Tournament: Clarion | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty BS | Judge: O'Gormon, Tom
Advantage 1 is Nuclear Leadership
China, India and Russia Building New Plants now as US nuclear share shrinking, industry on the brink, Fed signal key
Wallace and Williams 4/17 (Michael, Michael Wallace comes to CSIS from Constellation Energy, where he served as vice chairman and COO. During his nine years at Constellation Energy, he led many company business activities, including the formation and operation of two joint ventures with EDF related to nuclear energy. Prior to joining Constellation Energy, he was cofounder and managing director of Barrington Energy Partners, LLC, a strategic consulting firm specializing in energy industry transactions and advisory services. Before joining Barrington Energy, he had more than 25 years of senior executive and utility operations experience. He holds a B.S. in electrical engineering from Marquette University and an M.B.A. from the University of Chicago, with a specialization in finance. He also served as a naval officer in the U.S. Navy nuclear submarine force. Mr. Wallace is a member of the National Infrastructure Advisory Council (NIAC), which advises the president on matters related to homeland security. He is also a member of the Nuclear Sector Coordinating Council under the Department of Homeland Security’s National Infrastructure Protection Plan and a member of Business Executives for National Security (BENS), the Naval Historical Foundation Advisory Council, and the Marquette University College of Engineering National Advisory Council; Sarah, April 17, 2012; http://csis.org/publication/nuclear-energy-america-preventing-its-early-demise)
Meanwhile, China, India, Russia…prevent its early demise.
We solve 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1 is deterrence
Deterrence is on the brink, workers are leaving for other fields due to neglect of domestic nuclear policy
Gardner 6/6
(Chris Gardner is a former writer for the Homeland Security NewsWire and freelance writer based in Washington, D.C. He is currently on staff at The Heritage Foundation.; June 6, 2012, http://jacecar.com/2012/06/deterioration-of-nuclear-infrastructure-undermines-u-s-security/)
Speaking to the Council …a plan that closes.”
Perception of new nuclear boom would increase skilled workers
NYT 10
(Steve Lohr, New York Times, “the New Jobs in Atomic Energy”, April 21, 2010; http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/22/business/energy-environment/22TECH.html?pagewanted=all)
In the Bay City …the Nuclear Energy Institute.
Civil and Military Nuclear jobs are interchangeable, dual-use technology
Royal Society 11
(The Royal Society, “Fuel cycle stewardship in a nuclear renaissance’; October 2011; “2http:royalsociety.org/uploadedFiles/Royal_Society_Content/policy/projects/nuclear-non-proliferation/FuelCycleStewardshipNuclearRenaissance.pdf)
Anticipation of a nuclear …for multilateral nuclear disarmament (FCO 2009).
A. Continued Nuclear Deterrence solves every scenario for nuclear war –
Robinson 01
director of the Sandia National Laboratories, 2001 (Paul, “A White Paper: Pursuing a Nuclear Weapons Policy for the 21st Century”, http://www.mindfully.org/Nucs/Nuclear-Weapons-Policy-21stC.htm)
Additionally, throughout the Cold …stable and peaceful world.
Absent the plan, any future dispute will be settled with nuclear wars – only US deterrence solves
Kagan 07
Professor of History at Georgetown University and Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution
(Robert, former Senior associate @ Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Senior transatlantic fellow at the German Marshall Fund, “End of Dreams, Return of History,” Policy Review, August and September 2007, pg. http://www.hoover.org/publications/policyreview/8552512.html)
The jostling for status …provide an easier path.
Scenario 2 is Nuclear Safety
Leadership Key to International Safety and Access, Failure to do the plan would remove US expertise
BPC 12
(Co-chaired by Senator Pete Domenici and Dr. Warren “Pete Miller” September 2012, “Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets”; http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Leadership%20in%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Markets.pdf)
As the world’s largest …erode U.S. international standing.
Without US safety experience, high risk of meltdowns leading to extinction
Lendman, 2011
(Stephen, Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization, 03/ 13, “Nuclear Meltdown in Japan,”, The People’s Voice http://www.thepeoplesvoice.org/TPV3/Voices.php/2011/03/13/nuclear-meltdown-in-japan, accessed 8-2-12, RSR)
Reuters said the 1995 Kobe …, literally, an apocalyptic event.
Advantage 2 is China
China Challenging US in Nuclear Power Leadership, they’re building, we’re not, they’ll pass us without a signal to nuclear energy
Cullinane, 11
(Scott, House Armed Services Committee Staff, “America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy “, September 28, http://www.ensec.org/index.php?view=articleandcatid=118%3Acontentandid=319%3Aamerica-falling-behind-the-strategic-dimensions-of-chinese-commercial-nuclear-energyandtmpl=componentandprint=1andpage=andoption=com_contentandItemid=376) NL
Due to a confluence …clear example of this.
We Solve 2 Scenarios
Scenario 1) Proliferation
China Has a Record of Proliferation, without American influence they’ll give nukes to the Middle East, South Asia and Iran to achieve geopolitical objectives
Cullinane, 11
(Scott, House Armed Services Committee Staff, “America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy “, September 28, http://www.ensec.org/index.php?view=articleandcatid=118%3Acontentandid=319%3Aamerica-falling-behind-the-strategic-dimensions-of-chinese-commercial-nuclear-energyandtmpl=componentandprint=1andpage=andoption=com_contentandItemid=376) NL
The international trade of …risks involving nuclear material.
Unchecked Asian or Middle Eastern Prolif is the most likely scenario for a nuclear war – ongoing disputes, shorter flight times and pressure to retaliate
Cimbala, 08
(Stephen J.-, March, Comparative Strategy, “Anticipatory Attacks: Nuclear Crisis Stability in Future Asia”, Vol. 27 #2, Informaworld)
The spread of nuclear …war outside of Europe.19
Indo-Pak War causes extinction
ThaiIndian News, 08
ThaiIndian News 8 (ThaiIndian News, “India-Pakistan nuclear war would spell global calamity: study,” http://www.thaindian.com/newsportal/uncategorized/india-pakistan-nuclear-war-would-spell-global-calamity-study_10035636.html)
A brief nuclear war …polluting the food chain.
Middle Eastern Nuclear War means Extinction
Russell 9
(James Senior Lecturer in the Department of National Security Affairs at Nava Postgraduate School “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prosepects for Nuclear War and Escalation in the Middle East www.ifri.org/downloads/PP26_Russell_2009.pdf)
These systemic weaknesses in …for the entire world.
Scenario 2) Techno-hegemony
Commitment to domestic nuclear energy key to US technological leadership
Cullinane, 11
(Scott, House Armed Services Committee Staff, “America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy “, September 28, http://www.ensec.org/index.php?view=articleandcatid=118%3Acontentandid=319%3Aamerica-falling-behind-the-strategic-dimensions-of-chinese-commercial-nuclear-energyandtmpl=componentandprint=1andpage=andoption=com_contentandItemid=376)
Strategy and policy In …the Department of Energy.
Cannot Maintain Tech Leadership without signal of new construction
BPC 12
(Co-chaired by Senator Pete Domenici and Dr. Warren “Pete Miller” September 2012, “Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets”; http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Leadership%20in%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Markets.pdf)
With the world’s largest …of nuclear weapons proliferation.
Empirically proven - failure to maintain innovation leads to hegemonic decline and conflict
Drezner 2001 Daniel Drezner (professor of international politics at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University) 2001 “State structure, technological leadership and the maintenance of hegemony” http://www.danieldrezner.com/research/tech.pdf
In this decade, proponents …their lead over time.
Timeframe is quick – other countries are rapidly catching up – once we lose it we cant get it back
Warsh 2007 David Warsh (Proprieter of Economic Principles and former J.P. Morgan Prize Fellow at the American Academy in Berlin) 2007 “The World Is What?” http://www.rand.org/pubs/conf_proceedings/2007/RAND_CF235.pdf
Today it is China …be difficult to regain.”
Current US tech decline will cause heg collapse- history show US will have to attack to try retaining power
Pape 09
(Robert A. Pape; Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, January/February 2009 “The Empire Falls”, The National Interest, June 28, http://www.nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=20484)
America is losing its …call a hegemonic war.”
Economy
Advantage 2 is the Economy
The economy is weak—slowest recovery from any recession in history—we must act now or it will collapse
Glassman, 7/31
(James K, founding executive director of the George W. Bush Institute, host and moderater of “Ideas in Action,” a weekly television series on public policy issues, ex-president of the Atlantic Monthly magazine, publisher of the New Republic magazine, executive vice president of U.S. News and World Report, and editor and co-owner of Roll Call, the Congressional newspaper, graduated from Harvard (where I was managing editor of The Crimson), Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs under President George W. Bush, and before that, as chairman of the Broadcasting Board of Governors, written three books on investing, and my articles on finance, economics, and foreign policy have appeared in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, Forbes, among others and currently sits on the Investor Advisory Committee of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, "Let's Be Clear, The U.S. Economy Is Just Awful", 7/31, http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesglassman/2012/07/31/lets-be-clear-the-u-s-economy-is-just-awful/) NL
This is the worst …also a practical goal.
1) New Nuclear Power Plants Create up to 500,000 jobs; are bright spot in the economy
Weaver 9
(Lynn Edward, Lynn Edward Weaver is President Emeritus of Florida Institute of Technology, http://www.theledger.com/article/20090128/COLUMNISTS/901280304?p=2andtc=pg)
Is there any doubt …meeting our energy needs.
Plan solves 3 internal links to the economy
1) Job growth
AP, 11
(AP, 9-2, 11, http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Employers-add-no-net-jobs-in-apf-4252098583.html?x=0andsec=topStoriesandpos=mainandasset=andccode= DOA: 9/2/11)
Analysts say the economy …Something has to give."
2) Low, stable prices
EEI, 08
(Edison Electric Institute, “Electricity and the U.S. Economy”; http://www.getenergyactive.org/value/economy.htm)
The U.S. economy is …stable price of electricity.
3) Innovation
Traven, 06
Michael, J.D., Capital University Law School, RESTRICTING INNOVATION: HOW RESTRICTIVEU.S. VISA POLICIES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEPLETE OUR INNOVATIVE ECONOMY, Capital University Law Review 34 Cap. U.L. Rev. 693, summer, lexis
The global community is …in the foreseeable future.
Economic decline causes war – multiple warrants and the best research flows aff
Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010
(Jedediah, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p.213-215) JDB
Less intuitive is how …ancillary to those views.
Plan text
Plan: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase the available funding for the nuclear loan guarantee program.
.
Solvency
Nuclear energy is cheap, safe, reliable, and has very little environmental impact
Learsy, 05
(Learsy, commodities trader and member of the Wilson Council at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, 2005 Raymond J., “Over a Barrel: Breaking the Middle East Oil Cartel” pg. 229-230)
Technology is rapidly advancing …of nuclear power generation.
Loan guarantees spur the development of nuclear power—they lower interest rates and startup costs
Byron et al, 07
(Barbara Bryon, senior nuclear policy advisor at the Energy Commission, Lorraine White, program manager, and B. B. Blevins, Executive Director, “Nuclear Power in California: 2007 Status Report”, October, pdf) NL
Loan Guarantee Program Title …to yellow to red” (Energy Commission 2007f, p.281).
Loan guarantees solve the initial startup cost of developing nuclear plants
Adams, 08
(Theodore G Adams, Physicist at TG Adams and Associates, “Federal Loan Guarantees Key to Nuclear Plant Production”, June 9, http://www.redorbit.com/news/business/1424623/federal_loan_guarantees_key_to_nuclear_plant_construction/) NL
With America’s greenhouse-gas emissions …security and environmental well-being.
The federal government is key—insecurities about the creation of plants means the private sector won’t do the plan
Parker and Holt, 07
(Larry Parker and Mark Holt, specialists in energy policy for the Congressional Research Service, in “Nuclear Power: Outlook for New US Reactors”, a Congressional Research Service report for Congress, 3/9/07, pdf) NL
Because it is generally …contended in September 2006 testimony.25
