James Madison » Glomb-Kelaher Aff

Glomb-Kelaher Aff

Last modified by Alyssa Glomb on 2012/10/05 19:16

Nuclear Leadership
Advantage 1 is China

Absent the plan, China will surpass the US as the hegemon in Asia
Cullinane, 11
(Scott, graduate student at the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C, “America Falling Behind: The Strategic Dimensions of Chinese Commercial Nuclear Energy “, September 28, http://www.ensec.org/index.php?view=article&catid=118%3Acontent&id=319%3Aamerica-falling-behind-the-strategic-dimensions-of-chinese-commercial-nuclear-energy&tmpl=component&print=1&page=&option=com_content&Itemid=376) NL

The American nuclear industry  …..  the commercial nuclear energy trade. 

China’s rise challenges US regional hegemony which is key to preventing war in the region
Ward, 12
(Alex, Durham University, "Is the USA Still the Indispensible Power in East Asia?", March 23, www.e-ir.info/2012/03/23/is-the-usa-still-the-indispensible-power-in-east-asia/) NL
In November 2011, US Secretary of ….. culminated in the 2007-2008 breakthroughs.

US regional influence is key to East Asian stability and preventing Indo-Pak nuclear war
Goh, 08
Lecturer in International Relations in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the Univ of Oxford (Evelyn, International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, “Hierarchy and the role of the United States in the East Asian security order,” 2008 8(3):353-377, Oxford Journals Database, _) NL

The centrality of these mutual processes …….. would appear to be much worse.

Indo-Pak War causes extinction
ThaiIndian News, 08
ThaiIndian News 8 (ThaiIndian News, “India-Pakistan nuclear war would spell global calamity: study,” http://www.thaindian.com/newsportal/uncategorized/india-pakistan-nuclear-war-would-spell-global-calamity-study_10035636.html)
A brief nuclear war between ……, thus polluting the food chain.


Advantage 2 is Nuclear Weapons

Massive shortage of nuclear weapons workers now—guarantees that we can’t maintain our nuclear deterrent
Heritage 6/6
(Chris Gardner is a former writer for the Homeland Security NewsWire and freelance writer based in Washington, D.C. He is currently on staff at The Heritage Foundation.; June 6, 2012, http://jacecar.com/2012/06/deterioration-of-nuclear-infrastructure-undermines-u-s-security/)
Speaking to the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, D.C., last Wednesday, the head of U.S. Strategic Command, Air Force General ….. ’13 we don’t have a plan that closes.”

The plan spurs the civilian nuclear industry—that draws in people to nuclear jobs
NYT, 10
(Steve Lohr, New York Times, “the New Jobs in Atomic Energy”, April 21, 2010; http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/22/business/energy-environment/22TECH.html?pagewanted=all)
In the Bay City area of South …… survey by the Nuclear Energy Institute.

Civil and military nuclear jobs are interchangeable
Royal Society, 11
(The Royal Society, “Fuel cycle stewardship in a nuclear renaissance’; October 2011; “2http:royalsociety.org/uploadedFiles/Royal_Society_Content/policy/projects/nuclear-non-proliferation/FuelCycleStewardshipNuclearRenaissance.pdf)
Anticipation of a nuclear renaissance ……. nuclear disarmament (FCO 2009). 

Our nuclear deterrent prevents nuclear war—regional tensions escalate and people are significantly more trigger happy
Robinson, 01
Robinson, director of the Sandia National Laboratories, 2001 (Paul, “A White Paper: Pursuing a Nuclear Weapons Policy for the 21st Century”, http://www.mindfully.org/Nucs/Nuclear-Weapons-Policy-21stC.htm)
Additionally, throughout the Cold ….. maintain a stable and peaceful world.

The ability to combat proliferation has radically declined—only by rebuilding our nuclear infrastructure can we ensure our nonproliferation objectives succeed
Bengelsdorf et al, 07
(HAROLD BENGELSDORF, currently a Principal with the consulting firm of Bengelsdorf, McGoldrick, and Associates, held numerous senior positions in the U.S. government, including the Energy Department, the State Department, and the U.S. Mission to the IAEA, served as the director of both key State and Energy Department offices that are concerned with international nuclear and nonproliferation affairs, involved in the negotiation of numerous bilateral and multilateral nuclear and nonproliferation agreements, including the development of full-scope IAEA safeguards (INFCIRC/153) to implement the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) and FRED MCGOLDRICK, currently a Principal with the consulting firm of Bengelsdorf, McGoldrick, and Associates, previous U.S. State Department official, where he negotiated peaceful nuclear cooperation agreements with China, the European Atomic Energy Agency, Japan, South Africa, Switzerland, Argentina and Brazil, also served as Minister Counselor in the U.S. Mission to the IAEA and MICHAEL SCHWARTZ, a Principal with the Washington, D.C. based consulting firm of Energy Resources International, Inc., “The U.S. Domestic Civil Nuclear Infrastructure And U.S. Nonproliferation Policy”, a white paper presented by the American Council on Global Nuclear Power Competitiveness; May 2007, pdf) NL
Today due to its political, military and …… materials and equipment that the U.S. has supplied.

Prolif guarantees nuclear war—rivalries and tensions escalate to the point of no return
Sokolski, 09
(Henry, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, “Avoiding a Nuclear Crowd”, Hoover Institute, http://www.hoover.org/publications/policy-review/article/5534)
Combine these proliferation trends ….. critics, would ever want.


Advantage 3 is Economy

The economy is weak—it’s the slowest recovery from any recession in history—we must act now or it will collapse
Glassman, 7/31
(James K, founding executive director of the George W. Bush Institute, host and moderater of “Ideas in Action,” a weekly television series on public policy issues, publisher of the New Republic magazine, executive vice president of U.S. News & World Report, and editor and co-owner of Roll Call, the Congressional newspaper, Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs under President George W. Bush, written three books on investing, 7/31, http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamesglassman/2012/07/31/lets-be-clear-the-u-s-economy-is-just-awful/) NL

This is the worst recovery from a ……, but it is also a practical goal.

Nuclear Energy Solves—

A) Jobs New Nuclear Power Plants Create up to 500,000 jobs
Weaver, 09
(Lynn Edward, Lynn Edward Weaver is President Emeritus of Florida Institute of Technology, http://www.theledger.com/article/20090128/COLUMNISTS/901280304?p=2&tc=pg)
Is there any doubt that …… role in meeting our energy needs.

Job growth key to the economy
AP, 11
(AP, 9-2, 11, http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Employers-add-no-net-jobs-in-apf-4252098583.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode= DOA: 9/2/11)
Analysts say the economy ….. Global. "Something has to give."

B) Cost stability—nuclear prices don’t fluctuate greatly and is reliable
Whitman, 07
(Christine Todd, former governor of New Jersey, was administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency from 2001 to 2003, “The Case in Favor of Nuclear Power”, 9/12, http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20730356) NL

Enter nuclear energy. Nuclear ….. operating today were licensed.

Low, stable prices are key to the economy
EEI, 08
(Edison Electric Institute, “Electricity and the U.S. Economy”; http://www.getenergyactive.org/value/economy.htm)
The U.S. economy is highly ….., and the relatively stable price of electricity.

Economic decline leads to miscalc and war
Royal, 10
Royal, Director of cooperative threat reduction, ‘10
[Jedediah, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction – U.S. Department of Defense, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises”, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, Ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215]

Less intuitive is how periods of ….. debate and deserves more attention. 

Plantext

Plan: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase the available funding for the nuclear loan guarantee program.

Solvency

Loan guarantees spur the development of nuclear power—

A) They lower interest rates and startup costs
Byron et al, 07
(Barbara Bryon, senior nuclear policy advisor at the Energy Commission, Lorraine White, program manager, and B. B. Blevins, Executive Director, “Nuclear Power in California: 2007 Status Report”, October, pdf) NL

Loan Guarantee Program …. turn to yellow to red” (Energy Commission 2007f, p.281). 

B) They lower the average cost of running the plant
NEI, 09
(The Nuclear Energy Initiative, “Policies that Support New Nuclear Power Plant Development”, October 2009, pdf) NL
Loan Guarantee Program ….. energy supply and reducing emissions.

The only problem now with the program is the lack of money—the plan ensures that loan guarantees are sufficient
Ben-Moshe et al, 09
(Sony Ben-Moshe, Finance Department of the San Diego office of Latham & Watkins, an alternative energy consultant firm, Jason J Crowell, research associate, Kelley Michael Gale, Finance Department Chair of Latham & Watkins‘ San Diego office and serves as global Co-Chair for the firm‘s Climate Change and Cleantech Practice Groups, Breton A. Peace, PHd from the University of Michigan, Brett P Rosenblatt, Managing Partner of the San Diego office and ex-head of the San Diego office's Finance Department, and Kelly D. Thomason, attorney in the Project Finance Practice Group in the San Diego office of Latham & Watkins LLP, “Financing The Nuclear Renaissance: The Benefits and Potential Pitfalls of Federal and State Government Subsidies and The Future of Nuclear Power in California”, In the Energy Law Journal, Volume 30 Number 2, 2009, pdf) NL
The size of the loan guarantee ….. who do not receive loan guarantees.106

The federal government is key—insecurities about the creation of plants means the private sector won’t do the plan
Parker and Holt, 07
(Larry Parker and Mark Holt, specialists in energy policy for the Congressional Research Service, in “Nuclear Power: Outlook for New US Reactors”, a Congressional Research Service report for Congress, 3/9/07, pdf) NL
Because it is generally believed ….. contended in September 2006 testimony.25

Federal loan guarantees are key to plant production in deregulated states
Frye, 08
(Roland M Frye Jr, Mr. Frye has practiced in the field of federal energy regulation for thirty-one years, in both the public and private sectors, and has served for the last sixteen years as the Senior Attorney in the Office of Commission Appellate Adjudication of the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), “The Current ‘Nuclear Renaissance in the United States, its underlying reasons and its potential pitfalls”, Energy Law Journal Volume 29 No 2, 2008, pdf) NL
By contrast, power generators in …… guarantees of income flow for longer periods than that.

Other nations will vamp up their nuclear programs—it’s just a question of whether we do or not
Teslik, 07
(Lee Hudson, senior editor at Roubini Global Economics. He formerly worked as associate editor and economics writer for the website of the Council on Foreign Relations, “Fission for Answers”, April 19, http://www.cfr.org/asia/fission-answers/p13124) NL
While ethanol captures the imagination ….. going for nuclear programs.”

 

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Created by Jacob Bosley on 2012/10/03 16:10

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