Tournament: Navy | Round: All | Opponent:  | Judge: 

Plan – Loan Guarantees

The United States federal government should substantially increase loan guarantees for small modular thermal reactors.

Prolif

Nuclear power is increasing globally – demand ensures it’ll be large reactors

Banks et al, Foreign Policy Energy Security Initiative nonresident fellow, 12-16

(John P. “Nuclear Power in Developing Countries? Let's Talk about It.” 12-16. http:~/~/www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2012/12/16-Apthorp-Bridwell Aff Accessed: 1/1/2013. ADC)

 While the developed world gets cold feet on … nuclear power, but commitments are pending.

This will result in breakout proliferation-asymmetries undermine deterrence and ensure nuclear war-safeguards are key.

 (Fast/breakout, checks US influence, miscalc risk (small difference/opaqueness)

Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center Executive Director, 09

Henry, June 1, 2009, “Avoiding a Nuclear Crowd”, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policy-review/article/5534, 10/3/12, atl)

Finally, several new nuclear weapons … of this, however, is inevitable.

US construction is key to solve-SMR’s would out compete other models and a strong domestic industry ensures maintenance of the global gold standard.

Miller, Bipartisan Policy Co-Chair for the Nuclear Initiative, 12

(Dr. Warren F. “Pete” e-, Former DOE Assistant Secretary for Nuclear Energy, Senator Pete Domenici, July 2012, “Challenges and Opportunities Facing Nuclear Energy in the United States”, http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Leadership%20in%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Markets.pdf, 8/14/12, atl)

Several other countries, by contrast, have … development, and deployment (RDandD) programs.

The plan causes other suppliers to model US practices-ensures no proliferation.

Sokolski, Nonproliferation Policy Education Center Executive Director, 11

(Henry, “The Post-Fukushima Arms Race?”, Foreign Policy, July, 29, 2011,http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/07/29/the_post_fukushima_arms_race?print=yesandhidecomments=yesandpage=full, 10/9/12, atl)

A Japanese decision to resist temptation and … in time, as it has reluctantly in the past.

Other countries follow the US lead-ensures they’ll pick SMR’s and implement safety measures

Lieberman, American Physical Society senior government relations specialist, 11

(Jodi, November 15, 2011 “Nonproliferation, Congress, and Nuclear Trade: Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose” http://csis.org/files/publication/111116_nonproliferation_congress_and_nucleartrade.pdf

 U.S. Nonproliferation Influence  While 123 … will be  held in South Korea in 2012.

Proliferation causes nuclear war-crisis escalation, aggression, saving face, delegation and launch on warning guarantee it.

Kroenig, Georgetown University Government assistant professor, 12

(Matthew, Assistant Professor of Government at Georgetown University and Stanton Nuclear Security Fellow at Council on Foreign Relations, “The History of Proliferation Optimism: Does It Have A Future?,” 5-26-12, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=1182andrtid=2, accessed 10-2-12, mtf)

The proliferation optimist position, while having … attempt to force less-resolved opponents to back down.

Status quo nuclear power will be based off Chinese designs-guarantees accidents and meltdowns

Tu, Carnegie Energy and Climate Program senior associate, 12

(Kevin Jianjun. “China’s Nuclear Crossroads.” 3-11. http:~/~/carnegieendowment.org/2012/03/11/Apthorp-Bridwell Aff Accessed: 9/30/2012. ADC)

 It’s first important to acknowledge … that energy-thirsty China can’t afford to make.  

Meltdowns cause extinction – just one can kill millions

Lendman, Research Associate, Center for Research on Globalization, 11

(Stephen, “Nuclear Meltdown in Japan,” 3-13-11, http:~/~/www.thepeoplesvoice.org/TPV3/Voices.php/2011/03/13/php/2011/03/13/nuclear-meltdown-in-japan, accessed 9-15-12, ara)

Reuters said the 1995 Kobe quake … America, and parts of South America.

Manu

Manufacturing declining – it’s key to weather recession

Woellert, Bloomberg News, 1-18

(Lorraine, Manufacturing in area shows a recent decline, 1-18-13, http:~/~/www.philly.com/philly/business/20130118_Manufacturing_in_area_dropped_in_html, accessed 1-18-13, ara)

Manufacturing in the Philadelphia region … first step, but it didn't reduce the uncertainty."

Infrastructure exists now-US can be a first mover and corner the market on SMR’s

Rosner and Goldberg, Energy Policy Institute at Chicago, 11

(Robert and Stephen, The Harris School of Public Policy Studies at the University of Chicago; Contributor: Joseph S. Hezir, Principal, EOP Foundation, Inc. "Small Modular Reactors – Key to Future Nuclear Power Generation in the U.S.," Technical Paper, Revision 1, November 2011, https://epic.sites.uchicago.edu/sites/epic.uchicago.edu/files/uploads/EPICSMRWhitePaperFinalcopy.pdf, accessed 8-6-12, mtf)

As stated earlier, SMRs have the potential …Russia, and, now rapidly  emerging, China

Manufacturing fuels hegemony and the economy-key to gains in jobs and innovation

Boushey, Center for American Progress senior economist, 2012

(Heather, “Testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Ways and Meanson Tax Reform and the U.S. Manufacturing Sector”, 7-19, waysandmeans.house.gov/uploadedfiles/boushey_testimony.pdf, DOA: 11-5-12, ldg)

Having a strong manufacturing industry in the …How will we fare if those ideas originate somewhere else?”34

Global economic crisis causes war-~--strong statistical support

Royal, director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010

(Jedediah, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, pg 213-215, ldg)

Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may … view presented here should be considered ancillary to those views.

Alternative to heg is nuclear war

Zhang et al., Carnegie Endowment researcher, 2011

(Yuhan, “America’s decline: A harbinger of conflict and rivalry”, 1-22, http:~/~/www.eastasiaforum.org/2011/01/22/americas-decline-a-harbinger-of-conflict-and-rivalry/http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2011/01/22/americas-decline-a-harbinger-of-conflict-and-rivalry/, DOA: 9-21-11, ldg)

This does not necessarily mean … inevitably be devoid of unrivalled US primacy.

American intervention is inevitable – it’s a question of whether it’s effective

Continetti, associate editor of the Weekly Standard, 2008

(Matthew, “If we don't maintain world order, who will?”, 3-4, LA Times, http:~/~/www.latimes.com/news/printedition/opinion/la-op-antle-continetti4mar04,1,2482677.story?ctrack=4andcset=com/news/printedition/opinion/la-op-antle-continetti4mar04,1,2482677.story?ctrack=4andcset=true, ldg)

Today's prompt asks us, "Is interventionism an organic … not make the same mistakes again.

S

Capitalization is key to nuclear commercialization-only the federal government can leverage the funds necessary

Bennett, Vice President for Public Affairs, Third Way, 10

(Matt, Josh Freed is Director of the Third Way Clean Energy initiative, Jeremy Ershow is a Policy Advisor at Third Way, “Breaking the Nuclear Financing Barrier,” February 10, http://content.thirdway.org/publications/265/Third_Way_Idea_Brief_-_Breaking_the_Nuclear_Financing_Barrier.pdf, accessed 9-30-12, ara)

High financing costs stand in the … Obama’s 2011 budget request to triple the loan volume.

SMR’s can be commercialized quickly and are safe-studies prove they have multiple advantages

Kessides and Kuznetsov, World Bank chief economist, 12

(Ioannis N., Development Research Group and The World Bank; and Vladimir, Consultant at The World Bank, "Small Modular Reactors for Enhancing Energy Security in Developing Countries," Sustainability 2012, 4.8, http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/4/8/1806/htm, accessed 9-29-12, mtf)

SMRs offer a number of advantages that … characterized by significant economies of scale 19.

NRC will streamline SMR’s

Sullivan, et al., partner, Hogan Lovells’ LLP, 10

(Mary Anne, partner in Hogan Lovells' energy practice in Washington, D.C., Daniel F. Stenger is a partner in Hogan Lovells' energy practice, Amy C. Roma is a senior associate in Hogan Lovells' energy practice, “Are Small Reactors the Next Big Thing in Nuclear?” 12-21-10, http:~/~/www.elp.com/index/display/article-display/3288852302/articles/electric-light-power/volume-88/issue-6/sections/html, accessed 9-20-12, ara)

The biggest challenge to getting SMRs to … the NRC's initiative through industry working groups.

SMR’s compete with gas-better risk premium and no volatility

Rosner, Distinguished Service Professor, Departments of Astronomy and Astrophysics, and Physics – Chicago University, 11

(Robert e-, Senior Fellow, Computation Institute; Director, Energy Policy Institute; Enrico Fermi Institute; Harris School of Public Policy, Stephen Goldberg, Special Assistant to the Director Argonne National Laboratory, “Small Modular Reactors – Key To Future Nuclear Power Generation In The U.S.”, Energy Policy Institute at Chicago The Harris School of Public Policy Studies, 6/2/12, atl)

In both the 2004 Chicago Study and the current … the debt quality for nuclear power plants.

We have the workforce and infrastructure

Spencer et al, Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies research fellow, 11

(Jack. “A Big Future for Small Nuclear Reactors?” Heritage Foundation. 2-02. http:~/~/www.heritage.org/research/reports/2011/02/Apthorp-Bridwell Aff Accessed: 9/7/2012. ADC)

Domestic Production. Although the nuclear … enrichment capabilities—all in the United States.