixated by "Nuclear Terror" or Just Paranoia?" http://www.hlswatch.com/2012/03/27/fixated-by-"nuclear-terror"-or-just-paranoia-2/-http://www.hlswatch.com/2012/03/27/fixated-by- none were caused by CBRN hazards. Chance of acquiring one is 1 in 3.5 billionSchneidmiller 9 (Chris, Experts Debate Threat of Nuclear, Biological Terrorism, 13 January 2009, http://www.globalsecuritynewswire.org/gsn/nw_20090113_7105.php) There is an "almost vanishingly small" AND or use one that has been stolen. YuccaYucca is safe —- extensive natural and engineered barriersJay Lehr 9, Ph.D., science director of The Heartland Institute, "Yucca Mountain, Though on Hold, Would Be Very Safe, May, 2009, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/05/01/yucca-mountain-though-hold-would-be-very-safe-http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/05/01/yucca-mountain-though-hold-would-be-very-safe which is certainly a comfort to us all. Scientific consensusJay Lehr 9, Ph.D., science director of The Heartland Institute, "Yucca Mountain Site Ideal for Spent Nuclear Fuel," April, 2009, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel-http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel government and university laboratories. No impact on water or humansJay Lehr 9, Ph.D., science director of The Heartland Institute, "Yucca Mountain Site Ideal for Spent Nuclear Fuel," April, 2009, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel-http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel to reach the level of the repository. Exhaustive, unbiased scientific study supports our argumentRoger Henning 10, Ph.D., the onsite technical manager at Nuclear %26 Regulatory Support Services LLC, "Yucca Mountain Decision Ignores Science," January, 21, 2010, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2010/01/21/yucca-mountain-decision-ignores-science judges in the process of reviewing its merits. 1NC Reprocessing Bad – ProlifUS reprocessing would undermine nonprolif efforts and spread reprocessing techUCS ’11 – Union of Concerned Scientists ("Nuclear Reprocessing: Dangerous, Dirty, and Expensive," April 5, http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear_power/nuclear_power_risk/nuclear_proliferation_and_terrorism/nuclear-reprocessing.html) -prone than direct disposal. Prolif causes nuclear warMartin Hellman 8, Prof Emeritus of Engineering @ Stanford, "Defusing the Nuclear Threat: A Necessary First Step," http://www.nuclearrisk.org/statement.php-http://www.nuclearrisk.org/statement.php namely the failure rate of deterrence. Lendmann writes for global research – they are holocaust deniers, conspiracy theorists, generally insaneJT 2005 (Jewish Tribune, 8/25/’5, http://www.jewishtribune.ca/tribune/jt-050825-05.html-http://www.jewishtribune.ca/tribune/jt-050825-05.html) who died at Auschwitz during the Second World War is inflated. No impact on water or humansJay Lehr 9, Ph.D., science director of The Heartland Institute, "Yucca Mountain Site Ideal for Spent Nuclear Fuel," April, 2009, http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel-http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2009/04/01/yucca-mountain-site-ideal-spent-nuclear-fuel the surface to reach the level of the repository. | |
10/07/2012 | Rd 7 KYTournament: KY | Round: 7 | Opponent: Georgia | Judge: Weil ASPECAgency discussions are essential to education about energy policyValentine 10 Scott Victor Valentine - Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore, "Canada’s constitutional separation of (wind) power" Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421509009227 development is merited. VI for limits and ground—-hundreds of relevant actors, from the DoE to DOD, courts, executive all conduct different energy programs and have different restrictions —-overstretches our research burden and wrecks 1NC strategy.KIt is a fundamental ontological condition of human beings to have anxiety towards death —- the Aff’s response to that ontological anxiety is a drive to action based on scientific rationality that forecloses any discussion of being —- their Enframing of the world limits out any ontological questioning and ensures a violent monopoly on truthBurke 7—Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations in the University of New South Wales (Anthony, Theory %26 Event, Volume 10, Issue 2, 2007, "Ontologies of War: Violence, Existence and Reason," Project MUSE) This essay develops a theory about the causes of war — AND commitments but their own substance’. 21 This alienation from questions of Being is a condition of modernity and makes all of their impacts inevitable —- destroys the condition of Being and ensures planetary destructionCaputo 93 John is a professor of Humanities at Syracuse, founder of weak theology, MA from Villanova, PhD from Bryn Mawr in Philosophy. "Demythologizing Heidegger," p. 136-141 , essential, authentic, ontological destruction. Instead we should reorient our reaction to anxiety about finitude by engaging in the fundamental question of Being —- we should engage in meditative reflection and ask the question of BeingSwazo 2 Norman is a Professor of Philosophy at the University of Alaska. "Crisis Theory and World Order: Heideggerian Reflections," p. 12-14 proliferation of violently opposing ways of life." Courts CPThe United States Supreme Court should rule restrictions on federal lands in the Outer Continental Shelf for conventional gas production is unconstitutional on the grounds that it violates the Tenth AmendmentCourts can effectively rule to invalidate restrictions on all forms of energy productionSimon 7 ~Christopher A. Simon - Director, Master of Public Administration, Political Science Department, University of Utah, Professor, Political Science, "Alternative Energy: Political, Economic, and Social Feasibility"~ with national constitutional in- terpretation and national policy priorities. It’s competitive —- doesn’t reduce restrictions, just rules them unenforceableTreanor %26 Sperling 93 William - Prof Law at Fordham. Gene - Deputy Assistant to President for Economic Policy. "PROSPECTIVE OVERRULING AND THE REVIVAL OF "UNCONSTITUTIONAL" STATUTES," Columbia Law Review, Dec 93, lexis rationale for nonrevival. Elections1NCObama will win now but it’s closeCameron Joseph 10-7, The Hill, "Mitt Romney seizes momentum with 30 days left before election," http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/260625-romney-seizes-momentum-30-days-before-election since they surfaced nearly three weeks ago. Plan alienates everyoneDicker 9/4 Daniel is a Senior Columnist at The Street. "Why Isn’t Natural Gas an Election Issue?" 2012, http://www.thestreet.com/story/11684440/1/why-isnt-natural-gas-an-election-issue.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN a new and necessary energy policy. That swings the electionSeattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html and neck until November. Romney causes massive foreign backlash and nuclear wars globallyBandow 12 Doug is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute. "Mitt Romney: The Foreign Policy of Know-Nothingism," 5/15, http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism-http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism another know-nothing president. ImpactsExtinctionAllison 11 (Graham, 10/30, Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, "10 reasons why Russia still matters," http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=161EF282-72F9-4D48-8B9C-C5B3396CA0E6) Security Council resolutions. Nuclear warCarafano 10 – James Jay is a senior research fellow for national security at The Heritage Foundation and directs its Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, "Con: Obama must win fast in Afghanistan or risk new wars across the globe," Jan 2 http://gazettextra.com/news/2010/jan/02/con-obama-must-win-fast-afghanistan-or-risk-new-wa/ of defending the interests of its nations. Uniqueness Walla) Swing states and new pollsBlumenthal 10/1 Mark, HuffPo, 2012, New 2012 Polls Show Little Change In State Of Race , www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/01/2012-polls-obama-romney_n_1928472.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012 ahead, it could make for a much closer race. b) Silver agreesSilver 10/4 Nate is head of NYT’s 538 blog. "Oct. 3: Romney’s Electoral Challenge, and More on Debate Instant Polls," 2012, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/04/oct-3-romneys-electoral-challenge-and-more-on-debate-instant-polls/ totaling 275 electoral votes: Prefer Nate SilverLB 10 Leigh Bureau, the world’s preeminent lecture bureau, "Nate Silver," 2010, http://www.leighbureau.com/speaker.asp?id=498 states and the District of Columbia. Their U Colorado model is flawedDolan 8/22/12 (Eric, "Election model with 100% success rate for past 30 years predicts Romney victory," http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/08/22/election-model-with-100-success-rate-predicts-romney-victory/) candidate’s success or failure. Link DebateThe plan angers coal state voters – they’re key to the election going to do about coal mining." Offshore drilling is massively unpopular, specifically with the Democratic baseNelson 10 Josh is a writer for FireDogLake. "Rasmussen: Support For Offshore Drilling Reaches New Low," July 22, http://my.firedoglake.com/joshnelson/tag/offshore-drilling/ is actually up 8% from its low point in late May. Everyone hates the planLevi 12 Michael is a Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. "A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports," June, http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf desire to secure cheap energy inputs for their industries. Angry voter theory means that backlash will be more salient than any gainsHarpuder 3 Brian, PhD in Philosophy at Ohio State University. "Electoral behavior in U.S. senate elections, a simultaneous choice model," http://etd.ohiolink.edu/send-pdf.cgi/Harpuder%20Brian%20Eric.pdf?osu1069347453 to have a limited impact on electoral behavior. Nothing before September matters – their link non-uniques make no sense – less than a month before the election means the plan takes the national spotlightGarofoli 9/8 (Joe, Political Reporter @ San Francisco Chronicle) her state was so close to Russia. AT: October SurpriseNo October surprise—Obama playing it safeMiller 7/2/12 – distinguished scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (Aaron David, "No Dog in This Fight," Foreign Policy, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/07/02/no_dog_in_this_fight?page=full) November without a crisis. No October surpriseEnten 12 Harry J Enten is a writer for the Guardian, "Would Obama boost his re-election bid by backing weed?", June 16, 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jun/16/obama-reelection-marijuana-legalisation it. At least, they probably won’t get arrested. Hege Adv1NCHeg doesn’t solve warChristopher Preble 10, director of Foreign Policy Studies at the CATO Institute, August 3, 2010, "U.S. Military Power: Preeminence for What Purpose?," online: http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/-http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/ while the schlubs in fly-over country pick up the tab. Obama is refusing direct U.S. leadership, enabling managed great-power the plan’s commitment to reassertion of power triggers overstretch and makes inevitable decline more violent—-means only the aff triggers their "go down swinging" argsAdam Quinn 11, Lecturer in International Studies at the University of Birmingham, July 2011, "The Art of Declining Politely: Obama’s Prudent Presidency and the Waning of American Power," International Affairs, Vol. 87, No. 4, p. 803-824 to have a president who fits the bill. Hegemonic retrenchment’s key to avoid great power war—-maintaining unipolarity’s self-defeating which internal link-turns their offenseNuno P. Monteiro 12, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Yale University, "Unrest Assured: Why Unipolarity is Not Peaceful," International Security, Winter 2012, Vol. 36, No. 3, p. 9-40 requires unequaled self-restraint. Attempting to preserve hegemony by boosting U.S. energy production backfires—-causes counterbalancing and great power warBruce Jones 11, director of the Center on International Cooperation at New York University, director of the Managing Global Order project and a senior fellow in Foreign Policy at The Brookings Institution, senior external advisor for the World Bank’s World Development Report 2011 on Conflict, Security, and Development, consulting professor at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, March 14, 2011, "Managing a Changing World," Foreign Policy, online: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/14/building_the_new_world_order?page=full risks of direct conflict between the powers. Hegemonic retrenchment’s key to prevent war with Russia and China—-defuses Georgia, Taiwan and the South China SeasPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, November/December 2011, "The Wisdom of Retrenchment: America Must Cut Back to Move Forward," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 90, No. 6 with China over Taiwan. poisoning of U.S.-Chinese relations. Unipolarity causes policy failure—-they can’t access any impactCharles L. Glaser 11, professor in the Elliott School of International Affairs and the Department of Political Science at the George Washington University and the director of the Elliott School’s Institute for Security and Conflict Studies, June 2011, "Why unipolarity doesn’t matter (much)," Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol. 24, No. 2, p. 135-147 in a unipolar world than a bipolar one. No ImpactNo impact to hegemony—-no data suggests a causal link between unipolarity and peaceChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 172-174 that the United States was no less safe. The only empirical data proves U.S. hegemony’s unrelated to great power peace—-every key factor in global stability is decoupled from U.S. primacyChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 175-176 in such a world would be virtually risk-free. Kagan DKagan’s wrong on every central aspect of U.S. hegemony vs. multipolar alternativesLeon Hadar 12, Cato Institute research fellow in foreign-policy studies, February 22, 2012, "The Reality of America’s Global Power," online: http://www.realclearworld.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2012/02/22/the_reality_of_americas_global_power_99915-full.html-http://www.realclearworld.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2012/02/22/the_reality_of_americas_global_power_99915-full.html American policymakers and the media. Lashout DNo U.S. lashout—-retrenchment causes caution and restraint—-reduces the risk of warPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 potential challengers. Unipolarity causes global backlash and resistance that makes it impossible for the U.S. to achieve its foreign policy goalsRichard Maher 11, Max Weber postdoctoral fellow at the European University Institute and Visiting Lecturer in the Political Science Department at Brown University, Winter 2011, "The Paradox of American Unipolarity: Why the United States May Be Better Off in a Post-Unipolar World," Orbis, Vol. 55, No. 1, p. 53-68 legitimate and worthy of emulation. Retrenchment DRetrenchment doesn’t cause conflict, lashout, or draw-in—-all their studies are wrongPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 to retrench recovered their relative position. China DNo impact to heg in Asia—-China won’t expand and U.S. retrenchment is stabilizingPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 risk unnecessary clashes.101 No Chinese expansionism, even if the U.S. loses unipolar dominanceChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 176 , no matter which country is strongest. Price SolvencyLow NG prices takes out solvency —- means that production isn’t cost competitiveBerman and Pittinger 11 Arthur - petroleum geologist with thirty-four years of oil and gas industry experience. He has done expert witness and research work on several oil and gas trial and utility commission hearings, Lynn - consultant in petroleum engineering with 30 years of industry experience.. ThinkProgress. "Analysis: U.S. Shale Gas Industry Reserves Are Over Stated at Least 100 Percent," thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/08/05/289389/stunning-analysis-u-s-shale-gas-reserves-may-be-over-stated-at-least-100-percent/ of new, more substantial players. Onshore Gas Solves—-1NCOnshore gas sufficient to solve prices—-Isaac proves no spikesNyquist 12 Christina, Former Writer/Editor and Public Affairs Specialist at the United States Geological Survey (USGS). Sept 6 "Abundant Onshore Natural Gas Supply Keeps Prices Stable During Natural Disasters" www.truebluenaturalgas.org/abundant-onshore-natural-gas-supply-prices-stable-natural-disasters/ in the Gulf provides less than 10 percent. And, offshore production is whats vulnerable to shocks—-the plan can only magnify the effectNyquist 12 Christina, Former Writer/Editor and Public Affairs Specialist at the United States Geological Survey (USGS). Sept 6 "Abundant Onshore Natural Gas Supply Keeps Prices Stable During Natural Disasters" www.truebluenaturalgas.org/abundant-onshore-natural-gas-supply-prices-stable-natural-disasters/ heating season markets." Ethanol TurnDrilling on public lands drives down pricesLevi 12 (Michael Levi - senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. "The Odd Politics of Drilling on Public Lands," June 20, 2012, CFR, http://blogs.cfr.org/levi/2012/06/20/the-odd-logic-of-drilling-on-public-lands/) lands. It’s something worth watching out for. feedstock opportunities. Large-scale ethanol production causes extinction gasoline- and diesel-powered cars and trucks. This outweighs the case by definition—-makes the earth fundamentally uninhabitable for every species, not just humans—-there’s always a chance that intervening actors can stop conflict escalation or adaptation to warming can prevent extinction—-but it’s impossible to make large-scale biofuel production sustainable., the DOE/USDA proposal AND feed one billion gasoline- and diesel-powered cars and trucks. Natural gas prices will have negligible effects on fertilizer productionIHS 11 (IHS Global Insight - leading economic analysis and forecasting firm, December 2011, "The Economic and Employment Contributions of Shale Gas in the United States," anga.us/media/235626/shale-gas-economic-impact-dec-2011.pdf) as significant as for the other chemicals discussed in this section. Biofuel crops will use unsafe GM tech—-contaminates and collapses the global food supplyAnnie Shattuck 8, Food First, degree in Environmental Studies concentrated in Plant Biology from the University of California, April 2008, "The Agrofuels Trojan Horse: Biotechnology and the Corporate Domination of Agriculture," online: http://www.foodfirst.org/en/node/2111 campaign will reign them in. Exports AdvRussia TurnUS LNG exports cause a global transition from oil indexation to spot pricingHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) straw that breaks oil indexation back. Spot pricing causes short term volatility —- Russia floods the market to crowd out producers and engages in collusion to drive up future pricesHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) bet than hoping the US delivers on its global gas potential. Ironic times indeed. AT NU —- Spot Pricing Inev no decoupling in status quoEER 11 (European Energy Review, "Pricing Mechanisms for Natural Gas Factsheet" December 4, 2011, www.europeanenergyreview.eu/data/docs/Viewpoints/081120 Factsheet - Pricing mechanism for natural gas in Europe.pdf) been extended¶ beyond 2030. Spot pricing isn’t inevitable —- US exports will make or break the switchHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) Asia-Pacific will rapidly abate. Causes Russian resurgence and turns the economy impactFang et al 12 (Songying Fang - Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Political Science Rice University. Amy Myers Jaffe - Fellow in Energy Studies JamesA. Baker III Institute for Public Policy Rice University. TedTemzelides, Ph.D., Prof of Economics. "New Alignments? The Geopolitics of Gas and Oil Cartels and the Changing Middle East," January 2012, http://www.bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-GasOilCartels-012312.pdf-http://www.bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-GasOilCartels-012312.pdf) it could even lead to military conflict.2 Russian resurgence causes global nuclear warBlank 9 – Dr. Stephen Blank , Research Professor of National Security Affairs at the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, March 2009, "Russia And Arms Control: Are There Opportunities For The Obama Administration?," online: http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf neighbors or their own people.172 Rare Earth DefenseNo Chinese Rare Earth monopoly – tons of new supply from the US and loosening Chinese export controlsEric Onstad, 9-19-2012, "Analysis: Rare earth prices to erode on fresh supply, China," Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/19/us-rareearths-outlook-idUSBRE88I0O020120919 said JP Morgan analyst Michael Gambardella in a recent note. Molycorp checks Chinese monopoly – the gov would never let the US mines shut downSeeking Alpha, 9-25-2012, "Molycorp Down Nearly 11% In One Day," http://seekingalpha.com/article/888441-molycorp-down-nearly-11-in-one-day-what-happened provides a floor to the stock. Accuracy not key to primacy and its importance will only declineKeir A. Lieber and Press 7, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Notre Dame, and Daryl G. Press is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth, 2007, U.S. Nuclear Primacy and the Future of the Chinese Deterrent, http://www.wsichina.org/%5Ccs5_5.pdf grow even more capable. Accuracy upgrades already happenedMcDonough 9 – David S. McDonough, Doctoral Fellow at the Centre for Foreign Policy Studies at Dalhousie University, March 2009, "Tailored Deterrence: The ’New Triad’ and the Tailoring of Nuclear Superiority," online: http://www.canadianinternationalcouncil.org/download/resourcece/archives/strategicd~~2/sd_no8_200 ideal for disarming counterforce strikes. US is opening massive new rare earth mines in Alaska – ensures military accessAlaska Dispatch, 10-1-2012, "Department of Defense eyes Bokan Mountain mining prospects," http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/department-defense-eyes-bokan-mountain-mining-prospects " heavy rare earth elements. EconNo econ impactRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 it will not make war thinkable. First — Diversionary theory —- it’s wrongBoehmer, 07 – political science professor at the University of Texas (Charles, Politics %26 Policy, 35:4, "The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict") , or both events occurring in the same year.3 Next is collapse of trade —- but trade doesn’t solve war that’s aboveAnd collapse of trade doesn’t cause warBremmer 9—IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford. (Ian, "The Political Risks From Washington," 24 March 2009, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/03/top_five_risks_and_a_red_herri.html) There is one serious risk I think we can AND interconnectedness, trade, or global supply chains. Third Terrorism —- no scenarioMueller 8/2—IR prof at Ohio State. PhD in pol sci from UCLA (2 August 2011, John, The Truth about Al Qaeda, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68012/john-mueller/the-truth-about-al-qaeda?page=show) at one in 3.5 million per year, even with 9/11 included. Forth —- Miscalc —- there’s no scenario for miscalculationQuinlan 9—distinguished frmr British defence strategist and former Permanent Under-Secretary of State. (Michael, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, 63-9) Even if initial nuclear use did not quickly end the AND way belongs to science fiction. Trade LeadershipGlobal trade resilientBarnett 9—senior managing director of Enterra Solutions LLC (Thomas, The New Rules: Security Remains Stable Amid Financial Crisis, 25 August 2009, http://www.aprodex.com/the-new-rules—security-remains-stable-amid-financial-crisis-398-bl.aspx) Indeed, no. The world’s major economies AND War II international liberal trade order. Trade leadership impossibleBremmer 11 – IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford (July/August 2011, Ian, On the Economy, Be Careful What You Wish For, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/20/on_the_economy_be_careful_what_you_wish_for?page=full-http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/20/on_the_economy_be_careful_what_you_wish_for?page=full) Washington’s security role in East Asia has long AND its traditional role of free trade champion. Interdependence doesn’t solve warMay 5—Professor Emeritus (Research) in the Stanford University School of Engineering and a senior fellow with the Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Former co-director of Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Principal Investigator for the DHS. (Michael, "The U.S.-China Strategic Relationship," September 2005, http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/2005/Sep/maySep05.asp) However important and beneficial this interdependence may be AND
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10/07/2012 | Rd 6 KYTournament: KY | Round: 6 | Opponent: Pitt | Judge: Roark ASPECAgency discussions are essential to education about energy policyValentine 10 Scott Victor Valentine - Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore, "Canada’s constitutional separation of (wind) power" Energy Policy, Volume 38, Issue 4, April 2010, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421509009227 development is merited. VI for limits and ground—-hundreds of relevant actors, from the DoE to DOD, courts, executive all conduct different energy programs and have different restrictions —-overstretches our research burden and wrecks 1NC strategy.KIt is a fundamental ontological condition of human beings to have anxiety towards death —- the Aff’s response to that ontological anxiety is a drive to action based on scientific rationality that forecloses any discussion of being —- their Enframing of the world limits out any ontological questioning and ensures a violent monopoly on truthBurke 7—Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations in the University of New South Wales (Anthony, Theory %26 Event, Volume 10, Issue 2, 2007, "Ontologies of War: Violence, Existence and Reason," Project MUSE) This essay develops a theory about the causes of war — AND commitments but their own substance’. 21 This alienation from questions of Being is a condition of modernity and makes all of their impacts inevitable —- destroys the condition of Being and ensures planetary destructionCaputo 93 John is a professor of Humanities at Syracuse, founder of weak theology, MA from Villanova, PhD from Bryn Mawr in Philosophy. "Demythologizing Heidegger," p. 136-141 , essential, authentic, ontological destruction. Instead we should reorient our reaction to anxiety about finitude by engaging in the fundamental question of Being —- we should engage in meditative reflection and ask the question of BeingSwazo 2 Norman is a Professor of Philosophy at the University of Alaska. "Crisis Theory and World Order: Heideggerian Reflections," p. 12-14 proliferation of violently opposing ways of life." Courts CPThe United States Supreme Court should rule restrictions on federal lands in the Outer Continental Shelf for conventional gas production is unconstitutional on the grounds that it violates the Tenth AmendmentCourts can effectively rule to invalidate restrictions on all forms of energy productionSimon 7 ~Christopher A. Simon - Director, Master of Public Administration, Political Science Department, University of Utah, Professor, Political Science, "Alternative Energy: Political, Economic, and Social Feasibility"~ with national constitutional in- terpretation and national policy priorities. It’s competitive —- doesn’t reduce restrictions, just rules them unenforceableTreanor %26 Sperling 93 William - Prof Law at Fordham. Gene - Deputy Assistant to President for Economic Policy. "PROSPECTIVE OVERRULING AND THE REVIVAL OF "UNCONSTITUTIONAL" STATUTES," Columbia Law Review, Dec 93, lexis rationale for nonrevival. Elections1NCObama will win now but it’s closeCameron Joseph 10-7, The Hill, "Mitt Romney seizes momentum with 30 days left before election," http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/260625-romney-seizes-momentum-30-days-before-election since they surfaced nearly three weeks ago. Plan alienates everyoneDicker 9/4 Daniel is a Senior Columnist at The Street. "Why Isn’t Natural Gas an Election Issue?" 2012, http://www.thestreet.com/story/11684440/1/why-isnt-natural-gas-an-election-issue.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN a new and necessary energy policy. That swings the electionSeattle Times 12"Not just the economy: Secondary issues may play role in election," 7/14, http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2018688463_electionissues15.html and neck until November. Romney causes massive foreign backlash and nuclear wars globallyBandow 12 Doug is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute. "Mitt Romney: The Foreign Policy of Know-Nothingism," 5/15, http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism-http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/mitt-romney-foreign-policy-knownothingism another know-nothing president. ImpactsExtinctionAllison 11 (Graham, 10/30, Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, "10 reasons why Russia still matters," http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=161EF282-72F9-4D48-8B9C-C5B3396CA0E6) Security Council resolutions. Nuclear warCarafano 10 – James Jay is a senior research fellow for national security at The Heritage Foundation and directs its Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, "Con: Obama must win fast in Afghanistan or risk new wars across the globe," Jan 2 http://gazettextra.com/news/2010/jan/02/con-obama-must-win-fast-afghanistan-or-risk-new-wa/ of defending the interests of its nations. Uniqueness Walla) Swing states and new pollsBlumenthal 10/1 Mark, HuffPo, 2012, New 2012 Polls Show Little Change In State Of Race , www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/01/2012-polls-obama-romney_n_1928472.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012 ahead, it could make for a much closer race. b) Silver agreesSilver 10/4 Nate is head of NYT’s 538 blog. "Oct. 3: Romney’s Electoral Challenge, and More on Debate Instant Polls," 2012, http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/04/oct-3-romneys-electoral-challenge-and-more-on-debate-instant-polls/ totaling 275 electoral votes: Prefer Nate SilverLB 10 Leigh Bureau, the world’s preeminent lecture bureau, "Nate Silver," 2010, http://www.leighbureau.com/speaker.asp?id=498 states and the District of Columbia. Their U Colorado model is flawedDolan 8/22/12 (Eric, "Election model with 100% success rate for past 30 years predicts Romney victory," http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/08/22/election-model-with-100-success-rate-predicts-romney-victory/) candidate’s success or failure. Link DebateThe plan angers coal state voters – they’re key to the election going to do about coal mining." Offshore drilling is massively unpopular, specifically with the Democratic baseNelson 10 Josh is a writer for FireDogLake. "Rasmussen: Support For Offshore Drilling Reaches New Low," July 22, http://my.firedoglake.com/joshnelson/tag/offshore-drilling/ is actually up 8% from its low point in late May. Everyone hates the planLevi 12 Michael is a Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. "A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports," June, http://www.hamiltonproject.org/files/downloads_and_links/06_exports_levi.pdf desire to secure cheap energy inputs for their industries. Angry voter theory means that backlash will be more salient than any gainsHarpuder 3 Brian, PhD in Philosophy at Ohio State University. "Electoral behavior in U.S. senate elections, a simultaneous choice model," http://etd.ohiolink.edu/send-pdf.cgi/Harpuder%20Brian%20Eric.pdf?osu1069347453 to have a limited impact on electoral behavior. Nothing before September matters – their link non-uniques make no sense – less than a month before the election means the plan takes the national spotlightGarofoli 9/8 (Joe, Political Reporter @ San Francisco Chronicle) her state was so close to Russia. AT: October SurpriseNo October surprise—Obama playing it safeMiller 7/2/12 – distinguished scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (Aaron David, "No Dog in This Fight," Foreign Policy, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/07/02/no_dog_in_this_fight?page=full) November without a crisis. No October surpriseEnten 12 Harry J Enten is a writer for the Guardian, "Would Obama boost his re-election bid by backing weed?", June 16, 2012, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jun/16/obama-reelection-marijuana-legalisation it. At least, they probably won’t get arrested. Hege Adv1NCHeg doesn’t solve warChristopher Preble 10, director of Foreign Policy Studies at the CATO Institute, August 3, 2010, "U.S. Military Power: Preeminence for What Purpose?," online: http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/-http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/ while the schlubs in fly-over country pick up the tab. Obama is refusing direct U.S. leadership, enabling managed great-power the plan’s commitment to reassertion of power triggers overstretch and makes inevitable decline more violent—-means only the aff triggers their "go down swinging" argsAdam Quinn 11, Lecturer in International Studies at the University of Birmingham, July 2011, "The Art of Declining Politely: Obama’s Prudent Presidency and the Waning of American Power," International Affairs, Vol. 87, No. 4, p. 803-824 to have a president who fits the bill. Hegemonic retrenchment’s key to avoid great power war—-maintaining unipolarity’s self-defeating which internal link-turns their offenseNuno P. Monteiro 12, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Yale University, "Unrest Assured: Why Unipolarity is Not Peaceful," International Security, Winter 2012, Vol. 36, No. 3, p. 9-40 requires unequaled self-restraint. Attempting to preserve hegemony by boosting U.S. energy production backfires—-causes counterbalancing and great power warBruce Jones 11, director of the Center on International Cooperation at New York University, director of the Managing Global Order project and a senior fellow in Foreign Policy at The Brookings Institution, senior external advisor for the World Bank’s World Development Report 2011 on Conflict, Security, and Development, consulting professor at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, March 14, 2011, "Managing a Changing World," Foreign Policy, online: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/14/building_the_new_world_order?page=full risks of direct conflict between the powers. Hegemonic retrenchment’s key to prevent war with Russia and China—-defuses Georgia, Taiwan and the South China SeasPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, November/December 2011, "The Wisdom of Retrenchment: America Must Cut Back to Move Forward," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 90, No. 6 with China over Taiwan. poisoning of U.S.-Chinese relations. Unipolarity causes policy failure—-they can’t access any impactCharles L. Glaser 11, professor in the Elliott School of International Affairs and the Department of Political Science at the George Washington University and the director of the Elliott School’s Institute for Security and Conflict Studies, June 2011, "Why unipolarity doesn’t matter (much)," Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol. 24, No. 2, p. 135-147 in a unipolar world than a bipolar one. No ImpactNo impact to hegemony—-no data suggests a causal link between unipolarity and peaceChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 172-174 that the United States was no less safe. The only empirical data proves U.S. hegemony’s unrelated to great power peace—-every key factor in global stability is decoupled from U.S. primacyChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 175-176 in such a world would be virtually risk-free. Kagan DKagan’s wrong on every central aspect of U.S. hegemony vs. multipolar alternativesLeon Hadar 12, Cato Institute research fellow in foreign-policy studies, February 22, 2012, "The Reality of America’s Global Power," online: http://www.realclearworld.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2012/02/22/the_reality_of_americas_global_power_99915-full.html-http://www.realclearworld.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2012/02/22/the_reality_of_americas_global_power_99915-full.html American policymakers and the media. Lashout DNo U.S. lashout—-retrenchment causes caution and restraint—-reduces the risk of warPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 potential challengers. Unipolarity causes global backlash and resistance that makes it impossible for the U.S. to achieve its foreign policy goalsRichard Maher 11, Max Weber postdoctoral fellow at the European University Institute and Visiting Lecturer in the Political Science Department at Brown University, Winter 2011, "The Paradox of American Unipolarity: Why the United States May Be Better Off in a Post-Unipolar World," Orbis, Vol. 55, No. 1, p. 53-68 legitimate and worthy of emulation. Retrenchment DRetrenchment doesn’t cause conflict, lashout, or draw-in—-all their studies are wrongPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 to retrench recovered their relative position. China DNo impact to heg in Asia—-China won’t expand and U.S. retrenchment is stabilizingPaul K. MacDonald 11, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Williams College, and Joseph M. Parent, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Miami, Spring 2011, "Graceful Decline?: The Surprising Success of Great Power Retrenchment," International Security, Vol. 35, No. 4, p. 7-44 risk unnecessary clashes.101 No Chinese expansionism, even if the U.S. loses unipolar dominanceChristopher Fettweis 10, Professor of Political Science at Tulane University, 2010, Dangerous Times? The International Politics of Great Power Peace, p. 176 , no matter which country is strongest. Price SolvencyLow NG prices takes out solvency —- means that production isn’t cost competitiveBerman and Pittinger 11 Arthur - petroleum geologist with thirty-four years of oil and gas industry experience. He has done expert witness and research work on several oil and gas trial and utility commission hearings, Lynn - consultant in petroleum engineering with 30 years of industry experience.. ThinkProgress. "Analysis: U.S. Shale Gas Industry Reserves Are Over Stated at Least 100 Percent," thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/08/05/289389/stunning-analysis-u-s-shale-gas-reserves-may-be-over-stated-at-least-100-percent/ of new, more substantial players. Onshore Gas Solves—-1NCOnshore gas sufficient to solve prices—-Isaac proves no spikesNyquist 12 Christina, Former Writer/Editor and Public Affairs Specialist at the United States Geological Survey (USGS). Sept 6 "Abundant Onshore Natural Gas Supply Keeps Prices Stable During Natural Disasters" www.truebluenaturalgas.org/abundant-onshore-natural-gas-supply-prices-stable-natural-disasters/ in the Gulf provides less than 10 percent. And, offshore production is whats vulnerable to shocks—-the plan can only magnify the effectNyquist 12 Christina, Former Writer/Editor and Public Affairs Specialist at the United States Geological Survey (USGS). Sept 6 "Abundant Onshore Natural Gas Supply Keeps Prices Stable During Natural Disasters" www.truebluenaturalgas.org/abundant-onshore-natural-gas-supply-prices-stable-natural-disasters/ heating season markets." Ethanol TurnDrilling on public lands drives down pricesLevi 12 (Michael Levi - senior fellow for energy and the environment at Council on Foreign Relations, director of CFR Program on Energy Security and Climate Change. "The Odd Politics of Drilling on Public Lands," June 20, 2012, CFR, http://blogs.cfr.org/levi/2012/06/20/the-odd-logic-of-drilling-on-public-lands/) lands. It’s something worth watching out for. feedstock opportunities. Large-scale ethanol production causes extinction gasoline- and diesel-powered cars and trucks. This outweighs the case by definition—-makes the earth fundamentally uninhabitable for every species, not just humans—-there’s always a chance that intervening actors can stop conflict escalation or adaptation to warming can prevent extinction—-but it’s impossible to make large-scale biofuel production sustainable., the DOE/USDA proposal AND feed one billion gasoline- and diesel-powered cars and trucks. Natural gas prices will have negligible effects on fertilizer productionIHS 11 (IHS Global Insight - leading economic analysis and forecasting firm, December 2011, "The Economic and Employment Contributions of Shale Gas in the United States," anga.us/media/235626/shale-gas-economic-impact-dec-2011.pdf) as significant as for the other chemicals discussed in this section. Biofuel crops will use unsafe GM tech—-contaminates and collapses the global food supplyAnnie Shattuck 8, Food First, degree in Environmental Studies concentrated in Plant Biology from the University of California, April 2008, "The Agrofuels Trojan Horse: Biotechnology and the Corporate Domination of Agriculture," online: http://www.foodfirst.org/en/node/2111 campaign will reign them in. Exports AdvRussia TurnUS LNG exports cause a global transition from oil indexation to spot pricingHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) straw that breaks oil indexation back. Spot pricing causes short term volatility —- Russia floods the market to crowd out producers and engages in collusion to drive up future pricesHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) bet than hoping the US delivers on its global gas potential. Ironic times indeed. AT NU —- Spot Pricing Inev no decoupling in status quoEER 11 (European Energy Review, "Pricing Mechanisms for Natural Gas Factsheet" December 4, 2011, www.europeanenergyreview.eu/data/docs/Viewpoints/081120 Factsheet - Pricing mechanism for natural gas in Europe.pdf) been extended¶ beyond 2030. Spot pricing isn’t inevitable —- US exports will make or break the switchHulbert 12 (Matthew Hulbert - Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, government consultant, Senior Research Fellow @ Netherlands Institute for International Relations, working on energy and political risk. Senior Energy Analyst at Datamonitor for global utilities. "Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World," 8/05/2012 http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world) Asia-Pacific will rapidly abate. Causes Russian resurgence and turns the economy impactFang et al 12 (Songying Fang - Ph.D. Assistant Professor of Political Science Rice University. Amy Myers Jaffe - Fellow in Energy Studies JamesA. Baker III Institute for Public Policy Rice University. TedTemzelides, Ph.D., Prof of Economics. "New Alignments? The Geopolitics of Gas and Oil Cartels and the Changing Middle East," January 2012, http://www.bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-GasOilCartels-012312.pdf-http://www.bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-GasOilCartels-012312.pdf) it could even lead to military conflict.2 Russian resurgence causes global nuclear warBlank 9 – Dr. Stephen Blank , Research Professor of National Security Affairs at the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, March 2009, "Russia And Arms Control: Are There Opportunities For The Obama Administration?," online: http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf neighbors or their own people.172 Rare Earth DefenseNo Chinese Rare Earth monopoly – tons of new supply from the US and loosening Chinese export controlsEric Onstad, 9-19-2012, "Analysis: Rare earth prices to erode on fresh supply, China," Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/19/us-rareearths-outlook-idUSBRE88I0O020120919 said JP Morgan analyst Michael Gambardella in a recent note. Molycorp checks Chinese monopoly – the gov would never let the US mines shut downSeeking Alpha, 9-25-2012, "Molycorp Down Nearly 11% In One Day," http://seekingalpha.com/article/888441-molycorp-down-nearly-11-in-one-day-what-happened provides a floor to the stock. Accuracy not key to primacy and its importance will only declineKeir A. Lieber and Press 7, Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Notre Dame, and Daryl G. Press is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth, 2007, U.S. Nuclear Primacy and the Future of the Chinese Deterrent, http://www.wsichina.org/%5Ccs5_5.pdf grow even more capable. Accuracy upgrades already happenedMcDonough 9 – David S. McDonough, Doctoral Fellow at the Centre for Foreign Policy Studies at Dalhousie University, March 2009, "Tailored Deterrence: The ’New Triad’ and the Tailoring of Nuclear Superiority," online: http://www.canadianinternationalcouncil.org/download/resourcece/archives/strategicd~~2/sd_no8_200 ideal for disarming counterforce strikes. US is opening massive new rare earth mines in Alaska – ensures military accessAlaska Dispatch, 10-1-2012, "Department of Defense eyes Bokan Mountain mining prospects," http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/department-defense-eyes-bokan-mountain-mining-prospects " heavy rare earth elements. EconNo econ impactRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 it will not make war thinkable. First — Diversionary theory —- it’s wrongBoehmer, 07 – political science professor at the University of Texas (Charles, Politics %26 Policy, 35:4, "The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict") , or both events occurring in the same year.3 Next is collapse of trade —- but trade doesn’t solve war that’s aboveAnd collapse of trade doesn’t cause warBremmer 9—IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford. (Ian, "The Political Risks From Washington," 24 March 2009, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/03/top_five_risks_and_a_red_herri.html) There is one serious risk I think we can AND interconnectedness, trade, or global supply chains. Third Terrorism —- no scenarioMueller 8/2—IR prof at Ohio State. PhD in pol sci from UCLA (2 August 2011, John, The Truth about Al Qaeda, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68012/john-mueller/the-truth-about-al-qaeda?page=show) at one in 3.5 million per year, even with 9/11 included. Forth —- Miscalc —- there’s no scenario for miscalculationQuinlan 9—distinguished frmr British defence strategist and former Permanent Under-Secretary of State. (Michael, Thinking About Nuclear Weapons, 63-9) Even if initial nuclear use did not quickly end the AND way belongs to science fiction. Trade LeadershipGlobal trade resilientBarnett 9—senior managing director of Enterra Solutions LLC (Thomas, The New Rules: Security Remains Stable Amid Financial Crisis, 25 August 2009, http://www.aprodex.com/the-new-rules—security-remains-stable-amid-financial-crisis-398-bl.aspx) Indeed, no. The world’s major economies AND War II international liberal trade order. Trade leadership impossibleBremmer 11 – IR prof, Columbia. Faculty member at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. Senior Fellow, World Policy Institute. PhD in pol sci, Stanford (July/August 2011, Ian, On the Economy, Be Careful What You Wish For, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/20/on_the_economy_be_careful_what_you_wish_for?page=full-http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/20/on_the_economy_be_careful_what_you_wish_for?page=full) Washington’s security role in East Asia has long AND its traditional role of free trade champion. Interdependence doesn’t solve warMay 5—Professor Emeritus (Research) in the Stanford University School of Engineering and a senior fellow with the Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. Former co-director of Stanford University’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Principal Investigator for the DHS. (Michael, "The U.S.-China Strategic Relationship," September 2005, http://www.ccc.nps.navy.mil/si/2005/Sep/maySep05.asp) However important and beneficial this interdependence may be AND
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11/10/2012 | 1NC Shirley RD 1 V. Liberty ABTournament: Wake | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty AB | Judge: Plan: USFG Increase Loan Guarantees for SMRs Adv 2 - Manufacturing 1NC Aspec | |
11/10/2012 | ASPECTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley VI for limits and ground---hundreds of relevant actors, from the DoE to DOD, courts, executive all conduct different energy programs and have different restrictions ---overstretches our research burden and wrecks 1NC strategy. | |
11/10/2012 | T-Production-Not ExtractionTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley VI for limits, ground and grammar---they double the size of the topic, make it bidirectional by allowing affs to affect both supply and demand sides of each energy and make it impossible to have wind/solar affs since they are naturally produced raw material---wrecks preparedness for all debates | |
11/10/2012 | Fiscal CliffTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley Plan costs political capital Sequestration destroys US global military power---triggers multiple scenarios for nuclear war Extinction | |
11/10/2012 | Courts CPTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley Courts can effectively rule to invalidate restrictions on all forms of energy production It’s competitive --- doesn’t reduce restrictions, just rules them unenforceable | |
11/10/2012 | Oil Prices DATournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley Prolonged dip in prices collapses all producer states, causes political repression and state collapse, and unleashes wars across the world | |
11/10/2012 | SEP CPTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley Penalties determine regulatory compliance—restrictions are irrelevant if penalties are marginal The SEP penalty causes industry noncompliance --- triggers the same industry response as the aff, while preserving the restriction Adopting the ’91 guidelines is key Net Benefit Extinction Turns the economy | |
11/10/2012 | AT Russia v OilTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: OCS drilling kills U.S.-EU energy cooperation---that’s key to overall relations which solve prolif, Russian expansion, Middle East stability and a peaceful Chinese rise | |
11/10/2012 | AT China v OilTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Economics prevent conflict escalation Multiple factors ensure cooperation U.S. energy independence causes Gulf states to switch alliances to China---that destroys U.S. leverage in a crisis over Taiwan | |
11/10/2012 | AT Econ v OilTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley No impact – Kerpen’s a joke and disproven by 2009 crisis Drilling doesn’t solve unemployment Regulations won’t cripple the industry Restrictions aren’t the issue --- companies have open federal leases now | |
11/11/2012 | RD 6 Wake - Case - OU LM Wind OOO AffTournament: Wake | Round: 6 | Opponent: OU Lm | Judge: Nick Miller Similarly, we must consider the consequences that this 'ontological substitution' for the essence of The concept of rights emerged with the rise of human civilization precisely because it is 2NC U.S. preponderance of power deters conflict in every global hotspot from going nuclear---offshore strategies fail 1NR We may approach the issue of what Heidegger may teach today's radical environmentalists by examining | |
11/11/2012 | Framework - 1NC and 2NC V. OU LMTournament: Wake | Round: 6 | Opponent: OU LM | Judge: Nick Miller Second, discussion of specific policy-questions is crucial for skills development---we control uniqueness: university students already have preconceived and ideological notions about how the world operates---government policy discussion is vital to force engagement with and resolution of competing perspectives to improve social outcomes, however those outcomes may be defined---and, it breaks out of traditional pedagogical frameworks by positing students as agents of decision-making Third, switch-side is key---Effective deliberation is crucial to the activation of personal agency and is only possible in a switch-side debate format where debaters divorce themselves from ideology to engage in political contestation Effective decision-making outweighs--- Only portable skill---means our framework turns case Effective deliberation is the lynchpin of solving all existential global problems Academic debate over energy policy in the face of environmental destruction is critical to shape the direction of change and create a public consciousness shift 2NC Policy simulation’s good---key to portable skills, breaking down expert monopoly on policy advice Constraints are key to creativity---challenging ourselves to innovate within the confines of rules creates far more creative responses than starting with a blank slate Abolishing constraints does not improve creativity---starting from defined constraints like the topic is better for overall creativity because innovative thinking comes from problem-solving like figuring out how to read what you want to read while still being topical | |
11/11/2012 | 1NC - T RestrictionsTournament: Wake | Round: 6 | Opponent: OU LM | Judge: Nick Miller | |
03/29/2013 | Framework - 1NC and 2NC v. OU CLTournament: NDT | Round: 3 | Opponent: OU CL | Judge: 1NC“Resolved” implies a policy or legislative decisionParcher 1 Jeff Parcher, former debate coach at Georgetown, Feb 2001 http://www.ndtceda.com/archives/200102/0790.html Pardon me if I … answers to a question.
Energy production is only electricity creation from one of the 6 topic energiesVaekstfonden 6 Vaekstfonden is a Danish government backed investment fund that facilitates the supply of venture capital in terms of start-up equity and high-risk loans "THE ENERGY INDUSTRY IN DENMARK- perspectives on entrepreneurship andventure capital" No Specific Cited, Latest Data From 2006 s3.amazonaws.com/zanran_storage/www.siliconvalley.um.dk/ContentPages/43667201.pdf In all, 20 industry … the consumption stage.
Prefer our interpretationFirst, a limited topic of discussion that provides for equitable ground is key to productive inculcation of decision-making and advocacy skills in every and all facets of life-~--even if their position is contestable that’s distinct from it being valuably debatable-~--this still provides room for flexibility, creativity, and innovation, but targets the discussion to avoid mere statements of fact-~--T debates also solve any possible turnSteinberg and Freeley 8 *Austin J. Freeley is a Boston based attorney who focuses on criminal, personal injury and civil rights law, AND **David L. Steinberg , Lecturer of Communication Studies @ U Miami, Argumentation and Debate: Critical Thinking for Reasoned Decision Making pp45- Debate is a means … in the following discussion.
Second, discussion of specific policy-questions is crucial for skills development-~--we control uniqueness: university students already have preconceived and ideological notions about how the world operates-~--government policy discussion is vital to force engagement with and resolution of competing perspectives to improve social outcomes, however those outcomes may be defined-~--and, it breaks out of traditional pedagogical frameworks by positing students as agents of decision-makingEsberg and Sagan 12 *Jane Esberg is special assistant to the director at New York University's Center on. International Cooperation. She was the winner of 2009 Firestone Medal, AND **Scott Sagan is a professor of political science and director of Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation “NEGOTIATING NONPROLIFERATION: Scholarship, Pedagogy, and Nuclear Weapons Policy,” 2/17 The Nonproliferation Review, 19:1, 95-108 These government or quasi-… and act on information.14
Third, Switch-side is key-~--Effective deliberation is only possible in a switch-side debate – forces critical thinking and better advocacy of one’s positionsKeller et al 1 – Asst. professor School of Social Service Administration U. of Chicago (Thomas E., James K., and Tracly K., Asst. professor School of Social Service Administration U. of Chicago, professor of Social Work, and doctoral student School of Social Work, “Student debates in policy courses: promoting policy practice skills and knowledge through active learning,” Journal of Social Work Education, Spr/Summer 2001, EBSCOhost) SOCIAL WORKERS HAVE a professional …. pertaining to the issue.
And independently a voting issue for limits and ground-~--our entire negative strategy is based on the “should” question of the resolution-~--there are an infinite number of reasons that the scholarship of their advocacy could be a reason to vote affirmative-~-- these all obviate the only predictable strategies based on topical action-~--they overstretch our research burden and undermine preparedness for all debates
Effective decision-making outweighs-~--Key to social improvements in every and all facets of lifeSteinberg and Freeley 8 *Austin J. Freeley is a Boston based attorney who focuses on criminal, personal injury and civil rights law, AND **David L. Steinberg , Lecturer of Communication Studies @ U Miami, Argumentation and Debate: Critical Thinking for Reasoned Decision Making pp9-10 If we assume it … through reasoned debate.
Only portable skill-~--means our framework turns caseSteinberg and Freeley 8 *Austin J. Freeley is a Boston based attorney who focuses on criminal, personal injury and civil rights law, AND **David L. Steinberg , Lecturer of Communication Studies @ U Miami, Argumentation and Debate: Critical Thinking for Reasoned Decision Making pp9-10 After several days of …. our favored political candidate.
Effective deliberation is the lynchpin of solving all existential global problemsChristian O. Lundberg 10 Professor of Communications @ University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, “Tradition of Debate in North Carolina” in Navigating Opportunity: Policy Debate in the 21st Century By Allan D. Louden, p311 The second major …. increasingly complex world.
2NCConstraints are key to creativity-~--challenging ourselves to innovate within the confines of rules creates far more creative responses than starting with a blank slateMayer 6 – Marissa Ann Mayer, vice-president for search products and user experience at Google, February 13, 2006, “Creativity Loves Constraints,” online: http://www.businessweek.com/print/magazine/content/06_07/b3971144.htm?chan=gl When people think ….possibilities (a canvas that is marked). True challenges to authority require acts of dialogue and self criticism-~--they otherwise result in the same authoritative exclusion that they critiqueMorson 4—Northwestern prof (Greg, Bakhtinian Perspectives on Language, Literacy, and Learning, 317-23) Sarah Freedman and Arnetha Ball describe …. by experience and by other convictions Fairness is key to effective dialogue-~--monopolizing strategy makes discussion one-sided and subverts inclusion of the neg-~-- turns their inclusion argumentsGalloway 7—Samford Comm prof (Ryan, Contemporary Argumentation and Debate, Vol. 28, 2007) Debate as a dialogue ….of topical advocacy.
The premise of their response to framework is that issues of identity/race/culture should be protected from exposure to reason-giving debate-~--this impedes the culture of democratic debate that’s key to effective decisionmaking in a pluralistic society-~--it’s also simply wrong to claim that framework oppresses identity or alternate styles-~--our argument is style-neutral-~--it simply asks that narrative/experience/etc be used to support a policy conclusion which solves their offense as well as oursAmanda Anderson 6, Andrew W. Mellon Professor of Humanities and English at Brown University, Spring 2006, “Reply to My Critic(s),” Criticism, Vol. 48, No. 2, p. 281-290 MY RECENT BOOK, The Way …. and legislative agendas. Framework isn’t itself forceful oppression-~--it’s simply an advocacy on behalf of certain decision making practices-~--it’s no different than any other argument in debate Amanda Anderson 6, Andrew W. Mellon Professor of Humanities and English at Brown University, Spring 2006, “Reply to My Critic(s),” Criticism, Vol. 48, No. 2, p. 281-290 Lets first examine …. further elaboration here. | |
03/29/2013 | Wounded AttachmentsTournament: NDT | Round: 3 | Opponent: OU CL | Judge: 1NCThe aff’s narrative is grounded in injuries of the past with no guide for the future-~--this reinscribes exclusion and foreclosures social justiceBhambra 10—U Warwick—AND—Victoria Margree—School of Humanities, U Brighton (Identity Politics and the Need for a ‘Tomorrow’, http://www.academia.edu/471824/Identity_Politics_and_the_Need_for_a_Tomorrow_) 2 The Reification of Identity …..past-based grievances.
The aff is IDENTITY but not POLITICS-~--failure to envision a future in which their identity claims will no longer be needed results in a reactionary politics that entrenches the status quoBhambra 10—U Warwick—AND—Victoria Margree—School of Humanities, U Brighton (Identity Politics and the Need for a ‘Tomorrow’, http://www.academia.edu/471824/Identity_Politics_and_the_Need_for_a_Tomorrow_) The quotation with which this article …. knowledge by Lynn Hankinson Nelson.
The resolution should be treated as an epistemological community in which identity is CONTINGENT and used to GUIDE POLITICAL ACTION-~--their failure to reflect on the topic beyond their perspectives shuts down dialogue and social changeBhambra 10—U Warwick—AND—Victoria Margree—School of Humanities, U Brighton (Identity Politics and the Need for a ‘Tomorrow’, http://www.academia.edu/471824/Identity_Politics_and_the_Need_for_a_Tomorrow_)
We suggest that alternative models of identity and community are required from those put forward by essentialist theories, andthat these are offered by the work of two theorists, SatyaMohanty and Lynn Hankinson Nelson. Mohanty’s (1993 2000)post-positivist, realist theorisation of identity suggests a way through the impasses of essentialism, while avoiding the excessesof the postmodernism that Bramen, among others…., practices and projects. 1NRThe affirmative abdicates politics for moralism-~--venerating oppression as the starting point for argument naturalizes states of injury that initially created the exploitationEnns 12—Professor of Philosophy at McMaster University (Dianne, The Violence of Victimhood, 11-3) In chapter 1 I explore …. to struggle and overcome. he claim that oppression should be the basis for winning a debate round is a pretty good example of our link argument-~--the ballot is not a tool of emancipation, but rather a tool of revenge-~--it serves as a palliative that denies their investment in oppression as a means by which to claim the power of victoryEnns 12—Professor of Philosophy at McMaster University (Dianne, The Violence of Victimhood, 28-30) Guilt and Ressentiment We need …. exploration of this third outcome. | |
03/29/2013 | F KritikTournament: NDT | Round: 3 | Opponent: OU CL | Judge: Their use of the “f” word is an independent reason to vote negative—it normalizes sexual violence and makes a culture of domination inevitableSchwyzer, Prof of Gender Studies, 9 community college history and gender studies professor, DPhil, Berkley (Hugo, “Penetrate” v. “Engulf” and the multiple meanings of the “f” word: a note on feminist language, 4 November 2009, http://hugoschwyzer.net/2009/11/04/penetrate-v-engulf-and-the-multiple-meanings-of-the-f-word-a-note-on-feminist-language/ In every women’s studies …., just and egalitarian world. | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: T REstrictions 1NC/2NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Conditions on monitoring or supervision are NOT restrictions 3. The ordinary definition of the term "restrictions" also does not include Conditions aren’t restrictions---this distinction matters
Prefer our Anell evidence---he defines ‘restriction on production’---they don’t---key to predictability | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: State RPS CP 1NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: TERA CP 1NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: --remove the federal government liability waiver for Tribal Energy Resource Agreements Changing the Secretary’s approval process solves the whole case—spurs solar development and balances self-determination with the trust doctrine | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: CIR 1NC/1NRTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 1NR Top of the agenda Obama won’t issue an immigration XO --- not worth the political risk | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: Native Desire K 1NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: Land Rush DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: Extinction OW 1NC/1NRTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 1NR Governments can’t make case by case judgments, they have to base their decisions on broad trends and averages, necessitating consequentialism | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: Solvency v. Natives 1NC/2NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Squo federal policies spurring native renewables development now Legal uncertainty prevents renewable investment | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: A2 Tribal Economies 1nC/2ncTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 2NC | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 1: A2 State Tribal COnflict 1nc/2ncTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 2NC | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 3: Wounded Attachments K 1nc/1nrTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: The aff is IDENTITY but not POLITICS---failure to envision a future in which their identity claims will no longer be needed results in a reactionary politics that entrenches the status quo The resolution should be treated as an epistemological community in which identity is CONTINGENT and used to GUIDE POLITICAL ACTION---their failure to reflect on the topic beyond their perspectives shuts down dialogue and social change We suggest that alternative models of identity and community are required from those put forward | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 3: "F" K 1NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 3: Framework 1NC/2NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Energy production is only electricity creation from one of the 6 topic energies Prefer our interpretation Second, discussion of specific policy-questions is crucial for skills development---we control uniqueness: university students already have preconceived and ideological notions about how the world operates---government policy discussion is vital to force engagement with and resolution of competing perspectives to improve social outcomes, however those outcomes may be defined---and, it breaks out of traditional pedagogical frameworks by positing students as agents of decision-making Third, Switch-side is key---Effective deliberation is only possible in a switch-side debate – forces critical thinking and better advocacy of one’s positions And independently a voting issue for limits and ground---our entire negative strategy is based on the “should” question of the resolution---there are an infinite number of reasons that the scholarship of their advocacy could be a reason to vote affirmative--- these all obviate the only predictable strategies based on topical action---they overstretch our research burden and undermine preparedness for all debates Effective decision-making outweighs--- Only portable skill---means our framework turns case Effective deliberation is the lynchpin of solving all existential global problems 2NC Fairness is key to effective dialogue---monopolizing strategy makes discussion one-sided and subverts inclusion of the neg--- turns their inclusion arguments The premise of their response to framework is that issues of identity/race/culture should be protected from exposure to reason-giving debate---this impedes the culture of democratic debate that’s key to effective decisionmaking in a pluralistic society---it’s also simply wrong to claim that framework oppresses identity or alternate styles---our argument is style-neutral---it simply asks that narrative/experience/etc be used to support a policy conclusion which solves their offense as well as ours 1NR | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 3: 1NC Case DebateTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Turns the whole case---racists can use the fact that black students have a different “code” to justify their policies Their approach to debate risks an inward turn that can’t resist the violence of authoritarianism 1NR In Britain, the United States, South Africa, Bosnia, and elsewhere, | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 5: 1NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Vote neg---allowing secondary derivatives of natural gas makes the topic unmanageable---means they get hundreds of other conversion, consumption and transportation affs that don’t link to any predictable negative ground T Financial Incentive Px Extinction---tech and reforms fail Transition to renewables is inevitable, but its form is up for grabs---the 1AC moves toward neoliberal marketization---instead vote neg to build a renewable system based on non-market commons---they’re mutually exclusive Exports DA Extinction Grants CP Enviro Advantage Americans are used to drinking from the kitchen tap without fear of harm, even though … about changes in their water. Although conservationists argue that accelerating soil erosion will …threat to the productivity of the nation's soils.31 Agriculture is resilient Economic power not key to hegemony | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 5: T Financial Incentives 2NC/2NRTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Contextual definitions bad – intent to define outweighs it’s true in the context of energy projects And in policy making financial incentive” is a distinct category that requires a cash transfer – tax incentives are not included. Reasonability is arbitrary and undermines research 2NR Disclaimer: The information presented … a specific financial incentive or other policy applies to your project. | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 5: Grant CP 2NCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Plan causes electricity prices $15 higher than the counterplan | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 5: Tax Reform DA 1NRTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
03/30/2013 | NDT Round 5: Case Debate 2NC/1NRTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: This program is part-and-parcel of the most … NALS claimed. And this finding undercuts the new USDA program being proposed now. | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - T IncentivesTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Restrictions on production must ban productionAnell 89 Lars is the Chairman of the WTO panel adopted at the Forty-Fifth Session of Contracting Parties on December 5, 1989. Other panel members: Mr. Hugh Bartlett and Mrs. Carmen Luz Guarda. "Canada – Import Restrictions on Ice Cream and Yoghurt," http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/88icecrm.pdf Vote negative:Including regs is a limits disasterDoub 76 William is a principal in the law firm of Doub and Muntzing. Previously he was a partner in LeBoeuf, Lamb, Leiby, and MacRae. He was a member of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (1971-1974). He served as a member of the Executive Advisory Committee to the Federal Power Commission (1968-1971) and was appointed by the President to the President’s Air Quality Advisory Board. He is a past chairman of the U.S. National Committee of the World Energy Conference. "Energy Regulation: A Quagmire for Energy Policy," http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev.eg.01.110176.003435 And precision—-only direct prohibition is a restrictionSinha 6 S.B. Sinha is a former judge of the Supreme Court of India. "Union Of India %26 Ors vs M/S. Asian Food Industries," Nov 7, http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://www.indiankanoon.org/doc/437310/ Limits WorkIncluding energy regulations adds five million research hoursTugwell 88 Franklin Tugwell joined The Asia Foundation’s Board of Trustees in 2010. Dr Including energy regs is too big—-it’s torture for the negEdwards 80 Opinion in BAYOU BOUILLON CORP. v. ATLANTIC RICHFIELD CO. Court of Appeal of Louisiana, First Circuit. May 5 That destroys education—-too much to comprehendStafford 83 G. William is an Associate at Ross, Marsh and Foster. Review of "Federal Regulation of Energy" by William F. Fox, Jr, http://felj.org/elj/Energy%20Journals/Vol6_No2_1985_Book_Review2.pdf Condition/= Restriction=== Conditions aren’t restrictions—-this distinction mattersPashman 63 Morris is a justice on the New Jersey Supreme Court. "ISIDORE FELDMAN, PLAINTIFF AND THIRD-PARTY PLAINTIFF, v. URBAN COMMERCIAL, INC., AND OTHERS, DEFENDANT," 78 N.J. Super. 520; 189 A.2d 467; 1963 N.J. Super. Lexis Prefer AnellPrefer our Anell evidence—-he defines ’restriction on production’—-they don’t—-key to predictabilityHaneman 59 J.A.D. is a justice of the Superior Court of New Jersey, Appellate Division. "Russell S. Bertrand et al. v. Donald T. Jones et al.," 58 NJ Super. 273; 156 A.2d 161; 1959 N.J. Super, Lexis | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - CIR PTX DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Immigration will pass nowCharles Castaldi 3-27 | Take Two | KPCC – California Public Radio, March 27th, 2013, LA Archbishop Gomez keeps Mahony’s promise to push for immigration reform Plan’s controversialSperry 12 Todd is a writer for CNN. "Wind farm gets US approval despite controversy," Aug 16, http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/16/us/wind-farm-faa/index.html PC’s keyFoley 1/15 Elise is a writer @ Huff Post Politics. "Obama Gears Up For Immigration Reform Push In Second Term," 2013, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/15/obama-immigration-reform_n_2463388.html Ag industry’s collapsing now—-immigration’s keyAlfonso Serrano 12, Bitter Harvest: U.S. Farmers Blame Billion-Dollar Losses on Immigration Laws, Time, 9-21-12, http://business.time.com/2012/09/21/bitter-harvest-u-s-farmers-blame-billion-dollar-losses-on-immigration-laws/ ExtinctionLugar 2k | Chairman of the Senator Foreign Relations Committee and Member/Former Chair of the Senate Agriculture Committee (Richard, a US Senator from Indiana, is Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and a member and former chairman of the Senate Agriculture Committee. "calls for a new green revolution to combat global warming and reduce world instability," pg online @ http://www.unep.org/OurPlanet/imgversn/143/lugar.html) | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - China DA vs WindTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: China’s beating the US in offshore wind development now—-it’s key to their overall clean-tech leadership—-the plan reverses thisZoninsein 10 Manuela is a writer for Climatewire, New York Times. "Chinese Offshore Development Blows Past U.S.," Sept 7, http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2010/09/07/07climatewire-chinese-offshore-development-blows-past-us-47150.html?pagewanted=all-http://www.nytimes.com/cwire/2010/09/07/07climatewire-chinese-offshore-development-blows-past-us-47150.html?pagewanted=all China’s clean tech leadership’s key to Chinese growth, CCP stability, Chinese soft power, and warmingMcMahon 13 Tamsin is a reporter for the National Post. "How China is going to save the world," 1/27, http://www2.macleans.ca/2013/01/27/business/ China’s economic rise prevents CCP instability and lashout —- decline tubes the global economy, US primacy, and Sino relationsMead 9 Walter Russell Mead, Henry A. Kissinger Senior Fellow in U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, "Only Makes You Stronger," The New Republic, 2/4/9, http://www.tnr.com/story_print.html?id=571cbbb9-2887-4d81-8542-92e83915f5f8 ExtinctionYee and Storey 2 Herbert is a Professor of Politics and IR @ Hong Kong Baptist University, and Ian is a Lecturer in Defence Studies @ Deakin University. "The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality," p. 5 1NRChinaAT: No TradeoffThe whole supply chain follows demand—-means leadership is zero-sum—-if they solve their advantages they definitely link to the DACaperton et al 11 Richard W. Caperton is a Policy Analyst with the Energy Opportunity team at the Center for American Progress; Kate Gordon is Vice President for Energy Policy at the Center; Bracken Hendricks is a Senior Fellow at the Center; and Daniel J. Weiss is a Senior Fellow and Director of Climate Strategy at the Center. "Helping America Win the Clean Energy Race," Feb 7, http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/issues/2011/02/pdf/ces_brief.pdf Investment is also zero-sum—-plan causes flight from China by creating certainty in the USLuke Schoen 12, World Resources Institute, "CLEAN TECH’S RISE, PART I: Will the U.S. and China Reap the Mutual Benefits?", China FAQS issue brief, April 2012, http://www.chinafaqs.org/files/chinainfo/ChinaFAQs_IssueBrief1_MutualBenefits.pdf Renewables companies are going to China now because of lack of incentives—-empirics proveFreedman 11 David is a Guest Contributor @ MIT’s Technology Review. "China Beckons for Green-Energy Startups," Sept 27, http://www.technologyreview.com/article/425560/china-beckons-for-green-energy-startups/ It’s zero-sum—-demand is key—-plan causes firms to relocate to the USBradsher 1/30 Keith is a writer at the NY Times. "China Leading Global Race to Make Clean Energy," 2010, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/31/business/energy-environment/31renew.html?pagewanted=all-http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/31/business/energy-environment/31renew.html?pagewanted=all Financing is leaving the US for China now because of lack of production incentivesRomm 11 Dr. Joseph Romm is a Senior Fellow @ American Progress. "United States slipped to third in clean energy race," March 29, http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/03/29/207777/united-states-third-clean-energy-race/ Plan reverses uncertainty—-brings in tons of investment from the sidelinesPew 10 Pew Charitable Trust. "Who’s Winning the Clean Energy Race?" http://www.pewenvironment.org/uploadedFiles/PEG/Publications/Report/G-20Report-LOWRes-FINAL.pdf AT: Double BindPlan doesn’t access the impact since it doesn’t resolve Chinese growth and offshore wind is key—-it’s zero sumHarvey 11 Fiona is an environment correspondent at the Guardian. "Developing world ups ante in cleantech ’arms race’," Oct 18, http://www.guardian.co.uk/sustainable-business/eveloping-world-lead-wind-power-renewable-energy-http://www.guardian.co.uk/sustainable-business/eveloping-world-lead-wind-power-renewable-energy Wind is symbolically key to clean tech leadershipAsmus 11 Peter Asmus, president of Pathfinder Communications, is an internationally known expert on energy and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) matters. "Wind: Leader of the renewable power pack," Oct 24, http://www.fierceenergy.com/story/wind-leader-renewable-power-pack/2011-10-24-http://www.fierceenergy.com/story/wind-leader-renewable-power-pack/2011-10-24 AT: Impact DChinese economic collapse causes World War IIIPlate 3 Tom is the Distinguished Scholar of Asian and Pacific Studies at Loyola Marymount University. Mr. Plate is a member of the Pacific Council on International Policy, the Century Association of New York and the Phi Beta Kappa Society. "WHY NOT INVADE CHINA?" June 30, The Straits Times, Lexis Chinese growth turns U.S. competitiveness—- strong Chinese technological power forms linkages with US companies —- drives growth of US companiesNRC 10 National Research Council "The Dragon and the Elephant: Understanding the Development of Innovation Capacity in China and India: Summary of a Conference" http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12873%26page=13 AT: China Debt CrisisTheir evidence is terrible—-just cites on economist who’s lobbying for funding and government changeChina’s growing now—-no alt causesLing 2/5 Li is a writer at the Global Times. "China’s path gives global economy hope," 2013, http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90778/8122121.html Their ev is overly-pessimistic—-China’s growth is strongEzrati 2/1 Milton is an economics writer at On Wall Street. "China’s Economy Looking More Secure," 2013, http://www.onwallstreet.com/ows_issues/23_2/china-s-economic-outlook-looking-more-secure-2682937-1.html Korea ImpactChinese soft power key to solve Korean conflictShambaugh 4 (David Shambaugh, Director of the China Policy Program in the Elliott School of International Affairs and Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at The George Washington University, The Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, International Security, "China Engages Asia; Reshaping the Regional Order") Nuclear warChol 11 Kim Myong Chol is author of a number of books and papers in Korean, Japanese and English on North Korea, including Kim Jong-il’s Strategy for Reunification. He has a PhD from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s Academy of Social Sciences "Dangerous games" Aug 20 www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/MH20Dg01.html Taiwan ImpactChinese soft power prevents Taiwan independence Taiwan independence leads to nuclear warVictor Corpus, (Former Brigadier General, Former head of Army Intelligence), 6 Chinese soft power prevents Taiwan independence Taiwan independence leads to nuclear warVictor Corpus, (Former Brigadier General, Former head of Army Intelligence), 6 2NRAT: EMPEMP empirically deniedFaal 10 (Sorcha, Chinese EMP Attack Prompts US Missile Strike After Cruise Ship Crippled, 11 November 2010, http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index1421.htm) Prefer our ev – no impact to EMPFarley 9—assistant professor at the University of Kentucky’s Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce (Robert, Neocons Salivating Over Their Next Great Exaggerated "Threat": Electromagnetic Pulse Attack, 22 Oct. 2009 October 22, 2009, http://kamran1919.wordpress.com/2009/10/22/neocons-salivating-over-their-next-great-exaggerated-threat-electromagnetic-pulse-attack-politics-alternet/, AMiles) Yes Korean WarThey have the capability and motivationKang and Cha 3/25—Kang, Prof. of IR and Business at USC, Cha, senior advisor for Asia and Korea chair at the CSIS and Prof. at Georgetown, Foreign Policy, "Think Again: North Korea", 2013,www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/03/25/think_again_north_korea?page=full%26wp_login_redirect=0 Yes Escalation/ExtinctionKorean war goes nuclear, spills over globallySteven Metz 3-13, Chairman of the Regional Strategy and Planning Department and Research Professor of National Security Affairs at the Strategic Studies Institute, 3/13/13, "Strategic Horizons: Thinking the Unthinkable on a Second Korean War," http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12786/strategic-horizons-thinking-the-unthinkable-on-a-second-korean-war Korean war draws in China/Russia – escalates to extinctionRich 9 (2/27, Instructor of Economics, History and Political Science @ Delaware County Community College, "North Korean Roulette: The Danger of the Sarajevo," com/blog/don_rich/2009/02/27/north_korean_roulette_the_danger_of_the_sarajevo.) | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - Nat Gas DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: DOE will limit LNG exports now because of concerns about domestic supply and demand—-the plan resolves that and triggers exportsCharles Ebinger et al 12, a senior fellow and director of the Energy Security Initiative at the Brookings Institution; Kevin Massy, Assistant Director of the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings; and Govinda Avasarala, Senior Research Assistant in the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings, May 2012, "Liquid Markets: Assessing the Case for U.S. Exports of Liquefied Natural Gas," http://www.brookings.edu/~~/media/research/files/reports/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports%20ebinger/0502_lng_exports_ebinger.pdf U.S. LNG exports send a signal of energy competition with Russia—-destroys energy coop key to broader relationsRichard Weitz 13, senior fellow and director of the Center for Political-Military Affairs at Hudson Institute, 1/29/13, "Global Insights: Oil Sector a Challenge for Russia, Opportunity for U.S.," http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12672/global-insights-oil-sector-a-challenge-for-russia-opportunity-for-u-s-http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12672/global-insights-oil-sector-a-challenge-for-russia-opportunity-for-u-s ExtinctionGraham Allison 11, Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, 10/30/11, "10 reasons why Russia still matters," http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=161EF282-72F9-4D48-8B9C-C5B3396CA0E6 | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - States CPTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: TEXT: The 50 states should create a uniform permitting process for offshore wind production, include offshore wind energy production as a qualifying energy in existing Renewable Portfolio Standards, and provide a long term investment tax credit for offshore wind development in the United States.States should remove state and local restrictions on offshore wind energy because federal law precludes it.CP solves offshore wind developmentGordon 12 (VP for Energy Policy at American Progress, April, Taking Action on Clean Energy and Climate Protection in 2012, http://www.americanprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/issues/2012/04/pdf/energy_solutions.pdf) | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - Great Lakes PICTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: TEXT: The United States federal government should determine federal law precludes relevant state and local restrictions on marine wind energy."Offshore wind" is a term of art that includes wind in lakes and oceansEnergy Union 11 "Offshore Wind Blows for Intelligent Energy," 4/9, http://www.energyunion.eu/en/blog/offshore_wind Marine refers to the oceans—-excludes the Great LakesNOAA 9 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. "National Survey on Recreation and the Environment (NSRE)," July 16, http://coastalsocioeconomics.noaa.gov/core/nsre/welcome.html The plan causes Great Lakes offshore wind developmentFlesher 12 John is a writer at the Associated Press. "Great Lakes Offshore Wind Farms Agreement Reached Between 5 States And Federal Government," 3/30, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/30/great-lakes-offshore-wind-farms_n_1390352.html Great Lakes wind development collapses freshwater biodiversity—-GLU 9 (Great Lakes United, "Lakebeds and Offshore Wind: A New Frontier for Energy Utilities?" http://www.glu.org/campaigns/energy/lakebeds) ExtinctionScience Daily 11 (Citing Prof Michel Loreau, PhD Ecologist, and Prof Michael Scherer-Lorenzen, PhD and Professor @ University of Freiburg, " Biodiversity Key to Earth’s Life-Support Functions in a Changing World," Aug 11, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/08/110811084513.htm)
2NCAwareness of precise meaning in context is key to education—-they should be responsible for defending what "offshore wind" meansStephen McDougal, political science at University of Wisconsin, 2007 (http://www.uwlax.edu/faculty/mcdougal/pl-prep.htm) "Offshore wind" sites include the Great LakesEESI 10 Environmental and Energy Study Institute. "Offshore Wind Energy Fact Sheet," October, http://www.eesi.org/files/offshore_wind_101310.pdf Multiple studies agree—-"offshore" includes the Great LakesUyl 96 Tim, writing for Environment Canada, the official Canadian environmental protection organization. "Nearshore Waters of the Great Lakes," Oct 30, http://www.on.ec.gc.ca/solec/nearshore-water/paper/part1.html GL KeyThe Great Lakes are a crucial biodiversity hotspotGLIN 13 Great Lakes Information Network. "Environment of the Great Lakes Region," Feb 27, http://www.great-lakes.net/envt/ ExtinctionScience Daily 11 (Citing Prof Michel Loreau, PhD Ecologist, and Prof Michael Scherer-Lorenzen, PhD and Professor @ University of Freiburg, " Biodiversity Key to Earth’s Life-Support Functions in a Changing World," Aug 11, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/08/110811084513.htm) Prefer evidence that’s specific to the Great LakesMusial and Ram 10 Walt Musial has worked at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory ( Great Lakes wind will be in the most vulnerable environmental areasDrag 10 Nate is a writer for Buffalo Rising. "Winds of Change? The Growing Interest in Great Lakes Offshore Wind Energy," Feb 8, http://www.buffalorising.com/2010/02/winds-of-change-the-growing-interest-in-great-lakes-offshore-wind-energy.html Econ turnWind turbines interfere with Great Lakes shipping—-~[also turns their ability to solve warming~]Gray 8 Richard is a writer at the Telegraph. "Wind farms may pose risk to shipping," Oct 25, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/3258362/Wind-farms-may-pose-risk-to-shipping.html Peer-reviewed evidence proves Great Lakes shipping is key to the US economyAlcalde 11 Nancy, U.S. Department of Transportation. "New Economic Study Finds Great Lakes-St. Lawrence Seaway System Supports Over 225,000 Jobs and Generates Billions in Other Benefits," Oct 18, http://www.greatlakes-seaway.com/en/pdf/slsdc_pr20111018.pdf 2NC—-AT: "Marine" Includes GLMarine only includes the seaMerriam-Webster 13 "marine," 2-27, http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/marine The Great Lakes are explicitly not "marine"Deaver 11 Tom, Sprint Advanced Technical Support. "Marine Forecast do not include the Great Lakes," March 30, http://community.sprint.com/baw/thread/65536 | |
03/31/2013 | NDT R8 - CaseTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: OceansCP: The United States federal government should prohibit trawling inside areas that would be eligible for offshore wind development if not for state and local restrictions on offshore wind energy, and should erect non-energy generating structures that model the foundations of wind turbines to act as artificial reefs in areas restricted for offshore wind energy by state and local restrictions.And the United States federal government should increase its investment in port upgrades including but not limited to deepening ports.Solves the case—-their Casey ev says offshore wind solves trawling because it’s prohibited in areas surrounding wind farms—-their Musial ev says the turbine foundations act as artificial reefs—-the CP constructs analogous foundations, just not for wind turbines.Nothing else in the 1AC is a solvency warrant—-every other highlighted warrant in their internal link ev is about why offshore wind is not that bad—-i.e., doesn’t kill that many birds, doesn’t interfere with fish, etc—-zero solvency deficits because we’re directly addressing their internal links.Their O’Hare ev votes for the counterplanO’Hare, 1/28/13 ~US risks falling behind competition¶ By Kerry O’Hare¶ Vice President, Director of Policy, Building America’s Future, http://transportation.nationaljournal.com/2013/01/ports-matter-too.php~~ FederalismAT: Preemption AdvantageThe aff does nothing to change the overall structure of federal preemption – either one law against federalism isn’t sufficient or status quo preemption in other areas should solve.Their Stein evidence says the plan is an instance of process preemption, not that it would spill overSquo solves – massive increase in federal preemption of state lawsRobert Glicksman 8, CPR Member Scholar, Law Prof @ GWU, 11-14-2008, "Revitalizing Cooperative Federalism by Limiting Federal Preemption of State law," Center for Progressive Reform, http://www.progressivereform.org/CPRBlog.cfm?idBlog=98B13094-1E0B-E803-CA3815A3369755D4
1NC No SpilloverThe aff doesn’t set a precedent for other issuesWilliam D. Araiza, Law Prof @ Brooklyn, Summer 2012, "PLAYING WELL WITH OTHERS-BUT STILL WINNING," 46 Ga. L. Rev. 1059, ln 1NC No solvencyThe aff doesn’t cause dynamic federalism—-only angers the statesSierra B. Weaver, JD Harvard, 2002, "Local Management of Natural Resources: Should Local Governments be Able to Keep Oil Out?" 26 Harv. Envtl. L. Rev. 231, ln 1NC No Spillover –Federalism SpecificNo monolithic form of federalism—-doesn’t create a coherent systemHeather K. Gerken, lecturer @ William %26 Mary, April 2012, "OUR FEDERALISM(S)," 53 Wm. %26 Mary L. Rev. 1549, ln DronesNo evidence they’d be able to solve drones —- their internal link evidence is about actions we haven’t already committed toZero risk of a global drones precedent—-it’s inevitable regardless of what the U.S. doesRobert Wright 12, "The Incoherence of a Drone-Strike Advocate," 11/14/12, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/11/the-incoherence-of-a-drone-strike-advocate/265256/ AT: Fracking Water ContaminationWater shortages don’t cause extinction —- reject their WWP impact – Western Watersheds Project with bias and no qualification====Squo regs and physical barriers prevent fracking water contamination==== No evidence of fracking contaminating waterLawson 12 – General Richard Lawson (USAF), May 2012, "Fueling America and the Energy Water Nexus: How and Why it Impacts the Nexus and What Next" www.acus.org/files/EnergyEnvironment/062212_EEP_FuelingAmericaEnergyWaterNexus.pdf-http://www.acus.org/files/EnergyEnvironment/062212_EEP_FuelingAmericaEnergyWaterNexus.pdf 1NC South AsiaNo South Asian conflictMutti 9— Master’s degree in International Studies with a focus on South Asia, U Washington. BA in History, Knox College. over a decade of expertise covering on South Asia geopolitics, Contributing Editor to Demockracy journal (James, 1/5, Mumbai Misperceptions: War is Not Imminent, http://demockracy.com/four-reasons-why-the-mumbai-attacks-wont-result-in-a-nuclear-war/) 1NC China-Russia WarShared interests solve China-RussiaWeitz 11—-Director, Center for Political-Military Analysis Senior Fellow Hudson Institute. PhD in pol sci from Harvard (Richard, China-Russia relations and the United States: At a turning point?, http://en.rian.ru/valdai_op/20110414/163523421.html-http://en.rian.ru/valdai_op/20110414/163523421.html) Impact Defense—-Conflict/War—-GeneralBest data proves climate change doesn’t cause conflict—-cooling’s more likely to cause warErik Gartzke 11, Associate Professor of Political Science at UC-San Diego, March 16, 2011, "Could Climate Change Precipitate Peace?," online: http://dss.ucsd.edu/~~egartzke/papers/climate_for_conflict_03052011.pdf-http://dss.ucsd.edu/~egartzke/papers/climate_for_conflict_03052011.pdf PortsAT: Ports InternalNo causal evidence that says wind leads to dredging directly – not connected – zero advantageOnly the federal government has jurisdiction to dredge— they won’t provide fundingAIMU 6 American Institute of Marine Underwriters. "Dredging and Marine Contractors," May, http://www.aimu.org/Dredging%20%26%20Marine%20Contractors.pdf Congress won’t provide any fundingSpivak 11 — senior research analyst at the HNTB Corporation, a transportation design and engineering firm (Jeffrey, "The Battle of the Ports", May/June, American Planning Association, aapa.files.cms-plus.com/Battle%20of%20the%20Ports%20-%20Planning%20mag%20-%20May_June%202011.pdf) AT: Econ LeadershipEconomic leadership’s resilient and inevitableEric S. Edelman 10, former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, was Principal Deputy Assistant to the Vice President for National Security Affairs, 2010, "Understanding America’s Contested Primacy," Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments AT: CompetitivenessEconomic power not key to hegemonyKapila 10 ~Dr. Subhash Kapila is an International Relations and Strategic Affairs analyst and the Consultant for Strategic Affairs with South Asia Analysis Group and a graduate of the Royal British Army Staff College with a Masters in Defence Science and a PhD in Strategic Studies., "21st Century: Strategically A Second American Century With Caveats," June 26, http://www.eurasiareview.com/201006263919/21st-century-strategically-a-second-american-century-with-caveats.html~~ AT: MandelbaumNo threat to the US economic leadership or modelPosen 9 - deputy director and senior fellow of the Peterson Institute for International Economics (Adam, "Economic leadership beyond the crisis," http://clients.squareeye.com/uploads/foresight/documents/PN%20USA_FINAL_LR_1.pdf) AT: Econ ImpactNo impactRobert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, "Force in Our Times," Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 2NC CaseAdv 1—-Oceans1NC OceansClimate change proves Oceans and marine bioD are resilient – alarmist predictions empirically deniedTaylor 10 ~[James M. Taylor is a senior fellow of The Heartland Institute and managing editor of Environment %26 Climate News., "Ocean Acidification Scare Pushed at Copenhagen," Feb 10 http://www.heartland.org/publications/environment%20climate/article/26815/Ocean_Acidification_Scare_Pushed_at_Copenhagen.html~~] Alt causes to overfishingEdmonton Journal 8 (Elaine O’Connor, "World’s oceans at risk of becoming soupy swill; Rising temperatures, runoff toxins creating ’dead zones’" 9/15/2008, www.canada.com/edmontonjournal/news/story.html?id=3c40fbee-40e4-443a-b736-c70c6072649e) Adv 2—-FismSquo solvesMassive federal preemption of states in the context of windSierra B. Weaver, JD Harvard, 2002, "Local Management of Natural Resources: Should Local Governments be Able to Keep Oil Out?" 26 Harv. Envtl. L. Rev. 231, ln EPA already tried to preempt—-the courts overturned it —- proves no precedent established—-even if the federal hijacks state authority the court will protect states in future instancesMike Norman, 8-16-2012, "Texas claims a victory over the EPA," Star-Telegram, http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/08/16/4186995/texas-claims-a-victory-over-the.html 2NC No SpilloverThe court will functionally nullify the aff’s precedent without overruling it – even when future cases are almost identicalMichael J. Gerhardt, Assoc. prof @ William and Wary, Nov. 1991, ’The Role Of Precedent,’ 60 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 68, p ln The aff doesn’t set a precedent – Court can limit the impact to the affStephen F. Smith, Associate Professor, University of Virginia School of Law, April 2002, Texas Law Review, Activism As Restraint: Lessons from Criminal Procedure, 80 Tex. L. Rev. 1057 Court will distinguish the scope of the aff’s plan – even if fiat is durable, they can’t control future applicationThomas G. Hansford %26 James F. Spriggs, 8-7-2007, "The Politics of Precedent on the U.S. Supreme Court," http://press.princeton.edu/chapters/s8204.html AT: FrackingNo evidence of fracking contaminating waterLawson 12 – General Richard Lawson (USAF), May 2012, "Fueling America and the Energy Water Nexus: How and Why it Impacts the Nexus and What Next" pdf AT: SAsiaNo South Asian conflictMutti 9— Master’s degree in International Studies with a focus on South Asia, U Washington. BA in History, Knox College. over a decade of expertise covering on South Asia geopolitics, Contributing Editor to Demockracy journal (James, 1/5, Mumbai Misperceptions: War is Not Imminent, http://demockracy.com/four-reasons-why-the-mumbai-attacks-wont-result-in-a-nuclear-war/) 1NC China-Russia WarShared interests solve China-RussiaWeitz 11—-Director, Center for Political-Military Analysis Senior Fellow Hudson Institute. PhD in pol sci from Harvard (Richard, China-Russia relations and the United States: At a turning point?, http://en.rian.ru/valdai_op/20110414/163523421.html-http://en.rian.ru/valdai_op/20110414/163523421.html) Ports2NC—-Jurisdiction Slayer—-XT USFG KeyThe Constitution delegates authority for dredging to the federal governmentAAPA, No Date (American Association of Port Authorities) "Questions and Answers about America’s Ports and the Harbor Maintenance Tax," Accessed 3/11/2013, http://www.aapa-ports.org/Issues/content.cfm?ItemNumber=1004 Even if the plan somehow changed this, private-sector approaches would collapse ports and be ruled unconstitutionalAAPA, No Date (American Association of Port Authorities) "Questions and Answers about America’s Ports and the Harbor Maintenance Tax," Accessed 3/11/2013, http://www.aapa-ports.org/Issues/content.cfm?ItemNumber=1004 All dredging for federal waterways (i.e. ports) must come from the USFG Harbor Maintenance Trust FundHassan 12 Amna is a writer for OaklandNorth. "Port still waiting on federal funds for dredging," April 20, http://oaklandnorth.net/2012/04/20/port-still-waiting-on-federal-funds-for-dredging/
2NC—-Jurisdiction Slayer—-AT: Plan Motivates FundingCongress won’t investAbbott 11 – Editor, AAPA Seaports Magazine (Paul, "Special Feature on Port-Related Infrastructure," Summer, www.aapa-ports.org/Publications/SeaportsDetail.cfm?itemnumber=18152~%23seaportsarticle4) Empirically proven—-this answers their "plan creates an economic incentive" argumentKornegay 9 H. Thomas Kornegay was appointed executive director of the Port of Houston Authority (PHA) in 1992. Before his appointment by the Port Commission, Mr. Kornegay served as the PHA’s managing director for five years. Mr. Kornegay has held numerous positions since he first joined the PHA staff in 1972. He worked his way through the ranks, serving in the engineering department for 15 years before being appointed as managing director. "Dredging up a Disaster: Declining Federal Maintenance of Nation’s Ports," World Energy Source, http://www.worldenergysource.com/articles/text/kornegay_WE_v8n4.cfm Even pro-dredging authors agree there’s no moneyAP 12 (Associated Press, "Price tag to dredge Eastern ports for big ships: %245 billion", http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/story/2012-06-21/southern-ports-expansion/55746890/1) Their Economist ev agrees—-says federal funding shortfalls are keyEconomist, 2/3/13 ~[Crying out for dollars, http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21571167-underinvestment-ports-and-inland-waterways-imperils-american-competitiveness-crying-out~~] AT: CompetitivenessEconomic power not key to hegemonyKapila 10 ~[Dr. Subhash Kapila is an International Relations and Strategic Affairs analyst and the Consultant for Strategic Affairs with South Asia Analysis Group and a graduate of the Royal British Army Staff College with a Masters in Defence Science and a PhD in Strategic Studies., "21st Century: Strategically A Second American Century With Caveats," June 26, http://www.eurasiareview.com/201006263919/21st-century-strategically-a-second-american-century-with-caveats.html~~] AT: MandelbaumNo threat to the US economic leadership or modelPosen 9 - deputy director and senior fellow of the Peterson Institute for International Economics (Adam, "Economic leadership beyond the crisis," http://clients.squareeye.com/uploads/foresight/documents/PN%20USA_FINAL_LR_1.pdf) AT: Econ ImpactJervis finishing itcould not be reversed – states that were more internally interdependent than anything seen internationally Global economic governance institutions guarantee resiliencyDaniel W. Drezner 12, Professor, The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University, October 2012, "The Irony of Global Economic Governance: The System Worked," http://www.globaleconomicgovernance.org/wp-content/uploads/IR-Colloquium-MT12-Week-5_The-Irony-of-Global-Economic-Governance.pdf-http://www.globaleconomicgovernance.org/wp-content/uploads/IR-Colloquium-MT12-Week-5_The-Irony-of-Global-Economic-Governance.pdf |
Tournament | Round | Report |
---|---|---|
Harvard | 2 |
Opponent: Dartmouth | Judge: Weil 1NC – PGS CP, DoD CP, Fiscal Cliff, NRC DA, T Restrictions Case (Warming, IAEA) |
Harvard | 4 |
Opponent: WGA DF | Judge: Shook 1NC – Security CP, Fwork, T Restrictions, Case |
Harvard | 5 |
Opponent: Wake LM | Judge: Miller 1NC – T RandD, SK DA, Biofuels DA, SMR CP, |
Harvard | 7 |
Opponent: MSU HR | Judge: Kallmyer 1NC – Elections, Special States CP, T RandD, LFRTR+Adv CP Planks |
Harvard | Octas |
Opponent: Gtown CV | Judge: Green, Topp, DCH 1NC – Framework, T Fin Incentives, T not 79, case Turns |
Harvard | Finals |
Opponent: Gtown AM | Judge: Heidt, Struth, Wunderlich 1NC – T Substantial, Procurement CP, Greenwashing DA, Accountability DA, Elections, Budget t/off DA, Microgrids/Adv CP |
Wake | 1 |
Opponent: Liberty AB | Judge: Strauss 1NC: Market CP (competitiveness NB), Epist K, ASPEC, Px (Fiscal Cliff), DoD CP Case: Warming DA, IAEA DA |
Wake | 3 |
Opponent: Minn CE | Judge: Foley 1NC: ASPEC, T- EP-Not extraction, Courts CP, SEP CP, Fiscal Cliff, Oil prices DA, Taiwan turn to energy independence and EU co-op turn to OCS drilling on case |
Wake | 6 |
Opponent: Oklahoma LM | Judge: Miller 1NC: Framework, T Restrictions, Birds |
Wake | 7 |
Opponent: Michigan AP | Judge: Bencosme 1NC – ASPEC, T Restrictions, SEP CP, NEPA Uniqueness CP+DA, Ontology K, China Competitiveness DA, Px, Adv CP to do reefs |
Wake | Quarters |
Opponent: Marywash MM | Judge: Malsin, Wunderlich, Heidt 1NC – Px, SEP, Courts CP, T Restrictions, T Substantial, ASPEC, Ontology K |
Wake | Semis |
Opponent: Gtown AM | Judge: Malsin, Heidt, Brovero 1NC – ASPEC, T Procurement, Microgrids CP, Politics, Coal DA, HTGRs PIC, HTRGs DA |
USC | 1 |
Opponent: ISU CI | Judge: Manuel 1NC 2NC 1NR 2NR |
USC | 4 |
Opponent: Georgetown EM | Judge: Kennedy, S. 1NC – China Coal DA, T Procurement, SERDP CP, PIC out of Alt Financing, Debt Ceiling Px, Budget T/off DA, Ontology K |
USC | 6 |
Opponent: Harvard BS | Judge: Bass 1NC - Framework, Case |
USC | Doubles |
Opponent: GW BS | Judge: Parkinson, Nikolic, Kanellopoulos 1NC – Courts CP, States CP, Restrictions T, Debt Ceiling Px, ASPEC, Silver DA |
Fullerton | 2 |
Opponent: Vanderbilt SW | Judge: Cohn 1NC – EPSCoR CP, SMR CP, SK DA, Px DA, T RandD, Uranium Prices DA |
Fullerton | 4 |
Opponent: Harvard BS | Judge: Topp 1NC - Framework, Rights Malthus |
Fullerton | 6 |
Opponent: Wake BM | Judge: Bricker 1NC – Courts CP, T Restrictions, PGS CP, Hagel DA, STEM DA |
Fullerton | Doubles |
Opponent: Wayne State JS | Judge: Strauss, Bricker, Hays 1NC – SEP CP, T Restrictions, |
Fullerton | Octas |
Opponent: Mary Washington | Judge: Wunderlich, Weil, Arnett 1NC – Hagel DA, SEP CP, Exports CP, Europe Gas DA, China Coop Gas DA |
Fullerton | Quarters |
Opponent: ISU CI | Judge: Bankey, Moczulski, Peters 1NC – Framework, Rights Malthus |
OLC | 2 |
Opponent: Iowa CK | Judge: Strauss 1NC – Cap and Trade, Energy Prices, T FIT, Px, China DA, States CP |
OLC | 3 |
Opponent: Missouri State BR | Judge: Kuenzel 1NC – T Electricity, Px, Exports CP (Methane, Oceans DA), SEP CP, China Coal DA |
OLC | 6 |
Opponent: Michigan KM | Judge: Parkinson 1NC – Framework, Px, States CP, PIC out of Plan, China Coal DA - Case – Rights Malthus, Oil DA |
OLC | 8 |
Opponent: MSU GT | Judge: Bricker 1NC – T RandD, Non Fusion Research CP, States CP, Immigration Px, Ontology K |
OLC | Doubles |
Opponent: Michigan CM | Judge: Arnett, Bricker, Struth 1NC – States CP, Exports CP (Oceans DA), Immigration DA, T Electricity, ASPEC, China DA, Case (biofuels DA) |
OLC | Quarters |
Opponent: Gtown AM | Judge: Brovero, Wunderlich, Strauss 1NC – T Restrictions, ASPEC, Ontology K, Px, Amendment CP, Coal DA, Case (De dev) |
NDT | 1 |
Opponent: USC PS | Judge: Weiner, Susko, Cohn 1NC - T Restrictions, Indigenous Discourse K, CIR, Greenwashing DA, States CP, TERA CP, Case 2NC - T Restrictions, K, States, Case 1NR - Politics CIR, Case 2NR - T |
NDT | 3 |
Opponent: OU CL | Judge: Eisenstadt, Garrett, Johnson-Freyd 1NC - Framework, Wounded Attachments |
NDT | 5 |
Opponent: Michigan AP | Judge: Gliniecki, Nikolic, Reed A 1NC – T Financial incentives, T Energy Production, Grants CP, States CP, Neolib K, Tax DA, Px, NG Exports DA |
NDT | 8 |
Opponent: Emory DH | Judge: Mosley-Jensen, Severson, Struth 1NC – Marine PIC, China DA, Px, Exports DA, T Restrictions, States CP, Adv CP |
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Air Force
Amherst
Appalachian State
Arizona State
Army
Augustana
Bard
Baylor
Binghamton
Boston College
CSU Northridge
CSU Sacramento
CUNY
Cal Berkeley
Cal Lutheran
Cal Poly SLO
Case Western
Central Florida
Central Oklahoma
Chico
Clarion
Columbia
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