Tournament: Wake | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
EPA court ruling creates momentum to stop warming and install renewables
Baltimore Sun 12 (“EPA's climatic victory” http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/opinion/editorial/bs-ed-epa-climate-20120627,0,7041174.story)
Tuesday's victory by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in federal appeals court
AND
time Washington stopped bickering over global warming and started supporting the EPA's efforts.

The plan causes international backlash, collapses relations with Europe and splinters green groups
The Hill 12 (Citing Michael Levi, Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment @CFR “Natural-gas boom could isolate US on climate change” http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/237601-natural-gas-boom-could-hurt-us-climate-change-efforts)
The domestic national-gas boom might thin the ranks of climate change advocates and
AND
becomes more difficult to put good climate policy in place,” Levi said. 

That means extinction---outweighs nuclear war
Deibel 7 Terry L., Professor of IR @ National War College, “Foreign Affairs Strategy: Logic for American Statecraft”, Conclusion: American Foreign Affairs Strategy Today
Finally, there is one major existential threat to American security (as well as
AND
States, but potentially to the continued existence of life on this planet.

Credibility is key to Europe relations and heg  
Levi 2008 Michael Levi, senior fellow in energy and environment at CFR, project director, “Confronting Climate Change: A Strategy for US Foreign Policy, report of an independent task force for the Council on Foreign Relations, 2008, http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/Climate_ChangeTF.pdf

Great power war
O’Sullivan, 4 – vice president of the Mission Critical Networks business area, which includes all FAA programs, as well as the Alaska Flight Services Modernization and OASIS programs March 31, 2004, John O'Sullivan, “Europe and the Establishment,” The National Interest, http://nationalinterest.org/article/europe-and-the-establishment-2608
The report's starting point -- that U.S.-European relations are extremely important
AND
the maneuvering between a half-dozen great powers that led to 1914. 

Tournament: Wake | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
A. Uniqueness-Momentum for PNTR to pass in the lame-duck-Election year politics were a major hang up and Obama is pushing
Star Telegram 10/18/12
U.S. traders eager to cash in on Russia pact, but it’s stalled in Congress
http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/10/18/4345919/us-traders-eager-to-cash-in-on.html

WASHINGTON — When Russia formally joined the World Trade Organization as its newest member in
AND
a new harvest season,” he said. “We’d like to benefit.”
B. Links

Energy debates drain capital
National Journal 12 (“Former Sen. Trent Lott, Ex-Rep. Jim Davis Bemoan Partisanship on Energy Issues” http://www.nationaljournal.com/2012-election/former-members-bemoan-partisanship-on-energy-issues-20120829)
In a climate where everything from transportation issues to the farm bill have gotten caught
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Congress is gridlocked because of who is there.… The middle is gone.”

C. Impact 

Failure makes Russia lashout
Milov et al 3/14/12  (Sergey Aleksashenko Political Council member, People’s Freedom Party (Parnas) Alexander Lebedev Independent businessman and politician Vladimir Milov Leader, “Democratic Choice” movement Alexey Navalny Attorney and civil activist Boris Nemtsov Co-chairman, People’s Freedom Party (Parnas), "Solidarity” movement Ilya Ponomarev State Duma member, Just Russia Party Vladimir Ryzhkov Co-chairman, People’s Freedom Party (Parnas) “Remove Russia from Jackson-Vanik!”
Removal of Russia from the provisions of the Cold War era Jackson-Vanik Amendment
AND
Bill 1039). It is time to remove Russia from Jackson-Vanik! 

Causes nuclear war and extinction
Israelyan 98 Victor was a Soviet ambassador, diplomat, arms control negotiator, and leading political scientist. The Washington Quarterly, Winter)
The first and by far most dangerous possibility is what I call the power scenario
AND
be able to stumble on, until we all fall down together." n12

Tournament: Wake | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
---Genuine citizen engagement in energy policy formation is critical to solvency.
Hendriks 2009
Carolyn M., Crawford School of Economics and Government @ Australia National University, Securing public legitimacy for long-term energy reforms, PUBLIC POLICY NETWORK CONFERENCETHE AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, CANBERRA29-30 JANUARY
Integrate policy development with empowered forms of citizen engagement A more radical strategy would be
AND
have to reconsider their views on the role of citizens in energy politics.
---Engagement with the people is a prerequisite to larger social change.
Löwy 2009
Michael, Fellow of the IIRE in Amsterdam and former research director of the French National Council for Scientific Research, Climate Change - a contribution to the debate, IV Online magazine : IV418, http://www.internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article1741
Ecosocialist planning must be based on democratic and pluralist debate, at every level of
AND
result of their struggles, their self-education and their social experience.
---The impact is American imperialism.
Cox 2012
William John, retired police officer, prosecutor, public interest lawyer, author and political activist, Global Research - Political Transformation in America: Effectuating Real Democracy by a Voters’ Rights Amendment, http://thevoters.org/
A National Policy Referendum can produce a number of positive results: First, the
AND
democracy is no longer an option. It is a matter of survival!

Tournament: Wake | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
---Critiquing technological advances are regressive and doom the environment to catastrophe --- It’s impossible to solve environmental problems without using instrumental rationality.
Bronner 2004
Stephen Eric, Professor of Political Science at Rutgers University, Reclaiming the Enlightenment: Toward a Politics of Radical Engagement, pg. 160
Critics of the Enlightenment may have correctly emphasized the price of progress, the costs
AND
transcend the crude cate¬gories of technical criteria and slide-rule measurements.”7
---Using environmental concerns to justify collectivism risks global extinction.
Woiceshyn 2001
Glenn, senior writer for the Ayn Rand Institute, “Man: The Real Endangered Species” http://www.aynrand.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticleandid=5301andnews_iv_ctrl=2457
What motivates environmentalists to protect "endangered" species with so much zeal that they
AND
sic the endangered species.  gendered language said in context
---Individualism is key to the environment --- history proves.
Wolf 2003
Martin fellow of Nuffield College, Oxford University, and a special professor at the University of Nottingham., Foreign Policy September 1, 2003, The morality of the market
Yet another example of changed sensibilities is environmentalism. The environmental catastrophes caused by supposedly
AND
companies must adhere to environmental standards if they hope to maintain their reputations.
---No impact
(A.) Future adaptation makes their long term predictions useless.
Kling 2002
Arnold, Ph.D. in economics from MIT, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute - 28 Mar “Common Sense and Sensibility” http://www.techcentralstation.com/article.aspx?id=032802C
Environmentalists tend to assume a constant relationship between inputs and outputs. If you are
AND
enable us to reduce the resources needed to produce valuable goods and services.
(B.) Prices correlate to scarcity --- Market structure resolves their doomsday scenarios.  
Kling 2002
Arnold, Ph.D. in economics from MIT, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute - 28 Mar “Common Sense and Sensibility” http://www.techcentralstation.com/article.aspx?id=032802C
Not all economists dispute the environmental pessimists. Those that do, however, point
AND
, the market will find ways to side-step the doomsday scenarios.  
---Prioritizing Human value is good --- Only economic development can give meaningless chemical elements value via the preservation of human reason.   
Reisman 1992
George, Professor of Economics at Pepperdine University’s School of Business and Management in Los Angeles. – September, The Freeman: Ideas on Liberty Vol. 42 No. 9 “The Toxicity of Environmentalism”
It is important to realize that when the environmentalists talk about destruction of the “
AND
will be an artificial world . . .” (italics supplied).8
They result in a hatred of humanity, causes extinction. Gendered language said in context.
Reisman 2012
George, Professor Emeritus of Economics at Pepperdine University, Article in Current Issue of QJAE Squelches Evidence on Environmentalism, June 12 2012, http://georgereismansblog.blogspot.com/2012/06/irrefutable-evidence-of.html

“The idea of nature’s intrinsic value inexorably implies a desire to destroy man and
AND
pure nihilism.” And it is the philosophical sum and substance of environmentalism.
---Human exploitation of non human life is inevitable --- Finite resources means our existence is by definition an opportunity cost with other species.
Armstrong 2003
Ari, Challenges to Animal Rights, http://www.freecolorado.com/2003/11/animalrights.html
I wonder if Crawford lives in a house or in an apartment, or if
AND
to minimize this killing and harsh treatment of animals. That's our penance.
---Claims of non human ‘intrinsic value’ are meaningless outside of an anthropocentric framework.
Cross 1989
Frank B., Assoc. Prof. Bus Law @ Texas, March, “Natural Resource Damage Valuation,” 42 Vand. L. rev. 269
Perhaps the argument over the intrinsic worth of natural resources is largely pointless. Political
AND
the antidemocratic and elitist features potentially existing in concepts of intrinsic value. n143

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
The world is slowing norming towards cooperation in space which solve space militarization—but it’s a fragile process
Krepon 1/17/12 (Michael Krepon is co-founder of Stimson, and director of the South Asia and Space Security programs. “Space Code of Conduct Advances” http://krepon.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/3329/space-code-of-conduct-advances)
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s announcement that the Obama administration will lend its support to
AND
with respect to civil-military coordination and the acceptance of greater transparency. 

DOD SMR development allows the Air Force to deploy a space laser
Maybury, 12 (Chief Scientist-USAF, “Energy Horizons: United States Air Force Energy SandT Vision 2011-2026,” 1/31, http://www.fas.org/irp/doddir/usaf/energy.pdf)
Space is the ―ultimate high ground, providing access to every part of the
AND
plants decrease in size, their utility on board space based assets increases.

Yo aff leads to nuclear war with Russia
Graham 5 (Thomas, is a former special representative of the president for arms control, nonproliferation, and disarmament. In this and other senior capacities, he participated in every major arms control and nonproliferation negotiation in which the United States took part from 1970 to 1997. “Space Weapons and the Risk of Accidental Nuclear War” http://www.gsinstitute.org/docs/Graham_Space_ACT_12-05.pdf Donnie
Both the United States and Russia rely on space-based systems to provide early
AND
determine whether they needed to order Russia’s strategic forces to launch a counterattack. 

Extinction
Bostrom 2 (Nick, PhD  Faculty of Philosophy, Oxford University  “Existential Risks :Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards” http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html)
A much greater existential risk emerged with the build-up of nuclear arsenals in
AND
preludes to the existential risks that we will encounter in the 21st century.

We control impact escalation---space weapons make accidental wars more likely by increasing use them or lose them pressures---you can talk down intentional wars not accidents, that increases probability---MAD and interdepence solve their conflicts
Weeden 8 (Brian Weeden is a consultant with the Secure World Foundation developing the technical feasibility and architecture for Space Traffic Management. “How China “Wins” a Space War” http://www.chinasecurity.us/index.php?option=com_contentandview=articleandid=86andItemid=8 Donnie)
In the end, a space war can be “won” only in a
AND
wafare and weaponization is a game that no nation can afford to play. 

And---first use pressures mean they cause preemptive strikes on both sides
Hitchens 4 (Theresa Hitchens has had a long career in journalism, with a focus on military, defense industry and NATO affairs.  leads CDI’s Space Security Project in cooperation with the Secure World Foundation. The author of “Future Security In Space: Charting a Cooperative Course,” she also continues to write on space and nuclear arms control issues for a number of outside publications. She serves on the editorial board of The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, and is a member of Women in International Security and the International Institute for Strategic Studies. “U.S. Weaponization of Space: Plans and Implications” http://www.cdi.org/program/issue/document.cfm?DocumentID=3191andIssueID=76andStartRow=11andListRows=10andappendURL=andOrderby=DateLastUpdatedandProgramID=68andissueID=76)
The negative consequences of a global space arms race are hard to exaggerate. Space
AND
I have no choice but to hit everything, using everything I have.

Space weapons collapse primacy before they solve---
a.) Trust
Spacey 98 Major William L. Spacy II (BS, United States Air Force Academy; MS, Air Force Institute of Technology; MA, United States College of Naval Command and Staff. “Does The United States Need Space-Based Weapons? By William L. Spacy Ii A Thesis Presented To The Faculty Of The School Of Advanced Airpower Studies For Completion Of Graduation Requirements.”
Today, the United States is in the enviable position of being the only superpower
AND
. A unilateral move to put weapons in space could undermine this trust.

b.) Counterbalancing
Hitchens 10 Hitchens, Theresa. Director, Center for Defense Information, Leader of Space Security Project in cooperation with the Secure World Foundation. The author of “Future Security In Space: Charting a Cooperative Course,” Cited by Center for Nonproliferation Studies Mountbatten Centre for “International Studies Future Security in Space: Commercial, Military, and Arms Control Trade-Offs Occasional”
Dr. Karl Mueller, a former Air Force analyst now at RAND, writes
AND
for anyone choosing to pursue them— with maintenance costs a key issue.

c.)Commercial satellites get struck
Hitchens 10 Hitchens, Theresa. Director, Center for Defense Information, Leader of Space Security Project in cooperation with the Secure World Foundation. The author of “Future Security In Space: Charting a Cooperative Course,” Cited by Center for Nonproliferation Studies Mountbatten Centre for “International Studies Future Security in Space: Commercial, Military, and Arms Control Trade-Offs Occasional”
The other related negative side effect of the inherent vulnerability of orbiting weapons is the
AND
position of creating strategic and military problems for itself, rather than solving them

d.) Defense spending
Kaufman et. al 3 (Richard F. Kaufman  was formerly General Counsel of the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress where he directed and wrote numerous studies of national security and the economy, defense production, and international economics. He is presently Director of the Bethesda Research Institute and is a Vice Chair of Economists Allied for Arms Reduction. He was the project director as well as a co-author of the present report. “THE FULL COSTS of BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE” http://www.epsusa.org/publications/papers/bmd/bmd.pdf Donnie)
If the military budget were not increased to cover spending on BMD, then BMD
AND
compete with and divert resources needed for the broader goals of military transformation. 

Tournament: USC | Round: 2 | Opponent: Whitman | Judge:
Text
The United States federal government should 

-reform existing domestic subsidies for non-nuclear renewable energy to be conditional on price reductions and improved performance

-substantially increase funding for non-nuclear renewable energy research and development 

-substantially increase global climate financing for non-nuclear carbon reduction strategies 

-support non-nuclear carbon reduction strategies in future climate negotiations 

-ratify and implement the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.

Observation One: CP solves the case
Conditioning renewable energy subsidies on performance and increasing funding for RandD spurs domestic transition.
Jenkins et al-Breakthrough Institute-4/12
Beyond Boom and Bust  http://thebreakthrough.org/blog/Beyond_Boom_and_Bust.pdf

In light of these budgetary findings, this report concludes that policy makers and business
AND
next-generation technologies for sale to an energy-hungry global market.
Climate Financing gets developing nations on board – makes sustainability affordable.
Purvis and Stevenson 2010
Nigel Purvis is president of Climate Advisers and senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. He previously served as a senior climate negotiator at the U.S. Department of State. Andrew Stevenson is a researcher at Climate Advisers and Resources for the Future. Rethinking Climate Diplomacy, Bussels Forum Paper Series, March 2010 http://www.gmfus.org/brusselsforum/2010/docs/BF2010-Paper-Purvis-Stevenson.pdf

Ramping up international clean-energy cooperation through new climate financing, of course,
AND
consist with other development priorities, making climate talks easier down the road.

---Technology already exist to solve warming-deployment key
Romm-Fellow at American Progress and is the editor of Climate Progress-9/26/11
World’s Engineers: “The Technology Needed to Cut the World’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 85% by 2050 Already Exists”
http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2011/09/26/329233/world%E2%80%99s-engineers-technology-cut-greenhouse-gas-emissions-exists/

The technology needed to cut the world’s greenhouse gas emissions by 85% by 2050
AND
in 2020 and an intensive effort to train workers for green technology jobs.
CTBT ratification boost US leadership and solves proliferation
Joseph, Senior Democratic Foreign Policy Staffer in the United States Senate, ‘9 (Jofi, April, “Renew the Drive for CTBT Ratification” Washington Quarterly)
The 1999 vote fell short of an absolute majority, much less the two-
AND
secure ratification, and accomplish a significant foreign policy and national security goal.
Observation Two: Net Benefits

Pushing global nuclear power risk catastrophic accidents, environmental crisis, and wide-spread proliferation-The plan and permutation trade-off with a shift to renewable energy which is key to solve climate change.
Ticknell- nuclear engineer, Nuclear Pledge-8/20/12
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/aug/20/world-need-nuclear-power-climate-crisis
Does the world need nuclear power to solve the climate crisis?

So this is the question: does the world need nuclear power for us to
AND
the renewable revolution – and bring a decisive end to the nuclear nightmare.
Nuclear power makes warming worse---slow and costly trades off with renewables
Aurilio and Sargent 2011
Anna and Rob, Anna Aurilio is Director of the DC office for Environment America responsible for policy development, research and advocacy on energy issues and anti-environmental subsidies and MS in Environmental Engineering from MIT. Rob Sargent is the Energy Program Director for Environment America. Nuclear Power Will Set Back Race Against Global Warming, New Report Shows http://www.environmentamerica.org/news/ame/nuclear-power-will-set-back-race-against-global-warming-new-report-shows
Washington, DC- Far from a solution to global warming, nuclear power will
AND
-built dam to create a lake to fight a nearby forest fire."
Warming causes extinction---outweighs nuclear war
Deibel 7 Terry L., Professor of IR @ National War College, “Foreign Affairs Strategy: Logic for American Statecraft”, Conclusion: American Foreign Affairs Strategy Today
Finally, there is one major existential threat to American security (as well as
AND
States, but potentially to the continued existence of life on this planet.
The risk of an accident is Extinction
Wasserman, 1 (Harvey, Senior Editor – Free Press, “America's Terrorist Nuclear Threat to Itself”, October, http://www.wagingpeace.org/articles/2001/10/00_wasserman_nuclear-threat.htm) 

Without continous monitoring and guaranteed water flow, the thousands of tons of radioactive rods
AND
core of our life and of all future generations must be shut down. 

Tournament: USC | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
---Government energy incentives are self-defeating --- The affirmative’s political planning lays the foundation for a new totalitarian priesthood.  
Epstein 2009
Alex, founder and director of the Center for Industrial Progress, Energy at the Speed of Thought: The Original Alternative Energy Market, TOS Vol. 4, No. 2.
What is the solution? We just need the right government “energy plan,”
AND
something truly spectacular: energy at the speed of 21st-century thought.
---The alternative is a question of ethics --- Reject the affirmative’s managerial self-hatred for the creative freedom of the market.  
Romar 2008
Edward J., Lecturer with honors at Boston College of Management, Noble Markets: The Noble/Slave Ethic in Hayek’s Free Market Capitalism, Journal of Business Ethics, DOI 10.1007/s10551-008-9748-6
The slave revolt in morality begins when ressentiment itself becomes creative and gives birth to
AND

one must take the risk and not wallow in self-pity.

Tournament: USC | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Obama pushing immigration reform first even with fiscal issues and it will pass – GOP electoral incentives
Stien and Foley 1/2/13 (*Sam, Political Reporter at the Huffington Post, based in Washington, D.C. Previously he has worked for Newsweek magazine, the New York Daily News and the investigative journalism group Center for Public Integrity. He has a masters from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and is a graduate of Dartmouth College, *Elise, reporter for the Huffington Post in Washington,
D.C. She previously worked at The Washington Independent., “Obama's Immigration Reform Push To Begin This Month” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/02/obama-immigration-reform_n_2398507.html)
WASHINGTON -- Despite a bruising fiscal cliff battle that managed to set the stage for
AND
in both parties working together and singing 'Kumbaya,'" Sharry said.
Nuclear power is a political deadweight---drains capital
Levine 12 (Greg, “Obama Drops Nuclear Energy from Convention Speech” http://my.firedoglake.com/gregglevine/2012/09/07/obama-drops-nuclear-energy-from-convention-speech/)
President Obama no longer promises to “safely harness nuclear power”–that likely would
AND
second shot at casting for the future, nuclear power is political deadweight.
Obama’s political capital is key to reform passage
Dade 12/7/12 (Corey, staffwriter for NPR, “Black, Latino Groups: It's Our Turn, Mr. President” http://www.npr.org/2012/12/05/166573082/black-latino-groups-its-our-turn-mr-president) 

Spending 'Political Capital' For Latinos, the November election has sparked momentum for their top
AND
energy that Latino people voted for this president, he should do this."
Immigration reform key to solve clean tech U.S.-China co-operation – fosters business relationships
Herman, “why immigrants can drive the green economy” 2010

Raymond Spencer, an Australian-born entrepreneur based in Chicago, has a window
AND
is a complex, global problem that requires global teamwork," he said.
Key to solve reactionary Chinese oil policy – destabilizes Asia.
Herberg 2010
Mikkal E, Senior Research Fellow for International Energy Pacific Council on International Policy, China’s “Energy Rise”, the U.S., and the New Geopolitics of Energy http://www.pacificcouncil.org/document.doc?id=159

Beijing’s sense of weakness and vulnerability has fueled this “go-out” policy
AND
companies and have sharply raised their targets for acquiring “equity” oil.
Most likely scenario for nuclear escalation
Nye et al., Professor @ Harvard, 2K
Joseph S. Nye, Professor Emeritus @ The John F. Kennedy School of Government @ Harvard University, Former Deputy Secretary of State, Former Assistant Secretary of Defense, Richard L. Armitage, Former Deputy Secretary of State, Michael J. Green, Advisor and Japan Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Associate Professor @ The Walsh School of Foreign Service, Kurt M. Campbell, Fellow @ The Center for Strategic and International Studies, Frank Jannuzi, Minority Staff on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Edward J. Lincoln, Fellow @ The Brookings Institution, “The United States and Japan: Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership,” The Institute for National Strategic Studies, October 11th 2000, http://homepage2.nifty.com/moru/lib/nichibei-anpo/pdf/INSS%20Special%20Report.pdf
Major war in Europe is inconceivable for at least a generation, but the prospects
AND
U.S.-Japan alliance is central to America’s global security strategy. 

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
US exports undercut Israel – lock in.
Wurmser and Baron 2012
David Wurmser, Ph.D. was a senior advisor on the Middle East to Cheney, Jonathan M. Baron held senior staff positions with members of the congressional leadership and is the founder and president of Baron Public Affairs, Israel's Strategic Energy Opportunity Calls For Exports, September 27 2012, http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2012/09/27/israels-strategic-energy-opportunity-calls-for-exports/

Third, Israel’s offshore natural gas represents a strategically vital resource that must be exploited
AND
of supply, as well as help unlock considerable macroeconomic and geopolitical advantages.
Exports are key to Israeli energy security and Greek EEZ. Solves Cyprus war.
Beranek 2011
Martin, FrontPageMag columnist and former engineer, Israel’s Energy Future, December 20 2011 http://frontpagemag.com/2011/martin-beranek/israels-energy-future/2/

Energy has always been the weak link in Israel’s thriving economy. Decades of digging
AND
satisfaction of seeing hostile countries punish themselves in their attempts to punish Israel.
Spreads to the Middle East
Gerolymatos, Director of the Research Institute on Southwestern Europe at Simon Fraser University, 1997 (The Aegean Sea after the Cold War, pg. 58) 

The speed of modern communications and fast reaction time of advanced weapons systems means that
AND
quickly become a theatre of war that could spread to the Middle East.
Israel will approve exports soon but US LNG derails it.
Simpkins 2012
Jason, Editor in Chief of Oil and Energy Daily, December 3 2012, The Clock is Ticking on Israel’s Game-Changing Gas Find, http://www.oilandenergydaily.com/2012/12/03/the-clock-is-ticking-on-israels-game-changing-gas-find/

With Woodside’s technology and know-how, Israel could soon find itself exporting as
AND
rewards in less than a decade. And “the chase” continues.
It’s a question of sequencing – long term contracts. Means the US pushes out Israel but not the other way around.
Korporaal 2012
Glenda, The Australian, Cost risks for LNG producers as rivals ramp up, December 7 2012, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/opinion/cost-risks-for-lng-producers-as-rivals-ramp-up/story-e6frg9of-1226531673145

As Coleman deals with the rising cost of doing business in Australia he is also
AND
back of its energy and resource exports for so long could be profound.
---Middle East instability causes nuclear war --- A variety of factors make traditional deterrence models inapplicable.
Russell 2009
James A., senior lecturer in the Department of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East,” Institut Français des Relations Internationales, Spring, http://www.analyst-network.com/articles/141/StrategicStabilityReconsideredProspectsforEscalationandNuclearWarintheMiddleEast.pdf
Strategic stability in the region is thus undermined by various factors: (1)
AND
the peoples of the region, with substantial risk for the entire world.
Greek oil solves their debt crisis but need Israeli protection.
Engdahl 2012
F. William, Visiting Professor in Economics at Beijing University of Chemical Technology, author of A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics in the New World Order, Rising Energy Tensions in the Aegean—Greece, Turkey, Cyprus, Syria, http://www.4thmedia.org/2012/03/06/rising-energy-tensions-in-the-aegean%E2%80%94greece-turkey-cyprus-syria/

According to one Greek analyst, Aristotle Vassilakis, “surveys already done that have
AND
to that is the Turkish opposition for an eventual Greek exploitation.”9

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Increased bonding requirements for natural gas production essential to reducing risk of environmental catastrophe
Davis-Professor of Economic Analysis, Berkeley-6/12
Modernizing Bonding Requirements for Natural Gas Producers
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/6/13%20bonds%20davis/06_bonds_davis

Hydraulic fracturing and other recent technological advances have dramatically increased the availability of natural gas
AND
producers to become responsible for their choices and how they impact the environment.

Extinction
Diner 94 Judge Advocate’s General’s Corps of US Army, David N., Military Law Review, Winter, 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161
No species has ever dominated its fellow species as man has. In most cases
AND
wings, humankind may be edging closer to the abyss.

Tournament: NDT | Round: 2 | Opponent: Michigan CM | Judge:
1
Intepretation – restrictions must be statutory.
Gerald Hill 12, The People’s Law Dictionary, http://dictionary.law.com/Default.aspx?selected=1835
Restriction
n. any limitation on activity, by statute, … into the title of each owner.

Violation – there are no statutory restrictions on the OCS
Kathleen Gramp and Jeff LaFave, CBO Budget Analysis Division, August 2012, http://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/08-09-12_Oil-and-Gas_Leasing.pdf

Other than the temporary ban on leasing in … a future Administration chooses to restart the process before that plan expires.
Prefer it – binding the aff to restrictions on the books is key to predictable research burden and neg ground. Voter for education and fairness.
2
CIR will pass this year---Obama building momentum
The Hill 3/25 (Justin Sink and Meghashyam Mali, “Obama: 'The time has come' to move immigration reform in Congress,”
http://thehill.com/video/administration/290129-obama-the-time-has-come-to-move-immigration-reform)
Obama said he expects debate on an immigration bill … pretty much knows what's broken, everyone knows how to fix it.”
Natural gas production causes political fights
Dicker 9/4 Daniel is a Senior Columnist at The Street. “Why Isn't Natural Gas an Election Issue?” 2012, http://www.thestreet.com/story/11684440/1/why-isnt-natural-gas-an-election-issue.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN
Why has this opportunity towards increased … gas a cornerstone of a new and necessary energy policy.

A shortage in STEM workers cripples US biotech leadership- thats necessary to develop countermeasures to bioterrorism
Goldberg et al 2004 (Joseph E., Dorsey, Harry, Bartone, Paul, Ortman, Bill, Ashcraft, Paul, Burlingame, Stan, Carter, Anna L., Cofer, Robin D., Elwood, John, Guerts, Jim, Industry Studies 2004: Biotechnology, The Industrial College of the Armed Forces National Defense University)
Biotechnology has the potential to revolutionize all aspects of our daily …does not outweigh its ability to address the world’s most pressing needs.
A bioweapons attack threatens human survival
Carpenter and Bishop 2009 (P. A., P. C.,  July 10, Graduate Program in Studies of the Future, School of Human Sciences and Humanities, University of Houston-Clear Lake, Houston, TX, USA, Graduate Program in Futures Studies, College of Technology, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA. A review of previous mass extinctions and historic catastrophic events, ScienceDirect)
The flu of 1890, 1918–1919 Spanish flu, 1957 Asian flu, 1968 Hong …developed an antibiotic-resistant strain of the plague 26.
3
The governments of 50 states and sub-federal territories should remove state and local restrictions on onshore natural gas production, including fracking, and provide substantial incentives for onshore natural gas production. The governments of 50 states and sub-federal territories with jurisdiction over offshore territories should remove restrictions on offshore natural gas production in areas under their jurisdiction.
Lifting state restrictions on fracking boosts production – harmonizes the state regulatory regime
Tennis 13 Mark P. Fitzsimmons and Rachel S., lawyers, 1-8, “A Continuing Wave: The Debate Over Regulation of Fracking Rolls On,” Power Magazine, http://www.powermag.com/environmental/A-Continuing-Wave-The-Debate-Over-Regulation-of-Fracking-Rolls-On_5274.html
Whatever your opinion on fracking, it is clear there will be significant … to limit opportunities for developing the shale gas industry in an economical manner and could significantly limit states’ ability to promote economic development on a statewide basis.

4
TEXT: The United States Department of Energy and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission should approve applications to export natural gas.  
Massively boosts domestic production
Matthews 12—Merrill Matthews, resident scholar at the Institute for Policy Innovation, 12/27/12, Don't ban natural-gas exports, http://blogs.providencejournal.com/ri-talks/this-new-england/2012/12/merrill-matthews-dont-ban-natural-gas-exports.html
"'There's nothing like being a victim of your own success." That must be what … new jobs right here at home. Banning exports would deprive Americans of those opportunities.

5
The United States federal government should increase helium extraction
solves their leadership advantage
5
---Assessment of energy security on the outer continental shelf cannot be separated from the desire for an exceptionalist national identity to be secured. Their advantage scenarios are not objective assessments of facts but rather a form of militarized knowledge production that lies at the intersection of a desire for coherence and sovereign power.
Martens 2011
Emily, Masters in Geography graduate at University of Miami, The Discourses of Energy and Environmental Security in the Debate Over Offshore Oil Drilling Policy in Florida, Open Access Theses. Paper 254, http://scholarlyrepository.miami.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1253andcontext=oa_theses
The term energy security has become an engrained and seemingly unquestioned … spaces for extraction and production: the outer continental shelf (Huber 2009).
---Securitizing natural gas supply creates a self-fulfilling prophecy --- Externalizes danger risking miscalculation and war.
Lowth 2011
Colonel R. G., British Army, ‘Securitization’ and its effect on Strategic Thinking, SEAFORD HOUSE PAPER, Royal Defense Studies
Gas security has become synonymous with gas supply. Indeed the former …of a possible re-framing of energy security at the end of this section.
---The alternative is to reject the affirmative’s knee-jerk call for technocratic energy production in favor of repoliticizing energy security shifting the debate from a question of how to generate the most amount of energy to how to organize our energy structures in an egalitarian manner. Only the alternative’s step back from energy policy can avert extinction.
Hillyard et. al. 12
Hildyard Lohmann and Sexton 2012-Nicholas, founder and Director of The Corner House, Larry, author of the book “Carbon Trading: A Critical Conversation on Climate Change, Privatization and Power” and works at the British NGO The Corner House, Sarah, a director of The Corner House, Energy Security For What? For Whom? The Corner House, http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk/resource/energy-security-whom-what
In sum, encouraging a rational debate about “energy … must ask when initiating any discussion of energy security.

6
EST won’t pass without increased drilling on federal lands.
Dizikes and Banerjee 3-16-13
Cynthia and Neela, Chicago Tribune, Obama touts new energy trust at Argonne National Laboratory, http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/ct-met-obama-argonne-energy-20130316,0,2922747.story
A project like the trust aimed at weaning the country off gasoline … and blocked American energy production."
Removing restrictions is a key bargaining chip
Taylor 2013
Phil, Greenwire, Obama's energy trust doesn't include expanded drilling, http://rlch.org/news/obamas-energy-trust-doesnt-include-expanded-drilling
That is likely to come as a relief for conservationists who … in there, there is an agreement."
EST kills the economy and leads to a carbon tax
McCown 2013
Brigham A., former President's chief energy transportation regulator and worked under both Republican and Democratic Cabinet Secretaries, Is the White House Proposing A Massive Carbon Tax? http://www.forbes.com/sites/brighammccown/2013/02/13/proposed-energy-security-trust-equals-massive-carbon-tax/
The current idea is to create a government run … was not staggering under a $16 trillion dollar deficit either.
Carbon tax causes massive food price spikes.
Popoff 2013
Mischa, former Advanced Organic Farm and Process Inspector, author of the critically-acclaimed book, Is it Organic?, Carbon Tax Would Hurt Farmers, Drive Up Food Prices, 2-14-13, http://blog.heartland.org/2013/02/carbon-tax-would-hurt-farmers-drive-up-food-prices/

Whenever politicians talk about curbing greenhouse gas …about to go sky high if they get their way.
Global war.
Jeff Horwich and Rob Bailey 12 Interim host of Marketplace Morning Report and Royal Institute of International Affairs, http://www.marketplace.org/topics/world/us-drought-could-have-global-impact-food-prices

Bailey: Well America is an agricultural superpower as well as a …actually have implications for China, quite seriously.
Case
Helium
Concentration is too low
Ross 2012
Robert, Junior Analyst – Casey Research, Where Has All the Helium Gone?, May 3 2012, http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/where-has-all-helium-gone

Much of the helium( as radioactive by-product formed in the Earth's … – is economically viable to retrieve.
Other countries drilling solves – no reason the US is key to helium.
The 1AC Nelson evidence indicates prices will recover in 2013 and that this is a SHORT TERM problem.
Nelson 12 (Walter Nelson –  Director, Helium Sourcing and Supply Chain Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, 7/20/12, Helium: Supply Shortages Impacting our Economy, National Defense and Manufacturing, Congressional Documents and Publications, lexis )
There have been planned and unplanned maintenance outages at natural gas processing … are running back at full output will the global supply begin to fully stabilize.
It will take years to get production.
Sklar 2013
Scott, President, The Stella Group, Ltd and Adjunct Professor GWU, Oil-Spill Risks Must Be Considered http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2013/01/are-arctic-oildrilling-challen.php

The economics, technology and outlook all point to the viability of Arctic … a leading role and make the Arctic with all of its economic and energy security benefits, a resource for all Americans.

No helium shortage---their evidence conflates price with supply
Worstall 12 (Tim Worstall, Contributor @ Forbes, writes about business and technology.“What Great Helium Shortage?” http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2012/08/27/what-great-helium-shortage/)
We’re being regaled again with stories about how the world is … has got around to trying to check the helium content of all that shale gas being fracked.
Government price setting takes out the internal link.
Ross 2012
Robert, Junior Analyst – Casey Research, Where Has All the Helium Gone?, May 3 2012, http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/where-has-all-helium-gone

Although recent developments in asteroid mining could alter our current perception of scarcity, … of our finite helium supply will be wasted until the federal government alters its policy.
deterrence prevents the war
Dratler 10 (Jay, Goodyear Professor of Intellectual Property, Emeritus  Ph.D. degrees in physics from the University of California (San Diego), and a J.D. degree from Harvard Law School, where he was articles editor of the Harvard Law Review. “The Case for Nuclear Proliferation” http://jaydiatribe.blogspot.com/2010/04/case-for-nuclear-proliferation.html, Donnie)  
The strongest argument for nuclear proliferation is not speculation, but history. … attempt at mutual genocide that accomplished absolutely nothing. Better late than never.

Manufacturing
States would block the aff
EIA 01
(U.S. Natural Gas Markets: Mid-Term Prospects for Natural Gas Supply, Dec,
http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/natgas/chapter2.html)

Even if the Federal moratoria were lifted … development of currently accessible areas.
No supply shock – they ignores tech advances and current increases.
Hurdle 2012
John, AOL Energy, Are US Shale Gas Resources Overstated? Part 2, December 5 2012, http://energy.aol.com/2012/12/05/are-us-shale-gas-resources-overstated-part-2/
Potential Gas Committee executive director John Curtis rejected … run counter to the established science on the abundance of natural gas."
Energy costs don’t matter.
Levi 2012
Michael, CFR Fellow, Oil and Gas Euphoria Is Getting Out of Hand, May 7 2012, https://blogs.cfr.org/levi/2012/05/07/oil-and-gas-euphoria-is-getting-out-of-hand/

Once again, these sorts of claims have become increasingly common. Indeed … to rein in our extraordinary (and economically self-damaging) demand.
Alt causes to renaissance now and not key to growth.
Mallaby 2013
Sebastian, Director of the Maurice R. Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies and Paul A. Volcker Senior Fellow for International Economics, American Industry Is on the Move, Financial Times, http://www.cfr.org/united-states/american-industry-move/p29785?cid=rss-fullfeed-american_industry_is_on_the_mo-010813andutm_source=feedburnerandutm_medium=feedandutm_campaign=Feed%3A+cfr_main+%28CFR.org+-+Main+Site+Feed%29

Despite much fashionable chatter, this is not mainly about fracking. The new … as a share of output between 1993 and 2007, Sweden lost almost a 10th of its manufacturing jobs.
Manufacturing not key to the economy
Wessel 12 (David Wessel, economics editor of The Wall Street, “Manufacturing Industry Gained Momentum In 2011,” 1-19-12, http://www.npr.org/2012/01/19/145437593/are-more-u-s-manufacturing-jobs-being-created)
WESSEL: Well, that's a good question. So basically, factories have … back to work. So yes, it's a plus. But no, it's not enough to solve our unemployment problem.
Domestic politics means the US won’t exercise hegemony – means no impact.
Kupchan 2011
Charles A., professor of international affairs at Georgetown University and Whitney Shepardson Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, The false promise of unipolarity: constraints on the exercise of American power, Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Volume 24, Number 2, June 2011
A final chink in the armour of Brooks and Wohlforth concerns their disregard of … choices Americans may make about when and how to deploy their national power.
---Economic decline does not cause war.
Miller 2000
Morris, Professor of Administration @ the University of Ottawa, Interdisciplinary Science Review, v 25 n4 2000 p ingenta connect
The question may be reformulated. Do wars spring from a … using one form of violence to abort another).
---Economic decline creates a structural incentive for military caution --- Makes politicians sensitive to backlash.
Boehmer 2007
Charles, political science professor at the University of Texas, Politics and Policy, 35:4, “The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict”
The theory presented earlier predicts that lower rates of growth … if doing so would compromise their ability to retain power.

Tournament: NDT | Round: 2 | Opponent: Michigan CM | Judge:
2NC Round 2 NDT
Est
T case
CONCEDED MCCOWN, CARBON TAX IN DISGUISE KILLS THE ECONOMY DEPRESSES CONSUMER DEMAND WHICH IS A FRAMING ISSUE/PREREQUISITE
Curbs new exploration projects – consumer demand.
Plumer 2013
Brad, Joe Nocera’s wrong: A carbon tax wouldn’t help Canada’s tar sands, Washington Post Wonkblog, http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/02/19/joe-noceras-wrong-a-carbon-tax-wouldnt-be-good-for-canadas-tar-sands/

The bolded part is the problem. Imagine that the …incentive to exploit harder-to-reach supplies. There are plenty of arguments for and against a carbon tax, but by itself, it wouldn’t give an added boost to pricey new fossil-fuel sources.
OCS drilling is key to strike a compromise
Pierobon 2013
Jim, ‘Energy Security Trust’ concept provides glimmer of bipartisan cooperation-but check the details, The Energy Fix, http://www.theenergyfix.com/2013/02/18/energy-security-trust-concept-provides-glimmer-of-bipartisan-cooperation-but-check-the-details/
To hear Republican Lisa Murkowski, the ranking Republican  on the U.S. … and much taller hurdle. At least this idea has common bedfellows.

Mpc
Kills manufacturing – specifically chemical and steel industries.
Bredenberg 2012
Al, U.S. Carbon Tax Idea Puts Manufacturing in the Crosshairs, Industry Market Trends: Green and Clean Journal, November 2012, http://news.thomasnet.com/green_clean/2012/11/19/u-s-carbon-tax-idea-puts-manufacturing-in-the-crosshairs/

In recent weeks, various policy players have been discussing the …petrochemical and cement manufacturing, steel mills, aluminum and lime products.
The chemical industry solves extinction
Baum 1999 (Rudy, CandEN Washington, MILLENNIUM SPECIAL REPORT, Volume 77, Number 49 CENEAR 77 49 pp.46-47, http://pubs.acs.org/cen/hotarticles/cenear/991206/7749spintro2.html)

Here is the fundamental challenge we face: The world's growing … deeper into these mysteries and provide for humanity's basic and not-so-basic needs.

There’s literally no impact to high energy prices on any industry.
Aldy and Pizer 2009
Pew Center on Global Climate Change, The Competitiveness Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies, http://www.c2es.org/docUploads/competitiveness-impacts-report.pdf

We find that higher energy prices, of the sort associated with pricing CO2 at $15 per ton, … industries, and impacts on the prospects for, and design of, an international agreement.
U
Won’t pass – drilling inflexibility
Politico 3-20-13
Andrew Restuccia, Energy Security Trust faces big sticking point, http://www.politico.com/story/2013/03/offshore-drilling-energy-plan-faces-roadblock-89098.html
President Barack Obama will face an uphill … off the table. Our existing outer continental shelf plan and nothing else,” Zichal told reporters.

Link
Murk
Murkowski is key and the plan gets her on board.
Felker 2013
Edward, EE News, Newsmaker: Murkowski calls Energy Security Trust a 'shell game' without new drilling, energy guardian
The White House is suggesting the Energy Security Trust fund can win …can do that from revenues coming off of new production," she said. 

Science
Defense
science
Science diplomacy doesn’t translate into concrete cooperative policies
Copeland 11 (Daryl Copeland is a Research Associate at CIPS. He is a former Canadian diplomat and the author of Guerrilla Diplomacy: Rethinking International Relations. “Science Diplomacy: What’s It All About?” http://cips.uottawa.ca/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Copeland-Policy-Brief-Nov-11-5.pdf)
Today, that imperative is not much in evidence. Paradoxically, both PD … which are inherent in globalization, will remain largely unrealized. 

Testing
---No future nuclear testing --- Opposition is insurmountable.
Reif 2012
Reif-director of nuclear nonproliferation, Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation-4/12
http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/kingston-reif/the-case-the-ctbt-stronger-ever
The case for the CTBT: Stronger than ever
What's more, the United States has not conducted a nuclear … to other nuclear-armed states.

emp
No impact to EMP
Fetzer and Dunn, 6 J.R. Dunn is the author of a landmark three part series on the future strategies of jihad terrorism. Among many other things, he was editor of the International Military Encyclopedia for twelve years, April 21, 2006 “ The EMP Threat: ElectroMagnetic Pulse Warfare,” http://www.americanthinker.com/2006/04/the_emp_threat_electromagnetic.html
 In fact, the universal collapse envisioned as a result of a high—… troops paid a visit to the guilty party. 

Your predictions are alarmist—expert conclusion proves EMP has no lasting impact
Farley 9 (Robert Farley is an assistant professor at the University of Kentucky’s Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce and a contributor to PRA’s Right Web “Neocons Salivating Over Their Next Great Exaggerated "Threat": Electromagnetic Pulse Attack” http://www.alternet.org/news/143455/neocons_salivating_over_their_next_great_exaggerated_%22threat%22:_electromagnetic_pulse_attack/?page=entire Donnie)  
Uncertainty regarding the effect of EMP has fed … to cause long-term devastation. 

No country even has the ability to do it
Farley 9 (Robert Farley is an assistant professor at the University of Kentucky’s Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce and a contributor to PRA’s Right Web “Neocons Salivating Over Their Next Great Exaggerated "Threat": Electromagnetic Pulse Attack” http://www.alternet.org/news/143455/neocons_salivating_over_their_next_great_exaggerated_%22threat%22:_electromagnetic_pulse_attack/?page=entire Donnie)  
Similarly, observers have questioned the capacity …could conduct the same kind of offshore attack. 

Even if they did they don’t have an incentive to
Farley 9 (Robert Farley is an assistant professor at the University of Kentucky’s Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce and a contributor to PRA’s Right Web “Neocons Salivating Over Their Next Great Exaggerated "Threat": Electromagnetic Pulse Attack” http://www.alternet.org/news/143455/neocons_salivating_over_their_next_great_exaggerated_%22threat%22:_electromagnetic_pulse_attack/?page=entire Donnie)  
EMP awareness advocates have thus far failed to offer …, two steps further than any known group has gone. 

Manufacturing
Prices Stable
2NC
They are insanely wrong – 9 warrants.
TPH 2009
Tudor, Pickering, and Holt, Exploration and Production Research Team, quals are in evidence text, http://petroleumtruthreport.blogspot.com/2009/10/rebuttals-to-our-shale-play-research.html
Technical credentials. In any technical discussion, one must establish technical credibility. … seem better than it is or B) all of these people are just incompetent.
Lease price drops solve the impact.
Levi 2011
Michael A., CFR Senior Fellow for Energy and the Environment, Is Shale Gas a Ponzi Scheme?, http://blogs.cfr.org/levi/2011/06/27/is-shale-gas-a-ponzi-scheme/

The second is that the current spot price for natural gas is … isn’t nearly as valuable for alternative uses; lease prices should thus be pretty elastic.)
Berman is paid off by coal
Entine 2011
Jon, Senior Fellow, Center for Risk and Health Communication, George Mason University, Visiting scholar at AEI, Natural Gas "bubble" report: market tinkering or shoddy reporting?, http://www.aei.org/article/energy-and-the-environment/conventional-energy/natural-gas/natural-gas-bubble-report-market-tinkering-or-shoddy-reporting/

The two major promoters of the sky-is-falling thesis are Berman, … featured in a Times story challenging the financial feasibility of the shale gas market.)
IL defense
Manufacturing not key
Extend WESSELL – DOESN’T DRIVE THE ECONOMY, SMALL SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT
Creates low skill, low wage job. Doesn’t drive the economy.
Reich 2012
Robert, Professor of Public Policy at the Goldman School of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley and former Secretary of Labor, The factory jobs aren’t coming back http://www.salon.com/2012/02/17/the_factory_jobs_arent_coming_back/

Suddenly, manufacturing is back – at least on the election trail. But don’t be fooled. …workers to share in the gains of the American economy.
Energy prices
Levy – studies show it’s a low portion of overall costs, doesn’t effect margins
Mallaby – BIG DATA is the key internal link
There’s literally no impact to high energy prices on any industry.
Aldy and Pizer 2009
Pew Center on Global Climate Change, The Competitiveness Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies, http://www.c2es.org/docUploads/competitiveness-impacts-report.pdf

We find that higher energy prices, of the sort associated with pricing …domestic industries, and impacts on the prospects for, and design of, an international agreement.

Hegemony Defense
Domestic politics means the US won’t exercise heg – the public is getting tired of warfare, they want politicians to focus on domestic issues. Even if Obama tries to take action partisanship means it won’t be firm, can’t get the GOP on board, means gridlock and no action internationally. That’s Kupchan, prefer it –
FIRST peer reviewed, best standard for evaluating truth shows the claim holds water.
SECOND recent, assumes domestic politics over the debt deal and Libya which showed how messed up Congress is. 

The aff can’t solve this, lack of will domestically means deterrence isn’t credible.
McDevitt 2011
Michael, Vice President and Director, CNA Strategic Studies, Brookings Institute, Deterring North Korean Provocations, Brookings Northeast Asia Commentary | Number 46, http://www.brookings.edu/papers/2011/02_north_korea_mcdevitt.aspx
For either of these forms of deterrence to be … conditions necessary for a credible deterrent, capability and political will, are met.
And Obama won’t exercise heg – empirics prove.
Pletka and Gottlieb 2011
Danielle Pletka is vice president of foreign and defense policy studies at AEI. Stuart Gottlieb is a former Senate foreign policy adviser and speechwriter and teaches US foreign policy and national security at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs, Shrinking America's Role In the World Is the True Obama Doctrine, http://www.aei.org/article/104308
After months of mixed messages, President Barack Obama has chosen … U.S. global leadership. And that, it appears, is Barack Obama's goal. 

Tournament: NDT | Round: 2 | Opponent: Michigan CM | Judge:
ov
Conceded the hillyard ev- independent extinction event- assumption of PRODUCTION and not consumptive patterns make extinction inevitable.
---National energy policy debates are located within a false methodology of a unified energy system which eliminates consumptive limits. The affirmative’s imagination of future energy production is a coping mechanism for anxiety over impending catastrophe. If all energy inputs are connected then political context becomes irrelevant and a future of utopian abundance is merely a question of planning proper technocratic management.
Mason 2006
Arthur, Department of Anthropology @ University of Calgary, Images of the energy future, Environ. Res. Lett. 1 (2006) 014002 (4pp), http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/1/1/014002/pdf/1748-9326_1_1_014002.pdf
Today’s images of the energy future derive their possibility from the 1970s’ energy crisis …state of ‘accelerated depreciation’ in the hopes of projecting ourselves rapidly into the future.
FW
The roll of the ballot is to vote for the best act of knowledge production, the judge is a critic of argument---this is best,
a.) debate realism: the plan won’t happen if you vote aff, all you are doing is endorsing a particular educational model, the only portable skill we get from debate is advocacy skills, voting aff means they are doing the better advocating for change, voting neg means they are doing a bad job.
If we win any of our link arguments it means they are not doing the better debating because they train us to be good energy forecasters for shell oil which is bad, they assume energy is a homogenous entity where any combination of interchange can occur, that causes energy shortages, resource wars and serial policy failure.  
b.) the political Our links also turn their policy making good offense, they will result in bad policies and collapse the political by having a solely supply based solution to the energy problem, assuming the only thing that need be changed out of our consumption, infrastructure and mindset problems is our supply brackets off key political discussions and deemphasizes genuine contestation.
c.) A focus on policy relevance precludes the structural change necessary to establish energy security for more than just the privileged few.
Levy 2012
Gabriel, Deconstructing “energy security”: some questions, People and Nature, http://peopleandnature.wordpress.com/2012/03/04/deconstructing-energy-security-some-questions/
– On the other hand, the report repeatedly refers to “policymakers” – which to … energy by all – can only be addressed by much more sweeping social transformations.
---Focusing on energy production creates a policymaking euphoria that distracts from real lived experiences in favor of technical management that precludes political change.
Byrne and Toly 2006
John, director of the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy (CEEP) and Distinguished Professor of Public Policy at the University of Delaware, Noah, research associate and Ph.D. candidate in the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy at the University of Delaware, Energy as a Social Project: Recovering a Discourse, Transforming Power: Energy, Environment and Society in Conflict, pg 1-3
With environmental crisis, social inequality, and military … energy, and considers the discursive continuities between the premises of conventional and sustainable energy futures.  
Policy framing determines energy policy --- Empirical studies conclude framing defines implementation and policy response.
Pralle and Boscarino 2011
Sarah, Jessica, Framing Trade-offs: The Politics of Nuclear Power and Wind Energy in the Age of Global Climate Change, Review of Policy Research, Volume 28, Issue 4, pages 323–346
Policy scholars have spent considerable effort attempting to understand strategies of issue … decision on a particular policy matter, such as whether to support a proposed policy solution or not.

predictions
---Imagining solutions to scenarios of global energy crisis serves as a numbing device preserving a childish naiveté that encourages us to fiddle while the planet burns --- The inherent tension between their imminent scenarios for extinction and the at least decade long timeframe before education can induce material change reveals the affirmative’s commitment to the status quo.  
Sumrell and Varnelis 2009
Robert, production designer, educator, writer and teaches at the Columbia University Graduate School of Architecture, Planning, and Preservation, Kazys, Director of the Network Architecture Lab at the Columbia University Graduate School of Architecture, Planning, and Preservation, Personal Lubricants: Shell Oil and Scenario Planning, New Geographies 2: Landscapes of Energy, pg 127-132
Suddenly, everything's grim. In the face of the current global … end or goal to the process of gaming; its value is the sensation that comes from playing the game.
A2 Security Mobilizes Activism --- Securitization
---Security mobilized activism is bad ---
(A.) Framing policies through a lens of fear causes paralysis, partying, praying or preparing, NOT the creation of preventative solutions.
Gross and Gilles 2012
Matthew Barrett, editor of the Glen Canyon Reader and media strategist who has worked for Howard Dean's 2004 presidential campaign and Jon Tester's successful campaign for U.S. Senate in Montana, Mel, writer and a former advocate for victims of domestic abuse, From “The Last Myth: What the Rise of Apocalyptic Thinking Tells Us About America,” How Apocalyptic Thinking Prevents Us from Taking Political Action, The Atlantic, http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/04/how-apocalyptic-thinking-prevents-us-from-taking-political-action/255758/
The deeper we entangle the challenges of the 21st century … should not seek to ignore it, or simply brace for it, but to avert it.
(B.) Nationalist framing of security makes it impossible to correctly assess problems and solutions, inevitably sparking militarist intervention and war.
Massumi 2011
Brian, professor in the communication department at the University of Montreal, The half-life of disaster, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/apr/15/half-life-of-disaster
Collective response does, of course, go on. But it takes the … tentacularly extending security apparatus appears as "natural" and as fateful as the events it is designed to respond to or preempt.
A2 Permutation --- 2nc Politics
---The permutation’s pragmatic combination fails because it still allows the debate to be framed by “energy production” which taints the affirmative’s ability to define problems and create solutions outside of existing structures of global inequality.
Hildyard Lohmann and Sexton 2012
Nicholas, founder and Director of The Corner House, Larry, author of the book “Carbon Trading: A Critical Conversation on Climate Change, Privatization and Power” and works at the British NGO The Corner House, Sarah, a director of The Corner House, Energy Security For What? For Whom? The Corner House, http://www.thecornerhouse.org.uk/resource/energy-security-whom-what
For time-pressed, slogan-bound, “must-be-ready-with-a-response” … away from fossil fuels far harder to achieve.
---Permutations themselves are a link --- The knee jerk reaction to combine fundamentally opposed positions into one happy consensus and replaces the antagonisms constitutive of political space with the vacuous notion of a “best policy option.” Permutations can only steamroll true politics because in its rush to include everything, it leaves no space for opposition or dissensus.
Swyngedouw 2009
Erik, Geography @ School of Environment and Development Manchester University, Climate Change as Post-Political and Post-Democratic Populism, Paper presented at DVPW conference, Kiel, Germany, 22-25 September
Consensually established concerns, like climate change, structured around … and disagreement, and, most importantly, for the naming different possible socio-environmental futures.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

1

POLITICS- CIR will pass this year—-Obama building momentum
The Hill 3/25 (Justin Sink and Meghashyam Mali, "Obama: ’The time has come’ to move immigration reform in Congress,"
http://thehill.com/video/administration/290129-obama-the-time-has-come-to-move-immigration-reform)
Obama said he expects debate on an immigration bill to "begin next month"
AND
Everyone pretty much knows what’s broken, everyone knows how to fix it."

New nuclear spending triggers fights.
Levine 12 (Greg, "Obama Drops Nuclear Energy from Convention Speech" http://my.firedoglake.com/gregglevine/2012/09/07/obama-drops-nuclear-energy-from-convention-speech/)
President Obama no longer promises to "safely harness nuclear power"–that likely would
AND
second shot at casting for the future, nuclear power is political deadweight.
Comprehensive immigration reform is key to the economy and highly skilled workers
Farrell 12/13/12 (Chris, a contributing editor for Bloomberg Businessweek. From 1986-97, he was on the magazine’s staff, as a corporate finance staff and department editor and then as an economics editor. Farrell wrote Right on the Money: Taking Control of Your Personal Finances and Deflation: What Happens When Prices Fall? Among Farrell’s many awards are a National Magazine Award, two Loeb Awards, and the Edward R. Murrow Award. Farrell is a graduate of the London School of Economics and Stanford University. "Obama’s Next Act: Immigration Reform" http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-12-13/obamas-next-act-immigration-reform-http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-12-13/obamas-next-act-immigration-reform)
Washington won’t get much of a reprieve from verbal pyrotechnics once the drama of the
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legality offers Washington a rare twofer: a just move that’s economically efficient.

Decline goes nuclear
Harris and Burrows 09 PhD European History @ Cambridge, counselor in the National Intelligence Council (NIC) %26 member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit
Mathew, and Jennifer "Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis" http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf-http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf
Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is
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within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge:
TOPICALITY- Restrictions must legally mandate less production, not just regulate it
Anell 89
Chairman, WTO panel, "To examine, in the light of the relevant GATT provisions, the matter referred to the
CONTRACTING PARTIES by the United States in document L/6445 and to make such
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PARTIES on 5 December 1989 (L/6568 - 36S/68)
http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/88icecrm.pdf-http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/88icecrm.pdf
The United States argued that Canada had failed to demonstrate that it effectively restricted domestic
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to what the situation would be in the absence of all government measures. 

Regulations are explicitly distinct from restrictions.
Sinha 6
http://www.indiankanoon.org/doc/437310/-http://www.indiankanoon.org/doc/437310/
Supreme Court of India Union Of India %26 Ors vs M/S. Asian
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No. 17558 of 2006~  S.B. SINHA, J :  

We may, however, notice that this Court in State of U.P. and Others v. M/s. Hindustan Aluminium Corpn. and others ~AIR 1979 SC 1459~ stated the law thus:
"It appears that a distinction between regulation and restriction or prohibition has always been
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the word prohibiting or some such word, to bring out that effect." 

And production of nuclear power means electricity generation, not fuel fabrication
Young 05
(Steve, Whitepaper ~WP-019~ Environmental Regulation and Nuclear Power,  http://www.unixworks.net/papers/wp-019.pdf)
The "nuclear fuel cycle" can be broken down into three stages. The
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the environmental laws presently governing these stages of the nuclear fuel cycle. 341

2. Precision key to ground and education— restrictions must be a distinct term for debate to occur
Eric Heinze (Senior Lecturer in Law, University of London, Queen Mary. He has held fellowships from the Fulbright Foundation and the French and German governments. He teaches Legal Theory, Constitutional Law, Human Rights and Public International Law. JD Harvard) 2003 "The Logic of Liberal Rights A study in the formal analysis of legal discourse" http://mey.homelinux.org/companions/Eric%20Heinze/The%20Logic%20of%20Liberal%20Rights_%20A%20Study%20in%20%20%28839%29/The%20Logic%20of%20Liberal%20Rights_%20A%20Study%20in%20%20-%20Eric%20Heinze.pdf

Variety of ’restrictions’
The term ’restriction’, defined so broadly, embraces any number of familiar concepts
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of a formal model, for which any distinctions among them are irrelevant.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

3

SPENDING DISAD- The New Budget is drawing GOP support and will avoid sequestration-New spending collapses the deal
Federal Times 3/25 ("GOP shows openness to Obama budget plan," http://www.federaltimes.com/article/20130325/AGENCY01/303250002/GOP-shows-openness-Obama-budget-plan?odyssey=mod%7Cnewswell%7Ctext%7CCongress%7Cp)
Key congressional Republicans are calling a comprehensive White House deficit-reduction plan a solid
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entitlement programs and closing tax loopholes," according to the White House’s website.
The impact is collapse of naval power which causes great power war and collapses trade
Collins-the diplomat-2/28/13
The Consequences of Sequestration
http://thediplomat.com/2013/02/28/the-consequences-of-sequestration/?all=true
The upcoming budget sequester—slated to begin on March 1st—and the recent
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. should resist isolationist impulses despite short-term financial difficulties at home.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

5

KRITIK—-Securitizing nuclear proliferation roots the affirmative in colonial knowledge production —- The claim that new proliferation is categorically distinct from the existing risk reifies the orientalist binary that structures modern international relations and violently represents the global south.
Gusterson 1999
Hugh, prof anthro @ George Mason, "Nuclear Weapons and the Other in the Western Imagination"
According to the literature on risk in anthropology, shared fears often re- veal
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(4) it legitimates the nuclear monopoly of the recognized nuclear powers.
—-Causes global war —- Creates a paranoid logic that utilizes the presumption of American innocence to justify incalculable violence.
Gusterson 2012
Hugh, professor of anthropology at George Mason University, Designed for Death: Helen Caldicott interviews Hugh Gusterson, http://www.guernicamag.com/interviews/designed-for-death/
Helen Caldicott: It’s totally hypocritical for the United States, even if they’re not
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Iran or North Korea. It’s become something not even necessary to justify.
—-Defining nuclear energy implementation in terms of national interest and leadership removes the political context of reactors, their promotion of US reactors over others promotes international accidents 
Dufner 11 (Dr. Ulrike Dufner, director of the Heinrich Böll Foundation in Istanbul, "Nationalism and Nuclear Energy in the International Political Discourse" http://www.tr.boell.org/web/51-1412.html)
The catastrophe at the nuclear power plants of Japan last year is still present in
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provide answers to the challenges of global concern, such as energy politics.
—-Their conflict scenarios are false and have only been constructed due to imperialist knowledge production, as an academic you have an ethical obligation to reject security epistemology
San Juan 1995 Professor of English and Comparative Literature at UConn, Hegemony and Strategies of Transgression, pg 1-2
Scenes of carnage in Somalia, East Timor, Haiti, in the occupied territories
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serve to advance transnational capital’s ascendancy for now and throughout the next century.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

FW

c.) A focus on policy relevance precludes the structural change necessary to establish energy security for more than just the privileged few.
Levy 2012
Gabriel, Deconstructing "energy security": some questions, People and Nature, http://peopleandnature.wordpress.com/2012/03/04/deconstructing-energy-security-some-questions/
– On the other hand, the report repeatedly refers to "policymakers" –
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by all – can only be addressed by much more sweeping social transformations.

—-Framing determines policy effectiveness —- 90% of policy errors emerge from the flawed and deterministic lens of security.
Lowth 2011
Colonel R. G., British Army, ’Securitization’ and its effect on Strategic Thinking, SEAFORD HOUSE PAPER, Royal Defense Studies
A frame is ’a perspective from which a problematic situation can be made sense
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but caries ’real-world’ significance’ (Hough, 2004:14).

impact calc

Arms control fails – meant to maintain existing arsenals
Mutimer 11 (DAVID MUTIMER Associate Professor, Political Science, Arts Director, Centre for International and Security Studies Editor, Critical Studies on Security Coordinator, Graduate Diploma in International and Security Studies @ York University "From Arms Control to Denuclearization: Governmentality and the Abolitionist Desire," http://www.contemporarysecuritypolicy.org/assets/CSP-32-1%20Mutimer.pdf)
Taken together, the Joint Understanding and the New START agreement which followed from it
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words, the shift in thinking necessary for denuclearization has not yet happened.

Even if your project of ending nukes succeeds—you do nothing to change the mindset that has made it prevalent in the first place—recreates their impacts in more unpredictable forms  
Ni Aolain 9 (Fionnuala Ní Aoláin, Dorsey %26 Whitney Chair in Law, University of Minnesota Law School %26 Professor of Law Transitional Justice Institute, University of Ulster. "Women, Security, and the Patriarchy of Internationalized Transitional Justice" November 2009 project museDonnie
From a gender perspective a number of issues arise. First, what constitutes disarmament
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the use of violence acceptable (whether in the private or public sphere).
Their identification of "legitimate threats to America" are just monsters made to be destroyed—-in pursuit of quashing these fictional conflicts the aff creates real ones which ultimately collapse US power projection capabilities  
Chernus 06, Ira, Professor of Religious Studies and Co-director of the Peace and Conflict Studies Program at the University of Colorado-Boulder, (Monsters to Destroy: The Neoconservative War on Terror and Sin, Published by Paradigm Publishers, ISBN 1594512752, p. 53-54)
The end of the cold war spawned a tempting fantasy of imperial omnipotence on a
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, the more likely it is to believe and enact the neocon story. 

Perm

—-Security destroys value to life.
Der Derian 1998
James, professor of political science at Brown University, "The Value of Security: Hobbes, Marx, Nietzsche, and Baudrillard," On Security, 1998, pgs. 7
The desire for security is manifested as a collective resentment of difference—that which
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the strange, new and hitherto unexperienced: the most habitual explanations.38

—-Security ensures extinction —- Being is reduced to a global currency of power than reifies self-fulfilling system of global crisis management.
Dillon 1996
Michael, lecturer in politics and international relations Michael @ University of Lancaster, Politics of Security: Towards a political philosophy of continental thought, pg 14-15
The way of sharpening and focusing this thought into a precise question is first provided
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technology, and the advent of the real prospect of human species extinction. 

How we define problems shapes how solutions will be implemented—-the affirmatives violent imagery highlights the importance of other nations insecurity and irrationality resulting in excessive and destabilizing accumulations elsewhere
Mutimer 95 David Mutimer Centre for International and Strategic Studies York University
 "Reimagining Security: The Metaphors of Proliferation"
The discussion in this paper has examined the way in which international security, and
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of control—the policy being applied to the problem defined by PROLIFERATION.

A/T No link we say us bad

Quotes from ev
Heisbourg ’12, ~Francois Heisbourg, Chairman of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, prof at the Geneva Center for Security Policy, July 2012, "How Bad Would the Further Spread of Nuclear Weapons Be?", http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/file/oving%20Beyond%20Pretense%20web%20version.pdf~~%23page=182-http://www.npolicy.org/userfiles/file/oving Beyond Pretense web version.pdf~

Unsustainable strains are possibly the single most compelling feature of contemporary proliferation. Examples include
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nuclear crises between India and Pakistan demonstrate no such prudence, rather the contrary

policy relevance

—-Critique turns their policy claims —- A focus on "Energy crisis" disconnects policy makers from citizens under the guise of emergency and superior expertise that makes practicing democracy cease to exist.
Karakatsanis 2010
Georgios, M.Sc. "Environment %26 Development", National Technical University of Athens (NTUA), Quantifying Energy Democracy: A framework for energy citizenship, ISEE 11th Biennial Conference, http://www.isee2010.org/paper/24ps0404%23Quantifying%20Energy%20Democracy%23_Karakatsanis,Georgios_.pdf
Energy technology is a core variable for civilization evolution. It might as well be
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very essence of practicing democracy ceases to exist irrespective of its constitutional foundation.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

Proliferation

ARMS- Technology doesn’t equate to non-proliferation – political considerations outweigh
Feiveson 1 (Harold, currently serves as the Secretary-Treasurer of the Federation of American Scientists Council and is a Senior Research Policy Scientist of the Program on Science and Global Security at Princeton University. "The Search for Proliferation-Resistant Nuclear Power" http://www.fas.org/faspir/2001/v54n5/nuclear.htm )
It should be recognized straight away that many in the nuclear industry worldwide believe that
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of addressing the proliferation of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction.

The US will not exercise leadership
Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, 2/7/12, Obama’s Nuclear Mistake, www.nationalreview.com/blogs/print/290330
What prompted Obama to kick this political nest? A stunning inattention to nuclear-
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. civilian nuclear-cooperative agreements. The Senate has yet to act.
Political considerations overwhelm new tech
Green 2010 (Jim, PhD in Science and Technology Studies, Australian Coordinator of the Beyond Nuclear Initiative, NUCLEAR WEAPONS,  NUCLEAR POWER %26 INTEGRAL FAST REACTORS http://foe.org.au/sites/default/files/IFR-FoEA-web-Feb2010.pdf-http://foe.org.au/sites/default/files/IFR-FoEA-web-Feb2010.pdf)

In theory, there is much to like about the idea of conventional reprocessing with
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proliferation and terrorism virtually requires us to either internationalize or ban nuclear power."
Proliferation is stable – history proves
Dratler 10 (Jay, Goodyear Professor of Intellectual Property, Emeritus  Ph.D. degrees in physics from the University of California (San Diego), and a J.D. degree from Harvard Law School, where he was articles editor of the Harvard Law Review. "The Case for Nuclear Proliferation" http://jaydiatribe.blogspot.com/2010/04/case-for-nuclear-proliferation.html-http://jaydiatribe.blogspot.com/2010/04/case-for-nuclear-proliferation.html)  

The strongest argument for nuclear proliferation is not speculation, but history. Since the
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attempt at mutual genocide that accomplished absolutely nothing. Better late than never.

Even "rogue states" won’t cause conflict with nukes
Dratler 10 (Jay, Goodyear Professor of Intellectual Property, Emeritus  Ph.D. degrees in physics from the University of California (San Diego), and a J.D. degree from Harvard Law School, where he was articles editor of the Harvard Law Review. "The Case for Nuclear Proliferation" http://jaydiatribe.blogspot.com/2010/04/case-for-nuclear-proliferation.html-http://jaydiatribe.blogspot.com/2010/04/case-for-nuclear-proliferation.html)  
Rogue Regimes After terrorists and crazies, rogue regimes are the next strongest argument against
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to improve the chances of their regimes’ survival against mutiny or popular revolt.
No miscalculation – cost/benefit analysis
Waltz 95—Kenneth, pol sci prof at Berkeley ("The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate", p. 45, direct access to original source was not available, ZBurdette)
Third, nuclear weaponry makes miscalculation diffi¬cult because it is hard not to be aware
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make the cost of wars immense, who will dare to start them? 

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

Terror

TERROR- No risk – in fact its zero risk
Mueller 2009
John, Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies, Mershon Center, Professor of Political Science 30 April 2009 "THE ATOMIC TERRORIST?" http://www.icnnd.org/research/Mueller_Terrorism.pdf
In an article on the prospects for atomic terrorism, Bill Keller of The New
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deliver several, the odds become, of course, even more prohibitive.

2. Terrorists would use nuclear weapons for coercion rather than military detonation.
Schelling 2011
Thomas C., Nobel Laureate in Economics, Whatever happened to nuclear terrorism, Chicago Project on Security %26 Terrorism, http://cpost.uchicago.edu/blog/2011/09/06/thomas-c-schelling-whatever-happened-to-nuclear-terrorism/
If a team is assembled that, in isolation, spends months making a workable
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US. We have status, power, influence. Let’s use it%21"
3. No retaliation
Crowley 10 (Michael Senior Editor the New Republic, January, "Obama and Nuclear Deterrence", http://www.tnr.com/node/72263-http://www.tnr.com/node/72263~~
The Los Angeles Times ran an important story-http://www.latimes.com/news/nation-and-world/la-na-obama-nuclear4-2010jan04,0,2198537,full.story yesterday about the Obama administration’s Nuclear Posture
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or any president, for that matter—would go through with it.

4. No extinction
Frost 5 (Robin, teaches political science at Simon Fraser University, British Colombia, "Nuclear Terrorism after 9/11," Adelphi Papers, December)
An existential threat. When applied to nuclear terrorism, the phrase ’existential threat’
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radiological device or devices could do any significant damage on a national level.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge:
===Russia===
COOP—-Geopolitics prevents total break of ties
Eugene B. Rumer, senior fellow at the Institute for National Strategic Studies at the National Defense University, and Celeste A. Wallander, director of the Russia and Eurasia Program and the Trustee Fellow at CSIS, Winter 2003, The Washington Quarterly

Given Russia’s geopolitical predicament, it is difficult to imagine how a rational, even
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compelling rational interest in undermining or geopolitically balancing the United States’ international position.

war wont escalate
Colonel General Leonid Ivashov, President of the Academy of Geopolitical Problems. July 2007 "Will America fight Russia," Defense and Security, No 78. ln  

Ivashov: Numerous scenarios and options are possible. Everything may begin as a local
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nuclear arsenals. It will stop the war and put negotiations into motion.
—-Despite high alert status there is zero chance of u.s. or russian accidental launch – most qualed evidence
Ryabikhin, Koltunov and Misanikov, 2009 (Dr. Lenoid, Executive Secretary of the Committee of Scientist for Global Security and Arms Control, Viktor, Ret. General and Deputy Director of the Institute for Strategic Stability of Rosatom, Dr. Eugene, Senior Research Scientist at the Center for Arms Control, Energy and Environmental Studies, "De-altering: Decreasing the Operational Readiness of Strategic Nuclear Forces, Discussion Paper presented at the Seminar on Reframing De-Alert: Decreasing the Operational Readiness of Nuclear Weapons Systems in the U.S.-Russia Contextm, June, http://www.ewi.info/system/files/RyabikhinKoltunovMiasnikov.pdf)

Most of the experts define de-alerting as implementing some reversible physical changes in
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and the United States have developed proper measures to observe the agreed requirements.
the war wouldn’t lead to extinction
James J. Wirtz et al, Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, Winter 2006-2007, "The Short Shadow of U.S. Primacy?", International Security 

Because policymakers can never ignore even the remotest possibility of retaliation, U.S
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in countries the United States considers allies could die in this nuclear exchange.

Warming won’t destroy the world—-their models are empirically false 
Fuller 10 (Thomas, SF Environmental Policy Examiner, Mar 3, http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climate-reports/6518-global-warming-is-real-but-effects-have-been-exaggerated-and-we-dont-know-the-future-http://www.climatechangefraud.com/climate-reports/6518-global-warming-is-real-but-effects-have-been-exaggerated-and-we-dont-know-the-future)
Temperatures have risen 0.7 degrees Celsius over the past century, which is
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to take better care of each other and the planet we live on.   

Even if it did, no extinction
Green 11 (Roedy, PHD from British Colombia, "Extinction of Man", http://mindprod.com/environment/extinction.html//umich-mp)
Mankind is embarking on a strange ecological experiment. Over a couple of centuries,
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result, but some people will survive. That is not complete extinction.

Icecore extractions prove warming is fake
Idso 11 (Craig D. Idso, Ph.D. (cidso@co2science.org), is lead author of Climate Change Reconsidered, published by the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC). An earlier version of this article appeared on the NIPCC Web site. Subscriptions to the NIPCC email distribution list are free of charge and can be ordered at http://www.nipccreport.org/about/emailsignupform.html-http://www.nipccreport.org/about/emailsignupform.html. " Arctic Study Finds No Recent Warming" http://www.heartland.org/full/29549/Arctic_Study_Finds_No_Recent_Warming.html-http://www.heartland.org/full/29549/Arctic_Study_Finds_No_Recent_Warming.html)
Climate alarmists contend the earth’s near-surface air temperatures of the past decade were
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expected to exhibit that warming more strongly than other regions of the globe.

Warming is cyclical – explains climate better than IPCC models.
Bell 2012
Larry, Professor of Architecture @ University of Houston, author of Climate of Corruption: Politics and Power behind the Global Warming Hoax, Global Warming Or Natural, Predictable Climate Change?, Forbes, January 2012, http://thegwpf.org/the-climate-record/4737-global-warming-or-natural-predictable-climate-change.html

An extensively peer-reviewed study published last December in the Journal of Atmospheric and
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of a natural millennial cycle as previously occurred during Roman and Medieval times.

—-No risk of nuclear war with Russia.
Graham 2007
Thomas, senior advisor on Russia in the US National Security Council staff 2002-2007, September 2007, Russia in Global Affairs "The Dialectics of Strength and Weakness"
An astute historian of Russia, Martin Malia, wrote several years ago that "
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with sensitive issues, even when outside observers would posit a common interest. 

—-No U.S. accidental launch and no accidental nuclear war with russia – systems are fail safe
Slocombe, 2009 (Walter B., Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, "De-Altering: Diagnoses, Prescriptions, and Side Effects", Discussion Paper Presented at the Seminar on Reframing De-Alert: Decreasing the Operational Readiness of Nuclear Weapon Systems in the U.S.-Russia Context, East-West Institute, June, http://www.ewi.info/system/files/Slocombe.pdf)

Let’s start with Technical Failure – the focus of a great deal of the advocacy
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, a highly capable and highly survivable command and control system is essential.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent: Dmth CK | Judge: 

OV

Nuclear power production is distinct from mining and processing of uranium and also waste management and disposal.

Young 05
(Steve, Whitepaper ~WP-019~ Environmental Regulation and Nuclear Power,  http://www.unixworks.net/papers/wp-019.pdf)

Backing up both nuclear power and nuclear weapons production are an array of governmental and commercial facilities devoted to the mining and processing of uranium and the management and disposal of large quantities of wastes. Federal and private entities transport nuclear materials and waste throughout the system by rail, truck, ship, and plane. 29

And, the politics of power production and plutonium fuel processing are totally different, which proves our ground argument.

Young 05
(Steve, Whitepaper ~WP-019~ Environmental Regulation and Nuclear Power,  http://www.unixworks.net/papers/wp-019.pdf)
In response to this crisis, the DOE considered an extensive rebuilding campaign, which
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The administration dropped its plans for the Idaho plant in January 1990. 230

Including regulations is a limits disaster—-undermines preparedness for all debates

Doub 76 William is a principal in the law firm of Doub and Muntzing. Previously he was a partner in LeBoeuf, Lamb, Leiby, and MacRae. He was a member of the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (1971-1974). He served as a member of the Executive Advisory Committee to the Federal Power Commission (1968-1971) and was appointed by the President to the President’s Air Quality Advisory Board. He is a past chairman of the U.S. National Committee of the World Energy Conference. "Energy Regulation: A Quagmire for Energy Policy," http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/abs/10.1146/annurev.eg.01.110176.003435
FERS began with the recognition that federal energy policy must result from concerted efforts in
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agencies. Unfortunately, this example is the rule rather than the exception. 

Including energy regulations adds five million research hours

Tugwell 88 Franklin Tugwell joined The Asia Foundation’s Board of Trustees in 2010. Dr
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and the American Political Economy," ISBN 0-8047-1500-9
 Finally, administering energy regulations proved a costly and cumbersome endeavor, exacting a
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regulatory process also exceeded %241 billion a year from 1974 to 1980.^

limits

Including energy regs is too big—-it’s torture for the neg

Edwards 80 Opinion in BAYOU BOUILLON CORP. v. ATLANTIC RICHFIELD CO. Court of Appeal of Louisiana, First Circuit. May 5
Comprehending the applicability and complexity of federal energy regulation necessitates both a stroll down the tortuous legislative path and a review of legal challenges so numerous as to require the establishment of a Temporary Emergency Court of Appeals. 

That destroys education—-too much to comprehend

Stafford 83 G. William is an Associate at Ross, Marsh and Foster. Review of "Federal Regulation of Energy" by William F. Fox, Jr, http://felj.org/elj/Energy%20Journals/Vol6_No2_1985_Book_Review2.pdf
It may safely be said that any effort to catalogue "the entire spectrum of
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evaluating laws, regulations, and significant judicial decisions in a single work. 

—-Our interpretation focuses the topic on the core issue of restrictions on access to energy production.

(1) Oil and Gas

Institute for Energy Research 12   Petroleum (Oil)
http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/energy-overview/petroleum-oil/-http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/energy-overview/petroleum-oil/

The United States’ dependence on foreign sources of energy was intensified by federal government restrictions
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been placed off limits to energy production until US government policy allows it.

(2) Solar Power

A. Home Owner Association restrictions

Gebert 07 (Laura, J.D. candidate, Barry University School of Law, A SURVEY OF SELECTED GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED ENERGY PLANS AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR FLORIDA’S FUTURE ENERGY POLICY, 8 Barry L. Rev. 149)

California’s Solar Initiative and Colorado’s Amendment 37 are expensive programs funded by surcharges on energy
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, the federal government could empower to defy illegal bans imposed by HOAs.

B. Public Lands
Bump-Grist-7/24/12   U.S. lays out the welcome mat for solar on public lands
http://grist.org/politics/u-s-lays-out-the-welcome-mat-for-solar-on-public-lands/-http://grist.org/politics/u-s-lays-out-the-welcome-mat-for-solar-on-public-lands/

The Department of the Interior today announced plans to make that practice far more common
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, endangered species, scarce water resources or other environmental values if developed.

(3) Offshore Wind

Rigano-J.D. candidate Hofstra-10    39 Hofstra L. Rev. 201
NOTE: THE SOLUTION TO THE UNITED STATES’ ENERGY TROUBLES IS BLOWING IN THE WIND

E. The "Offshore Wind Energy Act" 283 The overall procedure regarding offshore
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developers from offshore wind energy because the approval process would be less elaborate.