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Cites
| # | Date | Entry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/14/2012 | OCS 1ACTournament: UNI | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge: 1AC Contention 1 is Inherency: Obama’s current plans are bad—reverts to pre-Bush levels After oil prices reached new highs [...] make marginal properties subeconomic.[iii] Drilling now but it’s not enough—OCS development is key The MMS reports more than 4 [...] and failing to identify drilling opportunities. 1AC Contention 2 is the economy: Plan is key to economic growth—4 internal links: First, unemployment: The economy added 163,000 [...] cannot grow and create enough jobs. OCS drilling would create millions of new jobs An economic expansion tied to increased [...] secondary jobs outside the coastal regions. Drilling has a multiplier effect that will boost our economy significantly The broadest measure of the incremental [...] just over two percent of GDP. Second, trade deficits: The debate about domestic drilling has [...] reverse the outward flow of capital. Trade deficit reduction is critical to sustained growth This morning’s dismaying report from the [...] And that’s the most optimistic scenario. Third, price volatility: Increasing U.S. [...] services in non-oil industries. Volatility kills the economy—undermines long-term planning, investment The volatile fossil fuel markets have [...] energy technologies and upgrade major infrastructure. Fourth, manufacturing: Both the optimists and the pessimists [...] past the point of no return. Offshore drilling is key to boost the global competitiveness of the manufacturing sector Deepwater drilling provides a significant economic [...] manufacturers’ global competiveness and job creation. Manufacturing is the biggest internal link to the economy Why should those who support limited [...] engine slip away would be disastrous. US growth is key to global economic recovery IN THE aftermath of the G [...] must certainly help. This crisis began Global economic decline causes nuclear war The hardship and turmoil which impacted [...] .S. and the world. Contention 3 is oil: Our energy policy is failing now—we’re increasingly dependent on foreign sources To say that the national energy [...] and the terrorists that they finance. Oil dependence undermines strategic US leadership The importance of oil in the [...] of foreign policy and humanitarian issues. Independently, the plan sends a signal of strength which is key to credibility Modern oil extraction technology is safe [...] critical importance to our nation’s future. Failed leadership causes extinction—no alternative to hegemony For if America falters, the [...] a dangerous slide into global turmoil. Oil dependence kills U.S. leverage over Iran The growing economic power of OPEC [...] toward reducing its demand for oil. Iran is developing nuclear weapons—recent intelligence confirms VIENNA - The U.N [...] its weapons research on multiple fronts. Iran prolif causes extinction If and when Iran gets nuclear [...] nuclear weapons in the first place. Nuclear Iran can’t be deterred—demographic decline means no rational self-interest Goldman: With a hard hand [...] no matter how great the cost. Even if dependency cuts both ways, Middle East leaders think they have more leverage In his 2006 State of the [...] disastrous results for the global economy. Offshore drilling is necessary to curb competition with China over resources The oil spill in the Gulf [...] the 24-hour news cycle. US-China scramble for resources causes war At the risk of stating the [...] growth over the next two decades... Extinction The US estimates that China possesses [...] China puts sovereignty above everything else. 1AC Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on offshore oil drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf. Lifting restrictions solves No New Access in the New [...] Mexico, and off Alaska’s coast. OCS drilling would provide significant growth to combat the recession This paper estimates the net local [...] help them weather the current recession. | |||
| 10/06/2012 | Brazil AdvTournament: KY | Round: 1 | Opponent: UCO | Judge: Green, Justin That’s why …………drilling. This year is key for Petrobras—expansion will allow them to lock in an upward trajectory of production AS 2012 unfolds, ………. top oil suppliers. Brazil’s economy is vulnerable to Dutch disease RIO DE JANEIRO -(Dow Jones)- Brazil's soaring …………over the past two years. Dutch disease has pushed Brazil’s economy to the brink of recession In August 2011………. been magnified. Decreasing the rate of Petrobras’ expansion is the only way to curb Dutch disease Tony Volpon of ………… time to breathe. Continued economic growth is key to Brazil’s leadership and peacekeeping missions China had the ……… specialized in Latin America. Peacekeeping solves nuclear war Experts ……………… increasing number of conflicts. Brazilian leadership key to space The world's sixth ……………. in the late 21st Century. Solves extinction With Apollo astronaut ……… eggs in one basket." Brazilian economic strength is critical to overseas initiatives to eliminate AIDS Brazil has long been ……………. and economically feasible. AIDS causes extinction Brazilian economic decline causes Latin American instability What are the major threats ……… affecting the U.S. stock market. Latin American instability causes terrorism and a nuclear attack on US soil Naturally, where chaos exists, …………….. appropriate counter-measures. US would retaliate—causes extinction This isn’t a remote possibility ………… and preserve the hopes of mankind. | |||
| 10/07/2012 | Kentucky 1AC-Econ, Brazil, OilTournament: Kentucky | Round: 4 | Opponent: MWU MM | Judge: PKennedy
Econ
Federal drilling regulations have the economy on the brink of a sustained recession Morici, 12 (Peter, July 26, 2012, economist and professor at the University of Maryland's Smith School of Business, “The coming economic collapse and what can – and cannot – be done”, http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2012-07-26/news/fl-pmcol-economics-fri0727-20120726_1_wall-street-banks-export-driven-growth-tax-cuts, 8/2/12)
The U.S. economy is teetering on rates much further.
Drilling in the OCS is key to solve the recession—creates jobs growth and boosts federal revenues Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf
This paper estimates the weather the current recession.
US growth is key to global economic recovery Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)
IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, help. This crisis began
Global economic decline causes nuclear war Ockham Research 08 (Ockham Research, Economic Distress and Geopolitical Risks by: Ockham Research, Ockham Research Staff November 18, 2008????Ockham Research Ockham Research is an independent research provider based in Atlanta, Georgia providing security analysis)
The hardship and turmoil which impacted for the U.S. and the world.
Brazil
Moratorium strengthens Brazilian oil giant Petrobras—gives them easier access and resources to expand Bryce 10 (Robert, senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, 8/25/10, “Robert Bryce: Drilling moratorium hurts U.S., helps Brazil” Washington Examiner) http://washingtonexaminer.com/article/36257#.UDLNh92PWSo
That’s why Petrobras – arguably that fully understand the essentiality of offshore drilling.
This year is key for Petrobras—expansion will allow them to lock in an upward trajectory of production Parker 12 (Barry, industry analyst, 1/6/12, “Brazil will continue to dominate offshore” Lloyd’s List) http://www.conconnect.com/Workingpapers/lloydslist2012jan06energypage.pdf
AS 2012 unfolds, Brazil will the world’s top oil suppliers.
Brazil’s economy is vulnerable to Dutch disease Fox Business 11 (8/22/11, “Petrobras CFO: Brazil Close To Catching 'Dutch Disease' – Report” Dow Jones Newswire) http://m.foxbusiness.com/quickPage.html?page=32811andcontent=55435573andpageNum=-1
RIO DE JANEIRO -(Dow Jones)- Brazil's soaring so far in 2011, and it is up more than 20% over the past two years.
Dutch disease has pushed Brazil’s economy to the brink of recession Daremblum 12 (Jaime, Director, Center for Latin American Studies Senior Fellow Hudson Institute, 8/10/12, “The China Temptation” The Hudson Institute) http://www.hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=publication_detailsandid=9187
In August 2011, as the European have suddenly been magnified.
Decreasing the rate of Petrobras’ expansion is the only way to curb Dutch disease The Economist 11 (11/5/11, “Filling up the future”) http://www.economist.com/node/21536570
Tony Volpon of Nomura Securities, an , and giving the rest of the economy time to breathe.
Continued economic growth is key to Brazil’s leadership and peacekeeping missions Bozzo 11 (Albert, senior features editor, 4/25/11, “As Brazil's Economy Grows, So Does Its Geopolitical Ambition” CNBC) http://www.cnbc.com/id/42683728/As_Brazil_s_Economy_Grows_So_Does_Its_Geopolitical_Ambition
China had the Olympic Games, , a former Bush administration official who specialized in Latin America.
Peacekeeping solves nuclear war Dean 95 - Jonathan Dean, Adviser on International Security Issues, Union of Concerned Scientists, and Former Ambassador, East-West Arms Control Negotiations, May 1995 (“A Stronger UN Strengthens America” – The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists) http://www.thebulletin.org/issues/1995/ma95/ma95.dean.html
Experts throughout the world of conflicts.
Brazilian leadership key to space Veronese 12 (Keith, staff writer, 3/9/12, “Could Brazil be the next space superpower?” I09) http://io9.com/5891721/could-brazil-be-the-next-space-superpower
The world's sixth largest the planet's spaceport of choice in the late 21st Century.
Solves extinction Carreau 02 (Mark, Winner – 2006 Space Communicator Award, MA in Journalism – Kansas State University, “Top Experts See Space Study As Key to Human Survival”, The Houston Chronicle, 10-19, Lexis)
With Apollo astronaut John Young not place all of our eggs in one basket."
Brazilian economic strength is critical to overseas initiatives to eliminate AIDS Bliss 10 (Katherine, director of the CSIS Project on Global Water Policy and deputy director and senior fellow with the CSIS Global Health Policy Center, November 2010, “Health Policies: Brazil's approach to global health within foreign policy and development cooperation initiatives” CSIS) http://csis.org/files/publication/101110_Bliss_KeyPlayers_WEB.pdf
Brazil has long been an influential palatable and economically feasible.
AIDS causes extinction Maithu 2k - Mutuma Mathiu, Africa News, 2k, July 15, 2000,
Every age has its killer. But race was so hopelessly in jeopardy.
Brazilian economic decline causes Latin American instability Schulz 2k (Donald E. Schulz is Chairman of the Political Science Department at Cleveland State University and he was Research Professor of National Security Policy at the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, “THE UNITED STATES AND LATIN AMERICA: SHAPING AN ELUSIVE FUTURE”, 3/00, http://209.85.141.104/search?q=cache:jxrChqjDPasJ:www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub31.pdf)
What are the major threats the U.S. stock market.
Latin American instability causes terrorism and a nuclear attack on US soil Fleischman 10 (Luis is Senior Advisor for the Menges Hemispheric Security Project at the Center for Security Policy in Washington, D.C. and an adjunct professor of Sociology and Political Science at Florida Atlantic University, Harriet Wilkes Honors College. “The Importance of Latin America to U.S. National Security Policy”, http://www.thecuttingedgenews.com/index.php?article=11901)
Naturally, where chaos exists, and take this threat seriously and pursue the appropriate counter-measures.
US would retaliate—causes extinction Michael Hammerschlag, 11/23/2004. (Michael Hammerschlag—journalist who’s written for: Seattle Times; Providence Journal; Columbia Journalism Review; Hawaii Advertiser; Capital Times; Media Channel; and Moscow News; Tribune; Times; and The Guardian. He's been a TV reporter, foreign correspondent, and produced numerous documentaries) “COULD AMERICA GO BAD?” Michael Columnized at: Op-Ed News, USA Editorial, Tokyo Hello, North American Media, Chinese American News, South American Business Daily, Saudi Post, Hiroshima Post, Scoop, Liberia Sport, World Economist, Turkmen Post, Tunesia Cup, World News Network.
This isn’t a remote possibility or d social evolution would prevent their descent and preserve the hopes of mankind.
Oil
Contention 3 is oil:
Our energy policy is failing now—we’re increasingly dependent on foreign sources Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160
To say that the national of rogue regimes and the terrorists that they finance.
Oil dependence undermines strategic US leadership Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.
The importance of oil in the U.S humanitarian issues.
Independently, the plan sends a signal of strength which is key to credibility Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160
Modern oil extraction technology our nation’s future.
Failed leadership causes extinction—no alternative to hegemony Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0
For if America falters, the world is -- or start bracing itself for a dangerous slide into global turmoil.
Offshore drilling is necessary to curb competition with China over resources DiMicco and Pickens 10 (Dan DiMicco is chairman and chief executive officer of Nucor Corp. T. Boone Pickens is chief executive officer of BP Capital. 7/21/10, “No need to end offshore drilling” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39977.html
The oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico has and driven by the 24-hour news cycle.
US-China scramble for resources causes war Gaffney 07 - Frank Gaffney, President and CEO, Center for Security Policy, Testimony before the House Select Energy Independence and Global Warming Committee, CQ CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY, 7—12—07, lexis.
At the risk of stating the obvious, 60% growth over the next two decades...
Extinction Cheong 01 - China Cheong, journalist, WILL TAIWAN BREAK AWAY: THE RISE OF TAIWANESE NATIONALISM, 2001, p. 7.
The US estimates that China possesses for China puts sovereignty above everything else.
Solvency
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on offshore oil drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf.
Lifting restrictions solves Spakovsky and Loris 12 (Hans, Senior Legal Fellow / Manager, Civil Justice Reform Initiative, and Nicholas, Herbert and Joyce Morgan Fellow, 8/13/12, “Offshore Drilling: Increase Access, Reduce the Risk, and Stop Hurting American Companies” The Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/08/offshore-drilling-increase-access-reduce-the-risk-and-stop-hurting-american-companies
No New Access in the New OCS Plan The Alaska’s coast.
Oil production would come online almost immediately IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there available in a significantly shorter period of time.
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| 10/28/2012 | Old Glory 1AC - HarvardTournament: Harvard | Round: 8 | Opponent: UNT KP | Judge: Heidt Expanding oil production massively boosts the economy—creates millions of high-wage jobs and huge increases in revenue—oil is coming now but it’s not enough We are contemplating hundreds of billions of dollars of new output, three or four Only growth in high-wage job sectors creates demand that can reverse the current trajectory Slower-than-expected employment growth in March 2012 has brought the halting pace No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression The risk of double dip recession is rising. And while economists disagree on just US growth is key to global economic recovery IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, most observers seem to have Economic decline causes war – studies prove Second, on a dyadic level, Copeland's (1996, 2000) theory of And those wars go nuclear It’s important that we avoid all these policy errors — not just for the sake Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war Abundant energy will also promote global economic growth, an effect that strengthens and stabilizes Massive oil development is happening now, which guts their DAs, but more drilling is necessary to move us past energy independence to energy abundance Washington, DC: Technology is unleashing North America’s abundant energy resources. But rather 1ac Trans-Alaska pipeline is freezing and cracking now due to lack of oil flowing through it—new production is key to solve In 1977, one of the engineering marvels of the modern world made its debut Trans Alaska pipeline and oil is key to Alaska’s economy FAIRBANKS — Today, the men and women who work on the trans-Alaska Alaska is on the brink of secession—the population wants more drilling It hasn't been mentioned by the fringe media (the so-called major networks Trans-Alaska pipeline breakdown puts Alaska over the edge—studies show the population will secede if it is in their perceived economic interest As usual, Tyler Cowen, the libertarian economics professor who co-authors the Alaskan secession causes Arctic war over resources Alaska shares a relationship with the rest of the US that can best be described Arctic war goes nuclear Jayantha Dhanapala, President of Pugwash and former UN under-secretary for disarmament affairs China: 1AC 2:45 Tensions are at an all-time high over access to oil in the South China Sea—miscalculation and conflict are likely Coverage of the South China Sea territorial dispute has tended to paint the story as China will escalate the conflict militarily—ultra-hardliners are gaining sway HONG KONG (Reuters) - China has adopted a more aggressive stance in recent Conflict over the South China Sea causes nuclear war—improved US-China relations over the area are necessary to avert a global catastrophe While nuclear weapons exist, there remains a danger that they will be used. Plan solves US-China relations and prevents war—by increasing energy abundance worldwide, it eliminates the cause of conflict and reduces nationalism On the whole, a world of energy abundance should be particularly good for U Solvency: 1AC 2 Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on oil production on federal lands. Considering the lightning-rod role played by the availability and price of oil, Significant oil production would come online quickly Further, while there may be areas along the Atlantic coast without the significant build MORE No counterplans—increasing oil production is the best way to boost the economy While expanding hydrocarbon production will require significant investment, it will be supplied by the Plan is key to become an oil-exporting nation—massively boosts the economy and solves heg A number of recent detailed forecasts predict that the U.S. could close | |||
| 11/05/2012 | Old Glory | |||
| 11/05/2012 | Solar 1ACTournament: Harvard | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge:
Warming 1AC
Warming is real and human caused
ONE, scientific consensus proves fossil fuel use drives warming Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs
The Working Group One (physical science) part of AR4 was written by 152 AND a similar warming trend in the upper troposphere, consistent with model results.
TWO, environmental signs prove fossil fuels are driving it, we’re approaching a tipping point Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs
According to The Copenhagen Diagnosis (Allison et al. 2009), the most significant AND could mean that some tipping points will be crossed before they are recognized.
Warming kills the biosphere – causes extinction Costello 11 (Anthony, Institute for Global Health, University College London, Mark Maslin, Department of Geography, University College London, Hugh Montgomery, Institute for Human Health and Performance, University College London, Anne M. Johnson, Institute for Global Health, University College London, Paul Ekins, Energy Institute, University College London “Global health and climate change: moving from denial and catastrophic fatalism to positive action” May 2011 vol. 369 no. 1942 1866-1882 Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society)
Advocacy about the health consequences will ensure that climate change is a high priority. AND as dissipation of metabolic heat becomes impossible, therefore making many environments uninhabitable.
Warming disproportionately affects developing countries Carrington 11 – Head of the environment at The Guardian (Damian, “Map reveals stark divide in who caused climate change and who's being hit”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2011/oct/26/climate-change-developing-country-impacts-risk?CMP=twt_gu, October 26th, 2011, KTOP)
When the world's nations convene in Durban in November in the latest attempt to inch AND storm events may well increase as climate changes takes hold," says Beldon.
Warming disproportionately affects minorities – the US has an obligation to limit fossil fuel emissions Rachel Baird, Media Officer, Minority Rights Group International, NGO with consultative status with the United Nations Economic and Social Council, April 08, “The Impact of Climate Change on Minorities and Indigenous Peoples”, http://www.ohchr.org/Documents/Issues/ClimateChange/Submissions/Minority_Rights_Group_International.pdf, mnrs
Climate change is just beginning to be articulated as a human rights issue – rather AND should take place, with a view to obtaining their consent and participation.
Solvency Plan: The United States federal government should substantially increase financial incentives for decentralized and residential energy production of solar power.
The plan solves – increasing access for decentralized solar power is key to a renewable shift The Institute for Local Self-Reliance 2K8 (John Farrell, Research Associate @ The Institute for Local Self-Reliance, “Concentrating Solar and Decentralized Power: Government Incentives Hinder Local Ownership,” May 2008, The New Rules Project, Online)
Solar concentrators promise a new level of development for clean electric power in the United AND . Reaping these benefits means establishing fair policies for encouraging solar power development.
Decentralized solar is feasible and solves all your reasons solar fails Aaron Fown, CleanTechnica, 4/27/11, “Why Big Solar is a Colossally Bad Idea (10 Reasons Decentralized Solar is Much Better)”, http://cleantechnica.com/2011/04/27/why-big-solar-is-a-colossally-bad-idea-10-reasons-decentralized-solar-is-much-better/, mnrs
Of late there has been much talk about moving towards a solar energy future. AND rather build new monopolies than give (electrical) power to the people.
Decentralized solar disrupts the fossil fuel industry control over energy Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 87-89, mnrs
The representatives of the fossil energy industry have been written out of the script for AND dependency and from the webs spun by the spiders of the fossil economy.
The solar manufacturing process itself disrupts fossil fuel control – it provides a way to opt-out of the system Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 84-86, mnrs
The dynamics of the drive towards business concentration is thought to be the dominant force AND by the national grid, to the point at which it becomes superfluous.
The solar production chain is clean and feasible Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 74-75, mnrs
In this case, the supply chain begins with the installed solar panel, which AND the detours via the transformers and hightension cabling necessary for fossil fuel energy.
Solar power is sufficient to solve warming Sarah Lozanavoa 08, MBA in Sustainable Management from the Presidio School of Management, Solar Thermal Electricity: Can It Replace Coal, Gas, and Oil? http://cleantechnica.com/2008/03/27/solar-thermal-electricity-can-it-replace-coal-gas-and-oil/
One of the most common arguments against large-scale use of renewable energy is AND to not just produce peak power, but also generate base load electricity.
Solar is key to any political transition Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs
A new economic paradigm The creation of a renewable energy regime, loaded by buildings AND possibilities that lie ahead and muster the will to get there in time.
Using the state is key – anything else cedes to the fossil fuel industry Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 250, mnrs
Which initiatives are capable of side-stepping or overcoming existing structural obstacles in order AND will become indispensable – and then achievable – tomorrow or the day after.
Political change is key to spark a transition Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. xv, mnrs
History provides many examples of technological revolutions that have reshaped the world. None have AND behind. The same process can be seen today in the biotech industry.
All your impacts are inevitable – transition sooner is better Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 10, mnrs
The road to the solar global economy will be a rollercoaster ride that touches upon AND energy and mineral sources, the more severe will be the ultimate consequences.
We have a good method and epistemology – science and empiricism are the only ways to solve multiple extinction threats Coyne, 06 – Author and Writer for the Times (Jerry A., “A plea for empiricism”, FOLLIES OF THE WISE, Dissenting essays, 405pp. Emeryville, CA: Shoemaker and Hoard, 1 59376 101 5)
Supernatural forces and events, essential aspects of most religions, play no role in AND politics and religion, we desperately need to heed Crews’s plea for empiricism.
Reinjecting science into policymaking is key to check conservative takeover and climate denialism Robin McKie, science editor, 2/18/12, “Attacks paid for by big business are 'driving science into a dark era'”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2012/feb/19/science-scepticism-usdomesticpolicy, mnrs
Most scientists, on achieving high office, keep their public remarks to the bland AND they should be guided by lobbyists who appear driven by narrow ideological dogma.
Rejecting science as subjective makes policy deliberation a political game of cooption Banning, 9 – University of Colorado communication professor, PhD (Marlia Elisabeth, “When Poststructural Theory and Contemporary Politics Collide*The Vexed Case of Global Warming,” Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 2009, pp. 285-304
While academic research practices and the knowledge these produce have not changed substantially60 in the AND political, ’’ the relations of power and antagonism that define public discourse. A renewables transition is key to solve warming Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs
Our industrial civilization is at a crossroads. Oil and the other fossil fuel energies AND , govern society, educate our children, and engage in civic life.
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| 11/09/2012 | 2ac T - ExtractionTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
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| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - CP - CommissionsTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - DA - Fiscal CliffTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - CP - CourtsTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - DA - Oil PricesTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - DA - EV'sTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - DA - RenewablesTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - K - ManagerialismTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | Add-on Health CareTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | Add-on TerrorismTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - K - HeideggerTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/09/2012 | 2ac - CP - State DevolutionTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |||
| 11/10/2012 | Wake - 1ACTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: **Template**
1AC
Massive oil development is happening now, which guts their DAs, but more drilling is necessary to move us past energy independence to energy abundance Mills 12 (Mark, member of the advisory council of the McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science at Northwestern University and serves on the board of directors of the Marshall Institute, 7/9/12, “Could the United States Become the World’s Energy-Export Powerhouse?”) http://www.manhattan-institute.org/pdf/press_release_pgi_01.pdf
Washington, DC: Technology is unleashing North America’s abundant energy resources. But rather AND ” and unleash the domestic economic benefits of becoming a global energy leader.
Expanding oil production massively boosts the economy—creates millions of high-wage jobs and huge increases in revenue—oil is coming now but it’s not enough Mark P. Mills, adjunct fellow, Manhattan Institute, UNLEASHING THE NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY COLOSSUS: HYDROCARBONS CAN FUEL GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, 7—12, p. 8-10.
We are contemplating hundreds of billions of dollars of new output, three or four AND , with $5 trillion of that accruing to the U.S.
Only growth in high-wage job sectors creates demand that can reverse the current trajectory Appelbaum 12 (Eileen, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, 4/10/12, “Low-Wage Jobs to Blame for Slow Economic Recovery” US News) http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/04/10/job-polarization-not-to-blame-for-slow-economic-recovery
Slower-than-expected employment growth in March 2012 has brought the halting pace AND expanding occupations limit gains in consumer spending and hamper more robust job growth.
No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession is rising. And while economists disagree on just AND this new recession would likely have virtually no policy effort to counteract it.
US growth is key to global economic recovery Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)
IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, most observers seem to have AND foreseeable future, even though other countries must certainly help. This crisis began
Economic decline causes war – studies prove Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level, Copeland's (1996, 2000) theory of AND not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention.
And those wars go nuclear Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we avoid all these policy errors — not just for the sake AND breakdown of such extended duration would risk armed conflicts on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also promote global economic growth, an effect that strengthens and stabilizes AND build functioning international institutions when all parties are relatively optimistic about their prospects. 1AC
Tensions are at an all-time high over access to oil in the South China Sea—miscalculation and conflict are likely Kleine-Ahlbrandt 12 (Stephanie, Beijing-based China and Northeast Asia project director for the International Crisis Group, 7/30/12, “High Stakes in the South China Sea” The Diplomat) http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2012/07/30/high-stakes-in-the-south-china-sea/
Coverage of the South China Sea territorial dispute has tended to paint the story as AND Southeast Asian claimants can all too easily escalate the dispute to irreversible levels.
China will escalate the conflict militarily—ultra-hardliners are gaining sway Lague 12 (David, reporter, 7/25/12, “China's hawks gaining sway in South China sea dispute” Reuters) http://news.yahoo.com/chinas-hawks-gaining-sway-south-china-sea-dispute-210711501.html
HONG KONG (Reuters) - China has adopted a more aggressive stance in recent AND , what capacity or legitimacy does it have to cruise around the world?"
Conflict over the South China Sea causes nuclear war—improved US-China relations over the area are necessary to avert a global catastrophe Wittner 11 (Lawrence, Ph.D. in History from Columbia, award-winning foreign policy writer and author, 11/28/11, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?” Huntington News) http://www.huntingtonnews.net/14446
While nuclear weapons exist, there remains a danger that they will be used. AND that of the world, they should be working to encourage these policies.
Plan solves US-China relations and prevents war—by increasing energy abundance worldwide, it eliminates the cause of conflict and reduces nationalism Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
On the whole, a world of energy abundance should be particularly good for U AND will be much tougher than if it is simply a question of pride.
1AC
Venezuela’s oil wealth and power in OPEC has allowed them to increase their influence and build anti-American alliancesWalser 09 (Ray, Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America in the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, 2/19/09, “What to Do about Hugo Chávez: Venezuela's Challenge to Security in the Americas” Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2009/02/what-to-do-about-hugo-chaacutevez-venezuelas-challenge-to-security-in-the-americas
U.S. policymakers would undoubtedly pay less attention to Chávez and Venezuela were AND exploration, shipping, and refining to meet his long-term goals.
Specifically, the Venezuela’s alliance with Iran will cause nuclear terrorist attacks on US soil and Venezuelan proliferationSuchlicki 12 (Jaime Suchlicki is director of the Institute for Cuban and Cuban-American Studies, University of Miami, 8/6/12, “Iran’s Influence in Venezuela: Washington Should Worry” InterAmerican Security Watch) http://interamericansecuritywatch.com/irans-influence-in-venezuela-washington-should-worry/
The same week that President Obama downplayed the threat to U.S. security AND should increase our uneasiness about Chávez’s adventurism and Iranian motivations in Latin America.
Nuclear terrorist attack on US soil causes nuclear warHanson 04 (Victor Davis Hanson is a Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. Private Papers -- Response to Readership -- June 20th http://victorhanson.com/articles/Private%20Papers/Question%20Log/June_20.html)
Can Islam coexist with the West and its modernity or will events result in a AND because this time there is no real restraint on American counter-responses. Venezuelan prolif causes arms racing, miscalc, and nuclear war—draws in great powersMIT 09 (Citing Licio da Silva, Astrophysicist at the Observatorio Nacional de Río de Janeiro- Brasil, “The ABC's of Nuclear Disarmament in Latin America” MIT) http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/political-science/17-951-nuclear-weapons-in-international-politics-past-present-and-future-spring-2009/projects/MIT17_951S09_abcs.pdf
There are several resources that indicate that Latin American political scientists were worried about the AND a very hard time surviving if there existed no trust between the nations.
Plan causes a massive flood of supply, lowering prices dramatically Wolf 12 (Charles, Distinguished Corporate Chair in International Economics, RAND Corporation, Professor, Pardee Rand Graduate School, and Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Summer 2012, “The Geopolitics of U.S. Energy Independence” The International Economy) http://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Su12_GeopoliticsEnergySymp.pdf
For commodities that are homogeneous, as is the case for oil and gas, AND not be implausible. OPEC’s break-up might well ensue as a byproduct
That breaks up OPEC alliances—causes chaos in the organization and makes them irrelevant Levine 12 (Steve, Bernard L. Schwartz Fellow at the New America Foundation, 7/18/12, “Meet the winners and losers of the coming age of plenty” Foreign Policy) http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/07/17/meet_the_winners_and_losers_of_the_coming_age_of_plenty
OPEC: With prices dropping and competing supplies flowing from numerous new producers, OPEC AND I said, ‘I don't think so,'" West said.
1AC
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands
Sufficient resources exist—all we have to do is develop them Mark P. Mills, adjunct fellow, Manhattan Institute, UNLEASHING THE NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY COLOSSUS: HYDROCARBONS CAN FUEL GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, 7—12, p. 5-7.
Considering the lightning-rod role played by the availability and price of oil, AND unconventional formations where some of the richest untapped finds are in California.28
Significant oil production would come online quickly IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be areas along the Atlantic coast without the significant build AND , those resources could be available in a significantly shorter period of time.
1AC
No counterplans—increasing oil production is the best way to boost the economy Mark P. Mills, adjunct fellow, Manhattan Institute, UNLEASHING THE NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY COLOSSUS: HYDROCARBONS CAN FUEL GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, 7—12, p. 8.
While expanding hydrocarbon production will require significant investment, it will be supplied by the AND term economic growth in North America and a beneficial resetting of energy geopolitics.
Plan is key to become an oil-exporting nation—massively boosts the economy and solves heg Mills 12 (Mark, physicist, is an adjunct fellow with the Manhattan Institute and Forbes Energy Intelligence columnist, served in President Ronald Reagan’s White House Science Office, 7/25/12, “U.S. can become an energy export nation” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78978_Page2.html
A number of recent detailed forecasts predict that the U.S. could close AND important opportunity for growth — as well as for long-term peace.
| |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - T - RestrictionTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: ONE, we meet – they define production not restriction, not exclusive – we decrease restrictions on volume
TWO, counter interpretation - restriction is a regulation, we meet it the free dictionary 2005 ("restriction," http://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/restriction
restriction n. any limitation on activity, by statute, regulation or contract provision AND facilities and property, recorded and incorporated into the title of each owner. . Energy production of oil is drilling—we meet Moore 11 (Richard, investigative reporter, 5/6/11, “Gas prices soar to near record levels across Wisconsin, Midwest” The Lakeland Times) http://www.lakelandtimes.com/main.asp?SubSectionID=9andArticleID=13131andSectionID=9
These Republicans revert to the law of supply and demand, which they say can AND ,000 barrels per day in 2011, according to the Energy Department.
THREE, aff ground – anything else kills Aff ground – there are no bans on production, means they kill half the topic
FOUR, no limits disad – finite number of restrictions and functional limits check
FIVE, good is good enough, don’t vote on T | |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - HulbertTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Saudi Arabia and Russia can’t ramp up production:
A. Saudi reserves are massively overstatedRudolf 11 (John Collins, environmental reporter for the New York Times, 2/10/11, “Leaked Cables Reveal U.S. Concerns Over Saudi ‘Peak Oil’” New York Times) http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/02/10/leaked-cables-reveal-u-s-concerns-over-saudi-peak-oil/
Saudi Arabia’s ability to boost oil production much above current levels is questionable and the AND ultimately recoverable reserves by as much as 300 billion barrels, he said.
B. Russia’s state-run company is too inefficientDenning 11/5 (Liam, Deputy Editor of the WSJ's Heard on the Street column, 11/5/12, “With Russian Oil, Size Isn't Everything” Wall Street Journal) http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204707104578094970555555666.html
But unlike diversified Western majors, the Russian state-controlled company's assets are concentrated AND this latest shift in the landscape may represent an opportunity for western majors.
No China rise—massive political and geopolitical barriersPei 10 (Minxin, Tom and Margot Pritzker ’72 Professor of Government at Claremont McKenna College, “China’s Not a Superpower” The Diplomat) http://apac2020.thediplomat.com/feature/china%E2%80%99s-not-a-superpower/
Uncertain economic prospects aside, China’s rise to superpower status will also be constrained by AND Instead, it should learn to live with China as a great power. Efficiency, not cheap energy, is key to growthDolan 12 (Ed, writes the popular economics blog Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog and has just recently released a book: TANSTAAFL (There Ain’t No Such Thing As A Free Lunch) – A Libertarian Perspective on Environmental Policy, 10/21/12, “The Myth that Cheap Energy is Vital to Growth”) http://www.valuewalk.com/2012/10/the-myth-that-cheap-energy-is-vital-to-growth/
Ed Dolan: In my view it is a myth that cheap energy – “ AND world’s best-performing economies have become dramatically more energy efficient over time.
Heg Adv: A2 “Dependency Good—Middle East” 2AC
We won’t abandon the Middle East Wolf 12 (Charles, Distinguished Corporate Chair in International Economics, RAND Corporation, Professor, Pardee Rand Graduate School, and Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Summer 2012, “The Geopolitics of U.S. Energy Independence” The International Economy) http://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Su12_GeopoliticsEnergySymp.pdf
U.S. foreign policy and military security concerns are not thereby likely to AND harmonious in these circumstances as it is that they will become less so.
| |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - Dependency GoodTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: We won’t abandon the Middle East Wolf 12 (Charles, Distinguished Corporate Chair in International Economics, RAND Corporation, Professor, Pardee Rand Graduate School, and Senior Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Summer 2012, “The Geopolitics of U.S. Energy Independence” The International Economy) http://www.international-economy.com/TIE_Su12_GeopoliticsEnergySymp.pdf
U.S. foreign policy and military security concerns are not thereby likely to AND harmonious in these circumstances as it is that they will become less so. | |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - ANWR PicTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: ANWR drilling is key to the Chavez and China advantage—volume Dan Sullivan, Commissioner of the Alaska Department of Natural Resources, 11/3/11, “Majority of Alaskans Agree With Drilling in ANWR”, http://www.usnews.com/debate-club/is-it-time-to-drill-in-the-arctic-refuge/majority-of-alaskans-agree-with-drilling-in-anwr, mnrs
Responsibly developing the 10-02 Area of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge--a AND , this could replace our nation's oil imports from Venezuela or Saudi Arabia.
ANWR drilling is key to the economy – jobs Mark Begich, US Senator, 11/3/11, “Alaska Can Offer Relief for Gas Prices”, http://www.usnews.com/debate-club/is-it-time-to-drill-in-the-arctic-refuge/alaska-can-offer-relief-for-gas-prices, mnrs
With gasoline prices averaging $3.65 in the Lower 48 states and unemployment AND say, all of them are at least in the tens of thousands. Green drilling tech solves Knight 05, National Center for Public Policy Research Director of Environmental and Regulatory Affairs, 05 (Peyton, December, “ANWR: To Drill or Not to Drill? There is No Question, http://www.nationalcenter.org/NPA535ANWR.html, d/a 8-4-12, ads)
Trying to explain to a tie-dyed-in-the-wool “ AND 5 They are not, at this time, a substitute for oil. No extinction Moore 98 (Senior Fellow – Hoover Institute, Climate of Fear, Pg. 99)
Nevertheless, the loss of a class of living being does not typically threaten other AND imagine a single species that, if eliminated, would threaten us humans.
Failure to allow drilling in ANWR causes Alaskan secession Paul 12 (Rev, Alaskan writer, 3/28/12, “Alaskan Secession?” Way Up North) http://www.mooseintheyard.com/2012/03/alaskan-secession.html
It hasn't been mentioned by the fringe media (the so-called major networks AND what is the proper forum? And how long before the next attempt?
Secession causes Arctic war over resources Randolph 09 (Scott, former member of the United States Marine Corps and writer, 8/9/09, “Should Alaska secede from the United States?” Helium) http://www.helium.com/items/1546915-should-alaska-secede-from-the-united-states
Alaska shares a relationship with the rest of the US that can best be described AND fact that the US might even be the one to do the invading.
Arctic war goes nuclear Smith 10 Michael Wallace Smith, Professor Emeritus at the University of British Columbia and Steven Staples, President of the Rideau Institute in Ottawa. March 2010, “Ridding the Arctic of Nuclear Weapons: A Task Long Overdue”. Canadian Pugwash Group. http://www.arcticsecurity.org/docs/arctic-nuclear-report-web.pdf
Jayantha Dhanapala, President of Pugwash and former UN under-secretary for disarmament affairs AND in which nuclear powers find themselves in military confrontation can be taken lightly. | |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - MarxismTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Perm do both
Growth is sustainable—technology and substitutes
Indur M. Goklany, science and technology policy analyst for the United States Department of the Interior, 2007, “The improving state of the world”, p. 97-100, google boks, umn-rks
It may be argued that the improvements in human well-being have been obtained AND expensive as it becomes scarcer or technological innovation reduces the price of substitutes.
Framework—they get the status quo or a competitive policy option—their framework moots the 1AC and prevents topic-specific education
Method doesn’t come first
Friedrich Kratochwil, Professor of International Relations, European University Institute, “Ten points to ponder about pragmatism: some critical reflections to knowledge generation in the social sciences,” PRAGMATISM IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, eds. Harry Bauer and Elisabetta Brighi, 2009, p. 12-13.
To that extent, the argument for a pluralism of methods and approaches follows from AND while being fully attentive lo their moorings in different descriptions of the world.
Cap solves war—trade reduces conflict incentives
Doug Bandow, 11-10-05. “Spreading Capitalism Is Good for Peace” Senior fellow at the Cato Institute http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=5193
The shift from statist mercantilism to high-tech capitalism has transformed the economics behind AND out that peace is good business. And capitalism is good for peace.
Alt kills the environment
Martin Lewis, Professor, School of the Environment, Duke University, GREEN DELUSIONS, 1992, p. 9.
In the pages that follow I will argue that each of the four essential postulates AND to see the development of a more benign human presence on the earth.
Perm do the plan with the awareness of the kritik
| |||
| 11/10/2012 | AT - Fiscal CliffTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Recession inevitable now EVEN WITH a deal--aff is only shot to save the economy SEEKING ALPHA, "Even with a Fiscal Cliff Deal, Stocks and the U.S. Economy Will Unravel in 2013," 11--9--12, http://seekingalpha.com/article/995621-even-with-a-fiscal-cliff-deal-stocks-and-the-u-s-economy-will-unravel-in-2013, accessed 11-10-12.
Ever since the Presidential election was decided, the focus on the "Fiscal Cliff AND slowdown as it recently reduced earnings guidance for the next couple of years.
No compromise now—Obama reaching out to Republicans is key to break partisan deadlockNewman 11/7 (Rick, author of Rebounders: How Winners Pivot from Setback to Success, “The Fiscal Cliff Just Got Steeper” US News) http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/rick-newman/2012/11/07/the-fiscal-cliff-just-got-steeper
Since averting the cliff would require some kind of compromise between Democrats who control the AND so far. The election is over, but the fighting probably isn't.
Disad is not intrinsic – logical policymaker could do the plan and pass the fiscal cliff
Sequestration impact on the military is massively exaggerated Adams 11/6 (Gordon, Professor of International Relations at the School of International Service, American University and a Distinguished Fellow at the Stimson Center, and former senior White House budget official for national security, 11/6/12, “Fiscal Cliff Notes” Foreign Policy) http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/11/06/fiscal_cliff_notes?page=0,0
Senators McCain, Ayotte, and Graham manufactured a circus big top that traveled to AND budget this fiscal year would pose management challenges, it would be survivable.
Olive branch is key to the fiscal cliff Boselovic 11/8 (Len, reporter, 11/8/12, “Analysts see hope despite swoon in post-election stocks” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette) http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/business/news/analysts-see-hope-despite-swoon-in-post-election-stocks-661126/
Tuesday's elections left Washington's power structure intact, a status quo outcome that helped to AND in the House would like some kind of olive branch," he said.
Offshore drilling is an olive branch – gets support for other policies without backlash Russell McLendon, mother nature network, 5/27/10, “Offshore drilling: Low bills vs. big spills”, http://www.mnn.com/earth-matters/translating-uncle-sam/stories/offshore-drilling-low-bills-vs-big-spills, mnrs
That pressure reached a critical mass in March, when President Obama announced plans to AND starting what is now being called the worst oil spill in American history.
Lobbies like the plan Clifford Krauss, Houston, and Ashley Parker, Bettendorf, Iowa, 8/22/12, “Romney Energy Plan Would Expand Oil Drilling on U.S. Land and Offshore”, New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/23/us/politics/romney-tries-to-refocus-campaign-on-economy-and-obama-turns-to-education.html?_r=0, mnrs
Nearly two-thirds of federal lands are currently off-limits to drilling and AND year moratorium on gulf drilling following the BP spill angered the oil industry.
They control the agenda, takes out the link to the disad Dan Froomkin, “How the Oil Lobby Greases Washington’s Wheels,” HUFFINGTON POST, 4-6-11, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/06/how-the-oil-lobby-greases_n_845720.html, accessed 6-2-12
With so much public opposition, why do subsidies remain? You might as well AND $175 million -- or a 300 percent increase in just five years. | |||
| 11/10/2012 | Russia Adv Wake RD 3Tournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge: Exxon Mobil is no longer the world's number-one oil producer. As of Russian expansionism causes escalating wars of aggression using weapons of mass destruction Proliferators or nuclear states like China and Russia can then deter regional or intercontinental attacks Russia will use nuclear weapons, even in regional conflicts The cornerstone of Russia's defense has been, and continues to be, nuclear weapons Counteracting Russia’s energy leverage is the only way to curb their influence Sun Tzu stated, “To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of Plan solves—energy abundance gives Europe alternative sources of oil The energy revolution will substantially shift the fundamentals of geopolitics by creating “winners and US energy abundance allows us to ship oil and technical expertise to Europe With the development of new U.S. energy exports, our close allies | |||
| 11/10/2012 | 2AC Oil Prices DATournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge: Oil prices falling—Sandy, extra supply Crude oil tumbled Oil does not help producer economies—Dutch disease For many countries, | |||
| 11/10/2012 | 2AC Process CPsTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge: Perm do both Perm do the counterplan: The counterplan is plan plus—they get rid of all other legal penalties from drilling on federal lands, then ADD a new restriction of the SEP We don’t have to defend removal—just a reduction A. Reduce means to bring down to a smaller extent
B. Reduce means to diminish transitive verb 1 a : to draw together or cause to converge : consolidate No solvency—none of their ev is in the context of oil drilling—sure, companies might be more lax on environmental standards, but that’s because it’s under the radar—you can’t just start up an oil rig in the middle of federal territory without permission The counterplan is a misleading statement—causes uncertainty Unfortunately, the “political uncertainty” surrounding the Gulf region has discouraged companies from Certainty is key—investors won’t drill otherwise Ten oil rigs have left the Gulf of Mexico since the Obama Administration imposed a CP links to politics and can’t capture the turns—seen as EPA bureaucracy Sen. James Inhofe, R-Okla., the agency's leading critic in the No internal link—the plan doesn’t cause environmental destruction, and they have no evidence that SEP funds alone would be enough to mitigate the massive environmental problems in the Clark card No extinction from biodiversity loss Nevertheless, the loss of a class of living being does not typically threaten other Doesn’t turn econ – environmental problems now, at best long term | |||
| 11/10/2012 | 2AC Courts CPTournament: Wake | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge: Double bind: Either A. Courts link to politics Does the Court Act as "Political Cover" for the Other Branches? While OR B. Perm shields the link Thursday’s decision, Agent counterplans are a voter: FIRST, Aff ground – they moot the 1AC and prevent us from getting offense, makes it impossible for the Aff to win SECOND, topic specific education – it’s the only unique thing we can gain this year, process counterplans prevent policy specific discussion THIRD, no solvency advocate – they have no evidence that actually advocates the process of the counterplan in the context of our aff FOURTH, counterplans must be functionally and textually competitive – they still get PIC ground but it guarantees we get to weigh the Aff, and that all ground is predictable No implementation Courts will also be ineffective in producing change given any serious re¬sistance because of their Perm do the counterplan Counterplan tanks business confidence Friends and peers trying to describe Miers and Roberts like to use the P- Means it can’t solve Procedures that yield uncertain or delayed results prevent investments. Investors in an early stage | |||
| 12/31/2012 | Biofuels Adv 1ACTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Biofuels are expanding now despite corn prices and drought The outlook for biofuels remains bright [...] an effort to curb greenhouse gas emissions Increases in domestic oil production trade off with biofuels and destroy the industry Since its inception, the bio [...] Peak Optimists remains to be seen. Expanded biofuel production is causing global food prices to spike If you believe the folks at [...] which could justifiably be held responsible.” A massive spike is coming in 2013—best models predict In 2008 and in 2011, [...] of 2000, the report said. Food crisis risks internal revolts in India, Russia, and China Adverse climatic conditions this year in [...] and attract further foreign investment capital. Russian instability causes global nuclear war For the United States, neither [...] of the military and security services. Chinese collapse causes CCP lashout with WMD that kills billions Since the Party’s life is “ [...] hostage and gamble with their lives. Lowering US ethanol production prevents food price spikes NECSI has shown that surges in [...] bring prices down, the better. | |||
| 01/06/2013 | Elims 1ACTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.
Economy Adv: 1AC
Oil prices will stay high in 2013—current production is not enough to change oil prices Blas 1/1 (Javier, commodities editor for the Financial Time, “Shale revolution will not dent $100 oil” Financial Times) http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7680572a-5030-11e2-a231-00144feab49a.html#axzz2H3L1Rsad
Oil prices are set to stay ... said in a note to clients.
Current restrictions constrain supply, increasing prices--plan lowers them Peter Ferrera, Director, Entitlement and Budget Policy, Heartland Institute, "Obama's War on Oil," AMERICAN SPECTATOR, 5--4--11, http://spectator.org/archives/2011/05/04/obamas-war-on-oil
Supply down, prices up. ... will similarly mean lower prices today.
Plan puts immediate downward pressure on prices Mark P. Mills, senior fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Liberating the Energy Economy: What Washington Must Do," POWER and GROWTH INITIATIVE, 9--12, p. 15.
Oil prices are determined globally, ... benefit from higher-valued exports.
Expensive oil guts the economy worldwide--U.S., Japan, Europe Jeff Rubin, former chief economist, CIBC World Markets, "How High Oil Prices Will Permanently Cap Economic Growth," BLOOMBERG, 9--23--12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-23/how-high-oil-prices-will-permanently-cap-economic-growth.html
For most of the last century ... ... enough to make an economy collapse.
Expensive oil increases inflation, collapsing economy--housing bubble proves Jeff Rubin, former chief economist, CIBC World Markets, "How High Oil Prices Will Permanently Cap Economic Growth," BLOOMBERG, 9--23--12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-23/how-high-oil-prices-will-permanently-cap-economic-growth.html
Worse, when oil prices go ... ), is up about 150 percent.
No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession ... no policy effort to counteract it.
Economic decline causes war – studies prove Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.
And those wars go nuclear Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we avoid all ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also promote global economic growth, an effect that strengthens and stabilizes the world system. It is easier for countries to cooperate when their economies are doing well. There is less nationalist pressure inside countries driving political leaders to take confrontational stands, and it is easier to negotiate win-win solutions and build functioning international institutions when all parties arerelativelyoptimistic about their prospects.
Expensive oil risks food price spike—transport costs, fertilizer, production costs Westhoff 12 (Pat, director of the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri and professor of agricultural and applied economics, 3/3/12, “Oil prices affect the cost of food in many ways”) http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/2012/mar/03/oil-prices-affect-the-cost-of-food-in-many-ways/
When the price of oil increases ... retailers and raise consumer food prices.
A massive spike is coming in 2013—best models predict Joanna M. Foster, "Spike in Food Prices Projected for 2013," NEW YORK TIMES, Green Blog, 3--7--12, http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/07/spike-in-food-prices-projected-by-2013/, accessed 11-6-12.
In 2008 and in 2011, ... of 2000, the report said.
Food crisis risks internal revolts in India, Russia, and China Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.
Adverse climatic conditions this year in ... and attract further foreign investment capital.
Russian instability causes global nuclear war DimitriSimes, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “The Return of Russian History,” FOREIGN AFFAIRS, January/February 1994, p. 67+, LN.
For the United States, neither ... of the military and security services.
Plan massively boosts employment and revenue--6 indirect jobs, trillions in GDP gains Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain more ... and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
We solve globally Victor Davis Hanson, historian, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, "The Second Oil Revolution," NATIONAL REVIEW, 3--29--12, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/294693/second-oil-revolution-victor-davis-hanson#
Curbing the voracious American appetite for ... neighborhood loudmouths rather than regional threats.
Significant oil production would come online quickly IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be ... a significantly shorter period of time.
Resource wars escalate to nuke war. Desperate states won’t fund conventional weapons. Aric McBay et al, Lierre Keith, Derrick Jensen, May 5, 2011 publication. “Deep Green Resistance: Strategy to Save the Planet” Google Books.
Resource wars between nuclear states will ... more rapid and worse than before.
adv 2 –geopolitics
Plan allows U.S. to become a net energy supplier--key to hegemony Mills 12 (Mark, physicist, is an adjunct fellow with the Manhattan Institute and Forbes Energy Intelligence columnist, served in President Ronald Reagan’s White House Science Office, 7/25/12, “U.S. can become an energy export nation” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78978_Page2.html
A number of recent detailed forecasts ... as for long-term peace.
This prevents extinction—no alternative to hegemony Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0
For if America falters, the ... a dangerous slide into global turmoil.
Status quo energy competition risks war with China--plan is key to solving Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http:~/~/blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/||target="_blank"
On the whole, a world ... is simply a question of pride.
Plan boosts U.S.-Sino coop Will Rogers, "U.S. Energy: What's Oil Production Got to Do with National Security," CHRISTIAN SCIENCE MONITOR, 11--26--12, http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Energy-Voices/2012/1126/US-energy-What-s-oil-production-got-to-do-with-national-security
Energy trade could also be the ... relationship, and for the better.
These prevent a nuclear war Wittner 11(Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace and Change, a journal of peace research, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?,” November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html)
While nuclear weapons exist, there ... be working to encourage these policies.
No offense--energy revolution is net positive for U.S., checks resource wars Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
But on the bigger stage of ... is a lot more laid back.
The plan breaks up OPEC—causes chaos in the organization and makes them irrelevant Levine 12 (Steve, Bernard L. Schwartz Fellow at the New America Foundation, 7/18/12, “Meet the winners and losers of the coming age of plenty” Foreign Policy) http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/07/17/meet_the_winners_and_losers_of_the_coming_age_of_plenty
OPEC: With prices dropping and ... so,'" West said.
However, we don't link to their stability DAs--will just increase production to meet revenue targets NASDAQ, "The New Era of Oil Renaissance," 12--30--12, http://www.nasdaq.com/article/the-new-era-of-oil-renaissance-cm202887#.UOIRQG_Ad8E
And those that think that OPEC ... get as much revenue as possible.
Gutting OPEC is necessary to address global poverty, Iranian prolif R. James Woolsey, former director, CIA and Anne Korin, co-director, Institute for the Analysis of Global Security, "How to Break both Oil's Monopoly and OPEC's Cartel," INNOVATIONS, Fall 2008, p. 35-26.
A few weeks ago, and ... amongst the world’s primary energy producers.
Poverty causes terrorism blowback and nuclear war Joshua Goldstein, Professor of International Relations – American University, "Changing World Order – Engaging the South", International Relations, 2010, http://wps.ablongman.com/long_goldstein_ir_7/38/9780/2503754.cw/index.html, accessed 10-6-2012
In the last chapter’s “Changing ... North and South in new ways?
Iran prolif causes nuclear war Kroenig 12 (Matthew, assistant professor of Government at Georgetown University and Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, January/February 2012, “Time to Attack Iran - Why a Strike Is the Least Bad Option” Foreign Affairs) http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/136917/matthew-kroenig/time-to-attack-iran
Some states in the region are ... United States in, as well.
Oil does not help producer economies—Dutch disease CNA Military Advisory Board, General Charles F. Ward, General, USAF (ret.), chair, POWERING AMERICA’S DEFENSE: ENERGY AND THE RISKS TO NATIONAL SECURITY, 5—09, p. 5.
For many countries, however, ... be left in tatters 25.
No disads--status quo achieves independence within a year, triggering all of their links THE GLEANER, editorial, "Nation's Total Energy Independence Gift for Future Generations," 12--27--12, http://www.courierpress.com/news/2012/dec/27/nations-total-energy-independence-gift-for/
Ho! Ho! Ho! ... oil-producing nation on Earth.
| |||
| 01/06/2013 | Prelims 1AC USCTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: **1AC**
Solvency
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.
Energy independence and lower oil prices are coming in the status quo Simone Sebastian, "North America Will Be Energy Independent, Refining Expert Says," FUELFIX, 12--6--12, http://fuelfix.com/blog/2012/12/06/north-america-will-be-energy-independent-refining-expert-says/
North America will reach petroleum independence ... I think we can do that.”
Opening federal lands for drilling is critical to push the United States past energy independence to energy abundance Mark P. Mills, senior fellow, Manhattan Institute, "U.S. Can Become an Energy Export Nation," POLITICO, 7--25-12, http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8735#.UOPIkG_Ad8E
Imagine a future in which the ... as for long-term peace.
Significant oil production would come online quickly IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be ... a significantly shorter period of time.
Econ
The US economic outlook is grim—unemployment figures are dismal, and we can’t grow our way out without new jobs Ebenstein 12/29 (Lanny, adjunct scholar at the Cato Institute, 12/29/12, “The current economic recovery is a fraud” Fox News) http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/12/29/current-economic-recovery-is-fraud/
For those who would see recovery ... economy than there were in 2008.
Accelerating the oil boom would massively boost job growth and revenue Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain more ... and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
No resiliency—we’ve pulled out all the stops—a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession ... no policy effort to counteract it.
US growth is key to global economic recovery Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)
IN THE aftermath of the G ... must certainly help. This crisis began
Economic decline causes war—studies prove Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.
And those wars go nuclear Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we avoid all ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also promote global ... are relatively optimistic about their prospects.
China
Tensions are at an all-time high over access to oil in the South China Sea—miscalculation and conflict are likely Kleine-Ahlbrandt 12 (Stephanie, Beijing-based China and Northeast Asia project director for the International Crisis Group, 7/30/12, “High Stakes in the South China Sea” The Diplomat) http://thediplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2012/07/30/high-stakes-in-the-south-china-sea/
Coverage of the South China Sea ... escalate the dispute to irreversible levels.
Conflict over the South China Sea causes nuclear war—improved US-China relations over the area are necessary to avert a global catastrophe Wittner 11 (Lawrence, Ph.D. in History from Columbia, award-winning foreign policy writer and author, 11/28/11, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?” Huntington News) http://www.huntingtonnews.net/14446
While nuclear weapons exist, there ... be working to encourage these policies.
Plan solves US-China relations and prevents war—by increasing energy abundance worldwide, it eliminates the cause of conflict and reduces nationalism Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
On the whole, a world ... is simply a question of pride.
Biofuels
Biofuels are expanding now despite corn prices and drought Yu 10/11 (Alan, reporter, 10/11/12, “Stable growth ahead for biofuels” Medill Reports) http://news.medill.northwestern.edu/chicago/news.aspx?id=208998
The outlook for biofuels remains bright ... an effort to curb greenhouse gas emissions
Massive increases in domestic oil production trade off with biofuels by destroying the scarcity justification for the industry Mackinnon 12 (Lawrence, Senior Research Analyst at Pike Research, 8/1/12, “The Republic of Biofuels and the Age of Plenty” Biofuels Digest) http://www.biofuelsdigest.com/bdigest/2012/08/01/the-republic-of-biofuels-and-the-age-of-plenty/
Since its inception, the bio ... Peak Optimists remains to be seen.
The plan is key to reorient policymakers away from scarcity to abundance Mills 12 (Mark, member of the advisory council of the McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science at Northwestern University and serves on the board of directors of the Marshall Institute, 7/9/12, “Could the United States Become the World’s Energy-Export Powerhouse?”) http://www.manhattan-institute.org/pdf/press_release_pgi_01.pdf
Washington, DC: Technology is ... Technology has changed our resource reality.
Expanded biofuel production is causing global food prices to spike William Pentland 7-28--12, Chair of the Northeast Clean Heat and Power Initiative and Forbes contributor, July 28, 2012, “The Coming Food Crisis: Blame Ethanol?,” online: http://www.forbes.com/sites/williampentland/2012/07/28/the-coming-food-crisis-blame-ethanol/print/
If you believe the folks at ... which could justifiably be held responsible.”
A massive spike is coming in 2013—best models predict Joanna M. Foster, "Spike in Food Prices Projected for 2013," NEW YORK TIMES, Green Blog, 3--7--12, http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/07/spike-in-food-prices-projected-by-2013/, accessed 11-6-12.
In 2008 and in 2011, ... of 2000, the report said.
Food crisis risks internal revolts in India, Russia, and China Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.
Adverse climatic conditions this year in ... and attract further foreign investment capital.
Russian instability causes global nuclear war DimitriSimes, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “The Return of Russian History,” FOREIGN AFFAIRS, January/February 1994, p. 67+, LN.
For the United States, neither ... of the military and security services.
Chinese collapse causes CCP lashout with WMD that kills billions Rexing 05 (San, Staff – Epoch Times, The CCP’s Last Ditch Gamble: Biological and Nuclear War, 8-5, http://english.epochtimes.com/news/5-8-5/30975.html)
Since the Party’s life is “ ... hostage and gamble with their lives.
Lowering US ethanol production prevents food price spikes YaneerBar-Yam, PhD, Physics, MIT and Professor, "NECSI Food Briefing," New England Complex Systems Institute, 9--28--12, http://necsi.edu/research/social/foodprices/briefing/, accessed 11-6-12.
NECSI has shown that surges in ... bring prices down, the better.
| |||
| 01/07/2013 | Prelims 1AC FullertonTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.
Economy Adv: 1AC
Oil prices will stay high in 2013—current production is not enough to change oil prices Blas 1/1 (Javier, commodities editor for the Financial Time, “Shale revolution will not dent $100 oil” Financial Times) http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7680572a-5030-11e2-a231-00144feab49a.html#axzz2H3L1Rsad
Oil prices are set to stay ... said in a note to clients.
Current restrictions constrain supply, increasing prices--plan lowers them Peter Ferrera, Director, Entitlement and Budget Policy, Heartland Institute, "Obama's War on Oil," AMERICAN SPECTATOR, 5--4--11, http://spectator.org/archives/2011/05/04/obamas-war-on-oil
Supply down, prices up. ... will similarly mean lower prices today.
Plan puts immediate downward pressure on prices Mark P. Mills, senior fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Liberating the Energy Economy: What Washington Must Do," POWER and GROWTH INITIATIVE, 9--12, p. 15.
Oil prices are determined globally, ... benefit from higher-valued exports.
Expensive oil guts the economy worldwide--U.S., Japan, Europe Jeff Rubin, former chief economist, CIBC World Markets, "How High Oil Prices Will Permanently Cap Economic Growth," BLOOMBERG, 9--23--12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-23/how-high-oil-prices-will-permanently-cap-economic-growth.html
For most of the last century ... enough to make an economy collapse.
Expensive oil increases inflation, collapsing economy--housing bubble proves Jeff Rubin, former chief economist, CIBC World Markets, "How High Oil Prices Will Permanently Cap Economic Growth," BLOOMBERG, 9--23--12, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-23/how-high-oil-prices-will-permanently-cap-economic-growth.html
Worse, when oil prices go ... ), is up about 150 percent.
No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession ... no policy effort to counteract it.
Economic decline causes war – studies prove Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.
And those wars go nuclear Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we avoid all ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also promote global ... all parties arerelativelyoptimistic about their prospects.
Expensive oil risks food price spike—transport costs, fertilizer, production costs Westhoff 12 (Pat, director of the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri and professor of agricultural and applied economics, 3/3/12, “Oil prices affect the cost of food in many ways”) http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/2012/mar/03/oil-prices-affect-the-cost-of-food-in-many-ways/
When the price of oil increases ... retailers and raise consumer food prices.
A massive spike is coming in 2013—best models predict Joanna M. Foster, "Spike in Food Prices Projected for 2013," NEW YORK TIMES, Green Blog, 3--7--12, http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/07/spike-in-food-prices-projected-by-2013/, accessed 11-6-12.
In 2008 and in 2011, ... of 2000, the report said.
Food crisis risks internal revolts in India, Russia, and China Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.
Adverse climatic conditions this year in ... and attract further foreign investment capital.
Russian instability causes global nuclear war DimitriSimes, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “The Return of Russian History,” FOREIGN AFFAIRS, January/February 1994, p. 67+, LN.
For the United States, neither ... of the military and security services.
Plan massively boosts employment and revenue--6 indirect jobs, trillions in GDP gains Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain more ... and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
We solve globally Victor Davis Hanson, historian, Hoover Institution, Stanford University, "The Second Oil Revolution," NATIONAL REVIEW, 3--29--12, http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/294693/second-oil-revolution-victor-davis-hanson#
Curbing the voracious American appetite for ... Arabia and Iran. Without high-priced oil, Hugo Chávez and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad are just neighborhood loudmouths rather than regional threats.
Russia Adv: 1AC
Russia instability inevitable now—Putin's fascistoid "cult of the leader" is not sustainable Alexander J. Motyl, Professor, Political Science, Rutgers University-Newark, "Fascistoid Russia: Whither Putin's Brittle Realm?" WORLD AFFAIRS, March/April 2012, http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/fascistoid-russia-whither-putin%E2%80%99s-brittle-realm
The massive demonstrations that rocked Russia ... already has an obsessive ideological vision.
Russia is suffering from Dutch disease—appreciates currency, undermines competitiveness, threatens economic stability Scott Nicholas Romaniuk, Institute of European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies, Carleton University, and Joshua Kenneth Wasylciw, Department of Political Science, University of Calgary, "Russia's Authoritarianism in Strategic Perspective," EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES v. 10 n. 4, 2009, p. 623-624.
In lieu of increasing prices for ... military measures that are already visible.
Decline in oil production and revenue are inevitable in the status quo without reforms Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
In the years since the crisis ... to any decline in oil profits.
Lack of reform is stifling oil sector innovation—resource dependence serves as a brake on growth Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
Neither Russia's oil industry nor Russian ... choose the status quo than adaptation.
Russia oil dependence fuels corruption, undermines democratic development Henry Meyer and Agnes lovasz, "Russia Faces Economy Trap as Oil Decline Looms," BLOOMBERG, 12--14--12, http://www.energytribune.com/he/68090/russia-faces-economy-trap-as-oil-decline-looms-2
“The problem of being a ... needs over the next few years.
Corruption crushes economy—deters investment and modernization Erik van der Marel, Fellow, London School fo Economics and IanaDreyer, international trade policy expert, Institut Montaigne, "Beyond Dutch Disease: When Deteriorating Rule of Law Affects Russian Trade in High-Tech Goods and Services with Advanced Economies," Group d.EconomieMondiale (GEM), 7--13--12, p. 2.
Despite its booming trade in the ... most notably sophisticated manufactures and services.
Makes a collapse inevitable Anders Aslund, senior fellow, Peterson Institute, "An Assessment of Putin's Economic Policy," CESifo FORUM, 7--08, www.iie.com/publications/papers/paper.cfm?ResearchID=974
In 2004, Foreign Affairs published ... contributes to the current inflation crisis.
Low prices key to Russian economic reforms and more restrained foreign policy Pirrong 11 (Craig, Professor of Finance, and Energy Markets Director for the Global Energy Management Institute at the Bauer College of Business of the University of Houston, 1/6/11, “Higher Oil Prices Will Stymie Reform in Russia” Seeking Alpha) http://seekingalpha.com/article/245309-higher-oil-prices-will-stymie-reform-in-russia
And as Sergei Guriev and AlehTsyvinski ... whiskey and let that cocaine be.
No other method works—only in a world of low prices is diversification viable Moiseev 12 (Alexey, special reporter for Russia Now, 7/6/12, “Modernisation is Russia's cure for 'Dutch disease'” The Telegraph) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/russianow/business/9382538/russia-dutch-disease.html
Any country trying to diversify will ... through purely administrative or similar measures.
Petrodependence fuels Russian aggression and nationalism--diversification key to solve Dr. Ariel Cohen and Dr. Richard Ericson, "Russia's Economic Crisis and U.S.-Russia Relatoins: Troubled Times Ahead," BACKGROUNDER n. 2333, Heritage Foundation, 11--2--09, http:~/~/www.heritage.org/research/reports/2009/11/org/research/reports/2009/11/russias-economic-crisis-and-us-russia-relations-troubled-times-ahead
An economic model based on natural ... lack of the rule of law.
Nuclear war Dr. Stephen Blank, Research Professor, National Security Affairs, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War college, "Russia and Arms Control: Are There Opportunities for the Obama Administration?" 3--09, www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf
Proliferators or nuclear states like China ... neighbors or their own people.172
Geopolitics
Plan allows U.S. to become a net energy supplier--key to hegemony Mills 12 (Mark, physicist, is an adjunct fellow with the Manhattan Institute and Forbes Energy Intelligence columnist, served in President Ronald Reagan’s White House Science Office, 7/25/12, “U.S. can become an energy export nation” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78978_Page2.html
A number of recent detailed forecasts ... as for long-term peace.
This prevents extinction—no alternative to hegemony Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0
For if America falters, the ... a dangerous slide into global turmoil.
No disads--status quo achieves independence within a year, triggering all of their links THE GLEANER, editorial, "Nation's Total Energy Independence Gift for Future Generations," 12--27--12, http://www.courierpress.com/news/2012/dec/27/nations-total-energy-independence-gift-for/
Ho! Ho! Ho! ... oil-producing nation on Earth.
Significant oil production would come online quickly IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be ... a significantly shorter period of time.
Sitting on leases is impossible—they expire IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Myth: Oil companies are sitting ... increase their production on leased acreage.
+
| |||
| 01/08/2013 | Virginia AffTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Econ Adv: 1AC
Virginia’s economy is stagnating now—massive uncertainty CBS 11/19 “Gov. McDonnell: ‘Unprecedented uncertainty’ with Va. economy” http://wtvr.com/2012/11/19/gov-mcdonnell-unprecedented-uncertainty-with-va-economy/
RICHMOND, Va. (WTVR ... budget in early to mid December.
Drilling would boost Virginia’s economy, bringing thousands of jobs to the region VEIA 10 (6/4/10, “Virginia offshore drilling faces obstacles, but still offers economic promise” Virginia Energy Independence Alliance) http://www.virginiaenergy.org/2010/06/04/virginia-offshore-drilling-faces-obstacles-but-still-offers-economic-promise/
Despite these recent obstacles, one ... will provide services to the rigs.
Drilling would increase Virginia’s GDP by hundreds of millions—recent nonpartisan studies prove Squires 10 (Paula, staff writer, 10/14/10, “New report says big economic impact would flow from offshore drilling in Virginia” Virginia Business) http://www.virginiabusiness.com/index.php/news/article/new-report-says-big-economic-impact-would-flow-from-offshore-drilling-in-vi/308131/
If Virginia is permitted to drill ... currently granted to Gulf Coast states.
The recession has caused Virginia’s biotech industry to stagnate—growth is key to new investment Delesline 12 (Nate, staff writer, 9/30/12, “Local biotech companies participate in regional conference” Daily Progress) http://www.dailyprogress.com/news/business/article_6942fdbe-90df-5dfd-94d3-e58ed2f66554.html
“Virginia is incredibly fortunate that ... in something they may not understand.”
Virginia’s biotech sector is key to regenerative medicine, but investment is critical Geiger 12 (Jacob, staff writer, 11/20/12, “Regenerative medicine could be 'next big thing' for Va. biotech” Times Dispatch) http://www.timesdispatch.com/business/regenerative-medicine-could-be-next-big-thing-for-va-biotech/article_3eaf4c25-1135-5d08-aba5-54c5e80c8475.html
Regenerative medicine, a field that ... sector, the future is now.
Regenerative medicine is key to immortality—will happen within 25 years Diab 09 (Khaled, freelance journalist and writer who is currently based in Jerusalem, writes for leading publications in Europe, the Middle East and the United States, 7/4/09, “Promises of immortality” Chronikler) http://chronikler.com/reflections/belief/promises-of-immortality/
The secret to becoming immortal lies ... could be physically younger than me.
Immortality should be our highest ethical priority—outweighs war Magalhaes No Date (Joao Pedro de, Ph.D., Lecturer at the University of Liverpool in England, researches aging, “Should We Cure Aging?”) http://www.senescence.info/physical_immortality_myths.html#section1
Of course there are many problems ... doubt problems could emerge from it.
Regenerative medicine solves disease and healthcare costs Pelletier 06 (Dick, weekly columnist who writes about future science and technologies for numerous publications, “Regenerative medicine could cure most diseases by 2020” Positive Futurist) http://positivefuturist.com/archive/111.html
Regenerative medicine has the potential to ... , commonly seen in the elderly.
High healthcare costs are structurally unsustainable and collapse the economy Colombo 12 (Jesse, independent financial analyst and investor who was called one of the “Ten People Who Predicted the Financial Meltdown” in 2008 by The Times of London, 5/17/12, “Beware Of The U.S. Healthcare Bubble” Seeking Alpha) http://seekingalpha.com/article/598271-beware-of-the-u-s-healthcare-bubble
Like any other industry, the ... reverberate throughout the entire global economy.
Global economic decline causes nuclear war Ockham Research 08 (Ockham Research, Economic Distress and Geopolitical Risks by: Ockham Research, Ockham Research Staff November 18, 2008????Ockham Research Ockham Research is an independent research provider based in Atlanta, Georgia providing security analysis)
The hardship and turmoil which impacted ... .S. and the world.
strong statistical support Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.
No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession ... no policy effort to counteract it.
Revenue Adv: 1AC
Revenue from offshore drilling key to Virginia transportation infrastructure Kumar 10 (Anita, staff writer ,5/28/10, “Halt in offshore drilling cuts funds for Virginia's transportation projects” Washington Post) http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/27/AR2010052705592.html
RICHMOND -- There will be no ... jobs and hundreds of unfinished projects.
Strong transportation infrastructure in Virginia is vital to evacuate DC in a terrorist attack AASHTO 05 (American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, January 2005, “Protecting America’s Roads, Bridges, and Tunnels: The Role of State DOTs in Homeland Security”) http://scotsem.transportation.org/Documents/Protecting_Americas_Roads.pdf
On September 11, 2001, ... and research for DOTs is vital.
Past attempts prove terrorists are targeting DC—the US must remain vigilant Zuckerman 12 (Jessica, Research Associate, Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, 2/17/12, “Forty-Fifth Attempted Terrorist Plot: U.S. Must Resist Complacency” Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/02/terrorist-attack-45th-attempted-terrorist-plot-against-united-states
On Friday, authorities arrested a ... next wave of terrorism.2
Evacuation is key to minimize casualties Eksioglu and Eksioglu 10 (Burak and Sandra, Associate Professors of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Mississippi State University, “Use of Public Transit Systems during No-Notice Evacuations of Urban Areas” National Center for Intermodal Transportation) http://ncit.msstate.edu/SPRA/other/other_02.html
Evacuation of citizens from affected areas ... total number of casualties and losses.
Minimizing the death toll is crucial—large casualties ensure nuclear retaliation Conley 3 (Lt Col Harry W. is chief of the Systems Analysis Branch, Directorate of Requirements, Headquarters Air Combat Command (ACC), Langley AFB, Virginia. Air and Space Power Journal – Spring, http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/apj/apj03/spr03/conley.html)
The number of American casualties suffered ... whatever promises had been made.”48
retaliation would be nuclear and escalates Robert Ayson, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington, 2010 (“After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via InformaWorld)
A terrorist nuclear attack, and ... help the chances of nuclear restraint.
Exports Adv: 1AC
Virginia ports are financially unsustainable now—not enough cargo traffic Bacque 12 (Peter, staff writer, 10/15/12, “Virginia's port operations 'financially unsustainable'” Times Dispatch) http://www.timesdispatch.com/business/virginia-s-port-operations-financially-unsustainable/article_dd2b178d-a73b-58be-a0dd-433461b58043.html
The operation of Virginia's state- ... million in the current fiscal year.
Offshore drilling would revitalize Virginia’s ports Brown 10 (Josh, reporter, 5/24/10, “Big risk, big boon: Offshore drilling could create 15,000 jobs” The Virginia Pilot) http://hamptonroads.com/2010/05/big-risk-big-boon-offshore-drilling-could-create-15000-jobs
Drilling for oil and natural gas ... because it's too costly to transport.
Strong Virginia ports are key to take advantage of the Panama Canal expansion—they’re the only ports with deep enough harbors and a railroad system McCabe 12 (Robert, staff writer for the Virginia Pilot, 11/28/12, “Port in shape for Panama Canal expansion, officials note” Hampton Roads) http://hamptonroads.com/2012/11/port-shape-panama-canal-expansion-officials-note
In roughly 20 minutes, Bill ... to take off,” Dorto said.
Panama Canal expansion allows for US LNG exports Brokaw 12 (Alex, NYC writer and editor, 8/17/12, “Double-Wide: Who's Set to Benefit From the Expanded Panama Canal?”) http://www.minyanville.com/business-news/markets/articles/natural-gas-port-canal-Panama-Canal/8/17/2012/id/43178?page=full
One of the biggest potential advantages ... , hence creating liquefied natural gas.
US LNG exports solve Russian energy leverage over the EU Koven 12 – Colonel Alexander L. Koven, United States Air Force, United States Army War College, January 3rd, 2012, "Under the Yoke: Europe's Natural Gas Dependency on Russia," www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U2anddoc=GetTRDoc.pdfandAD=pdfandAD=ADA561551
UNDER THE YOKE: EUROPE'S NATURAL GAS DEPENDENCY ON RUSSIA Rising shale gas supplies have significantly ... U.S. market.80
EU gas independence solves Russian expansionism and US-EU peacekeeping missions Medlock et al 11 – Dr. Kenneth B. Medlock, Ph.D. in economics, fellow in Energy and Resource Economics at the Baker Institute, and former advisor to the U.S. Department of Energy and the California Energy Commission, AND*** Amy Myers Jaffe, graduate from Princeton University, fellow of Energy Studies and director of the Energy Forum at the Baker Institute, and associate director of the Rice Energy Program, AND*** Dr. Peter R. Hartley, Ph.D in economics at Rice University, July 2011, "Shale Gas and U.S. National Security,” http://bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-DOEShaleGas-07192011.pdf
The dramatic lessening of Europe’s dependence ... have the full support of Russia.
Russian expansionism causes nuclear war Blank 9 – Dr. Stephen Blank is a Research Professor of National Security Affairs at the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, March 2009, “Russia And Arms Control: Are There Opportunities For The Obama Administration?” http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf
Proliferators or nuclear states like China ... neighbors or their own people.172
Peacekeeping solves nuclear war Dean 95 - Jonathan Dean, Adviser on International Security Issues, Union of Concerned Scientists, and Former Ambassador, East-West Arms Control Negotiations, May 1995 (“A Stronger UN Strengthens America” – The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists) http://www.thebulletin.org/issues/1995/ma95/ma95.dean.html
Experts throughout the world expect growing ... off an increasing number of conflicts.
Panama Canal expansion is key to US agricultural competitiveness Magnani 12 (Jay, Web Designer for the Iowa Soybean Association, 8/27/12, “A Problem Solved or a Missed Opportunity?” Soy Bean Review) http://soybeanreview.com/article/panama-canal-expansion
“When comparing the U. ... a 35 cent per bushel savings.
U.S. agricultural competitiveness is key to solve food crises, those go nuclear Lugar 4 – U.S. Senator – Indiana, (Richard, “Plant Power” Our Planet v. 14 n. 3, http://www.unep.org/OurPlanet/imgversn/143/lugar.html
In a world confronted by global ... and the health of our planet.
Russia instability inevitable now—Putin's fascistoid "cult of the leader" is not sustainable Alexander J. Motyl, Professor, Political Science, Rutgers University-Newark, "Fascistoid Russia: Whither Putin's Brittle Realm?" WORLD AFFAIRS, March/April 2012, http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/fascistoid-russia-whither-putin%E2%80%99s-brittle-realm
The massive demonstrations that rocked Russia ... already has an obsessive ideological vision.
Russia is suffering from Dutch disease—appreciates currency, undermines competitiveness, threatens economic stability Scott Nicholas Romaniuk, Institute of European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies, Carleton University, and Joshua Kenneth Wasylciw, Department of Political Science, University of Calgary, "Russia's Authoritarianism in Strategic Perspective," EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES v. 10 n. 4, 2009, p. 623-624.
In lieu of increasing prices for ... military measures that are already visible.
Decline in production and revenue are inevitable in the status quo without reforms Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
In the years since the crisis ... to any decline in oil profits.
Russia dependence fuels corruption, undermines democratic development Henry Meyer and Agnes lovasz, "Russia Faces Economy Trap as Oil Decline Looms," BLOOMBERG, 12--14--12, http://www.energytribune.com/he/68090/russia-faces-economy-trap-as-oil-decline-looms-2
“The problem of being a ... needs over the next few years.
Crushes economy Erik van der Marel, Fellow, London School fo Economics and IanaDreyer, international trade policy expert, Institut Montaigne, "Beyond Dutch Disease: When Deteriorating Rule of Law Affects Russian Trade in High-Tech Goods and Services with Advanced Economies," Group d.EconomieMondiale (GEM), 7--13--12, p. 2.
Despite its booming trade in the ... most notably sophisticated manufactures and services.
Low prices key to Russian economic reforms and more restrained foreign policy Pirrong 11 (Craig, Professor of Finance, and Energy Markets Director for the Global Energy Management Institute at the Bauer College of Business of the University of Houston, 1/6/11, “Higher Oil Prices Will Stymie Reform in Russia” Seeking Alpha) http://seekingalpha.com/article/245309-higher-oil-prices-will-stymie-reform-in-russia
And as Sergei Guriev and AlehTsyvinski ... whiskey and let that cocaine be.
No other method works—only in a world of low prices is diversification viable Moiseev 12 (Alexey, special reporter for Russia Now, 7/6/12, “Modernisation is Russia's cure for 'Dutch disease'” The Telegraph) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/russianow/business/9382538/russia-dutch-disease.html
Any country trying to diversify will ... through purely administrative or similar measures.
No Russia Disad Russia instability inevitable now—Putin's fascistoid "cult of the leader" is not sustainable Alexander J. Motyl, Professor, Political Science, Rutgers University-Newark, "Fascistoid Russia: Whither Putin's Brittle Realm?" WORLD AFFAIRS, March/April 2012, http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/fascistoid-russia-whither-putin%E2%80%99s-brittle-realm
The massive demonstrations that rocked Russia ... already has an obsessive ideological vision.
Russia is suffering from Dutch disease—appreciates currency, undermines competitiveness, threatens economic stability Scott Nicholas Romaniuk, Institute of European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies, Carleton University, and Joshua Kenneth Wasylciw, Department of Political Science, University of Calgary, "Russia's Authoritarianism in Strategic Perspective," EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES v. 10 n. 4, 2009, p. 623-624.
In lieu of increasing prices for ... military measures that are already visible.
Decline in production and revenue are inevitable in the status quo without reforms Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
In the years since the crisis ... to any decline in oil profits.
Solvency: 1AC Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on the production of crude oil in Virginia’s Outer Continental Shelf.
Drilling off the coast of Virginia would immediately provide economic benefits Styles 10 (Geoffrey, Managing Director of GSW Strategy Group, LLC, an energy and environmental strategy consulting firm, 3/15/10, “It's Time to Let Virginia Drill” Energy Outlook) http://energyoutlook.blogspot.com/2010/03/its-time-to-let-virginia-drill.html
As I've noted on many occasions ... now to move ahead with this.
Virginia’s waters contain 750 million barrels of oil Squires 10 (Paula, staff writer, 10/14/10, “New report says big economic impact would flow from offshore drilling in Virginia” Virginia Business) http://www.virginiabusiness.com/index.php/news/article/new-report-says-big-economic-impact-would-flow-from-offshore-drilling-in-vi/308131/
To come up with estimates on ... trillion cubic feet of natural gas.
| |||
| 01/25/2013 | Pitt Round Robin - Aff Round ReportsTournament: Pitt Round Robin | Round: 3 | Opponent: West Georgia GM | Judge: Toya Green Round 3: Vs. West Georgia GM, with LaToya Williams-Green as the Judge. Solvency - it's a good first step, technological solutions work, 1AR: | |||
| 01/26/2013 | Pivot AdvTournament: Pitt RR | Round: 1 | Opponent: Michigan DH | Judge: Malgor Obama is attempting to pivot to Asia now, but oil will keep us bogged down in the Middle East As the United States winds down … dependence on Middle Eastern oil. Reducing reliance on Middle East oil is key to shift military resources from the Middle East to Asia—also solves east china sea conflict, and US-China relations A previous post peered into the crystal ball to argue that …, a topic to which my next post will turn. Increased military presence in Asia is key to a successful pivot—diplomacy is not enough As Americans, we must be realistic about our future. … away from saying that is our objective. US commitment is key to prevent an Asian arms race The paper argues that it is time for the … would lead to Armageddon. Arms race in Asia leads to global nuclear war Failure to contain proliferation … thus triggering a mistaken preemption. the asia pivot independently checks china’s rise--solves world war 3 In the turbulent decade leading up to the outbreak of World War I, … conflicts that preceded the outbreak of World War I in Europe. East china sea conflict causes extinction—economics and deterrence don’t check US china relations solve cascading failed states and global stability New threat perceptions in the United States, … ad hoc groupings of allies and partners. | |||
| 01/27/2013 | Pitt RR New AffTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Economy Advantage
Although the formal moratorium has been lifted, restrictions on oil drilling in the Gulf of Mexico remainFlohr 12 (Spencer, Summer Associate at the IER, 7/3/12, “Drilling in the Gulf of Mexico: Regulation and its Discontents” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2012/07/03/drilling-in-the-gulf-of-mexico-regulation-and-its-discontents/
Oil rigs are mobile devices, and rigs in U.S. waters can AND with more effectiveness and predictability to ensure continued oil production in the Gulf.
Economy Advantage The economy is on the brink—fiscal cliff, bad indicators, and lack of stimulus optionsHall 12/25 (Anthony, reporter, 12/25/12, “The Year in Review: 2012: The U.S. Economy -- deja vu all over again” United Press International) http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2012/12/25/The-Year-in-Review-2012-The-US-Economy-deja-vu-all-over-again/UPI-57181356433260/
For all intents and purposes, the U.S. economy was something of AND way to squeeze each new drop of stimulus out of its policy arsenal.
Economy Advantage
Increased drilling in the Gulf can boost the economy, overcoming all other factorsBonakdarpour et al 11 (Mohsen, Director, Consulting, Manufacturing and Services, IHS Global Insight, James Burkhard, Managing Director, Global Oil, IHS CERA, James Diffley, Chief US Regional Economist, IHS Global Insight, David Hobbs, Chief Energy Strategist, IHS CERA, Sang-Won Kim, Managing Director, Consulting, Energy and Natural Resources, IHS CERA, John W. Larson, Vice President, Consulting, Public Sector, IHS Global Insight, Michael N. Marinovic, Vice President, Consulting, Energy and Natural Resources, IHS CERA, Candida Scott, Senior Director, Cost and Technology Group, IHS CERA, Leta Smith, Director, Exploration and Production Trends, IHS CERA, August 2011, “Restarting “the Engine” — Securing American Jobs, Investment, and Energy Security” IHS Global Insight) http://www.gulfeconomicsurvival.org/phx-content/assets/files/GoM_Restarting_the_Engine.pdf
The nation’s key economic indicators are flashing warning signs. Commodity prices have taken a AND the annual budgets of the Department of Agriculture or the Department of Energy.
Economy Advantage
US is key to the global economy |
But a suicide bomber in Pakistan rammed a car packed with explosives into a jeep
AND
to be gravely serious about addressing the situation. So should we all.
Modeling Advantage
D. U.S. model is key
Center for Justice and Accountability et al., Brief filed in Odah v. United Sates, 2003 U.S. Briefs 334, 1--14--04, LN.
Many of the newly independent governments (viewed Jan. 8, 2004).
Modeling Advantage
E. Strong judiciary key to stability, U.S. support key
Beth Maclin, "Pakistan Needs Strong Judiciary for Stability," Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, 7--2--08, http://belfercenter.ksg.harvard.edu/publication/18457/pakistan_needs_strong_judiciary_for_stability.html
The United States should change its tactics in Pakistan to win the battle against Al
AND
to the adversaries who promises a rough kind of justice,” he said.
Plan
Plan: The Supreme Court of the United States should rule that the Department of Interior should substantially reduce restrictions on the production of crude oil in the Gulf of Mexico, holding that the Department of Interior's restrictions on the production of crude oil violate the Administrative Procedures Act.
Solvency
Only the courts can rule on statutory interpretations
Molot 02 (Jonathan, Associate Professor, George Washington University Law School, Summer 2002, “Reexamining Marbury in the Administrative State: A Structural And Institutional Defense of Judicial Power Over Statutory Interpretation” Northwestern University Law Review, Lexis)
First, the Article argues that as the lone constitutional actor with no formal role
AND
other is that judges are structurally independent from both political branches of government.
Ruling on APA grounds functionally overturns the Chevron decision
Beerman 10 (Jack, Professor of Law and Harry Elwood Warren Scholar, Boston University School of Law, February, 2010, “End the Failed Chevron Experiment Now: How Chevron Has Failed and Why It Can and Should Be Overruled” Connecticut Law Review, Lexis)
One issue that needs to be discussed is what it would mean for the Court
AND
the delegation of authority and passes muster under the arbitrary, capricious test.
Solvency
Chevron decision is the foundation of deference
Dobkin 08 (Donald, Author, immigration attorney and civil rights advocate, “The Rise of the Administrative State: a Prescription for Lawlessness” http://www.law.ku.edu/sites/law.drupal.ku.edu/files/docs/law_journal/v17/dobkin.pdf
Why have courts been so reluctant to intervene to check agency power?The modern
AND
held that an agency must utilize “reasoned decisionmaking and consistency in adjudication.”
Significant oil production would come online quickly
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be areas along the Atlantic coast without the significant build
AND
, those resources could be available in a significantly shorter period of time.
Solvency
Sitting on leases is impossible—they expire
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Myth: Oil companies are sitting on 68 million acres of untapped leases and don’t
AND
have. Technology has allowed companies to increase their production on leased acreage.
Pitt RR Round 5 Cites
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
T Ans: Production Isn’t Extraction 2AC
1. Energy production of oil is drilling—we meet
Moore 11 (Richard, investigative reporter, 5/6/11, “Gas prices soar to near record levels across Wisconsin, Midwest” The Lakeland Times) http://www.lakelandtimes.com/main.asp?SubSectionID=9andArticleID=13131andSectionID=9
These Republicans revert to…Energy Department.
2. Counter-interpretation: production in the context of oil means drilling
US EIA no dateGlossary, http://205.254.135.7/tools/glossary/index.cfm?id=A
Conventional oil and natural … to readily flow to the wellbore.
Energy production must be defined in context
EIA, no date
Energy Information Administration, Glossary, “P”, http://www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/index.cfm?id=P, accessed 5-20-12, AFB
D. They assume energy production FROM oil, not OF oil
Merriam-Webster no date “of” http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/of
a —… an adjective fond of candy
Econ Adv: A2 “No Impact” 1:00
Econ decline causes war – stats and history show that econ decline causes a breakdown in interdependence and trade and risks diversionary wars – that’s Royal
Prolonged recession causes war – history proves
John B. Judis, senior editor of The New Republic and Visiting Scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 8/8/11, “Liberals’ Strange Retreat on Government Spending”, http://www.tnr.com/article/john-judis/93287/obama-administration-economy-recession, mnrs
The first consideration has to do with the sheer gravity of the situation. What
AND
. It could alsobring about trade wars and intense competition over natural resources,
and the eventual breakdown of important institutions like European Union and the World Trade Organization. Even a shooting war is possible. So while the Obama administration would face a severe challenge in trying to win support for a boost in government spending, failing to do so would be far more serious than the ruckus that Tea Party and Republican opposition could create over the next year.
U.S. Economy: Top--Weak F/L
US economy is weak- great caution needs to be taken
Kurz 1/23 (Walter, written for Business Insider “5 Reasons To Be Nervous About The US Stock Market”, http://www.businessinsider.com/5-reasons-to-be-nervous-about-the-us-stock-market-2013-1)
US equity markets are touching multi-year highs as investors increasingly allocate to the
AND
a contrarian signal, but this should certainly signal a need for caution.
Econ Adv: Impact Add-On—China War
Economic collapse causes war with China – growth is key to deterrence
Jeremy Hsu, InnovationNewsDaily Senior Writer, 11/1/11, “Economic Ties Could Help Prevent US-China War”, TechNewsDaily, http://www.technewsdaily.com/5318-china-military-cyber-national-security.html, mnrs
As the U.S. faces China's economic and military rise, it also
AND
recession worse than that caused by the financial crisis of 2008-2009.
China war goes global and nuclear
Hunkovic, American Military University, 09 Lee J, 2009, “The Chinese-Taiwanese Conflict Possible Futures of a Confrontation between China, Taiwan and the United States of America”, http://www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/Hunkovic.pdf
A war between China, Taiwan and the United States has the potential to escalate
AND
outcome, therefore, other countries will not be considered in this study.
Add-On: Chemical Industry
Plan jump-starts the chemical industry
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf
Figure 1 illustrates the percent of mortgages ninety or more days delinquent by county in
AND
used in rational decision making on the costs and benefits of OCS development.
Chem industry solves multiple environmental scenarios for extinction
Baum 99 – Baum, Founder of Chemical and Engineering News Washington, 12-6-99 (Rudy, “MILLENNIUM SPECIAL REPORT,” CandEN Washington, Volume 77, Number 49, http://pubs.acs.org/cen/hotarticles/cenear/991206/7749spintro2.html)
Computers and the Internet are clearly one of the driving forces shaping all aspects of
AND
mysteries and provide for humanity's basic and not-so-basic needs.
Add-On: Shipbuilding Industry
Plan jump-starts the ship-building industry
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf
Onshore state and local economies benefit from the development of OCS resources by providing goods
AND
support other jobs and other industries (such as retail and hospitality establishments).
Strong shipbuilding industry key to naval power
Alberto et al, 5 (Lieutenant Colonel Ronald P., U.S. Army, et al, faculty at the Industrial College of the Armed Forces, “SHIPBUILDING”, The Industrial College of the Armed Forces, National Defense University, 2005, http://www.ndu.edu/icaf/programs/academic/industry/reports/2005/pdf/icaf-is-report-shipbuilding-2005.pdf, Deech)
In conclusion, our study found that the tremendous advantage the US enjoys in naval
AND
skyrocket out of proportion to the value to the nation of the vessel.
Great power war
Conway et al 7 James T., General, U.S. Marine Corps, Gary Roughead, Admiral, U.S. Navy, Thad W. Allen, Admiral, U.S. Coast Guard, “A Cooperative Strategy for 21st Century Seapower,” October, http://www.navy.mil/maritime/MaritimeStrategy.pdf
Deter major power war. No other disruption is as potentially disastrous to global stability
AND
and sustain forces, sea control and power projection enable extended campaigns ashore.
DA Ans: Politics (Hagel) 2AC
Past fights spill-over—kills capital and agenda
Rosalind Helderman, 1/20/13, Despite inaugural respite, more fights lay ahead for Obama and Congress, articles.washingtonpost.com/2013-01-20/national/36473714_1_fiscal-cliff-immigration-laws-house-republicans
As President Obama begins his second term, he faces a difficult, if familiar
AND
reinstituted ban on assault weapons and a restriction on high-capacity magazines.
Hagel won’t pass -~-- new ads.
Erin McPike, Real Clear Politics, 1-23, p. www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/01/23/ad_targets_hagel_ahead_of_confirmation_hearing_116772.html
A week before his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Secretary of
AND
the nominee will be confirmed, his road ahead promises to be bumpy.
Courts don’t link to politics:
A. Institutional and persuasive power
Pacelle 02 Richard L. Pacelle, Associate Professor, Political Science, University of Missouri-St. Louis, THE ROLE OF THE SUPREME COURT IN AMERICAN POLITICS, 2002, p. 102.
The limitations on the Court are not as significant as they once seemed. They
AND
turn the focus to judicial capacity, the subject of the next chapter.
B. Blame-shifting
Whittington 05 (Keith E. Whittington, Professor of Politics - Princeton University, "Interpose Your Friendly Hand: Political Supports for the Exercise of Judicial Review by the United States Supreme Court”, The American Political Science Review, Nov., (99)4, p. 583)
There are some issues that politicians cannot easily handle. For individual legislators, their
AND
action that political leaders want taken, as illustrated in the following case.
Expanding oil production is key to get GOP support for Obama’s agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
And the president could perhaps turn down the bellicosity on the Hill by working with
AND
have plenty of GOP support – but that remains a large “if.”
GOP support is key to the agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
But if the president … railing against.
Democrats inevitably support Obama
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
And then there’s always … by hurricane Sandy.
Alternatives solve
Huff Po 1/6 (Huffington Post 1/6 2013 “Obama's National Security Team: Back to the Good Old Boys?” http:~/~/www.huffingtonpost.com/stewart-j-lawrence/obama-cabinet-women_b_2416419.html(%%), )
Obama also has other options -- and they're good ones. He could easily choose
AND
has. She's Hagel without the war record -- or the verbal testosterone.
DA Ans: Politics 1AR—A2 “Harrison”
The Harrison evidence is not qualified, not supported by evidence, and should not be evaluated
Harrison, 2007(Lindsay Harrison, edebate, “Please post this email to edebate on my behalf” March 3, online)
It has come to my attention that teams are reading "evidence" from a
AND
penalize those teams for reading evidence that the author considers out of context.
Enviro: Safe
Drilling has a tiny footprint--new tech, regulatory oversight
American Petroleum Institute (API), ONSHORE ACCESS TO OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESOURCES, 2009, http:~/~/www.api.org/~~/media/Files/Policy/Exploration/onshore_access_ashx(%%), accessed 6-9-12.
ADVANCED DRILLING TECHNIQUES: Precision drilling has dramatically reduced the surface footprint. These advancements
AND
, and the measures that are most effective in preventing emergencies from occurring.
Enviro: Safe—A2 “Spills”
There is already a large amount of oil from natural seeps
Mac Johnson,, “The Resilience of the Gulf,” ENERGY TRIBUNE, 8-10-10, www.energytribune.com/articles.cfm/4917/The-Resilience-of-The-Gulf-Oil-Seeps-and-Oil-Spills-Havent-and-Wont-Kill-the-Gulf-Of-Mexico, accessed 4-8-12.
When oil seeps through fissures in the seabed, the result is a natural oil
AND
, ahead of airborne pollution, ground runoff and drilling/shipping accidents.
Natural bacteria solve spills—horizon aftermath proves
Hindustan Times, “BP May Have to Thank Bacteria for Oil Spill Clean Up,” 8-27-10, www.hindustantimes.com/BP-may-have-to-thank-bacteria-for-oil-spill-clean-up/Article1-592592.aspx, accessed 4-8-12.
Scientists claim to have solved the mystery of the disappearing oil from the BP spill
AND
, said DNA tests showed that the bugs had genes for processing oil.
Enviro: Turn—Visibility
Drilling in the OCS displaces worse drilling—and it makes it visible which causes us to reduce our dependence long-term
Little 10 (Amanda, author of Power Trip, 5/21/10, “Opinion: Offshore Drilling -- Better Here Than Elsewhere” AOL News) http://www.aolnews.com/2010/05/21/opinion-offshore-drilling-better-here-than-elsewhere/
I, like so many observers of this disaster, find its consequences abhorrent.
AND
, will we mobilize the shift toward clean alternatives on a grand scale.
Economic crisis looms
Arcega 1/17 (Mark, Voice of America News “US Economy Faces Another Cliff” http://www.voanews.com/content/us-economy-fiscal-cliff/1586206.html)
The U.S. may have avoided the fiscal cliff, but analysts say
AND
so too are the consequences of allowing the country's spending to go unchecked.
No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression
Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession is rising. And while economists disagree on just
AND
this new recession would likely have virtually no policy effort to counteract it.
Job poaching means there's no net decrease in unemployment
De Rugy and Mitchell 11 — Veronique de Rugy, Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, former resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, policy analyst at the Cato Institute, and research fellow at the Atlas Economic Research Foundation, holds an M.A. in Economics from the University of Paris IX-Dauphine and a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Paris Pantheon-Sorbonne, and Matthew Mitchell, Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, holds an M.A. and Ph.D. in Economics from George Mason University, 2011 (“Would More Infrastructure Spending Stimulate the Economy?,” Mercatus Center Working Paper Number 11-36, September, Available Online at http://mercatus.org/sites/default/files/publication/infrastructure_deRugy_WP_9-12-11.pdf, Accessed 06-12-2012, p. 5)
• Job poaching, not creating: Unemployment rates among specialists, such as those
AND
to poaching decline to fill the vacant positions—leaving unemployment essentially unchanged.
HSR doesn’t solve the economy – exaggerated
Staley 09 (Sam, director of urban growth and land use policy for Reason Foundation, “Why High-Speed Rail Fails as a Jobs Program,” August 18, http://reason.com/archives/2009/08/18/why-high-speed-rail-fails-as-a)
Of course, rail proponents argue that spending money now on high-speed rail
AND
inevitably fails as a broad-based solution to the country's transportation challenges.
Status quo doesn’t solve, ,but the plan does
Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain more than 4 million jobs in the near future from
AND
regulations meet the intent of the rules and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
Politicians can just say their hands are tied
Dallas Morning News 8/19/05
http:~/~/www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/texassouthwest/legislature/schoolfinance/stories/082005url:http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/texassouthwest/legislature/schoolfinance/stories/082005dntexsession.8bd31b4a.html
That could foreshadow the court's response to a chief argument by state attorneys – that
AND
must be done, which allows politicians to say their hands are tied."
The ruling will go unnoticed—no one pays attention
Gregory Caldeira, Professor of Political Science, Ohio State University, 1986 The American Political Science Review, Vol. 80, No. 4 (Dec., pp. 1209-1226; “Neither the Purse Nor the Sword: Dynamics of Public Confidence in the Supreme Court”; Jstor
In previous work on support for institutions and leaders, scholars have demonstrated the crucial
AND
often enough to permit a precise reading on the influence of salient events.
Popular respect for the Court shields it from partisan politics
Gregory Caldeira, Professor of Political Science, Ohio State University, 1986 The American Political Science Review, Vol. 80, No. 4 (Dec., pp. 1209-1226; “Neither the Purse Nor the Sword: Dynamics of Public Confidence in the Supreme Court”; Jstor
The purpose of this research is to examine theories of diffuse support and institutional legitimacy
AND
and diffuse support, most likely due to satisfying successive, nonoverlapping constituencies.
Courts don’t link to politics- shielded from political pressure
Ward 09 (Artemus Ward, Professor at NIU, Political Foundations of Judicial Supremacy, Congress and The Presidency, pg. 119)
After the old order has collapse the once- united, new-regime coalition
AND
division of labor exists between politicians and judges affiliated with the dominant regime.
flip flops don’t matter for obama
Kenneth T. Walsh, U.S. NEWS and WORLD REPORT, 6—1—09, LN.
US News Weekly's Kenneth T. Walsh (5/29) writes, "
AND
been praised for his flexibility, not condemned for his flip-flops."
obama controls anyway
Taylor 1/8/13 (Robert, “Predator Drone Strikes Kill Up to 50 Civilians For Every 1 Terrorist Assassinated: Study”, http:~/~/www.policymic.com/articles/22228/com/articles/22228/predator-drone-strikes-kill-up-to-50-civilians-for-every-1-terrorist-assassinated-study, )
This is why the recent news that the president is nominating former Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel for secretary of defense admittedly left me a bit surprised and optimistic.
Hagel has a history of com/justin/2012/12/23/the-crucifixion-of-chuck-hagel/||target="_blank" foreign policy prescriptions— at least compared to the
AND
drowned out by the screeches of the hawks that surround the White House.
Hagel won’t solve global problems
Rubin, 1/18 (Jennifer, “As the right gets its act together on Hagel, the White House scrambles”, http:~/~/www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2013/01/18/as-the-right-gets-its-act-together-on-hagel-the-white-house-scrambles/http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2013/01/18/as-the-right-gets-its-act-together-on-hagel-the-white-house-scrambles/, )
Events have also conspired against Hagel. He is reaching the hearing date just as
AND
need something more convincing than “changed my mind!” for the interrogation.
ROK Economy Adv
Tournament: NU | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge:
Expensive oil will tank the South Korean economy
Korea Times 12, (8-6-12, “Oil prices feared to hit Korean economy”) http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/biz/2012/08/123_116725.html
International crude
. and Chinese economies.
High oil prices are the biggest threat to growth—outweighs resilience
Reuters 12 (3/6/12, “Oil prices replacing Europe as biggest worry for Asia?” First Post) http://www.firstpost.com/economy/oil-prices-replacing-europe-as-biggest-worry-for-asia-235588.html
High oil prices are fast
affected, while oil exporters Malaysia and Vietnam should benefit.
Economic stagnation causes South Korean nuclearization and East Asian arms racing
Richardson 06 (Corey, a Washington-based analyst who covered East Asian security issues as a presidential management fellow with the US Department of Defense, and is a co-founder of The Korea Liberator. “South Korea must choose sides” Asia Times,www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/HI09Dg02.html)
A Korea faced with an economic
or the Koguryo dispute between Korea and China.
South Korea has the technical ability to get nuclear weapons
Porter 09, investigative historian and journalist specializing in US national security policy, 2009
(Gareth, Asia Times Middle East South Korea let off for nuclear deceptions, December 22, 2009, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/KL22Ak02.html, accessed June 26, 2010, TS)
There was just one major difference
International Security after the Korean violations were revealed.
Arms racing makes nuclear war inevitable—miscalc is uniquely likely in East Asia
Landay 2K (Jonathan S., National Security and Intelligence Correspondent, Knight Ridder/Tribune News Service, 3-10, Lexis)
Few if any experts think China
the Commerce Department.
South Korean economy is key to democracy
NEWSWEEK 10(“Selling South Korea,” 1/29 http://www.newsweek.com/2010/01/28/selling-south-korea.html)
In short, the South Korean
to them than, say, that of China."
Democracy solves multiple scenarios for extinction
Larry Diamond, Snr Research Fellow at the Hoover Institute, Promoting Democracy in the 1990s, 1995 p. 6-7
This hardly exhausts the lists of
, and the rule of law, democracies are the only reliable foundation on which a new world order of international security and prosperity can be built.
Core Oil Aff, NU: Econ, Heg, Russia
Tournament: Northwestern | Round: 5 & 8 | Opponent: | Judge:
Geopolitics
Contention 1 is Geopolitics:
Oil distorts and constrains US hegemonic strategy by forcing interventionism
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.
The importance of oil
humanitarian issues.
Plan allows U.S. to become a net energy supplier
Mills 12 (Mark, physicist, is an adjunct fellow with the Manhattan Institute and Forbes Energy Intelligence columnist, served in President Ronald Reagan’s White House Science Office, 7/25/12, “U.S. can become an energy export nation” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78978_Page2.html
A number of recent detailed
for long-term peace.
That’s key to benevolent hegemony
Schwark 12 (Sebastian, associate director of Hill-Knowlton strategies, communications Strategist, Energy Specialist, 8/13/12, “e-Ideas (1): Politics and Walter Russell Mead’s Looming Energy Revolution” The Energy Collective) http://theenergycollective.com/sebastian-schwark/102696/e-ideas-1-politics-and-walter-russell-mead-s-looming-energy-revolution
This geopolitical shift will
than fighting wars in the sands Iraq.
Solves extinction
Thomas P.M. Barnett, chief analyst, Wikistrat, “The New Rules: Leadership Fatigue Puts U.S. and Globalization, at Crossroads,” WORLD POLITICS REVIEW, 3—7—11, www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads
Events in Libya are a further reminder for
20th century, setting the stage for the Pacific Century now unfolding.
Economy
Contention 2 is the Economy:
Oil prices will stay high this year—current production is not enough to change prices
Blas 1/1 (Javier, commodities editor for the Financial Time, “Shale revolution will not dent $100 oil” Financial Times) http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7680572a-5030-11e2-a231-00144feab49a.html#axzz2H3L1Rsad
Oil prices are set to stay
a note to clients.
Recession and food price spikes are coming in 2013 and high oil prices are to blame
Tverberg 13 (Gail, M. S. from the University of Illinois, Chicago in Mathematics, and Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries, oil expert, 1/8/13, “Why 2013 Will End in a Severe Recession” Oil Price)
We have been hearing a lot about
and expense.
Plan sends a signal to oil markets that immediately brings down prices
Peter Ferrera, Director, Entitlement and Budget Policy, Heartland Institute, "Obama's War on Oil," AMERICAN SPECTATOR, 5--4--11, http://spectator.org/archives/2011/05/04/obamas-war-on-oil
Supply down, prices up
. Opening up new oil supplies for tomorrow will similarly mean lower prices today.
Plan massively boosts employment and revenue, driving economic growth
Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain
the intent of the rules and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
US is key to the global economy
Caploe 9 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)
IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, most
countries must certainly help.
No resiliency—we’ve pulled out all the stops—recession now will trigger a depression
Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip
would likely have virtually no policy effort to counteract it.
Economic decline causes war—studies prove
Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level,
deserves more attention.
Those wars go nuclear
Kerpen 8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008, Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression? http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we
would risk armed conflicts on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war
Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also
about their prospects.
Food price spikes risk internal revolts in Russia, China, and India in 2013
Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.
Adverse climatic conditions
investment capital.
china instability causes WMD conflict and extinction
Renxing 8/3/05 (San, Staff, Epoch Times, "CCP Gambles Insanely to Avoid Death," http:~/~/www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.htmlhttp://www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.html)
Since the Party’s life is “above all else,”
gamble with their lives.
contention 3--Russia
Russia instability inevitable now—Putin's fascistoid "cult of the leader" is not sustainable
Alexander J. Motyl, Professor, Political Science, Rutgers University-Newark, "Fascistoid Russia: Whither Putin's Brittle Realm?" WORLD AFFAIRS, March/April 2012, http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/fascistoid-russia-whither-putin%E2%80%99s-brittle-realm
The massive demonstrations
if he already has an obsessive ideological vision.
Russia is suffering from Dutch disease—appreciates currency, undermines competitiveness, threatens economic stability
Scott Nicholas Romaniuk, Institute of European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies, Carleton University, and Joshua Kenneth Wasylciw, Department of Political Science, University of Calgary, "Russia's Authoritarianism in Strategic Perspective," EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES v. 10 n. 4, 2009, p. 623-624.
In lieu of increasing prices for Russia’s
already visible.
Decline in oil production and revenue are inevitable in the status quo without reforms
Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
In the years since the crisis, overall oil
in oil profits.
Lack of reform is stifling oil sector innovation—resource dependence serves as a brake on growth
Thane Gustafson, Professor, Government, Georgetown University and Senior Director, IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates, "Putin's Petroleum Problem," FOREIGN AFFAIRS, November/December 2012, ASP.
Neither Russia's oil
, the leadership seems more inclined to choose the status quo than adaptation.
Russia oil dependence fuels corruption, undermines democratic development
Henry Meyer and Agnes lovasz, "Russia Faces Economy Trap as Oil Decline Looms," BLOOMBERG, 12--14--12, http://www.energytribune.com/he/68090/russia-faces-economy-trap-as-oil-decline-looms-2
“The problem of being a
rate of 5 percent to 6 percent that Russia needs over the next few years.
Corruption crushes economy—deters investment and modernization
Erik van der Marel, Fellow, London School fo Economics and IanaDreyer, international trade policy expert, Institut Montaigne, "Beyond Dutch Disease: When Deteriorating Rule of Law Affects Russian Trade in High-Tech Goods and Services with Advanced Economies," Group d.EconomieMondiale (GEM), 7--13--12, p. 2.
Despite its booming trade in the first decade of
and services.
Low prices key to Russian economic reforms and more restrained foreign policy
Pirrong 11 (Craig, Professor of Finance, and Energy Markets Director for the Global Energy Management Institute at the Bauer College of Business of the University of Houston, 1/6/11, “Higher Oil Prices Will Stymie Reform in Russia” Seeking Alpha) http://seekingalpha.com/article/245309-higher-oil-prices-will-stymie-reform-in-russia
And as Sergei Guriev and AlehTsyvinski
can’t lay off that whiskey and let that cocaine be.
No other method works—only in a world of low prices is diversification viable
Moiseev 12 (Alexey, special reporter for Russia Now, 7/6/12, “Modernisation is Russia's cure for 'Dutch disease'” The Telegraph) http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sponsored/russianow/business/9382538/russia-dutch-disease.html
Any country trying to
similar measures.
Petrodependence fuels Russian aggression and nationalism--diversification key to solve
Dr. Ariel Cohen and Dr. Richard Ericson, "Russia's Economic Crisis and U.S.-Russia Relatoins: Troubled Times Ahead," BACKGROUNDER n. 2333, Heritage Foundation, 11--2--09, http:~/~/www.heritage.org/research/reports/2009/11/org/research/reports/2009/11/russias-economic-crisis-and-us-russia-relations-troubled-times-ahead
An economic model based
investment is stunted by state corruption and the lack of the rule of law.
Nuclear war
Dr. Stephen Blank, Research Professor, National Security Affairs, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War college, "Russia and Arms Control: Are There Opportunities for the Obama Administration?" 3--09, www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf
Proliferators or
their neighbors or their own people.172
Plan
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on the production of crude oil on federal lands.
Solvency 1:00
Contention 4 is Solvency:
Opening up access to federal lands solves energy dominance, prices, and the economy
Bandow 12 (Doug, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, author of several books, 12/14/12, “Energy to Spare” Cato Institute) http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/energy-spare
To obtain this bright future government
of all major energy projects,” similar to that employed by Canada.
No disads—status quo achieves independence within a year, triggering all of their links
THE GLEANER, editorial, "Nation's Total Energy Independence Gift for Future Generations," 12--27--12, http://www.courierpress.com/news/2012/dec/27/nations-total-energy-independence-gift-for/
Ho! Ho! Ho! America got an early
pass Saudi Arabia as the largest oil-producing nation on Earth.
Sitting on leases is impossible—they expire
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Myth: Oil companies are sitting on 68
panies to increase their production on leased acreage.
Significant oil production would come online quickly
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be areas along
could be available in a significantly shorter period of time.
Economic benefits will start before production comes online
Hastings 11 Doc, Chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee, "Forget 10 Years--Drilling ANWR Would Pay Off Right Away", November 3, www.usnews.com/debate-club/is-it-time-to-drill-in-the-arctic-refuge/forget-10-years--drilling-anwr-would-pay-off-right-away
Critics argue that we shouldn't
and employing thousands of people.
back to Russia:
corruption makes a Russian collapse inevitable
Anders Aslund, senior fellow, Peterson Institute, "An Assessment of Putin's Economic Policy," CESifo FORUM, 7--08, www.iie.com/publications/papers/paper.cfm?ResearchID=974
In 2004, Foreign Affairs published a
to the current inflation crisis.
North Korea Adv
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
North Korean instability is coming—the next food crisis is around the corner
Natsios 12 (Andrew, executive professor at the George H.W. Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas AandM University, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, 11/12/12, “The Dangers of the Coming North Korean Famine” US News) http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/world-report/2012/11/12/the-political-consequences-of-famine-in-north-korea
While U.S. media ... of the weapons as it collapses.
Cheap oil prices key to prevent North Korean collapse during food crises
Petrov 08 (Dr. Leonid, Research School of Pacific and Asian Studies, Australian National University, 7/24/08, “Russia is key to North Korea's plight” Asia Times) http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Central_Asia/JG24Ag02.html
The nervousness of Pyongyang, which ... confidence and attracted foreign direct investment.
North Korean collapse causes nuclear war between China, the US and South Korea
Bennett and Lind 11 (Bruce, Senior Defense Analyst at RAND, and Jennifer, Assistant Professor of Government at Dartmouth College, Fall 2011, “The Collapse of North Korea” MIT Press Journals) http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/ISEC_a_00057
A government collapse in North Korea ... risks of misperception and crisis escalation.
Collapse of North Korea causes WMD to spread to terrorist organizations
Bennett and Lind 11 (Bruce, Senior Defense Analyst at RAND, and Jennifer, Assistant Professor of Government at Dartmouth College, Fall 2011, “The Collapse of North Korea” MIT Press Journals) http://www.mitpressjournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1162/ISEC_a_00057
In the wake of a government ... in all of its various forms.
Nuclear terrorism causes global nuclear war
Morgan 09 - Dennis Ray Morgan, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Yongin Campus - South Korea Futures, Volume 41, Issue 10, December 2009, Pages 683-693, World on fire: two scenarios of the destruction of human civilization and possible extinction of the human race
In a remarkable website on nuclear ... environment and fragile ecosphere as well.
North Korea will sell off their bioweapons if the regime thinks it’s going down
Miller 11 (J. Berkshire, 12/12/11, “North Korea’s Other Weapons Threat” The Diplomat) http://thediplomat.com/2011/11/12/north-korea%E2%80%99s-other-weapons-threat/
The CBW threat emanating from Pyongyang ... a desperate leadership starved of cash.
North Korea has a significant bioweapons program
Global Security 12 (9/21/12, “Biological Weapons Program”) http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/dprk/bw.htm
In 2008 the US Congressional Research ... to accomplish weaponization of BW agents.
Bioterror attacks cause extinction
Singer 01 (Clifford E., professor of nuclear engineering and director of the Program in Arms Control, Disarmament and International Security at the University of Illinois at Urbana – Champaign, “Will mankind survive the millennium?” Bulletin of the program in Arms Control Disarmament, and International Security, 13:1, Swords and Ploughshares, http://acdis.illinois.edu/assets/docs/312/WillMankindSurvivetheMillennium.pdf)
There are, however, two ... when and if this is achieved.
CEDA 1AC
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
the advantage is oil
welcome to OIL everywhere you look OIL your tubs are made of OIL your paperless is made of OIL your face is covered in OIL when the earth bleeds it seeps with OIL
Thorburn 07
Elise, MA from University of Western Ontario, Centre for the Study of Theory and Criticism, “The Crude and the Abject: a Psychoanalysis of the Oil Economy,” accessed online through personal communication, used with permission from the author, full article available upon request i can jump it to you)
It has been said by many ... for the possibility of a future.
how could you not touch that sweet texas tea. when it begins to drip through your fingertips, you’re not just touching the surface you’re touching the lips the bits hips tits and mits of a goddamn dinosaur. shit.
the truth is, it’s everywhere and we want it- now. NO COST IS TOO GREAT to obtain my preternatural front of line one and only love- oil. in this great peterotopia of ours, there are no pretenders! we know the difference between with or against; on it or, HEAVEN FORBID, off of it. and we know that all of these great impacts are just so many expressions of this bad faith rock and roll dream- nothing can pull us over NOTHING CAN SLOW US DOWN. our belief sustains the notion that nothing can be undone.
LeMenager 12
(Stephanie, Associeate Professor of English @ UC Santa Barbara, “The Aesthetics of Petroleum, After Oil!” American Literary History 24.1 pj Muse)
The inescapability of petroleum infrastructures in ... we inherit from the twentieth century.
our utopian attachment to oil allows capital to take on a level of speculative abstraction where populations are collectively sacrificed at the margins while we continue business as usual- this liberalistic perception of violence as individually caused and due to subjective outbursts facilitates our ignorance of the misery we cause on masse while believing that our systemic relations can “help real people”
Zizek 08
(Slavoj, the philosopher of the dirty joke, Violence p. 12-15)
The notion of objective violence needs ... today’s “liberal communists,” including…
oil brings abjection into the equation- write it down- in the body of the economy, oil is the disgusting muck we’d rather not discuss but must- while we drive around with our tops down tossing our McDonald’s wrappers onto the freeway, people suffer and die to get a sip of the sacrament. revelling in the stickiness and revulsion of the oil economy allows a deep well of understanding of ALL RELATIONS as ALL RELATIONS are floating in the lifeblood of oil
Thorburn 07
Elise, MA from University of Western Ontario, Centre for the Study of Theory and Criticism, “The Crude and the Abject: a Psychoanalysis of the Oil Economy,” accessed online through personal communication, used with permission from the author, full article available upon request i can jump it to you)
Oil is, of course, ... destabilising this globalised economy’s negative force.
THUS OUR ADVOCACY: The United States Federal Government should substantially reduce restrictions on the production of oil in the United States.
solvency
oil solidifies our class war and exposes the entirely contingent nature of the grip of capital’s excesses- we are talking about CRISIS- a representation of a new world that uses abjection to understand,
FIRST, the way we construct the outside of our global first world powers with fear, necessitating imperial action on a grand scale and,
SECOND, the way that labour is the abjected underside of this very same system we attempt to patrol and maintain. super usage of the oil slicks brings us to the brink of implosion.
Thorburn 07
Elise, MA from University of Western Ontario, Centre for the Study of Theory and Criticism, “The Crude and the Abject: a Psychoanalysis of the Oil Economy,” accessed online through personal communication, used with permission from the author, full article available upon request i can jump it to you)
The capitalist oil economy not only ... thoroughly abjected element of this system.
drink the oil to wash the bitter pill down- if our affirmative seems unbearable so be it. we saturate the economy with oil to the point of no return, recognizing that all of the coins that blood money counts for have two sides
Ian Parker, Professor at Manchester Metropolitan University, 2004 (Zizek: Ambivalence and oscillation, http:~/~/www.nskstate.com/appendix/articles/zizek_php(%%))
An artistic, political and personal ... to show how that ambivalence functions.
we put the revolting in the revolution- our responding to the demand for oil by increasing it even more pushes desire into overdrive. understanding our political decisions as influenced by desire allows for more effective and lasting transformation.
Kristeva 82
(Julia, professor at University Paris Diderot, “Psychoanalysis and the Polis,” Critical Inquiry 9.1 September, University of Chicago Press, jStor)
The efficacy of interpretation is a ... very slowly modify the real conditions.
other interpretations are definitely totalitarian- they seek a last meaning, a final solution, or a new religion
Kristeva 82
(Julia, professor at University Paris Diderot, “Psychoanalysis and the Polis,” Critical Inquiry 9.1 September, University of Chicago Press, jStor)
There are political implications inherent in ... delirium in avant- garde writing.
the ongoing crude drip of apocalypse cannot be refined to a singular event- scarcity and brutality are here to stay, citing one moment as a final doomsday diverts our attention from the deeply enmeshed relations of crisis that our affirmative confronts
McMurray 96
(Andrew, Associate professor at University of Waterloo, PhD from Indiana, “The Slow Apocalypse: A Gradualistic Theory of the World’s Demise,” Postmodern Culture 6.3, May, pj Muse)
So what can be done about ... as "the distribution problem."
NDT Rnd 1 1ac
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
Minnesota CE 1AC – NDT Rd. 1
Oil distorts and constrains US hegemonic strategy by forcing interventionism to protect oil for allies
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.
The importance of oil in the … and humanitarian issues.
Plan allows U.S. to become a net energy supplier—solves allied supply
Mills 12 (Mark, physicist, is an adjunct fellow with the Manhattan Institute and Forbes Energy Intelligence columnist, served in President Ronald Reagan’s White House Science Office, 7/25/12, “U.S. can become an energy export nation” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/78978_Page2.html
A number of recent detailed forecasts …as well as for long-term peace.
That’s key to benevolent hegemony
Schwark 12 (Sebastian, associate director of Hill-Knowlton strategies, communications Strategist, Energy Specialist, 8/13/12, “e-Ideas (1): Politics and Walter Russell Mead’s Looming Energy Revolution” The Energy Collective) http://theenergycollective.com/sebastian-schwark/102696/e-ideas-1-politics-and-walter-russell-mead-s-looming-energy-revolution
This geopolitical shift will stabilize the …wars in the sands Iraq.
Solves extinction
Thomas P.M. Barnett, chief analyst, Wikistrat, “The New Rules: Leadership Fatigue Puts U.S. and Globalization, at Crossroads,” WORLD POLITICS REVIEW, 3—7—11, www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/8099/the-new-rules-leadership-fatigue-puts-u-s-and-globalization-at-crossroads
Events in Libya are a further …for the Pacific Century now unfolding.
Oil production solves US-China relations
Ball 3-27-13 (Jeffrey, scholar-in-residence at Stanford University's Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy Policy and Finance, “Jeffrey Ball: Watch for Changes With China and Downward Price Pressure on Wind and Solar” Wall Street Journal) http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324105204578382690249436084.html
Still, the surge in U.S. production of oil and gas has major geopolitical ramifications. It's sparking a resurgence of gas-dependent U.S. manufacturing, such as chemicals. It's shifting the balance of the global energy supply westward—lessening, to at least some extent, OPEC's global influence. And it's changing America's relationship with the world's other economic superpower: China. To the extent the U.S. produces more oil at home, it has less need to spar with China for oil in other parts of the world—and more need to woo Chinese cash to help develop America's fossil-fuel reserves. The upshot: Increased U.S. oil and gas production could presage more cooperation between the U.S. and China.
Relations solve nuclear war
Wittner 11 (Lawrence, Ph.D. in History from Columbia, award-winning foreign policy writer and author, 11/28/11, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?” Huntington News) http://www.huntingtonnews.net/14446
While nuclear weapons exist, there …to encourage these policies.
Economy: 1AC (3:15
Oil prices will remain high enough to crush global economic recovery
Parkinson 3/22 (David, staff writer, 3/22/13, "Oil prices crippling to manufacturing activity – and economic recovery" Globe and Mail) www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/economy-lab/oil-prices-crippling-to-manufacturing-activity-and-economic-recovery/article10196577/
The long-overdue retreat in …to find new momentum from another source.”
Recession and food price spikes are coming in 2013 and high oil prices are to blame
Tverberg 13 (Gail, M. S. from the University of Illinois, Chicago in Mathematics, and Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries, oil expert, 1/8/13, “Why 2013 Will End in a Severe Recession” Oil Price)
We have been hearing a lot about …between government income and expense.
The plan puts significant downward pressure on prices—signal of federal support is key
Poruban 12 - Steven Poruban 3-26-2012 "API: Raising US oil supplies key to lowering gasoline prices" 3/26 www.ogj.com/articles/print/vol-110/issue-3c/general-interest/api-raising-us-oil.html
A major component to relieving …, oil prices fell by $15-16/bbl.
the size of the OCS ensures price signals
Hassett 08 (Kevin, Ph.D. in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, 7/28/08, “Start Drilling Now to Lower Oil, Gasoline Prices” American Enterprise Institute) http://www.aei.org/article/economics/start-drilling-now-to-lower-oil-gasoline-prices/
The argument that drilling wouldn't …… And if you want oil prices to decline, drill.
Plan massively boosts employment and revenue, driving economic growth
Mark P. Mills, fellow, Manhattan Institute, "Jobs in a Ripple-Out Economy Come from Oil, Gas, Coal, and then the Cloud," FORBES, 10--24--12, www.manhattan-institute.org/html/miarticle.htm?id=8673#.UOPIgW_Ad8E
The nation stands to gain more than …rules and are not punitive or obfuscatory.
US is key to the global economy
Caploe 9 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)
IN THE aftermath of the G-20 summit, …future, even though other countries must certainly help.
No resiliency—we’ve pulled out all the stops—recession now will trigger a depression
Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs
The risk of double dip recession …no policy effort to counteract it.
Economic decline causes war—studies prove
Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4
Second, on a dyadic level, Copeland's …in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention.
Those wars go nuclear
Kerpen 8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008, Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression? http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU=
It’s important that we avoid …on an even greater scale
Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war
Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/
Abundant energy will also promote …optimistic about their prospects.
Food price spikes risk internal revolts in Russia, China, and India in 2013
Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.
Adverse climatic conditions this year … foreign investment capital.
China instability causes WMD conflict and extinction
Renxing 8/3/05 (San, Staff, Epoch Times, "CCP Gambles Insanely to Avoid Death," http://www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.html)
Since the Party’s life is “above all else,” …hostage and gamble with their lives.
Russian instability causes global nuclear war
Dimitri Simes, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “The Return of Russian History,” FOREIGN AFFAIRS, January/February 1994, p. 67+, LN.
For the United States, neither Yeltsin's … military and security services.
Expensive oil crushes Japanese growth
Rubin, 9/23, “How High Oil Prices Will Permanently Cap Economic Growth”, Bloomberg
For most of the last century…it’s not flowing at the same cost.
Japan’s economy is uniquely vulnerable to high oil prices---Fukushima exacerbated the problem
Ito 12, “BOJ Board Member Says High Oil Prices Threaten Economy”
A Bank of Japan policy board…reactors are in operation.
No Resiliency --- Japan’s political system lacks the capacity to deal with financial crises
Financial Times, 12 “Japan on brink of recession”
But only ageing, deflating Japan…cancel scheduled bond auctions.
Stalled Jap growth causes nationalism and nuke remilitarization
Nye 12 “Japan’s Nationalism is Sign of Weakness”
On Decenber 16 Japan will hold an election…to the region and to the world.
Deterrence doesn’t check
Landay 2k
Few if any experts think…according to the Commerce Department
Nuclear War
Tatlow 12
It has all the ingredients of a…affected by the dispute, Reuters reported.
Jap nationalism causes war over the senkaku islands --- draws in the US
Washington Post 13 “Political Climates in Japan and China rachet up island dispute”
GIVEN PRESIDENT Obama’s preoccupation…declaring that there is nothing to discuss
The nuclear allergy hypothesis is wrong-nationalism will trump historical concerns
Byong-Ghul 12
It would be wrong to say Japan’s…policy of nuclear abstention
Remil is fast and causes global nuke war
Liu 04
Unless this nuclear crisis is resolved…global peace and security
Solvency: 1AC (:55
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce its restrictions on crude oil production on federal lands.
Opening up access to federal lands solves energy dominance, prices, and the economy
Bandow 12 (Doug, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, author of several books, 12/14/12, “Energy to Spare” Cato Institute) http://www.cato.org/publications/commentary/energy-spare
To obtain this bright future government merely …similar to that employed by Canada.
No disads—status quo achieves independence within a year, triggering all of their links
THE GLEANER, editorial, "Nation's Total Energy Independence Gift for Future Generations," 12--27--12, http://www.courierpress.com/news/2012/dec/27/nations-total-energy-independence-gift-for/
Ho! Ho! Ho! America got an early …oil-producing nation on Earth.
Sitting on leases is impossible—they expire
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Myth: Oil companies are sitting on 68 million …to increase their production on leased acreage.
Significant oil production would come online quickly
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/
Further, while there may be …a significantly shorter period of time.
Economic benefits will start before production comes online
Hastings 11 Doc, Chairman of the House Natural Resources Committee, "Forget 10 Years--Drilling ANWR Would Pay Off Right Away", November 3, www.usnews.com/debate-club/is-it-time-to-drill-in-the-arctic-refuge/forget-10-years--drilling-anwr-would-pay-off-right-away
Critics argue that we …federal government and employing thousands of people.
No US Dutch disease—we’re highly diversified, and empirics prove
Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/15/12, “Energy Revolution 2: A Post Post-American Post” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/15/energy-revolution-2-a-post-post-american-post/
Every silver lining has a cloud, and the energy …and regions rather than just in a few.
NDT Rnd 1 AT: T Restrictions
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
ONE, we meet – We meet—the plan lifts a moratorium
NRC 11 (11/8/11, “Obama Administration Imposes Five-Year Drilling Ban on Majority of Offshore Areas” Natural Resources Committee) http://naturalresources.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=267985
“In 2008, a bipartisan agreement was reached to lift the decades-long
AND
new offshore drilling and the Democrat-controlled Senate has failed to act.”
TWO, counter interpretation - restriction is a regulation, we meet it
the free dictionary 2005 ("restriction," http://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/restriction
restriction n. any limitation on activity, by statute, regulation or contract provision. In multi-unit real estate developments, condominium and cooperative housing projects, managed by homeowners' associations or similar organizations are usually required by state law to impose restrictions on use. Thus, the restrictions are part of the "covenants, conditions and restrictions," intended to enhance the use of common facilities and property, recorded and incorporated into the title of each owner.
THREE, aff ground – anything else kills Aff ground – there are no bans on production, means they kill half the topic
FOUR, no limits disad – finite number of restrictions and functional limits check
FIVE, good is good enough, don’t vote on T
NDT Rnd 1 Addons and Case
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
Solvency: A2 “Status Quo Solves”
Status quo doesn’t solve
All our advantages are based on energy abundance, not independence
Prefer our ev—it assumes theirs and concludes we still need more development
That’s Mills
Current production is not enough to change prices
Blas 13 1/1 (Javier, commodities editor for the Financial Time, “Shale revolution will not dent $100 oil” Financial Times) http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/7680572a-5030-11e2-a231-00144feab49a.html#axzz2H3L1Rsad
Oil prices are set to stay above $100 a barrel for the third consecutive
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research at JPMorgan in New York, said in a note to clients.
Status quo doesn’t solve—energy abundance is not inevitable
Mills 12 (Mark, member of the advisory council of the McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science at Northwestern University and serves on the board of directors of the Marshall Institute, 9/18/12, “America Take Note: Technology Unleashes Black Gold to Rescue Ireland's Economy” Forbes) http://www.forbes.com/sites/markpmills/2012/09/18/america-take-note-technology-unleashes-black-gold-to-rescue-irelands-economy/3/
Not in nearly a half century has the energy “ground game” changed so radically. But capturing these opportunities requires bold policies. This energy future isn’t inevitable. The United States could by default walk away from all these jobs, and revenues, and pass up the chance to become the major player in world energy markets. Should this happen, other nations will step in to fill the void.
Add-On: OPEC 2AC 13 sec
Plan breaks up OPEC
Levine 12 (Steve, Bernard L. Schwartz Fellow at the New America Foundation, 7/18/12, “Meet the winners and losers of the coming age of plenty” Foreign Policy) http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/07/17/meet_the_winners_and_losers_of_the_coming_age_of_plenty
OPEC: With prices dropping and competing supplies flowing from numerous new producers, OPEC
AND
I said, ‘I don't think so,'" West said.
Extinction
R. James Woolsey, former director, CIA and Anne Korin, co-director, Institute for the Analysis of Global Security, "How to Break both Oil's Monopoly and OPEC's Cartel," INNOVATIONS, Fall 2008, p. 35-26.
A few weeks ago, and thirty five years after the Arab oil embargo,
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can expect a further consolidation of power amongst the world’s primary energy producers.
Add-On: Chemical Industry 2AC
Plan jump-starts the chemical industry
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf
Figure 1 illustrates the percent of mortgages ninety or more days delinquent by county in
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used in rational decision making on the costs and benefits of OCS development.
Chem industry solves multiple scenarios for extinction
Baum 99 – Baum, Founder of Chemical and Engineering News Washington, 12-6-99 (Rudy, “MILLENNIUM SPECIAL REPORT,” CandEN Washington, Volume 77, Number 49, http://pubs.acs.org/cen/hotarticles/cenear/991206/7749spintro2.html)
Computers and the Internet are clearly one of the driving forces shaping all aspects of
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mysteries and provide for humanity's basic and not-so-basic needs.
Add-On: Russia 23 sec
Plan gives Europe freedom from Russian oil dominance
Schwark 12 (Sebastian, associate director of Hill-Knowlton strategies, communications Strategist, Energy Specialist, 8/13/12, “e-Ideas (1): Politics and Walter Russell Mead’s Looming Energy Revolution” The Energy Collective) http://theenergycollective.com/sebastian-schwark/102696/e-ideas-1-politics-and-walter-russell-mead-s-looming-energy-revolution
The energy revolution will substantially shift the fundamentals of geopolitics by creating “winners and
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the world stage, because its resources are not as relevant any more.
Russian oil dominance causes expansionism
Katusa 12 (Marin, accomplished investment analyst, senior editor of Casey Energy Dividends, Casey Energy Confidential, and Casey Energy Report, 10/24/12, “Vladimir Putin: The New Global Shah of Oil” Casey Research) http://www.proactiveinvestors.com/columns/casey-research/2448/vladimir-putin-the-new-global-shah-of-oil-2448.html
With a snap of his fingers, Putin had created a national oil giant,
AND
. Same goes for Gazprom as a Goliath in the continent's gas scene.
Extinction
Blank 9 – Dr. Stephen Blank is a Research Professor of National Security Affairs at the Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, March 2009, “Russia And Arms Control: Are There Opportunities For The Obama Administration?” http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub908.pdf
Proliferators or nuclear states like China and Russia can then deter regional or intercontinental attacks
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perhaps make wars of aggression on their neighbors or their own people.172
NDT Rnd 1 AT: Spills DA
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
DA Ans: Spills 2AC
Non-unique—we’re drilling offshore now, and BP disproves the impact
Offshore drilling is safe—other countries are worse
Olive 10 - David Olive, 5-23-2010, “Offshore drilling is safe if done right,” The Star, http://www.thestar.com/business/article/812658~-~-olive-offshore-drilling-is-safe-if-done-right
Once again, crisis spurs us to conceive and embrace an energy policy worthy of
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safe when conducted responsibly, no matter that the technology is incredibly daunting.
No extinction from biodiversity loss
Moore 98 (Senior Fellow – Hoover Institute, Climate of Fear, Pg. 99)
Nevertheless, the loss of a class of living being does not typically threaten other
AND
imagine a single species that, if eliminated, would threaten us humans.
NDT Rnd 1 AT: Idle Leases CP
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
CP Ans: Idle Leases 2AC
Perm do both
Perm do the counterplan
Links to politics—the counterplan would make Republicans and industry leaders furious—it’s functionally a tax on oil companies.
Doesn’t solve prices—oil on idle leases is not economical to produce
Cohen 12 (Ken, vice president of public and government affairs for Exxon Mobil Corporation, 5/29/12, “Not-so-idle leases” Exxon Mobile Perspectives) http://www.exxonmobilperspectives.com/2012/05/29/not-so-idle-leases/
The Interior Department recently published a report suggesting that the oil and gas industry is
AND
government gets paid its fees and rents whether a lease produces or not).
Leases are idle because there is no oil on them—the counterplan forces companies to waste billions
Gingrich and Innis 08 (Newt, founder of the non-partisan think tank American Solutions, and Roy, chairman of the Congress of Racial Equality, 8/17/08, “Idle leases – or addled minds?”) http://icecap.us/images/uploads/GingrichInnis-Idleleasesoraddledminds.pdf
Second, and more disturbingly, Bingaman and Rahall’s groundless accusation and proposed legislation rely
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- or they don’t know it, because they haven’t done their homework.
Leases are not idle—their interpretation ignores crucial activities such as seismic surveys
Cohen 12 (Ken, vice president of public and government affairs for Exxon Mobil Corporation, 5/29/12, “Not-so-idle leases” Exxon Mobile Perspectives) http://www.exxonmobilperspectives.com/2012/05/29/not-so-idle-leases/
And, the administration’s definition of “inactive” plainly misrepresents what is considered “
AND
open up portions of the Atlantic and potentially the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
The counterplan is a duplication of status quo law
Gingrich and Innis 08 (Newt, founder of the non-partisan think tank American Solutions, and Roy, chairman of the Congress of Racial Equality, 8/17/08, “Idle leases – or addled minds?”) http://icecap.us/images/uploads/GingrichInnis-Idleleasesoraddledminds.pdf
They think they’ve found a solution: a proposed “use it or lose it
AND
. So the Bingaman-Rahall “solution” effectively duplicates current law.
NDT Rnd 1 AT: Condition on Energy Security Trust CP
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
Condition CP Ans: Theory 2AC
Perm: do the counterplan, it’s justified – normal means is an effect of the plan, not a mandate
“Resolved” doesn’t lock the aff into “certainty”:
Merriam Webster ‘9 (http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/resolved)
# Main Entry: 1re•solve # Pronunciation: \ri-ˈzälv, -ˈzȯlv also -ˈzäv or -ˈzȯv\ # Function: verb # Inflected Form(s): resolved; re•solv•ing 1 : to become separated into component parts; also : to become reduced by dissolving or analysis 2 : to form a resolution : determine 3 : consult, deliberate
Neither does “should”
Encarta World English Dictionary 2005 (http://encarta.msn.com/encnet/features/dictionary/DictionaryResults.aspx?refid=1861735294)
expressing conditions or consequences: used to express the conditionality of an occurrence and suggest it is not a given, or to indicate the consequence of something that might happen ( used in conditional clauses )
And resolved doesn’t mean immediate
Online Plain Text English Dictionary ‘9 (http://www.onelook.com/?other=web1913andw=Resolve)
Resolve: “To form a purpose; to make a decision; especially, to determine after reflection; as, to resolve on a better course of life.”
Conditions counterplans are a voting issue – they can result in the entirety of the Aff
ONE, Aff ground – they moot the 1AC and prevent us from getting offense, makes it impossible for the Aff to win, - they shouldn’t be able to leverage the certainty of the plan – it justifies all sorts of reverse conditions counterplan
TWO, topic specific education – it’s the only unique thing we can gain this year, conditions counterplans prevent policy specific discussion
THREE, no solvency advocate – they have no evidence that actually advocates the condition in the context of our aff
FOUR, counterplans must be functionally and textually competitive – they still get PIC ground but it guarantees we get to weigh the Aff, and that all ground is predictable
Energy Security Trust: 1NC
Energy Security Trust isn’t necessary—the government can just fund research straight-up
Helman 13 (Christopher, writer at Forbes, 3/15/13, “Why Obama's 'Energy Security Trust' Is A Bad Idea” Forbes Magazine) http://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2013/03/15/why-obamas-energy-security-trust-is-a-bad-idea/2/
But there is absolutely no reason why we need a dedicated Energy Security Trust to
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that money to invest in technology that competes directly with oil and gas?
Energy Security Trust picks winners—that fails
Helman 13 (Christopher, writer at Forbes, 3/15/13, “Why Obama's 'Energy Security Trust' Is A Bad Idea” Forbes Magazine) http://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2013/03/15/why-obamas-energy-security-trust-is-a-bad-idea/2/
All this is enough reason to be against this special energy trust fund. Then
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model has already failed — surely the president doesn’t want to continue it?
Energy Security Trust will lead to a carbon tax
Helman 13 (Christopher, writer at Forbes, 3/15/13, “Why Obama's 'Energy Security Trust' Is A Bad Idea” Forbes Magazine) http://www.forbes.com/sites/christopherhelman/2013/03/15/why-obamas-energy-security-trust-is-a-bad-idea/2/
It looks unlikely that President Obama will try to propose a national carbon cap-
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to develop new methods to deploy natural gas to fuel cars and trucks.
Timeframe is 200 years and adaptation solves
Mendelsohn 9 – Robert O. Mendelsohn 9, the Edwin Weyerhaeuser Davis Professor, Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, June 2009, “Climate Change and Economic Growth,” online: http://www.growthcommission.org/storage/cgdev/documents/gcwp060web.pdf
These statements are largely alarmist and misleading. Although climate change is a serious problem
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range climate risks. What is needed are long‐run balanced responses.
NDT Rnd 1 AT: CIR Politics
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
Won't pass—House, business/labor
Espuelas 3/17/13 (Fernando, “The Number That Could Kill Immigration Reform”, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/fernando-espuelas/immigration-reform_b_2892494.html, CRoark)
Just weeks after the "Gang of 8" bi-partisan senators presented
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an immigration bill that both Big Business and Big Labor say they want.
Won’t pass – numerous fights on the details. And, Obama won’t push, and if he does, it will kill the effort.
Washington Post, 3-28, p. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/dispute-over-guest-worker-program-puts-immigration-talks-at-risk/2013/03/28/d68bee2c-96ee-11e2-814b-063623d80a60_story.html
A worsening dispute over a new guest-worker program has emerged as the most
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by association, the White House — are not negotiating in good faith.
Laundry list of thumpers
Ford, 3/28/13 John, Staff. PolicyMic.“Why Obama Signing Sequestration Into Law Was a Strategic Move” http://www.policymic.com/articles/31012/why-obama-signing-sequestration-into-law-was-a-strategic-move
President Barack Obama finally signed the Sequester into law, locking the infamous spending cuts
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budget yet, and he's going to need allies for the next round.
Budget thumps
Lambro 3/27 (Donald, “LAMBRO: Short-term budget bedevils second-term Obama”, http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/mar/27/short-term-budget-bedevils-second-term-obama/, )
The federal budget deficit will be nearly $1 trillionthis year, our national debt
AND
Maybe at least some of our lawmakers deserved that spring break after all.
Expanding oil production is key to get GOP support for Obama’s agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
And the president could perhaps turn down the bellicosity on the Hill by working with
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have plenty of GOP support – but that remains a large “if.”
GOP support is key to the agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
But if the president is going to pass legislative fixes for weighty issues like immigration reform, changes to the nation’s gun laws, and the nation’s troubled fiscal situation, he’s going to need to work with the body he spent much of his reelection campaign railing against.
Democrats inevitably support Obama
David Grant, staff writer, 1/20/13, “Obama’s second term: Can he work with Congress? (+video)”, Christian Science Monitor, http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/2013/0120/Obama-s-second-term-Can-he-work-with-Congress-video, acc. 1/25/13
And then there’s always the Democrats. In assessing the president’s relationship with Congress, it’s worth remembering that he’s gotten great compliance among his Democratic allies to date. In the House, particularly, Democrats have been a rock-solid voting bloc capable of providing the lion’s share of votes to pass key legislation from a debt ceiling increase, the fiscal-cliff solving tax deal, or aid for areas affected by hurricane Sandy.
Oil lobbies control Congress
Dan Froomkin, contributing editor of Nieman Reports, “How the Oil Lobby Greases Washington’s Wheels,” HUFFINGTON POST, 4-6-11, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/04/06/how-the-oil-lobby-greases_n_845720.html, accessed 6-2-12
With so much public opposition, why do subsidies remain? You might as well
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talking points and briefing books, spinning the undecided and pressuring the opposition.
Cyber war infeasible
Clark, MA candidate – Intelligence Studies @ American Military University, senior analyst – Chenega Federal Systems, 4/28/’12 (Paul, “The Risk of Disruption or Destruction of Critical U.S. Infrastructure by an Offensive Cyber Attack,” American Military University)
The Department of Homeland Security worries that our critical infrastructure and key resources (CIKR
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establish robust security guidelines and cyber security measures (Gohn and Wheelock 2010).
NDT Rnd 1 AT: Saudi Oil
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Georgia LS | Judge:
Non-unique:
A. New US production
News Journal 11/25 (Editorial, 11/25/12, “Energy freedom: As we out-produce Mideast,continue hunt for alternatives” News Journal) http://www.news-journal.com/opinion/editorials/energy-freedom-as-we-out-produce-mideast-continue-hunt-for/article_13eb1ff6-74d1-570c-af55-8ff83259a8a3.html
It may seem surprising, but both the federal government and the independent International Energy
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being shipped to the U.S., it will go to Asia.
B. Declining Saudi exports
Elliot-House 12 (Karen, author of book “On Saudi Arabia, Pulitzer prize-winner, 10/31/12, An End to Saudi Oil? The Alcalde) http://alcalde.texasexes.org/2012/10/an-end-to-saudi-oil/
These days the United States is a relatively modest importer of Saudi oil: imports
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and because Saudi production may have peaked and may already be in decline.
No war--Iran knows it won’t win
Yevgeny Satanovsky, President of the Institute for Middle Eastern Studies 8/16/10 Israeli-Palestinian tensions – prelude to the war against Iran http://en.rian.ru/analysis/20100816/160222712.html
Recently Iran has been waging a proxy war against Israel, using the Arabs as
AND
on Saudi Arabia or Egypt in a one-to-one fight.
No proxy war escalation – military costs
White 11 Gregory, The Business Insider. March 16, 2011. “What’s Really Happening in Bahrain and Why it Matters”
It appears Saudi Arabia and Bahrain are willing to go the distance in terms of crushing protests in the country. Iran will continue to flap its wings, but will likely be constrained from acting due to the high military costs of any endeavor
It wouldn’t spread
Karen Dolan March 17 2008 No War with Iran Resolution Toolkit http://www.ips-dc.org/articles/no_war_with_iran_resolution_toolkit
Washington's current anti-Iran campaign has pushed Arab governments towards a much harsher stance
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in the context of Washington continuing to encourage regional competitors to challenge Iran.
Economic and social concessions stop escalation
Moubayed, Syrian university professor, editor-in-chief – Forward Magazine (Syria), 9/28/’11
(Sami, A peek under Saudi Arabia's veil, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/middle_east/mi28ak03.html)
King Abdullah, aged 87, knows what it takes to please young Saudis.
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, are separated from men at schools, restaurants, banks and work.
NDT Round 4 1AC
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Fullerton MS | Judge:
Warming 1AC
Warming is real and human caused
ONE, scientific consensus proves fossil fuel use drives warming
Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs
The Working Group One (physical science) part
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measurement data and model simulations (Thorne, 2008). A new method based on wind observations (Allen and Sherwood, 2008) shows a similar warming trend in the upper troposphere, consistent with model results.
TWO, environmental signs prove fossil fuels are driving it, we’re approaching a tipping point
Richard Somerville, Distinguished Professor Emeritus at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and Climate Scientist, PhD in Meteorology, 3/8/11, House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power Hearing; "Climate Science and EPA's Greenhouse Gas Regulations”, Congressional Testimony, lexis, mnrs
According to The Copenhagen Diagnosis (Allison et al. 2009),
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crossed before they are recognized.
Warming Impact
Warming disproportionately affects the global south
Carrington 11 – Head of the environment at The Guardian (Damian, “Map reveals stark divide in who caused climate change and who's being hit”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/damian-carrington-blog/2011/oct/26/climate-change-developing-country-impacts-risk?CMP=twt_gu, October 26th, 2011, KTOP)
When the world's nations convene in Durban in November
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changes takes hold," says Beldon.
Warming disproportionately affects minorities
Rachel Baird, Media Officer, Minority Rights Group International, NGO with consultative status with the United Nations Economic and Social Council, April 08, “The Impact of Climate Change on Minorities and Indigenous Peoples”, http://www.ohchr.org/Documents/Issues/ClimateChange/Submissions/Minority_Rights_Group_International.pdf, mnrs
Climate change is just beginning
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obtaining their consent and participation.
Warming kills the biosphere – causes extinction
Costello 11 (Anthony, Institute for Global Health, University College London, Mark Maslin, Department of Geography, University College London, Hugh Montgomery, Institute for Human Health and Performance, University College London, Anne M. Johnson, Institute for Global Health, University College London, Paul Ekins, Energy Institute, University College London “Global health and climate change: moving from denial and catastrophic fatalism to positive action” May 2011 vol. 369 no. 1942 1866-1882 Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society)
Advocacy about the health consequences will ensure
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making many environments uninhabitable.
Solvency
Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on and increase financial incentives for decentralized solar energy production.
State and local governments are imposing restrictions on decentralized solar production now – federal action to override those restrictions is necessary to spur development of community solar
Pursley and Wiseman 11 Garrick, Assistant Professor of Law, University of Toledo College of Law, and Hannah, Assistant Professor of Law, University of Tulsa College of Law, “Local Energy”, Emory Law Journal, 60 Emory L.J. 877
Our conclusions in the previous section are consistent with
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legality of our proposed cooperative regulatory scheme.
Financial incentives are critical to level the playing field with big solar
Institute for Local Self-Reliance 08 (John Farrell, Research Associate @ The Institute for Local Self-Reliance, “Concentrating Solar and Decentralized Power: Government Incentives Hinder Local Ownership,” May 2008, The New Rules Project, Online)
Solar concentrators promise a new
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encouraging solar power development.
Decentralized solar is feasible and solves all your reasons solar fails
Aaron Fown, CleanTechnica, 4/27/11, “Why Big Solar is a Colossally Bad Idea (10 Reasons Decentralized Solar is Much Better)”, http://cleantechnica.com/2011/04/27/why-big-solar-is-a-colossally-bad-idea-10-reasons-decentralized-solar-is-much-better/, mnrs
Of late there has been much talk about moving towards
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monopolies than give (electrical) power to the people.
Decentralized solar disrupts the fossil fuel industry control over energy
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 87-89, mnrs
The representatives of the fossil energy
AND
the spiders of the fossil economy.
The solar manufacturing process itself disrupts fossil fuel control – it provides a way to opt-out of the system
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 84-86, mnrs
The dynamics of the
AND
point at which it becomes superfluous.
The solar production chain is clean and feasible
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 74-75, mnrs
In this case, the supply chain begins
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cabling necessary for fossil fuel energy.
Solar solves
Solar power is sufficient to solve warming
Sarah Lozanavoa 08, MBA in Sustainable Management from the Presidio School of Management, Solar Thermal Electricity: Can It Replace Coal, Gas, and Oil? http://cleantechnica.com/2008/03/27/solar-thermal-electricity-can-it-replace-coal-gas-and-oil/
One of the most common arguments
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but also generate base load electricity.
State good
Stopping climate change comes first—the time for action is now—non-state action is too slow, fails, and strengthens the hand of corporate monopolies
Monibot 08 (George, journalist, Schumann Distinguished Scholar at Middlebury College, “Identity Politics in Climate Change Hell” Celsias) http://www.celsias.com/article/identity-politics-climate-change-hell/
Do you want to save the biosphere
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both remove such restraints as prevent the strong from crushing the weak. Ours is not a choice between government and no government. It is a choice between government and the mafia.
Activist calls for state action in the context of energy policy are both necessary and good—working within the system can co-opt it and open up space for change
Carol J. Hager, Professor, Political Science, Bryn Mawr College, "Democratizing Technology: Citizen and State in Western German Energy Politics," POLICY v. 25 n. 1, 1992, pp. 45-70.
During this phase, the citizen initiative attempted
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tivepolitics in modern technological society.61
Engaging with the state is important – state structures are inevitable, and they are a crucial component of confronting environmental problems due to their pervasiveness and power. The state can commit atrocities, but it can also be harnessed for good.
Eckersley 4 Robyn, Reader/Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of Melbourne, “The Green State: Rethinking Democracy and Sovereignty”, MIT Press, 2004, Google Books, pp. 3-8
While acknowledging the basis for this
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potentially more significant ally in the green cause.17
Using the state is key – anything else cedes to the fossil fuel industry
Hermann Scheer, member of the German Parliament and Alternative Nobel Prize winner, 2002, “The Solar Economy: Renewable Energy for a Sustainable Global Future”, Earthscan, p. 250, mnrs
Which initiatives are capable of side-stepping
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achievable – tomorrow or the day after.
Science good
We have a good method and epistemology – science and empiricism are necessary in the context of warming
Coyne, 06 – Author and Writer for the Times (Jerry A., “A plea for empiricism”, FOLLIES OF THE WISE, Dissenting essays, 405pp. Emeryville, CA: Shoemaker and Hoard, 1 59376 101 5)
Supernatural forces and events, essential
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desperately need to heed Crews’s plea for empiricism.
Reinjecting science into policymaking is key to check conservative takeover and climate denialism
Robin McKie, science editor, 2/18/12, “Attacks paid for by big business are 'driving science into a dark era'”, http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2012/feb/19/science-scepticism-usdomesticpolicy, mnrs
Most scientists, on achieving high office
AND
driven by narrow ideological dogma.
Rejecting science as subjective makes policy deliberation a political game of cooption
Banning, 9 – University of Colorado communication professor, PhD (Marlia Elisabeth, “When Poststructural Theory and Contemporary Politics Collide*The Vexed Case of Global Warming,” Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 2009, pp. 285-304
While academic research practices and the knowledge
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antagonism that define public discourse.
More
Prioritize climate problem-solving. The case is a pre-requisite for discursive shifts on energy use and environmental harm.
Paul Wapner Director of the Global Environmental Politics Program in the School of International Service at American University ‘8 “The Importance of Critical Environmental Studies in the New Environmentalism” Global Environmental Politics 8.1 p. MUSE 6-13
We are all familiar with the litany of environmental
AND
reforms and structural political transformation.
Solar is key to any political transition
Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs
A new economic paradigm The creation
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muster the will to get there in time.
A renewables transition is key to solve warming
Jeremy Rifkin, adviser to the European Union for the past decade and is the principle architect of the European Union’s Third Industrial Revolution Plan, 2/14/12, “The third industrial revolution”, Making It, http://www.makingitmagazine.net/?p=4514, mnrs
Our industrial civilization is at a crossroads
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children, and engage in civic life.
NDT Round 4 2AC Case
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Fullerton MS | Judge:
Management is the only way to save the environment
Soule 95 - Professor of Environmental Studies - Michael E., Professor and Chair of Environmental Studies, UC-Santa Cruz, REINVITING NATURE? RESPONSES TO POSTMODERN DECONSTRUCTION, Eds: Michael E. Soule and Gary Lease, p. 159-160
Should We Actively Manage Wildlands and Wild Waters? The decision
AND
where do we look for ethical guidance?
Management is inevitable—it’s only a question of what kind of intervention is used
Levy 99 - PhD @ Centre for Critical Theory at Monash - Neil, “Discourses of the Environment,” ed: Eric Darier, p. 215
If the ‘technological fix’ is unlikely to be more successful
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this planet, will be decided?
Pre-industrial lifestyles devastate the environment
Democratic Socialist Party, “Chapter II: Symptoms and Causes of the Environmental Crisis,” ENVIRONMENT, CAPITALISM, AND SOCIALISM, online edition, 2004. Available from the World Wide Web at: www.dsp.org.au/dsp/ECS/Chapter2.htm, accessed 4/22/06.
Lastly, a return to a pre-industrial, agrarian
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nomad is not so much the son of the desert as its father.
Science is a comparatively better system of authority than any alternative- their effort to prioritize their alternative, relativistic worldview reinforces bad instances of domination
Benson, 2006, Ophelia, editor of the website Butterflies and Wheels and deputy editor of The Philosophers' Magazine “Why Truth Matters,” p 63-64, KHaze
The basic claim of Strange Weather is that
AND
here in its most obvious form.
Domination of nature does not equate to domination of humans
Hughes 89 (James – Assistant Director of Institutional Research and Planning, and Lecturer in Public Policy Studies, at Trinity College in Hartford; "Beyond Bookchinism: A Left Green Response," Socialist Review 89.3, http://www.changesurfer.com/Bud/Bookchin.html)
SINCE CONSCIOUSNESS plays such a central role in Bookchin's
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against one to the struggle against the other.
NDT Round 4 2AC Nietzsche
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Fullerton MS | Judge:
Critical inquiry may be important, but it alone is not enough. Our plan is not perfect, but no plan can ever be. The negative sacrifices the good at the altar of the perfect, which ensures that the alternative will never achieve the vision they imagine.
Andrew Sullivan, author and leading political commentator, "Live-Blogging the Second Inauguration of Barack Obama," The Dish, DAILY BEAST, 1--21--13, http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2013/01/live-blogging-the-second-inauguration-of-barack-obama.html
I have often remarked when challenged
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liberal in its refusal to relent against injustice.
Perm do both – we can incorporate the perspective of the alternative in the deliberative processes of decentralized solar. Incremental reforms like the plan are necessary to lay the groundwork for the alt
Erik Olin Wright 7, Vilas Distinguished Professor of Sociology at the University of Wisconsin, “Guidelines for Envisioning Real Utopias”, Soundings, April, www.ssc.wisc.edu/wright/Published%20writing/Guidelines-soundings.pdf
5. Waystations The final guideline for discussions of envisioning
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scope of action in the future.
K Ans: Nietzsche 2AC
3. Case is a gateway to the alt—can’t affirm suffering if you’re dead—Nietzsche’s alt doesn’t assume nuclear weapons
Connolly 91 – PolSci Professor, John Hopkins (William, Identity/Difference, p 187, AG)
The Nietzschean conception of a few
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life that rises above this tendency.
5. Turn—seeking a better world reinforces and empowers our humanity—we control the best internal link to value to life
Fasching, 93 - professor in USF's religious studies department – 1993 (Darrell, The Ethical Challenge of Auschwitz and Hiroshima : Apocalypse or Utopia?, Pg. 28)
The human occurs through the realization
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and the earth is humanized.
7. The alt will always be misinterpreted as an excuse for genocide and authoritarianism
Jacob Golomb and Robert S. Wistrich (Professors at the Hebrew University), “Nietzsche, Godfather of Fascism? On the Uses and Abuses of a Philosophy,” Princeton University Press. 2002. Accessed 12/2/10. http://www.pupress.princeton.edu/chapters/i7403.html
Nietzsche was clearly an elitist who believed
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godfather of the century's fascist movements per se.
8. Even if violence is inevitable, the affirmative manages it best: enemy creation is critical to avoid a violent state of psychosis that creates comparatively more violence
Kenneth Reinhard, Associate Professor of English and Comparative Literature, UCLA, “Towards a Political Theology of the Neighbor” 2004, http://www.humnet.ucla.edu/humnet/jewishst/Mellon/Towards_Political_Theology.pdf.
If the concept of the political is defined, as Carl
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contours, because they would be identifiable” (PF 83).
9. Turn—the alternative’s skepticism of rational action is a complete rejection of the political sphere
Wolin, 06 (The Seduction of Unreason: The Intellectual Romance with Fascism from Nietzsche to Postmodernism, Richard Wolin, Professor of History and Comparative Literature at the Graduate Center, City University).
Once Nietzsche realized the illusory character
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reason, history, and freedom.
Framework 2AC
Decisionmaking skills learned from debate over technical energy issues are key to actualizing political change
Hodson, professor of education – Ontario Institute for Studies @ University of Toronto, ‘10
(Derek, “Science Education as a Call to Action,” Canadian Journal of Science, Mathematics and Technology Education, Vol. 10, Issue 3, p. 197-206)
note: SSI = socioscientific issues
The final (fourth) level of sophistication in this issues-based
AND
discussion during the establishment of policy.
THREE, right to life
a. It comes first
BERNSTEIN ‘2 (Richard J., Vera List Prof. Phil. – New School for Social Research, “Radical Evil: A Philosophical Interrogation”, p. 188-192)
There is a basic value inherent in organic being, a basic affirmation,
AND
humanity on earth"; or again turned positive: "In your present choices, include the future wholeness of Man among the objects of your will." (IR 11)
b. always exists
Frankl (Holocaust Survivor) 46 (Victor Frankl, Professor of Neurology and Psychiatry at the University of Vienna, Man’s Search for Meaning, 1946, p. 104)
But I did not only talk of the future and the veil which was drawn
AND
proudly—not miserably—knowing how to die.
Trauma DA—Their focus on social and ontological death empowers the sovereign and reproduces the colonial violence they claim to avoid.
Tracey Walker, Graduate of Psychosocial Studies, Birbeck University of London, “"The Future of Slavery: From Cultural Trauma to Ethical Remembrance,” GRADUATE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE, v 9 n 2, July 2012, http://gjss.org/images/stories/volumes/9/2/Walker%20Article.pdf.
To argue that there is more to the popular
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who lived and survived in the time of slavery.
NDT Round 4 1AR Nietzsche
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: Fullerton MS | Judge:
Death Not Inev
Resolving existential risks key to transhumanism
Transhumanist Values NICK BOSTROM Oxford University, Faculty of Philosophy, recipient of The Gannon Award, last modified 9/17/2005 http://www.nickbostrom.com/ethics/values.html
Several recent discussions have argued
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requirement of the transhumanist project.
Cognitive enhancement is happening now and inevitable—uploading will happen, and its good
Transhumanist Values NICK BOSTROM Oxford University, Faculty of Philosophy, recipient of The Gannon Award, last modified 9/17/2005 http://www.nickbostrom.com/ethics/values.html
Bodily functionality. We enhance our natural immune
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reality by controlling a robot proxy.
We Control Access: This Debate Helps reverse the Failures of humanism: speciesm, racism, and disposability. We control access to root causes.
Nick Bostrom, Faculty of Philosophy Oxford University, The Transhumanist FAQ- A General Introduction, Version 2.1 (2003), google.
Transhumanism is compatible with
AND
as humans have in their current form.
NDT Round 6 1AC V Gtown AM
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Plan: 1AC
Plan: The United States federal government should
AND
the exception of Joint Security Force training areas.
Economy Adv: 1AC
Lifting restrictions immediately boosts Florida’s economy – creates jobs and unlocks the budget for education
Fishkind 10 – Hank Fishkind is principal of
AND
policy-energy-reserves/2. LAP
As debate swirls around the proposal to open
AND
could restrain and potentially reverse this economic downturn.
Florida’s space industry is struggling now – strong economy revives it – diverse industries are key
Kinsey 12 – Troy Kinsey, “Florida's
AND
to_Survive_149179995.html. LAP
For 50 years, it's been a critical
AND
may not be possible...Because of Florida.
Florida is critical to commercial space access,
AND
and RandD are key to continued development
Florida Committee on Military Affairs, Space,
AND
InterimReports/2012-135ms.pdf. LAP
Florida is a leader in the space industry
AND
to release its final report in December 2011.
U.S. space weaponization is inevitable
AND
a successful commercial space industry solves international antagonism.
Trevor Brown, Masters of Science from Rajaratnam
AND
apj/ apj09/spr09/brown.html
The United States has plans to weaponize space
AND
dominant military space capabilities and retain soft power.
Space power is critical to hegemony—5 reasons
James Oberg, NASA engineer, SPACE POWER THEORY, 2000, p. 47-48.
As users possess various elements of “space
AND
, or isolation from the international space community.
Fourthly, space power can be utilized to
AND
to resist the use of force against oneself.
Extinction
Thomas P.M. Barnett, chief
AND
Events in Libya are a further reminder for
AND
the stage for the Pacific Century now unfolding.
Successful Florida space industry is a national model for space commercialization
US State News, 10-22-
AND
HOST LAUNCH COMPLEX 36 DEDICATION, p. lexis
Addressing federal, state and local legislators,
AND
environment for Florida and for the United States."
Space solves extinction
Gott 11 (J. Richard Gott,
AND
.com/Mars151.html JG)
That's where they benefit human survivability.... Many
AND
funding for the space programme may not last.
Cuba Adv: 1AC
Cuba is set to drill in the Gulf now, they’re likely to spill
Klimasinska 11 – Katarzyna Klimasinska, “Cuba
AND
florida-or-embargo.html. LAP
Four U.S. inspectors armed with
AND
BP in 2003, according to his biography.
Drilling in the Gulf is inevitable, it’s
AND
it – a Cuban spill will kill the Everglades
Bowermaster 11 – Jon Bowermaster, “Cuban
AND
put-florida-shores-risk. LAP
A massive $750m (£473m) Chinese
AND
.6bn barrels, the Cubans say 20bn.
Everglades are a biological hotspot and on the brink of ecosystem collapse
Clinton 09 – “Florida Everglades in Ever
AND
in-ever-real-danger/. LAP
Most of us are familiar with the name
AND
to lose as the “River of Grass”.
Preserving hotspots key to prevent human extinction
Nautiyal and Nidamanuri 10—Centre for Ecological
AND
2-3): 195-200, 2010
The hotspots are the world’s most biologically rich
AND
areas is therefore supported by this¶ study.
U.S. drilling crowds out Cuba – securing Florida’s supply is the key first step
Sadowski 11 – Richard Sadowski, “Cuban
AND
article=1497andcontext=sdlp. LAP
The United States must initiate the same level
AND
. resources offer a more attractive alternative. 81
Revenues Adv: 1AC
Lifting oil restrictions generates billions for Florida’s government – solves budget concerns
FlaSEIA 09 – “Securing Florida’s Future Through
AND
EnergyIndependenceHandout3-1%20final.pdf. LAP
The National Petroleum Council estimates the eastern Gulf
AND
and replace and expand old, strained infrastructure.
Budget concerns are undermining disaster preparedness now
Florida and Johnson 12 – Richard Florida And
AND
resilient-cant-wait/3758/. LAP
Millions upon millions of people live in coastal
AND
But, for now, they’re going unanswered.
Hurricanes are inevitable – inadequate preparedness kills US national security and combat power
Briggs 09 - Major, USAFR under the
AND
GetTRDoc.pdfandAD
ADA539616)
The question is not if this horrifying scenario
AND
assets, national infrastructure, and save lives.
Eglin is uniquely vulnerable – a hurricane would kill the base
Scheitlin et. Al 11 – Kelsey N
AND
PDF/Research/ScheitlinEtAl2011.pdf. LAP
Hurricane winds present a significant hazard for coastal
AND
and their impacts under climate variability and change.
Eglin operations key to overall air power and
AND
, key to future mission growth and multiservice missions
DOD, 10 (http://www.
AND
/upload/EglinAFB-2.pdf)
Located in the Florida Panhandle, Eglin Air
AND
for future mission growth and multi-Service missions
Multiple reasons F35 key to airpower and heg – but effective training is key
Timperlake, 12 – Edward T. Timperlake
AND
press/the-f-35.html
The F-35 is called a joint
AND
a different kind of training. . . .
Solves multiple scenarios for asia war, korea, japan, terrorism, econ global trade
Timperlake, 12 – Edward T. Timperlake
AND
press/the-f-35.html
Operating on the Z-axis: Shaping
AND
to shape new power projection capabilities and competencies.
Florida solar companies are dying now – oil drilling key to shore up the industry
Galbraith 09 – Kate Galbraith, “Florida
AND
group-backs-offshore-drilling/. LAP
When solar power advocates peddle their product,
AND
this year for another push for renewable standards.
Domestic water shortages will become acute in the
AND
power demand is met by conventional plan construction.
Sovacool 8 Benjamin K., Assistant Professor
AND
/elj301/11_-_sovacool.pdf
INTRODUCTION During the drought of 2002, lawmakers
AND
most severe in twenty large metropolitan areas.64
These regions of the country expect to add
AND
summer by 2025 (See Table 2).65
Solar power displaces enough water intensive production to avoid water shortages.
Sovacool 9 Benjamin K., Assistant Professor
AND
, July 2009, Pages 2763–2773
Finally, electric utilities can draw on two
AND
nuclear power plants (see Fig. 8).
Fortuitously, the United States has an enormous
AND
less than one percent of this possible generation.
Those shortages will collapse the American agricultural base.
Sovacool 9 Benjamin K., Assistant Professor
AND
, July 2009, Pages 2763–2773
If electric utilities build the thermoelectric capacity planned
AND
the entire region and possibly spread to Mexico.
US agriculture is key to prevent global food wars.
Klare 12 Michael, Professor of peace
AND
-social-unrest-seem-imminent
The Great Drought of 2012 has yet to
AND
, and billions of famished, desperate people.
NDT Round 6 2AC V Gtown AM
Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
2AC
Enviro: Turn—Regulations
Drilling is inevitable by other countries in similar
AND
involvement is key to make sure they follow regulations
Murkowski 11 (Lisa, senator from Alaska
AND
wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204190704577026392654471870.html
Last week the Obama administration proposed a modest
AND
more politically convenient time after next year's election.
T Ans: Restrictions 2AC
ONE, we meet – We meet—the plan lifts a moratorium
NRC 11 (11/8/11
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news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=267985
“In 2008, a bipartisan agreement was
AND
Democrat-controlled Senate has failed to act.”
TWO, counter interpretation - restriction is a regulation, we meet it
the free dictionary 2005 ("restriction," http://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/restriction
restriction n. any limitation on activity,
AND
and incorporated into the title of each owner.
THREE, aff ground – anything else kills
AND
on production, means they kill half the topic
FOUR, no limits disad – finite number of restrictions and functional limits check
FIVE, good is good enough, don’t vote on T
CIR 2AC
Won’t pass, multiple issues thump
Alex Altman, "Four Hurdles that Could
AND
," TIME, 3--20--13,
http://swampland.time.com/
AND
-could-block-immigration-reform/
The next few months offer the best chance
AND
, 1,400 undocumented immigrants are deported.
Not top of docket, no pass, Obama's not pusing
Kathleeen Hennessey, "Obama Tries to Push
AND
talks-20130325,0,7503326.story
In January, Obama threatened to send his
AND
immigrants, the key requirement for any bill.
Guts the deal--Rubio, empirically
Seth McLaughlin, "Napolitano Says Border Is
AND
WASHINGTON TIMES, 3--27--13.
Department of Homeland Security Secretary Janet A.
AND
scuttle the efforts of reform that we need."
Rubio supports the plan
TAMPA BAY TIMES, "Rubio Calls Oil
AND
Offshore Drilling," 5--4--10,
www.tampabay.com/blogs/
AND
maintains-push-more-offshore-drilling
Marco Rubio called the oil spill a "
AND
told the St. Petersburg Times this morning.
He's key
David Drucker and Kyle Trygstad, "Rubio
AND
grass_roots-222044-1.html
The fate of an immigration overhaul rests almost
AND
thing collapses,” GOP pollster Brock McCleary said.
Oil lobby pushes the plan – they’ll flip votes
Allen 09 – Greg Allen, “Politicians
AND
story/story.php?storyId=106107417
But the oil industry is making a renewed
AND
to reconsider offshore drilling after years of opposition.
They control the agenda, takes out the link to the disad
Dan Froomkin, “How the Oil Lobby
AND
.html, accessed 6-2-12
With so much public opposition, why do
AND
a 300 percent increase in just five years.
Expanding oil production is key to get GOP support for Obama’s agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/
AND
video, acc. 1/25/13
And the president could perhaps turn down the
AND
– but that remains a large “if.”
GOP support is key to the agenda
David Grant, staff writer, 1/
AND
video, acc. 1/25/13
But if the president is going to pass
AND
spent much of his reelection campaign railing against.
Democrats inevitably support Obama
David Grant, staff writer, 1/
AND
video, acc. 1/25/13
And then there’s always the Democrats. In
AND
or aid for areas affected by hurricane Sandy.
Oil lobbies control Congress
Dan Froomkin, contributing editor of Nieman Reports
AND
.html, accessed 6-2-12
With so much public opposition, why do
AND
, spinning the undecided and pressuring the opposition.
Process CP Ans: SEP 2AC
A. Reduce means to diminish
Merriam Webster 10 (http://www.
AND
- 6/25/2010, AJK)
transitive verb 1 a : to draw together
AND
d : to make shorter : abridge
B. Restrictions must be enforced—if it’s on paper but not enforced it is NOT a restriction
Berger 1 Justice Opinion, INDUSTRIAL RENTALS,
AND
, Submitted July 17, 2001, Decided lexis
We disagree. Statutes must be read as
AND
included in the scope of the Budovitches' TIS.
SEPs are for environmental regulations, NOT land
AND
means the companies STILL get kicked off the land
EPA 12 “Supplemental Environmental Projects” http
AND
epa.gov/enforcement/sep.html
Most federal actions against businesses or individuals for
AND
must take to return to compliance with the law
CP Ans: Taxes CP
Taxes tank the economy
Carroll and Prante 12 – Drs. Robert
AND
07_16_final.pdf. LAP
The confluence of fiscal policy changes scheduled to
AND
-tax wages, may also be lower.
DA Ans: Keystone 2AC
House will sidestep Obama
Wallbank 3/15/13 (Derek
AND
obama-under-house-bill.html
U.S. House Republicans won’t wait
AND
be on the House floor by Memorial Day.
Obama will approve the pipeline despite backlash
Ross 3/24/13 (Andrew
AND
-obama-in-s-f/
When Obama comes to town on a fundraising
AND
that’s not necessarily the end of the world.
Nonunique: Congress passes it regardless, and Obama is already blocking it.
Leah Barkoukis 3/30/13,
AND
pipeline-is-a-nobrainer-n1553578
Seventy percent of American voters support building the
AND
drag his feet Congress is prepared to act."
No arctic war
Dyer 12 (Gwynne Dyer, OC is
AND
-mostly-rhetoric-164986566.html)
Russian television contacted me last night asking me
AND
. But that's a problem for another day.
Subs check
Beckhusen 12 (Robert, national security writer
AND
/dangerroom/2012/08/arctic/
The logic behind Russia’s Arctic bases is seductive
AND
-key — and remote — territorial disputes.
K Ans: Death Cult
Extinction reps cause social transcendence
Wink, 2001 Walter, nqa,
AND
_28_118/ai_79514992
If that were the whole story about apocalyptic
AND
the apocalyptic threat by acts of apocalyptic transcendence.
Imagining nuclear war scenarios prevents them
Foard, Associate Professor of Religion, Arizona
AND
/LXV/1/1.pdf)
This ambivalence about Hiroshima has been partially ameliorated
AND
in a war that no one will win.
The alt fails—refusing to talk about nuclear war doesn’t solve it
Harvard Nuclear Study Group 83 “Living with nuclear weapons” p. 47
The question is grisly, but nonetheless it
AND
yet prevented because they have not been foreseen.
Round Reports
| Tournament | Round | Report |
|---|
Open Source
| Filename | Date | Uploaded By | Delete? |
|---|---|---|---|
03/31/2013 |
Tags:
Created by Abbie Shew on 2012/09/14 21:01
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