Tournament: UNI | Round: 2 | Opponent: Michigan | Judge:
social ecology- try or die

Bookchin 02

(Murray, founder of social ecology, “The Communalist Project,” Harbringer, a social ecology journal, 3.1, accessed online 8/22/12, http://www.social-ecology.org/2002/09/harbinger-vol-3-no-1-the-communalist-project/)

power trades off-0 sum

Eiglad 11

(Eirik, founder of Democratic Alternative, follower of Murray Bookchin [awesome], “Communalism As Alternative,” New Compass Press, accessed online 8/22/12 http://new-compass.net/articles/communalism-alternative)

vote neg- this space matters for communal politics

Eiglad 11

(Eirik, founder of Democratic Alternative, follower of Murray Bookchin [awesome], “Communalism As Alternative,” New Compass Press, accessed online 8/22/12 http://new-compass.net/articles/communalism-alternative)

  Elections
Obama is winning now --- most qualified polls.
Examiner, 8-18-2012, A breakdown of the most recent Obama versus Romney polls, p. www.examiner.com/article/a-breakdown-of-the-most-recent-obama-versus-romney-polls-8, accessed 8-19-2012

President Obama continues to hold a  [...] Silver in his 2010 June ratings.

Democrats oppose new gas drilling.
Pew Research Center, 6-14-2010, Public Remains of Two Minds on Energy Policy, p. http://www.people-press.org/2010/06/14/public-remains-of-two-minds-on-energy-policy/, accessed 9-1-2012

By contrast, pluralities of Democrats  [...] new offshore oil and gas drilling.

Perception of Obama as pro-renewables causes a Romney victory.
Steve LeVine, author of The Oil and the Glory and foreign correspondent for Foreign Policy, 6-13-2012, How dirty is Romney prepared to get to win election?, Foreign Policy, p. oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/06/12/how_dirty_is_romney_prepared_to_get_to_win_election, accessed 8-17-2012

Is Barack Obama sufficiently dirty to  [...] an applause line," Yergin noted.

Romney kills US-Russia relations --- overwhelms resilience.
The Economist, 9-1-2012, Romney Could Screw Up US Relations with Russia, Business Insider, p. www.businessinsider.com/mitt-romneys-foreign-policy-chops-come-into-light-2012-9, accessed 9-2-2012

Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate  [...] as targeted by malevolent, interfering Western powers.

U.S. Russian relations solve every impact
CFR Task Force 2006 [Council on Foreign Relations Independent Task Force for Russia, Chaired by John Edwards and Jack Kemp, “RUSSIA’S WRONG DIRECTION: WHAT THE UNITED STATES CAN AND SHOULD DO,” http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/Russia_TaskForce.pdf]

Since the dissolution of the Soviet  [...] Russia are on a positive track.
Warming: 1NC

Natural gas is too little too late
NOTE: CARD IS IN THE “EXPENSIVE NG GOOD: CLEAN TECH” 2NC

Inman 12 Natural Gas a Weak Weapon Against Climate Change, New Study Asserts  Mason Inman For National Geographic News Published March 14, 2012 http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/03/120314-natural-gas-global-warming-study/

Although natural gas burns more cleanly  [...] difficult if you're using energy wastefully."

TWO, Doesn’t cause war
Miller 2k – Professor of Management, Ottawa (Morris, Poverty As A Cause Of Wars?, http://www.pugwash.org/reports/pac/pac256/WG4draft1.htm, AG)

Thus, these armed conflicts can  [...] form of violence to abort another. 

THREE, resilient
Globe and Mail 2010 (5/31/10, BRIAN MILNER, "While gloom says bear, TIGER points to bull", lexis, WEA)

Even at the height of the  [...] is that things are looking better."

FOUR, US economy doesn’t affect the rest of the world – EU/Sino trade
Bangkok Post, 1/25/08 (HOW IMMUNE IS ASIA, http://www.bangkokpost.com/Business/26Jan2008_biz33.php

Mr Casali said that despite the  [...] is what is the key.''

Lack of resources prevents military competition
D. Scott Bennett and Timothy Nordstrom, February 2K. Department of Political Science Professors at Pennsylvania State. “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivalries,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Ebsco.

In this analysis, we focus  [...] can account for substitutability between them.

Empirically proven
Ferguson, 2006 (Niall, MA, D.Phil., is the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History at Harvard University. He is a resident faculty member of the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies. He is also a Senior Reseach Fellow of Jesus College, Oxford University, and a Senior Fellow of the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Foreign Affairs, Sept/Oct)

Nor can economic crises explain the  [...] crises were not followed by wars.

No instability with decline--other states can provide their own security
Leon T. Hadar, research fellow, Foreign Policy Studies, Cato Institute, "Saving U.S. Mideast Policy," NATIONAL INTEREST, 7--1--11, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=13259, accessed 9-4-11.

To do so, however,  [...] the most likely arena for instability.

No deterrence effect from hegemony
Stanley Kober, Cato Institute, "The Deterrence Illusion," THE GUARDIAN, 6--13--10, http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=11898

The world at the beginning of the 21st century bears an eerie  [...] and the US could not guarantee it in Asia a half-century ago.

As the world becomes multipolar, great power competition is dying
Terrence Paupp, (Sr. Research Associate, Council on Hemispheric Affairs), THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL RELATIONS: CRUMBLING WALLS, RISING REGIONS, 2009, xix.

We can discern that a historical  [...] competition and instead toward mutual cooperation.

Post US decline, peaceful regionalism will increase
Terrence Paupp, (Sr. Research Associate, Council on Hemispheric Affairs), THE FUTURE OF GLOBAL RELATIONS: CRUMBLING WALLS, RISING REGIONS, 2009, xx-xxi.

The future of global relations  [...] of competing hegemonic rivals.
 

US hegemony has not prevented global conflict
Leslie Gelb, (President Emeritus, Council on Foreign Relations), FOREIGN AFFAIRS, May/June 2009, 59.

The nation that not so long  [...] ceaseless, deadly international terrorist threat.

US hegemony has not prevented ½ the world from entering a Hobessian state of affairs
Leslie Gelb, (President Emeritus, Council on Foreign Relations), FOREIGN AFFAIRS, May/June 2009, 59.

The world today is an almost  [...] deal with their poverty or insecurity.

Dominance not key to stability--multiple reasons
Benjamin H. Friedman and Christopher Preble, Cato Institute, "Budgetary Savings from Military Restraint," POLICY ANALYSIS n. 667, 9--23--10, http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/PA667.pdf, accessed 9-14-11.

The main justification for our Cold  [...] to meet rivals should they arise.

  Solvency
Natural gas is abundant—price trends prove

S. Fred Singer, Professor Emeritus, Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, “Cheap Natural Gas Heralds an Energy Revolution,” AMERICAN THINKER, 4—11—12, http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=3289, accessed 4-19-12.

Consider the history of natural gas  [...] gas to consumers in major cities.

Domestic shale gas reserves are immense

Timothy Considine, Professor, Economic Ecnomics, University of Wyoming, Robert W. Watson, Chair, Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection’s Oil and Gas Technical Advisory Board and Nicholas B. Considine, analyst, Natural Resource Economics Inc., “The Economic Opportunities of Shale Energy Development,” ENERGY POLICY and THE ENVIRONMENT REPORT n. 9, 6—11, http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/eper_09.htm, accessed 4-19-12.

Shale resources also contain crude oil  [...] 1,836 trillion cubic feet.
heap gas

James M. Taylor, senior fellow, “Backgrounder: Hydraulic Fracturing,” Heartland Institute, 3—6—12, http://heartland.org/policy-documents/backgrounder-hydraulic-fracturing, accesed 4-19-12.

Environmental activist groups very recently championed  [...] stable for many decades to come. 

They don’t solve volatility
Restuccia 12 Utility president warns of natural-gas price volatility By Andrew Restuccia - 04/26/12 02:46 PM ET http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/224035-aep-president-warns-of-natural-gas-price-volatility 

American Electric Power President Nick Akins  [...] for liquefied natural gas are constructed.

Cheap gas crowds out renewables—only way to solve warming and energy market volatility

Jesse Jenkins And Alex Trembath 12 are Director and Policy Associate, respectively, with the Breakthrough Institute's Energy and Climate Program. January 19, 2012 6:21 PM  9 agree Submit Avoiding a Natural Gas Bridge to Nowhere  By Jesse Jenkins  Director of Energy and Climate Policy, Breakthrough Institute  By Jesse Jenkins and Alex Trembath http://energy.nationaljournal.com/2012/01/whats-ahead-for-natural-gas.php

Cheap gas simultaneously puts pressure on  [...] our willingness to invest in innovation.