Tournament: UNI | Round: 1 | Opponent:  | Judge: 

oil 1AC

contention 1- inherency

Obama’s current plans are bad—reverts to pre-Bush levels
Cole 12 (Benjamin, Director of Communications for IER, former policy adviser and investigative analyst for the Republican staff of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform under Chairman Darrell Issa, 5/8/12, “Obama’s Offshore Plan: One Giant Leap Backwards” Institute for Energy Research) http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/2012/05/08/obamas-offshore-plan-one-giant-leap-backwards/

After oil prices reached new highs  [...] make marginal properties subeconomic.[iii]

contention 2- economy

Plan is key to economic growth—4 internal links:

First, unemployment:
High unemployment is a national crisis—must boost job growth to fully recover
Morici 12 (Peter, economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, 8/3/12, “Unemployment Rises, Hundreds of Thousands Quit Looking” Fox) http://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/2012/08/03/unemployment-rises-hundreds-thousands-quit-looking/

The economy added 163,000  [...] cannot grow and create enough jobs. 

OCS drilling would create millions of new jobs
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

An economic expansion tied to increased  [...] secondary jobs outside the coastal regions. 

Drilling has a multiplier effect that will boost our economy significantly
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

The broadest measure of the incremental  [...] just over two percent of GDP. 

Second, trade deficits:
Drilling would solve the trade deficit
Sanandaji 12 (Tino, Post-Doc at the University of Chicago and a Research Fellow at the Institute of Industrial Economics, 5/5/12, “Drill away the Trade Deficit”) http://super-economy.blogspot.com/2012/05/debate-about-domestic-drilling-has.html

The debate about domestic drilling has  [...] reverse the outward flow of capital. 

Trade deficit reduction is critical to sustained growth
Tonelson 11 (Alan, Research Fellow at the U.S. Business and Industry Educational Foundation, July 29, 2012, “Trade Deficit Reduction -- America's Only Way Out”, http://americaneconomicalert.org/view_art.asp?Prod_ID=4658, 8/3/12, atl)

This morning’s dismaying report from the  [...] And that’s the most optimistic scenario. 

Third, price volatility:
Increasing domestic oil production mitigates the impact of price volatility
Weidenmier 10 (Mark, adjunct scholar at AEI, 4/1/10, “Drill, Baby, Drill” American Enterprise Institute) http://www.aei.org/article/energy-and-the-environment/conventional-energy/drill-baby-drill/

Increasing U.S. domestic  [...] services in non-oil industries.

Volatility kills the economy—undermines long-term planning, investment
Ward 09 (CNA Military Advisory Board, General Charles F. Ward, General, USAF (ret.), chair, POWERING AMERICA’S DEFENSE: ENERGY AND THE RISKS TO NATIONAL SECURITY, 5—09, p. 11-12.

The volatile fossil fuel markets have  [...] energy technologies and upgrade major infrastructure.

Fourth, manufacturing:
US manufacturing sector is on the brink of irreversible decline
Kaushal et al 11 (Arvind, partner with Booz and Co, Thomas Mayor, senior executive advisor, Patricia Riedel, principal at Booz and Co. Fall 2011, “Manufacturing’s Wake-Up Call”) http://booz.com/media/file/sb64-11306-Manufacturing's-Wake-Up-Call.pdf

Both the optimists and the pessimists  [...] past the point of no return. 

Offshore drilling is key to boost the global competitiveness of the manufacturing sector
Ostermayer 11 (Jeff, senior media strategist for the National Association of Manufacturers, 8/5/11, “Offshore Drilling Critical to Manufacturing Growth” Shopfloor) http://www.shopfloor.org/tag/ocs

Deepwater drilling provides a significant economic  [...] manufacturers’ global competiveness and job creation. 

Manufacturing is the biggest internal link to the economy
Cooper 08 (Horace Cooper, research fellow with the National Center for Public Policy Research, 2008 “Making It in America”) http://www.aamfg.org/articles/making-it-america

Why should those who support  [...] engine slip away would be disastrous.

US growth is key to global economic recovery
Caploe 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

IN THE aftermath of the G [...] must certainly help. This crisis began 

Global economic decline causes nuclear war
Ockham Research 08 (Ockham Research, Economic Distress and Geopolitical Risks by: Ockham Research, Ockham Research Staff November 18, 2008????Ockham Research Ockham Research is an independent research provider based in Atlanta, Georgia providing security analysis)

The hardship and turmoil which impacted  [...] bellicose and unpredictable in its behavior, with dangerous consequences for the U.S. and the world.

contention 3-dependence

scenario 1 is leadership-

Our energy policy is failing now—we’re increasingly dependent on foreign sources
Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160

To say that the national energy  [...] and the terrorists that they finance. 

Offshore drilling is necessary to reduce our oil dependence and curb China
DiMicco and Pickens 10 (Dan DiMicco is chairman and chief executive officer of Nucor Corp. T. Boone Pickens is chief executive officer of BP Capital. 7/21/10, “No need to end offshore drilling” Politico) http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39977.html

The oil spill in the Gulf  [...] the 24-hour news cycle.

The plan sends a signal—its key to credibility
Manjarres 09 (Javier, political writer, 9/22/9, “Offshore Drilling is an Essential Step Towards Energy Independence” Red County) http://www.redcounty.com/node/32160

Modern oil extraction technology is safe  [...] critical importance to our nation’s future. 

Oil dependence undermines U.S. leadership, overstretches our military
Electrification Coalition, ELECTRIFICATION ROADMAP: REVOLUTIONIZING TRANSPORTATION AND ACHIEVING ENERGY SECURITY, 11—09, p. 30.

The importance of oil in the  [...] of foreign policy and humanitarian issues.

Ineffective hegemony causes escalation of global hotspots

Brzezinski 12 Zbigniew K. Brzezinski (CSIS counselor and trustee and cochairs the CSIS Advisory Board, holds honorary degrees from Georgetown University, Williams College, Fordham University, College of the Holy Cross, Alliance College, the Catholic University of Lublin, Warsaw University, and Vilnius University. He is the recipient of numerous honors and awards) February 2012 “After America” http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america?page=0,0

For if America falters, the  [...] a dangerous slide into global turmoil.

scenario 2 is Iran-

Oil dependence threatens our ability to check a nuclear Iran
CNA Military Advisory Board, General Charles F. Ward, General, USAF (ret.), chair, POWERING AMERICA’S DEFENSE: ENERGY AND THE RISKS TO NATIONAL SECURITY, 5—09, p. 4.

Even in countries that are not  [...] international sanctions [17, 23].

Iran prolif causes extinction
Rubin, 9 – (Barry, Prof @ the Interdisciplinary Center, Director of the Global Research in International Affairs, Research Director of the IDC's Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy, and Strategy, “What if Iran gets a working nuclear weapon? How Middle East crisis would hit U.S.,” http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/2009/03/09/2009-03-09_what_if_iran_gets_a_working_nuclear_weap.html)

If and when Iran gets nuclear  [...] nuclear weapons in the first place.

Plan: The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on oil drilling in the Outer Continental Shelf.

contention 4 is solvency-

Lifting restrictions solves
Spakovsky and Loris 12 (Hans, Senior Legal Fellow / Manager, Civil Justice Reform Initiative, and Nicholas, Herbert and Joyce Morgan Fellow, 8/13/12, “Offshore Drilling: Increase Access, Reduce the Risk, and Stop Hurting American Companies” The Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/08/offshore-drilling-increase-access-reduce-the-risk-and-stop-hurting-american-companies

No New Access in the New  [...] Mexico, and off Alaska’s coast. 

OCS drilling would provide significant growth to combat the recession
Mason 09 (Joseph, Ph.D. in Finance, University of Illinois, February 2011, “The Economic Contribution of Increased Offshore Oil Exploration and Production to Regional and National Economies” American Energy Alliance) http://www.americanenergyalliance.org/images/aea_offshore_updated_final.pdf

This paper estimates the net local  [...] help them weather the current recession. 

Federal government is key to uniformity—a lack kills all OCS resource development
Weaver 02 (Sierra, Associate Attorney, Southern Environmental Law Center, “Local Management of Natural Resources: Should Local Governments be Able to Keep Oil Out?” The Harvard Environmental Law Review, Lexis) 

The call for reform in the  [...] federal government would thus be forced to