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1 | 09/22/2012 | 1ac- GSU- CFIUS- Trade, Economy, RelationsTournament: GSU | Round: 1 | Opponent: | Judge: InherencyContention 1- the Status QuoThe United States currently submits all foreign investment deals related to oil and gas production to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, known as CFIUS. These restrictions chill foreign investment and send a signal of US protectionism.Wilson Center 5-31-12 (Chinese Investment in North American Energy, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/chinese-investment-north-american-energy) While Chinese foreign energy investment is on the rise, the more notable story is AND companies, which will allow China’s companies to better extract resources at home. ProtectionismContention 2- Protectionism:Global trade is on the brink of collapse- rising US protectionism risks global escalation.Lincicome 12 (Scott, trade attorney, “Is Missing American Trade Leadership Beginning to Bear Protectionist Fruit? (Hint: Kinda Looks Like It),” June 12, http://lincicome.blogspot.com/2012/06/is-missing-american-trade-leadership.html) Over the past few years, I and several other US trade-watchers have AND its long-held place at the front of the trade liberalization pack. And, restrictions on oil and gas investments explode the scope of CFIUS reviews. This expansion of the CFIUS process is a protectionist tool to keep out investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT'S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int'l L. Rev. 167) II. Post 9/11 Application of Exon-Florio After 9/11 AND that Reagan threatened to veto in order to strip the economic security provisions. And, these investment restrictions undermine US trade leadership and triggers retaliation. The impact is global wars.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT'S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int'l L. Rev. 167) C. Economic Retaliation as a Result of CFIUS Protectionism Continued use of Exon- AND own interests to take any action that may destabilize the American economy. 182 And, protectionism collapses the global economy, sparks great power conflict, and exacerbates all global problems.Patrick, Senior Fellow-CFR, 09 (Stewart, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, “Protecting Free Trade,” National Interest, March 13, 2009, http://nationalinterest.org/article/protecting-free-trade-3060?page=show) President Obama has committed to working with U.S. trade partners to avoid AND daily economic intelligence briefing, distilling the security implications of the global crisis. And, none of their trade offense applies- protectionism is unquestionably bad- best studies.Bhagwati, CFR Senior Fellow, 10 (Jagdish, University Professor of Law and Economics at Columbia University and Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, renowned expert on international trade, he has served as the Special Adviser to the UN on globalization, “How to demolish protectionist myths,” July 5, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/jul/05/free-trade-protectionist-myths) Evidently, the pessimism and despair that often overwhelms free traders today is unwarranted. AND include services. To which the free trader responds: no problem there! And, clarifying the definition of national security solves tit-for-tat protectionismRosen and Hanemann 09 (Daniel, and Thilo, China’s Changing Outbound Foreign Direct Investment Profile: Drivers and Policy Implications, June, http://www.iie.com/publications/pb/pb09-14.pdf) Limiting national security concerns in an era of high-value mergers and acquisitions: AND both by maximizing its asset values and preventing tit-fortat treatment abroad. And, Unilateral FDI liberalization is key to prevent trade policy backsliding which dooms global economic recovery.Erixon and Sally, directors-ECIPE, 10 (Fredrik and Razeen, European Centre for International Political Economy, TRADE, GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING PROTECTIONISM SINCE THE CRISIS, http://www.ecipe.org/media/publication_pdfs/trade-globalisation-and-emerging-protectionism-since-the-crisis.pdf) [italics are from original source] We think Mr. Bentham’s world-view will cause damage, not only to AND of a piece with open markets, economic globalisation and international political stability. And, Doha’s collapse doesn’t matter- it just makes the risk of protectionism worse.Bhagwati 6-24 (Jagdish, “Doha’s Retreat,” 2012, http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/bhagwati/2012/07/24/dohas-retreat/) But I cannot conclude without commenting on the different but related issue of Protectionism which AND from indifference or complacency, it bodes ill for the world trading system. EconomyContention 3- the Economy:Chinese FDI in the US is on the brink. Politicization of the CFIUS process threatens this investment.Rosen and Hanemann 11 (Daniel, principal at RHG and Adjunct Professor at Columbia, and Thilo, Research Director- the Rhodium Group, Chinese FDI in the United States is taking off: How to maximize its benefits?, http://www.vcc.columbia.edu/content/chinese-fdi-united-states-taking-how-maximize-its-benefits) China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) grew rapidly in the past decade, AND a test case for how the United States deals with these new realities. And, the lack of a list of allowed industries results in investment chilling across the board- it undermines faith in the entire CFIUS process.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20In%20Hand.pdf) As a result of the different regulatory environment for Foreign Direct Investment and different considerations AND investment which creates new jobs or safeguards employment in Germany is highly welcomed. And, energy restrictions chills ALL foreign investment, destroying investor confidence, which crushes the dollar and triggers economic recession.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT'S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int'l L. Rev. 167) B. National Security and Investor Uncertainty The uncertain interpretation of national security in Exon AND investment is more vital than ever to provide liquidity to American markets. 164 We’re on the brink of a double dip recession- boosting investor confidence is key.Rickards, 12 (James, economist and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street and the author of NYT Bestselling book Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, “Why We Should Still Be Worried about a Double-Dip Recession,” February 27, 2012, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/02/27/why-we-should-still-be-worried-about-a-double-dip-recession) The late summer and fall of 2011 was filled with fears of a double- AND certainty returns and, on current form, that may be years away. And, economic decline causes great power war.Royal 2010 Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, pg. 213-215 Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of extern conflict AND not featured prominently in the economic-security debate and deserves more attention. And, diversionary war theory is true- best models prove.Pickering and Kisangani 2009 – department of political science at Kansas State, citing the International Military Intervention dataset (Jeffrey and Emizet, British Journal of Political Science, 39:483-515, “The dividends of diversion”, ProQuest) CONCLUSIONS In his seminal review of diversionary research, Jack Levy contends that most diversionary AND the democracy ages, and democratic norms and institutions become more deeply entrenched. And, independently, decline of the dollar collapses hegemony.Paul, executive director-Global Policy Forum, 03 (James A, Fall of the Dollar, Global Policy Forum, August, http://dspace.cigilibrary.org/jspui/bitstream/123456789/21885/1/Fall%20of%20the%20Dollar.pdf?1) Implications of the Dollar’s Decline As the dollar has continued to fall, US authorities AND in the very same direction for the global order based on US dominance. And, American hegemony prevents multiple scenarios for nuclear war.Kagan 07 (Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Senior Transatlantic Fellow at the German Marshall Fund, “End of Dreams, Return of History,” Policy Review n 144, July 17, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policy-review/article/6136) The jostling for status and influence among these ambitious nations and would-be nations AND a retraction of American influence and global involvement will provide an easier path. No turns- US dominance is critical to international peace and economic growth- any shift to a multipolar world will produce conflict.Kagan 12 (Robert, Brooking’s Senior Fellow of Foreign Policy, Center on the United States and Europe, “Why the World Needs America,” Feb 11, http://www.brookings.edu/research/articles/2012/02/11-us-power-kagan) History shows that world orders, including our own, are transient. They rise AND what the world looked like right before the American order came into being. And, foreign investment is critical to economic growth- FDI boosts jobs, RandD, innovation, and multiple industrial sectors.Stagg 2007 Jonathan, JD candidate University of Iowa, NOTE: Scrutinizing Foreign Investment: How Much Congressional Involvement Is Too Much? November, 2007 93 Iowa L. Rev. 325 CFIUS, the group the President has designated to investigate foreign-investment transactions, AND half of 2006, a 169% increase over the previous year. 43 And, the plan is a quick injection of capital which is critical to economic recovery.Xu et al 12 (Ting, China and Economy consultant for Bertelsmann Stiftung, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20in%20Hand%20Second%20Edition%20final.pdf) Although Chinese FDI has drawn increasing attention in the U.S. and Germany AND in bringing those countries that are facing a credit crunch back to growth. RelationsContention 4- US-China relations:Conflict over US foreign investment restrictions risks shattering the US-China relationship. Only the plan sends a strong signal of cooperation towards China.Xu 11 (Ting, senior project manager-Bertelsmann Foundation, The Next Big Threat to US-China Ties, July 13, http://thediplomat.com/2011/07/13/the-next-big-threat-to-us-china-ties/) The United States and China have long lobbed verbal grenades across the Pacific, each AND a win-win situation that would also boost Sino-American collaboration. And, CFIUS restrictions on Chinese energy investment undermines the economic interdependence that assures peace between US and China.Dorn, CATO China specialist, 07 (James, “The Rise of China Engagement or Protectionism? US Policy towards China,” GLOBAL DIALOGUE Volume 9 ● Number 1–2 ● Winter/Spring 2007, http://www.worlddialogue.org/content.php?id=395) Treasury Secretary Paulson is correct to urge institutional change in China rather than narrowly focus AND . If they couldn’t sell in America, they would fall apart.”11 And, absent the plan, a nationalist backlash is inevitable and escalates to war.Dorn 05 (James A, China specialist and VP for academic affairs at Cato, U.S.-China Relations in the Wake of CNOOC, CATO Policy Analysis, Nov 2, http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa553.pdf) The message that Congress should send China is the message Liu Junning, an independent AND will depend on sound free-market policies, not on destructive protectionism. Collapse of relations risks nuclear war.Wittner 11 (Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace and Change, a journal of peace research, “COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?,” November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html) While nuclear weapons exist, there remains a danger that they will be used. AND that of the world, they should be working to encourage these policies. And, the plan strengthens the overall relationship.Marchick, Managing Director, Carlyle Group, 12 (David, Fostering Greater Chinese Investment in the United States, Policy Innovation Memorandum No. 13, February, http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310) China recently became the world's second-largest economy and has emerged as the world's AND the United States have either been approved or have not required any approval. And, recent official statements prove these investment restrictions are a critical issue in the relationship.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20In%20Hand.pdf) Many U.S. experts recognize the potentially enormous future benefit from growing Chinese AND welcome Chinese investment and in particular, to treat the SOEs equally. 4 PlanThus the plan:The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.SolvencyContention 5-Solvency:Narrowing the definition of national security to exclude “energy assets” insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int'l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT'S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY Conclusion Exon-Florio should be amended to more narrowly define national security. The AND by embracing globalization and cooperation can the United States truly achieve national security. And, oil and gas are the key energy issues for CFIUS.Ellis-Vinson and Elkins LLP-6/1/07 US energy and foreign direct investment: Is the foreign capital flow for oil and gas at risk? Energy has traditionally been an area of some concern for CFIUS. In fact, AND energy-related - a trend that has continued thus far in 2007. And, the US should clarify that energy production does not undermine national security-- explicitly exempting specific industries from CFIUS review is key.Pane 05 (Marc, studied ILaw at Fordham, worked for the Office of the Principal Defender for the Special Court for Sierra Leone, CNOOC’s Bid for UNOCAL: Now is the Time to Improve theExon-Florio Amendment, http://www.scribd.com/doc/61823408/CNOOC-s-Bid-for-UNOCAL-Now-is-the-Time-to-Improve-the-Exon-Florio-Amendment) What does this all mean for Exon-Florio? Almost since its enactment, AND from global energy markets might result in a greater risk of supply disruption). Clarification of CFIUS priorities should focus on specific industries to green-light.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20In%20Hand.pdf) CFIUS should develop and make public both a list of strategic industries and a set AND multilateral channels of engagement to make improvements and upgrades to the investment climate. |
2 | 09/23/2012 | 1ac- GSU- CFIUS- Iran and InvestmentTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: InherencyContention 1- the Status QuoThe United States currently submits all foreign investment deals related to oil and gas production to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, known as CFIUS. These restrictions chill foreign investment and send a signal of US protectionism.Wilson Center 5-31-12 (Chinese Investment in North American Energy, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/chinese-investment-north-american-energy) InvestmentContention 2- InvestmentScenario 1- Protectionism:Global trade is on the brink of collapse- rising US protectionism risks global escalation.Lincicome 12 (Scott, trade attorney, "Is Missing American Trade Leadership Beginning to Bear Protectionist Fruit? (Hint: Kinda Looks Like It)," June 12, http://lincicome.blogspot.com/2012/06/is-missing-american-trade-leadership.html) And, restrictions on oil and gas investments explode the scope of foreign investment CFIUS reviews. This expansion of the CFIUS process is a protectionist tool to keep out investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) II. Post 9/11 Application of Exon-Florio After 9/11 And, expanding the scope of CFIUS reviews undermines US trade leadership and triggers retaliation. The impact is global wars.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) C. Economic Retaliation as a Result of CFIUS Protectionism Continued use of Exon- And, protectionism sparks great power conflict and exacerbates all global problems.Patrick, Senior Fellow-CFR, 09 (Stewart, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, "Protecting Free Trade," National Interest, March 13, 2009, http://nationalinterest.org/article/protecting-free-trade-3060?page=show) And, Unilateral FDI liberalization is key to prevent trade policy backsliding which dooms global economic recovery.Erixon and Sally, directors-ECIPE, 10 (Fredrik and Razeen, European Centre for International Political Economy, TRADE, GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING PROTECTIONISM SINCE THE CRISIS, http://www.ecipe.org/media/publication_pdfs/trade-globalisation-and-emerging-protectionism-since-the-crisis.pdf) ~[italics are from original source~] We think Mr. Bentham’s world-view will cause damage, not only to domestic economies but also to the world trading system. This will not be a replay of the 1930s, but a replay of the 1970s is a serious prospect. The world is in danger of undoing the market reforms of the 1980s and ’90s that brought unprecedented prosperity, especially to emerging markets outside the West. Like the 1970s, policy backsliding could prolong a severe downturn and compromise eventual recovery. The short-term challenge is to arrest the slide to Big Government at home and creeping protectionism abroad. The medium-term challenge is to get back on track with trade and FDI liberalisation combined with domestic structural reforms – substantial "unfinished business" left before the crisis struck. More, not less, markets and globalisation are what the world needs. That is primarily a matter for unilateral action by governments and competitive emulation among them. It can be reinforced by international policy cooperation in the WTO, G20 and other fora, but not too much can be expected of cumbersome global-governance mechanisms. Overall, limits to government intervention and a well-functioning market economy are of a piece with open markets, economic globalisation and international political stability. Scenario 2- Economic Collapse:And, energy restrictions destroy investor confidence, which crushes the dollar and triggers economic recession- the vague CFIUS interpretation of national security chills ALL foreign investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) We’re on the brink of a double dip recession- boosting investor confidence is key.Rickards, 12 (James, economist and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street and the author of NYT Bestselling book Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, "Why We Should Still Be Worried about a Double-Dip Recession," February 27, 2012, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/02/27/why-we-should-still-be-worried-about-a-double-dip-recession) And, economic decline causes great power war.Royal 2010 And, the plan is a quick injection of capital which is critical to economic recovery.Xu et al 12 (Ting, China and Economy consultant for Bertelsmann Stiftung, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, GREIZZZBACCCHHLack of Chinese support for Iran sanctions undercuts international pressure. Removing restrictions on Chinese investment in US oil and gas production is the best way to get them to come around.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 7-19-12 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Turn on Iran," July 19, http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/getting-china-turn-iran-7215) Over the past decade, as the United States employed increasingly robust sanctions to gradually And, China is key- their cooperation is the lynchpin of international pressure on Iran nuclearization.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 11 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Sanction Iran," Foreign Affairs, March/April 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/research/articles/2011/02/03-china-iran-downs-maloney) For more than three decades, the United States has tried to persuade the international Two impacts- First- Nuclearization—Iranian nuclearization makes nuclear war inevitable in the Middle East- even small conflicts could escalate to all out war.Kahl, Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, 12 (Colin, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East and Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, Iran and the Bomb, Foreign Affairs; Sep/Oct2012, Vol. 91 Issue 5, p157-162) Iranian nuclearization causes regional and global arms racing.Cirincione 06 (Joseph, Sr. Assoc. %26 Director @ the Non-Proliferation Project @ the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Summer, SAIS Review, "A New Non-Proliferation Strategy") This risks global nuclear conflict- new prolif risks theft, unauthorized use, terrorism, and crisis escalation.Busch, Professor of Government-Christopher Newport, 04 (Nathan, "No End in Sight: The Continuing Menace of Nuclear Proliferation" p 281-314) Sanctions work- evidence suggests they will bring Iran back to the negotiating table.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Second impact- Strikes-Israel will strike Iran unless the US gets support for tighten sanctions on Iran- officials statements say they will strike by the end of the year. And, tightening sanctions on Iranian oil staves off an Israeli strike on Iran.National Journal 12 (Sara Sorcher, Insiders: New Sanctions on Iran Stave Off Need for Military Action, Jan 31, http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/insiders-new-sanctions-on-iran-stave-off-need-for-military-action-20120130) Israel strikes on Iran cause multiple scenarios for nuclear war, CBW use and terrorist attacks.Russell 09 (James A. Russell, managing editor of Strategic Insights, the quarterly ejournal published by the Center for Contemporary Conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School, Spring 2009, Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East, Security Studies Center) And, strikes don’t solve prolif and make escalation inevitable- Iran would face use-it-or-lose-it pressure, no hotlines exist, and Iran’s command-and-control weakness risks unauthorized escalation.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Chinese support for sanctions is the best bet to prevent Israel from striking.Wuthnow 12 (Joel, fellow at the China and the World Program at the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University, Will China Stop Iran?, March 05, http://thediplomat.com/2012/03/05/will-china-stop-iran/) US-China bilateral relations are on the brink- inevitable conflicts over the US foreign investment process risk shattering the relationship. US action to clarify which industries and companies can invest sends a strong signal of cooperation towards China.Xu 11 (Ting, senior project manager-Bertelsmann Foundation, The Next Big Threat to US-China Ties, July 13, http://thediplomat.com/2011/07/13/the-next-big-threat-to-us-china-ties/) Collapse of relations risks nuclear war.Wittner 11 (Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace %26 Change, a journal of peace research, "COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?," November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html) PlanThus the plan:The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.SolvencyContention 4-Solvency:Contention 5-Solvency:Narrowing the definition of national security to exclude "energy assets" insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY And, oil and gas are the key energy issues for CFIUS.Ellis-Vinson %26 Elkins LLP-6/1/07 And, the US should clarify that energy production does not undermine national security— explicitly exempting specific industries from CFIUS review is key.Pane 05 (Marc, studied ILaw at Fordham, worked for the Office of the Principal Defender for the Special Court for Sierra Leone, CNOOC’s Bid for UNOCAL: Now is the Time to Improve theExon-Florio Amendment, http://www.scribd.com/doc/61823408/CNOOC-s-Bid-for-UNOCAL-Now-is-the-Time-to-Improve-the-Exon-Florio-Amendment) Clarification of CFIUS priorities should focus on specific industries to green-light.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, |
6 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- T resrictionTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Restrictions on world oil production can be divided into four categories: 1. Geology B. Blocks delays and alterations Foreign firms appear to be increasingly interested in investing in US oil companies, electric C. Mitigation measures In the 18 years that Exon-Florio has been in force, there have The Catalogue classifies foreign direct investments in the various Chinese industry sectors as “encouraged 2. ---C/I - Restrictions mean qualification on production In the instant case, the Court is required to interpret the word "restriction" as used by the parties in the Agreement. The parties apparently agree that the legal definition of restriction--"a limitation or qualification," Black's Law Dictionary 1341 (8th ed. 1999)--is a good place to start. Thus, the Court must determine whether the board's supervision requirement falls within this definition. qual•i•fi•ca•tion noun /ˌkwäləfəˈkāSHən/ qualifications,
3. ---Foreign investment restrictions apply to extraction B. Petroleum Industry Experience and Challenges: Exon-Florio Although CFIUS’s focus on |
7 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Security KTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: |
6 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- QER CPTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Fifth, don’t shoot yourself in the foot. Political uncertainties and potential delays for 2. Predictability key to energy investments 3. Politicization of the plan undermines US investment credibility- turns the case. Legal and financial scholars have generally acknowledged the negative economic and political effects of the 4. Even small conditions turn trade- unilateralism better As the world's largest economy, the United States has a lot of negotiating leverage Congress would be the one that has to implement the plan after the review. Confusion about the definition of national security is not limited to parties outside the black They wont do it- they strongly dislike the plan Who’s afraid of China’s national oil companies? Quite a few people, if the Delays solvency for years! (also they submit it to Congress) WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Chris Coons (D-Del.), a member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, joined Senators Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Jeff Bingaman (D-N.M.), Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), Mark Begich (D-Alaska), and Jon Tester (D-Mont.) today in introducing legislation to develop a coordinated national energy strategy for meeting America’s energy needs. The Quadrennial Energy Review Act of 2011 authorizes a high-level, government- WASHINGTON, DC – The Energy Department today released its inaugural Quadrennial Technology Review report |
7 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Clarification CPTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Substantial changes in the analytical framework governing the Committee's evaluation of national security considerations related That undermines investment and risks protectionism. In the end, economic nationalism in the form of U.S. political Restrictions on FDI spark protectionism which is modeled abroad- spirals to an all-out trade war. THE POLITICAL ROAD AHEAD Nonetheless, the U.S. cannot formulate FDI policy |
8 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Courts CPTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
In Kohler, the taxpayer purchased $ 19.5 million in Mexican pesos for On the federal level, the time has come to listen to the voices of 3. CP Links to Politics A judicial decision invalidating a statute also skews the political dynamic because, as a 4. Turn- Delay- The judiciary, like other large political institutions, is afflicted with many bureaucratic problems Fifth, don’t shoot yourself in the foot. Political uncertainties and potential delays for 5. CP will be rolled back. |
5 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- HeideggerTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: |
9 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- ElectionsTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: So, not as big a spread as I am predicting, But 7. While Mitt Romney enjoys a 47 percent to 46 percent lead over President Obama in Romney bashing backfires- lets Obama use Romney’s outsourcing China bashing is now unpopular- Romney will lose if he uses the plan against Obama. The Wall Street Journal on Saturday criticized Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney for playing protectionism fights over NEXEN now- already an election year CNOOC's proposed takeover was unanimously approved by the Nexen board but is still to be Romney will win Ohio The bipartisan polling Foreign investment is key to Obama wins in Ohio and Pennsylvania. The shale revolution is spreading into eastern Ohio, bringing with it the possibility of Ohio is key to the election US-China relations key to solve warming – biggest emitters. China and the United States are the two largest national emitters of the greenhouse gases Strong U.S.-China ties solve warming – two largest polluters The Strategic and Economic Dialogue between the US and China has now ended with the Strike kills Obama in election Obama’s failure on Iran is unpopular with the public and the GOP will use it against him. It is still too early in the campaign to gauge the effectiveness of the Republican The GOP will use Obama’s weakness on Iran sanctions against him in the election. |
11 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Russia Oil DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: The strategy includes continued investment in research and development for development of all forms of Oil production from the North Dakota portion of the Bakken shale formation topped 600, Prices will be stabilized – The oil market now understands that should prices fall below $90, it starts Well, Steve, oil markets are notoriously volatile, so lots of things can Wide-Ranging Implications One policy implication of CNOOC–Nexen is thus a bit Russian decline now –Capital Economic experts warn, however, that a new crisis is just around the corner |
12 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Chinese Nationalism DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: However, to put some balance into the picture, we should not overestimate the Collapse is comparatively worse- internal instability causes nationalistic foreign policy- makes US-China confrontation more likely Only rising economically and liberal institutions check- all military action is a buffer for perceived American attack It went on to highlight four features of China’s current strategy. They are related |
10 | 09/26/2012 | 2ac- Fiscal Cliff DATournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: No change of agreement- ideology Trade key to american military hegemony N/U- Congress is already backlashing now to the CNOOC-Nexen deal. As SOEs from countries like China, India and Brazil seek to increase their footprint FDI policies have bipartisan support. FDI has received long-standing, bi-partisan policy backing: every Administration China hires lobbyists to quell opposition- even those that don’t like Chinese investment won’t necessarily push to block deals. Winners win |
3 | 10/01/2012 | 1ac GSU DoublesTournament: GSU | Round: Doubles | Opponent: Northwestern LV | Judge: InherencyContention 1- the Status QuoThe United States currently submits all foreign investment deals related to oil and gas production to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, known as CFIUS. These restrictions chill foreign investment and send a signal of US protectionism.Wilson Center 5-31-12 (Chinese Investment in North American Energy, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/chinese-investment-north-american-energy) ProtectionismContention 2- Protectionism:Global trade is on the brink of collapse- rising US protectionism risks global escalation.Lincicome 12 (Scott, trade attorney, "Is Missing American Trade Leadership Beginning to Bear Protectionist Fruit? (Hint: Kinda Looks Like It)," June 12, http://lincicome.blogspot.com/2012/06/is-missing-american-trade-leadership.html) And, restrictions on oil and gas investments explode the scope of foreign investment CFIUS reviews. This expansion of the CFIUS process is a protectionist tool to keep out investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) II. Post 9/11 Application of Exon-Florio After 9/11 And, expanding the scope of CFIUS reviews undermines US trade leadership and triggers retaliation. The impact is global wars.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) C. Economic Retaliation as a Result of CFIUS Protectionism Continued use of Exon- And, protectionism sparks great power conflict and exacerbates all global problems.Patrick, Senior Fellow-CFR, 09 (Stewart, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, "Protecting Free Trade," National Interest, March 13, 2009, http://nationalinterest.org/article/protecting-free-trade-3060?page=show) Clarifying the definition of national security solves tit-for-tat protectionismRosen and Hanemann 09 (Daniel, and Thilo, China’s Changing Outbound Foreign Direct Investment Profile: Drivers and Policy Implications, June, http://www.iie.com/publications/pb/pb09-14.pdf) Limiting national security concerns in an era of high-value mergers and acquisitions: Chinese OFDI will increasingly target higher-value assets in advanced economies, as commercial competitiveness joins resource security as a first-order motivation. This will increase the temptation for governments and firms in the nations where China invests to use national security arguments to block these new entrants. Worldwide, the commitment to cross-border investment openness is already shaky and protectionist sentiment is on the rise. Potential recipients of Chinese investments must not invoke national security inappropriately and should be more forthright about offlimit sectors. n Grappling with national economic security: Attempts by some US firms and protectionist politicians to expand the US investment review system to include economic security irrespective of national security have been rebuffed in the past. However, China’s size and pervasive government involvement in its commercial sector are rekindling this debate. Policymakers worry about the impact of noncommercial bidders on a market system, and concerns that official subsidies support China’s OFDI are pervasive. Talk in Beijing about "using" corporate OFDI as an alternative to buying US treasuries only increases worry about financial security. Corporate bailouts worldwide have lately made China’s firms less exceptional in terms of government ownership and control, but western officials remain concerned about China in particular. Chinese executives need clear US policy to determine beforehand whether bids may be rejected on national security grounds, and greater clarity on this issue would benefit the United States both by maximizing its asset values and preventing tit-fortat treatment abroad. And, Unilateral FDI liberalization is key to prevent trade policy backsliding which dooms global economic recovery.Erixon and Sally, directors-ECIPE, 10 (Fredrik and Razeen, European Centre for International Political Economy, TRADE, GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING PROTECTIONISM SINCE THE CRISIS, http://www.ecipe.org/media/publication_pdfs/trade-globalisation-and-emerging-protectionism-since-the-crisis.pdf) ~italics are from original source~ We think Mr. Bentham’s world-view will cause damage, not only to domestic economies but also to the world trading system. This will not be a replay of the 1930s, but a replay of the 1970s is a serious prospect. The world is in danger of undoing the market reforms of the 1980s and ’90s that brought unprecedented prosperity, especially to emerging markets outside the West. Like the 1970s, policy backsliding could prolong a severe downturn and compromise eventual recovery. The short-term challenge is to arrest the slide to Big Government at home and creeping protectionism abroad. The medium-term challenge is to get back on track with trade and FDI liberalisation combined with domestic structural reforms – substantial "unfinished business" left before the crisis struck. More, not less, markets and globalisation are what the world needs. That is primarily a matter for unilateral action by governments and competitive emulation among them. It can be reinforced by international policy cooperation in the WTO, G20 and other fora, but not too much can be expected of cumbersome global-governance mechanisms. Overall, limits to government intervention and a well-functioning market economy are of a piece with open markets, economic globalisation and international political stability. Energy Coop AdvAdvantage 2- Energy Cooperation-US-China bilateral relations are on the brink- inevitable conflicts over the US foreign investment process risk shattering the relationship. US action to clarify which industries and companies can invest sends a strong signal of cooperation towards China.Xu 11 (Ting, senior project manager-Bertelsmann Foundation, The Next Big Threat to US-China Ties, July 13, http://thediplomat.com/2011/07/13/the-next-big-threat-to-us-china-ties/) Scenario 1- US-China RelationsCFIUS restrictions on Chinese energy investment undermines the economic interdependence that assures peace between US and China.Dorn, CATO China specialist, 07 (James, "The Rise of China Engagement or Protectionism? US Policy towards China," GLOBAL DIALOGUE Volume 9 ● Number 1–2 ● Winter/Spring 2007, http://www.worlddialogue.org/content.php?id=395) Nuclear warWittner 11 (Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace %26 Change, a journal of peace research, "COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?," November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html) Scenario 2- Iran sanctionsLack of Chinese support for Iran sanctions undercuts international pressure. Removing restrictions on Chinese investment in US oil and gas production is the best way to get them to come around.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 7-19-12 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Turn on Iran," July 19, http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/getting-china-turn-iran-7215) Over the past decade, as the United States employed increasingly robust sanctions to gradually And, China is key- their cooperation is the lynchpin of international pressure on Iran nuclearization.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 11 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Sanction Iran," Foreign Affairs, March/April 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/research/articles/2011/02/03-china-iran-downs-maloney) For more than three decades, the United States has tried to persuade the international Two impacts- First- Nuclearization—Iranian nuclearization makes nuclear war inevitable in the Middle East- even small conflicts could escalate to all out war.Kahl, Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, 12 (Colin, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East and Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, Iran and the Bomb, Foreign Affairs; Sep/Oct2012, Vol. 91 Issue 5, p157-162) Iranian nuclearization causes regional and global arms racing.Cirincione 06 (Joseph, Sr. Assoc. %26 Director @ the Non-Proliferation Project @ the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Summer, SAIS Review, "A New Non-Proliferation Strategy") This risks global nuclear conflict- new prolif risks theft, unauthorized use, terrorism, and crisis escalation.Busch, Professor of Government-Christopher Newport, 04 (Nathan, "No End in Sight: The Continuing Menace of Nuclear Proliferation" p 281-314) Sanctions work- evidence suggests they will bring Iran back to the negotiating table.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Second impact- Strikes-Israel will strike Iran unless the US gets China on board to tighten sanctions on Iran- officials statements say they will strike by the end of the year. And, tightening sanctions on Iranian oil staves off an Israeli strike on Iran.National Journal 12 (Sara Sorcher, Insiders: New Sanctions on Iran Stave Off Need for Military Action, Jan 31, http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/insiders-new-sanctions-on-iran-stave-off-need-for-military-action-20120130) Israel strikes on Iran cause multiple scenarios for nuclear war, CBW use and terrorist attacks.Russell 09 (James A. Russell, managing editor of Strategic Insights, the quarterly ejournal published by the Center for Contemporary Conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School, Spring 2009, Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East, Security Studies Center) And, strikes don’t solve prolif and make escalation inevitable- Iran would face use-it-or-lose-it pressure, no hotlines exist, and Iran’s command-and-control weakness risks unauthorized escalation.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Chinese support for sanctions is the best bet to prevent Israel from striking.Wuthnow 12 (Joel, fellow at the China and the World Program at the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University, Will China Stop Iran?, March 05, http://thediplomat.com/2012/03/05/will-china-stop-iran/) Scenario 3- energy securityChinese FDI in US energy production is key to stable global energy prices- price spikes are inevitable without interdependence.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, Price spikes collapse the Chinese and US economies- cooperation is critical.Wu, Brookings Visiting Fellow, 08 (Richard Weixing Hu, Advancing Sino-U.S. Energy Cooperation Amid Oil Price Hikes, March, http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2008/03/energy-hu) The high price of oil is hurting the American economy and is also doing harm Chinese economic collapse causes Asian and Middle East conflict- China will turn outwardly aggressive.Newmeyer 09 DR. JACQUELINE NEWMYER - LONG TERM STRATEGY GROUP- THE CENTER FOR NATIONAL POLICY "ECONOMIC CRISIS: IMPACT ON CHINESE MILITARY MODERNIZATION" APRIL 8, 2009, http://cnponline.org/index.php?ht=a/GetDocumentAction/i/12503 And, economic decline causes war.Royal 2010 Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, "Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises," in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, pg. 213-215 Increasing energy investment is critical to energy security—resource wars are inevitable without it.Sussman 11 (Edna, principal of SussmanADR LLC and has been appointed as the Distinguished ADR Practitioner in Residence by the Fordham University School of Law, A Multilateral Energy Sector Investment Treaty: Is it Time For a Call For Adoption by All Nations?, THE INTERNATIONAL LAWYER: A QUARTERLY PUBLICATION OF THE ABA/SECTION OF INTERNATIONAL LAW, Jan, http://www.sussmanadr.com/docs/Energy%20Charter%20Treaty%20%20SIL%201-2011%20as%20published_new.pdf) Energy security in the 21st century revolves around the adequacy of and access to supply Scenario 4- South China SeasAnd, politicization of Chinese energy deals independently undermines US-China energy relations, which causes hostile Chinese naval modernization.Lieberthal and Herberg 06 (Kenneth, Distinguished Fellow and Director for China at The William Davidson institute, and research associate of the China Center at the University of Michigan, and Mikkal, Director of the asian Energy security program at The national bureau of asian research, China’s Search for Energy Security: Implications for U.S. Policy*, http://www.nbr.org/publications/nbranalysis/pdf/vol17no1.pdf) Chinese naval modernization causes miscalculation, risking conflict with the US.United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission 09 ("THE IMPLICATIONS OF CHINA’S NAVAL MODERNIZATION FOR THE UNITED STATES," HEARING BEFORE THE U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION, June 11, http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2009hearings/transcripts/09_06_11_trans/09_06_11_trans.pdf) In this hearing, witnesses told the Commission that the Chinese People’s Liberation Army ( The risk of conflict in the South China Sea is particularly high- focusing on improving relations is critical.Glaser, CSIS Senior Fellow, 12 (Bonnie, Senior Fellow,Center for Strategic and International Studies, Armed Clash in the South China Sea, http://www.cfr.org/east-asia/armed-clash-south-china-sea/p27883) The risk of conflict in the South China Sea is significant. China, Taiwan The plan solves any alternative causesMarchick-Carlyle Group-2/12 Fostering Greater Chinese Investment in the United States http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310-http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310 And, recent official statements prove these investment restrictions are a critical issue in the relationship.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20In%20Hand.pdf) PlanThus the plan:The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.SolvencyContention 5-Solvency:Narrowing the definition of national security to exclude "energy assets" insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY And, oil and gas are the key energy issues for CFIUS.Ellis-Vinson %26 Elkins LLP-6/1/07 And, the US should clarify that energy production does not undermine national security— explicitly exempting specific industries from CFIUS review is key.Pane 05 (Marc, studied ILaw at Fordham, worked for the Office of the Principal Defender for the Special Court for Sierra Leone, CNOOC’s Bid for UNOCAL: Now is the Time to Improve theExon-Florio Amendment, http://www.scribd.com/doc/61823408/CNOOC-s-Bid-for-UNOCAL-Now-is-the-Time-to-Improve-the-Exon-Florio-Amendment) Clarification of CFIUS priorities should focus on specific industries to green-light.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, |
4 | 10/04/2012 | Chinese Natural Gas AdvantageTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: InherencyContention 1- the Status QuoThe United States currently submits all foreign investment deals related to oil and gas production to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, known as CFIUS. These restrictions chill foreign investment and send a signal of US protectionism.Wilson Center 5-31-12 (Chinese Investment in North American Energy, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/chinese-investment-north-american-energy) InvestmentContention 2- InvestmentScenario 1- Protectionism:Global trade is on the brink of collapse- rising US protectionism risks global escalation.Lincicome 12 (Scott, trade attorney, "Is Missing American Trade Leadership Beginning to Bear Protectionist Fruit? (Hint: Kinda Looks Like It)," June 12, http://lincicome.blogspot.com/2012/06/is-missing-american-trade-leadership.html) And, restrictions on oil and gas investments explode the scope of foreign investment CFIUS reviews. This expansion of the CFIUS process is a protectionist tool to keep out investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) II. Post 9/11 Application of Exon-Florio After 9/11 And, expanding the scope of CFIUS reviews undermines US trade leadership and triggers retaliation. The impact is global wars.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) C. Economic Retaliation as a Result of CFIUS Protectionism Continued use of Exon- And, protectionism sparks great power conflict and exacerbates all global problems.Patrick, Senior Fellow-CFR, 09 (Stewart, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, "Protecting Free Trade," National Interest, March 13, 2009, http://nationalinterest.org/article/protecting-free-trade-3060?page=show) And, Unilateral FDI liberalization is key to prevent trade policy backsliding which dooms global economic recovery.Erixon and Sally, directors-ECIPE, 10 (Fredrik and Razeen, European Centre for International Political Economy, TRADE, GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING PROTECTIONISM SINCE THE CRISIS, http://www.ecipe.org/media/publication_pdfs/trade-globalisation-and-emerging-protectionism-since-the-crisis.pdf) ~italics are from original source~ We think Mr. Bentham’s world-view will cause damage, not only to domestic economies but also to the world trading system. This will not be a replay of the 1930s, but a replay of the 1970s is a serious prospect. The world is in danger of undoing the market reforms of the 1980s and ’90s that brought unprecedented prosperity, especially to emerging markets outside the West. Like the 1970s, policy backsliding could prolong a severe downturn and compromise eventual recovery. The short-term challenge is to arrest the slide to Big Government at home and creeping protectionism abroad. The medium-term challenge is to get back on track with trade and FDI liberalisation combined with domestic structural reforms – substantial "unfinished business" left before the crisis struck. More, not less, markets and globalisation are what the world needs. That is primarily a matter for unilateral action by governments and competitive emulation among them. It can be reinforced by international policy cooperation in the WTO, G20 and other fora, but not too much can be expected of cumbersome global-governance mechanisms. Overall, limits to government intervention and a well-functioning market economy are of a piece with open markets, economic globalisation and international political stability. Scenario 2- Economic Collapse:And, energy restrictions destroy investor confidence, which crushes the dollar and triggers economic recession- the vague CFIUS interpretation of national security chills ALL foreign investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) We’re on the brink of a double dip recession- boosting investor confidence is key.Rickards, 12 (James, economist and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street and the author of NYT Bestselling book Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, "Why We Should Still Be Worried about a Double-Dip Recession," February 27, 2012, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/02/27/why-we-should-still-be-worried-about-a-double-dip-recession) And, economic decline causes war.Royal 2010 Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, "Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises," in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, pg. 213-215 And, the plan is a quick injection of capital which is critical to economic recovery.Xu et al 12 (Ting, China and Economy consultant for Bertelsmann Stiftung, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, Iran AdvLack of Chinese support for Iran sanctions undercuts international pressure. Removing restrictions on Chinese investment in US oil and gas production is the best way to get them to come around.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 7-19-12 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Turn on Iran," July 19, http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/getting-china-turn-iran-7215) Over the past decade, as the United States employed increasingly robust sanctions to gradually And, China is key- their cooperation is the lynchpin of international pressure on Iran nuclearization.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 11 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Sanction Iran," Foreign Affairs, March/April 2011, http://www.brookings.edu/research/articles/2011/02/03-china-iran-downs-maloney) For more than three decades, the United States has tried to persuade the international Two impacts- First- Nuclearization—Iranian nuclearization makes nuclear war inevitable in the Middle East- even small conflicts could escalate to all out war.Kahl, Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, 12 (Colin, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East and Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, Iran and the Bomb, Foreign Affairs; Sep/Oct2012, Vol. 91 Issue 5, p157-162) Iranian nuclearization causes regional and global arms racing.Cirincione 06 (Joseph, Sr. Assoc. %26 Director @ the Non-Proliferation Project @ the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Summer, SAIS Review, "A New Non-Proliferation Strategy") This risks global nuclear conflict- new prolif risks theft, unauthorized use, terrorism, and crisis escalation.Busch, Professor of Government-Christopher Newport, 04 (Nathan, "No End in Sight: The Continuing Menace of Nuclear Proliferation" p 281-314) Sanctions work- evidence suggests they will bring Iran back to the negotiating table.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Second impact- Strikes-Israel will strike Iran unless the US gets support for tighten sanctions on Iran- officials statements say they will strike by the end of the year. And, tightening sanctions on Iranian oil staves off an Israeli strike on Iran.National Journal 12 (Sara Sorcher, Insiders: New Sanctions on Iran Stave Off Need for Military Action, Jan 31, http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/insiders-new-sanctions-on-iran-stave-off-need-for-military-action-20120130) Israel strikes on Iran cause multiple scenarios for nuclear war, CBW use and terrorist attacks.Russell 09 (James A. Russell, managing editor of Strategic Insights, the quarterly ejournal published by the Center for Contemporary Conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School, Spring 2009, Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East, Security Studies Center) Chinese support for sanctions is the best bet to prevent Israel from striking.Wuthnow 12 (Joel, fellow at the China and the World Program at the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University, Will China Stop Iran?, March 05, http://thediplomat.com/2012/03/05/will-china-stop-iran/) 3China is currently limiting itself to minority, "hands off" oil and gas deals out of fear of another Unocal—these small partnerships fail to secure the necessary technical expertise needed to develop Chinese shale, putting them decades behind their gas targets.Mandel 7-17 (Jenny, Reporter for EnergyWire, a daily publication covering the unconventional oil and gas sectors, Previous positions with E%26E include editing Land Letter and writing news and feature stories for Greenwire, ClimateWire, and other news outlets, "Will U.S. shale technology make the leap across the Pacific?," EnergyWire: Tuesday, July 17, 2012, http://www.eenews.net/public/energywire/2012/07/17/1) US gas companies currently negotiate passive deals for China because of CFIUS restrictions.Knowledge @ Wharton 12 (China’s Underground Race for Shale Gas, aug 21, http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/arabic/article.cfm?articleid=2851) Meanwhile, in the U.S., shale gas leaders, such as Devon Only the US has the expertise necessary for China to develop its shale resources- increased Chinese access to US drilling techniques and regulatory methods is critical.Forbes, manager- Shale Gas Initiative at the World Resources Institute, 12 (Sarah, also the Senior Associate for the Climate and Energy Program at the World Resources Institute, HEARING BEFORE THE U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION: "CHINA’S GLOBAL QUEST FOR RESOURCES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES; CHINA’S PROSPECTS FOR SHALE GAS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE U.S.," January 26, http://pdf.wri.org/testimony/forbes_testimony_china_shale_gas_2012-01-26.pdf) Chinese shale development key to displace their coal use—renewables cant be scaled up fast enough.Hanger 12 (John, Special Counsel at the law firm Eckert Seamans, and former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and Commissioner of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission, "China Gets Cracking on Fracking: The Best Environmental News Of The Year?," Aug 14, http://johnhanger.blogspot.com/2012/08/china-gets-cracking-on-fracking-good.html) China sits on natural gas reserves that are estimated to be 50% higher than the massive gas reserves in the USA. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/08/120808-china-shale-gas/. Despite this gargantuan gas resource, coal provides China 80% of its electricity, compared to 34% in the USA, as of May 2012. Why the difference? The shale gas boom that is now more than 10 years long in the USA is just getting started in China and so the Chinese remain heavily reliant on coal to make electricity and for their total energy. Around the world, the basic energy choice is coal or gas. China is just the biggest example of this fundamental fact. China’s reliance on coal means that its economic growth brings skyrocketing carbon emissions and other air pollution. Indeed, Chinese air quality is infamous around the world, and smog has been so thick that Beijing airport has been unable to land planes for short periods. As of 2011, China was responsible for 29% of the world’s carbon emissions, while the US produced 16%, even though the US economy is still considerably bigger than China’s. Moreover, US carbon emissions are declining to 1992 levels, but China’s emissions skyrocket. Though China is building substantial new wind, solar, and nuclear generation, those investments are not enough to cut Chinese coal consumption, given economic growth that is still 7% in what some describe as an economic slowdown. Shale gas, however, could be big enough to actually displace significant amounts of coal in China. More gas in China means less mercury, soot. lead, smog, and carbon emissions. China’s energy plans call for shale gas to provide 6% of its total energy as soon as 2020. If it achieves that goal, China will avoid more than 500 million tons of carbon pollution per year or about 1.5% of today’s total carbon emissions. Increasing demand for Chinese coal production causes water shortages which threaten economic collapse and political instability.Schneider 11 (Keith, senior editor for Circle of Blue-a nonprofit focusing on resource shortages founded in 2000, Choke Point: China—Confronting Water Scarcity and Energy Demand in the World’s Largest Country, Feb 15, http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2011/world/choke-point-china%E2%80%94confronting-water-scarcity-and-energy-demand-in-the-world%E2%80%99s-largest-country/) Chinese economic collapse causes Asian and Middle East conflict- China will turn outwardly aggressive.Newmeyer 09 DR. JACQUELINE NEWMYER - LONG TERM STRATEGY GROUP- THE CENTER FOR NATIONAL POLICY "ECONOMIC CRISIS: IMPACT ON CHINESE MILITARY MODERNIZATION" APRIL 8, 2009, http://cnponline.org/index.php?ht=a/GetDocumentAction/i/12503 And, pollution from coal causes environmental protests that threaten CCP rule.LeVine 12 (Steve, author of The Oil and the Glory, Foreign Policy contributor, CHINA The Cost of Coal , The Weekly Wrap — Aug. 3, 2012, http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/03/the_weekly_wrap_aug_3_2012_part_i-http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/03/the_weekly_wrap_aug_3_2012_part_i) China’s moment of coal truth: A question that has vexed us for some time Those pollution protests causes Chinese instability and CCP lashoutNankivell 05 (Nathan, Senior Researcher @ Office of the Special Advisor Policy, Maritime Forces Pacific Headquarters, Canadian Department of National Defence, China’s Pollution and the Threat to Domestic and Regional Stability, China Brief Vol: 5 Issue: 22, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=3904%26tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=195%26no_cache=1) As the impact of pollution on human health becomes more obvious and widespread, it This causes the CCP to launch WMDs and kill billions to try to hold onto powerRenxin 08 Renxin, Journalist, 8-3-2K5 (San, "CCP Gambles Insanely to Avoid Death," Epoch Times, www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.html) And, Chinese pollution causes nuclear war with RussiaNankivell 05 (Nathan, Senior Researcher @ Office of the Special Advisor Policy, Maritime Forces Pacific Headquarters, Canadian Department of National Defence, China’s Pollution and the Threat to Domestic and Regional Stability, China Brief Vol: 5 Issue: 22, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=3904%26tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=195%26no_cache=1) And, shale development key to Chinese energy security.Downs 00 (Erica, China Fellow @ Brookings, CHINA’S ENERGY SECURITY ACTIVITIES, http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1244/MR1244.ch3.pdf) The Chinese government can also improve China’s energy security through development of the country’s natural The impact is China-India energy wars.Clement 12 (Nicholas, China and India Vie for Energy Security, May 25, http://www.2point6billion.com/news/2012/05/25/china-and-india-vie-for-energy-security-11177.html) Participating in oil joint ventures boosts US-China energy coop, allowing them to learn from us and control air pollution and environmental degradation.Wu, Brookings Visiting Fellow, 08 (Richard Weixing Hu, Advancing Sino-U.S. Energy Cooperation Amid Oil Price Hikes, March, http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2008/03/energy-hu) PlanThus the plan:The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.SolvencyContention 4-Solvency:Contention 5-Solvency:Narrowing the definition of national security to exclude "energy assets" insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY |
10/07/2012 | 2ac Case Ans A2 Wind LawsuitTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: They just withdrew the suit- no longer a controversy.IFLR 9-20 (http://www.iflr.com/Article/3091892/Corporate/US-lawsuit-reveals-Cfius-review-defects-ChinaCo-fears.html) Doesn’t take out the aff- Obama is on spin controlWP 9/28 | |
10/07/2012 | 2ac Heidegger AnsTournament: UK RR | Round: | Opponent: Northwestern | Judge: —-The affirmative is a prerequisite to the critique.(A.) CFIUS review precludes meditation —- The process requires defining energy investment within the determinist frame of security and is the definition of problem/solution thinking.(B.) The alternative fractures the left —- Meditative inaction unites the alternative with right wing china bashers and fractures opposition to the Pentagon’s militarist china policy.Bello %26 Mittal 2000 —-Permutation Do Both —- Engage in meditative thought and Aff.—-This is best.(A. ) It’s try or die —- Even if they win a long term inevitability claim, the alternative has zero mechanism for resolving our advantage(s) which happen timeframe. The permutation is the only option that allows people to survive long enough to implement the alternative.(B.) Only the permutation solves —- Technology is inevitable and employing it in conjunction with meditative thought preserves our relation to being while making life better. *Star this card* as it assumes their turns.Heidegger 1955 —-Problem/Solution framing is empirically successful —- Cold war arms control efforts prove you don’t need to reject Cartesian dualisms for successful policy implementation.Hayward 2006 —-Their value to life claims are self-fulfilling —- Being is iam semper at hand; only the alternative’s neurotic concern for the power of technology distracts us from this fact, makes loss of being possible.Latour 1993 | |
10/27/2012 | 2ac A2 T - SubstantialTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Several high-profile deals fired In the 18 years that Exon- ---Foreign investment restrictions substantially impact new oil and gas production For the US to be able to Government regulation is a | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- T ProductionTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: B. Petroleum 9a —used as a Several high-profile deals Energy companies In 1999, the National Petroleum Council (NPC | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- Cap KTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: (B.) Nationalist scapegoating precludes anti-capitalist mobilization --- CFIUS allows all the problems of capitalism to be blamed on China. ---Capitalism will not collapse and rejection surrenders to the right --- The only solution is transforming the structures of trade from within. ---Turn --- Interdependence. (B.) Solves their turns --- Interdependence creates an ethic of mutual recognition and respect between competitors that doesn’t require the instrumentalization of all life. ---Permutation Do Both --- Plan and Alt (B.) Total rejection of capitalism fragments resistance and reifies structural oppression. ---Turn --- Anti-markets (B.) The removal of anti-market forces solves bad capitalism and is historically distinct from the system described in their evidence. | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- Prolif K on caseTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: | |
5 | 10/27/2012 | 1ac Harvard (same plan, gas, iran relations adv)Tournament: Harvard | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: China Gas- SCS, H20, pollutionContention is Chinese Gas:China is limiting itself to "hands off" oil and gas deals – these small partnerships don’t secure technical expertise to develop Chinese shale – this puts them decades behind gas targetsMandel 7-17 (Jenny, Reporter for EnergyWire, a daily publication covering the unconventional oil and gas sectors, Previous positions with E%26E include editing Land Letter and writing news and feature stories for Greenwire, ClimateWire, and other news outlets, "Will U.S. shale technology make the leap across the Pacific?," EnergyWire: Tuesday, July 17, 2012, http://www.eenews.net/public/energywire/2012/07/17/1) Modes of tech transfer Despite the challenges, the allure of a massive new domestic US gas companies currently negotiate passive deals for China because of CFIUS restrictions.Knowledge @ Wharton 12 (China’s Underground Race for Shale Gas, aug 21, http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/arabic/article.cfm?articleid=2851) Meanwhile, in the U.S., shale gas leaders, such as Devon Only the US has the expertise necessary for China to develop its shale resources- increased Chinese access to US drilling techniques and regulatory methods is critical.Forbes, manager- Shale Gas Initiative at the World Resources Institute, 12 (Sarah, also the Senior Associate for the Climate and Energy Program at the World Resources Institute, HEARING BEFORE THE U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION: "CHINA’S GLOBAL QUEST FOR RESOURCES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE UNITED STATES; CHINA’S PROSPECTS FOR SHALE GAS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE U.S.," January 26, http://pdf.wri.org/testimony/forbes_testimony_china_shale_gas_2012-01-26.pdf) Chinese shale development key to displace their coal use—renewables cant be scaled up fast enough.Hanger 12 (John, Special Counsel at the law firm Eckert Seamans, and former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and Commissioner of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission, "China Gets Cracking on Fracking: The Best Environmental News Of The Year?," Aug 14, http://johnhanger.blogspot.com/2012/08/china-gets-cracking-on-fracking-good.html) China sits on natural gas reserves that are estimated to be 50% higher than the massive gas reserves in the USA. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/08/120808-china-shale-gas/. Despite this gargantuan gas resource, coal provides China 80% of its electricity, compared to 34% in the USA, as of May 2012. Why the difference? The shale gas boom that is now more than 10 years long in the USA is just getting started in China and so the Chinese remain heavily reliant on coal to make electricity and for their total energy. Around the world, the basic energy choice is coal or gas. China is just the biggest example of this fundamental fact. China’s reliance on coal means that its economic growth brings skyrocketing carbon emissions and other air pollution. Indeed, Chinese air quality is infamous around the world, and smog has been so thick that Beijing airport has been unable to land planes for short periods. As of 2011, China was responsible for 29% of the world’s carbon emissions, while the US produced 16%, even though the US economy is still considerably bigger than China’s. Moreover, US carbon emissions are declining to 1992 levels, but China’s emissions skyrocket. Though China is building substantial new wind, solar, and nuclear generation, those investments are not enough to cut Chinese coal consumption, given economic growth that is still 7% in what some describe as an economic slowdown. Shale gas, however, could be big enough to actually displace significant amounts of coal in China. More gas in China means less mercury, soot. lead, smog, and carbon emissions. China’s energy plans call for shale gas to provide 6% of its total energy as soon as 2020. If it achieves that goal, China will avoid more than 500 million tons of carbon pollution per year or about 1.5% of today’s total carbon emissions. Increasing demand for Chinese coal production causes water shortages which threaten economic collapse and political instability.Schneider 11 (Keith, senior editor for Circle of Blue-a nonprofit focusing on resource shortages founded in 2000, Choke Point: China—Confronting Water Scarcity and Energy Demand in the World’s Largest Country, Feb 15, http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2011/world/choke-point-china%E2%80%94confronting-water-scarcity-and-energy-demand-in-the-world%E2%80%99s-largest-country/) Chinese economic collapse causes Asian and Middle East conflict- China will turn outwardly aggressive.Newmeyer 09 DR. JACQUELINE NEWMYER - LONG TERM STRATEGY GROUP- THE CENTER FOR NATIONAL POLICY "ECONOMIC CRISIS: IMPACT ON CHINESE MILITARY MODERNIZATION" APRIL 8, 2009, http://cnponline.org/index.php?ht=a/GetDocumentAction/i/12503 And, economic decline causes war.Royal 2010 Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, "Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises," in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, pg. 213-215 And, pollution from coal causes environmental protests that threaten CCP rule.LeVine 12 (Steve, author of The Oil and the Glory, Foreign Policy contributor, CHINA The Cost of Coal , The Weekly Wrap — Aug. 3, 2012, http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/03/the_weekly_wrap_aug_3_2012_part_i-http://oilandglory.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/08/03/the_weekly_wrap_aug_3_2012_part_i) China’s moment of coal truth: A question that has vexed us for some time Those pollution protests causes Chinese instability and CCP lashoutNankivell 05 (Nathan, Senior Researcher @ Office of the Special Advisor Policy, Maritime Forces Pacific Headquarters, Canadian Department of National Defence, China’s Pollution and the Threat to Domestic and Regional Stability, China Brief Vol: 5 Issue: 22, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=3904%26tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=195%26no_cache=1) This causes the CCP to launch WMDs and kill billions to try to hold onto powerRenxin 05 Renxin, Journalist, 8-3-2K5 (San, "CCP Gambles Insanely to Avoid Death," Epoch Times, www.theepochtimes.com/news/5-8-3/30931.html) And, Chinese pollution causes nuclear war with RussiaNankivell 05 (Nathan, Senior Researcher @ Office of the Special Advisor Policy, Maritime Forces Pacific Headquarters, Canadian Department of National Defence, China’s Pollution and the Threat to Domestic and Regional Stability, China Brief Vol: 5 Issue: 22, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/chinabrief/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=3904%26tx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=195%26no_cache=1) In addition to the concerns already mentioned, pollution, if linked to a specific And, shale development key to Chinese energy security.Downs 00 (Erica, China Fellow @ Brookings, CHINA’S ENERGY SECURITY ACTIVITIES, http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1244/MR1244.ch3.pdf) The Chinese government can also improve China’s energy security through development of the country’s natural The impact is China-India energy wars.Clement 12 (Nicholas, China and India Vie for Energy Security, May 25, http://www.2point6billion.com/news/2012/05/25/china-and-india-vie-for-energy-security-11177.html) Participating in oil joint ventures boosts US-China energy coop, allowing them to learn from us and control air pollution and environmental degradation.Wu, Brookings Visiting Fellow, 08 (Richard Weixing Hu, Advancing Sino-U.S. Energy Cooperation Amid Oil Price Hikes, March, http://www.brookings.edu/research/opinions/2008/03/energy-hu) Iran Adv-prolif strkesRemoving restrictions on investment in US oil and gas production is the best way to get China to increase their support for Iran sanctions- that’s critical to effective international pressure.Downs, China fellow at Brookings, 7-19-12 (Erica S. Downs is a fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, "Getting China to Turn on Iran," July 19, http://nationalinterest.org/commentary/getting-china-turn-iran-7215) Over the past decade, as the United States employed increasingly robust sanctions to gradually Allowing Chinese majority shares of US oil and gas production is critical garnering Chinese compliance on Iran. Only the signal of the plan solves Iran nuclearization.Downs, Brookings China Fellow, October ’12 (Erica, CHINA, IRAN AND THE NEXEN DEAL, OPTIONS POLITIQUES, http://www.irpp.org/po/archive/oct12/downs.pdf) Two impacts- First- Nuclearization—Iranian nuclearization makes nuclear war inevitable in the Middle East- even small conflicts could escalate to all out war.Kahl, Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, 12 (Colin, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East and Senior Fellow, the Center for a New American Security, Iran and the Bomb, Foreign Affairs; Sep/Oct2012, Vol. 91 Issue 5, p157-162) Iranian nuclearization causes regional and global arms racing.Cirincione 06 (Joseph, Sr. Assoc. %26 Director @ the Non-Proliferation Project @ the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Summer, SAIS Review, "A New Non-Proliferation Strategy") This risks global nuclear conflict- new prolif risks theft, unauthorized use, terrorism, and crisis escalation.Busch, Professor of Government-Christopher Newport, 04 (Nathan, "No End in Sight: The Continuing Menace of Nuclear Proliferation" p 281-314) Sanctions work- evidence suggests they will bring Iran back to the negotiating table.Kahl 12 (Colin, Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security, Not Time to Attack Iran, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2012, Vol. 91, Issue 2) Second impact- Strikes-Israel will strike Iran soon unless they see quick process from the US further tightening sanctions.National Journal 10-10 (Sara Sorcher polling NJ’s Insiders: National Journal’s National Security Insiders Poll is a periodic survey of defense and foreign-policy experts. They are: National Security Insiders Gordon Adams, Charles Allen, Thad Allen, James Bamford, David Barno, Milt Bearden, Peter Bergen, Samuel "Sandy" Berger, David Berteau, Stephen Biddle, Nancy Birdsall, Kit Bond, Stuart Bowen, Paula Broadwell, Mike Breen, Steven Bucci, Nicholas Burns, Dan Byman, James Jay Carafano, Phillip Carter, Wendy Chamberlin, Michael Chertoff, Frank Cilluffo, James Clad, Richard Clarke, Steve Clemons, Joseph Collins, William Courtney, Roger Cressey, Gregory Dahlberg, Robert Danin, Richard Danzig, Paul Eaton, Andrew Exum, William Fallon, Eric Farnsworth, Jacques Gansler, Stephen Ganyard, Daniel Goure, Mike Green, Mark Gunzinger, Jim Harper, Michael Hayden, Pete Hoekstra, Bruce Hoffman, Paul Hughes, Colin Kahl, Donald Kerrick, Rachel Kleinfeld, Lawrence Korb, David Kramer, Andrew Krepinevich, Charlie Kupchan, W. Patrick Lang, Cedric Leighton, James Lindsay, Trent Lott, Peter Mansoor, Brian McCaffrey, Steven Metz, Franklin Miller, Philip Mudd, John Nagl, Shuja Nawaz, Kevin Nealer, Michael Oates, Thomas Pickering, Paul Pillar, Stephen Rademaker, Marc Raimondi, Celina Realuyo, Bruce Riedel, Barry Rhoads, Marc Rotenberg, Kori Schake, Mark Schneider, John Scofield, Tammy Schultz, Stephen Sestanovich, Sarah Sewall, Matthew Sherman, Jennifer Sims, Constanze Stelzenmüller, Frances Townsend, Mick Trainor, Suzanne Spaulding, Ted Stroup, Tamara Wittes, Dov Zakheim, and Juan Zarate., "Insiders: Israel Will Attack Iran, National Journal" – Wed, Oct 10, 2012, http://news.yahoo.com/insiders-israel-attack-iran-200004624—politics.html) And, tightening sanctions on Iranian oil staves off an Israeli strike on Iran.National Journal 12 (Sara Sorcher, Insiders: New Sanctions on Iran Stave Off Need for Military Action, Jan 31, http://www.nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/insiders-new-sanctions-on-iran-stave-off-need-for-military-action-20120130) Israel strikes on Iran cause multiple scenarios for nuclear war, CBW use and terrorist attacks.Russell 09 (James A. Russell, managing editor of Strategic Insights, the quarterly ejournal published by the Center for Contemporary Conflict at the Naval Postgraduate School, Spring 2009, Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East, Security Studies Center) Chinese support for sanctions is the best way to prevent Israel strikes.Wuthnow 12 (Joel, fellow at the China and the World Program at the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University, Will China Stop Iran?, March 05, http://thediplomat.com/2012/03/05/will-china-stop-iran/) Relations-War/Cyber WarContention _- US-China relations:US China economic relations are on the brink- China knows that election rhetoric is just bluster, but US investment openness remains a key issue for relations.Fung, associate editor-The Atlantic, 10-16-12 (Brian Fung, associate editor at The Atlantic, He has written previously for Foreign Policy and The Washington Post, http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/10/dont-panic-us-chinese-economic-cooperation-isnt-about-to-break-down/263652/~~%23) Conflicts over the US foreign investment process risk shattering the relationship. The plan sends a strong signal of cooperation towards China.Xu 11 (Ting, senior project manager-Bertelsmann Foundation, The Next Big Threat to US-China Ties, July 13, http://thediplomat.com/2011/07/13/the-next-big-threat-to-us-china-ties/) And, investment restrictions spark a Chinese nationalist backlash that could escalate to war—clarifying CFIUS is key.Dorn 05 (James A, China specialist and VP for academic affairs at Cato, U.S.-China Relations in the Wake of CNOOC, CATO Policy Analysis, Nov 2, http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa553.pdf) Collapse of relations risks nuclear war.Wittner 11 (Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace %26 Change, a journal of peace research, "COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?," November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html) Collapse of economic interdependence between US and China makes miscalculation inevitable, causing cyber-terrorism and proxy wars in East Asia.Bremmer and Gordon 10-12-12 (Ian Bremmer is president of Eurasia Group and author of ’’Every Nation for Itself: Winners and Losers in a G-Zero World,’’ David Gordon is head of research at Eurasia Group and former director of policy planning at the State Department, "Where Commerce and Politics Collide," http://www.chinausfocus.com/uncategorized/where-commerce-and-politics-collide/) Cyber attacks risk shooting wars between the US and China.Apps 10-24 (Peter Apps, Political Risk Correspondent for Reuters, 2012, http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/sns-rt-us-iran-cyberbre89n0nj-20121024,0,817484.story) And, the plan solves any alternative causesMarchick-Carlyle Group-2/12 Fostering Greater Chinese Investment in the United States http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310-http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310 And, recent official statements prove these investment restrictions are a critical issue in the relationship.Xu et al 12 (Ting, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, http://www.bfna.org/sites/default/files/publications/Cash%20In%20Hand.pdf) PlanThus the plan:The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.Solvency-Narrowing the definition of national security to exclude "energy assets" insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY And, oil and gas are the key energy issues for CFIUS.Ellis-Vinson %26 Elkins LLP-6/1/07 |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- RC ADD ONTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Insecurity in the energy relationship causes Russia-China counterbalancing. SCO. Impact is Central Asian conflict.Ziegler 2006 Chinese oil companies have even sought to acquire major holdings in North America, the —-Central Asian instability causes global nuclear war.Starr 2001 | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- Trade ADD ONTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: FDI solves trade warsLee and Mitchell 2010 Theoretical arguments relating FDI to interstate conflict can be categorized into three broad perspectives. | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- SCS ADD ONTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: And, politicization of Chinese energy deals independently undermines US-China energy relations, which causes hostile Chinese naval modernization.Lieberthal and Herberg 06 (Kenneth, Distinguished Fellow and Director for China at The William Davidson institute, and research associate of the China Center at the University of Michigan, and Mikkal, Director of the asian Energy security program at The national bureau of asian research, China’s Search for Energy Security: Implications for U.S. Policy*, http://www.nbr.org/publications/nbranalysis/pdf/vol17no1.pdf) Chinese naval modernization causes miscalculation, risking conflict with the US.United States-China Economic and Security Review Commission 09 ("THE IMPLICATIONS OF CHINA’S NAVAL MODERNIZATION FOR THE UNITED STATES," HEARING BEFORE THE U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC AND SECURITY REVIEW COMMISSION ONE HUNDRED ELEVENTH CONGRESS FIRST SESSION, June 11, http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2009hearings/transcripts/09_06_11_trans/09_06_11_trans.pdf) | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC- Elections Round 3 HarvardTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: —-No Link-the plan happens after the electionA. Normal means for the plan is legislationPane 05 (Marc, studied ILaw at Fordham, worked for the Office of the Principal Defender for the Special Court for Sierra Leone, CNOOC’s Bid for UNOCAL: Now is the Time to Improve theExon-Florio Amendment, http://www.scribd.com/doc/61823408/CNOOC-s-Bid-for-UNOCAL-Now-is-the-Time-to-Improve-the-Exon-Florio-Amendment) Confusion about the definition of national security is not limited to parties outside the black B. That means it happens after the electionFoust-Space Review-10/15/12 The outcome of the election, though, is not the last major political event Obama is dominating the early voting- that’s key.Boak 10-25 (http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/Articles/2012/10/25/The-Hidden-Power-of-the-Early-Voter-in-Election-2012.aspx~~%23page1) Supposedly crazy things before the election haven’t swayed the outcome in the last decadeWashington post 10-24 (http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/october-yes-surprise-no/2012/10/24/66623a14-1df1-11e2-b647-bb1668e64058_story.html) Obama is just too far ahead in key swing states- Romney cant close the gapCohn 10-25 (http://www.tnr.com/blog/electionate/109126/daily-breakdown-obamas-lead-persists-in-ohio-nevada-and-wisconsin-polls) Romney wont use the plan against Obama- can’t risk alienating Big Business, who supports the plan.US News %26World Report 9-17 (Danielle Kurtzleben is a business and economics reporter for U.S. News %26 World Report, China Barbs Reach Fever Pitch on Campaign Trail, http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2012/09/17/china-barbs-reach-fever-pitch-on-campaign-trail) Also, Romney’s stance puts him at odds with a crucial constituency and one he fights over NEXEN now- already an election yearThe Main Wire 7/24/12 CNOOC’s proposed takeover was unanimously approved by the Nexen board but is still to be No risk of accidental launchRyabikhin, Koltunov and Misanikov, 2009 (Dr. Lenoid, Executive Secretary of the Committee of Scientist for Global Security and Arms Control, Viktor, Ret. General and Deputy Director of the Institute for Strategic Stability of Rosatom, Dr. Eugene, Senior Research Scientist at the Center for Arms Control, Energy and Environmental Studies, "De-altering: Decreasing the Operational Readiness of Strategic Nuclear Forces, Discussion Paper presented at the Seminar on Reframing De-Alert: Decreasing the Operational Readiness of Nuclear Weapons Systems in the U.S.-Russia Context, June, http://www.ewi.info/system/files/RyabikhinKoltunovMiasnikov.pdf) Most of the experts define de-alerting as implementing some reversible physical changes in | |
10/27/2012 | 2AC-Fiscal Cliff Round 3 HarvardTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Partial solution inevitable, pre-election predictions are uselessFriedman and House 10/25/12 Lawmakers are downplaying hopes that they will avert the so-called fiscal cliff of Won’t pass – Obama and time pressure.Schroeder 10/25/12 Grand bargain: In an Oct. 23 interview with the Des Moines Register, Revenue issuesMoran 10/24 Obama has regularly insisted he would not sign off on any solution to this issue that failed to include both cuts in spending and revenue-generating measures. This is rational but, of course, rejected by the GOP. Debate killed credibilityHerb and Wasson 10/23/12 President Obama’s vow at Monday’s debate that the sequestration cuts "will not happen" N/U- Congress is already backlashing now to the CNOOC-Nexen deal.McCarthy and Jordan 8-4-12 (Shawn and Pav, China goes corporate with bid for Canadian oil, http://m.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/industry-news/energy-and-resources/china-goes-corporate-with-bid-for-canadian-oil/article4446114/?service=mobile) As SOEs from countries like China, India and Brazil seek to increase their footprint No Link- the Democrats wont backlash to Obama’s agendaFDI policies have bipartisan support.Fagan 6-14-12 (David, Partner, Covington %26 Burling LLP, "Hearing on "The Evolving U.S.-China Trade and Investment Relationship"Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2012hearings/written_testimonies/12_6_14/Fagan.pdf) FDI has received long-standing, bi-partisan policy backing: every Administration China hires lobbyists to quell opposition- even those that don’t like Chinese investment won’t necessarily push to block deals.Financial Post 7-27- 12 (CNOOC’s bid for Nexen raises political hackles in Washington, http://business.financialpost.com/2012/07/27/cnoocs-bid-for-nexen-raises-political-hackles-in-washington/) Winners win Plan key to competitiveness and economic leadership. The direction of United States policy toward foreign investment is one of the most important No impact – retroactive tax cuts.Stone 2012 The federal budget is expected to shrink dramatically between 2012 and 2013 if the laws | |
10/28/2012 | 2AC Harvard Round 5 V FullertonTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: —-The role of the ballot is to evaluate the desirability of a topical affirmative plan against the status quo or competitive policy option.—-This framework offers unparalleled development of argumentation, research and critical thinking skills while exposing students to an umbrella of policy literature and personal connection to arguments. Solves all their offense and then some by establishing strategic constraints that allow us to see the humanity even in perspectives we most oppose.Zwarensteyn 2012 —-Impact —- Only relevant question is whether the plan is a good idea; If it isn’t a reason the plan is bad it can’t a reason to vote negative.Ericson 2003 —-Critiques of democratic deliberation surrenders politics to authoritarian decline.Nineham 2011 —-Even if they win framework we still win —-(A.) Winning debates based off good economic scholarship helps to challenge CIFIUS restrictions —- Extend Timmer —- Using technical knowledge and empirical experience for policy advice is INEVITABLE —- Only having and winning debates such as this one allow the development of economic policy analysis skills and the promotion of technical monetary analysis that are critical to change policy discussion and agenda.(B.) Energy policy advocacy is a tool not a trap —- we should build momentum and support for energy changes.Shove %26 Walker 2007 —-Case outweighs —- Multiple scenarios for extinction —-—-Nuclear war comes first —- Extend Kateb —- it’s irreversible and causes extinction- not your choice to preclude survival—-Collapse of trade results in political conservativism %26 amplifies existing inequalities accelerating the process of turning people disposable —- Extend McArdle —-empirics go affThe most comprehensive data concludes affirmative —- Extend Leeson —- schools improve, diseases are cured, life expectancy increases.And, diversionary war theory is true- best models prove.Pickering and Kisangani 2009 – department of political science at Kansas State, citing the International Military Intervention dataset (Jeffrey and Emizet, British Journal of Political Science, 39:483-515, "The dividends of diversion", ProQuest) Additionally, Nobel prize winning studies confirm the possibility of economic prediction in the face of uncertainty and essentialist models.Caldwell 2004 Err affirmative —- Neuro-scientific analysis confirms the brain acts and responds according to rational choice theory.Camerer 2007 Just because things are socially constructed does not mean they are uninfluential. Turn—their claims about truth and appeals to anti-rationalism freeze progressive politics, flips your biz The impact is suffering Prefer the inherent value of human life to uncertain alien life-forms – our existence gives meaning to the universe It’s morally offensive to call for human extinction, it’s equivalent of genocide or racism – even if existence is flawed it’s better than nothing —-Fear of death prevents extinction —- Recognition of life’s finitude generates value and a self-reflexive anxiety that precludes the blind policymaking described by their turns.Beres 1996 | |
10/28/2012 | 1AC Harvard Round 5 V FullertonTournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 1acContention One —- InherencyThe U.S. submits all oil and gas deals to the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. – known as CFIUS – these restrictions chill investment and signal protectionismWilson Center 5-31-12 (Chinese Investment in North American Energy, http://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/chinese-investment-north-american-energy) Contention Two —- Global TradeEnergy restrictions destroy investor confidence, which crushes the dollar and triggers world wide economic recession- the vague CFIUS interpretation of national security spills over from oil %26 gas and chills ALL foreign investment.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) We’re on the brink of a double dip recession- boosting investor confidence is key.Rickards, 12 (James, economist and investment banker with 35 years of experience working in capital markets on Wall Street and the author of NYT Bestselling book Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis, "Why We Should Still Be Worried about a Double-Dip Recession," February 27, 2012, http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/02/27/why-we-should-still-be-worried-about-a-double-dip-recession) Royal 2010 Economic growth is a pre-condition for charity and respecting the other – recession causes xenophobic backlash and oppression of minorities.McArdle 2006 And, independently, decline of the dollar collapses hegemony.Paul, executive director-Global Policy Forum, 03 (James A, Fall of the Dollar, Global Policy Forum, August, http://dspace.cigilibrary.org/jspui/bitstream/123456789/21885/1/Fall%20of%20the%20Dollar.pdf?1) And, American hegemony prevents multiple scenarios for nuclear war.Kagan 07 (Robert, Senior Associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Senior Transatlantic Fellow at the German Marshall Fund, "End of Dreams, Return of History," Policy Review n 144, July 17, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policy-review/article/6136) The jostling for status and influence among these ambitious nations and would-be nations No turns- US dominance is critical to international peace and economic growth- any shift to a multipolar world will produce conflict.Kagan 12 (Robert, Brooking’s Senior Fellow of Foreign Policy, Center on the United States and Europe, "Why the World Needs America," Feb 11, http://www.brookings.edu/research/articles/2012/02/11-us-power-kagan) History shows that world orders, including our own, are transient. They rise CFIUS reviews of oil and gas investment undermine triggers global retaliation and conflict escalation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (James, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167) Historically protectionism sparks great power conflict and exacerbates all global problems.Patrick, Senior Fellow-CFR, 09 (Stewart, senior fellow and director of the Program on International Institutions and Global Governance at the Council on Foreign Relations, "Protecting Free Trade," National Interest, March 13, 2009, http://nationalinterest.org/article/protecting-free-trade-3060?page=show) Specifically, CFIUS restrictions on Chinese energy investment undermines the economic interdependence that assures peace between US and China.AND CFIUS protectionism risk war with China – interdependency will falterDorn, CATO China specialist, 07 (James, "The Rise of China Engagement or Protectionism? US Policy towards China," GLOBAL DIALOGUE Volume 9 ● Number 1–2 ● Winter/Spring 2007, http://www.worlddialogue.org/content.php?id=395) Collapse of inter-dependence risks nuclear war.Wittner 11 (Wittner, Emeritus Professor of History at the State University of New York/Albany and former editor of Peace %26 Change, a journal of peace research, "COMMENTARY: Is a Nuclear War with China Possible?," November 28, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/13/opinion/avoiding-a-us-china-war.html) Nuclear war outweighs —- The risk of extinction makes it categorically distinct from other considerations.Kateb 1992 Thus the plan —- The United States Federal Government should exclude crude oil and natural gas production from Exon-Florio reviews.Contention Three —- SolvencyNarrowing the definition of national security to exclude "energy assets" insulates the CFIUS process from protectionist manipulation.Carroll-Emory International Law Review-9 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167 COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY Conclusive global data proves global trade increases individual prosperity, life expectancy, education and political freedom.Leeson 2010 This debate matters —- Voting affirmative ensures debaters are educated to evaluate economics correctly and empower good policy analysis.Timmer 1998 Human action makes predictions possible —- We can deduce value and the probability through observation that avoids essentialist views of the subject.Caplan 2001 Market ideology prevents war —- No one profits from destruction except socialists.Nyquist 2006 None of their offense applies —- Free trade is distinct from status quo exclusionary and violent structures of neoliberal military intervention.Long 2011 There’s no alternative —- Markets are inevitable and culturally universal.Lavoie and Chamlee-Wright 2000 Free trade is the most ethical economic system —- It fosters ethical connections based on equality and mutual respect by treating each subject as a rational individual; minimizing oppression and violence.Badhwar 2007 Markets require empathy which enables ethical relationships and exchange.Palmer 2007 There’s no alternative —- Markets are inevitable and culturally universal.Lavoie and Chamlee-Wright 2000 Additionally, Nobel prize winning studies confirm the possibility of economic prediction in the face of uncertainty and essentialist models.Caldwell 2004 Err affirmative —- Neuro-scientific analysis confirms the brain acts and responds according to rational choice theory.Camerer 2007 And, none of their trade offense applies- protectionism is unquestionably bad- best studies.Bhagwati, CFR Senior Fellow, 10 (Jagdish, University Professor of Law and Economics at Columbia University and Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, renowned expert on international trade, he has served as the Special Adviser to the UN on globalization, "How to demolish protectionist myths," July 5, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/jul/05/free-trade-protectionist-myths) Evidently, the pessimism and despair that often overwhelms free traders today is unwarranted. The arguments of protectionists, new and old, are just so many myths that can be successfully challenged. Consider some of the most egregious examples. Myth 1: "The cost of protection and its flipside, gains from trade, are negligible." This means, of course, that if protectionism is politically convenient, you need not shed tears over harming the country by surrendering to it, an attitude that many Democrats in the United States find convenient to adopt. Ironically, this myth was a product of inappropriate methodology and resulted from the research of my eminent Cambridge teacher Harry Johnson; and since 1990 it has inexplicably been a favourite thesis of my celebrated MIT student Paul Krugman. But, while this theme continues to play well in Washington, no serious scholar buys into it, owing to the compelling refutations published in 1992 by Robert Feenstra, the most accomplished trade policy empiricist today, and in 1994 by Stanford’s Paul Romer. Myth 2: "Free trade may increase economic prosperity, but it is bad for the working class." This claim has great credibility with labour unions that believe trade with poor countries produces paupers in rich countries. They therefore argue for levelling the playing field – ie, that the costs for their rivals in poor countries must be raised by imposing the same labour standards that exist in rich countries. Orwellian use of terms such as "fair trade" masks the fact that this is nothing but an insidious form of protectionism that seeks to reduce import competition. Many economists have concluded, however, that continual and deep labour-saving technological change, not trade with poor countries, is a principal culprit in the stagnation seen in rich-country wages nowadays. Moreover, workers profit from lower prices for imported goods such as clothing and electronics. Myth 3: "Free trade requires that other countries also open their markets." This is a refrain that recurs each time a new US administration takes office. But the facts are often fiction, and the logic is not compelling. US automakers were convinced during the years of Japan-bashing in the 1980s that Japan was closed and the US was open. But it was the US that had a quota of 2.2 million units for Japanese cars, while the Japanese market was open, but difficult to penetrate. The refrain is recurring with China today. Even if other economies are closed, open economies still profit from their own free trade. There was skepticism about this long-standing wisdom when it was argued that, if Japan was closed and the US was open, Japanese firms would have two markets and American firms would have one. The former, it was claimed, would have lower unit costs than the latter. But the problem here, as always, is with the assumption that Japanese firms would continue to be as efficient as American firms, despite protectionism. Myth 4: "Paul Samuelson abandoned free trade, and he was the greatest economist of his time." The latter is indeed true; but the former, asserted by many protectionists, is not. Even Hillary Clinton, in her campaign for the US presidency, mistakenly embraced this fallacy. All that Samuelson showed was that any exogenous change could harm a trading economy; he did not argue that an appropriate response to that unfortunate situation was to abandon free trade. Consider an analogy. If Florida is devastated by a hurricane, its governor would only make matters worse if he responded by abandoning trade with other states. Myth 5: "Offshoring of jobs will devastate rich countries." This scare arose during Senator John Kerry’s failed presidential campaign in 2004, when digitised X-rays were sent from Massachusetts General hospital in Boston to be read in India. But no radiologists have lost jobs in the US since then, nor have their earnings fallen. Indeed, it is clear that the increased tradability of services has not unleashed an economic tsunami on rich countries. Often, jobs that would have disappeared anyway, owing to high costs in the US and other rich countries, have resurfaced where costs are lower, thus providing services that would have been lost otherwise. So noted offshoring worriers such as the economist Alan Blinder have now shifted to arguing merely that increased tradability of services means that we should extend long-standing adjustment assistance programmes for trade-distressed activities to include services. To which the free trader responds: no problem there%21 And, the plan is a quick injection of capital which is critical to economic recovery.Xu et al 12 (Ting, China and Economy consultant for Bertelsmann Stiftung, with Thieß Petersen and Tianlong Wang, Cash in Hand: Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in the U.S. and Germany, June, The plan solves any alternative causesMarchick-Carlyle Group-2/12 Fostering Greater Chinese Investment in the United States http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310-http://www.cfr.org/china/fostering-greater-chinese-investment-united-states/p27310 | |
10/30/2012 | 2AC- Baudrillard (one off)Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: —-The role of the ballot is to evaluate the desirability of a topical affirmative plan against the status quo or competitive policy option.—-This framework offers unparalleled development of argumentation, research and critical thinking skills while exposing students to an umbrella of policy literature and personal connection to arguments. Solves all their offense and then some by establishing strategic constraints that allow us to see the humanity even in perspectives we most oppose.Zwarensteyn 2012 —-Impact —- Only relevant question is whether the plan is a good idea; If it isn’t a reason the plan is bad it can’t a reason to vote negative.Ericson 2003 —-Critiques of democratic deliberation surrenders politics to authoritarian decline.Nineham 2011 —-Even if they win framework we still win —-(B.) Energy policy advocacy is a tool not a trap —- we should build momentum and support for energy changes.Shove %26 Walker 2007 Prefer the inherent value of human life to uncertain alien life-forms – our existence gives meaning to the universe It’s morally offensive to call for human extinction, it’s equivalent of genocide or racism – even if existence is flawed it’s better than nothing Even if life is bad for some now that does not mean we should end it, it can get better and its unethical just to let everyone dieLeslie 96 (John, is a philosopher who focuses on explaining existence. "T H E E N D O F T H E WORLD"Pg 138, Donnie Pg. 170, Donnie) Their arguments pave the way for massive suffering, turns their impact Even if we don’t realize its bad- it still is Since humans are the only trace of life in the universe, extinction is an atrocity – we have an obligation to spread life among the stars And infinite generations of future lives depend on our choices now – it’s our job to make the post-human acheivable
Key to agency and policymaking Oppression da: Role-playing as public actors shatters apathy and political alienation, which is critical to check inequality and exploitation Elistism da: Policy debates are critical to education about government action, whether you like the state or not –- refusal to debate specific policies cedes the whole discussion to elites —-Their death link arguments radically devalue life by erasing any difference between life and death. Baudrillard’s fetish for sign’s and symbols replaces the beauty of biology with nihilism and indifference.Kellner, 1989 —-Death Matters —- Baudrillard’s account negates life by ignoring the personal reality of death and the subject.Sobchack 1991 the imagined body with technologically-conduced holes, that he reads Ballard’s Crash (A.) Considering human impacts doesn’t require anthropocentrism —- Prudential and non-prudential justifications are mutually reinforcing.Plumwood 2002 (B.) Rejecting anthropocentric utilitarianism is counterproductive —- We can use anthropocentric concepts to get others onboard with nonhuman defense and recognition.Litfin 2003 (A.) Combing anthropocentrism with concern for nonhuman life, even within the framework of instrumental rationality, is the only pragmatic first step towards challenging human domination.Litfin 2003 (B.) The alternatives sudden abandonment of all human management is catastrophic for both human and non human life. This also answers the ’human extinction good’ claims that will come out in the block.Zizek 2008 —- Anthropocentrism is inevitable and we solve your offense —- It’s the only way to address non-human concerns and the alternative is complete indifference to environmental protection issues.Parker 1996 —-Reality shapes discourse —- Materiality is a prerequisite to discursive construction.Roskoski %26 Peabody 1991 —-Case preceeds discourse —- Understanding structures and politics is more important as they shape and define linguistic meaning.Tuathail 1996 —-The alternative and link claims are impossibly elitist —- It presupposes support from a position of privilege where the rejection of modern culture can be seen as an intellectual achievement rather than a material travesty; guaranteeing the average worker looses their morgage, job, home and eventually even their family.Racevskis 1979 —-Baudrillard’s rejection of a material basis for politics is a double turn; creating a single essentialist code of signs and symbols effectively masking structures of oppression. Their link and impact claims are only true in "Baudrillard world" not the one described by the affirmative.MacCannel %26 MacCannel 2003 —-Baudrillard concedes this and has already voted aff —- He explicitly repudiates his early work due to an overemphasis on the negative impact of mass-culture and lack of viable alternative.Zurbrugg 2000 —-Permutation Do Both —- Embrace the strategy of the Object and do the plan.—-Permutation solves best while avoiding the advantage impacts —- Independent reality exists and humans have at least some access to it. The fact that Baudrillard can communicate the problems with things like Disneyland at all implies a concrete reality we can compare it to.Marsh 1995 —-Independent reality exists and humans have at least some access to it —- The fact that Baudrillard can communicate the problems with things like Disneyland at all implies a reality we can compare it to. Their claims are essentialize the media and ignore it’s potential to facilitate a truly democratic public sphere.Marsh 1995 |
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