| 09/22/2012 | Tournament: UMKC | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The 1AC linear map paves over the complex systemic interactions between their predictions—Their false certainty tradesoff with the reflexive awareness and resilience necessary for a viable energy future Snyder and Schwab 2012 [Neil Snyder-National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Amy Schwab-National Renewable Energy Laboratory APPROACHES FOR PLANNING AND IMPLEMENTING SUSTAINABLE ENERGY GROWTH IN A COMPLEX WORLD This work was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC36-08-G028308 with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. www.nrel.gov/docs/fy12osti/54506.pdf] Snyder 5 5. EXPLORING OUR ANALYTICAL … emerging global energy systems. The 1AC maps a linear path from A to B to C to D, paving over the complex interactions between their dozens of predictions—But THE WHOLE IS MORE THAN THE SUM OF ITS PARTS Ramalingam et al 2008 [Ben, Senior Research Associate at the Overseas Development Institute, and Harry jones at ODI, "Exploring the science of complexity: Ideas and Implications for development and humanitarian efforts" http://www.odi.org.uk/resources/docs/833.pdf ] RJ 10 Concept 4: Nonlinearity5 ‘... the darkest corner …. levels of uncertainty into planning. Voting negative imagines energy policy-making that can adapt to the complex uncertainties paved over by the 1AC. Existential risk is systemic, not a flash of instability to be predicted and controlled. The 1AC brackets the full complexity of crisis and the value questions behind their scenarios—Preventing the ADAPTATION and RESILIENCE necessary for a viable future. Mangalagiu 2011 [Diana Mangalagiu, Prof of Strategy at Smith School of Enterprise and Environment-University of Oxford “Risk and resilience in times of globalization” An emerging research program for Global Systems Science: Assessing the state of the art, 10/4/11, http://www.gsdp.eu/] Mangalagiu 1 The recent financial crisis ….and encompassing ambiguity and ignorance. |
| 09/22/2012 | Tournament: Umkc | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Andrew Malcolm, Investors News staffwriter, 9/19/12, “Gallup gives Romney great news: The race is tied again as Obama's bounce dies” http://news.investors.com/politics-andrew-malcolm/091912-626231-gallup-poll-finds-presidential-race-a-close-tie-once-again.htm Forget the Republican doom …. incumbent-challenger template. Amiel Ungar, Israel National News Reporter, 8/26/12, “In Energy Policy Romney Plays To All His Strengths” http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/159246#.UFZ6VKTKihY Energy is an issue on …. create those jobs." Washington Post, 6/22/12, “Mitt Romney gives swings states promises in ‘100 Days’” http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/post/mitt-romney-gives-swings-states-promises-in-100-days/2012/06/22/gJQAJA3uuV_blog.html Four new ads from …. and high-tech jobs.” LA Times 7/2 (2012, Russian official: Romney's hard line could bring 'full-scale crisis', http://articles.latimes.com/2012/jul/02/news/la-pn-russian-official-romneys-hard-line-could-bring-fullscale-crisis-20120702) MOSCOW -- Mitt Romney’s …. ubstantially reduce restrictions on and/or substantially increase financial incentives for energy production in the United States of one or more of the following: coal, crude oil, natural gas, nuclear power, solar power, wind power. term, Pushkov said. A -~-- Relations are key to prevent a resurgence of Russian nationalism Dimitri K. Simes 7, President of the Nixon Center and Publisher of The National Interest, “Losing Russia,” Foreign Affairs, October, 2007, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/10/losing_russia.html But if the current …..potentially catastrophic results. B -~-- Russian nationalism makes nuclear war with the U.S. inevitable Victor Israelyan, was a Soviet ambassador, diplomat, arms control negotiator, and leading political scientist, Winter, Washington Quarterly, 1998 The first and by far …. fall down together." n12 |
| 09/22/2012 | Tournament: umkc | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Text: The fifty state governments and territories in the United States should extend the federal production tax credit modeled after the federal government at a rate of 2.2 cents per kilowatt hour for wind energy produced in the United States to a permanent status. CP solves and is real world – empirics prove Rob Thormeyer, Power Engineering, 7/12/12, “States Meet to Coordinate Energy and Environmental Policies” http://www.power-eng.com/news/2012/07/12/states-meet-to-coordinate-energy-and-environmental-policies.html State and local energy officials, …. promoting a clean and reliable energy future." |
| 09/22/2012 | Tournament: umkc | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Brian Dockstader, Digital Associate at The Climate Reality Project and was Online Communications and Database Specialist at Campaign for America's Future and has a Master’s from The George Washington University - The Elliott School of International Affairs, 7/31/12, “Romney Endorses A Carbon Tax and Ending Oil Subsidies?” http://www.ourfuture.org/blog-entry/2012073131/romney-endorses-carbon-tax-ending-oil-subsidies I, for one, was ….of $10 billion a year. |
| 09/22/2012 | Tournament: umkc | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Wind PTC kills the economy by making nuclear uncompetitive – and also keeps wind from becoming competitiveWSJ, 9/18/12, “Puff, the Magic Drag on the Economy” http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444517304577653403069902104.html As Congress works to …., it never will. Bennett 2k – PolSci Prof, Penn State (Scott and Timothy Nordstrom, Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Ebsco) Conflict settlement is also …. with the United States. Miller 2k – Professor of Management, Ottawa (Morris, Poverty As A Cause Of Wars?, http://www.pugwash.org/reports/pac/pac256/WG4draft1.htm, AG) Thus, these armed …. to abort another. Even if diversionary conflicts occur, they won’t escalate Bennett and Nordstrom, Department of Political Science Professors at Pennsylvania State, 2000 [Scott and Timothy, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, February, Ebsco] When engaging in ….experiencing economic problems. US not key to global economy Merrill Lynch 6 (9/18, U.S. Downturn Won't Derail World Economy, http://www.merrilllynch.com/index.asp?id=7695_7696_8149_63464_70786_71164, AG) A sharp slowdown in …. of flexible exchange rates. Telegraph 6/18 (Professor Fritz Vahrenholt is one of the fathers of Germany's environmental movement and the director of RWE Innogy, one of Europe's largest renewable energy companies, “Global warming: second thoughts of an environmentalist,” 2012, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/9338939/Global-warming-second-thoughts-of-an-environmentalist.html) But Environmental Defense … greenhouse-gas pollution in the future. India and China make emissions inevitableSensenbrenner 9 – Congressman and ranking minority member of the House Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming (James, 4/3, Technology Is the Answer to Climate Change, WSJ, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123871985916184973.html#mod=loomia?loomia_si=t0:a16:g2:r3:c0.191864:b23626456, AG) The U.S. cannot reduce the …. blame them. Meat eating and farming practices making warming inevitableNightingale 12 (linton, works with climate action program—a program targeted at informing the public about global warming and ways to minimize our carbon footprint, april 17, Global warming inevitable unless meat eating habits change, http://www.climateactionprogramme.org/news/global_warming_inevitable_unless_meat_eating_habits_change/) A new study has …. into the atmosphere. Warming tipping points inevitable NPR 9 (1/26, Global Warming Is Irreversible, Study Says, All Things Considered, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=99888903, AG) Climate change is essentially …. sea level rise and drought. Domestic innovation and competitiveness aren’t key to heg and competitors’ growth is unsustainable. Reihan Salam, Schwartz Fellow at the New American Foundation, “ROBERT PAPE IS OVERHEATED,” 1/21/2009, http://www.theamericanscene.com/2009/01/21/robert-pape-is-overheated Pape spends a …. valuable than it was in 1945. Competitiveness and military power are distinct Julius 5 – Chairman of Chatham House, formerly the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Deanne, Harvard International Review, “US Economic Power,” Winter 2005, vol.26, no.4, p.14-18) The concept of national power ….United States to influence it. Multiple political, economic, and structural global changes make hegemony unsustainable Haass 8 (Richard , President of the Council on Foreign Relations (Bottom of Form The Age of Nonpolarity What Will Follow U.S. Dominance, Foreign Affairs, May/June) But even if great-power … Nonpolarity begets nonpolarity. Heg doesn’t solve conflicts Preble 2010 [Christopher, director of foreign policy studies at CATO, “U.S. Military Power: Preeminence for What Purpose?”, Aug 3rd, http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/2010/08/03/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/] Most in Washington still …. schlubs in fly-over country pick up the tab. Even without hegemony, inevitable US influence solves their impacts Schwenninger 7 – director, Global Economic Policy Program, New America Foundation (Sherle, 11/19, Undebated Challenges, http://www.thenation.com/doc/20071119/schwenninger, AG) Russia, China, India, South …. all leadership to Washington. Kole 7, William, AP Writer [“Despite Rising Prices, OPEC Appears to be in No Rush to Raise its Output Targets,” 9/8, http://nwitimes.com/articles/2007/09/08/business/business/doc7e79bb33cb7ec6f28625734f00723bfd.txt] If you remember what …. much money as possible. Saudi oil flood would crush renewable energy development and destroy other oil producers without affecting Saudi Arabia Yasser Al-Saleh, Et al, Paul Upham and Khaleel Malik, all from the Manchester Institute for Innovation Research, 2008, Renewable Energy Scenarios for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Oct http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/sites/default/files/wp125.pdf In a world of abundant … means (including renewables). |
| 02/10/2013 | Tournament: Northwestern | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
NRC has sufficient resources now to ensure safety – but overstretch causes a repeat of Fukushima
Kaufman 11, Daniel - Brookings Senior Fellow “Preventing Nuclear Meltdown,” 4-1-2011, http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2011/04/01-nuclear-meltdown-kaufmann
Many wonder whether Japan’s nuclear disaster could have been averted. The embattled operator of
AND
U.S.’s NRC lacked sufficient resources to effectively implement regulations.
Flood of new reactors overstretches NRC funds and its workforce
Weaver 7 Lynn, President Emirtus of Florida Institute of Technology, “Fund NRC Nuclear Power Licensing”
http://www.theledger.com/article/20070207/COLUMNISTS03/702070394?p=3andtc=pg Gender modified
The Nuclear Regulatory Commission ….could be set back.
Meltdowns cause extinction
Wasserman 4 Harvery - Sen. Advisor Nuclear Info and Res. Service, MA History U. Chicago, 2004, “Nuclear Power and Terrorism,” Spring, v. 17, no. 1, www.earthisland.org/eijournal/new_articles.cfm?articleID=457andjournalID=63
Infants and small ….must be shut down.
Turns the case---NRC credibility and safety are essential to nuclear
Fertel 12 Marvin - Nuclear Energy Institute’s president and chief executive officer, “NRC Leadership Must Reinstate Environment That Promotes Collegial Engagement,” 6/26/2012
http://www.nei.org/newsandevents/newsreleases/nrc-leadership-must-reinstate-environment-that-promotes-collegial-engagement
“Safe performance of …
interruption or distraction.” |
| 02/10/2013 | Tournament: Northwestern | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The Department of Defense should procure of Small Modular Reactors in the United States. The United States Department of Defense should use its authority under Section 91b of the Atomic Energy Act to establish an independent licensing pathway separate from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The Department of Defense should model its licensing procedures after the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s licensing procedures.
DOD leadership catalyzes SMR development and spills over to commercialization – empirics prove
Andres and Breetz 11 Richard B, Professor of National Security Strategy at the National War College and a Senior Fellow and Energy and Environmental Security and Policy Chair in the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies, at the National Defense University and Hanna L, doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at The Massachusetts Institute of Technology, February, "Small Nuclear Reactors for Military Installations: Capabilities, Costs, and Technological Implications", www.ndu.edu/press/lib/pdf/StrForum/SF-262.pdf
The preceding analysis suggests that DOD should …or commercial use. The DOD can establish its own separate licensing pathway
Marcus King Et Al, Associate Director of Research at The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs and is former Project Director and Research Analyst for the Environment and Energy Team for the Center for Naval Analyses and has held appointments in the Office of the Secretary of Defense and represented the US in multilateral environmental negotiations including the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and holds Ph.D. and M.A.L.D. degrees from the Fletcher School of Law, (LaVar Huntzinger and Thoi Nguyen), March 2011, “Feasibility of Nuclear Power on U.S. Military Installations” The most basic …1960s and 1970s 44. Counterplan is competitive – normal means is the plan goes through the NRC – prefer this evidence – it’s about what the DOD WILL do not what they CAN do.
Marcus King Et Al, Associate Director of Research at The George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs and is former Project Director and Research Analyst for the Environment and Energy Team for the Center for Naval Analyses and has held appointments in the Office of the Secretary of Defense and represented the US in multilateral environmental negotiations including the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and holds Ph.D. and M.A.L.D. degrees from the Fletcher School of Law, (LaVar Huntzinger and Thoi Nguyen), March 2011, “Feasibility of Nuclear Power on U.S. Military Installations” ¶ It seems unlikely that …would bear all associated risks.¶ States can assist DOD procurement in a laundry list of ways—DOD is interested in partnerships with all 50 states
Douglas 6 – Governor of Vermont (Jim and Earl Ray Tomblin, THE COUNCIL OF STATE GOVERNMENTS RESOLUTION ON RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT AT DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE INSTALLATIONS http://www.csg.org/policy/documents/DoDRenewableEnergyResolution.pdf, AG) Opportunities for …U.S. Congress. States can encourage private sector development for clean energy use by the military
AP 2008 (7/24, NM, cities, Air Force sign clean energy agreements, Lexis) The state, the U.S. Air Force and three New Mexico cities
AND
could be a cogeneration project to generate electricity and bio-methane gas. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 2 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge: The fifty states and territories in the United States should provide a tax credit for enhanced oil recovery that uses industrial carbon dioxide in the United States. CP solves and is real world – empirics prove Rob Thormeyer, Power Engineering, 7/12/12, “States Meet to Coordinate Energy and Environmental Policies” http://www.power-eng.com/news/2012/07/12/states-meet-to-coordinate-energy-and-environmental-policies.html State and local energy officials, …clean and reliable energy future." |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 1 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge: The United States federal government should provide incentives for accelerated technology transfer between the United States and China for enhanced oil recovery in China that uses industrial carbon dioxide. Their Thompson card says this solves the case |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 1 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge: A. Immigration is passing now because there is bipart but it will be hard fight John Buchanan, 3/27/13, “Immigration reform looms” http://www2.highlandstoday.com/list/highlands-agri-leader-news/immigration-reform-looms-b82469915z1 As bipartisan Congressional support for … difficult to get anything done.” Plan causes a political firestorm Schoen 10 John is a writer for NBC. “BP Spill Clouds Future of U.S. Oil Drilling,” May 28, http://www.nbcdfw.com/news/breaking/BP_spill_clouds_future_of_U_S__oil_drilling-95099234.html Just a few months ago, …oil natural gas, coal, wind, solar, etc. C. Winning fights emboldens Obama and increases his PC Norman Ornstein (resident scholar, American enterprise institute) 1/28/2002 USA Today, p. 11A The fall of 1990 was …political capital back in return. D. Obama stepping away from immigration now but once emboldened he gets involved in immigration which kills the bill Chris Stirewalt, Fox, 2/18/13, “How Not to Pass an Immigration Bill” http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/02/18/how-not-to-pass-immigration-bill/ It looked certain that Obama … it too his desk fast. E. Key to hegemony – both hard and soft power Nye 12/10/12 (Joseph S. Nye, a former US assistant secretary of defense and chairman of the US National Intelligence Council, is University Professor at Harvard University, http:~/~/www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/obama-needs-immigration-reform-to-maintain-america-s-strength-by-joseph-s~-~-org/commentary/obama-needs-immigration-reform-to-maintain-america-s-strength-by-joseph-s~-~-nye(% class="MsoHyperlink" %), CMR) The United States is … the strength of the US. F. Decline in hegemony causes escalation of multiple global flashpoints for violence—there is no sustainable alternative to American leadership Kagan 11 (Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and and a senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Price of Power,” 1/24, http:~/~/www.weeklystandard.com/articles/price-power_533696.html?page=3url:http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/price-power_533696.html?page=3(%%)) Today the international situation … that it is immoral and contrary to the nation’s true ideals. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDt | Round: 1 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge:
1NC- drilling causes Saudi Arabia to flood the market—collapses prices Chris Pirillo, CEO of a tech startup that spreads technological knowledge throughout the market, 2009, “Is Offshore Oil Drilling a Good or Bad Idea?” http://chris.pirillo.com/is-offshore-oil-drilling-a-good-or-bad-idea/ In a world where gasoline … everyday life in the United States. Drop in oil prices doom anti-warming initiatives Bryce 6 (Robert Bryce is an Austrian writer and managing editor of Energy Tribune, “Viewpoints on issues in energy, geopolitics and civilization,” 2006 http:~/~/www.petroleumworld.com/htm||target="_blank" JT) Low-cost oil would increase … the expense of domestic producers. CS won’t scale up Dr Nils Markusson, researcher sssociate in CO2 storage technology and social learning at the University of Edinburgh, UK, 12 “Carbon Capture’s days may be limited,” ABC News, July 26 http://www.abc.net.au/environment/articles/2012/07/26/3553255.htm Carbon dioxide capture and storage …the technology in new ways. CCS fails without a climate policy – no incentive Brian Handwerk, Energy Expert – National Geographic, 12 “Amid Economic Concerns, Carbon Capture Faces a Hazy Future,” National Geographic, May 22, pdf Carbon capture and storage could …bring down the cost of." Impact is long term and tiny at best Ozzie Zehner, visiting scholar at Berkeley, Energy policy analayst on issues of social, political and economic conditions, PhD, Science and Technology studies, 12 “Green illusions” Non-Profit book Scientists and legislators may ultimately … such an undertaking would involve.24 Earthquakes – Injection of CO2 causes – this results in leaks from sequestration Ryan 12 (Future of Coal has an Unexpected New Threat: Induced Seismicity, 6/21/12, Margaret, http:~/~/energy.aol.com/2012/06/21/future-of-coal-has-an-unexpected-new-threat-induced-seismicity/http://energy.aol.com/2012/06/21/future-of-coal-has-an-unexpected-new-threat-induced-seismicity/) The potential for underground injections … energy activity to induce tremors. 2NC- A. Russia’s economy is doing well now – historically low unemployment rates prove – but structural reasons make it vulnerable Mark Adomanis, BA from Harvard and Master’s from Oxford in Russian Studies, 9/21/12, “With Continued Economic Growth, Russia’s Unemployment Rate Hit an All-Time Low in August” http://blogs.forbes.com/markadomanis/ As Russia’s economy has managed …of unemployment don’t typically collapse. B. Low prices hurt Russian economy VOA News, 6/11/12, “Falling Oil Prices Prompt Russian Economic Fears,” http://www.voanews.com/content/falling-oil-prices-prompt-russian-economic-fears/1206097.html Khanty-Mansiysk in Siberia - home …the Russian government," he said. C. Nuclear war Sheldon Filger, Author for the Huffington Post, 2009, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction” http://www.globaleconomiccrisis.com/blog/archives/356 In Russia, historically, economic health … is its least dangerous consequence. Saudi oil flood would crush renewable energy development and destroy other oil producers without affecting Saudi Arabia Yasser Al-Saleh, Et al, Paul Upham and Khaleel Malik, all from the Manchester Institute for Innovation Research, 2008, Renewable Energy Scenarios for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Oct http:~/~/www.tyndall.ac.uk/sites/default/files/wp125.pdfhttp://www.tyndall.ac.uk/sites/default/files/wp125.pdf||target="_blank" In a world of … alternative energy means (including renewables). No time for a bridge – renewables NOW are key to stopping warming Sharon Kelly, an attorney and freelance writer who has reported for NYT, National Wildlife, Earth Island Journal, and others,3/18/13, “Obama's Energy Strategy -- Too Little, Too Late?” http:~/~/www.desmogblog.com/2013/03/18/com/2013/03/18/obama-s-energy-strategy-too-little-too-late||target="_blank" The fallacy of an "all …shift our energy infrastructure now. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 1 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge:
1NC- CO2 doesn’t cause warming-- a. Temperature readings Bethell 5 (Tom, Tom Bethell is a senior editor of The American Spectator. He has also been Washington editor of Harper’s, and an editor of the Washington Monthly. He has written articles for many magazines, including Fortune, the New York Times Magazine, and The Atlantic Monthly, Graduate of Oxford, 5/18, http:~/~/spectator.org/archives/2005/05/18/the-false-alert-of-global-warm/1url:http://spectator.org/archives/2005/05/18/the-false-alert-of-global-warm/1(% class="MsoHyperlink" %), card is gender modified) But whether (hu)man-made carbon-… temperature readings will go up. b. Many other forms of data prove Singer, distinguished research professor at George Mason and Avery, director of the Center for Global Food Issues at the Hudson Institute, 2007 (S. Fred, Dennis T, “Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years” Pages 36-37) Recently the CO2 levels … system during a deglaciation." Acidification causes plankton adaptation Science 8 (4/17, Surviving the Ocean Acid Test, http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2008/417/2, AG) Despite dire warnings about …200 years, the team estimates. Ocean life resilient to acidification Vogt et al 8 (M. Vogt1,2, M. Steinke2,*, S. Turner2, A. Paulino3, M. Meyerh¨ofer5, U. Riebesell5, C. LeQu´er´e2,4, and P. Liss2, Qualifications: 1Max-Planck-Institut fur Biogeochemie, 2Lab. for Global Marine and Atmospheric Chemistry, 3Department of Biology, University of Bergen 4British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge 5IFM-GEOMAR, “Dynamics of dimethylsulphoniopropionate and dimethylsulphide under different CO2 concentrations during a mesocosm experiment”, Biogeosciences 5, http://www.biogeosciences.net/5/407/2008/bg-5-407-2008.pdf, AG) In contrast to a … abrupt and large pH changes. Methane hydrates won’t cause extinction – data their evidence uses doesn’t apply to current climate cycles Discovery News 9 (“methane climate shock unlikely, study suggests,” april 24, http:~/~/dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/04/24/html(% style="font-size:9.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Times","serif"; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"" %)) Catastrophic climate change … walk back in time," said Etheridge. No impact – warming is slowing Science Daily ‘8 Science Daily, May 5 2008, “Will Global Warming Take A Short Break? Improved Climate Predictions Suggest A Reduced Warming Trend During The Next 10 Years”, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/05/080502113749.htm To date climate change projections, … a much stronger temperature rise.” A. Unique Link – C02 is necessary for all plants – it increases their water use efficiency, enhances stomatas, increases adaptation, prevents soil erosion, solves environmental stress, and prevents worldwide starvation All the Idsos Sherwood Idso, Keith Idso, and Craig Idso C02 science magazine Volume 6, Number 37 9/10/03 In a broad review of the …and will be, sharing equally." B. The impacts 1. Decrease in crops yields cause resource wars, mass starvation, atrocity, and World War III. William H. Calvin (Theoretical Nuerophysicist at the University of Washington in Seattle, 1/98"The great climate flip-flop," The Atlantic Monthly 281:47-64) The population-crash scenario is … report due five years hence. 2. C02 increases the ability of plants to act as sinks which solves warming All the Idsos Sherwood Idso, Keith Idso, and Craig Idso C02 science magazine Volume 6, Number 42 10/15/03 In light of these observations, …reducing the rate of global warming. Plants adjust and adapt to warming Idso and Idso 11 Craig D., founder and chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, B.S. in Geography from Arizona State University, his M.S. in Agronomy from the University of Nebraska - Lincoln, and his Ph.D. in Geography from Arizona State University, former Director of Environmental Science at Peabody Energy, faculty researcher in the Office of Climatology at Arizona State University; and Sherwood, President of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, former Research Physicist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Agricultural Research Service, Adjunct Professor in the Departments of Geology, Geography, and Botany and Microbiology at ASU, M.S from UMinnesota, receipt of the Arthur S. Flemming Award, "Carbon Dioxide and Earth’s Future," 1-31-11, http:~/~/www.co2science.org/education/reports/prudentpath/pdf Last of all, it … enter and remain in the soil. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 1 | Opponent: Stanford GS | Judge: no risk of your impact scenario – as long as we fight before China overtakes us, we’ll win easily – one Trident submarine can deal with the entire Chinese arsenal 7 times over Godwin 2k, Prof Intl Affairs National War College, visiting Prof at Chinese National Defense University, (Paul HB Washington Journal of Modern China. China's Defense Modernization: Aspirations and Capabilities http:~/~/www.ndu.edu/inss/symposia/pacific2000/htm(%%)) "China confronts …Deterrence under these conditions would seem to be assured." Although definitely a menacing capability, … conditions would seem to be assured. War won't go nuclear - No first use Zhenqiang 2005 (Pan; China Security (World Security Institute China Program); http://www.irchina.org/en/news/view.asp?id=403) First, NFU highlights China’s philosophical … why should Beijing change it? 1. War with China is imminent—war now would be won by the United States and be a small conflict. Plan delays the inevitable which results in a future war that will escalate to nuclear extinction Babbin and Timperlake ‘6 Jed Babbin and Edward Timperlake 06 (“War with China: not only possible, but inevitable Here's a guide to how it may happen -- and how we can win Showdown: Why China Wants War with the United States”, http:~/~/www.conservativebookservice.com/products/BookPage.asp?prod_cd=c6926#asp?prod_cd=c6926#continue||target="_blank" ) Will the U.S. go to …everyone who loves America. 2. A. War now ensures US victory – air power. Prevents Chinese military modernization. Record, 2001 (Dr. Jeffrey Record (BA, Occidental College; MA, PhD, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies) is professor of strategy and international security at the Air War College, Maxwell AFB, Alabama, and senior research fellow at the Center for International Strategy, Technology, and Policy at the Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj01/win01/record.html) Primary Sino-American war starters … better-equipped North Vietnamese combat veterans.) B. Modernization allows china to pursue nuclear testing in order to modernize their arsenal, Jannuzi 00 Frank, 10-13, (Missile Defense and East Asia: Downsideand Risks An Address. www.icasinc.org/f2000/f2000fsj.html(%%)) If China were to increase … Does that give us greater security? Testing would split the earth in half Chalko 03 Thomas, 3-3, (Can a Neutron Bomb Accelerate GlobalVolcanic Activity?" Vol. 4 NU Journal of Discovery) However, the military seem to … entire planet to be demolished. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
A. Immigration is passing now because there is bipart but it will be hard fight
John Buchanan, 3/27/13, “Immigration reform looms” http://www2.highlandstoday.com/list/highlands-agri-leader-news/immigration-reform-looms-b82469915z1 As bipartisan Congressional support for immigration reform gains momentum, the ongoing and critical issue
AND
and this Congress, it has been very difficult to get anything done.” OCS drilling drains capital
Orth 11 (Derek Orth, J.D. expected May 2012, Rutgers School of Law (Newark, N.J.); Managing Articles Editor for the Rutgers Computer and Technology Law Journal, 2011 University of Oregon, Journal of Environmental Law and Litigation, 26 J. Envtl. L. and Litig. 509, Lexis, 2011)
NAME: DEREK ORTH*
The Deepwater Horizon was constructed in 2001 and was "capable of operating in water
AND
on both political parties to react expediently and deal with the crisis. n14 C. Obama’s political capital is key
The Guardian, 1/22/13, “Immigration reform: Obama needs to close gap between rhetoric and reality” The road to ….. his second inauguration. D. Lack of immigration reform kills the economy
CNBC, 1/24/13, “How Lack of Immigration Reform Harms Startups, US Economy”
As President Barack Obama begins his second term, small companies and the technology community
AND
We're hampering one of our fundamental national industries — technology," Salazar said. E. Global economic collapse causes extinction—turns iran prolif
Kemp 10
Geoffrey Kemp, Director of Regional Strategic Programs at The Nixon Center, served in the White House under Ronald Reagan, special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Near East and South Asian affairs on the National Security Council Staff, Former Director, Middle East Arms Control Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2010, The East Moves West: India, China, and Asia’s Growing Presence in the Middle East, p. 233-4 The second scenario, called Mayhem and Chaos, is the opposite of the first
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expected, with dire consequences for two-thirds of the planet’s population. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The fifty states of the United States should reduce restrictions on natural gas production in the United States. Tons of state restrictions now that the CP removes – solves sustainable drilling by getting rid of local regulations too
Ebinger, Senior fellow and Director of the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings, ‘12
(Charles, “Liquid Markets: Assessing the Case for US Exports of Liquefied Natural Gas,” 5-2-12, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/events/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports/20120502_lng_edu/~/media/events/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports/20120502_lng_exports, accessed 10-22-12) PM As large-scale shale …… shale-gas development operations.¶ |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Text: The United States Department of Energy should approve pending applications for natural gas exports. Counterplan solves the aff – exports lead to increased drilling because of increased demand – solve the current decrease in development activity and maintain our manufacturing advantage
Kathleen Sgamma, Vice President of Government and Public Affairs of the Western Energy Alliance, 1/15/13, “The Time is Now for LNG Exports” http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2013/01/should-america-exploit-energy.php#2280921 One criticism of exporting natural gas is that it will raise prices for U.
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world natural gas prices, American manufacturing would still retain the competitive advantage. A2: Perm Offshore drilling kills renewables and causes warming – the counterplan only is key to a fair amount of drilling without decimating renewables or natural gas.
Jacqueline Savitz, Deputy Vice President of U.S. Campaigns at OCEANA and has 2 decades of background and training in marine biology and environmental toxicology and policy experience and previously was the Executive Director of Coast Alliance and an environmental policy analyst with the Environmental Working Group in Washington D.C. and an environmental scientist with the Chesapeake Bay Foundation and has a master’s in environmental science with emphasis in toxicology, 3/12/13, “No More Offshore Drilling: Clean Energy Needs to be Our Goal” http://www.triplepundit.com/2013/03/offshore-drilling-be-expanded/ Any discussion about …… to clean energy. 2NC Solvency – Case (Increased Production) There’s no quantifiable solvency deficit- only comparative evidence
Markey, 12 -- Rep., House Committee on Natural Resources ranking member
Edward, "Hearing on Offshore Drilling," CQ Transcriptions, 5-9-12, l/n, accessed 1-31-13, mss
The majority has …..the UnitedStates.
More evidence that exports increase drilling
A. Market-based incentives
American Council for Capital Formation, 1/10/13, “Dubious Campaign Against LNG Exports Ignores Net Benefits of Free Trade” It’s important to …. our economic recovery. : B. Investor confidence
Don Santa, President of the Interstate Natural Gas Association of America, 1/14/13, “Keeping Shale Gas Boom Alive with Exports” http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2013/01/should-america-exploit-energy.php#2280694
Limiting or restricting …. is artificially constrained. Drilling in restricted areas is prohibitively expensive – only the CP solves
Brown 10 (Stephen P.A. Brown, Steven A. Gabriel, and Ruud Egging, Resources for the Future, National Energy Policy Institute, “Abundant Shale Gas Resources: Some Implications for Energy Policy,” April 2010,
http://nepinstitute.org/get/RFF_Reports/Background-Papers/RFF-NEPI-Brownetal-ShaleGas.pdf)
For the United States, …… U.S. natural gas supplies. 2NC Solvency – Low Prices Counterplan key to solving low prices – which kill the case
Hulbert, Lead Analyst at European Energy Review, and Goldthau, Head of the Department of Public Policy at the Central European University, an American graduate school based in Budapest, Hungary, 8-5-12
(Matthew, consultant to a number of governments, most recently as Senior Research Fellow, Netherlands Institute for International Relations, and Andreas, prior to joining CEU, he worked for Rand, SWP Germany and the Paul Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, a Fellow with the Global Public Policy Institute’s Global Energy Governance program and an Adjunct Professor with Johns Hopkins University’s MSc in Energy Policy and Climate, “Why America Can Make or Break A New Global Gas World,” http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewhulbert/2012/08/05/why-america-can-make-or-break-a-new-global-gas-world/print/, accessed 8-7-12, CMM) The same debate ….. oil indexation back. 2NC Solvency – Renewables/Coal Tradeoff
Higher prices allow natural gas production to happen and for alternative energy and coal to be competitive – low prices kill both
Center for Climate and energy solutions, 2012, “THE LOOMING NATURAL GAS TRANSITION IN THE UNITED STATES” http://www.c2es.org/publications/looming-natural-gas-transition-united-states
Another axis to …… as noted above). |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Studies project natural gas prices will increase now – empirics prove the plan leads to low prices due to increased supply. This kills drilling and turns case.
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 1/9/13, “U.S. report predicts rising natural gas prices in 2013-14” http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/business/news/us-report-predicts-rising-natural-gas-prices-in-2013-14-669602/#ixzz2NxwESQH9 Marcellus Shale drillers ….. said Mr. Sieminski. A. Renewables are expected to grow because of increasing natural gas prices – the plan keeps them low which kills them. Exports solve.
Edward Guinness, co-manager of the Guinness Atkinson Alternative Energ Fund and previously worked for HSBC in corporate finance and joined Tiedemann Investment Group in merger arbitrage and has a Master’s in engineering and management studies, and Ian Mortimer, co-manager of the Guinness Atkinson Global Energy Fund and has a master’s degree in physics and holds an Investment Management Certificate, 3/14/13, “Don’t Give up on Renewable Energy Stocks Just Yet!” http://oilprice.com/Finance/investing-and-trading-reports/Dont-Give-up-on-Renewable-Energy-Stocks-Just-Yet.html What will it take for alternative energy to deliver the returns investors have dreamed of
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is very exciting.
B. No time for a bridge – renewables NOW are key to stopping warming
Sharon Kelly, an attorney and freelance writer who has reported for NYT, National Wildlife, Earth Island Journal, and others, 3/18/13, “Obama's Energy Strategy -- Too Little, Too Late?” http://www.desmogblog.com/2013/03/18/obama-s-energy-strategy-too-little-too-late The fallacy of an "all of the above" theme is akin to that
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horizon and distract from the urgent need to shift our energy infrastructure now.
C. Warming is anthropogenic and causes extinction
Deibel 7 Terry L. Professor of IR at National War College, 2007 “Foreign Affairs Strategy: Logic for American Statecraft”, Conclusion: American Foreign Affairs Strategy Today Finally, there is one major existential threat to American security (as well as
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States, but potentially to the continued existence of life on this planet. A. Natural gas prices are rising now – causes utilities to shift to coal
Litvak 2012 (November 9, Anya, “Pennsylvania coal industry faces changing future” http://www.bizjournals.com/pittsburgh/print-edition/2012/11/09/coal-industry-faces-changing-future.html?page=all)
When having a discussion on the future of coal, it would be unlikely to
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day, American people won’t stand for that privilege to be taken away.” B. low natural gas prices stop the shift to CCS
McCarthy and Copeland 2011 - Specialist in Environmental Policy AND Specialist in Resources and Environmental Policy (August 8, James E. and Claudia, “EPA’s Regulation of Coal-Fired Power: Is a “Train Wreck” Coming? ” http://www.lawandenvironment.com/uploads/file/CRS-EPA.pdf)
What these scenarios tell us is that utilities will look at the impending regulations and
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the current economics of the plant due to natural gas and coal prices.
C. Cheap natural gas obliterates the railroad industry – Coal shipping and competition with trucking
Ferry, Contributor to the Motley Fool Blog Network, 12
(6/17, Railroads Prepare for the Threat of Natural Gas, beta.fool.com/catominor/2012/06/17/railroads-prepare-threat-natural-gas/5836/
North American's freight railroads have delivered impressive performances since deregulation in the 1980s, growing
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capital, this prospect could negatively impact shareholders for many years to come.
D. Strong commercial freight railroads are key to readiness
Robert S. Korpanty is a licensed professional engineer employed by the Military Traffic Management Command Transportation Engineering Agency in Newport News, Virginia, December 1999, "Preserving Strategic Rail Mobility," www.almc.army.mil/alog/issues/NovDec99/MS455.htm Tell any mechanized maneuver commander he has to fight a battle without his Abrams tanks
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which commercial rail lines between installations and ports were important to national defense.
E. Decline of readiness causes global lashout and war
Spencer, Senior Research Fellow at Heritage, 2000
(The Facts About Military Readiness, www.heritage.org/research/reports/2000/09/bg1394-the-facts-about-military-readiness
Military readiness is vital because declines in America's military readiness signal to the rest of
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277 in fiscal year (FY) 1996 to 189 in FY 2000. OV Its try-or-die because extinction is inevitable in the status quo --- and outweighs survivable wars
End Times 6 (New York End Times, Non-Partisan News Filter Monitoring World Events Pertaining to Extinction, “The Extinction Scale”, 10-16, http://newyorkendtimes.com/extinctionscale.asp) We rate Global Climate ….. the dangers here. Gas Collapse Inev Perception alone turns case
Forbes, 3/15/12, “Natural Gas Glut Killing Drillers -- and Enriching Fertilizer Companies” http://www.forbes.com/sites/ycharts/2012/03/15/natural-gas-glut-killing-drillers-and-enriching-fertilizer-companies/
Natural gas drillers …. plans for 2012. Renwables Suck
Renewables viable now
Negin, 12/7/12 – director of news and commentary at the Union of Concerned Scientists (Elliott, “Koch Brothers Fund Bogus Studies to Kill Renewable Energy.” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/elliott-negin/koch-brothers-fund-bogus-_b_2253472.html) The good news … electricity by 2050. Renewables solve extinction
Wood 10 (Duncan, Director – Program in International Relations and Canadian Studies Program – Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México, “Environment, Development and Growth: U.S.-Mexico Cooperation in Renewable Energies,” Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars – Mexico Institute, May, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/topics/pubs/U.S.%20Mexico%20Cooperation%20in%20Renewable%20Energies.pdf)
It is by now …… change mitigation strategies. Concede that low prices kill clean coal B. Key to stop warming
Guzman 9 (Doris de Guzman, ICIS – world’s largest petrochemical market information provider, “Capturing carbon's potential”, 1/15, http://www.icis.com/Articles/2009/01/15/9184929/chemicals-to-capture-ccs-potential.html) CARBON CAPTURE and …. climate-mitigation options." NG S Renewables
Takes too long – warming fast no time for bridging technology – 1nc ev Not a transition fuel – wastes crucial economic resources, deters investment, and incentivizes plant owners to stop the transition
Energy Justice Network, 2011, “No Such Thing as "Transition" Fuels” http://www.energyjustice.net/solutions/transition.html Natural gas, nuclear power, ….. ultimately aiming for. No time for a bridge – tipping point is now
Stephen Lacey, reporter for Climate Progress, where he writes on clean energy policy, technologies, and finance and was was an editor/producer with RenewableEnergyWorld.com, 8/29/12, “Free Market Hypocrisy: Why Do We Hold Renewables To Different Standards Than Fossil Fuels And Nuclear?” http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2012/08/29/766341/free-market-hypocrisy-why-do-we-hold-renewables-to-different-standards-than-fossil-fuels-and-nuclear/ In order to ….carbon-based fuels. Period. No Impact Warming And, it causes extinction – US leadership is key
Ferris, 1/17/13 The Big Thaw, Elizabeth Ferris Co-Director, Brookings-LSE Project on Internal Displacement, http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2013/01/the-big-thaw Global warming is …… world for generations. Coal Decline Locked in EPA regulations don’t kill coal, just push for carbon capture – which solves any reasons why coal is bad. But low natural gas prices kill CCS.
NYT, 5/18/12, “With Natural Gas Plentiful and Cheap, Carbon Capture Projects Stumble” http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/19/business/energy-environment/low-natural-gas-prices-threaten-carbon-capture-projects.html A federal proposal ……for coal plants. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Expanded offshore oil production collapse critical ocean resources
SELC, 12
Southern Environmental Law Center, "Offshore Drilling: Defending the Atlantic and Eastern Gulf," 6-20-12, www.southernenvironment.org/cases/drilling_in_the_atlantic_huge_risk_little_reward, accessed 1-31-13, mss For more than 25 years, the Atlantic coast has been off-limits to
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Gulf to offshore drilling. SELC strongly opposes any moves to do so. Collapse of ocean ecosystems ends life on Earth
Craig 3 (Robin Kundis, Associate Prof Law, Indiana U School Law, Lexis) Biodiversity and ecosystem function arguments for conserving marine ecosystems also exist, just as they
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kill ourselves, and we will take most of the biosphere with us. 2NC Impact Calculus The risk of drilling multiplies with each additional drillers—you must account for the systemic risk of ecosystem collapse.
Craig 11—Associate Dean for Environmental Programs @ Florida State University Robin Kundis Craig, “Legal Remedies for Deep Marine Oil Spills and Long-Term Ecological Resilience: A Match Made in Hell,” Brigham Young University Law Review, 2011, 2011 B.Y.U.L. Rev. 1863 Systemic risk is …… Gulf's murky depths. Each instance increases the risk of extinction- evaluate linear risk of net benefit Diner 94
“The Army and the Endangered Species Act: Who’s Endangering Whom?” Major David N. Diner, U.S. Army, 94 Military Law Review. 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161. Winter, 1994, LEXIS By causing widespread …. to the abyss. 2NC Link – Restrictions Good Plan causes quick approvals at the expense of environmental reviews
Polis 11 Jared, US Representative from Colorado, “Putting the Gulf of Mexico Back to Work Act,” House Session Part 2, 5-10, http://www.c-spanvideo.org/appearance/599956482 This is the ……properly process applications. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
drilling causes Saudi Arabia to flood the market—collapses prices
Chris Pirillo, CEO of a tech startup that spreads technological knowledge throughout the market, 2009, “Is Offshore Oil Drilling a Good or Bad Idea?” http://chris.pirillo.com/is-offshore-oil-drilling-a-good-or-bad-idea/ In a world where gasoline and natural gas are pretty much essential, would it
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psychological impact that is needed in today’s everyday life in the United States. Turns case – oil
Sarah Yizraeli, author of The Remaking of Saudi Arabia (Dayan Center of Tel Aviv University, 1997) and writes commentaries on the Middle East for Israeli newspapers and has been a visiting fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, March 2k, “How Important is Saudi Oil?” http://www.meforum.org/42/how-important-is-saudi-oil Efforts to reduce dependency on Gulf oil will persist at least over the next decade
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10 per barrel, the profitability of investing in new sources is assured. Framing issue- err neg on solvency questions- fossil fuel lobby floods offshore drilling debate with misinformation
Kaplun, 8 -- Greenwire reporter
Alex, "ANWR efforts flounder despite growing support for domestic production," Greenwire, 7-16-8, l/n, accessed 2-6-13, mss Athan Manuel, a ….of ANWR drilling." Current energy boom is sufficient to solve your advantage
Mills, Their Author, 10-30
Mark, Senior fellow of the Manhattan Institute, and founder and CEO of the
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University, and serves on the Board of Directors of the Marshall Institute.
http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/mills.htm There are good reasons for this shift. The nation is in desperate need of
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Great Recession means that creating jobs in the near-term is vital. Access is irrelevant- shale and economics
Weiss, 12 -- Center for American Progress Action Fund senior fellow
Daniel, "The American Energy Initiative," Congressional Documents and Publications, 9-13-12, l/n, accessed 1-31-13, mss In addition to the idle leases, there have been several indications that the industry
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on private land. And oil companies drill where the best resources are. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Status quo solves – Gazprom is losing its power now
The Economist, 3/23/13, “Russia’s wounded giant” http://www.economist.com/news/business/21573975-worlds-biggest-gas-producer-ailing-it-should-be-broken-up-russias-wounded-giant THE good times for Gazprom once seemed like they would never end. The world’s
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have much choice. Diversity of LNG market is already killing Russia’s power
Ebinger, Senior fellow and Director of the Energy Security Initiative at Brookings, ‘12
(Charles, “Liquid Markets: Assessing the Case for US Exports of Liquefied Natural Gas,” 5-2-12, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/events/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports/20120502_lng_edu/~/media/events/2012/5/02%20lng%20exports/20120502_lng_exports, accessed 10-22-12) PM The one factor that has been working to the advantage of advocates of greater European
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in the short-term, potentially returning ¶ market power to Russia. Russia has abandoned aggression in favor of cooperation
Sawczak 11 Dr. Peter Sawczak, Adjunct Research Fellow at Monash University, “Obama’s Russia Policy: The Wages and Pitfalls of the Reset,” peer reviewed paper presented at the 10th Biennial Conference of the Australasian Association for Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Feb 3-4 2011, http://cais.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/Sawczak_Obama.pdf
As a measure of their optimism, US officials like to point – cautiously –
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waged any major gas wars, threatened leaders, or incited civil war.
Zero risk of war
David E. Hoffman 10/22/12, contributing editor to Foreign Policy and the author of The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Dangerous Legacy, which won the 2010 Pulitzer Prize for general non-fiction, "Hey, Big Spender," Foreign Policy, www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/10/22/hey_big_spender?page=full
Despite tensions that …. Union never was. Russia – Azerbaijan Solves Azerbaijan solves
Dallas Morning News, 9/19/12, “U.S. oil boom might not create energy independence” http://bizbeatblog.dallasnews.com/2012/09/u-s-oil-boom-might-not-create-energy-independence.html/
*quotes Anas Alhajji, chief economist for Irving’s NGP Energy Capital Management, Alhajji spoke on …..oil last year. Russia – Can’t Solve Zero risk of war
David E. Hoffman 10/22/12, contributing editor to Foreign Policy and the author of The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Dangerous Legacy, which won the 2010 Pulitzer Prize for general non-fiction, "Hey, Big Spender," Foreign Policy, www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/10/22/hey_big_spender?page=full
Despite tensions that …..Union never was. Russia is the opposite of aggressive – they’ve stood by despite Western provocations
Ottens 11 Nick Ottens, editor of the transatlantic news and commentary site the Atlantic Sentinel and contributing analyst for the geostrategic consultancy Wikistrat, “The Myth of Russia’s Resurgence,” August 20 2011, http://atlanticsentinel.com/2011/08/the-myth-of-russias-resurgence/
Wikistrat‘s Thomas Barnett …. one hundred brigades.” |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Drilling jacks sea lanes and subs
Weinstein, 10 -- Mother Jones' national security reporter
Adam, "DOD: We Hate Offshore Drilling, Too," Mother Jones, 5-21-10, www.motherjones.com/mojo/2010/05/military-we-hate-offshore-drilling-too-navy-norfolk-bp-virginia, accessed 1-31-13, mss How about if it's discovered that outer continental shelf drilling is also anti-national
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, and many other classified but important endeavors begin off the Tidewater coast. That turns naval readiness
Padgett, 11 -- Rear Admiral (retired)
John, "Projecting power," Armed Forced Journal, Sept 2011, www.armedforcesjournal.com/2011/09/7558135/, accessed 1-22-13, mss One thing SSK and SSN advocates can agree on is the need for submarines.
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warfare, anti-surface warfare, special operations support and other missions. Naval power inevitable - reject their evidence
Farley 7 (Roberts, Assistant Professor @ the Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce, "The False Decline of U.S. Navy," Oct 23, http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=the_false_decline_of_the_us_navy,)
We live in strange times. While the United States is responsible for close to
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spending are best advised to concentrate on the fiascos in Iraq and Afghanistan. No food shortages
Goklany 9—Worked with federal and state governments, think tanks, and the private sector for over 35 years. Worked with IPCC before its inception as an author, delegate and reviewer. Negotiated UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. Managed the emissions trading program for the EPA. Julian Simon Fellow at the Property and Environment Research Center, visiting fellow at AEI, winner of the Julian Simon Prize and Award. PhD, MS, electrical engineering, MSU. B.Tech in electrical engineering, Indian Institute of Tech. (Indur, “Have increases in population, affluence and technology worsened human and environmental well-being?” 2009, http://www.ejsd.org/docs/HAVE_INCREASES_IN_POPULATION_AFFLUENCE_AND_TECHNOLOGY_WORSENED_HUMAN_AND_ENVIRONMENTAL_WELL-BEING.pdf, AMiles) Although global population …….population increase (Goklany 2007a; FAO 2006). No risk of resource wars---historical evidence all concludes neg---cooperation is way more likely and solves
Jeremy Allouche 11 is currently a Research Fellow at the Institute of Development Studies at the University of Sussex. "The sustainability and resilience of global water and food systems: Political analysis of the interplay between security, resource scarcity, political systems and global trade" Food PolicyVolume 36, Supplement 1, January 2011, Pages S3-S8 Accessed via: Science Direct Sciverse
Water/food resources, war and conflict
The question of ….. connections is thin (Barnett and Adger, 2007 and Kevane and Gray, 2008). Japan Defense US-Japan alliance’s resilient and’ll endure
Arpita Mathur 2004, PhD in Japanese Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, Japan’s Changing Role in the US-Japan Security Alliance, Strategic Analysis, The Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses Vol. 28, No. 4, December 11 However, this is ….. attack on Japan.” No impact to the alliance
DiFilippo 2 – Prof Sociology, Lincoln (Anthony, The Challenges of the U.S.-Japan Military Arrangement, p 13) One thing that …. other nuclear powers. NAVY
Naval power resilient – no challengers to overwhelming U.S. power
Posen 3 (Barry R., Professor of Political Science – Massachusetts Institute of Technology, “Command of the Commons: The Military Foundation of U.S. Hegemony”, International Security, 28(1), Ebsco) Command of the …. rights as needed. We’re too far ahead in every sector of the military, and our navy is predominant in every region
Kagan 12 Robert Kagan, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy, Center on the United States and Europe, 1/5/12, http://www.brookings.edu/opinions/2012/0105_international_relations_kagan.aspx Military capacity matters, ….. of the world. More evidence - our navy is bigger than the next 13 combined
Jelinek 11 (11/16/11 Pauline, AP Writer citing experts, “Pentagon spending cuts: Dangerous or just overdue?” http://www.newsvine.mobi/_news/2011/11/16/8831798-pentagon-spending-cuts-dangerous-or-just-overdue) In the 10 years ….. in recent years. No impact to naval decline
McGrath 2010, Director of Consulting, Studies and Analysisat Delex Systems, Inc, citing Robert Gates, Bryan, “Debate: Do We Need 11 Carrier Groups: Yes”, Atlantic Council, http://www.acus.org/new_atlanticist/debate-do-we-need-11-carrier-groups-yes, KHaze Next there’s this—and …..most world armies.” |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
Interp—aff has to specify what restrictions they remove Violation – they don’t specicfy which restriction on OSC drilling they remove Vote negative
a. limits – tons of restrictions they could remove explodes negative research burden
b. aff shifting – allows them to shift out of offense through vague plan mechanisms
c. ground – can’t get specific links to the aff because their mechanism is too vague
d. no solvency—no mechanism to decrease restrictions through |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
Immigration is passing now because there is bipart but it will be hard fight
John Buchanan, 3/27/13, “Immigration reform looms” http://www2.highlandstoday.com/list/highlands-agri-leader-news/immigration-reform-looms-b82469915z1 As bipartisan Congressional support for immigration reform gains momentum, the ongoing and critical issue
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and this Congress, it has been very difficult to get anything done.” Oil drilling kills Obama’s political capital
Margaret Hobson, Energy Wire Reporter, 4/18/12, “Obama's development plans gain little political traction in years since Gulf spill” http://www.eenews.net/public/energywire/2012/04/18/1 As the 2012 presidential campaign heats up and gasoline prices remain stuck near $4
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gone far enough. And independent voters are confused by the president's rhetoric. PC’s key
Foley 1/15 Elise is a writer @ Huff Post Politics. “Obama Gears Up For Immigration Reform Push In Second Term,” 2013, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/15/obama-immigration-reform_n_2463388.html
Obama has repeatedly said he will push hard for immigration reform in his second term
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-style arrangement jammed by leadership -- while keeping the president heavily involved. E. Immigration reform expands skilled labor—spurs relations and economic growth in China and India.
LA Times 11/9/12 Other countries eagerly await U.S. immigration reform, http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/11/us-immigration-reform-eagerly-awaited-by-source-countries.html "Comprehensive immigration reform will see expansion of skilled labor visas," predicted B.
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see the immigration opportunity as a bigger plus than not," he said.
F. US/India relations averts South Asian nuclear war.
Schaffer, Spring 2002 (Teresita – Director of the South Asia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Security, Washington Quarterly, p. Lexis)
Washington's increased interest in India since the late 1990s reflects India's economic expansion and position
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people out of poverty depends critically on good relations with the United States. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge: TEXT: The United States federal government should impose escalating surcharges on land in the United States that oil companies are leasing but not using and prohibit companies from obtaining additional leases unless they demonstrate that they are producing or diligently developing leases they already hold.Idle leases contain a vast amount of oil- solves the aff without endangering fragile environments
Weiss, 12 -- Center for American Progress Action Fund senior fellow
Daniel, “The American Energy Initiative,” congressional testimony, 9-13-12, www.americanprogressaction.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/WeissTestimony.pdf, accessed 1-31-13, mss
Despite their demand to open fragile, previously protected places for oil and gas production
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billion barrels of oil and 50 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. 91
Counterplan solves and avoids politics
Mufson, 12 – Washington Post chief economic policy writer
Steven, staff writer covering energy and other financial news, "Study: 20 million acres of federal oil, gas leases in Gulf of Mexico idle," Washington Post, 10-22-12, articles.washingtonpost.com/2012-10-22/business/35501614_1_gas-leases-oil-companies-massive-oil-spill, accessed 1-18-13, mss Oil and natural gas companies are not exploring, developing or producing on more than
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leases by imposing a system of escalating surcharges as idle leases get older. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
TEXT: The United States federal government should reduce restrictions on the production of crude oil in the green river formation and on offshore drilling.
Federal lands by definition include national parks and wilderness areas
NationalAtlas.gov, No Date, “Map Layer Info” http://nationalatlas.gov/mld/fedlanp.html Federal Lands of the United States.¶
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l Government is lands in this map layer.
Normal means is that the plan would include drilling in national parks
Alison Fairbrother, director of the nonpartisan Public Trust Project which investigates and reports on misrepresentations of science by corporations and government and has written for Washington Monthly and Washington Spectator and Grist and others, 9/8/12, “Wait, What?! Oil Companies Are Drilling in Our Sacred National Parks,” http://www.takepart.com/article/2012/09/17/national-parks-risk-due-oil-and-gas-company-land-grabbing?cmpid=tp-ptnr-hufpo Vast, underground reserves of oil
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extract resources from public soil. And, we don’t need national parks to solve – they should be excluded – this is THEIR AUTHOR
IER ’11. Institute for Energy Research "Fracking Will Enable North Dakota to Overtake California as a Major Oil Producer" 10-19-11. http:www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2011/10/19/11042/ This same oil development strategy can work in waters off our Atlantic, Pacific,
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off of overseas oil provided it makes these American resources available to development. Now the net benefit
First is the economy – drilling in national parks destroys tourism there
Michael Frank, staffwriter for Adventure Journal, 5/2/12, Proposed New Drilling Is Threat to Western National Parks” http://www.adventure-journal.com/2012/05/proposed-new-drilling-is-threat-to-western-national-parks/ A federal proposal to allow oil shale and oil sands development in parts of Wyoming
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to $10 billion in benefits and more than 100,000 jobs. Preserving our national park system is CRUCIAL to preserving the tourism sector, which is key to the economy
Denis Galvin, former deputy director of the National Park Service, November 2005, “National Services Daft Management Policies” http://books.google.com/books?id=IuLqqo-OcogCandpg=PA12andlpg=PA12anddq=american+national+parks+key+tourism+industryandsource=blandots=QWi_Vl5Pupandsig=PfmyLYI4xPr6yJJk0Dc6Cp92KmUandhl=enandsa=Xandei=yJRSUeqaMOqO2QWqxIHYCgandved=0CC8Q6AEwADgU#v=onepageandq=american%20national%20parks%20key%20tourism%20industryandf=false At the White House Tourism Conference in here in Washington D.C. several
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natural and cultural places that make up the National Park system, unimpaired. Second is the environment
National parks are key to species preservation
PNAS 3 (Catherine Burns, Kevin Johnston, Oswald Schmitz, School of Forestry and Environmental Studies and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, “Global climate change and mammalian species diversity in U.S. national parks,” Proceedings of National Academy of Science, http://www.pnas.org/content/100/20/11474.full)
National parks and bioreserves are key conservation tools used to protect species and their habitats
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parks to protect current mammalian diversity under a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Drilling causes environmental damage-eliminates ecological biodiversity
Center for American Progress 12 (Goad and Goldfuss, “Drilling Could Threaten our National Parks,” 7/12/12, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/news/2012/09/12/37152/drilling-could-threaten-our-national-parks//HT)
America’s national parks are undoubtedly some of our “best ideas.” They are unique
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federal regulations and having the states make these decisions would be exceedingly dangerous.
Biodiversity loss guarantees multiple scenarios for extinction, including nuclear war
Takacs 96
Takacs, Environmental Humanities Prof @ CSU Monteray Bay, 1996 (David, “The Idea of Biodiversity: Philosophies of Paradise” pg. 200-201)
So biodiversity keeps the world running. It has value and of itself, as
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of the next century - not with a bang but a whimper.14 |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
Saudi Arabia will flood the market in response to US oil production
Ryan Stelzer, 6/23/12, “A Rapidly Changing Energy World?” The Weekly Standard, http://www.weeklystandard.com/print/blogs/rapidly-changing-energy-world_647755.html OPEC’s hawks—Venezuela, Iran and Nigeria among them—want Saudi Arabia to
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‘my gosh, what are we going to do here?’” Turns case – oil
Sarah Yizraeli, author of The Remaking of Saudi Arabia (Dayan Center of Tel Aviv University, 1997) and writes commentaries on the Middle East for Israeli newspapers and has been a visiting fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, March 2k, “How Important is Saudi Oil?” http://www.meforum.org/42/how-important-is-saudi-oil Efforts to reduce dependency on Gulf oil will persist at least over the next decade
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10 per barrel, the profitability of investing in new sources is assured. Aff doesn’t solve---takes 5 years to boost production
CFAP 8 (Center for American Progress, 9/15/2008, "Ten Reasons Not to Expand Offshore Drilling", www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/news/2008/09/15/4894/ten-reasons-not-to-expand-offshore-drilling/) 6. Production would be expensive, would not start for a long time,
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effect on oil production or price until nearly 20 years after leasing begins. Framing issue- err neg on solvency questions- fossil fuel lobby floods offshore drilling debate with misinformation
Kaplun, 8 -- Greenwire reporter
Alex, "ANWR efforts flounder despite growing support for domestic production," Greenwire, 7-16-8, l/n, accessed 2-6-13, mss Athan Manuel, a lobbyist for the Sierra Club, also said that the long
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drilling have gotten away with misinformation easier than the proponents of ANWR drilling." |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
The DOD budget’s focused on the Asia pivot now
Todd Harrison 12, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Priorities, 8/24/2012, ANALYSIS OF THE FY 2013 DEFENSE BUDGET AND SEQUESTRATION, http://www.csbaonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Analysis-of-the-FY-2013-Defese-Budget.pdf
The Fiscal Year (FY) 2013 defense budget currently being debated in Congress is
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unscathed and the Department will likely be forced to revise its strategic guidance. Plan isn’t enough – military needs to modernize too and get help from allies
Colby ’11 – Trinity’s Author 8-10-2011 – research analyst at the Center for Naval Analyses and a consultant to a number of government and military components (Elbridge, "Why US Needs its Liberal Empire," http://the-diplomat.com/2011/08/10/why-us-needs-its-liberal-empire/) In short, the United States must increase its involvement in East Asia rather than
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naval, space, cyber, and other expensive high-tech capabilities. Lots of factors prevent great power conflict without hegemony
Fettweis 10 (Christopher J. Professor of Political Science at Tulane, Dangerous Times-The International Politics of Great Power Peace, pg. 175-6) If the only thing standing between the world and chaos is the US military presence
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typically unidirectional. Strategic restraint in such a world be virtually risk free. No heg impact
Preble 10 – Former prof, history, Temple U. PhD, history, Temple (Christopher, U.S. Military Power: Preeminence for What Purpose?, 3 August, http://www.cato-at-liberty.org/u-s-military-power-preeminence-for-what-purpose/)
Goure and the Hadley-Perry commissioners who produced the alternate QDR argue that the
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States while the schlubs in fly-over country pick up the tab. No Korean war – self interest proves – they would get rocked
McClatchy 10 MCCLATCHY WASHINGTON BUREAU | BY WARREN P. STROBEL AND JONATHAN S. LANDAY, “Experts say war unlikely North, South Korea” May 25 Although the isolated, communist North's behavior is notoriously unpredictable and sometimes seems irrational,
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years haven't led to warfare -- and sometimes have provided opportunities for rapprochement. Status quo Containment solves Korea
Alexandre Debs and Nuno P. Monteiro 12, poli sci profs at Yale, “The Flawed Logic of Striking Iran”, January 17, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137036/alexandre-debs-and-nuno-p-monteiro/the-flawed-logic-of-striking-iran?page=show Taking the long view, Kroenig's argument reveals an unwarranted skepticism about Washington's ability to
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ambitions, dissuading regional proliferation, and providing security assurances to its allies. No risk of military or nuclear confrontation between US-China—economic interdependence
Perry and Scowcroft, 9 – *Professor at Stanford University, Resident Trustee of the Forum for International Policy (William and Brent, 2009, “US Nuclear Weapons Policy,” Council on Foreign Relations) Economic interdependence provides an incentive to avoid military conflict and nuclear confrontation. Although the
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Beijing-Washington relationship points toward potentially promising dialogues on larger strategic issues. No escalation of china war – US wins decisively
AP, 3/9/’11
(“China challenges U.S. edge in Asia-Pacific”) The U.S. Pacific Command has 325,000 personnel, five aircraft
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by 2025. The United States should have 1,500 by then. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge:
Manufacturing not key to the economy
Wessel 12 (David Wessel, economics editor of The Wall Street, “Manufacturing Industry Gained Momentum In 2011,” 1-19-12, http://www.npr.org/2012/01/19/145437593/are-more-u-s-manufacturing-jobs-being-created)
WESSEL: Well, that's a good question. So basically, factories have added
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plus. But no, it's not enough to solve our unemployment problem. U.S. manufacturing is resurgent---slew of factors make it sustainable and immune to a double-dip
PWC 9-21 – Pricewaterhouse Coopers, “A Homecoming For U.S. Manufacturing?,” 9/21/12, http://www.manufacturing.net/articles/2012/09/a-homecoming-for-us-manufacturing?et_cid=2861124andet_rid=279915960andlinkid=http%3a%2f%2fwww.manufacturing.net%2farticles%2f2012%2f09%2fa-homecoming-for-us-manufacturing
NEW YORK― Consensus views on a U.S. manufacturing resurgence have largely
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attractive exporter and the relative attractiveness of the U.S. markets.” Fossil fuel production Hurts the economy
Garvin Jabusch, Chief Investment Officer of Green Alpha Advisors and former Director of Forward Sustainable Investments, a business unit of Forward Management LLC March and previously served as Vice President of Strategic Services at Morgan Stanley and has an MBA in international management and finance and a Ph.D. in physical anthropology and archaeology and has wrote and contributed to many Environmental Impact Studies 2013, “Your Portfolio is Hooked on Fossil Fuels” http://www.altenergystocks.com/archives/2013/03/your_portfolio_is_hooked_on_fossil_fuels_1.html This is not only morally questionable, it’s also likely to lead to disappointing returns
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And the time to do that is now, while they’re still working. Protectionism won’t escalate
Long ‘9 Guoqiang, senior fellow Development Research Center, “Is Protectionism a Threat to the World Economy?”, 2-23, http://www.eeo.com.cn/ens/finance_investment/2009/03/06/131493.shtml I don't think we'll end up with a trade war. Countries mostly adopt protectionist
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bilateral negotiation process. It just becomes more intense during times of crisis.
Solving oil dependence doesn’t solve the trade deficit – Chinese imports have a bigger impact—THEIR AUTHOR
Morici 9/11/12 – Trinity’s Author —Peter, economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist, Outside View: Trade deficit rises, stifles jobs creation and smothers growth, 9/11/12,http://www.upi.com/Top_News/Analysis/Outside-View/2012/09/11/Outside-View-Trade-deficit-rises-stifles-jobs-creation-and-smothers-growth/UPI-46241347370424/print~~%23ixzz26xuQIAUa Imported oil and subsidized imports from China account for nearly the entire $500 billion
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continues to increase and now exceeds $350 billion on an annual basis. No labor for manufacturing—THEIR AUTHOR
Smil ’11 – Trinity’s Author. Vaclav Smil, Fellow of the Royal Society of Canada (Science Academy), the first non-American to receive the American Association for the Advancement of Science Award for Public Understanding of Science and Technology, and in 2010 he was listed by Foreign Policy among the top 100 global thinkers. He has worked as a consultant for many US, EU and international institutions http:thebreakthrough.org/index.php/journal/past-issues/issue-1/the-manufacturing-of-decline/~ But these governments have also rejuvenated their manufacturing sectors in ways that are less intrusive
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, but to retain the skilled labor force in anticipation of economic recovery. US is protectionist now – here are specific examples
A. Solar panels
Hufbauer et. al. 10 – Trinity’s Author (Gary, Former Senior Chair at the Council on Foreign Relations, Author of multiple books on international trade, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "US Protectionist Impulses in the Wake of the Great Recession",http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf-http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf) Solar Panel Tariff Reclassification: January 2009
In January 2009, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency made
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in environmental goods and services. Clearly this decision cuts the other way. B. Dairy
Hufbauer et. al. 10 – Trinity’s Author (Gary, Former Senior Chair at the Council on Foreign Relations, Author of multiple books on international trade, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "US Protectionist Impulses in the Wake of the Great Recession",http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf-http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf) Dairy Export Incentive Program: May 2009¶ The Dairy Export Incentive Program (DEIP
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at the London G‐20 summit just two months prior.¶ ¶ 51
C. Buy American policy
Hufbauer et. al. 10 – Trinity’s Author (Gary, Former Senior Chair at the Council on Foreign Relations, Author of multiple books on international trade, Peterson Institute for International Economics, "US Protectionist Impulses in the Wake of the Great Recession",http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf-http://www.iie.com/publications/papers/hufbauer201003.pdf) Second, and longer term, though far bigger is the “reputational risk”
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be visited on the United States and the rest of the¶ world.¶ |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge: There’s no quantifiable solvency deficit- only comparative evidence
Markey, 12 -- Rep., House Committee on Natural Resources ranking member
Edward, "Hearing on Offshore Drilling," CQ Transcriptions, 5-9-12, l/n, accessed 1-31-13, mss The majority has also opposed Democratic efforts to get oil companies to start drilling on
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up and down the East and West Coasts of the United States.
Idled wells contain a massive amount of natural gas
Barkoff, 11 -- DOI press secretary, citing DOI reports
Kendra, "DOI Releases Report on Unused Oil and Gas Leases," Department of the Interior, 3-29-11, www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/DOI-Releases-Report-on-Unused-Oil-and-Gas-Leases.cfm, accessed 1-31-13, mss A report requested by President Obama and released today by the Department of the Interior
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11 billion barrels of oil and 50 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. Only 1/3rd of leases are being filled
Alford 12-17 (Jeremy, Capitol Correspondent – Houma Today, “Gulf Oil Leasing Plan Faces Court Challenge,” Houma Today, 2012, http://www.houmatoday.com/article/20121217/ARTICLES/121219663?p=1andtc=pg)
Thirteen offshore energy companies submitted 131 bids for the leases located off the shore of
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,000 acres less than the last lease sale in the western Gulf. Existing leases solve
Department of the Interior, 3-29-11, “Review shows that more than two-thirds of offshore and half of onshore leases lie idle,” http://www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/DOI-Releases-Report-on-Unused-Oil-and-Gas-Leases.cfm WASHINGTON - A report requested by President Obama and released today by the Department of
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more rapid development of oil and gas resources from existing and future leases. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge: Normal means is the plan leads to national parks drilling
Daniel J. Weiss, Senior Fellow and Director of Climate Strategy, Center for American Progress Action Fund, 9/13/12, “Congress Can't Ignore Climate Science” http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2012/09/seeking-elusive-energy-indepen.php#2243533 Yesterday the Center for American Progress released data highlighting 30 National Park units that face
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and fishing—especially out west—fewer proposals could be more frightening.” Drilling causes permanent “brand” damage – kills tourism permanently through a multiplier effect
Andrew Rumbach, Assistant Professor in the Department of Urban and Regional Planning at the University of ¶Hawaii, September 2011, “The Economic Consequences of ¶ Marcellus Shale Gas Extraction: Key Issues” http://www.greenchoices.cornell.edu/downloads/development/marcellus/Marcellus_CaRDI.pdf
¶ One of the central questions confronting the tourism ¶ ¶ industry is whether drilling
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¶ landscape outlasts the employment and monetary benefits ¶ ¶ of gas drilling. Drilling permanently kills the tourism brand and industry
Laurel Angrist, travel magazines writer, 11/15/12, “New York State Tourism: Why Frack with a Good Thing?” http://www.yourtravelchoice.org/2012/11/new-york-state-tourism-why-frack-with-a-good-thing/ While the plan to permit gas drilling is currently being reviewed to determine its potential
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the livelihoods of many who earn a living through tourism and the outdoors. National parks affect the entire economy
Charlie Brennan, Camera Staff Writer, 2/11/13, “Rocky Mountain National Park among those bracing for federal spending cuts” http://www.dailycamera.com/boulder-county-news/ci_22553948/rocky-mountain-national-park-among-those-bracing-cuts Colorado is home to 13 national parks, three national heritage areas and numerous other
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gas utilities, it really will have an unbelievable effect on the economy." National parks are key to the national economy
Jessica Goad, Manager of Research and Outreach for the Center for American Progress’s ¶ Public Lands Project, 9/12/12, “Drilling Could Threaten ¶ Our National Parks” http://www.ourenergypolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/PublicLandsDrillingInfographic-3.pdf America’s national parks are undoubtedly some of our “best ideas.” They are unique
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be threatened in the future with drilling. (see map on following page Key to the econ Task Force on Travel Competitiveness, 2012, “National Travel¶ ¶ and Tourism Strategy” http://tinet.ita.doc.gov/pdf/national-travel-and-tourism-strategy.pdf Travel and tourism are critical to the American economy. This growing industry offers significant
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the 1.7percent growth rate for the¶ economy as awhole.3 Plan kills tourism, which is a much bigger internal link to the economy than the oil/gas industry
Deanna Neil, KCET News, 11/15/12, “Is This The Worst Wilderness Congress in History?” http://www.kcet.org/news/the_back_forty/land-use/is-this-the-worst-wilderness-congress-in-history.html The Wilderness Society, on the other hand, emphasizes the economic value of tourism
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California. If certain areas are developed, this tourism might be lost. Each instance increases the risk of extinction- evaluate linear risk of net benefit
Diner 94
“The Army and the Endangered Species Act: Who’s Endangering Whom?” Major David N. Diner, U.S. Army, 94 Military Law Review. 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161. Winter, 1994, LEXIS By causing widespread extinctions, humans have artificially simplified many ecosystems. As biologic simplicity
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an aircraft's wings, 80 mankind may be edging closer to the abyss. Biodiversity loss will cause planetary extinction
Diner 94 – Judge Advocate General’s Corps of US Army
David N., Military Law Review, Winter, 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161, LN bg
No species has ever dominated its fellow species as man has. In most cases
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wings,¶ humankind may be edging closer to the abyss. 2.) Drilling is dangerous and causes more damage
Sager 12 (Josh, “Tell Mitt Romney that Drilling for Oil in National Parks isn’t an Energy Solution,” Force Change, 6/13/12, http://forcechange.com/23673/tell-mitt-romney-that-drilling-for-oil-in-national-parks-isnt-an-energy-solution//HT)
Convince Mitt Romney that opening the entire United States, including national parks, to
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candidate Romney’s energy plan and stop the potential despoiling of our national parks.
*LEASING CP* There’s no quantifiable solvency deficit- only comparative evidence
Markey, 12 -- Rep., House Committee on Natural Resources ranking member
Edward, "Hearing on Offshore Drilling," CQ Transcriptions, 5-9-12, l/n, accessed 1-31-13, mss The majority has also opposed Democratic efforts to get oil companies to start drilling on
AND
up and down the East and West Coasts of the United States.
Idled wells contain a massive amount of natural gas
Barkoff, 11 -- DOI press secretary, citing DOI reports
Kendra, "DOI Releases Report on Unused Oil and Gas Leases," Department of the Interior, 3-29-11, www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/DOI-Releases-Report-on-Unused-Oil-and-Gas-Leases.cfm, accessed 1-31-13, mss A report requested by President Obama and released today by the Department of the Interior
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11 billion barrels of oil and 50 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. Only 1/3rd of leases are being filled
Alford 12-17 (Jeremy, Capitol Correspondent – Houma Today, “Gulf Oil Leasing Plan Faces Court Challenge,” Houma Today, 2012, http://www.houmatoday.com/article/20121217/ARTICLES/121219663?p=1andtc=pg)
Thirteen offshore energy companies submitted 131 bids for the leases located off the shore of
AND
,000 acres less than the last lease sale in the western Gulf. Existing leases solve
Department of the Interior, 3-29-11, “Review shows that more than two-thirds of offshore and half of onshore leases lie idle,” http://www.doi.gov/news/pressreleases/DOI-Releases-Report-on-Unused-Oil-and-Gas-Leases.cfm WASHINGTON - A report requested by President Obama and released today by the Department of
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more rapid development of oil and gas resources from existing and future leases. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge: A. Russia’s economy is doing well now – historically low unemployment rates prove – but structural reasons make it vulnerable
Mark Adomanis, BA from Harvard and Master’s from Oxford in Russian Studies, 9/21/12, “With Continued Economic Growth, Russia’s Unemployment Rate Hit an All-Time Low in August” http://blogs.forbes.com/markadomanis/ As Russia’s economy has managed to chug along with ¶ AND¶ Here is a
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countries with growing economies and very low levels of unemployment don’t typically collapse.
B. Low prices hurt Russian economy
VOA News, 6/11/12, “Falling Oil Prices Prompt Russian Economic Fears,” http://www.voanews.com/content/falling-oil-prices-prompt-russian-economic-fears/1206097.html
Khanty-Mansiysk in Siberia - home to around 70 percent of Russia’s developed oil
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short-term, for Putin and the Russian government," he said. C. Nuclear war
Sheldon Filger, Author for the Huffington Post, 2009, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction” http://www.globaleconomiccrisis.com/blog/archives/356 In Russia, historically, economic health and political stability are intertwined to a degree
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the financial impact of the Global Economic Crisis is its least dangerous consequence. Saudi Arabia has immense spare capacity
Ergo, February 2012, “The Waning Era of Saudi Oil Dominance” http://www.ergo.net/ErgoSpecialReport_Saudi_Oil_Feb2012.pdf
Saudi Arabia’s importance to global oil markets is due not solely to its immense reserves
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the world’s swing producer, helping to mitigate shocks to the oil market. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 6 | Opponent: Trinity GK | Judge: D. Lack of immigration reform kills the economy
CNBC, 1/24/13, “How Lack of Immigration Reform Harms Startups, US Economy”
As President Barack Obama begins his second term, small companies and the technology community
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We're hampering one of our fundamental national industries — technology," Salazar said. Turns any short-term investment in the aff
Malone 9/26 Scott is a Reuters writer. “Analysis: Corporate America sweats as U.S. nears fiscal cliff,” 2012, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/27/us-usa-economy-fiscalcliff-idUSBRE88P1PX20120927
Top U.S. executives have less confidence in the business outlook now than
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funding cuts. But any resulting slowdown could send shockwaves across the economy. Key to hegemony – both hard and soft power
Nye 12/10/12 (Joseph S. Nye, a former US assistant secretary of defense and chairman of the US National Intelligence Council, is University Professor at Harvard University, http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/obama-needs-immigration-reform-to-maintain-america-s-strength-by-joseph-s~-~-nye, CMR)
The United States is a nation of immigrants. Except for a small number of
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long way toward fulfilling his promise to maintain the strength of the US. Visa policy is dragging down US-India relations now – only CIR can reaffirm our alliance with India
Zee News 12 “Krishna, Hillary to discuss visa fee hike in NY”, October 1st, 2012, http://zeenews.india.com/news/nation/krishna-hillary-to-discuss-visa-fee-hike-in-ny_802978.html, Chetan New York: The issue of US visa fee hike, which has hurt several
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Krishna will also address the 67th session of the UN General Assembly today.
part of the world are essential to the peace and prosperity of the world. Just that now the bill can be introduced – no ev that smooth passage because of introduction Will pass and include high skilled workers, but something could derail
Bo Cooper, Partner in a law firm and leads the firm’s Government Strategies and Compliance Group and provides strategic business immigration advice to clients and served as general counsel of the INS, and Darl Buffenstein, Partner in the law office and has testified before U.S. Congress on various corporate immigration issues, and Kevin Miner, partner in law firm and works with clients to develop effective strategies for business immigration and has drafted key pieces of immigration legislation and has worked closely with the US House and Senate Judiciary Committees on immigration legislation, 3/26/13, “High-Skilled Immigration Reform: What Does The Future Hold?” http://www.metrocorpcounsel.com/articles/22953/high-skilled-immigration-reform-what-does-future-hold Congress has once again taken up the difficult issue of comprehensive immigration reform, marking
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to be taken up again until at least after the 2014 election cycle. Not certain – diverse, conflicting interests mean immigration reform could be derailed
Niraj Chojski, a policy reporter at National Journal and former staff editor at The Atlantic, 3/26/13, “Why Immigration Reform Is So Hard” http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/why-immigration-reform-is-so-hard-20130326 Here’s why immigration reform is so tough: It has to balance the conflicting needs
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broadly, its viability will depend on a delicate balance of conflicting interests. CIR Will pass but Obama needs to court democrats and republicans
CT Post 3-28 (“Immigration reform gaining support in Congress”, http://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Immigration-reform-gaining-support-in-Congress-4393187.php)
WASHINGTON -- A Republican Party in desperate search for relevance to Latino voters. An
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predict the Senate will muster the votes necessary to pass a reform bill. Will pass now b/c of election concerns but it won’t be easy
LA Times, 1/28/13, “Republicans rediscover the virtues of immigration reform” http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/opinion-la/la-ol-op-immigration-reform-20130128,0,4900271.story In my Sunday column, I suggested that Republicans in Congress have begun to evolve
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won’t be easy getting comprehensive immigration reform through the conservative-majority House. Plan causes a political firestorm
Schoen 10 John is a writer for NBC. “BP Spill Clouds Future of U.S. Oil Drilling,” May 28, http://www.nbcdfw.com/news/breaking/BP_spill_clouds_future_of_U_S__oil_drilling-95099234.html
Just a few months ago, offshore drilling was poised to play a greater role
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related to oil natural gas, coal, wind, solar, etc. Plan forces political energy fights---saps capital --- also proves rollback
Geman 10 (Ben, The Hill, 4/1/10, http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/90137-drilling-push-shakes-up-climate-fight-)
While most of the drilling proposal can be undertaken using executive power, expanded drilling
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Sierra Club and the Natural Resources Defense Council — also slammed the proposal. Even if the plan is popular – it will get tied to unpopular policies
Bruce Drake, contributing editor to Politics Daily and former Senior Washington Editor and Vice President of News for NPR, 2/2/11, “Poll: Democrats and Republicans Strongly Favor Alternative Energy Incentives, Tax Overhaul” http://www.politicsdaily.com/2011/02/02/poll-democrats-and-republicans-strongly-favor-alternative-energ/ The complication, of course,
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the other issues could sink it. Issues only cost pc after they pass—also answers thumpers
Issues only cost capital once they reach the finish line.
Drum, 3/10/2010 (Kevin – political blogger for Mother Jones, Immigration coming off the back burner?, Mother Jones, p. http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/immigration-coming-back-burner)
Not to pick on Ezra or anything, but this attitude betrays a surprisingly common misconception about political issues in general. The fact is that political dogs never bark until an issue becomes an active one. Opposition to Social Security privatization was pretty mild until 2005, when George Bush turned it into an active issue. Opposition to healthcare reform was mild until 2009, when Barack Obama turned it into an active issue. Etc. I only bring this up because we often take a look at polls and think they tell us what the public thinks about something. But for the most part, they don't.1 That is, they don't until the issue in question is squarely on the table and both sides have spent a couple of months filling the airwaves with their best agitprop. Polling data about gays in the military, for example, hasn't changed a lot over the past year or two, but once Congress takes up the issue in earnest and the Focus on the Family newsletters go out, the push polling starts, Rush Limbaugh picks it up, and Fox News creates an incendiary graphic to go with its saturation coverage — well, that's when the polling will tell you something. And it will probably tell you something different from what it tells you now. Immigration was bubbling along as sort of a background issue during the Bush administration too until 2007, when he tried to move an actual bill. Then all hell broke loose. The same thing will happen this time, and without even a John McCain to act as a conservative point man for a moderate solution. The political environment is worse now than it was in 2007, and I'll be very surprised if it's possible to make any serious progress on immigration reform. "Love 'em or hate 'em," says Ezra, illegal immigrants "aren't at the forefront of people's minds." Maybe not. But they will be soon. IF Obama already supports means republicans will oppose the plan because they oppose Obama energy policies
Certain GOP re-elections make it certain that the plan will be unpopular in Congress
WSJ, 11/7/12, “House GOP Set to Keep Hammering Obama's Energy Plans” http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324439804578105750819599878.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
WASHINGTON—The loudest critics of President Barack Obama's energy policies were re-elected to Congress on Tuesday, teeing up two more years of battles over signature Republican issues such as U.S. oil production and environmental regulation.
Two powerful House Republican chairmen—Rep. Fred Upton of the Energy and Commerce Committee and Rep. Doc Hastings of the Natural Resources Committee—both won re-election. Other Republican lawmakers who hold prominent roles on the energy committees, Reps. Ed Whitfield of Kentucky and John Shimkus of Illinois, also hung on to their seats. Obama won’t get involved in gun control and it won’t pass. This card assumes their thumpers.
Chris Stirewalt, digital politics editor for Fox News, 3/25/13, “Gun Laws Highlight Deepening Democratic Disarray,” http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/03/25/gun-laws-highlight-deepening-democratic-disarray/#ixzz2OtaBnt8X President Obama is heading back out on the campaign trail, this time in a
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sets off concerns about the registry being the basis for further future restrictions. Appointments don’t drain PC---empirics
Hutchinson 12/2 Earl Ofari, "Rice Nomination Fight Won't Drain President Obama's Political Capital, 2012, www.eurweb.com/2012/12/rice-nomination-fight-wont-drain-president-obamas-political-capital/
It won’t hurt him. All presidents from time to time face some backlash from
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likelihood of any lasting harm to the administration will be minimal to nonexistent. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
Interp and violation---they have to provide money to the private sector---incentives for RandD is distinct
CCES 9 Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (also called c2es) “Buildings and Emissions: Making the Connection” No specific date dated, most recent citation from 2009 www.c2es.org/technology/overview/buildings
Policy Options to Promote Climate-Friendly Buildings¶ The mosaic of current policies affecting
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development of energy efficient buildings through software and computer-based building analysis. B. vote negative
a. numerous agencies that can be given funding
b. ground—doesn’t incentivize energy production just research and development and we lose all market based disads because they don’t incentivize private market energy development
c. fx—even if plan results in incentivizing energy production it’s not the mandate |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
Decisions about energy begin with knowledge production – Policy is generated through frames and paradigms, NOT instrumental analysis of isolated policies.
Vote negative: A vision of energy as a social-ecological project begins with a refusal of the 1AC’s commodification of our common world.
Yu ‘9 Jung-Min, PhD Candidate at the University of Delaware, “POLITICAL ECONOMY OF POWER LIBERALIZATION AND POWER TRANSFORMATION”, dissertation submitted to the Faculty of the University of Delaware in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Energy and Environmental Policy, ProQuest, pp. 103-110 In sum, the expansion of the market mechanism cannot be dissociated with environmental and
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will be explored consequently when a new energy paradigm displaces the old one.
The social and ecological dimensions of nuclear power come first – their futurist techno-optimism is a Trojan horse sustaining the systems of perpetual violence engendered by modern energy
Byrne and Toly ‘6 John, Director of the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy (CEEP) and
Distinguished Professor of Energy and Climate Policy at the University of Delaware, and Noah, research associate and Ph.D. candidate in the Center for Energy and Environmental Policy at the University of Delaware, Energy as a Social Project: Recovering a Discourse, in Transforming Power: Energy, Environment, and Society in Conflict, pp. 1-8 From climate change to acid rain, contaminated landscapes, mercury pollution, and biodiversity
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or disturbing the goal of endless economic growth and its attendant social relations. CONTINUES 5 PAGES LATER A second mega-energy idea has been advanced since the 1950s—the nuclear
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proposal on social grounds is surely suspect (Byrne and Hoffman, 1996). The 1AC maps a linear path from A to B to C to D, paving over the complex interactions between their dozens of predictions—But THE WHOLE IS MORE THAN THE SUM OF ITS PARTS
Ramalingam et al 2008
Ben, Senior Research Associate at the Overseas Development Institute, and Harry jones at ODI, "Exploring the science of complexity: Ideas and Implications for development and humanitarian efforts" http://www.odi.org.uk/resources/docs/833.pdf RJ 10
Concept 4: Nonlinearity5 ‘... the darkest corner of science is the realm
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necessary to incorporate an acceptance of the inherent levels of uncertainty into planning. These systems of globalized violence and dispossession threaten an emerging apocalypse that demands challenging short term catastrophe focus – visible violence develops from subterranean structures of inequity and is intimately intertwined with power-knowledge formations
Nixon ‘9 Rob, Professor of English at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, “NEOLIBERALISM, SLOW VIOLENCE, AND THE ENVIRONMENTAL PICARESQUE”, MFS Modern Fiction Studies, Volume 55 number 3, Fall 2009, http://sustainabilityparadox.commons.gc.cuny.edu/files/2010/09/Nixon-Neoliberalism2.pdf The picaresque proves uncannily effective at dramatizing another critical dimension to the environmentalism of the
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casualties claimed, as at Bhopal, by the forces of slow violence. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge: As bipartisan Congressional support for immigration reform gains momentum, the ongoing and critical issue
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and this Congress, it has been very difficult to get anything done.” Plan requires Obama’s political capital
Alex Trembath, a Policy Fellow in AEL’s New Energy Leaders Project and a regular contributor to the website, 2/4/11, “Nuclear Power and the Future of Post-Partisan Energy Policy” http://leadenergy.org/2011/02/the-nuclear-option-in-a-post-partisan-approach-on-energy/ Democrats should not give up on their policy goals simply because they no longer enjoy
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power maybe one sector of our economy to benefit from his political leadership. PC’s key
Foley 1/15 Elise is a writer @ Huff Post Politics. “Obama Gears Up For Immigration Reform Push In Second Term,” 2013, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/15/obama-immigration-reform_n_2463388.html
Obama has repeatedly said he will push hard for immigration reform in his second term
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-style arrangement jammed by leadership -- while keeping the president heavily involved. E. Key to hegemony – both hard and soft power
Nye 12/10/12 (Joseph S. Nye, a former US assistant secretary of defense and chairman of the US National Intelligence Council, is University Professor at Harvard University, http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/obama-needs-immigration-reform-to-maintain-america-s-strength-by-joseph-s~-~-nye, CMR)
The United States is a nation of immigrants. Except for a small number of
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long way toward fulfilling his promise to maintain the strength of the US. F. Decline in hegemony causes escalation of multiple global flashpoints for violence—there is no sustainable alternative to American leadership
Kagan 11 (Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and and a senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, “The Price of Power,” 1/24, http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/price-power_533696.html?page=3) Today the international situation is also one of high risk. • The terrorists who
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impractical but that it is immoral and contrary to the nation’s true ideals. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
TEXT: The fifty states of the United States should substantially increase funding for private companies and at the Sandia National Laboratory for fusion energy generation CP solves and is real world – empirics prove
Rob Thormeyer, Power Engineering, 7/12/12, “States Meet to Coordinate Energy and Environmental Policies” http://www.power-eng.com/news/2012/07/12/states-meet-to-coordinate-energy-and-environmental-policies.html State and local energy officials, utility commissioners and air regulators met in Washington on
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agencies are leading the way in promoting a clean and reliable energy future." States can effectively fund national labs New Mexico Development Alliance, 2012, “BIOTECHNOLOGY” http://www.nmsitesearch.com/top-business-sectors/biotechnology
Activites in the biotechnology and biomedical industries include the manufacturing of devices and supplies,
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bioscience-based companies participate in the New Mexico Biotechnology and Biomedical Association. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge: - Framing question – new reactors like fusion haven’t been tested, so the empirically proven case arguments we read should be preferred over their aff evidence
Union of Concerned Scientists, Lisbetch Gronlund – co-director and senior scientist of the UCS Global Security Program, David Lochbaum – director of nuclear safety project in UCS Global Security Program, Edwin Lyman – senior staff scientist in USC Global Security Program, December 2007, “Nuclear power iN a warmiNg world” http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/nuclear_power/nuclear-power-in-a-warming-world.pdf
Some argue that new reactor designs on the ¶ drawing board will provide much greater
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the next generation ¶ of reactors to sabotage is not being fully exploited. 2. Notice that all of their cards calling for more funding are from fusion scientists – you should discount these – funding is overly emphasized in the research community – but declines are not as detrimental as they’d have you believe
Sarewitz 3 – MAYBE THEIR AUTHOR (Daniel, Professor of Science and Society and Co-Director of the Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes – Arizona State University, "Does Science Policy Exist, and If So, Does it Matter?: Some Observations on the U.S. R%26D Budget", Discussion Paper for Earth Institute Science, Technology, and Global Development Seminar, 4-8, http://www.cspo.org/documents/budget_seminar.pdf) ¶ It is not only axiomatic but also true that federal science policy is largely
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, ¶ to adopt a Kuhnian perspective, this is normal science policy. Extremely long timeframe for any production- their ev is suspect
Physics Central 12 – published by the American Physical Society, which represents some 48,000 physicists (03/21, “Fusion Finally on the Horizon?” http://physicsbuzz.physicscentral.com/2012/03/fussion-finally-on-horizon.html) Because we can't rely on gravity to squeeze fusion fuel together down here on Earth
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indicating that the field is making anti-progress towards its lofty goal.) Just a few weeks ago, a bunch of fusion scientists used South Korean money
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still 20 years away. At this rate, it will always be. Demonstration of fusion would spark pure fusion weaponization and arms racing
Makhijani 98 Arjun, Ph.D. and Pres. Inst. for Energy and Environmental Research, and Hisham Zerriffi, Project Scientist, 7-15, “Dangerous Thermonuclear Quest: The Potential of Explosive Fusion Research for the Development of Pure Fusion Weapons,” IEER, http://ieer.org/resource/reports/dangerous-thermonuclear-quest/
In the long term, facilities such as the National Ignition Facility and MTF facilities
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quest for explosive ignition is now, before its scientific feasibility is established.
Nuclear war
Cohen and Douglass 2 Sam, nuclear weapons analyst and Joe, national security analyst, both members of the Los Alamos Tactical Nuclear Weapons panel, 3-11, “Nuclear Threat That Deesn’t Exist – Or Does It?” Rense, http://rense.com/general35/doex.htm
The comparison of a pure-fusion warhead with a normal fission warhead is even
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will be seen, will do their best to deny their possible existence. OPEC will flood the market in response to the plan
Kole 7, William, AP Writer “Despite Rising Prices, OPEC Appears to be in No Rush to Raise its Output Targets,” 9/8, http://nwitimes.com/articles/2007/09/08/business/business/doc7e79bb33cb7ec6f28625734f00723bfd.txt
If you remember what happened in the 1970's (look it up if you don't
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a bunch of junkies on drugs while making as much money as possible. Low oil prices hurt nuclear competitiveness
WSJ, February 26, 2010
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703787304575075413484405770.html?mod=googlenews_wsj;http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Exelon_Energy_Corp_(EXC)#_note-9
Falling Fossil Fuel Prices Make Nuclear Uncompetitive¶ In the first quarter of 2009,
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right now that wishes to push forward in nuclear energy. 19 |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
No risk of us Russia war
Baranets 7 – retired Colonel. Victor DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia), “Will America Fight Russia?”, July 20, 2007, lexis
FYI:¶ - Major General Alexander Vladimirov, Vice President of the Military Expert Board
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where someone watches from a mountaintop how the tigers were fighting down below.. Us-russia Relations strong
Ria Novosti 5/10/12 “Russian, U.S. Presidents to Continue ‘Reset’,” http://en.rian.ru/russia/20120510/173351119.html
Russian and U.S. presidents Vladimir Putin and Barack Obama on Wednesday agreed in their telephone conversation to continue the “reset” in the relations between their countries, the White House said in a statement.
“The two Presidents reiterated their interest in the sustained high-level dialogue that
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-19, G20 Summit in Los Cabos, Mexico,” it said. BIO BIO BIO BIO
No impact to bioterror—The worst case scenario happened – no extinction
Dove 12 Alan Dove, PhD in Microbiology, science journalist and former Adjunct Professor at New York University, “Who’s Afraid of the Big, Bad Bioterrorist?” Jan 24 2012, http://alandove.com/content/2012/01/whos-afraid-of-the-big-bad-bioterrorist/
The second problem is much more serious. Eliminating the toxins, we’re left with
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biodefense industry is a far greater threat to us than any actual bioterrorists. Bioterror doesnt cause mass destruction
O’Neill 4 O’Neill 8/19/2004 Brendan, “Weapons of Minimum Destruction” http://www.spiked-online.com/Articles/0000000CA694.htm David C Rapoport, professor of political science at University of California, Los Angeles
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attacker as to the attacked'. The Tigers have not used WMD since. Status quo preparedness solves bioterror impact
Science Centric 9 (Study finds program has improved health agencies' preparedness for bioterror and disease outbreaks, 25 March 2009, http://www.sciencecentric.com/news/article.php?q=09032505-study-finds-program-has-improved-health-agencies-preparedness-bioterror-disease-outbreaks) A federal program designed to help metropolitan public health agencies prepare to deliver essential medicines
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as well as conducting in-depth interviews with officials from nine regions.
And, vaccines and early warning check
Koblentz 4—Assistant Professor; Deputy Director, Biodefense Program, George Mason. Research Fellow with the Security Studies Program at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Member of the Scientist Working Group on Chemical and Biological Weapons at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation. Former visiting assistant professor in the Security Studies Program at Georgetown University. Doctoral candidate in Political Science, MIT (Gregory, Pathogens as Weapons, International Security 28.3, http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/files/koblentz.pdf) Defensive biological warfare includes measures to prevent, mitigate, and treat the effects of
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and vaccination can reduce the impact of contagious diseases such as smallpox.37 NATO NATO NATO
NATO collapse doesn’t cause war
Conry 95 – foreign policy analyst, Cato (Barbara, The Western European Union As NATO's Successor, http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa-239.html, AG) It is inaccurate to suggest, as NATO partisans often do, that the only
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in the long run to protecting European and, indirectly, American interests. Europe’s rise makes NATO collapse inevitable
Layne, School of Government and Public Service at Texas AandM University, 2008 Christopher, It’s Over, Over There, International Politics 45.3 The conundrum for the US in coming years is whether it should attempt to prevent
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, and the EU's emergence as a potent security actor will render it irrelevant No chance of Balkan escalation or spillover – empirics prove
Ivan Eland, Director of Defense Policy Studies at the CATO Institute, May 3, 1999, http://www.cato.org/cgi-bin/scripts/printtech.cgi/dailys/05-03-99.html In reality, the ostensible humanitarian justification for the war is secondary at best.
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Serbia will stop the Serbs' nationalistic effort to maintain the unity of Serbia. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
Spinoffs take decades
Rothwell, ’97 (Jed Rothwell, Infinite Energy, March-June 1997, “Cold Fusion and the Future,” http://www.infinite-energy.com/iemagazine/issue1314/future.html, Iss. 13-14)CC
Cold fusion spin-off like indoor farming, desalination, and aerospace engines will
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direction only. All jobs will be lost, none will be created. New tech is insufficient and won’t be adopted (Their author)
CCAS 9 – Coalition for the Commercial Application of Superconductors, "Superconductivity: Present and Future Applications", http://www.ccas-web.org/pdf/ccas_brochure_web.pdf-http://www.ccas-web.org/pdf/ccas_brochure_web.pdf Issues and Recommendations¶ In many ways, the electric power industry is at a
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that could be provided or enhanced by innovative grid technologies enabled by HTS. Their Gsponer evidence concludes the military has already accrued the RandD benefits they isolate from ITER
Gsponer Their Evidence 8 (Dr. Andre, Director and Senior Researcher – Independent Scientific Research Institute, “ITER: The International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor and the NuclearWeapons Proliferation Implications of ThermonuclearFusion Energy Systems”, 2-2, http://arxiv.org/pdf/physics/0401110v3.pdf)
WHERE MSUs EVIDENCE STARTS
2.7.2 Military spinoffs¶ of MCF technology¶ In a compilation
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a number¶ of military applications where similar or related properties are important.
WHERE MSUs EVIDENCE ENDS
2.7.3 Examples of spinoff¶ technologies expected from ITER¶ To
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being carried out and seems promising” 6,¶ p.274275. Nuclear terrorism is a joke
Mueller and Stewart 12 John Mueller is Senior Research Scientist at the Mershon Center for International Security Studies and Adjunct Professor in the Department of Political Science, both at Ohio State University, and Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute in Washington, D.C. Mark G. Stewart is Australian Research Council Professorial Fellow and Professor and Director at the Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability at the University of Newcastle in Australia, “The Terrorism Delusion”, International Security, Vol. 37, No. 1 (Summer 2012), pp. 81–110, Chetan In the eleven years since the September 11 attacks, no terrorist has been able
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eventually have committed some serious, if small-scale, damage.16 No impact to terrorism.
Mueller 10 John, Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies at the Mershon Center for International Security Studies and a Professor of Political Science at The Ohio State University, A.B. from the University of Chicago, M.A. and Ph.D. @ UCLA, Atomic Obsession – Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda, Oxford University Press Properly developed and deployed, biological weapons could potentially, if thus far only in
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then effective dispersal could easily be disrupted by unfavorable environmental and meteorological conditions. Nuclear reactor terrorism unlikely – no capability or motive
Ferguson and Potter 4 (Charles, Science-in-Residence – Monterey Institute of International Studies, and William, Professor and Director of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies – Monterey Institute of International Studies, The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism, p. 192-193) Despite these benefits to the attackers, causing a significant radioactive release from a nuclear
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the grasp of a well-organized and well-trained terrorist group. No nuclear terrorism – acquisition impossible – prefer recent evidence
Krepon 9 (Michael, Co-Founder – Henry L. Stimson Center and Diplomat Scholar – University of Virginia, “The Mushroom Cloud That Wasn’t”, Foreign Affairs, May / June, Lexis) At the height of the Cold War, almost no one was bold enough or
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cooperate in preventing worst-case scenarios from occurring -- than ever before. - No risk of an attack on US soil – no group is capable
Carle 7/16/08 - a member of the CIA's Clandestine Service for 23 years
Carle, L. Glenn, “ A member of the CIA's Clandestine Service for 23 years , ” The Salt Lake Tribune, July 16, 2008, http://www.sltrib.com/opinion/ci_9901142
Sen. John McCain has repeatedly characterized the threat of "radical Islamic extremism"
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for the small, lethal, disjointed and miserable opponents that they are.
2. Public anxiety prevents retaliation
Huddy et al. 05 – Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY Leonie Huddy, Stanley Feldman (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY), Charles Taber (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY) and Gallya Lahav (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY), “Threat, Anxiety, and Support of Antiterrorism Policies,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 49, No. 3, July 2005, Pp. 593–608 The findings from this study lend further insight into the future trajectory of support for
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balance between a public attuned to future risks and one dominated by anxiety. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
Chicago
Chicago Tribune, 11/30/12, “U.S., state to fund battery research at Argonne” http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2012-11-30/business/ct-biz-1130-argonne-20121130_1_battery-technology-argonne-national-laboratory-energy-storage-research The U.S. Department of Energy formally announced its plans for The Joint
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have the opportunity to change the world. It's transformational," Quinn said. Empirically states have funded national labs
US PVMC, 2008, “The DOE SunShot Initiative” http://www.uspvmc.org/about_PVMC_sunshot.html By engaging multiple companies across the PV supply chain, the SunShot Advanced Manufacturing Partnerships
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, and are expected to achieve financial self-sufficiency after five years. States, private companies
TEEIC, Governmental Tribal Energy and Environmental Information, No Date, “Carbon Sequestration: Government Programs and Tribal Incentives, “http:teeic.anl.gov/er/carbon/incentive/index.cfm” The Big Sky Carbon Sequestration Partnership (BSCSP) encompasses tribal lands in the Montana
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bioscience-based companies participate in the New Mexico Biotechnology and Biomedical Association. DOE EPSCoR program empirically funds fusion research at national labs, including STEM students – states can contribute funds
Gary C. April, PhD, Associate Director Alabama DOE EPSCoR, 2005, “Alabama DOE EPSCoR,” http://www.netl.doe.gov/publications/proceedings/05/EPSCoR/pdf/abstracts/powell-abstract.pdf
The Alabama DOE EPSCoR Program is made up of three integrated components including Program Coordination
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, Oak Ridge, Los Alamos, and the Pacific Northwest National Laboratories. EPSCoR allows state collaboration with national labs on fusion and solves all their “STEM students key” arguments
DOE, 3-16-2011, “Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research,” EPSCoR, http://science.energy.gov/bes/epscor/about/
Overview: DOE EPSCoR is located in the Office of Science and assists the Office
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engineering resources component is closely coupled with the research part of the program. States can empirically fund energy research at national labs
Kay Corditz, 3-15-2010, “State Grant to Fund Advanced Battery Materials Partnership,” Brookhaven National Lab, http://www.bnl.gov/newsroom/news.php?a=21663
Funded by a $550,000 grant from the New York State Energy Research
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explore new electrode materials, like lithium titanate, that meet those criteria.”
DOE EPSCoR allows states to work with national labs
Timothy Fitzsimmons, PhD, 2012, “Department of Energy,” EPSCoR/IDEA Foundation, http://www.epscorideafoundation.org/about/agency/doe/
The Department of Energy’s Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (DOE EPSCoR) was
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the states to contribute to the current and future energy-related needs.
State grants can fund national lab projects
John Brandon, 10-5-2012, “Could EV car batteries be made from salt water?” Fox News, http://www.foxnews.com/leisure/2012/10/05/could-ev-car-batteries-be-made-from-salt-water/
A California company is hoping to supply 20% of the world’s lithium by 2020
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Argonne National Laboratory in Chicago adapted it to be used with geothermal fluids.
States can fund National Labs
YubaNet, 2-3-2012, “Local Water Suppliers collaborate with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory,” http://yubanet.com/regional/Local-Water-Suppliers-collaborate-with-Lawrence-Livermore-National-Laboratory-on-Martis-Valley-Groundwater-Model-and-Management-Plan-Effort.php#.UG-N4U0xByQ
The Truckee Donner Public Utility District (TDPUD), Northstar Community Services District (NSCSD
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to the Desert Research Institute (DRI) by the Bureau of Reclamation.
National labs work in partnership with states on energy research – ORNL proves
Wikipedia, 2012, “Oak Ridge National Laboratory,” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oak_Ridge_National_Laboratory
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is a multiprogram science and technology national laboratory
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solve challenges in energy, advanced materials, manufacturing, security and physics. Funding is the key roadblock to fusion – CP solves
Andrew Holland is a Senior Fellow and Nicholas Cunningham is a Policy Analyst for Energy and Climate at the American Security Project, a non-partisan think tank devoted to studying questions of America's long-term national security, 8/3/2012
http://energy.aol.com/2012/08/03/through-innovation-and-investment-the-u-s-can-lead-in-next-gen/?icid=apb2#page2
We know that fusion works, it is already being done in labs around the
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investment, fusion energy can transform our energy system for the next generation. The only warrant is certainty – but states solve better and the federal government funding kills it
Muro, 12
(Fellow-Brookings Institution, 1/12, “Funding Growth: State Clean Energy Funds Can Help Invent the Future,” http://www.cleanegroup.org/blog/funding-growth-state-clean-energy-funds-can-help-invent-the-future/)
In sum, our new paper proposes a much greater focus in U.S
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funds' transition from project development to industry creation should be nurtured and supported. 2. Education – it’s crucial for policymakers to engage in this key question of agents
Biering 8 – former Executive Fellow in the California Resources Agency (Brian, 23 J. Envtl. L. and Litig. 35, AG)
Federalism issues aside, the
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government to address in its own time. And, policy analysis of state energy policy is critical to the topic because states play a huge role in energy policy
NREL, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 6/30/11, “The Role of State Clean Energy Policies” http://www.nrel.gov/applying_technologies/state_local_activities/state_policy_role.html State policy has been a critical driver in the emergence of clean energy. In
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expected to continue as long as states adopt clean energy goals and targets. 6. Uniformity is real world
Ribstein 95 – law prof, George Mason Larry and Bruce Kobayashi, 66 U. Colo. L. Rev. 947, AG) First, NCCUSL can serve
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performing a model function. States have cash
Milford, 12
(Sr. Fellow-Brookings and President-Clean Energy Group, “Leveraging State Clean Energy Funds for Economic Development,”
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/1/11%20states%20energy%20funds/0111_states_energy_funds) In sum, the need of the hour is for smarter strategies and greater funding
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this turn and are already engaged in some sort of economic development activities. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge:
Even if they can prove individual components necessary for fusion are possible – they can’t do all of the necessary processes at once – incentives can’t change science
Jeff Hect (writer for the New Scientist) October 2, 2012 “World's largest laser misses nuclear fusion deadline “ http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn22325-worlds-largest-laser-misses-nuclear-fusion-deadline.html
Bad news for star power. The world's largest laser has missed a deadline that
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Moses. "Like squeezing on a balloon, something might pop out. US is investing in fusion research now – SNL and LLNL
Sebastian Anthony – Extreme Tech – 10/8/12, Clean, limitless fusion power could arrive sooner than expected, http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/137520-clean-limitless-fusion-power-could-arrive-sooner-than-expected
The first breakthrough comes from Sandia National Laboratories (the same engineers who brought us
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our galleries of the National Ignition Facility and the Princeton Plasma Physics Lab. Extend 1NC Link - Increased alternative energy causes OPEC to flood the market to drop the price of oil
Jareer Elass, Energy Consultant and Editor at James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University, and Amy Myers Jaffe, Wallace S. Wilson Fellow in Energy Studies at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University, September 2010, “The History of U.S. Relations with OPEC: Lessons to Policymakers”
Given the scale up and timing issues, as reflected in Prince Turki's op ed
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growth in oil use in the U.S. market over time. Alternative energy causes a flood
ETS ‘8 (Petro-politics Expert Marcel: Saudis Have Oil But Not Enough; OPEC May Flood Market To Hurt New Techs, 1-28, http://energytechstocks.com/wp/?p=793, 7-3-11, AM)
During a lengthy conversation, Marcel, who is an associate fellow at UK-
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industry, the world keeps asking, “Why should we trust them?” America hooked now—lobbyists and inconsistent funding are ruining progress.
John Podesta, President and CEO of the Center for American Progress and Chair and Counselor of the Center for American Progress Action Fund, 7/14/11, “The Global Clean Energy Race: Ontario's Opportunity ,” http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/07/podesta_canada_speech.html Yet there is much the United States can learn from Ontario as well, for
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the great leader on clean energy, but the great buyer of it. Low oil prices hurt nuclear competitiveness
WSJ, February 26, 2010
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703787304575075413484405770.html?mod=googlenews_wsj;http://www.wikinvest.com/stock/Exelon_Energy_Corp_(EXC)#_note-9
Falling Fossil Fuel Prices Make Nuclear Uncompetitive¶ In the first quarter of 2009,
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right now that wishes to push forward in nuclear energy. 19 A. Russia’s economy is doing well now – historically low unemployment rates prove – but structural reasons make it vulnerable
Mark Adomanis, BA from Harvard and Master’s from Oxford in Russian Studies, 9/21/12, “With Continued Economic Growth, Russia’s Unemployment Rate Hit an All-Time Low in August” http://blogs.forbes.com/markadomanis/ As Russia’s economy has managed to chug along with
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countries with growing economies and very low levels of unemployment don’t typically collapse.
B. Low prices hurt Russian economy
VOA News, 6/11/12, “Falling Oil Prices Prompt Russian Economic Fears,” http://www.voanews.com/content/falling-oil-prices-prompt-russian-economic-fears/1206097.html
Khanty-Mansiysk in Siberia - home to around 70 percent of Russia’s developed oil
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short-term, for Putin and the Russian government," he said. C. Nuclear war
Sheldon Filger, Author for the Huffington Post, 2009, “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction” http://www.globaleconomiccrisis.com/blog/archives/356 In Russia, historically, economic health and political stability are intertwined to a degree
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the financial impact of the Global Economic Crisis is its least dangerous consequence. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: NDT | Round: 8 | Opponent: MSU GT | Judge: Lack of immigration reform kills the economy
CNBC, 1/24/13, “How Lack of Immigration Reform Harms Startups, US Economy”
As President Barack Obama begins his second term, small companies and the technology community
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We're hampering one of our fundamental national industries — technology," Salazar said. Turns any short-term investment in the aff
Malone 9/26 Scott is a Reuters writer. “Analysis: Corporate America sweats as U.S. nears fiscal cliff,” 2012, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/27/us-usa-economy-fiscalcliff-idUSBRE88P1PX20120927
Top U.S. executives have less confidence in the business outlook now than
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funding cuts. But any resulting slowdown could send shockwaves across the economy. Immigration will pass – momentum, bipartisan consensus, close to a vote, and political capital investment
Latinos Post 3-28 (“Immigration Reform 2013 News: Obama Says He Expects Congress to Have Immigration Bill Ready By April “, http://www.latinospost.com/articles/15446/20130328/immigration-reform-2013-news-obama-expects-congress-bill-ready-april.htm)
Continuing his recent push to have Washington pass comprehensive immigration reform into law, President
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to make immigration overhaul a priority after years of delays on Capitol Hill. Passing now because of elections concerns but path to citizenship can derail
NYT, 3/19/13, “G.O.P. Opposition to Immigration Law Is Falling Away” http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/20/us/politics/gop-opposition-to-immigration-law-is-falling-away.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0 WASHINGTON — Republican opposition to legalizing the status of millions of illegal immigrants is crumbling
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of amnesty that would simply encourage more people to cross the border illegally. CIR Will pass but Obama needs to court democrats and republicans
CT Post 3-28 (“Immigration reform gaining support in Congress”, http://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Immigration-reform-gaining-support-in-Congress-4393187.php)
WASHINGTON -- A Republican Party in desperate search for relevance to Latino voters. An
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predict the Senate will muster the votes necessary to pass a reform bill. All energy policy is massively partisan
Nathanael Baker, managing editor of EnergyBoom and has provided research on the issues of renewable energy, sustainability, and climate change to the New York Times and The Economist and has performed research for the British Columbia Provincial Government, 1/24/12, “STATE OF THE UNION 2012: WILL CLEAN ENERGY SLIP INTO THE SHADOWS?” http://www.energyboom.com/policy/state-union-2012-will-clean-energy-slip-shadows There are two prevailing views regarding the energy security problem. One, produce more
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growth in the future by becoming the leader in new energy technology development. Plan drains PC
Whatley 10/30 Michael is the executive VP of the Consumer Energy Alliance. “Energy in the Next Four (Political) Years,” 2012, http://rigzone.com/iphone/article.asp?a_id=121729
Should Republicans hold the House, and Democrats hold the Senate, it will make
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in the federal offshore and public lands for oil and natural gas development. Even if nuclear is popular, funding it isn’t
Politico, 12/29/10, “Can the tea party go nuclear?” http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1210/46730.html Nuclear power is where energy independence meets Big Government – the industry depends on subsidies
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National Taxpayers Union have urged Congress to drop additional loan-guarantee funds. Even if nuclear is popular, it will get caught up in the broader energy funding debate
Gabriel Nelson, EandE Reporter, 9/24/12, “DOE funding for small reactors languishes as parties clash on debt” http://www.eenews.net/public/Greenwire/2012/09/24/3 That the grants haven't been given out during a taut campaign season, even as
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can't stand here and tell you that I know how to do that." PC is effective- builds GOP support
Washington Post 3/23/2013 (White House’s outreach is yielding modest benefits, lawmakers say, http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/white-houses-outreach-is-yielding-modest-benefits-lawmakers-say/2013/03/23/676dad42-924c-11e2-bdea-e32ad90da239_story.html)
Before departing for Israel last Tuesday, for example, Obama called Republican Sens.
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occasion. “I sort of see the CR as a confidence builder.” PC is key and zero sum---best scholarship proves
Matthew N. Beckmann and Vimal Kumar 11, Profs Department of Political Science, @ University of California Irvine "How Presidents Push, When Presidents Win" Journal of Theoretical Politics 2011 23: 3 SAGE
Before developing presidents’ lobbying options for building winning coalitions on Capitol Hill, it is
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is to explicate those margins and show how presidents may systematically influence them. Energy policies overload the agenda.
Mann 9 Senior Fellow in Governance Studies at Brookings
(Thomas E., “From Campaigning to Governing: Politics and Policymaking in the New Obama Administration”) New presidents who get off to a good start almost always have agenda control.
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bill contained very generous allocations for health technology, renewable energy and education. Replenishment takes too long.
Lashof 10 Director of the Climate Center at NRDC
(Dan, “Coulda, Shoulda, Woulda: Lessons from Senate Climate Fail”, http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/dlashof/coulda_shoulda_woulda_lessons.html) Lesson 2: Political capital is not necessarily a renewable resource.¶ Perhaps the most
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political capital in time to help push climate legislation across the finish line. It takes a long-time to rebuild capital – a re-growth wouldn’t be in time to impact immediate agenda items
Tom Schaller, Five Thirty Eight.com, 8/18/09, http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/08/is-obama-spending-his-political-capital.html
Obama is investing now with an eye toward medium- and long-range returns
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his capital reserves will slowly rise back to pre-Summer '09 levels. This assumes internal actions GOCO does – the plan text mandates government increase funding which means the plan has to go through congress because only congress can INCREASE funding Obama will push the plan---empirically proven
States News Service 10 “OBAMA PUTS ADMINISTRATION MUSCLE BEHIND CLIMATE AND ENERGY BILL IN MEETING WITH SENATORS,” June 29, Lexis
President Obamas call for Congress to pass comprehensive climate and energy legislation that includes a
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long-term path toward clean energy means putting a cap on carbon. Obama would have to push the plan for it to pass
Izadi 8/29 Elahe is a writer at the National Journal. “Former Sen. Trent Lott, Ex-Rep. Jim Davis Bemoan Partisanship on Energy Issues,” 2012, http://www.nationaljournal.com/2012-election/former-members-bemoan-partisanship-on-energy-issues-20120829
In a climate where everything from transportation issues to the farm bill have gotten caught
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Congress is gridlocked because of who is there.… The middle is gone.” Obama gets blamed for all federal government actions
Nicholas and Hook 10 Peter and Janet, Staff Writers---LA Times, “Obama the Velcro president”, LA Times, 7-30, http://articles.latimes.com/2010/jul/30/nation/la-na-velcro-presidency-20100730/3
If Ronald Reagan was the classic Teflon president, Barack Obama is made of Velcro
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be late in the game to downsize either the president or his agenda. Issues only cost capital once they reach the finish line.
Drum, 3/10/2010 (Kevin – political blogger for Mother Jones, Immigration coming off the back burner?, Mother Jones, p. http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/immigration-coming-back-burner)
Not to pick on Ezra or anything, but this attitude betrays a surprisingly common
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forefront of people's minds." Maybe not. But they will be soon. Obama won’t get involved in gun control and it won’t pass. This card assumes their thumpers.
Chris Stirewalt, digital politics editor for Fox News, 3/25/13, “Gun Laws Highlight Deepening Democratic Disarray,” http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/03/25/gun-laws-highlight-deepening-democratic-disarray/#ixzz2OtaBnt8X President Obama is heading back out on the campaign trail, this time in a
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sets off concerns about the registry being the basis for further future restrictions. E. Immigration reform expands skilled labor—spurs relations and economic growth in China and India.
LA Times 11/9/12 Other countries eagerly await U.S. immigration reform, http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/11/us-immigration-reform-eagerly-awaited-by-source-countries.html "Comprehensive immigration reform will see expansion of skilled labor visas," predicted B.
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see the immigration opportunity as a bigger plus than not," he said.
F. US/India relations averts South Asian nuclear war.
Schaffer, Spring 2002 (Teresita – Director of the South Asia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Security, Washington Quarterly, p. Lexis)
Washington's increased interest in India since the late 1990s reflects India's economic expansion and position
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people out of poverty depends critically on good relations with the United States. Immigration reform is key to food security
Fitz 12 (Marshall Fitz is the Director of Immigration Policy at the Center for American Progress, Time to Legalize Our 11 Million Undocumented Immigrants, November 14th, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/immigration/report/2012/11/14/44885/time-to-legalize-our-11-million-undocumented-immigrants/) Nowhere is the tension between immigrant labor and the economy more obvious than in agriculture
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destructive path that Georgia, Alabama, Arizona, and others have pursued.
Food shortages lead to extinction.
Brown, founder of the Worldwatch Institute and the Earth Policy Institute, ‘9
Lester, “Can Food Shortages Bring Down Civilization?” Scientific American, May
The biggest threat to global stability is the potential for food crises in poor countries
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states disintegrate, their fall will threaten the stability of global civilization itself. |
