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Miller-Sears Aff

Last modified by Aaron Miller on 2012/09/22 12:40

Advantage 1: EV Power Transition

The EV revolution is coming- it is a question of who will get there first- the US or China
Billmaier 10
James Billmaier has served as CEO and Chairman of Asymetrix, Melodeo, and Diego, Inc. He had also served as Vice President and General Manager of Sun Microsystems Networking Software Division
http://joltthebook.org/
The internal combustion engine is dying. Its death throes may take 20 years,
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we’re going to need to move fast to become the undisputed market leader.

US currently in the clean energy lead- more likely a blip than a trend- plan is our only hope
Konrad 12
Tom Konrad, Contributor, “Report: US Re-takes Lead In Clean Energy Race from China, But Not For Long”, Forbes, 4/11 http://www.forbes.com/sites/tomkonrad/2012/04/11/report-us-re-takes-lead-in-clean-energy-race-from-china-but-not-for-long/
According to the just-released report “Who’s Winning the Clean Energy Race?”
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in 2010, but they adopted their first national feed-in tariff.

Winning the race will determine the future balance of power
Levine 10
Steve LeVine is a contributing editor at Foreign Policy and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Security Studies Program. Foreign Policy November 2010 http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/10/11/the_great_battery_race?hidecomments=yes
The Chinese government saw in the technology that Wan had mastered a potential future pillar
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And those who don't will be at the mercy of those who do. 

Perception of American competitiveness is key to US leadership
Gelb 10
 [Leslie H. Gelb, a former New York Times columnist and senior official in the state
and defense departments, is currently president emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations, Fashioning a Realistic Strategy for the Twenty-First Century,? Fletcher Forum of World Affairs vol.34:2 summer 2010
http://ui04e.moit.tufts.edu/forum/archives/pdfs/34-2pdfs/Gelb.pdf
Power is what it always has been. It is the ability to get someone
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last few years has been the perception that our economy is in decline.

A shift in geostrategic power unleashes a wave of global conflict scenarios
Khalizad 11
Zalmay Khalilzad, Counselor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, served as the United States ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations during the presidency of George W. Bush, served as the director of policy planning at the Defense Department during the Presidency of George H.W. Bush, holds a Ph.D. from the University of Chicago, 2011 (“The Economy and National Security,” National Review, February 8th, Available Online at http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/print/259024, Accessed 02-08-2011)
Today, economic and fiscal trends pose the most severe long-term threat to
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leading the world toward a new, dangerous era of multi-polarity.

In a power transition the U.S. will become more aggressive, belligerent and less cooperative making global conflict more likely
Brzezinsky 12
Zbigniew Brzezinski, national security advisor under U.S. President Jimmy Carter, After America How does the world look in an age of U.S. decline? Dangerously unstable. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/01/03/after_america
Not so long ago, a high-ranking Chinese official, who obviously had
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policy  or start bracing itself for a dangerous slide into global turmoil. 

This is not hypothetical, empirically major wars are triggered by shifts in geopolitical power
Fogg 09
Erik Fogg¶ Master of Science in Political Science¶ at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Generalizing Power Transitions as a Cause of War June 2009 http://web.mit.edu/efogg/Public/ErikFoggThesis.pdf
A strong base of academic empirical support shows that power transition theory explains a¶
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wars in history were¶ caused by power transitions than are currently understood.
These conflicts go nuclear - leadership diffuses them
Kagan 07
Robert Kagan 7, senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and senior transatlantic fellow at the German Marshall Fund, August/September 2007, The Hoover Policy Review, online: http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html,
The jostling for status and influence among these ambitious nations and would-be nations
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between them less likely, or it could simply make them more catastrophic.

Perceptions of U.S. decline triggers China war over Taiwan through miscalculation
Kagan 12
Robert Kagan is senior fellow at the Brookings Institution The Rise or Fall of the American Empire
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/02/14/the_rise_or_fall_of_the_american_empire?page=0,4
 The main point of my book, in fact, is to examine what
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. That is why some have referred to Taiwan as East Asia's Sarajevo.
Recent modernization of Chinese military makes nuclear conflict over Taiwan seem rational
Glaser 11
Charles Glaser, Professor of Political Science and International Affairs and Director of the Institute for Security and Conflict Studies at the Elliott School of International Affairs at George Washington University. “Will China's Rise Lead to War? Why Realism Does Not Mean Pessimism”. Foreign Affairs. Mar/Apr 2011. Vol. 90, Iss. 2; pg. 80. ProQuest.
The prospects for avoiding intense military competition and war may be good, but growth
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military efforts and a general poisoning of U.S.-Chinese relations.

We control uniqueness—all forms of violence declined in the era of U.S. leadership
Fettweis 11
Christopher, Professor of Political Science @ Tulane, Dangerous Times?: The International Politics of Great Power Peace, pg. 85-86
The evidence supports the latter. Major wars tend to be rather memorable, so
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that the rules by which international politics are run may indeed he changing.

VIPV can assure competitiveness
Spherical designs Organization 06
http://solarvehicles.sphericalstructures.com/index.html
 No one can predict what future vehicle technology will dominate the new car market
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, VIPV could offer some mobility even if traditional fuel supplies were disrupted.
Advantage 2: Global Warming

Warming is real and anthropogenic-4 reasons
Prothero 12
(M.A., M.Phil., and Ph.D. degrees in geological sciences from Columbia University, and a B.A. in geology and biology from the University of California, Riverside, Professor of Geology at Occidental College in Los Angeles, and Lecturer in Geobiology at the California Institute of Technology, “How We Know Global Warming is Real and Human Caused”  Skeptic. Altadena: 2012. Vol. 17, Iss. 2; pg. 14, 10 pgs, proquest) HDG
How do we know that global warming is real and primarily human caused? There
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Florida, and most of the world's river deltas) would be drowned. 

Scientific Consensus goes aff
EDF 11
(Environmental Defense Fund, leading national nonprofit organization representing more than 700,000 members.  Citing Science and the IPCC, as well as other multinational climate organizations, “Scientific Consensus on the Basic Facts of Global Warming,” http://www.edf.org/climate/scientific-consensus)
The most respected scientific bodies have stated unequivocally that global warming is occurring, and
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warming is real. The time to start working on solutions is now.

Transportation is a massive greenhouse gas contributor- accounts for nearly 30%
EPA 6/12
Environmental Protection Agency, “Transportation sector emissions”, EPA, 2012, http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/sources/transportation.html
The Transportation sector includes the movement of people and goods by cars, trucks,
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a lower light-duty truck market share and higher fuel economy standards.

Vehicle solar is unparalleled in its ability to solve warming and air pollution
McCarthy 06
Ryan McCarthy, THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES¶ SCHOOL OF PHOTOVOLTAIC AND RENEWABLE ENERGY ENGEINEERING¶ OPPORTUNITIES FOR¶ VEHICLE INTEGRATED PHOTOVOLTAICS http://rpmccarthy.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/vipv_ryan_mccarthy.pdf
There is virtually no financial incentive for vehicle manufacturers to meet emissions or fuel economy
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and it increases renewable energy market penetration: all in the one package.

Air Pollution Causes Upwards of a Million Deaths Annually
Brindley 06
Brindley (The Western Mail) December 11, 2006. (Madeleine, “A Million fall victim to air pollution every year” The Western Mail, First Edition, Lexis).
The World Health Organization estimates that over a million people in developed countries die prematurely
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We each must take responsibility to reduce pollution in our country and cities.

Vehicle integrated solar is technologically applicable to all vehicles and solves warming
McCarthy 06
Ryan McCarthy, THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES¶ SCHOOL OF PHOTOVOLTAIC AND RENEWABLE ENERGY ENGEINEERING¶ OPPORTUNITIES FOR¶ VEHICLE INTEGRATED PHOTOVOLTAICS http://rpmccarthy.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/vipv_ryan_mccarthy.pdf

  1. VIPV generates energy where it is most valuable: at the point of
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    up. VIPV presents an accessible option to further increase existing vehicle efficiency.

US transportation energy policy modeled globally
Appleby 10
Andrew Appleby, Graduate Tax Scholar in the LL.M. in Taxation program at Georgetown University Law Center, “TRANSPORTATION ENERGY POLICY IN NATIONAL AND GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE: A NEW BEGINNING?: PAY AT THE PUMP: HOW $ 11 PER GALLON GASOLINE CAN SOLVE THE UNITED STATES' MOST PRESSING CHALLENGES,” Cumberland Law Review, Lexis
The United States needs to be a catalyst to encourage governments across the world to
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, many question whether Congress will follow through on President Obama's pledge. 562
That’s key to solve warming
Gordon 11
Deborah Gordon¶ Nonresident Senior Associate¶ Energy and Climate Program Carnegie Endowment for International Peace¶ Transportation Trifecta: Cars, Climate Change, and Oil Security¶ http://carnegieendowment.org/2011/04/18/transportation-trifecta-cars-climate-change-and-oil-security/wbs
Cars, not coal, need to be the priority in addressing climate change.
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in the midst of back-to-back oil crises in 1977.

There is a new consensus that warming will destroy the Oceans
Hance 12
Jeremy Hance¶ mongabay.com    2,600 scientists: climate change killing the world's coral reefs¶ ¶ July 10, 2012¶ http://news.mongabay.com/2012/0710-hance-coral-reefs-climate-statment.html
In an unprecedented show of concern, 2,600 (and rising) of
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the world to act on climate change—but it is closing rapidly." 

The impact destroys all life
Gerhardt 11
Tina Gerhardt is an independent journalist. Her work has appeared in the Nation, the Wall Street Journal, and many other publications Our Oceans Are in Dire Shape, But Without Them All Life on Land  Human, Plant and Animal  Is Totally Screwed http://www.alternet.org/story/152636/our_oceans_are_in_dire_shape%2C_but_without_them_all_life_on_land_--_human%2C_plant_and_animal_--_is_totally_screwed
Global warming has often been discussed with regard to its effects for life on land
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energy needed through solar and wind energy would emit less greenhouse gas emissions. 

Must act now—3 year window before it’s too late to solve warming
Birol 11
(Fatih, Chief Economist and Director of Global Energy Economics at the International Energy Agency, November 28, 2011, Transcript of “World Energy Outlook 2011”, http://carnegieendowment.org/files/112811_transcript_energyoutlook1.pdf) HDG
Another point on climate change is about the two degrees. With the current policies
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impossible to change, and the door to two degrees will be closed.

Climate change aggravates Indo-Pak conflict
Parenti 11
(Christian, PhD in Sociology from the London School of Economics, visiting fellow
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Climate Change and the New Geography of Violence, available online) HDG
Pakistan and India are famously locked in struggle. An important cause of this enmity
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plays an ever-greater role in shaping the India-Pakistan conflict.

India Pakistan war will go nuclear
Vira 12
Varun Vira writes on Middle Eastern and South Asian security affairs.  Most recently, he coauthored Pakistan: Violence vs. Stability with Dr. Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies
Escalating from Terrorism to Nuclear War on the Asian Subcontinent  Small Wars Journal 4-26-12
http://smallwars.org/jrnl/art/escalating-from-terrorism-to-nuclear-war-on-the-asian-subcontinent
In wartime, nuclear weapons will play a key role at all phases of conflict
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desperately maneuver to avoid setting a precedent that could permanently embolden India.¶ ¶ 

The Impact is Catastrophic
AFP 12
India-Pakistan nuclear war threatens world food security: Report¶ By AFP¶ Published: April 24, 2012http:tribune.com.pk/story/369330/potential-india-pakistan-nuclear-war-threatens-world-food-security/¶ Potential ¶ Usage of nuclear weapons in sub-continent could disrupt global climate with food production falling as much as 21%.CHICAGO:
More than a billion people around the world would face starvation if India and Pakistan
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malnourished people demands that action be taken,” Helfand said in a statement.

Plan

Plan: The United States federal government should provide grants to all federal agencies for deployment of integrated solar on federal vehicles in the United States.

Contention 2: Solvency

Plan causes widespread adoption of solar electric vehicles GSA forces fleet managers to choose most optimal option- with fuel completely subsidized that is solar EV’s
Merriam 11
Sara Merriam, “SA Releases Fleet Management Tool to Optimize Federal Fleet”, General Services Administration, http://www.gsa.gov/portal/content/316513 8/11
On May 24, 2011, President Obama issued a Presidential Memorandum on federal fleet
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its optimal fleet inventory, including plans for acquiring all AFVs by 2015.

Demonstration programs for vehicular solar lead to its widespread adoption
McCarthy 06
Ryan McCarthy, THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES¶ SCHOOL OF PHOTOVOLTAIC AND RENEWABLE ENERGY ENGEINEERING¶ OPPORTUNITIES FOR¶ VEHICLE INTEGRATED PHOTOVOLTAICS http://rpmccarthy.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/vipv_ryan_mccarthy.pdf
This report has revealed that the concept of VIPV is economically feasible, technically possible
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road transport and photovoltaic industries, the future scope for VIPV is enormous.

Federal investment incentives are critical
Boesel 09
John Boesel, President and CEO of CALSTART¶ Before the Select Committee on¶ Energy Independence and Global Warming¶ On¶ Constructing a Green Transportation Policy:¶ Transit Modes and Infrastructure¶ March 19, 2009http:www.calstart.org/Libraries/Policy_Documents/CALSTART_Select_Committee_on_Energy_and_Global_Warming_Testimony.sflb.ashx
There is a clear need to increase public investment in the¶ development of clean
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can be expected to come down and the need for incentives should disappear.
This demonstration is key to prove EV viability and assuage concerns about EV’s and only the federal fleet could fill this niche
Graham and Messer 11
John D. Graham and Natalie Messer, dean of the Indiana University School of Public and Environmental Affairs, masters in public affairs from Duke, Phd. Natalie is Masters of Public Affairs student at the School of Public and Environmental Affairs, “Can Electric Vehicles Take Off? A Roadmap to Find the Answer”, March 11, http://e360.yale.edu/feature/can_electric_vehicles_take_off_a_roadmap_to_find_the_answer/2380/
As instability in the Middle East pushes oil prices past $100 per barrel and
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and test that potential to give it a fair chance in the marketplace.

Critical holdup for electric vehicles is cost of battery- this will go down as the vehicles are mass produced- makes EV’s viable
Plumer 7/12
Brad Plumer, associate editor at the new republic, “As battery prices drop, will electric cars finally catch on?”, Wash Post, 2012,  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/wp/2012/07/12/as-battery-prices-drop-will-electric-cars-finally-catch-on/
At the moment, Americans aren’t exactly dashing out to dealerships to buy electric cars
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authors argue is possible, then that could all change in short order.


Vehicle integrated solar is technologically applicable to all vehicles
McCarthy 06
Ryan McCarthy, THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES¶ SCHOOL OF PHOTOVOLTAIC AND RENEWABLE ENERGY ENGEINEERING¶ OPPORTUNITIES FOR¶ VEHICLE INTEGRATED PHOTOVOLTAICS http://rpmccarthy.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/vipv_ryan_mccarthy.pdf

  1. VIPV generates energy where it is most valuable: at the point of
    AND
    up. VIPV presents an accessible option to further increase existing vehicle efficiency.
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Created by Aaron Miller on 2012/09/22 12:40

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