Tournament: KCKCC | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Observation 1. Inherency.  
The pace of conversion of United States military grade HEU to civilian energy production is decreasing in the status quo.
Stockton, 2010 http://www.pogo.org/pogo-files/reports/nuclear-security-safety/downblending-heu/nss-nwc-20100914.html#Intro Peter Stockton, Senior Investigator, has thirty years of experience investigating waste and fraud throughout the federal government. From 1999 to 2001, Mr. Stockton served as Special Assistant to Department of Energy Secretary Bill Richardson as his personal troubleshooter on physical and cyber security in the nuclear weapons complex. Prior to that, for twenty-two years, Mr. Stockton was the senior investigator on the House Energy and Power and the House Oversight and Investigations Subcommittees of the Energy and Commerce Committee. During the 1970s, he investigated most of the major defense contractors and oil companies, the diversion of bomb-grade uranium to Israel, and the death of Karen Silkwood. In the 1980's and early 1990's, he investigated the security and effectiveness of the nuclear weapons production program and defense contractor fraud.
Yet, the U.S. ...conversion to LEU.
 
Plan Text: The Commander and Chief of the United States should officially declare that 300 metric tons of Highly Enriched Uranium currently restricted from civilian energy production processes is in excess of United State Military needs. 

 
Advantage 1. Proliferation and Nuclear Terrorism.
Scenario 1 is Theft:

A) HEU stock piles drastically increase the acquisition of nuclear weapons by sophisticated nation states and terrorist organizations. 

Bleek and Holgate 2009 (Phillip C., Laura S. H. Nuclear threat Initiative MINIMIZING CIVIL HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKS BY 2015: A FORWARD-LOOKING ASSESSMENT OF U.S.-RUSSIAN COOPERATION http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12590andpage=89 Philipp C. Bleek, Center for a New American Security and Laura S. H. Holgate, Nuclear Threat Initiative)

The threat of ... is to be achieved. 

B)   Terrorists can acquire and have the will to use nuclear weapons 

Arbuckle 8 (Larry J. Arbuckle, Lieutenant, United States Navy, June 2008, “THE DETERRENCE OF NUCLEAR TERRORISM THROUGH AN ATTRIBUTION CAPABILITY,” http://edocs.nps.edu/npspubs/scholarly/theses/2008/Jun/08Jun_Arbuckle.pdf)

Of course to ...would be determined (Bunn, 2006, p. 116).

C)  A nuclear terrorist attack causes super power war

Ayson 2010, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington, (“After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects,” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via InformaWorld)

A terrorist nuclear attack, ... with a devastating response.

D)  Nuclear terrorism causes extinction – there are no diplomatic checks on terrorist organizations
Sid-Ahmed 4 (Mohamed Sid-Ahmed; former member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of Egypt, leading member of the National Progressive Unionist Party, and leading journalist for Al-Ahmar; Accessed June 25, 2012; http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2004/705/op5.htm; Written August 26, 2004; “Extinction!”)
The advent of ... will all be losers.
E) Cutting excess stock of HEU decreases risk of nuke terrorism

Stockton 2010 http://www.pogo.org/pogo-files/reports/nuclear-security-safety/downblending-heu/nss-nwc-20100914.html#Intro Peter Stockton, Senior Investigator, has thirty years of experience investigating waste and fraud throughout the federal government. From 1999 to 2001, Mr. Stockton served as Special Assistant to Department of Energy Secretary Bill Richardson as his personal troubleshooter on physical and cyber security in the nuclear weapons complex. Prior to that, for twenty-two years, Mr. Stockton was the senior investigator on the House Energy and Power and the House Oversight and Investigations Subcommittees of the Energy and Commerce Committee. During the 1970s, he investigated most of the major defense contractors and oil companies, the diversion of bomb-grade uranium to Israel, and the death of Karen Silkwood. In the 1980's and early 1990's, he investigated the security and effectiveness of the nuclear weapons production program and defense contractor fraud.
When President Barack ...-24,000 warheads

F) Even if the risk is relatively low the consequences are too high to ignore

Allison ‘7 (Graham, Douglas Dillon Prof. Gov. and Dir. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs – Harvard U. JFK School of Government, National Interest, “Symposium: Apocalypse When?” November/December, L/N)

Mueller is entitled ... underestimate the risk. 
Scenario 2-Proliferation
A)  Proliferation is increasing and the modernization of weapons and only serves to increase instability. Nuclear disarmament is key to halting.
Ban Ki-moon August 29th (2012 , China Daily Pursue peace, destroy weapons http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2012-08/29/content_15714246.htm)

Last month, competing ...support of all nations.

B) Declaration of excess nuclear material leads to global anti-proliferation modeling, increases leadership in nonproliferation.
Podvig, 2012 Researcher, United National Disarmament Agency, https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=vandq=cache:KXGI0mQTUgwJ:www.unidir.org/pdf/ouvrages/pdf-1-92-9045-012-C-en.pdf+heu+downblendingandhl=enandgl=usandpid=blandsrcid=ADGEEShoOf3a4tgCUCOSBBm7IubfL-KYYR0EcYxEeXBZMRtdk_ZaeHusuPxOKJbbWMNzn_WVd1bt2It9VWoFfuTRFDwJVDHd_EkpcxZX2jQBLSZHV7J__g1jalG_s2ZoOP7A8xULp0dIandsig=AHIEtbRM3B32vWL7_H1SlyXQQqPjzlAXTw
Declarations of excess ... to terrorists.
C) Prolif drastically increases the risk of accidents – guarantees nuclear war

Sturm 09 – Fellow at the National Truman Security Project, a national security based institute in Washington DC   (Frankie, “Nuclear Weapons: A New Paradigm for the 21st Century, Truman National Security Project”)AA
Accidents happen, but the price of a nuclear accident is impermissible. Yet, past incidents over the last several decades far less known than “Chernobyl” could very well have led to more catastrophic results: 1979, U.S. Mistakes Computer Exercise for Soviet Nuclear Strike. When a realistic training ... gravity to the threat.

D) Nuclear war leads to extinction; famine, ecosystem collapse and toxic chemicals
Alan Philips, Dr. with Physicians for Global Survival, 10/2000 “Nuclear War Revisited,” http://www.peace.ca/nuclearwinterrevisited.htm 

Deaths from world... damaged storage tanks.

E)  Following through with commitments to reducing HEU are key to increasing diplomacy
Bleek and Holgate 2009 ( Phillip C., Laura S. H. Nuclear threat Initiative MINIMIZING CIVIL HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM STOCKS BY 2015: A FORWARD-LOOKING ASSESSMENT OF U.S.-RUSSIAN COOPERATION http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12590andpage=89 Philipp C. Bleek, Center for a New American Security and Laura S. H. Holgate, Nuclear Threat Initiative) 

If civil HEU ... to that question. 

Observation 2. Solvency:
A) Only the President can remove the HEU restriction.
Stockton, 2010 http://www.pogo.org/pogo-files/reports/nuclear-security-safety/downblending-heu/nss-nwc-20100914.html#Intro Peter Stockton, Senior Investigator, has thirty years of experience investigating waste and fraud throughout the federal government. From 1999 to 2001, Mr. Stockton served as Special Assistant to Department of Energy Secretary Bill Richardson as his personal troubleshooter on physical and cyber security in the nuclear weapons complex. Prior to that, for twenty-two years, Mr. Stockton was the senior investigator on the House Energy and Power and the House Oversight and Investigations Subcommittees of the Energy and Commerce Committee. During the 1970s, he investigated most of the major defense contractors and oil companies, the diversion of bomb-grade uranium to Israel, and the death of Karen Silkwood. In the 1980's and early 1990's, he investigated the security and effectiveness of the nuclear weapons production program and defense contractor fraud.
Another step the ... available for downblending.

B) The US has at least 300 metric tons of HEU to be excess of military needs. Plan increases U.S. international non-proliferation efforts, fissle material security efforts, reduces the risks of nuclear terrorism.
Stockton, 2010 http://www.pogo.org/pogo-files/reports/nuclear-security-safety/downblending-heu/nss-nwc-20100914.html#Intro Peter Stockton, Senior Investigator, 

The U.S. has a ...To do the same.123
C) Every kilogram converted from HEU is totally eliminated from the risk of nuclear terrorism.
 Leach, Nov. 2011 Bob N. Leach of Brattleboro, now retired, spent 45 years in the nuclear industry, many of them as radiation protection manager at Vermont Yankee., http://www.sentinelsource.com/opinion/columnists/guest/hail-the-megatons-to-megawatts-program-by-bob-n-leach/article_dc9fcaf7-708b-583f-9805-6d69804d5fdf.html
Conversion of ... crude terrorist weapon.

Advantage 2: Peak Uranium
A. The United States will have a supply gap and price spikes by 2013, which leads to peak uranium by 2015. End of Megatons to Megawatts program
Sterck June 8, 2012 (Edward Sterck covers uranium, diamond and platinum group metal mining companies for BMO Capital Markets. He joined BMO in 2007, prior to which he was a mining analyst at Hargreave Hale. Before working in mining research, he spent more than four years trading government bond futures on a proprietary basis. Sterck holds a Bachelor of Science in geology with honors from the Royal School of Mines, Imperial College London., http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article35048.html)
The downblending of ...years after 2014.

B.  This will cause the US to mine in the four corners region, causing further destruction on native land
Brown and Lambert 2010 (http://nativecases.evergreen.edu/collection/cases/blowing-in-the-wind.html)
 The Navajo Nation ...which is still present. (Giusti)

C. The legacy of racism enables exploitation of Native Americans, legitimizing radioactive colonialism
Bullard, (Clark Atlanta University Environmental Justice Resource Center Director) 2002 (Robert D., “Poverty, pollution, and environmental racism: strategies for building healthy and sustainable communities” NationalBlack Justice Environmental Network. July 2. http://www.ejrc.cau.edu/PovpolEj.html)
While Native peoples ... other social problems.

D. This means a systematic genocide of Native Americans
Brook (Cal Berkeley Sociology Professor) 1998 (Dan, "The Environmental Genocide: Native Americans and Toxic Waste." American Journal of Economics and Sociology January 1998, http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0254/is_n1_v57/ai_20538772/pg_1?tag=artBody;col1)
Genocide against Native ... lives of Native American

The ONLY way to prevent peak uranium production scenario is to maintain the conversion of U.S. and Russian military uranium to civilian use---plan solves
Dittmar, 2011 http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/arxiv/pdf/1106/1106.3617v1.pdf; “The End of Cheap Uranium,” Researcher at the Institute for Particle Physics, Switzerland.

Table 4: The uranium ... are discussed in the text.