| 09/25/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge:
Advantage one is Prolif –
And, prolif is bad – extinction
Kroenig, 12 [May 26th, Matthew Kroenig: Assistant Professor of Government, Georgetown University and Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations, The History of Proliferation Optimism: Does It Have A Future? Prepared for the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=1182andtid=30]
Proliferation Optimism: Proliferation …
devastating nuclear exchange.
And, The perception of technological leadership centered on an effective and expanded domestic nuclear industry prevents global proliferation
Bengelsdorf and McGoldrick, 07 [currently a Principal with the consulting firm of Bengelsdorf, McGoldrick, and Associates, held numerous senior positions in the U.S. government, including the Energy Department and its predecessor agencies, the State Department, and the U.S. Mission to the IAEA. Among his appointments, he served as the director of both key State and Energy Department offices that are concerned with international nuclear and nonproliferation affairs. Throughout his career, Mr. Bengelsdorf contributed significantly to the development and implementation of U.S. international fuel cycle and nonproliferation policies, having participated in several White House and National Security Council studies. He was involved in the negotiation of numerous bilateral and multilateral nuclear and nonproliferation agreements, including the development of full-scope IAEA safeguards (INFCIRC/153) to implement the Nuclear, THE U.S. DOMESTIC CIVIL NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE AND U.S. NONPROLIFERATION POLICY A White Paper Presented by the American Council on Global Nuclear Competitiveness May 2007, http://www.nuclearcompetitiveness.org/images/COUNCIL_WHITE_PAPER_Final.pdf]
The health of the U.S. civil …
other countries.
And, the internal link is historically proven – the US led order has solidified strict nonproliferation standards – maintaining a seat at the international table allows safeguard improvements, physical protection and nuclear detection
Bengelsdorf and McGoldrick, 07 [currently a Principal with the consulting firm of Bengelsdorf, McGoldrick, and Associates, held numerous senior positions in the U.S. government, including the Energy Department and its predecessor agencies, the State Department, and the U.S. Mission to the IAEA. Among his appointments, he served as the director of both key State and Energy Department offices that are concerned with international nuclear and nonproliferation affairs. Throughout his career, Mr. Bengelsdorf contributed significantly to the development and implementation of U.S. international fuel cycle and nonproliferation policies, having participated in several White House and National Security Council studies. He was involved in the negotiation of numerous bilateral and multilateral nuclear and nonproliferation agreements, including the development of full-scope IAEA safeguards (INFCIRC/153) to implement the Nuclear, THE U.S. DOMESTIC CIVIL NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE AND U.S. NONPROLIFERATION POLICY A White Paper Presented by the American Council on Global Nuclear Competitiveness May 2007, http://www.nuclearcompetitiveness.org/images/COUNCIL_WHITE_PAPER_Final.pdf]
Historically, the ability of the U.S.
… the U.S. nuclear infrastructure.
And, global interest in nuclear power is expanding which creates unprecedented threats to the nonprolif regime – maintaining effective export conditions is contingent on a US lead role
Bengelsdorf and McGoldrick, 07 [currently a Principal with the consulting firm of Bengelsdorf, McGoldrick, and Associates, held numerous senior positions in the U.S. government, including the Energy Department and its predecessor agencies, the State Department, and the U.S. Mission to the IAEA. Among his appointments, he served as the director of both key State and Energy Department offices that are concerned with international nuclear and nonproliferation affairs. Throughout his career, Mr. Bengelsdorf contributed significantly to the development and implementation of U.S. international fuel cycle and nonproliferation policies, having participated in several White House and National Security Council studies. He was involved in the negotiation of numerous bilateral and multilateral nuclear and nonproliferation agreements, including the development of full-scope IAEA safeguards (INFCIRC/153) to implement the Nuclear, THE U.S. DOMESTIC CIVIL NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE AND U.S. NONPROLIFERATION POLICY A White Paper Presented by the American Council on Global Nuclear Competitiveness May 2007, http://www.nuclearcompetitiveness.org/images/COUNCIL_WHITE_PAPER_Final.pdf]
Consumer countries are likely …
project design and selection where possible.
But, the US won’t play a lead role – bolstering the domestic industry prevents cascading proliferation and ensures international reactor development
Wallace and Williams, 12 [Michael, Senior Adviser, U.S. Nuclear Energy Project, Sarah, CSIS, “Nuclear Energy in America: Preventing It’s Early Demise,” http://csis.org/files/publication/120417_gf_wallace_williams.pdf]
America’s nuclear …
its early demise.
And, new tech is the lynchpin of prolif leadership – the alternative is cascading prolif and terrorism
NESG, ‘5
[report by the Nuclear Energy Study Group of the American Physical Society Panel on Public Affairs, “Nuclear Power And Proliferation Resistance: Securing Benefits, Limiting Risk,” May, http://www.aps.org/policy/reports/popa-reports/proliferation-resistance/upload/proliferation.pdf]
Nuclear Power, Nuclear Proliferation …
the fuel-cycle and strengthen international institutions.
Thorium reactors are key –
And, expansion of LFTR’s ensure proliferation resistance – supplants global plutonium supplies
Donohue, 8/27/12 [Nathan Donohue is a research intern for the Project on Nuclear Issues, CSIS, “Thorium and its Value in Nonproliferation”, http://csis.org/blog/thorium-and-its-value-nonproliferation]
The Federation of American Scientists (FAS)
…Reactor and Accelerator Driven System.
And, plutonium disposable is possible via in situ reprocessing – solves terrorism which causes extinction
Rhodes, 12 [February, Professor Chris Rhodes is a writer and researcher. He studied chemistry at Sussex University, earning both a B.Sc and a Doctoral degree (D.Phil.); rising to become the youngest professor of physical chemistry in the U.K. at the age of 34. A prolific author, Chris has published more than 400 research and popular science articles (some in national newspapers: The Independent and The Daily Telegraph) He has recently published his first novel, "University Shambles" was published in April 2009 (Melrose Books), “Hopes Build for Thorium Nuclear Energy”, http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Nuclear-Power/Hopes-Build-for-Thorium-Nuclear-Energy.html]
There is much written to the effect that thorium …
civilization is poised.
LFTR’s are prolif resistant – the plan causes tech transfers – federal funding key
Hargraves, 12 [July, Robert, Robert Hargraves has written articles and made presentations about the liquid fluoride thorium reactor and energy cheaper than from coal – the only realistic way to dissuade nations from burning fossil fuels. His presentation “Aim High” about the technology and social benefits of the liquid fluoride thorium reactor has been presented to audiences at Dartmouth ILEAD, Thayer School of Engineering, Brown University, Columbia Earth Institute, Williams College, Royal Institution, the Thorium Energy Alliance, the International Thorium Energy Association, Google, the American Nuclear Society, and the Presidents Blue Ribbon Commission of America’s Nuclear Future. With coauthor Ralph Moir he has written articles for the American Physical Society Forum on Physics and Society: Liquid Fuel Nuclear Reactors (Jan 2011) and American Scientist: Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors (July 2010). Robert Hargraves is a study leader for energy policy at Dartmouth ILEAD. He was chief information officer at Boston Scientific Corporation and previously a senior consultant with Arthur D. Little. He founded a computer software firm, DTSS Incorporated while at Dartmouth College where he was assistant professor of mathematics and associate director of the computation center. He graduated from Brown University (PhD Physics 1967) and Dartmouth College (AB Mathematics and Physics 1961). THORIUM: energy cheaper than coal, ISBN: 1478161299, purchased online at Amazon.com]
Advanced nuclear power
… wars over resources.
And, federal LFTR prevents prolif – prevents diversion of materials
Hargraves and Moir, ‘10
[Robert, teaches energy policy at the Institute for Lifelong Education at Dartmouth College, CIO at Boston Scientific, doing medical devices, graduate degree in physics -- Brown University, received a graduate degree in physics, Brown University, has published 10 papers on molten-salt reactors during his career at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Sc.D. in nuclear engineering from MIT, July-August, “Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors: An old idea in nuclear power gets reexamined,” The American Scientist]
Cost competitiveness is a weighty
…and unobtainable plutonium.
1ac advantage (2)
Advantage two is China
China is committed to Thorium based nuclear power – large national initiatives make LFFTR development inevitable - development ensures Chinese control of intellectual property
Martin, 12 [May 8th, Richard, A contributing editor for Wired since 2002, he has written about energy, for Time, Fortune, The Atlantic, and the Asian Wall Street Journal, editorial director for Pike Research, the leading cleantech research and analysis firm, former Technology Producer for ABCNews.com, Technology Editor for The Industry Standard (2000-2001), and Editor-at- Large for Information Week (2005-2008), recipient of the “Excellence in Feature Writing" Award from the Society for Professional Journalists and the White Award for Investigative Reporting, Educated at Yale and the University of Hong Kong, , “SuperFuel: Thorium, the Green Energy Source for the Future”, ISBN 978—0»230-116474]
GIVEN ALL THIS, I HAD TO ASK, why bother? … startling rate since¶ 2010 and of which China now has a monopoly: rare earth elements.¶
And, that control causes an abdication of US market access – collapses economic competitiveness
WP, ’12 [Washington Post, 3-14, “America Is Letting China Steal Our Valuable Nuclear Innovations,” http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2012/03/america-is-letting-china-steal-our-valuable-nuclear-innovations.html]
The U.S. Is Letting …build and run the U.S. plants as well.
And, the impact is a complete collapse of hegemony
Martino 7 – founder and chairman of the board of Cyber Technology Group, author of numerous books on finance (Rocco, A Strategy for Success: Innovation Will Renew American Leadership, http://www.fpri.org/orbis/5102/martino.innovationamericanleadership.pdf,)
The United States of course faced … and energy dependence.
Decline unglues geopolitics—causes the worst conflicts and inhibits problem solving
Hirsh, 12/19/2011 [former Foreign Editor and chief correspondent for Newsweek written for Foreign Affairs, and Washington Monthly Hirsh was co-winner of the Overseas Press Club award for best magazine reporting from abroad in 2001 . “The End of the American Interlude”, http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/the-end-of-the-american-interlude-20111215]
Welcome to the future. …much more likely.
Hegemony deescalates and solves all global nuclear conflict
Kagan, 12 [2/7/12, Robert, The World America Made, Master Harvard, Ph.D American U, Columnist for the Washington Post, listed a top 100 public intellectual, p. Amazon Kindle]
The unusual combination …a more viable option.
1ac plan text (1)
The United States federal government should establish a matching funds programs, increase research and development funding and remove licensing restrictions for thorium power production in the United States.
1ac solvency (1)
Contention two is solvency –
The plan catalyzes effective investment in Thorium based reactor technology – lifting licensing restrictions spurs swift commercialization and establishing a matching funds program ensures appropriate capital for effective deployment – syncing that process with R and D funding sustains federal nuclear power leadership, prevents hegemonic decline and nuclear annihilation
Martin, 12 [May 8th, Richard, A contributing editor for Wired since 2002, he has written about energy, for Time, Fortune, The Atlantic, and the Asian Wall Street Journal, editorial director for Pike Research, the leading cleantech research and analysis firm, former Technology Producer for ABCNews.com, Technology Editor for The Industry Standard (2000-2001), and Editor-at- Large for Information Week (2005-2008), recipient of the “Excellence in Feature Writing" Award from the Society for Professional Journalists and the White Award for Investigative Reporting, Educated at Yale and the University of Hong Kong, , “SuperFuel: Thorium, the Green Energy Source for the Future”, ISBN 978—0»230-116474]
WHILE A NEW MANHATTAN …choice¶ is ours.
Current support is insufficient—Congressional appropriations are key to fast-track reactor development
Cannarra, 5/5/11 [Engineering and Environmental Consultant Member: AAAS, IEEE, Sierra Club Supporter: EDF, Greenpeace, NAPF, Nature Conservancy, NRDC, RAN, UCS, WWF… Affiliated with the Thorium Energy Alliance Thorium – A Safe, Abundant and ‘Fertile’ Power Source Dr. Alexander Cannara,http://cybercemetery.unt.edu/archive/brc/20120627230324/http://brc.gov/sites/default/files/comments/attachments/thoriumarticle_a_cannara_0.pdf]
Today, for example, we in … our future via Thorium (3,4). |
| 09/25/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 7 | Opponent: MSU RZ | Judge: James Herndon
No warming
Beisner 10 — former associate professor of interdisciplinary studies in economics, government, and public policy, Covenant. PhD, University of St. Andrews (Calvin, Forget Global Warming Mini Ice Age May Be on Its Way, 12 January 2010, http://www.rightsidenews.com/201001128144/energy-and-environment/forget-global-warming-mini-ice-age-may-be-on-its-way.html, AMiles) Note – graph omitted The UK's MailOnline did just that this … other alarmists rely. Doesn’t solve the case – restrictions are codified in federal law – prevents the requisite licensing, means the cp fails to cause commercialization – that’s 1ac Martin
MIT, 10 [Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Nuclear Energy Research and Development Roadmap: Report to Congress”, April 2010, http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/nuclear-engineering/22-033-nuclear-systems-design-project-fall-2011/readings/MIT22_033F11_read_core_doe.pdf]
In the United States, …new reactor systems. And, doesn’t solve prolif leadership - Hargraves and Wallace say only a national initiative sends a credible signal and creates barriers to use – NRC credibility is key that’s Bengelsdorf – only federal action solves nuclear cred
Fertel, 05 - Senior Vice President And Chief Nuclear Officer Nuclear Energy Institute (Marvin, CQ Congressional Testimony, “NUCLEAR POWER'S PLACE IN A NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY,” 4/28, lexis) DH
Industry and government …with all advanced technologies.
And, policy through the DOE is essential to create effective international norms and spur tech development
MIT, 10 [Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Nuclear Energy Research and Development Roadmap: Report to Congress”, April 2010, http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/nuclear-engineering/22-033-nuclear-systems-design-project-fall-2011/readings/MIT22_033F11_read_core_doe.pdf]
A goal-driven, science-based …mitigate proliferation concerns. Only congressional randd solves worker shortages
Kammen, 03 - professor of nuclear engineering at Berkeley (Daniel, Federal News Service, Prepared Testimony before the House Committee on Science, 6/12, lexis) DH
The federal government …University of California, Berkeley The impact is the case
BENGELSDORF, 07 – consultant and former director of both key State and Energy Department offices that are concerned with international nuclear and nonproliferation affair (HAROLD, “THE U.S. DOMESTIC CIVIL NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE AND U.S. NONPROLIFERATION POLICY”, White Paper prepared for the American Council on Global Nuclear Competitiveness May, http://www.nuclearcompetitiveness.org/images/COUNCIL_WHITE_PAPER_Final.pdf)//DH
Thus the challenge … boomers start to retire. States can’t overcome industry proclivity for uranium
Niiler, ‘11
[Eric, Washington Post, 12-15, “Nuclear power entrepreneurs push thorium as a fuel,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/nuclear-power-entrepreneurs-push-thorium-as-a-fuel/2011/12/15/gIQALTinPR_story.html]
Dr. Dan … of plutonium for bombs. That means they’ll be too risk averse to respond to incentives
Niiler, ‘11
[Eric, Washington Post, 12-15, “Nuclear power entrepreneurs push thorium as a fuel,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/nuclear-power-entrepreneurs-push-thorium-as-a-fuel/2011/12/15/gIQALTinPR_story.html]
Sorensen says a … that’s down the road. It’s more of the science-project phase.” |
| 09/25/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 7 | Opponent: MSU RZ | Judge: James Herndon
Romney wouldn’t start a trade war with China if elected
Politico, 9-15-12, p. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81254.html
Mitt Romney is …consumers like cheap Chinese imports. China won’t retaliate—no impact
Bosco 9/6—national security consultant, master of laws from Georgetown (Joseph A., 9/6/12, http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/china-and-a-mitt-romney-presidency/2012/09/06/32917432-f76f-11e1-a93b-7185e3f88849_story.html, RBatra) First, it takes …Romney inauguration. Cooperation is hindered by domestic politics – internal link’s inevitable
Czarnezki, 11 [Jason J. Professor of Law in the Environmental Law Center and Faculty Director of the U.S.-China¶ Partnership for Environmental Law at Vermont
Law School; A.B., J.D, “CLIMATE POLICY and¶ U.S.-CHINA RELATIONs”, Published After April 4th 2011. http://www.vermontlaw.edu/Documents/Jason%20Czarnezki%20Climate%20Policy%20and%20China.pdf]
Both the United … global climate.¶ Wind PTC incentives are coming
Laura DiMugno (writer for NAWP, North American Wind Power) September 20 2012 “House Rules Committee Throws Out Wind Energy PTC Proposals” http://www.nawindpower.com/e107_plugins/content/content.php?content.10430
One pro-renewables …jump-starting development in the U.S. Link is empirically denied
Howell,11 [Katie, No Date Cited, but Referencing the FY2011 Budget, Obama Budget Increases Funding for Energy Research and Nuclear Power, Scientific American Magazine, http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=obama-energy-research-nuclear-power
Nuclear energy and …non-military spending at 2010 levels.
Nuke power doesn’t swing the election – both policies are the same
Wood, 9-13-12
[Elisa, AOL, “What Obama and Romney Don't Say About Energy,” http://energy.aol.com/2012/09/13/what-obama-and-romney-dont-say-about-energy/]
Fossil fuels and … the development of new reactors." Economy is key – Obama needs a win
Kurlander, 9/6 communications strategist and columnist for the Sun Sentinel (Steven Kurlander, 6 September 2012, “One Crucial Question Will Decide Who Wins the Presidency in November,” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steven-kurlander/one-crucial-question-will_b_1858837.html)//CC
Elections are … the 2012 presidential election. The plan creates shovel ready jobs – causes Obama win
Korte, 4-27-12
[Gregory, USA Today, “Politics stands in the way of nuclear plant's future,” http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/energy/story/2012-04-13/usec-centrifuges-loan-guarantees/54560118/1]
. USEC … the company says would be created.
Public supports nuclear power expansion -- no safety concerns.
Bowman, 4-18-12 [Karlyn, American Enterprise Institute, “Polls on the environment, energy, global warming and nuclear power,” http://www.aei.org/papers/politics-and-public-opinion/polls/polls-on-the-environment-energy-global-warming-and-nuclear-power-april-2012/] - President Obama is …nuclear power.
Romney will win – Obama’s approval ratings are too low
Talgo, 9/16/12 – commentator for Neon Tommy, a Los Angeles-based news source sponsored by the Annenberg School for Communication and Journalism covering breaking news (Tyler, “Why Romney Will Win The Election” http://www.neontommy.com/news/2012/09/why-romney-will-win-election)
Given the post-convention … reelection when he's polling below 50 percent. The debates and labor statistics will determine the election
Lombardo, 9/12/12 - Global CEO, StrategyOne (Steve, “Why This Election Comes Down to Two Days in October,” Huffington Post, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steve-lombardo/election-monitor-why-this_b_1877815.html) Several national polls … November.¶ Gridlock inevitable with any election outcome
Curry, 9/11/12 - NBC News national affairs writer (Tom, NBC Politics, “Romney election could create new scenario for EPA and coal,” http://nbcpolitics.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/11/13807749-romney-election-could-create-new-scenario-for-epa-and-coal?lite) Whether Mitt … it opposed. |
| 09/26/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
All 2AC speech docs include 2AC and 1AR evidence |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Nuclear Leadership
Nuclear power is inevitable – Inaction on IFRs is killing US nuclear leadership
Shuster 11 Joseph Shuster, founder of Minnesota Valley Engineering and Chemical Engineer, 9-8-2011, "Response to Draft Report From Obama’s Blue Ribbon Commission (BRC) on America’s Nuclear Future dated July 29, 2011," Beyond Fossil Fools
Contrary to the commission’s declarations on the matter, the U.S. is
AND
did was give our ¶ competitors an additional two years to catch up.
IFR restores leadership on nuclear issues – key to contain proliferation
Stanford 10 (Dr George S. Stanford, nuclear reactor physicist, retired from Argonne National Laboratory, "IFR FaD context – the need for U.S. implementation of the IFR," 2/18/10) http://bravenewclimate.com/2010/02/18/ifr-fad-context/-http://bravenewclimate.com/2010/02/18/ifr-fad-context/
ON THE NEED FOR U.S. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE INTEGRAL FAST REACTOR¶
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a demo will require federal seed money. It’s time to get moving. Several impacts – 1st prolif
Transition to IFRs create a global proliferation resistant fuel cycle
Stanford 10 (Dr George S. Stanford, nuclear reactor physicist, retired from Argonne National Laboratory, "Q%26A on Integral Fast Reactors – safe, abundant, non-polluting power," 9/18/10) http://bravenewclimate.com/2010/09/18/ifr-fad-7/-http://bravenewclimate.com/2010/09/18/ifr-fad-7/
Thermal reactors with reprocessing would do at least a little better.¶ Recycling (it
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just such a fuel cycle—a prime candidate for “continued consideration.”
We’re on the brink of rapid prolif – access to tech is inevitable and multilateral institutions fail
CFR 12 CFR 7-5-2012, "The Global Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime," Council on Foreign Relations Nuclear weapons proliferation, whether by state or nonstate actors, poses one of the
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way for "the peace and security of a world without nuclear weapons."
New proliferators will be uniquely destabilizing -- guarantees conflict escalation.
Cimbala, ‘8
Stephen, Distinguished Prof. Pol. Sci. – Penn. State Brandywine, Comparative Strategy, “Anticipatory Attacks: Nuclear Crisis Stability in Future Asia”, 27, InformaWorld
If the possibility existed of a mistaken preemption during and immediately after the Cold War
AND
could overturn these expectations for the obsolescence or marginalization of major interstate warfare. Extinction.
Krieger, ‘9
David, Pres. Nuclear Age Peace Foundation and Councilor – World Future Council, “Still Loving the Bomb After All These Years”, 9-4, https://www.wagingpeace.org/articles/2009/09/04_krieger_newsweek_response.php?krieger
Jonathan Tepperman’s article in the September 7, 2009 issue of Newsweek, “Why
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Jong-Il and his successors are more rational than Mr. Tepperman?
2nd terrorism – spent nuclear fuel is exposed in the status quo – fast reactors solve
Nuclear Threat Initiative 12 Nuclear Threat Initiative, 8-1-2012, "Why Is Highly Enriched Uranium a Threat?" Prepared by the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies The most difficult challenge for a terrorist organization seeking to build a nuclear weapon or
AND
or decommissioned, while eight are planned or under construction. 4
That’s key to the nuclear taboo – solves nuclear war
Bin ‘9 (5-22-09 About the Authors Prof. Li
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University, which he completed in 2009 under Prof. Li Bin. ) The nuclear taboo is a kind of international norm and this type of norm is
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problem, avoid miscalculation and thereby reduce the danger of a nuclear war. 3rd competitiveness – US is ceding nuclear competitiveness now
Barton 11 Charles Barton, Nuclear Green, “Have the Chinese Been Reading Energy from Thorium or Nuclear Green?” 1/31/11 Last week the Chinese Academy of Science announced that it planned to finance the development
AND
their venture into Molten Salt nuclear technology. The American leadership does not.
That’s crucial to overall competitiveness
Barton 10 (Charles Barton, Nuclear Green "Keeping up with China: The Economic Advantage of Molten Salt Nuclear Technology," 12/1/10) American and European nuclear development can either proceed by following the cost lowering paths being
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European economies competitive, at least as far as energy costs are concerned.
That prevents great power wars – perception is key
Baru 9 - Visiting Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy in Singapore (Sanjaya, “Year of the power shift?,”
http://www.india-seminar.com/2009/593/593_sanjaya_baru.htm There is no doubt that economics alone will not determine the balance of global power
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they will do so once again in today’s America remains to be seen. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Contention 2 is warming
Warming is real and anthropogenic – carbon dioxide increase, polar ice records, melting glaciers, sea level rise
Prothero 12 Donald R. Prothero, Professor of Geology at Occidental College and Lecturer in Geobiology at the California Institute of Technology, 3-1-2012, "How We Know Global Warming is Real and Human Caused," Skeptic, vol 17 no 2, EBSCO Converging Lines of Evidence¶ How do we know that global warming is real and
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pinnacles, but the rest of these drowned cities would lie deep underwater.
Causes extinction
Sawin 12 Janet Sawin, Senior Director of the Energy and Climate Change Program at the WorldWatch Institute, Aug 2012, “Climate Change Poses Greater Security Threat than Terrorism As early as 1988, scientists cautioned that human tinkering with the Earth's climate amounted
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migration across borders has frequently led to violent clashes over land and resources.
Warming causes extinction
Sify 2010 – Sydney newspaper citing Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, professor at University of Queensland and Director of the Global Change Institute, and John Bruno, associate professor of Marine Science at UNC (Sify News, “Could unbridled climate changes lead to human extinction?”, http://www.sify.com/news/could-unbridled-climate-changes-lead-to-human-extinction-news-international-kgtrOhdaahc.html, WEA)
The findings of the comprehensive report: 'The impact of climate change on the world's
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warned, according to a GCI release. These findings were published in Science
The IFR is the only way to reduce coal emissions sufficiently to avert the worst climate disasters
Kirsch 9 (Steve Kirsch, Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science in electrical engineering and computer science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, American serial entrepreneur who has started six companies: Mouse Systems, Frame Technology, Infoseek, Propel, Abaca, and OneID, "Why We Should Build an Integral Fast Reactor Now," 11/25/9) http://skirsch.wordpress.com/2009/11/25/ifr/ To prevent a climate disaster, we must eliminate virtually all coal plant emissions worldwide
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old child was able to determine this from publicly available information in 2004.
Inventing something cheaper is key – alternative methods can’t solve warming
Kirsch 9 (Steve Kirsch, Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science in electrical engineering and computer science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, American serial entrepreneur who has started six companies: Mouse Systems, Frame Technology, Infoseek, Propel, Abaca, and OneID, "How Does Obama Expect to Solve the Climate Crisis Without a Plan?" 7/16/9) http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steve-kirsch/how-does-obama-expect-to_b_236588.html-http://www.huffingtonpost.com/steve-kirsch/how-does-obama-expect-to_b_236588.html The ship is sinking slowly and we are quickly running out of time to develop
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. That way, they'll want to switch. No coercion is required. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Plan
The United States federal government should substantially increase loan guarantees for integral fast reactors using the S-PRISM design Solvency – Loan Guarantees 1AC
Contention 3: Solvency
Loan guarantees solve – conservative arguments about cronyism and risk underestimation ignore 20 years of loan guarantee data to the contrary
Griffith and Caperton, 12 - John Griffith is a Policy Analyst with the Economic Policy team at the Center for American Progress. Richard Caperton is the Director of Clean Energy Investment at the Center (Major Analysis: Federal Loans And Loan Guarantees Have A Huge Benefit But A Low And Predicatable Cost, 5/3, http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/05/03/475978/major-analysis-federal-loans-and-loan-guarantees-have-a-huge-benefit-but-a-low-and-predicatable-cost/)
These programs typically run at very low cost to taxpayers. On average, every
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single year of mortgage guarantees made at the height of the housing crisis.
Government support is vital-~--it overcomes financial barriers to nuclear that the market cannot
Yanosek 12 Kassia, entrepreneur-in-residence at Stanford University’s Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance and a private equity investor in the energy sector as a principal at Quadrant Management and Founder of Tana Energy Capital LLC, " Financing Nuclear Power in the US", Spring, energyclub.stanford.edu/index.php/Journal/Financing_Nuclear_Power_by_Kassia_Yanosek
Over the course of the last decade, it appeared that concerns about carbon emissions
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of tax credits and loan guarantees provided in the 2005 Energy Policy Act. Plan is modeled internationally
Blees et al 11 (Tom Blees1, Yoon Chang2, Robert Serafin3, Jerry Peterson4, Joe Shuster1, Charles Archambeau5, Randolph Ware3, 6, Tom Wigley3,7, Barry W. Brook7, 1Science Council for Global Initiatives, 2Argonne National Laboratory, 3National Center for Atmospheric Research, 4University of Colorado, 5Technology Research Associates, 6Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, 7(climate professor) University of Adelaide, "Advanced nuclear power systems to mitigate climate change (Part III)," 2/24/11) http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/02/24/advanced-nuclear-power-systems-to-mitigate-climate-change/-http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/02/24/advanced-nuclear-power-systems-to-mitigate-climate-change/ There are many compelling reasons to pursue the rapid demonstration of a full-scale
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mitigate climate change and other environmental and geopolitical crises of the 21st century.
IFR’s S-PRISM design is really safe
Blees et al 11 (Tom Blees1, Yoon Chang2, Robert Serafin3, Jerry Peterson4, Joe Shuster1, Charles Archambeau5, Randolph Ware3, 6, Tom Wigley3,7, Barry W. Brook7, 1Science Council for Global Initiatives, 2Argonne National Laboratory, 3National Center for Atmospheric Research, 4University of Colorado, 5Technology Research Associates, 6Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, 7(climate professor) University of Adelaide, "Advanced nuclear power systems to mitigate climate change (Part III)," 2/24/11) http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/02/24/advanced-nuclear-power-systems-to-mitigate-climate-change/-http://bravenewclimate.com/2011/02/24/advanced-nuclear-power-systems-to-mitigate-climate-change/ Metal Fuel: The Ultimate Safety Valve¶ One of the most important of the
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be a reactor design that even the most paranoid could feel good about.
IFR fuel can be obtained from seawater – makes energy infinite
Archambeau et all 11 The Integral Fast Reactor (IFR): An Optimized Source for Global Energy Needs, Charles Archambeau, Science Council for Global Initiatives, Randolph Ware, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Tom Blees, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Barry Brook, University of Adelaide, Jerry Peterson, Argonne National Laboratory,¶ Yoon Chang, University of Colorado, February 2011 The pyroprocessor unit can be used as a stand-alone system to process LWR
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source¶ which can be expanded, essentially indefinitely, to meet demand. Manhattan Project approach key to catalyze quick investment in IFRs – perception is non-unique, there is government investment now
Kirsch 9 Steve Kirsch, founder and CEO of multiple tech companies collectively worth over %241 billion and MS in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science from MIT, November 2009, "Why We Should Build an Integral Fast Reactor Now," Q. If this is really so good, how … fast-reactor technology in this country. |
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Can’t solve nuclear leadership – not perceived
Fertel, 05 - Senior Vice President And Chief Nuclear Officer Nuclear Energy Institute (Marvin, CQ Congressional Testimony, “NUCLEAR POWER'S PLACE IN A NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY,” 4/28, lexis) DH
Industry and government will be prepared to meet the demand for new emission-free
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policy challenges-like waste management-that arise with all advanced technologies. Fuel banks fail – causes massive backlash
Weiss 9 Leonard Weiss, affiliated scholar at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation, “reliable energy supply and nonproliferation”, Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 16, No. 2, 2009 The problem of global warming has fostered much talk of a ‘‘nuclear renaissance’’ as
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complaints of discrimination and a class system for recipients that will be resented. Counterplan makes investors uncertain – federal backing necessary to give grounding to claims and for investors to follow through with loan construction – that’s Bowman and Lyash
A. Federal licensing
Wallace, 05 - President , Constellation Generation Group (Mike, CQ Congressional Testimony, “NUCLEAR POWER 2010 INITIATIVE,” 4/26, lexis)DH
The Department of Energy's Nuclear Power 2010 program is a necessary, but not sufficient
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is a necessary and appropriate investment in U.S. energy security.
B. Continued funding and support
NEI, ‘8
“Building Confidence in Licensing New U.S. Nuclear Plants,” Jan/Feb,
http://nei.org/resourcesandstats/publicationsandmedia/newslettersandreports/nuclearpolicyoutlook/
Addressing Investors’ Concerns Maintaining investor confidence in a new-plant project that will span many years is another concern. Companies have responded to this by allocating funds and other resources to projects on a step-by-step basis. Duke Energy, for example, has filed applications in North Carolina and South Carolina for approval to incur project costs through 2009. Still, constraints on supply have prompted some companies to order major components now regardless of their future decisions. One of the difficulties that companies face in financing major nuclear plant projects is this: The cost of the projects is large relative to the market capitalization of the companies planning to build them. The financial community understands that challenge and is supportive of the way companies are structuring their investment. “Companies have made prudent decisions about how to stage their investments in ways that are appropriate to the risk they are assuming,” said Jeffrey Holzschuh, vice chairman at Morgan Stanley. The federal loan guarantee program, which provides government backing for the financing of clean-energy projects, including new nuclear, is critical for new projects. The loan guarantee program was authorized in the Energy Policy Act of 2005. The legislation also included a form of insurance that will compensate companies if projects are delayed by the licensing process or litigation. In reality, the number of years before an investment in a new nuclear facility will show returns is one of the major concerns for investors. “The biggest risk in licensing is time,” Holzschuh said. The industry is working to reduce the length of time between the decision to pursue licensing a new plant and when operations begin from 10 years to seven years, according to NEI’s Heymer. Finding efficiencies and addressing shortcomings in the licensing process is one way to shrink the time required. Aggressive project management—pre-ordering components, increasing staff and detailed planning—is another way. But the key, say some industry executives, is that the earlier you begin work on a project, the sooner you see results. “Given the time required to build a new plant and complete it by 2014, we were prompt in beginning to address these challenges in 2004,” said Marilyn Kray, president of NuStart Energy Development, which, in partnership with the Tennessee Valley Authority, submitted a license application in October for a new reactor at TVA’s Bellefonte site in Alabama. “Now we have to address work force issues to ensure we have the trained staff to build and operate the new plants,” Kray said. “We also need to ensure that we will have the components and commodities necessary to build new reactors.” More than any other factor, say industry leaders, it is important that companies cooperate to increase stakeholders’ confidence in the new-plant licensing process. The NRC also must look for ways to streamline the licensing process without reducing its effectiveness. Companies need to share their experience with others that are using the same reactor design. Cooperation also is necessary in financing new plants. Ultimately, this cooperation will minimize the challenges that individual projects encounter as they become part of the expansion of the U.S. nuclear power sector.
States can’t provide that – they’re broke
The Hill 6/12 (“Report: Medicaid costs squeezing state budgets” June 12th, 2012, http://thehill.com/blogs/healthwatch/medicaid/232283-report-medicaid-costs-squeezing-state-budgets%20-) The poor economy and rising healthcare costs are driving up states' expenditures on Medicaid,
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past few decades,” said Scott Pattison, the group's executive director. ¶
Uncertainty about loan guarantees kills the entire industry
Ragheb, 12 March, RESTARTING THE STALLED USA NUCLEAR RENAISSANCE, Ph.D., Nuclear Engineering/Computer Sciences, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, 1978 M.Sc., Nuclear Engineering, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, 1974 M.Sc., Nuclear Engineering, Science Centre for Postgraduate Studies, Univ. of Alexandria, Undp-Unesco, 1973 B.Sc., Nuclear Engineering, Univ. of Alexandria, 1970 Associate Professor, 1986 - present Faculty Visitor, Interdisciplinary Research Center, National Center for Supercomputing Applications (NCSA), Univ. of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1985 -1987 Assistant Professor, 1979-1986
https://netfiles.uiuc.edu/mragheb/www/NPRE%20402%20ME%20405%20Nuclear%20Power%20Engineering/Restarting%20the%20USA%20Stalled%20Nuclear%20Renaissance.pdf
The status of the Nuclear Renaissance worldwide and in the USA is discussed. The
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GE) Company which are of the same design as the Fukushima reactors.
Only the DOE has authority – CP struck down
Millikin 8 October 2, 2008, Mike Millikin was an editor and analyst in the IT industry for more than 15 years, starting with distributed systems and working all the way through the Internet boom. He was the executive responsible for NetWorld+Interop, the global interoperability event, and the COMDEX computer tradeshow. He ran the online division of Red Herring, and consulted for Internet security and content management systems companies., “DOE Receives 19 Loan Guarantee Applications for Nuclear Power Plant Construction” PHD Northwestern, http://www.greencarcongress.com/2008/10/doe-receives-19.html, khirn The US Department of Energy (DOE) has received 19 Part I applications from
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that avoid, reduce or sequester emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases. Uncertainty destroys investment – means they can’t solve modeling
Whitefield, 11 5/4/11, STATEMENT OF THE HONORABLE ED WHITFIELD CHAIRMAN, SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND POWER, “The Role of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in America’s Energy Future, http://republicans.energycommerce.house.gov/Media/file/Hearings/Energy/050411/Whitfield.pdf
While the NRC may not be the direct cause of this uncertainty – the Obama
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supply will mean for the future health and wealth of the United States. |
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Wind energy tax credit will create a fight now
Peter Schorsch (Executive Editor of SaintPetersblog and President of Extensive Enterprises Online, LLC) November 8, 2012 “Lawmakers face a busy lame duck session” http://saintpetersblog.com/2012/11/lawmakers-face-a-busy-lame-duck-session/
Wind energy tax credits: “After simmering for the better part of this year
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are at striking a deal to extend a wide range of tax extenders.” Peace process thumps ‘fiscal cliff’
Mitchell Bard (writer for Fox News) November 8, 2012 “ Will the Middle East derail Obama’s agenda?” http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/11/08/will-middle-east-derail-obamas-agenda/
President Obama was reelected with a clear priority to improve the economy, but it
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him to expend political capital he needs to win fights over the economy. Sandy aid thumps ‘fiscal cliff’
David Dayen (writer for FDR – FireDogLake) November 9, 2012 “Lame Duck Congress Has Lots of Work to Do Even Without Fiscal Slope” http://news.firedoglake.com/2012/11/09/lame-duck-congress-has-lots-of-work-to-do-even-without-fiscal-slope/
But perhaps the most important lame duck session item at this point is an immediate
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cliff that can be managed for months before having a legitimate economic impact. Not sufficient political capital to negotiate fiscal cliff
The Washington Times November 7, 2012 “EDITORIAL: Obama: A lame-duck president” http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/nov/7/obama-a-lame-duck-president-lack-of-convincing-man/
When it comes to America’s problems, there will be no slowdown. The hard
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. Obama a lame duck simply affirms what has been true all along. Election PC not sufficient for debt deal
Chris Burrett (writer for Bloomberg News) November 7, 2012 “‘Sad and Depressed’ CEOs See No Light at End of Partisan Impasse” http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-07/ceos-ask-obama-to-fix-deficit-while-bridging-chasm-in-congress#p2
The close popular vote and tight races in swing states such as Florida don’t give
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work together as Americans and develop an American solution to an American problem.” No compromise – they will delay it
Michael Neibauer (writer for the Washington Business Journal) November 7, 2012 “Congress likely to try to defer sequestration” http://www.bizjournals.com/washington/blog/fedbiz_daily/2012/11/congress-likely-try-to-defer.html?page=all
Rather than attempt to squeeze a compromise out of a lame-duck session,
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agreement, with the hard work of tax reform to span across 2013." No impact – their evidence is political posturing
Taylor Marsh October 25, 2012 “Move to Stop Obama s Bad Lame Duck Entitlement Deal has Already Begun” Lexis
It is known in Washington as the fiscal cliff. But policy and economic analysts
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stop a deal in the lame duck. The effort has already begun. PC not key
Klein, 3/19/12 The Unpersuaded Who listens to a President? by Ezra Klein March 19, 2012, Ezra Klein is the editor of Wonkblog and a columnist at the Washington Post, as well as a contributor to MSNBC and Bloomberghttp://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2012/03/19/120319fa_fact_klein#ixzz1p36PrMbH
This, Edwards says, is the reality facing modern Presidents, and one they
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support him and driving legislation through Congress on a party-line vote.”
That’s easier said than done. We don’t have a system of government set up
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opposition party that has both the incentive and the power to resist him.
Jim Cooper says, “We’ve effectively lost our Congress and gained a parliament.” He adds, “At least a Prime Minister is empowered to get things done,” but “we have the extreme polarization of a parliament, with party-line voting, without the empowered Prime Minister.” And you can’t solve that with a speech. And, PC splits congress and backfires
Klein, 3/19/12 The Unpersuaded Who listens to a President? by Ezra Klein March 19, 2012, Ezra Klein is the editor of Wonkblog and a columnist at the Washington Post, as well as a contributor to MSNBC and Bloomberghttp://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2012/03/19/120319fa_fact_klein#ixzz1p36PrMbH
The experience helped to crystallize …harder for him to govern. Winners win
Halloron, 10 Liz, National Public Radio, “For Obama what a difference a win will make”, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=125594396
Amazing what a win in a major legislative battle will do for a president's spirit
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president continues to encourage voters to wait and see what his efforts produce. |
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Prefer util
Cumminsky 90 – Professor of Philosophy, Bates (David, Kantian Consequentialism, Ethics 100.3, p 601-2, p 606, jstor)
We must not obscure the issue by characterizing this type of case as the sacrifice
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consideration of conduct, one's own subjective concerns do not have overriding importance.
Framework – the k needs to prove the whole plan is bad– any other interp moots aff offense and decreases policy education
No root cause– prefer proximate causes
Moore, 04 John Norton, Professor of Law at the University of Virginia He formerly served as the first Chairman of the Board of the United States Institute of Peace and as the Counselor on International Law to the Department of State, Winter, “Beyond the Democratic Peace: Solving the War Puzzle”, 44 Va. J. Int'l L. 341, Lexis Law
If major interstate war is predominantly a product of a synergy between a potential nondemocratic
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dependent on their solution may doom us to war for generations to come.
Violence declining now – because of things consistent with the aff
Pinker, 11 (11/24 Steven, Professor of Psychology at Harvard University, “Violence Vanquished: We believe our world is riddled with terror and war, but we may be living in the most peaceable era in human existence. Why brutality is declining and empathy is on the rise,” 9-24-2011, http://online.ws j.com/article/SB10001424053111904106704576583203589408180.html?mod=googlenews_wsj)
On the day this article appears, you will read about a shocking act of
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impetus to cherish the forces of civilization and enlightenment that made it possible.. Anti-nuclear opposition is directly responsible for the spread of lethal coal fired plants throughout the US and the world; their alternative attempts to be the arbiter and enforcer of environmental purity which simply re-affirms the structural forces that make “black trash” possible in the form of Coal pollution and the looming risk of global warming
King ‘9 - Host and Executive Producer of “White House Chronicle” — a news and public affairs program airing on PBS
After 40 Years, Environmentalists Start To See the Nuclear Light, Llewellyn King, November 25, 2009 – 8:47 pm
Although very little happened, Nov. 24 was a red letter day for the
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has cost the environment 40 years when it comes to reducing greenhouse gases. Capitalism is sustainable – popular support and orthodox economics are inevitable
Crook, 12 January,A Crisis of Leadership, Not a Crisis of Capitalism: Clive Crook, Clive Crook is a Bloomberg View columnist and member of the Bloomberg View editorial board. His column appears on Thursdays. A former chief Washington commentator of the 'Financial Times,' he previously worked at 'The Economist.', http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-01-04/crisis-of-leadership-not-crisis-of-capitalism-commentary-by-clive-crook.html
According to what I read, we face not just the worst … as much as it needs a dictatorship of the proletariat.
Alt doesn’t create a movement – economies of scale entrenched
Comaroff, 2011 (September, John, Harold H. Swift Distinguished Professor of Anthropology at the University of Chicago, The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, “The End of Neoliberalism? “What Is Left of the Left,” p. 142-146)
While the world economic crisis of 2008–2009 might have killed off neoliber-
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for the foreseeable future—to the degree that any future is foreseeable. There is no alternative to capitalism or a clear transition
Kliman, 4 – PhD, Professor of Economics at Pace University
(Andrew, Andrew Kliman’s Writings, “Alternatives to Capitalism: What Happens After the Revolution?” http://akliman.squarespace.com/writings/)
Have we faced the harsh reality that, unless the inseparability between
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a good reason for choosing one path into the future rather than another.” Our human agency disad and contextualization challenge.
Speed K’s too sweeping and ignores that people can check the impact. Adria ‘8
(Marco Adria – Director of the Graduate Program in Communications and Technology University of Alberta – The Journal of Community Informatics – Vol 4, No 1 (2008) – http://www.ci-journal.net/index.php/ciej/article/view/426/392) A totalizing view of technology ... for action may be devised. Human agency is important – they can’t “trade” their K impact for it. Malik ‘2
Kenan Malik is a writer and senior visiting fellow at the Department of Political, International, and Policy Studies at the University of Surrey. This paper was presented to the Engelsberg seminar on 'Consciousness, Genetics and Society', Avesta, Sweden, 14 - 16 June 2002 – http://www.kenanmalik.com/papers/engelsberg_nature.html For this and many other reasons, many find implausible the idea that human agency
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humans as subjective beings, and compelled to view us simply as objects. Virilio radically over-values speed – permits atrocity and nuclear war Federici ‘87
This card is quoting Virilio – Silvia Federici is a Teaching Fellow at Hofstra – Here, she has obtained a transcript of Virilio’s final editorial meeting prior to releasing his book called Pure War A Review Play on Paul Virilio/Sylvere Lotringer, Pure War Author(s): Silvia Federici and George Caffentzis Reviewed work(s):Source: Social Text, No. 17 (Autumn, 1987), pp. 97-105Published by: Duke University PressStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/466480 . P: I'll trust your judgment. After all capital punishment is not the only
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ETHICS ... THROUGH THE DOOR OF TERROR GOD HAS COME BACK INTO HISTORY.
Failure to engage with market mechanisms only reproduces the worst parts of the status quo – only working with the world as it is renders another world possible
Bryant 12—professor of philosophy at Collin College (Levi, We’ll Never Do Better Than a Politician: Climate Change and Purity, 5/11/12, http://larvalsubjects.wordpress.com/2012/05/11/well-never-do-better-than-a-politician-climate-change-and-purity/)
However, pointing this out and deriding market based solutions doesn’t get us very far
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there’s no way around this, and we do need to act now. |
