Tournament: UMKC | Round: 2 | Opponent: MoState\KSU RS | Judge: Ashley Morgan
1AC
Advantage 1 is Warming
1) Anthropogenic Warming is Real, Happening NOW and CO2 Emissions are the main cause – TOP Scientists Agree
Anderegg et al 10 – PhD Candidate @ Stanford in Biology
William, “Expert credibility in climate change,” National Academy of Sciences, p. 12107-12109
Preliminary reviews of scientific literature and surveys of cli- mate scientists indicate striking agreement
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discussions in media, policy, and public forums regarding anthropogenic climate change.
(Note: ACC Anthropogenic Climate Change)
2) Warming real and anthropogenic
Muller 12—Richard A., professor of physics at the University of California, Berkeley, and a former MacArthur Foundation fellow, The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic, 7/28/12, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-a-climate-change-skeptic.html?_r=1andpagewanted=all, Shree and Brandi
CALL me a converted skeptic. Three years
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greenhouse gas increase.
3) Coal Combustion is still best – An increase in Natural Gas à Faster Warming
Mark Z. Jacobson: “Myths and Realities about Wind, Water, and Sun (WWS) Versus Current Fuels” – August 2, 2012: Mark is a Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering; the Director, Atmosphere/Energy Program; Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment; Senior Fellow, Precourt Institute for Energy - B.S. Civil Engineering, B.A. Economics, and M.S. Environmental Engineering (1988) Stanford University M.S. (1991) and Ph.D. (1994) Atmospheric Science, University of California at Los Angeles [AM]
Myth: Natural gas reduces global warming relative to coal so should be used as a
“bridgefuel” between coal and renewable energy sources.
Reality:and
Although natural gas generally causes less traditional air pollution than coal, its
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global warming impacts of natural gas. Thus, both fuels are problematic.
4) Warming Causes COMPLETE Bio-Extinction
Brandenburg and Paxon 99 – Rocket Scientist and NASA tech advisor
John E. Brandenburg and Monica Rix Paxon, physicist rocket scientist, Mars expert, investigator on MET project, NASA technical advisor, former member of space transport subcommittee ; writer and scientific editor, Dead Mars, Dying Earth, 1999, p.232 - 233
The world goes on its merry way and fossil fuel use continues to power it
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Mars – red, desolate, with perhaps a few hardy microbes surviving.
5) The tipping point is now!
Speth 8 – Dean of Yale school of Forestry
James, dean of the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies at Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut. Currently he serves the school as the Carl W. Knobloch, Jr. Dean and Sara Shallenberger Brown Professor in the Practice of Environmental Policy, The Bridge @ the Edge of the World, pg. 26
The possibility of abrupt climate change is linked to what may be the most problematic
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and the trip will exterminate a large fraction of species on the planet.
6) IGCC Solves Warming
DOE 11 [DOE, Gasification Technology RandD, Page Updated 10/3/11, http://www.fossil.energy.gov/programs/powersystems/gasification/]
Environmental Benefits The environmental benefits of gasification stem from the capability to achieve extremely low
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nitrogen, the resulting carbon dioxide is diluted and more costly to separate.
7) Cost is the Key Factor in Energy Choice – the Plan lowers Coal Cost which Transitions the US away from Natural Gas: Affordability is Key
Freed 12 [Josh Freed, Vice President for Clean Energy, Third Way, Did regs kill the horse-drawn carriage? National Journal, 4/9/12, http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2012/04/whats-really-causing-coals-dec.php]
Blaming regulation for the decline of coal is like blaming cars for the demise of
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much cheaper to build a natural gas plant than a new coal plant.
8) US-driven IGCC is key to global modeling
Roberts, 04 – Contributor to Harper's Magazine, frequent speaker on National Public Radio and member of The New York Review, (Paul, “The End of Oil: on the Edge of a Perilous New World”, pg. 232-4, USC Libraries)//JK
Even as U.S. policies were undermining the existing energy order, they
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, and the United States needs to build up a real manufacturing strength."
Advantage 2 is Economy
1) Coal Use Declining – Natural Gas
Kennedy and Bradbury, 12 [Kevin Kennedy, Director of the U.S. Climate Initiative at the World Resources Institute, and James Bradbury, Senior Associate, WRI, Markets Favor Alternatives to Coal, National Journal, 4/11/12, http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2012/04/whats-really-causing-coals-dec.php]
A Closer Look at Key Drivers¶ Following are some of the key drivers influencing
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new regulations are to blame for the retirement of America’s aging coal fleet.
2) Coal is Key to the Economy – 5 Empirical Reason
Lisa Camooso Miller (January 25, 2011) “Five Ways Coal Can Help Our Economy” - Lisa Camooso Miller is ACCCE’s vice president for media relations. She oversees ACCCE’s earned media implementation and strategic planning and appears regularly in print, radio and on national television including CNN, MSNBC and Fox. For more than 15 years, Lisa has been a notable communications leader in public affairs, holding key positions in local, state and federal government, political campaigns and committees, as well as advocacy organizations. She has served as the communications director for a national political committee and for two New Jersey governors. Her federal government experience includes serving as deputy communications director for the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives and also for the U.S. Department of Commerce. [AM]
The State of the Union address is tonight, and President Obama has made it
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as coal-generated plants deploy new technologies to meet air quality standards.
3) Nuclear war
Harris and Burrows 9
Mathew, PhD European History @ Cambridge, counselor in the National Intelligence Council (NIC) and Jennifer is a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis” http://www.ciaonet.org/journals/twq/v32i2/f_0016178_13952.pdf
Increased Potential for Global Conflict
Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is
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within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world.
4) NW Guarantees Extinction.
Robock and Slanina 9 – Prof Climatology @ Rutgers, Alan, Head of Environmental Research @ Netherlands Energy Research Foundation, Sjaak, "Nuclear winter." In: Encyclopedia of Earth. Eds. Cutler J. Cleveland http://www.eoearth.org/article/Nuclear_winter
Nuclear winter is a term that describes the climatic effects of nuclear war. In
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. Only nuclear disarmament will prevent the possibility of a nuclear environmental catastrophe.
Plan: The United States federal government should offer direct subsidies for the production of Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle coal plants.
Solvency
1) Government support for IGCC key to its long-term commercial viability – Subsidies and other financial incentives are comparatively better than alternatives
Tarr 11 [Julie-Anne Tarr , Professor of Law, Queensland University of Technology, “Development and deployment challenges for low emissions coal technology: the IGCC with CCS case,” Journal of World Energy Law and Business, 2011, Vol. 4, No. 4, p. 322-4]
Government support The relationship between the cost to deploy or develop the next iteration or
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should be more readily achievable as not involving increased direct costs to consumers.
2) Government support of IGCC key to overcoming the key barriers to mass use
Tarr 11 [Julie-Anne Tarr , Professor of Law, Queensland University of Technology, “Development and deployment challenges for low emissions coal technology: the IGCC with CCS case,” Journal of World Energy Law and Business, 2011, Vol. 4, No. 4, p. 329-31]
The potential for a global roll-out of IGCC with CCS is significant.
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the face of widespread opposition while deferring or reducing particular project funding.49
3) IGCC tech viable – incentives ensures large scale implementation
Hoffman and Szklo 11 [Bettina Susanne Hoffmann, Alexandre Szklo, Energy Planning Program, Graduate School of Engineering, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Integrated gasification combined cycle and carbon capture: A risky option to mitigate CO2 emissions of coal-fired power plants, Applied Energy 88 (2011) 3917–3929]
The main objective of this article was to analyze whether the IGCC technology with CC
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should mention that all analyses here are based on 2008–2009 costs.
4) Incentives key to IGCC viability
Kundi, 11 [Manish Kundi, Engineering Management Field Project Is Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle with Carbon Capture-Storage the Solution for Conventional Coal Power Plants, MS Thesis, Fall 2011, http://kuscholarworks.ku.edu/dspace/bitstream/1808/8745/1/Kundi%2c%20Manish%20EMGT%20Field%20Project.pdf]
Any new revolutionary change to the established industry requires a lot of time, energy
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gas-CO2, integrated gasification combined cycle appears to be a viable solution