Trinity » Rothenbaum-Solice Aff

Rothenbaum-Solice Aff

Last modified by Maggie Solice on 2013/03/14 22:17

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The United States federal government should reduce restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands. 

Advantage 1 is Energy Security—

All time low—Opening up federal lands to exploration is critical to sustain it—
IER ’11. Institute for Energy Research "Fracking Will Enable North Dakota to Overtake California as a Major Oil Producer" 10-19-11. http:www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2011/10/19/11042/  MG
The Path the United States Should Take
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exploration and development in this country rather than fostering it in other countries.

This solidifies hegemony and East Asian leadership—
Karl 6-23-12. David J. Karl, president of the Asia Strategy Initiative, an analysis and advisory firm that has a particular focus on South Asia. He serves on the board of counselors of Young Professionals in Foreign Policy and previously on the Executive Committee of the Southern California chapter of TiE (formerly The Indus Entrepreneurs), the world’s largest not-for-profit organization dedicated to promoting entrepreneurship. "New World Coming: America the Energy Superpower." http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2012/07/24/new-world-coming-america-the-energy-superpower/  MG
The energy boom upends arguments about the inevitability of U.S. strategic decline.
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deep fiscal challenges undercut the Obama administration’s much-ballyhooed regional "pivot."

Re-directing focus is key to check North Korea, China, and escalatory East-Asian instability
Colby ’11 8-10-2011 – research analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses and a consultant to a number of government and military components (Elbridge, "Why US Needs its Liberal Empire," http://the-diplomat.com/2011/08/10/why-us-needs-its-liberal-empire/)
This is very much to the good. At times over the past two decades
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the serious security challenges there, and less emphasis on the Middle East.   

These conflicts go nuclear─
Landy, National Security Expert @ Knight Ridder, 3/10/’2K
(Jonathan, Knight Ridder, lexis)
Few if any experts think China and Taiwan, North Korea and South Korea,
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according to the Commerce Department.

Hegemony solves status competition—that’s the biggest cause of war.
Wohlforth 9 - William C. Wohlforth is a professor of government at Dartmouth College, "Unipolarity, Status Competition, and Great Power War", World Politics, 61.1, Jan, MUSE
 Do Great Powers Care about Status?  Mainstream theories generally posit that states come
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system—appears consistent with the hypothesis.43 Status Competition and Causal Mechanisms
Evidence Continues Several Pages Later
Conclusion The evidence suggests that narrow and asymmetrical capabilities gaps foster status competition even among
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once again form the backdrop of world politics. End Page 57 

No offense- Collapse causes lash-out─
Goldstein ’7 (Avery, Professor of Global Politics and International Relations @ University of Pennsylvania, "Power transitions, institutions, and China’s rise in East Asia: Theoretical expectations and evidence," Journal of Strategic Studies, Volume 30, Issue 4 %26 5 August)
Two closely related, though distinct, theoretical arguments focus explicitly on the consequences for
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provides grounds for concern about the period prior to the possible crossover.19

Advantage 2 is the Economy—

The account deficit will spiral out of control wrecking the dollar and the economy. Strengthening energy reserves is key—
Mohi-uddin 12—Mansoor Mohi-uddin is managing director of foreign exchange strategy at UBS, Dollar bears in for shock if US cuts energy imports, Financial Times, 2-14
The future of the dollar is more likely to be determined in
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That will be a positive shock for US consumers and companies and a negative shock for long-term dollar bears.

Otherwise long term growth is impossible—
Bagley et al 12—Elizabeth Frawley, Ambassador to Portugal 1994-1997 and the Diplomatic Council for Energy Security, (alternately, I can list out all of the ambassadors), Oil and the Trade Deficit: Rising Energy Expenditures and U.S. Energy Security, May, http://www.secureenergy.org/sites/default/files/DCES-Oil-and-the-Trade-Deficit.pdf-http://www.secureenergy.org/sites/default/files/DCES-Oil-and-the-Trade-Deficit.pdf, Shree
NOTE: Figures 13 and 14 omitted
However, large and persistent trade deficits, growing ever higher, partly as a
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stimulated by lower interest rates afforded by foreign capital inflows.55

Drilling solves prices and the economy—Multiple internal links—
Hendrickson 12—PhD, Mark W. Hendrickson is an adjunct professor of economics at Grove City College, The Kind Of Energy Policy The U.S. Needs, Forbes, 9-25, http:www.forbes.com/sites/markhendrickson/2012/09/25/the-kind-of-energy-policy-the-u-s-needs/~
Over a year ago, I published an article titled, "The Global Energy Superpower
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and losers in that competition, and our energy woes would be alleviated.

Domestic production is key to job, growth, and manufacturing. Recovery is impossible without it –
Morici 9/11—Peter, economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist, Outside View: Trade deficit rises, stifles jobs creation and smothers growth, 9/11/12, http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Analysis/Outside-View/2012/09/11/Outside-View-Trade-deficit-rises-stifles-jobs-creation-and-smothers-growth/UPI-46241347370424/print~~%23ixzz26xuQIAUa
Imported oil and subsidized imports from China account for
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higher and unemployment not much of a problem.

Independently, manufacturing sector is critical to competitiveness and economic resilience – Heavy reliance on imported energy decimates this.
Smil ’11. Vaclav Smil, Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada (Science Academy), the first non-American to receive the American Association for the Advancement of Science Award for Public Understanding of Science and Technology, and in 2010 he was listed by Foreign Policy among the top 100 global thinkers. He has worked as a consultant for many US, EU and international institutions http:thebreakthrough.org/index.php/journal/past-issues/issue-1/the-manufacturing-of-decline/~
As befits a large, modern country, America’s manufacturing sector remains very large and
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another confirmation of the substantial and realistic opportunities for expanding the sector.15 

Collapse destabilizes the entire international system –
Burrows and Harris 9-  Mathew J. Burrows is a counselor in the National Intelligence Council (NIC), the principal drafter of Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World, Jennifer Harris is a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit, "Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis", The Washington Quarterly, April, http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf
Increased Potential for Global Conflict Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and
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frustrated and the current benefits they derive from a globalizing world turn negative.

Decline Causes War-Strong statistical support –
Royal 10 – Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010, "Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises," in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-214
Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict
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not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention. 

US is key to it globally—
Caploe ’9. David Caploe, M.A. in Political Science and Ph.D. in International Political Economy from Princeton University ’9(Chief Executive Officer of the American Centre for Applied Liberal Arts and Humanities in Asia, A.B. in Social Theory from Harvard University, M.A. in Political Science and Ph.D. in International Political Economy from Princeton University,  "Focus still on America to lead global recovery," The Straits Times, April 7th ) Available at: Subscribing Institutions via Lexis-Nexis
IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, most observers seem to have
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US - and it is going to have to be solved there too.

Data proves resolving the account solves protectionism—
Hufbauer et. al. 10 (Gary, Former Senior Chair at the Council on Foreign Relations, Author of multiple books on international trade, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "US Protectionist Impulses in the Wake of the Great Recession", http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf-http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf)
The U.S. unemployment rate more than doubled between the onset of the
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an easy pass on future new instances of U.S.¶ protectionism. 

Nuclear War—
Panzner 08, Instructor New York Institute of Finance, (Michael J.-, Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes, P. 136-138)
Continuing calls for curbs on the flow of finance and trade will inspire the United
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between Muslims and Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.

Studies prove our impact—
Griswold 11 - is director of the Center for Trade Policy Studies at the Cato Institute and author of Mad about Trade: Why Main Street America Should Embrace Globalization (Daniel, "Free Trade and the Global Middle Class," Hayek Society Journal Vol. 9 http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/Hayek-Society-Journal-Griswold.pdf)
Our more globalized world has also yielded a "peace dividend." It may not
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and less likely those gains will be destroyed by civil conflict and war.

Plan Solves –We can alleviate price shocks and solve the trade deficit –
Styles 12—Geoffrey Styles is Managing Director of GSW Strategy Group, LLC, an energy and environmental strategy consulting firm MA in Chemical Engineering,  How Helpless Are We in the Face of Rising Oil Prices?, Energy Outlook, 2-24, http://energyoutlook.blogspot.com/2012/02/how-helpless-are-we-in-face-of-rising.html
And that brings us back to the potential for reducing our dependence on oil imports
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are a lot more thousands of barrels per day we could be producing.

Reducing restrictions is critical solves jobs and growth – Certainty is key
Mertz ’12. Peter Mertz English.News, Xinhua"U.S. domestic oil production continues to grow despite federal restrictions on public land." http:news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2012-06/17/c_123293752.htm~~MG~
"We’re looking at the potential of 1.3 trillion barrels coming from shale
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and doing production on private lands that have less restrictions," Sgamma noted.

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Created by Maggie Solice on 2013/03/14 22:12

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