Tournament: Indiana | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Solvency

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.

Energy independence and lower oil prices are coming in the status quo

Simone Sebastian, "North America Will Be Energy Independent, Refining Expert Says," FUELFIX, 12--6--12, http://fuelfix.com/blog/2012/12/06/north-america-will-be-energy-independent-refining-expert-says/

North America will reach petroleum independence  ... I think we can do that.”

Opening federal lands for drilling is critical to push the United States past energy independence to energy abundance

Mark P. Mills, senior fellow, Manhattan Institute, "U.S. Can Become an Energy Export Nation," POLITICO, 7--25-12, http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8735#.UOPIkG_Ad8E

Imagine a future in which the  ... as for long-term peace.

Significant oil production would come online quickly

IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/

Further, while there may be  ... a significantly shorter period of time.

Econ

The US economic outlook is grim—unemployment figures are dismal, and we can’t grow our way out without new jobs

Ebenstein 12/29 (Lanny, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, 12/29/12, “The current economic recovery is a fraud” Fox News) http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/12/29/current-economic-recovery-is-fraud/

For those who would see recovery  ... economy than there were in 2008.

Accelerating the oil boom would massively boost job growth and revenue

Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E

The nation stands to gain more  ... and are not punitive or obfuscatory.

No resiliency—we’ve pulled out all the stops—a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression

Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs

The risk of double dip recession  ... no policy effort to counteract it.

US growth is key to global economic recovery

Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

IN THE aftermath of the G ... must certainly help. This crisis began

Economic decline causes war—studies prove

Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4

Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.

And those wars go nuclear

Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=

It’s important that we avoid all  ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale

Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war

Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/

Abundant energy will also promote global  ... are relatively optimistic about their prospects.

China

Tensions are at an all-time high over access to oil in the South China Sea—miscalculation and conflict are likely

Kleine-Ahlbrandt 12 (Stephanie, Beijing-based China and Northeast Asia project director for the International Crisis Group, 7/30/12, “High Stakes in the South China Sea” The Diplomat) http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2012/07/30/high-stakes-in-the-south-china-sea/

Coverage of the South China Sea  ... escalate the dispute to irreversible levels.

Conflict over the South China Sea causes nuclear war—improved US-China relations over the area are necessary to avert a global catastrophe

Wittner 11 (Lawrence, Ph.D. in History from Columbia, award-winning foreign policy writer and author, 11/28/11, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?” Huntington News) http://www.huntingtonnews.net/14446

While nuclear weapons exist, there  ... be working to encourage these policies.

Plan solves US-China relations and prevents war—by increasing energy abundance worldwide, it eliminates the cause of conflict and reduces nationalism

Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/

On the whole, a world  ... is simply a question of pride.

HEG

Current US strategy is centered around securing the supply of oil for our allies—this fails
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.

The importance of …….and humanitarian issues.

Energy abundance will shift the US to the center of oil production, which fixes our strategy
Schwark 12 (Sebastian, associate director of Hill-Knowlton strategies, communications Strategist, Energy Specialist, 8/13/12, “e-Ideas (1): Politics and Walter Russell Mead’s Looming Energy Revolution” The Energy Collective) http://theenergycollective.com/sebastian-schwark/102696/e-ideas-1-politics-and-walter-russell-mead-s-looming-energy-revolution

This geopolitical shift will stabilize the ………..than fighting wars in the sands Iraq.

Failed leadership causes extinction—no alternative to hegemony
Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0

For if America falters, the world is ………........ slide into global turmoil.

Heg is sustainable—demographics and relative power ensure dominance
Moises Naim, "Why the United States Will Remain the Strongest Country in the World," FOX NEWS LATINO, 8--9--11,
http://carnegieendowment.org/2011/08/09/why-united-states-will-remain-strongest-country-in-world/4lko

The downgrade crisis, ……………….most powerful country in the world? Yes. 

US will inevitably try to cling to hegemony—it’s only a question of our strategy
Daniel Trombly, “Offshore Balancing – The Neorealist Moment?” Slouching Towards Columbia Blog, 1—21—11, http://slouchingcolumbia.wordpress.com/2011/01/21/offshore-balancing-the-neorealist-moment/, accessed 10-15-11.

On the 20th anniversary of the first Gulf War, ……..likely continue to serve as foils rather than models.