Tournament: GSU | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Elections DA

Obama wins now – prediction markets prove

InTrade 9/22
~[2012, http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=743474~~]cn
Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012
71.6%  CHANCE
Last prediction was: %247.16 / share
Today’s Change:   +%240.17 (+2.4%)
Contract Type: 0-100  

Prefer prediction markets – they’re empirically the most accurate

Luskin 4 – Donald, chief investment officer of Trend Macrolytics LLC, an independent economics and investment-research firm
~[Oct. 8, The Bet’s on Bush, http://www.nationalreview.com/nrof_luskin/luskin200410080821.asp~~]
Standing above today’s proliferation of competing and contradictory political polls, there’s only one type
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that over one of the polls run by the liberal media any day.

Nuclear power demoralizes the base, even if solves warming

Dears 12 – Donn, fellow at the George C. Marshall Institute, former GE Company executive
~[6/8, http://www.westernjournalism.com/author/donn-dears/~~]gw
Why Environmentalists Are Wrong About Nuclear Power. It’s an amazing irony that the only
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CO2 emissions must be cut in the United States 80% by 2050.

Obama loss triggers war with Iran, MidEast instability, and oil shocks

Curiel 10 – Jonathan, Professor of Journalism @ UCLA
~[7-28, http://trueslant.com/jonathancuriel/2010/07/28/what-just-might-happen-if-obama-loses-in-2012/~~]cn
Less than four months from now, the mid-term elections will determine if
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historically – become the world’s leading front for insurgency against the United States.

Escalates to global nuclear war

Hirsch 5 – Jorge, physics professor, Ph.D., University of Chicago
~[Nov 21, http://www.antiwar.com/orig/hirsch.php?articleid=8089~~]cn
The Bush administration has put together all the elements it needs to justify the impending
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, enough to erase Earth’s population many times over.

Tournament: GSU | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Securitization K

Securitizing the environment triggers prolif and great power war

Brzoska 8 – Michael Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy at the University of Hamburg
~["The securitization of climate change and the power of conceptions of security," Paper prepared for the International Studies Association Convention 2008~]gw
In the literature on securitization it is implied that when a problem is securitized it
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military preparedness against the other major powers, thus leading to arms races.

Framing energy policy as a security issue makes environmental crisis, militarism, and extinction inevitable – investigating their epistemology must be a prior question to solvency

Ahmed 11 – Dr. Nafeez Mosaddeq Ahmed is Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research and Development (IPRD), an independent think tank focused on the study of violent conflict, he has taught at the Department of International Relations, University of Sussex
~["The international relations of crisis and the crisis of international relations: from the securitisation of scarcity to the militarisation of society" Global Change, Peace %26 Security Volume 23, Issue 3, 2011 Taylor Francis~]gw
The twenty-first century heralds the unprecedented acceleration and convergence of multiple, interconnected
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turn radicalising the processes of social polarisation that can culminate in violent conflict.

Individual rejection creates resistance movements that challenge the dominant security paradigm

Burke 2 – Anthony, School of Political Science and International Studies University of Queensland
~[Aporias of Security, Alternatives 27 pg. 22-23~]gw
It is perhaps easy to become despondent, but as countless struggles for freedom,
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is a world after security, and what its shimmering possibilities might be.

Tournament: GSU | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Russia DA

Russia’s economy is growing now due to high oil prices

Oprita 12 – Antonia, CNBC News Editor
~[6/21, "Are Oil Exports Russia’s Curse as Well as Its Blessing?" http://www.cnbc.com/id/47870418~~]
The World Bank has upgraded slightly its economic growth estimate for Russia, forecasting growth
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prices, said Neil Shearing, chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics. 

Increased nuclear power will displace and lower the demand for oil

ANS 2012
(American Nuclear Society, Top 10 Myths about Nuclear Energy, June 27, 2012, http://www.new.ans.org/pi/resources/myths//joe)
Nuclear-generated electricity powers electric trains and subway cars as well as autos today
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oil by producing hydrogen for use in fuel cells and synthetic liquid fuels.

That collapses prices

Alexei Bayer 2012
(economist and author, Pop That Oil Bubble, Research Magazine, August 2012, http://www.advisorone.com/2012/07/26/pop-that-oil-bubble//joe)
Demand for oil, then, is softening because the global economy is weakening and
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the U.S. had full employment). It could happen again. 

High oil prices are key to Russia’s economy

Dashevsky 11 – Steven, Managing Director of Dashevsky %26 Partners (Investment Firm), Adviser to Dean, Moscow School of Management
~[May 24^th, http://rt.com/business/news/russia-economy-oil-rpice/~~]gw
RT: High oil prices have helped Russia’s budget but is the country too dependent
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sentiment for all of the Russian economy, not just oil and gas."

Russian economic decline causes nuclear terrorism and war – it’s the only scenario for escalation

Speice 6 – Patrick, Marshall-Wythe School of Law, College of William and Mary
~[Feb, William and Mary Law Review, Lexis~]cn
With the end of the Cold War in 1991, the states of the former
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in the United States and escalate to the use of nuclear weapons. 53

Tournament: GSU | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Plan: The United States Supreme Court should rule that the Posterity Clause requires the United States Federal Government to initiate power-purchase agreements of Small Modular Reactors in the United States

Court ruling ensures compliance and change – 4 reasons

Devins 92 – Neal, Professor of Law and Lecturer in Government, College of William and Mary
~[80 Calif. L. Rev. 1027~]
Four things are not in debate, all of which speak to a significant —
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appointed special masters can work with community leaders to forge successful desegregation plans.

Doesn’t link to elections

Ting 9 – Jan, Professor of Law @ Temple University and Former Assistant Commissioner @ INS
~[June, http://www.cis.org/Transcript/PlenaryPowerPanel~~]cn
And to me that’s sort of a backhanded way, and a much more sophisticated
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? If they want to do that, that’s what they’ve got to do

Posterity Clause ruling on the plan would establish intergenerational standing – key to prevent extinction

Davidson 3 – John Edward, J.D., Professor of Constitutional Law, Pioneer Pacific College; Senior Research Fellow, Constitutional Law Foundation
~["Tomorrow’s Standing Today: How the Equitable Jurisdiction Clause of Article III, Section 2 Confers Standing Upon Future Generations," 28 Colum. J. Envtl. L. 185, LEXIS~]cn
We deplete freshwater aquifers many times faster than nature can replenish them. 4 We
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rights in the absence of any more specific congressional authorization than 1331. 26

Tournament: GSU | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

GOP will attach Keystone to the next energy bill that comes to a vote

Menton 12 – Jessica, writer for the International Business Times
~[Jan 30, http://tv.ibtimes.com/senate-aims-to-bypass-obama-on-keystone-pipeline/3279.html~~]cn
"This new bill is a lot like the old one, but it makes
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project is not approved by the time the bill comes to a vote.

Fiat means the plan is a must-pass bill – that ensures Keystone gets attached and passed (even if it’s unpopular)

Wallace 12 – John W., writer and businessman
~[Acc. Aug 19, 2012, Position Paper: Single Issue Legislation, http://www.nyoathkeeper.com/PositionPaper-SingleIssueLegislation.pdf~~]cn
For those unfamiliar with how legislation is passed in Congress, here’s a short example
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is almost certain to be approved, because the budget must be passed%21

The Keystone will inevitably leak, destroying the Ogallala aquifer

Dembicki 10 – Geoff, journalist who reports on energy and climate change
~[Jun 21, "Golf Disaster Raises Alarm about Alberta to Texas Pipeline," http://thetyee.ca/News/2010/06/21/AlbertaToTexasPipeline~~]cn
In a series of public hearings over recent weeks, farmers and ranchers have fretted
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a "quarter-size" hole into a Salt Lake City creek.

This causes depletion of the Great Lakes, triggering global water shortages and war

Rochester 2k – Rochester Democrat %26 Chronicle
~[Feb 6~]bg
Those moves reflect a growing realization that water will become a rare and fought-
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won’t let you take their water. Without it they have no future."

These wars will go nuclear and cause extinction

NASCA 4 – National Association for Scientific and Cultural Appreciation
~["Water shortages – only a matter of time," http://www.nasca.org.uk/Strange_relics_/water/water.html~~]bg
Water is one of the prime essentials for life as we know it. The
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find ourselves with a nightmare situation for which there will be no obvious answer