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The affirmative’s production-oriented approach to energy locks-in devastating consumption patterns and guarantees error-replication
Princen 2 – Professor of Natural Resources @ U of Michigan
Thomas, Associate Professor of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy in the School of Natural Resources and Environment at the University of Michigan, where he also co-directs the Workshop on Consumption and Environment, Michael Maniates, Professor of Political Science and Environmental Science at Allegheny College, and Ken Conca, professor of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland,  “Confronting Consumption,” Confronting Consumption, Chapter 1
Such intuition is even making its way, albeit slowly, into scholarly circles,
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techniques, all warranting a change in incentive structures via laws and regulations.
Production oriented economics are unsustainable – only an analytical re-orientation can break the cycle of destruction
Princen 2 – Professor of Natural Resources @ U of Michigan
Thomas, Associate Professor of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy in the School of Natural Resources and Environment at the University of Michigan, where he also co-directs the Workshop on Consumption and Environment, Michael Maniates, Professor of Political Science and Environmental Science at Allegheny College, and Ken Conca, professor of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland,  “Confronting Consumption,” Confronting Consumption, Chapter 2
The difficulty in conducting such a transformative research agenda, I submit, Lies in
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the analysis. Goods may be good but cautious consuming is better.7
The impact is extinction
Ehrenfeld 5 – Professor of Ecology @ Rutgers
David, Dept. of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources @ Rutgers University, “The Environmental Limits to Globalization”, Conservation Biology Vol. 19 No. 2, EBSCO
The known effects of globalization on the environment are numerous and highly significant. Many
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have become so thoroughly entwined with ours within the global environment we share.
The alternative is to: reject the affirmative and approach the 1ac harms from the angle of consumption
Princen 2 – Professor of Natural Resources @ U of Michigan
Thomas, Associate Professor of Natural Resources and Environmental Policy in the School of Natural Resources and Environment at the University of Michigan, where he also co-directs the Workshop on Consumption and Environment, Michael Maniates, Professor of Political Science and Environmental Science at Allegheny College, and Ken Conca, professor of Government and Politics at the University of Maryland,  “Confronting Consumption,” Confronting Consumption, Chapter 1
Given our dissatisfaction with prevailing, fragmentary approaches to consumption and its externalities, we
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, to stimulate thought, and to point to new forms of intervention.

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Text: The fifty states and relevant sub-national actors should establish feed in tariffs.
The states can do the plan
Haynes 5 (Rusty, Policy Analyst, N.C. Solar Center, N.C. State University, “Systematic Support for Renewable Energy in the United States and Beyond: A Selection of Policy Options and Recommendations” http://www.dsireusa.org/documents/PolicyPublications/Haynes_KIER_Keynote.pdf)
In the absence of strong, continuous federal support for renewable energy, dozens of
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incentives, rebates, grants, production incentives and low-interest loans.

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Unscrewed polls prove Romney will win the election
Merkel 9/21
Jesse, Reporter and Pollster, Policy Mic, “Obama vs Romney Polls: When You Crunch the Numbers, Romney is Actually Doing Very Well”, http://www.policymic.com/articles/15145/obama-vs-romney-polls-when-you-crunch-the-numbers-romney-is-actually-doing-very-well
Two things typically happen after the major parties conventions come to an end. People
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, ask Al Gore if a scant few votes can make a difference.
Domestic energy production key to swing states – allows Obama to make a comeback
Mead ‘12
Walter Russell, Professor of Foreign Affairs and Humanities at Bard College and Editor of The American Interest magazine, considered one of the country’s leading students of American foreign affairs, The American Interest, “Green Politics Hurting Obama in Swing States”, http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2012/06/06/green-politics-hurting-obama-in-swing-states/
Since the beginning of the recession, America’s “brown jobs” revolution has been
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of this issue. It may come back to bite him come November.
Swing voters love renewables
Romm ‘12
Joe, Fellow at American Progress and is the editor of Climate Progress, January 25, 2012, “Government Investment in Renewable Energy Nearly as Popular With Swing Voters as Death of Osama bin Laden”  
Voters just love government investment in renewable energy — much more than their representatives in
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out and lead the country toward true clean energy revolution. Some day.
Obama re-election equals unilateral nuclear disarmament and nuclear war
Ferrara ‘12
ACRU General Counsel and Senior Fellow for the Carleson Center for Public Policy (CCPP), “Peter Ferrara
Obama's Unilateral Nuclear Disarmament”, http://theacru.org/acru/obamas_unilateral_nuclear_disarmament/
As Frank Gaffney wrote in the February 22 Washington Times:¶ The Obama Administration continues
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threatens your very life, and the lives of your family and children.

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Russian economy growing through 2012—oil prices key vulnerability
Adomanis 8/16
Forbes Consultant, "Russia's Economy is Still Growing Faster than Every EU Country," 8/16/12 www.forbes.com/sites/markadomanis/2012/08/16/russias-economy-is-still-growing-faster-than-every-eu-country/ AD 8/25/12
Midway through 2012, the Russian economy is growing at a reasonable pace, foreign
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, I’ve also seen quite a few stories like this one from Reuters:
Development of alternative energy causes prices to drop
DeCiantis  8
Devin DeCiantis, 2008, Masters candidate in Public Policy at Harvard’s JFK School of Government, specializing in development economics and international trade,  March, http://www.freedom24.org/rationalpost/2008/03/25/speculations-on-a-25-oil-tariff/
In the mid-term, as industries and generators begin to shift away from
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excess supply-at least while total global oil reserves remain relatively plentiful.
High prices key to sustain Russia’s economy—low prices cause collapse
World Finance Review 12
“Hooked On Oil:Russia’s Vulnerability To Oil Prices” [http://worldfinancereview.com/may%202012/33-34.pdf] May 20
The Russian economy’s very close correlation with commodity prices, first and foremost with oil
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particularly if longer lasting, would quickly put considerable pressure on Russia’s public finances
Russian economic decline causes nuclear war
Filger 9
Sheldon Filger, founder of Global Economic Crisis, The Huffington Post. “Russian Economy Faces Disastrous Free Fall Contraction”. 5/10/9. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/sheldon-filger/russian-economy-faces-dis_b_201147.html
In Russia historically, economic health and political stability are intertwined to a degree that
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the financial impact of the Global Economic Crisis is its least dangerous consequence.

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ECON ADV
Fossil fuel industry creating jobs now—plan trades off and leads to a net decrease in employment  
Hemphill and Perry 12
Thomas and Mark, “How Obama’s Energy Policy Will Kill Jobs” [http
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amounts of taxpayer money would destroy jobs on net and raise energy costs.
No impact to green jobs
Hughes 11—PhD and Project Scientist at the Center for Magnetic Recording Research
Gordon, “THE MYTH OF GREEN JOBS” [published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation]
A second observation is that there are no sound economic arguments to support an assertion
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China. That is already apparent from the way the market is developing.

1NC AT Decline  War
No causality – economic decline doesn’t cause war
Ferguson 6 – prof of history @ Harvard
Niall Ferguson 2006, Professor of History @ Harvard, The Next War of the World, Foreign Affairs 85.5, Proquest
There are many unsatisfactory explanations for why the twentieth century was so destructive. One
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economic catastrophe, and some severe economic crises were not followed by wars.
Empirical studies show no causal relationship between economic decline and war
Miller 1 – prof of economics
Morris Miller 2001, Professor of Economics, Poverty: A Cause of War?, http://archive.peacemagazine.org/v17n1p08.htm
Library shelves are heavy with studies focused on the correlates and causes of war.
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by increasing repression (thereby using one form of violence to abort another)."
1NC AT Diversionary Theory
You impacts assume diversionary theory – it has been empirically disproven – domestic unrest due to economic decline makes it less likely leaders can engage in interstate conflict.
Boehmer 7 – associate prof of poly sci @ UT-El Paso
Charles Boehmer, Associate Professor, Dept. of Political Science @ University of Texas at El Paso. “The Effects of Economic Crisis, Domestic Discord, and State Efficacy on the Decision to Initiate Interstate Conflict”. Politics and Policy. Volume 35, Issue 4, Pages 774-809. Wiley InterScience. December 7, 2007.
I have theorized in this study that economic growth should be positively related to militarized
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appear secure, meaning they face manageable levels of internal protest and rebellion.

WARMING ADV

No Warming—Cooling 1NC
Cooling is coming now – it’s fast and outweighs the effects of warming
Carlin 11 – PhD in Economics from MIT
Alan Carlin, PhD in Economics, former Director @ EPA and fellow @ RAND, 3-2011, “ A Multidisciplinary, Science-Based Approach to the Economics of Climate Change,” International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 8
On the contrary, the occur sooner or later.
No Warming—Not Anthropogenic 1NC
Warming is not anthropogenic—comparative climate models prove a) the climate is not as sensitive as previously though and b) Co2 concentrations can’t explain past warming
Spencer 8 –former head climate scientist @ NASA
(Roy, principal research scientist at the University of Alabama, former senior scientist for climate studied at NASA and now leads the U.S. science team for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS on NASA’s Aqua satellite. [http://www.drroyspencer.com/research-articles/global-warming-as-a-natural-response/]  “Global Warming as a Natural Response to Cloud Changes Associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)”/December 29)
A simple climate model forced
enough to document such a change…until recently.
AT Extinction 1NC
And, consensus of experts agree no impact to warming
Hsu ‘10
Jeremy, Live Science Staff, July 19, pg. http://www.livescience.com/culture/can-humans-survive-extinction-doomsday-100719.html
His views deviate sharply from
whose result remains uncertain."
Past adaptation proves we’ll survive—they were equally as drastic/rapid
Vaidyanathan 10—fellow @ International Development Center
 [Gayathri Vaidyanathan, Scientific American, “How Have Hominids Adapted to Past Climate Change?,” 4/13/10, http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=hominids-adapt-to-past-climate-change]
Studying past
are a species that's emerged from a long history of adaptation."