WSU Aff

Plan
The United States federal government should substantially reduce restrictions on the production of Oil Shale based fuels on federal lands.
Inherency 

Best oil shale recourses in Colorado, Wyoming and Utah  DOE 07
6/18/2007 DOE Office of Petroleum Reserves Fact Sheet: Oil Shale and the Environment
http://fossil.energy.gov/programs/reserves/npr/Oil_Shale_Environmental_Fact_Sheet.pdf
America’s best oil shale transport and storage.

Hundreds of thousands of acres of land blocked for oil shale production in Colorado, Utah and Wyoming- Bump 12
By Philip Bump 9 Nov 2012 5:37 PM
http://grist.org/news/obama-limits-oil-shale-development-okd-by-bush/
Oil shale is a weird ....much wider geographical area,” 

2 Million acres of the richest oil shale property blocked off- Piceance 12
Piceance Fri Nov 09, 2012 at 12:49:42 PM MST http://www.coloradopols.com/diary/18890/interior-release-final-oil-shale-leasing-plan
WASHINGTON (November 9, 2012) - The Interior Department today ...virtually no environmental safeguards. 

Adv 2 Energy Conflict
Scenario 1 – Island Conflict
US Shale oil key relations and destabilizing tensions between japan and china Richardson 12
Thursday, Dec. 13, 2012 New gas resources raise regional energy stakes By MICHAEL RICHARDSON Michael Richardson is a visiting senior research fellow at the Institute of South East Asian Studies in Singapore. http://www.japantimes.co.jp/text/eo20121213mr.html
Beijing has been increasingly .... trying to develop nuclear weapons.

Without access to cheap shale oil from the US the next world war will be over the Islands-Lavelle 12
Marianne Lavelle and Jeff Smith For National Geographic News Published October 26, 2012 http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/10/121026-east-china-sea-dispute/

Why are China and Japan locked ...two nations to talk.

Japan Economy and oil reserves are on the edge of collapse-Lavelle 12
Marianne Lavelle and Jeff Smith For National Geographic News Published October 26, 2012 http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/10/121026-east-china-sea-dispute/
Japan's exports to its largest ...by Vietnam and the Philippines.

All out war over Islands-Tayakoli 12
Janet Tavakoli President, Tavakoli Structured Finance China and Japan (and U.S.) Island Dispute: It's All About Oil 09/25/2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/janet-tavakoli/china-and-japan-and-us-is_b_1912109.html
Sentiment within Japan's business ... dragged into the conflict.
Conflict in the SCS culminated into a global nuclear war.

Strait Times 95 (staff, “Choose Your Own Style of Democracy”, May 21, p. proquest)
In his speech, Dr Mahathir also painted three ... resorting to nuclear weapons.

Scenario 2 arms race
Vietnam and Philippine tension over islands will cause arms race Cronin 12
Patrick M. Cronin September 7, 2012 Averting Conflict in the South China Sea
Meanwhile, tensions have outpaced .... race could well be catalyzed.

Increased Tensions over islands will cause Japanese Rearm Tayakoli 12
Janet Tavakoli President, Tavakoli Structured Finance China and Japan (and U.S.) Island Dispute: It's All About Oil 09/25/2012
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/janet-tavakoli/china-and-japan-and-us-is_b_1912109.html
The dispute over the territory ...from a private Japanese citizen.

Even if Japan doesn’t nuclearize controversy causes an arms race

Elizabeth Bakanic, Department of Homeland Security Graduate Fellow for Science and Technology, the end of japan’s nuclear taboo, 2008, http://www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/features/the-end-of-japans-nuclear-taboo
So why should the world be ...capabilitiesnuclear or otherwise. 

would cause an India/Pakistan arms race

Irene Kunii, why japan just might build nukes, Business Week page 22, 2003, lexis
But if Japan decides .... an ever more perilous future.  

leads to global war.

Guoli Liu, Professor of Political Science @ The College of Charleston. 2004. Chinese Foreign Policy in Transition. Pg. 15
Unless this nuclear crisis ...and threaten global peace and security.

leads to extinction

Reuters, india-pakistan nuclear war would cause ozone hole, 2008,
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN07279855
Nuclear war between India and ....full-scale nuclear war," Toon said in a statement.

Adv 3 Iran Prolif
US gas supply curbs Iranian gas leverage – contributes to international cooperation to prevent a nuclear Iran 

Medlock et al. 11 - Dr. Kenneth B. Medlock, Ph.D. in economics, fellow in Energy and Resource Economics at the Baker Institute, and former advisor to the U.S. Department of Energy and the California Energy Commission, AND* Amy Myers Jaffe, graduate from Princeton University, fellow of Energy Studies and director of the Energy Forum at the Baker Institute, and associate director of the Rice Energy Program, AND* Dr. Peter R. Hartley, Ph.D in economics at Rice University, July 2011, "Shale Gas and U.S. National Security,” http://bakerinstitute.org/publications/EF-pub-DOEShaleGas-07192011.pdf
At the present time, economic ....between the United States and India.30

Iranian proliferation causes horizontal proliferation that triggers small scale nuclear wars that escalate to draw powers into a full scale nuclear war
Wimbush, Hudson Institute Senior Fellow, Center for Future Security Strategies Director, 2007
S. Enders “The End of Deterrence: A nuclear Iran will change everything.” The Weekley Standard. 1/11/2007, Accessed 7/17/2010, http://www.weeklystandard.com/Utilities/printer_preview.asp?idArticle=13154&R=162562FD5A]
Iran is fast building its position .... once broken, cannot be restored. 

ADV 4 China Protests
Exports solve Chinese coal production- solves environmental protests
Levine 9/24
[Steve, Professor at Georgetown, 9/24/12,  http://qz.com/3416/five-ways-a-new-age-of-cheap-energy-could-shift-the-power-balance-on-the-planet-2/]
On current industry forecasts... in the China Energy Group at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. 

Pollution pushes party instability over the brink – causes extinction
Yee and Storey 02
[Herbert Yee, Professor of Politics and IR, Hong Kong Baptist University AND Ian Storey, Lecturer in Defence Studies at Deakin, 02
“The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality,” p5]

The fourth factor contributing to ... its neighbours and the world.

Scenario 2 – Russia
Specifically, causes nuclear war with Russia
Nankivell 9
[Nathan, Senior Researcher at the Office of the Special Advisor Policy, Canadien Department of National Defence, “China's Pollution and the Threat to Domestic and Regional Stability”, Asia-Pacific Journal, 3-21, http://japanfocus.org/-Nathan-Nankivell/1799]

Moreover, protests serve as .... nuclear-equipped nations.

Extinction
Sharavin, 2001 (Alexander, The Third Threat, What the Papers Say, 10/3, Lexis)

Russia may face the "wonderful" ...a possible nuclear winter.

ECON ADV

Unconventional Oil Is Supercharging The U.S. Economy Carey 12
Carey, 12/13/2012 @ 1:32PM
http://www.forbes.com/sites/energysource/2012/12/13/how-unconventional-oil-and-gas-is-transforming-the-u-s-economy/ EJ
Julie M. Carey is an energy economist with Navigant Economics who provides consulting and testifying services. Navigant’s unconventional oil and gas offerings include advisory services for strategic business decision analysis, construction risk management, economic and antitrust analyses, investment banking and restructuring advisory services, and expert services for disputes and investigations.
It’s an exciting time to ....millions of new jobs are within reach.
C. Economic decline causes war Judis 2011
Judis, Carnegie Endowment, 2011, The New Republic, August 8, [John], p. http://www.npr.org/2011/08/08/139080654/new-republic-a-lesson-from-the-great-depression
The first consideration has ... over the next year.