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PROLIF CP
The United States Federal Government should provide full funding for an international fuel bank, which will be enforced by the IAEA; the United States federal government should also fund and implement the Reliable Replacement Warhead program. The Department of Defense should end drone strikes.
An International Fuel Bank solves prolif
Cirincione and Grotto 7 (Joseph Cirincione, Senior Fellow and Director for Nuclear Policy at the Center for American Progress And Andrew Grotto, Senior National Security Analyst at the Center for American Progress, “Contain and Engage” Center for American Progress, March 2007, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2007/02/pdf/iran_report.pdf)
The United States and its partners, as noted above, should support the Nuclear
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may also serve as an added inducement for Iran to forego uranium enrichment.
It makes deterrence credible
Jon Kyl, Chairman of the GOP Policy Committee “Maintaining Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century” Republican Policy Committee. June 16, 2005. PDF File accessed online 9/7/09 at page: http://www.nuclearfiles.org/menu/key-issues/nuclear-weapons/issues/policies/Jun16NuclearMG.pdf
The purpose of the Reliable Replacement Warhead (RRW) program is to demonstrate the
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employ technological advances in materials and design not available during the Cold War.
ELECTIONS DA
Uniqueness and Internal Link- Obama will win now but the election is extremely close- comparative studies and most recent polls also prove approval ratings key to the election.
Bernstein, 9/28/2012, (Jonathan, “Obama is on track to win, but backers shouldn’t get overconfident. Here’s why.” Washington Post Blog. Web, Acc 9/28/2012, http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/post/obama-is-on-track-to-win-but-dont-get-overconfident-heres-why/2012/09/28/5ed65f4c-09a0-11e2-9eea-333857f6a7bd_blog.html)
One way of gaming out what is happening in this election is to
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short: Obama is on track to win, but don’t get overconfident.
Plan drives a wedge into Obama’s base—they’re key to re-election
Mick 6/19/10 [Jason Daily Tech, Obama Fights For Nuclear, Environmentalists Label Him a Shill http://www.dailytech.com/Obama+Fights+For+Nuclear+Environmentalists+Label+Him+a+Shill/article18781.htm]
Despite these small victories, President Obama's nuclear vision faces many impending obstacles. Despite
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is among the many factors that will already make President Obama's presidency noteworthy.
Romney will label China a currency manipulator-that causes a trade war
Shobert, 12 [Benjamin A., Managing Director of Rubicon Strategy Group, also author of upcoming book Blame China, “Romney lays ground for China trade war,” http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China_Business/NB22Cb01.html]
Part of what Romney wrote aligns with his early September 2011 economic plan, where
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political one, leaving many in middle America eager for someone to blame.
US-China trade war escalates to conflict and collapses global trade
Droke 10 (Clif, Editor – Momentum Strategies Report, “America and the Next Major War’, Green Faucet, 3-29, http://www.greenfaucet.com/technical-analysis/america-and-the-next-major-war/79314)
In the current phase of relative peace and stability we now enjoy, many are
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hurt will surely retaliate and the entire world will suffer," writes Barker.
US-China war goes nuclear
Johnson 1 (Chalmers, President – Japan Policy Research Institute, “Time to Bring the Troops Home”, The Nation, 4-26, http://ieas.berkeley.edu/cks/k12/girling_troops.doc)
In East Asia, the United States maintains massive and expensive military forces poised to
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aggressor. More seriously, it could easily escalate into a nuclear holocaust.
Collapse of trade causes extinction
Pazner 8 (Michael J., Faculty – New York Institute of Finance, Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse, p. 137-138)
The rise in isolationism and protectionism will bring about ever more heated arguments and dangerous
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between Muslims and Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.
RACE K
White Supremacy shapes the way we view the world and justifies racial hegemony
El Affendi, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for the Study of Democracy, ’05
(Abdelwahab EI-Affendi 4 is a Senior Research Fe-llow at the
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the 21st Century”. Edited by David Held and Mathias Koenig-Archibugi.)
It has been argued that the thesis of "clash of civilizations" is a
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with civilization and a lot to do with barharism in its racist manifestations.
Hegemony is UNSUSTAINABLE and only serves to JUSTIFY domestic racism by keeping the oppressed at the brink of starvation.
MARSHALL Research Assc with the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG) 2k10
Andrew Gavin-currently studying Political Economy and History @ Simon Fraser University; War, Racism and the Empire of Poverty: When Empire Hits Home, Part 1; GLOBAL RESEARCH, March 22;
www.globalresearch.ca/PrintArticle.php?articleld=18263
Thus, the American Empire is in decline, spending itself into utter debt and
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the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory
Racism must be rejected in EVERY INSTANCE without surcease. It justifies atrocities, creates another and is truly the CAPITAL SIN.
MEMMI Professor Emeritus of Sociology @ Unv. Of Paris 2000
Albert-; RACISM, translated by Steve Martinot, pp.163-165
The struggle against racism will be long, difficult, without intermission, without remission
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commandments. Such unanimity in the safeguarding of the other suggests the real utility
of such sentiments. All things considered, we have an interest in banishing injustice
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. True, it is a wager, but the stakes are irresistible.
NO NUCLEAR RENAISSANCE
The Renaissance was always doomed; Fukushima secured that fate.
Thomas 6/2012 What will the Fukushima disaster change?
[Steve, Energy Policy Journal: Volume 45, Public Services International Research Unit (PSIRU), Business School, University of Greenwich http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421512001140]
Nuclear power has been written off many times since Three Mile Island yet, despite
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the Nuclear Renaissance, a trend that was probably doomed even before Fukushima.
There is no impending nuclear era – statistical analysis of all relevant factors proves.
Guidolin and Guseo May 22nd, 2012
[Mariangela and Renato, in Technological Forecasting and Social Change, article: A nuclear power renaissance? – Department of Statistical Sciences, University of Padua, Padua Italy http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162512001448]
The recent events in Japan, at Fukushima, dramatically drawn attention to the high
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at world and regional levels do not show a growing trend for nuclearpower.
Nuclear power is impractical and unnecessary – the renaissance was over before it started.
Schneider et. al April 2011, The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2010-2011 Nuclear Power in a Post-Fukushima World
[Mycle Schneider, Independent Consultant Mycle Schneider Consulting, Antony Froggatt Independent London Consultant, Steve Thomas Professor for Energy Policy Greenwhich University http://www.worldwatch.org/system/files/pdf/WorldNuclearIndustryStatusReport2011_%20FINAL.pdf]
The facts documented in this report make crystal clear that long before Fukushima, nuclear
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clear the first two hurdles: competitiveness and need. End of story.
Prolif
History proves nuclear acquisition will be slow and result in deterrence, making war less likely.
Bennett 05 (Drake, Boston Globe, “Give nukes a chance”, http://www.boston.com/news/globe/ideas/articles/2005/03/20/give_nukes_a_chance?pg=full)
KENNETH N. WALTZ, adjunct professor of political science at Columbia University, doesn't
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gradual spread of nuclear weapons is more to be welcomed than feared.''
Proliferation will be slow.
Kenneth Waltz 03, Professor of Poly Sci at Berkley, 2003 [“The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed”]
What will the spread of nuclear weapons do to the world? I say “
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the United States works with some effect to keep countries from doing that.
Accidents won’t happen and don’t escalate
John Mueller 98, Professor of Political Science at the UNC-Chapel Hill, “The Escalating Irrelevance of Nuclear Weapons,” The Absolute Weapon Revisited, ed. Paul, Harknett, and Wirtz, 1998, p. 86-87
At the time, we had all that hysteria about accidents that led to such
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war—indeed, wars do not seem to come about by accident.
Deterrence prevents accidental nuclear war
Kenneth Waltz 03, Professor of Poly Sci at Berkley, 2003 [“The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed”]
Deterrence is also a considerable guarantee against accidents, since it causes countries to take
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the opposite effect. What is not controllable is too dangerous to bear.
ENERGY SECURITY
Scarcity doesn’t cause conflict – no evidence otherwise
Salehyan 07 assistant professor of political science at the University of North Texas [Idean Salehyan, “The New Myth About Climate Change”, Foreign Policy, August 2007, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3922]
First, aside from a few anecdotes, there is little systematic empirical evidence that
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there is much more to armed conflict than resource scarcity and natural disasters.
The economy is resilient – It overcame worse downturn events, and it’s empirically proven.
Behravesh 06 -Chief Economist @ Newsweek- ["The Great Shock Absorber"]
Jan. 16, 2006 issue - The U.S. and global economies
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London bombings would probably have an even smaller impact on overall GDP growth.
HEG
Hegemonic decline is inevitable – multiple reasons.
Layne 12 [Christopher Layne is professor and Robert M. Gates Chair in National Security at Texas A & M, January 27, 2012 (The National Interest, “The Almost Triumph of Offshore Balancing,” http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/almost-triumph-offshore-balancing-6405)]
Although cloaked in the reassuring boilerplate about American military preeminence and global leadership, in
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during the next two decades will be its own decline and China’s rise.
Hegemony elevates security to a transcendental ideal—it creates a moral framework for violence that requires the elimination of all that is different or unpredictable.
Der Derian 3 (James, Associate Professor of Political Science at University of Massachusetts Amherst, “Decoding The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, boundary, 2 30.3, 19-27)
From President Bush's opening lines of The National Security Strategy of the United States of
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States. Balance of power is global suzerainty, and war is peace.
Continued American jockeying in Asia will inevitably produce US-China war – only retrenchment and accommodation solves.
Layne 4/26 (12, Christopher, professor at Texas A & M School of Government and Public Service, The Atlantic, “The End of Pax Americana: How Western Decline Became Inevitable,” http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/04/the-end-of-pax-americana-how-western-decline-became-inevitable/256388/) NYan
Beyond the U.S. financial challenge, the world is percolating with emerging
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, the United States must appear as the unapproachable, globally sprawling giant.
That causes extinction.
Johnson 1 (Chalmers, President – Japan Policy Research Institute, “Time to Bring the Troops Home”, The Nation, 4-26, http://ieas.berkeley.edu/cks/k12/girling_troops.doc)
In East Asia, the United States maintains massive and expensive military forces poised to
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aggressor. More seriously, it could easily escalate into a nuclear holocaust.
Hegemony causes blowback and terrorism – multiple studies prove.
Layne 9 (Christopher, Associate Professor in the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University and Research Fellow with the Center on Peace and Liberty at The Independent Institute, literary and national editor of the Atlantic, Review of International Studies (2009), 5/25/9, “America’s Middle East grand strategy after Iraq: the moment for offshore balancing has arrived”, Cambridge Journals,)
Terrorist organisations like Al-Qaeda are non-state actors, and as such
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. Instead of solving this problem, staying in Iraq will exacerbate it.
The impact is extinction.
Sid-Ahmed 4 – Al-Ahram political analyst (Mohamed, “Extinction!,” Al Ahram Weekly, No. 705, August/September 1, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm)
What would be the consequences of a nuclear attack by terrorists? Even if it
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a different type of world order is imperative if humankind is to survive.
But the still more critical scenario is if the attack succeeds. This could lead to a third world war, from which no one will emerge victorious. Unlike a conventional war which ends when one side triumphs over another, this war will be without winners and losers. When nuclear pollution infects the whole planet, we will all be losers.
Status quo retrenchment solves, but any additional attempts at grasping for hegemony cause war.
Quinn 11 – Adam, Lecturer in International Studies. Adam Quinn, University of Birmingham (July 1, 2011, “The Art of Declining Politely,” International Affairs Volume 87, Issue 4)
As noted in the opening passages of this article, the narratives of America’s decline
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seems it is fortunate enough to have a president who fits the bill.
Best data concludes hegemony doesn’t solve war
Fettweis 11 (Christopher J. Fettweis, Department of Political Science, Tulane University, 9/26/11, Free Riding or Restraint? Examining European Grand Strategy, Comparative Strategy, 30:316–332, http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/01495933.2011.605020)
Strategy Based on Faith, Not Evidence
It is perhaps worth noting that there is no evidence to support a direct relationship
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, one would not have expected an increase in global instability and violence.
The verdict from the past two decades is fairly plain: The world grew more
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analysis should be necessary to reach the conclusion that the two are unrelated.
2NC POLITICS
U.S.-Chinese relations are critical to global environmental protection
Boxer 97 (Baruch, Prof Geography and Environmental Science, Rutgers U., Christian Science Monitor, 7-9, Lexis)
Political tensions between the United States and China have diverted attention away from the progress
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task can set a shining example for other countries as the millennium dawns.
Events can change the trajectory of the election – its still a toss up
Dupont, 9/27/12
Pete, Wall Street Journal, “The Election Isn't Over”, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443916104578022620555989036.html, BJM
In spite of what some of the pundits are saying, this election is not
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that the race is over are either partisan or foolish, or both.
Race isn’t over – too close to call – things can change direction
Calabresi, 9/19/12
Massimo, Time, “Romney’s Campaign Is Far from Dead”, http://swampland.time.com/2012/09/19/romney-and-the-video-controversy-his-campaign-is-far-from-over/, BJM
But the election is still weeks away, the debates are yet to come, and the distance separating the two candidates in the polls just isn’t that big. Saying Obama has the edge and that Romney is in trouble seems credible; declaring the race over does not.
Obama winning swing states – newest polling
Daily Kos, 9/27/12
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/27/1137316/-New-Swing-State-Polls-VA-NH-NV-NC-CO-Is-NC-Worth-It-For-Obama, BJM
We have five new swing state polls out today, all showing Obama continuing to
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%, which seems about right and in line with all the other polls.
Obama leading Florida/Ohio – deficit minded independents can still win election to Romney
Rutenberg & Zeleny, 9/26/12
Jim & Jeff, New York Times, “Polls Show Obama Is Widening His Lead in Ohio and Florida”, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/26/us/politics/polls-show-obama-widening-lead-in-ohio-and-florida.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all&pagewanted=print, BJM
For weeks, Republicans in Ohio have been watching with worry that the state’s vital
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in Mr. Obama’s presidency, leaving an opening for Mr. Romney.
Obama will win – a consensus of polls and forecasts prove.
Silver, 9/20/2012 (Nate, Sept. 19: A Wild Day in the Polls, but Obama Ends Up Ahead, Five Thirty Eight, New York Times, p. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/20/sept-19-a-wild-day-in-the-polls-but-obama-ends-up-ahead/#h)
There are also going to be some outliers — sometimes because of unavoidable statistical variance
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an 80 percent chance of victory, that he achieved late last week.
) The public won’t give Obama credit
Skelley 12 Geoffrey Skelley, Political Analyst, U.Va. Center for Politics, 5/23, http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/unemployment-update-who-gets-the-credit/
So far, the Obama campaign has run ads promoting the president’s handling of the
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average. In this close election, Obama has little margin for error.
Energy attacks will matter in a close election.
LeVine, 6/13/2012 (Steve – author of The Oil and Glory, How Dirty is Romney Prepared to get to win election, Foreign Policy, p. http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/06/12/how_dirty_is_romney_prepared_to_get_to_win_election)
Yet if the election is as close as the polls suggest, the energy ads could prove a pivotal factor. "Advertising is generally not decisive. Advertising matters at the margins. ... But ask Al Gore if the margin matters," said Ken Goldstein, president of the Campaign Media Analysis Group at Kantar Media. "This is looking like an election where the margin may matter."
Energy key to the election Romney campaign ensures it. April 11
Kingston 12. [John, Director of News @ Platts, focused on energy policy, “US election 2012: if not "all energy, all the time," a lot of energy for sure” The Barrel http://www.platts.com/weblog/oilblog/2012/04/11/election_2012_i.html]
Get ready for the energy election of 2012. Maybe because it was at a
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what is going on...to see who takes the fall for this."
Energy key election issue.
Skorobogatov 12. [Yana, intern @ StateImpact Texas – a collaboration of public radio stations focused on environmental and energy issues coordinated by NPR,“Poll: Consumers favor domestic energy production, natural gas” State Impact April 10 http://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2012/04/10/poll-consumers-favor-domestic-energy-production-natural-gas/]
Americans will likely take their views on energy issues to the voting booth this November, according to a new national poll by The University of Texas at Austin. The survey found that 65 percent of respondents considered energy to be an important presidential issue.