Tournament: UNI | Round: 2 | Opponent:  | Judge:
Inherency: 1AC

Obama’s current plans are bad—reverts to pre-Bush levels
Cole 12 (Benjamin, Director of Communications for IER, former policy adviser and investigative analyst for the Republican staff of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform under Chairman Darrell Issa, 5/8/12, “Obama’s Offshore Plan: One Giant Leap Backwards” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2012/05/08/obamas-offshore-plan-one-giant-leap-backwards/

After oil prices reached new highs  [...] make marginal properties subeconomic.[iii]

Drilling now but it’s not enough—OCS development is key
Medlock 08 (Kenneth, Fellow in Energy and Resource Economics, 7/10/08, “THE OCS LEASING MORATORIUM: WHICH WAY FORWARD?” James Baker Institute) http://www.bakerinstitute.org/opinions/the-ocs-leasing-moratorium-which-way-forward

The MMS reports more than 4 [...] and failing to identify drilling opportunities.

Economy: 1AC

Plan is key to economic growth—4 internal links:

First, unemployment:
High unemployment is a national crisis—must boost job growth to fully recover
Morici 12 (Peter, economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 8/3/12, “Unemployment Rises, Hundreds of Thousands Quit Looking” Fox) http://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/2012/08/03/unemployment-rises-hundreds-thousands-quit-looking/

The economy added 163,000  [...] cannot grow and create enough jobs. 

OCS drilling would create millions of new jobs
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

An economic expansion tied to increased  [...] secondary jobs outside the coastal regions. 

Drilling has a multiplier effect that will boost our economy significantly
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

The broadest measure of the incremental  [...] just over two percent of GDP. 

Second, trade deficits:
Drilling would solve the trade deficit
Sanandaji 12 (Tino, Post-Doc at the University of Chicago and a Research Fellow at the Institute of Industrial Economics, 5/5/12, “Drill away the Trade Deficit”) http://super-economy.blogspot.com/2012/05/debate-about-domestic-drilling-has.html

The debate about domestic drilling has  [...] reverse the outward flow of capital. 

Trade deficit reduction is critical to sustained growth
Tonelson 11 (Alan, Research Fellow at the U.S. Business and Industry Educational Foundation, July 29, 2012, “Trade Deficit Reduction -- America's Only Way Out”, http://americaneconomicalert.org/view_art.asp?Prod_ID=4658, 8/3/12, atl)

This morning’s dismaying report from the  [...] And that’s the most optimistic scenario. 

Third, price volatility:
Increasing domestic oil production mitigates the impact of price volatility
Weidenmier 10 (Mark, adjunct scholar at AEI, 4/1/10, “Drill, Baby, Drill” American Enterprise Institute) http://www.aei.org/article/energy-and-the-environment/conventional-energy/drill-baby-drill/

Increasing U.S. domestic  [...] services in non-oil industries.

Volatility kills the economy—undermines long-term planning, investment
Ward 09 (CNA Military Advisory Board, General Charles F. Ward, General, USAF (ret.), chair, POWERING AMERICA’S DEFENSE: ENERGY AND THE RISKS TO NATIONAL SECURITY, 5—09, p. 11-12.

The volatile fossil fuel markets have  [...] energy technologies and upgrade major infrastructure.

Fourth, manufacturing:
US manufacturing sector is on the brink of irreversible decline
Kaushal et al 11 (Arvind, partner with Booz and Co, Thomas Mayor, senior executive advisor, Patricia Riedel, principal at Booz and Co. Fall 2011, “Manufacturing’s Wake-Up Call”) http://booz.com/media/file/sb64-11306-Manufacturing's-Wake-Up-Call.pdf

Both the optimists and the pessimists  [...] past the point of no return. 

Offshore drilling is key to boost the global competitiveness of the manufacturing sector
Ostermayer 11 (Jeff, senior media strategist for the National Association of Manufacturers, 8/5/11, “Offshore Drilling Critical to Manufacturing Growth” Shopfloor) http://www.shopfloor.org/tag/ocs

Deepwater drilling provides a significant economic impact to the entire general economy as suppliers and others are impacted when  [...] manufacturers’ global competiveness and job creation. 

Manufacturing is the biggest internal link to the economy
Cooper 08 (Horace Cooper, research fellow with the National Center for Public Policy Research, 2008 “Making It in America”) http://www.aamfg.org/articles/making-it-america

Why should those who support limited  [...] engine slip away would be disastrous.

US growth is key to global economic recovery
Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

IN THE aftermath of the G [...] must certainly help. This crisis began 

Global economic decline causes nuclear war
Ockham Research 08 (Ockham Research, Economic Distress and Geopolitical Risks by: Ockham Research, Ockham Research Staff November 18, 2008????Ockham Research Ockham Research is an independent research provider based in Atlanta, Georgia providing security analysis)

The hardship and turmoil which impacted  [...] .S. and the world.

Oil: 1AC

Our energy policy is failing now—we’re increasingly dependent on foreign sources
Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160

To say that the national energy  [...] and the terrorists that they finance. 

Offshore drilling is necessary to reduce our oil dependence and curb China
DiMicco and Pickens 10 (Dan DiMicco is chairman and chief executive officer of Nucor Corp. T. Boone Pickens is chief executive officer of BP Capital. 7/21/10, “No need to end offshore drilling” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39977.html

The oil spill in the Gulf  [...] the 24-hour news cycle.

Independently, the plan sends a signal—its key to credibility
Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160

Modern oil extraction technology is safe  [...] critical importance to our nation’s future. 

Oil dependence undermines U.S. leadership, overstretches our military
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.

The importance of oil in the  [...] of foreign policy and humanitarian issues.

Ineffective hegemony causes escalation of global hotspots

Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0

For if America falters, the  [...] a dangerous slide into global turmoil.

Oil dependence threatens our ability to check a nuclear Iran
CNA Military Advisory Board, General Charles F. Ward, General, USAF (ret.), chair, POWERING AMERICA’S DEFENSE: ENERGY AND THE RISKS TO NATIONAL SECURITY, 5—09, p. 4.

Even in countries that are not  [...] international sanctions [17, 23].

Iran prolif causes extinction
Rubin, 9 – (Barry, Prof @ the Interdisciplinary Center, Director of the Global Research in International Affairs, Research Director of the IDC's Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy, and Strategy, “What if Iran gets a working nuclear weapon? How Middle East crisis would hit U.S.,” http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2009/03/09/2009-03-09_what_if_iran_gets_a_working_nuclear_weap.html)

If and when Iran gets nuclear  [...] nuclear weapons in the first place.

Solvency: 1AC

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on oil drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf.

Lifting restrictions solves
Spakovsky and Loris 12 (Hans, Senior Legal Fellow / Manager, Civil Justice Reform Initiative, and Nicholas, Herbert and Joyce Morgan Fellow, 8/13/12, “Offshore Drilling: Increase Access, Reduce the Risk, and Stop Hurting American Companies” The Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/08/offshore-drilling-increase-access-reduce-the-risk-and-stop-hurting-american-companies

No New Access in the New  [...] Mexico, and off Alaska’s coast. 

OCS drilling would provide significant growth to combat the recession
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

This paper estimates the net local  [...] help them weather the current recession. 

Tournament: Illinois State | Round: 2 | Opponent: KCKCC | Judge: Whitmore
Solvency: 1AC

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on oil production on federal lands. 

Massive oil development is happening now, which guts their DAs, but more drilling is necessary to move us past energy independence to energy abundance
Mills 12 (Mark, member of the advisory council of the McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science at Northwestern University and serves on the board of directors of the Marshall Institute, 7/9/12, “Could the United States Become the  World’s Energy-Export Powerhouse?”) http://www.manhattan-institute.org/pdf/press_release_pgi_01.pdf

Washington, DC: Technology is  ... of becoming a global energy leader. 

Sufficient resources exist—all we have to do is develop them
Mark P. Mills, adjunct fellow, Manhattan Institute, UNLEASHING THE NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY COLOSSUS: HYDROCARBONS CAN FUEL GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, 7—12, p. 5-7.

Considering the lightning-rod role  ... untapped finds are in California.28 

Significant oil production would come online quickly
IER 09 (2/11/09, “Offshore Energy Exploration: Myth vs. Fact” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2009/02/11/offshore-energy-exploration-myth-vs-fact-2/

Further, while there may be  ... a significantly shorter period of time.

Economy Adv: 1AC

Expanding oil production massively boosts the economy—creates millions of high-wage jobs and huge increases in revenue—oil is coming now but it’s not enough
Mark P. Mills, adjunct fellow, Manhattan Institute, UNLEASHING THE NORTH AMERICAN ENERGY COLOSSUS: HYDROCARBONS CAN FUEL GROWTH AND PROSPERITY, 7—12, p. 8-10.

We are contemplating hundreds of billions  ... accruing to the U.S. 

Only growth in high-wage job sectors creates demand that can reverse the current trajectory
Appelbaum 12 (Eileen, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, 4/10/12, “Low-Wage Jobs to Blame for Slow Economic Recovery” US News) http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/04/10/job-polarization-not-to-blame-for-slow-economic-recovery

Slower-than-expected employment  ... and hamper more robust job growth. 

No resiliency – we’ve pulled out all the stops – a collapse now triggers a double-dip collapse and depression
Chris Isidore, CNN Money, 8/10/11, “Recession 2.0 would hurt worse”, lexis, mnrs

The risk of double dip recession  ... no policy effort to counteract it.

US growth is key to global economic recovery
Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

IN THE aftermath of the G ... must certainly help. This crisis began 

Economic decline causes war – studies prove
Royal, Department of Defense Cooperative threat reduction director, 2010 Jedediah, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises, in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, p.213-4

Second, on a dyadic level ... security debate and deserves more attention.

And those wars go nuclear
Kerpen ‘8 National Review Online, October 28, 2008 Phil Kerpen, policy director for Americans for Prosperity From Panic to Depression?, http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=OWQ3ZGYzZTQyZGY4ZWFiZWUxNmYwZTJiNWVkMTIxMmU= 

It’s important that we avoid all  ... armed conflicts on an even greater scale

Economic growth causes international cooperation which solves war
Mead 12 (Walter Russell, James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College, 7/18/12, “Energy Revolution 3: The New American Century” The American Interest) http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/07/18/energy-revolution-3-the-new-american-century/

Abundant energy will also promote global  ... are relatively optimistic about their prospects.

Biofuels Adv: 1AC

Biofuels are expanding now despite corn prices and drought
Yu 10/11 (Alan, reporter, 10/11/12, “Stable growth ahead for biofuels” Medill Reports) http://news.medill.northwestern.edu/chicago/news.aspx?id=208998

The outlook for biofuels remains bright ... an effort to curb greenhouse gas emissions

Massive increases in domestic oil production trade off with biofuels and destroy the industry
Mackinnon 12 (Lawrence, Senior Research Analyst at Pike Research, 8/1/12, “The Republic of Biofuels and the Age of Plenty” Biofuels Digest) http://www.biofuelsdigest.com/bdigest/2012/08/01/the-republic-of-biofuels-and-the-age-of-plenty/

Since its inception, the bio ... Peak Optimists remains to be seen. 

Expanded biofuel production is causing global food prices to spike
William Pentland 7-28--12, Chair of the Northeast Clean Heat and Power Initiative and Forbes contributor, July 28, 2012, “The Coming Food Crisis: Blame Ethanol?,” online: http://www.forbes.com/sites/williampentland/2012/07/28/the-coming-food-crisis-blame-ethanol/print/

If you believe the folks at  ... which could justifiably be held responsible.” 

A massive spike is coming in 2013—best models predict
Joanna M. Foster, "Spike in Food Prices Projected for 2013," NEW YORK TIMES, Green Blog, 3--7--12, http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/03/07/spike-in-food-prices-projected-by-2013/, accessed 11-6-12.

In 2008 and in 2011,  ... of 2000, the report said. 

Food crisis risks internal revolts in India, Russia, and China
Global Torchlight, (Global Torchlight, specialised consultancy advising on a full spectrum of international political and security issues, founding members include John C. Amble, former intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency, and David J. Chmiel, MA from the War Studies Department at King’s College London, "Drought, Rising Food Prices, and Political Instability," 8--20--12, http://globaltorchlight.com/?p=2289, accessed 11-6-12.

Adverse climatic conditions this year in  ... and attract further foreign investment capital. 

Russian instability causes global nuclear war
DimitriSimes, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, “The Return of Russian History,” FOREIGN AFFAIRS, January/February 1994, p. 67+, LN.

For the United States, neither  ... of the military and security services.

Chinese collapse causes CCP lashout with WMD that kills billions
Rexing 05 (San, Staff – Epoch Times, The CCP’s Last Ditch Gamble: Biological and Nuclear War, 8-5, http://english.epochtimes.com/news/5-8-5/30975.html)

Since the Party’s life is “ ... hostage and gamble with their lives. 

Lowering US ethanol production prevents food price spikes
YaneerBar-Yam, PhD, Physics, MIT and Professor, "NECSI Food Briefing," New England Complex Systems Institute, 9--28--12, http://necsi.edu/research/social/foodprices/briefing/, accessed 11-6-12.

NECSI has shown that surges in  ... bring prices down, the better. 

Independently, topsoil loss from ethanol causes extinction
Jack Santa Barbara et al., Director, Sustainable Scale Project, International Forum on Globalization, THE FALSE PROMISE OF BIOFUELS, September 2007, www.globalpolicy.org/socecon/envronmt/climate/2007/09falsepromise.pdf, accessed 5-20-08.

“The nation that destroys its  ... inventory by the year 2050.35