Tournament: Indiana | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Warming: 1AC

Warming is real and human caused – there are multiple factors proving this

ONE, scientific consensus proves fossil fuel use drives warming
Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs

The Working Group One (physical science) part of AR4 was written by 152
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a similar warming trend in the upper troposphere, consistent with model results.

TWO, environmental signs prove fossil fuels are driving it, we’re approaching a tipping point
Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs

According to The Copenhagen Diagnosis (Allison et al. 2009), the most significant
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could mean that some tipping points will be crossed before they are recognized. 

THREE, recent stastical models prove CO2 is entirely responsible
Richard A. Muller, professor of physics at the University of California, Berkeley, and a former MacArthur Foundation fellow, 7/28/12, “The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic”, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-a-climate-change-skeptic.html, mnrs

CALL me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate
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we demonstrate that none of these potentially troublesome effects unduly biased our conclusions.

That risks massive feedback loops that causes the loss of all Earth life
Gwynne Dyer, “Rio+20: How Bad Could It Get?” Very, Very Bad,” HAMILTON SPECTATOR, 6—19—12, p. A19.

The forthcoming United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development in Rio de Janeiro (Rio+
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-dwelling species. This has happened many times in the Earth's history.

Warming disproportionately affects developing countries
Carrington 11 – Head of the environment at The Guardian (Damian, “Map reveals stark divide in who caused climate change and who's being hit”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2011/oct/26/climate-change-developing-country-impacts-risk?CMP=twt_gu, October 26th, 2011, KTOP)

When the world's nations convene in Durban in November in the latest attempt to inch
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storm events may well increase as climate changes takes hold," says Beldon. 

Warming disproportionately affects minorities – the US has an obligation to limit fossil fuel emissions
Rachel Baird, Media Officer, Minority Rights Group International, NGO with consultative status with the United Nations Economic and Social Council, April 08, “The Impact of Climate Change on Minorities and Indigenous Peoples”, http://www.ohchr.org/Documents/Issues/ClimateChange/Submissions/Minority_Rights_Group_International.pdf, mnrs

Climate change is just beginning to be articulated as a human rights issue – rather
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should take place, with a view to obtaining their consent and participation. 

Solvency: 1AC

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase financial incentives for decentralized and residential energy production of solar power. 

The plan solves – increasing access for decentralized solar power is key to a renewable shift
The Institute for Local Self-Reliance 2K8 (John Farrell, Research Associate @ The Institute for Local Self-Reliance, “Concentrating Solar and Decentralized Power: Government Incentives Hinder Local Ownership,” May 2008, The New Rules Project, Online)

Solar concentrators promise a new level of development for clean electric power in the United
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. Reaping these benefits means establishing fair policies for encouraging solar power development.

Decentralized solar disrupts the fossil fuel industry control over energy
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 87-89, mnrs

The representatives of the fossil energy industry have been written out of the script for
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dependency and from the webs spun by the spiders of the fossil economy.

The solar manufacturing process itself disrupts fossil fuel control – it provides a way to opt-out of the system
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 84-86, mnrs

The dynamics of the drive towards business concentration is thought to be the dominant force
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by the national grid, to the point at which it becomes superfluous. 

The solar production chain is clean and feasible
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 74-75, mnrs

In this case, the supply chain begins with the installed solar panel, which
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the detours via the transformers and hightension cabling necessary for fossil fuel energy. 

Solar power is sufficient to solve
Sarah Lozanavoa 08, MBA in Sustainable Management from the Presidio School of Management, Solar Thermal Electricity: Can It Replace Coal, Gas, and Oil? http://cleantechnica.com/2008/03/27/solar-thermal-electricity-can-it-replace-coal-gas-and-oil/

One of the most common arguments against large-scale use of renewable energy is
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to not just produce peak power, but also generate base load electricity.

Using the state is key – anything else cedes to the fossil fuel industry
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 250, mnrs

Which initiatives are capable of side-stepping or overcoming existing structural obstacles in order
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will become indispensable – and then achievable – tomorrow or the day after.

Political change is key to spark a transition
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. xv, mnrs

History provides many examples of technological revolutions that have reshaped the world. None have
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behind. The same process can be seen today in the biotech industry.

We have a good method and epistemology – science and empiricism are the only ways to solve multiple extinction threats
Coyne, 06 – Author and Writer for the Times (Jerry A., “A plea for empiricism”, FOLLIES OF THE WISE, Dissenting essays, 405pp. Emeryville, CA: Shoemaker and Hoard, 1 59376 101 5)

Supernatural forces and events, essential aspects of most religions, play no role in
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politics and religion, we desperately need to heed Crews’s plea for empiricism.

Reinjecting science into policymaking is key to check conservative takeover and climate denialism
Robin McKie, science editor, 2/18/12, “Attacks paid for by big business are 'driving science into a dark era'”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2012/feb/19/science-scepticism-usdomesticpolicy, mnrs

Most scientists, on achieving high office, keep their public remarks to the bland
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they should be guided by lobbyists who appear driven by narrow ideological dogma.

Rejecting science as subjective makes policy deliberation a political game of cooption
Banning, 9 – University of Colorado communication professor, PhD (Marlia Elisabeth, “When Poststructural Theory and Contemporary Politics Collide*The Vexed Case of Global Warming,” Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 2009, pp. 285-304

While academic research practices and the knowledge these produce have not changed substantially60 in the
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political, ’’ the relations of power and antagonism that define public discourse.

A renewables transition is key to solve warming
Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs

Our industrial civilization is at a crossroads. Oil and the other fossil fuel energies
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, govern society, educate our children, and engage in civic life.

Renewables are key to any political transition
Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs

A new economic paradigm  The creation of a renewable energy regime, loaded by buildings
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possibilities that lie ahead and muster the will to get there in time.

Decisionmaking skills learned from debate over energy issues are key to actualizing political change
Hodson, professor of education – Ontario Institute for Studies @ University of Toronto, ‘10 (Derek, “Science Education as a Call to Action,” Canadian Journal of Science, Mathematics and Technology Education, Vol. 10, Issue 3, p. 197-206)
note: SSI = socioscientific issues

The final (fourth) level of sophistication in this issues-based approach is
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justice are kept in the forefront of discussion during the establishment of policy.

Tournament: Indiana | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Solvency

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.

Energy independence and lower oil prices are coming in the status quo

Simone Sebastian, "North America Will Be Energy Independent, Refining Expert Says," FUELFIX, 12--6--12, http://fuelfix.com/blog/2012/12/06/north-america-will-be-energy-independent-refining-expert-says/

North America will reach petroleum independence  ... I think we can do that.”

Opening federal lands for drilling is critical to push the United States past energy independence to energy abundance

Mark P. Mills, senior fellow, Manhattan Institute, "U.S. Can Become an Energy Export Nation," POLITICO, 7--25-12, http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8735#.UOPIkG_Ad8E

Imagine a future in which the  ... as for long-term peace.

Significant oil production would come online quickly

IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/

Further, while there may be  ... a significantly shorter period of time.

Econ

The US economic outlook is grim—unemployment figures are dismal, and we can’t grow our way out without new jobs

Ebenstein 12/29 (Lanny, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, 12/29/12, “The current economic recovery is a fraud” Fox News) http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/12/29/current-economic-recovery-is-fraud/

For those who would see recovery  ... economy than there were in 2008.

Accelerating the oil boom would massively boost job growth and revenue

Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E

The nation stands to gain more  ... and are not punitive or obfuscatory.

No resiliency—we’ve pulled out all the stops—a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression

Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs

The risk of double dip recession  ... no policy effort to counteract it.

US growth is key to global economic recovery

Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

IN THE aftermath of the G ... must certainly help. This crisis began

Economic decline causes war—studies prove

Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4

Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.

And those wars go nuclear

Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=

It’s important that we avoid all  ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale

Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war

Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/

Abundant energy will also promote global  ... are relatively optimistic about their prospects.

HEG

Current US strategy is centered around securing the supply of oil for our allies—this fails
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.

The importance of …….and humanitarian issues.

Energy abundance will shift the US to the center of oil production, which fixes our strategy
Schwark 12 (Sebastian, associate director of Hill-Knowlton strategies, communications Strategist, Energy Specialist, 8/13/12, “e-Ideas (1): Politics and Walter Russell Mead’s Looming Energy Revolution” The Energy Collective) http://theenergycollective.com/sebastian-schwark/102696/e-ideas-1-politics-and-walter-russell-mead-s-looming-energy-revolution

This geopolitical shift will stabilize the ………..than fighting wars in the sands Iraq.

Failed leadership causes extinction—no alternative to hegemony
Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0

For if America falters, the world is ………........ slide into global turmoil.

Heg is sustainable—demographics and relative power ensure dominance
Moises Naim, "Why the United States Will Remain the Strongest Country in the World," FOX NEWS LATINO, 8--9--11,
http://carnegieendowment.org/2011/08/09/why-united-states-will-remain-strongest-country-in-world/4lko

The downgrade crisis, ……………….most powerful country in the world? Yes. 

US will inevitably try to cling to hegemony—it’s only a question of our strategy
Daniel Trombly, “Offshore Balancing – The Neorealist Moment?” Slouching Towards Columbia Blog, 1—21—11, http://slouchingcolumbia.wordpress.com/2011/01/21/offshore-balancing-the-neorealist-moment/, accessed 10-15-11.

On the 20th anniversary of the first Gulf War, ……..likely continue to serve as foils rather than models.