Tournament: UCO | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

1AC – Inh

Last month, the Obama administration arbitrarily blocked Chinese ownership of renewable energy companies. This restriction on energy production deters investment and damages US-China relations.

Xinhua 9/30/12 The alarm bell of US protectionism rings loud - China.org.cn http://www.china.org.cn/business/2012-09/30/content_26681566.htm
A recent decision by U.S. President Barack Obama to block a Chinese
AND
a disturbing message to other foreign investors, no less the Chinese ones.

And, the rejection is a protectionist weapon that sets a precedent against foreign investment in energy.

Wall Street Journal 10-15 2012: 13. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Wind Farm; Did Obama abuse a security process to kill a Chinese investment for political reasons? Proquest

Enter the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, or Cfius. Since
AND
evidence to market its products to Pacific-Northwest wind-farm operators. 

Adv 1 - Economy

====Obama’s rejection of Chinese wind development signals protectionism and discourages foreign investment in American energy.====

Nick Juliano and John McArdle, 10/2/12 E%26E reporters  Obama’s blocking of wind farm adds to U.S.-China tension
Posted: Tuesday, October 2, 2012 http://www.governorswindenergycoalition.org/?p=3480-http://www.governorswindenergycoalition.org/?p=3480

The Treasury Department said last week that blocking the Oregan project was done to protect
AND
economy still struggling to create jobs, that’s the wrong signal to send."

And, now is critical - the brink for an all-out trade war is now .

Julie Crawshaw 8/23/12 Stephen Roach: Disastrous Trade War With China Looms Thursday, 23 Aug 2012 08:59 AM Read more: Stephen Roach: Disastrous Trade War With China Looms http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/Roach-China-trade-war/2012/08/23/id/449486

Stephen Roach, former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia and current Yale professor, warns
AND
the Great Crisis, there is no shortage of itchy fingers in Washington."

In particular, the restriction on Chinese investment will spillover – makes conflict inevitable.

Daniel J. Graeber 10/1/12 Oilprice.com Energy New Front in Economic Warfare http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Energy-New-Front-in-Economic-Warfare.html

Opposition leaders in Canada suggested a string of cyber security threats to domestic companies might
AND
becomes the norm, so too may a different kind of global warfare.

====The impact is war with China - Trade wars escalate – collapsing the global economy, creating widespread protectionism and becoming a shooting war.====

Wang and Li 11 (Jianhua and Yunlu—Xinhua news agency, citing Ni Feng, Vice President of the Institute of American Studies underthe Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Zhao Jinping, vice director of the Foreign Economic Department of the Development Research Center (DRC) of the State Council "China-US trade war no good for anyone", October 13, 2011. http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90780/7616581.html 

A trade war between the United States and China, each of which is the
AND
and will even lead to political and military confrontations in some sensitive regions. 

US-China trade conflict guts relations and is the most likely scenario for military escalation.

Landy 2007 (Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, April 3, 2007, google)
The greatest threat for the 21st century is that these economic flare-ups between
AND
– far more than increases in military budgets and anti-satellite tests.

The time is ripe for miscalculation in Beijing and Washington

Kent Ewing 10/26/12 "Chinese bogeyman resurfaces in US" Hong Kong-based teacher and writer. http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/NJ26Ad01.html-http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/NJ26Ad01.html

HONG KONG - Are wind farms in the US state of Oregon part of a secret Chinese plot to take over America? Are other Chinese machinations - currency manipulation, intellectual-property theft and the dumping of cheap goods on US shores - also key components of this dastardly scheme? 

As a threat both internal and external, China - largely ignored in the 2008 US presidential campaign in which, embracing themes of hope and change, then-senator Barack Obama, a Democrat, defeated Republican rival John McCain - has returned to the political stage in 2012 in what has become its customary role as scapegoat for America’s diminished status in world affairs. 

The November 6 US election comes just two days before the Chinese Communist Party convenes its 18th National Congress in Beijing to determine a once-a-decade leadership change. A new CCP general secretary and elite Politburo Standing Committee will be selected at this congress, and no doubt the China-bashing US presidential campaign will be a hot topic of discussion behind closed doors. 

Indeed, the time is ripe for dangerous misunderstanding and miscalculation in both Beijing and Washington. 

It was Obama’s Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, who got the anti-China
AND
foreign policy, took place on Monday night in Boca Raton, Florida. 

Again, on Monday, Romney pledged to get tough on China (not to mention Syria, Iran and any other nation that dared not to bend to Washington’s will) and to restore America’s exalted place in the world. The implication, of course, is that Obama has let Beijing have its way over the past four years at great economic and diplomatic cost to the US. 

After a flat performance in the first debate between the two candidates, held on October 3, the president has come back aggressively, boasting on Monday night of trade complaints against China that his administration has filed with the World Trade Organization (WTO) and of tariffs imposed on imported Chinese tires that saved more that 1,000 jobs, many of them in the state of Ohio, a so-called swing state key to the president’s re-election. 

During the second debate, by far the feistiest of the three, Obama accused Romney of hypocrisy on China, charging that the former Massachusetts governor, a multimillionaire businessman, is himself heavily invested in Chinese companies that build surveillance equipment allowing the authoritarian government in Beijing to spy on its own citizens. 

Rounding on his opponent, Obama said: "Governor, you’re the last person who’s going to get tough on China." 

Beyond dragging Beijing before the WTO and slapping punitive duties on Chinese imports, the Obama team likes to point out that the president has also blocked the purchase of wind farms in Oregon by a Chinese company, Ralls Corp, claiming the sale would threaten national security. The specific reason given: The farms are too close for comfort to a US naval facility whose defenses could be compromised. By wind farms? 

That’s how silly things have become. Romney may have started the cheap theatrics by
AND
president as justification to block a Chinese company from investing in the country. 

Conflict with China will escalate to global nuclear war

Lee Hunkovic (Professor of Political Science at the American Military University) 2009 "The Chinese-Taiwanese Conflict: Possible Futures of a Confrontation between China, Taiwan and the United States of America", http://www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/ Hunkovic.pdf-http://www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/Hunkovic.pdf)
A war between China, Taiwan and the United States has the potential to escalate
AND
outcome, therefore, other countries will not be considered in this study.

And, Economic decline causes nuclear war

Burrows and Harris ’09 (Mathew J. Burrows, counselor in the National Intelligence Council, PhD in European History from Cambridge University, and Jennifer Harris, a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit, April 2009 "Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis" http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_Burrows.pdf)

Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is
AND
within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world.
more liberal laws.5

Further, rejection of foreign investment in this case sets a terrible precedent and creates widespread protectionism.

Georgiev, 2008 George Stephanov The Reformed Cfius Regulatory Framework: Mediating Between Continued Openness to Foreign Investment and National Security Yale Journal on Regulation › Vol. 25 Nbr. 1, January 2008

The regulatory regime that governs the national security review of foreign acquisitions of U.
AND
away from the U.S. economy through more liberal laws.5

And, protectionism spirals out of control and causes nuclear war

Panzner 8 – faculty at the New York Institute of Finance, 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets who has worked in New York and London for HSBC, Soros Funds, ABN Amro, Dresdner Bank, and JPMorgan Chase (Michael, "Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse," p. 136-138)

Continuing calls for curbs on the flow of finance and trade will inspire the United
AND
between Muslims and Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.

Adv 2 - Relations

The restriction on Chinese development singles out China and destroys relations.

Edward Alden 10/2/12 Council on Foreign Relations The Changing Politics of Chinese Trade and Investment http://blogs.cfr.org/renewing-america/2012/10/02/the-changing-politics-of-chinese-trade-and-investment/-http://blogs.cfr.org/renewing-america/2012/10/02/the-changing-politics-of-chinese-trade-and-investment/

On the same day last week that President Obama was issuing an order blocking a
AND
getting harder – is to figure out whether both can be done simultaneously.

The ban is atypical – none of the usual concerns were brought up.

Baker Botts LLP 10/1/12 "Update 2012 10 Intl Trade-President Obama Blocks Chinese-Owned Wind-Farm Development 2"  http://www.bakerbotts.com/file_upload/Update201210IntlTrade-PresidentObamaBlocksChinese-OwnedWind-FarmDevelopment2.htm-http://www.bakerbotts.com/file_upload/Update201210IntlTrade-PresidentObamaBlocksChinese-OwnedWind-FarmDevelopment2.htm

The U.S. Government maintains that the CFIUS process does not single out
AND
because they may be classified or otherwise difficult for an outsider to discern.

And, the restriction irritates already fragile China-US tensions.

CS Monitor 10/3/12 Obama blocks Chinese wind farm ownership in Oregon 

The decision marks the first time in more than 22 years that an American president
AND
Treasury Department statement attempted to play down the political gravity of the decision.

Restricting energy development on the basis that foreign investment is a threat to national security sends the signal that the US energy market is off limits and stifles US-China energy cooperation

Claudia Mahn 10/1/12 Global Insight October 1, 2012 President Obama blocks Chinese wind farm ambitions Lexis

However, in a statement on Friday, the Department of Treasury said the president’s
AND
terminals currently under regulatory review (seeUnited States: 22 August 2012 .

Cooperation on energy spills over and solves broader US-China relations

Cronin 8/27 (2012, Dr. Patrick M. Cronin is Senior Advisor and Senior Director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security in Washington, D.C.  He is also the editor and co-author of Cooperation from Strength: The United States, China and the South China, "Averting Conflict in the South China Sea," http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/averting-conflict-in-the-south-china-sea/)  Geostrategic and globalization interests will both persist, forcing an uncomfortable mixture of competition and cooperation.

Cooperative schemes have foundered on distrust, and can be viewed cynically as seeking to
AND
the South China Sea will only be harnessed when there is such cooperation. 

And, Cooperative Clean-energy investment between the US %26 China is critical to green-tech diffusion and solving climate change.

Lin 11 ~~Justin Yifu Lin, Former World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice President, "China, the US and clean energy cooperation," Jan 21 2011, http://blogs.worldbank.org/developmenttalk/china-the-us-and-clean-energy-cooperation~~~~~~
Second, there are also major long-term global benefits from clean energy cooperation
AND
planet’s resources and safeguard future generations from the damaging effects of climate change.

Only US-China cooperation and investment solves.

Woetzel 9 ~~Dr. Jonathan Woetzel, Ph.D. in political science from USC, Director in McKinsey %26 Company’s Greater China Office, August 2009, "China and the US: The potential of a clean-tech partnership,"  http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/China_and_the_US_The_potential_of_a_clean-tech_partnership_2419~~~~~~

China and the United States, the world’s dominant producers of carbon emissions, have
AND
all of these technologies, they cannot achieve separately what they could jointly.

And, unchecked global warming results in human extinction.

Ahmed 2010 (Nafeez Ahmed, Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research and Development, professor of International Relations and globalization at Brunel University and the University of Sussex, Spring/Summer 2010, "Globalizing Insecurity: The Convergence of Interdependent Ecological, Energy, and Economic Crises," Spotlight on Security, Volume 5, Issue 2, online)
Perhaps the most notorious indicator is anthropogenic global warmings warming. The landmark 2007 Fourth
AND
– a situation endangering the survival of all life on earth.~xi~

No adaption to worst case – the impact is extinction

Tickell 8 (Oliver, Environmental Researcher, The Guardian, August 11, http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/climatechange-http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/climatechange, JMB, accessed 6-23-11)
We need to get prepared for four degrees of global warming, Bob Watson told
AND
the warming caused by human emissions could propel us towards a similar hothouse Earth

Scientific consensus on anthropogenic warming

Anderegg et al 10 ~William, Professor of Biology at Stanford University; James W. Prall, Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Toronto; Jacob Harold, William and Flora Hewlett Foundation; Stephen H. Schneider, Professor of Biology at Stanford University, Senior Fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment, "Expert credibility in climate change," 5-9, PNAS, vol 107, no 27, http://www.pnas.org/content/107/27/12107.full.pdf+html~~
Preliminary reviews of scientific literature and surveys of climate scientists indicate striking agreement with the
AND
discussions in media, policy, and public forums regarding anthropogenic climate change.

Solvency

Plan

The United States federal government should limit the review of foreign investment in wind power by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States to cases in which national security, not economic competition is a factor.

Reversal of the CFIUS decision on wind energy is critical to send a signal that the US is open to investment.

Vigdor, Elwood %26 Marwell 10/22/12 Billy Vigdor and John Elwood are partners, and Jeremy Marwell is an associate at Vinson %26 Elkins’ Washington, D.C., office. "Blocking Ore. Wind Farms: Overstepping Authority?" http://www.velaw.com/uploadedFiles/VEsite/Resources/BlockingOreWindFarmsOversteppingAuthority.pdf
CFIUS practitioners and the business community should watch this case closely. The plaintiffs will
AND
for interested parties to express their views through amicus filings with the court.

Only a narrow wind-energy specific Limit to national security solves, the plan creates clarity and predictability.

David Marchick 2008 Sovereign Wealth Funds And National Security OECD/City of London ConferenceMarch 31, 2008 www.oecd.org/investment/investmentpolicy/40395077.pdf
How Should National Security Review Mechanisms be Structured? ➢ Narrowly tailored ▪ The investment
AND
requiring investment reviews, the lists should be drafted as narrowly as possible. 

The broad interpretation of national security fails – creates economic uncertainty, protectionism and hampers US foreign policy goals.

Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (Jamie FF, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT’S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int’l L. Rev. 167)

The broad and vague interpretation of national security by the CFIUS creates four distinct problems
AND
foreign policy goals, just when such cooperation is essential to global peace.

Only explicitly removing economic competition from the scope of investment review solves.

David M. Marchick %26 Matthew J. Slaughter 2008 The Bernard and Irene Schwartz Series on American Competitiveness Global FDI Policy Correcting a Protectionist Drift CSR NO. 34, JUNE 2008 COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS

Principle 1: The investment review law should be narrowly tailored and focused on national
AND
investment in transactions that do not raise national security or other governmental interests.

Only the plan solves – courts can’t review the decision and only limiting the scope of review for CFIUS solves.

Stan Abrams 10/1/12 Beijing-based IP/IT lawyer and law professor. Obama Shoots Down Ralls Deal. What Happens Next? http://www.chinahearsay.com/obama-shoots-down-ralls-deal-what-happens-next/

So what happens next? If Ralls goes ahead with a lawsuit, it will
AND
deals, such as Nexen, will be somehow influenced by this case.

Tournament: Wake | Round: 1 | Opponent:  | Judge: 

No Impact – Obama has tools to delay the impacts if sequestration occurs

OMB Watch 11-6 (White House and Federal Agencies Could Manage Effects of Automatic Spending Cuts in Early 2013, http://www.ombwatch.org/node/12266)

If sequestration occurred and lasted for the rest of the year, it could trigger

AND

advance-funded education programs will not be affected by sequestration until July.

Impact is not that bad – wouldn’t completely destroy our economy

Trumbull 11-10 (Mark, CSM, Can we live with the budget 'sequester'? Yes, but it's better if we don't., http://axcessnews.com/index.php/articles/show/id/23116)

Back to the cuts: The 2011 law calls for cuts equaling about $100

AND

and $100 billion represents 0.6 percent of a year's GDP.

– No Link – President Insulated from the CFIUS

Jon D. Michaels 2011 Acting Professor, UCLA School of Law Virginia Law Review Vol. 97:4 THE (WILLINGLY) FETTERED EXECUTIVE: PRESIDENTIAL SPINOFFS IN NATIONAL SECURITY DOMAINS AND BEYOND

Having suggested that a buffer appears to exist, insulating¶ CFIUS from the President

AND

and concerns about presidential predilections¶ supplanting reasoned decision making correspondingly rise.276

Wind has bipartisan support

MAX JULY 6, 2012 JOHN MAX writer for Hydrogen fuel News “Wind energy finds bipartisan support in U.S. politics” http://www.hydrogenfuelnews.com/wind-energy-finds-bipartisan-support-in-u-s-politics/854634/

Policy proves to have universal appeal

¶ Thus far, the PTC policy and wind energy have garnered bipartisan support from

AND

the policy has managed to attain support from those with varied political backgrounds.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge: 

1AC – Inh

Last month, the Obama administration arbitrarily blocked Chinese ownership of renewable energy companies. This restriction on energy production deters investment and damages US-China relations.

Xinhua 9/30/12 The alarm bell of US protectionism rings loud - China.org.cn http://www.china.org.cn/business/2012-09/30/content_26681566.htm

A recent decision by U.S. President Barack Obama to block a Chinese

AND

a disturbing message to other foreign investors, no less the Chinese ones.

And, the rejection is a protectionist weapon that sets a precedent against foreign investment in energy.

Wall Street Journal 10-15 2012: 13. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Wind Farm; Did Obama abuse a security process to kill a Chinese investment for political reasons? Proquest

Enter the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, or Cfius. Since

AND

evidence to market its products to Pacific-Northwest wind-farm operators.

Adv 1 - Economy

Obama’s rejection of Chinese wind development signals protectionism and discourages foreign investment in American energy.

Nick Juliano and John McArdle, 10/2/12 EandE reporters  Obama’s blocking of wind farm adds to U.S.-China tension

Posted: Tuesday, October 2, 2012 http:~/~/www.governorswindenergycoalition.org/?p=3480url:http://www.governorswindenergycoalition.org/?p=3480

The Treasury Department said last week that blocking the Oregan project was done to protect

AND

economy still struggling to create jobs, that’s the wrong signal to send.”

And, now is critical - the brink for an all-out trade war is now .

Julie Crawshaw 8/23/12 Stephen Roach: Disastrous Trade War With China Looms Thursday, 23 Aug 2012 08:59 AM Read more: Stephen Roach: Disastrous Trade War With China Looms http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/Roach-China-trade-war/2012/08/23/id/449486

Stephen Roach, former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia and current Yale professor, warns

AND

the Great Crisis, there is no shortage of itchy fingers in Washington.”

In particular, the restriction on Chinese investment will spillover – makes conflict inevitable.

Daniel J. Graeber 10/1/12 Oilprice.com Energy New Front in Economic Warfare http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Energy-New-Front-in-Economic-Warfare.html

Opposition leaders in Canada suggested a string of cyber security threats to domestic companies might

AND

becomes the norm, so too may a different kind of global warfare.

The impact is war with China - Trade wars escalate – collapsing the global economy, creating widespread protectionism and becoming a shooting war.

Wang and Li 11 (Jianhua and Yunlu—Xinhua news agency, citing Ni Feng, Vice President of the Institute of American Studies underthe Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Zhao Jinping, vice director of the Foreign Economic Department of the Development Research Center (DRC) of the State Council "China-US trade war no good for anyone", October 13, 2011. http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90780/7616581.html

A trade war between the United States and China, each of which is the

AND

and will even lead to political and military confrontations in some sensitive regions.

US-China trade conflict guts relations and is the most likely scenario for military escalation.

Landy 2007 (Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, April 3, 2007, google)

The greatest threat for the 21st century is that these economic flare-ups between

AND

– far more than increases in military budgets and anti-satellite tests.

The time is ripe for miscalculation in Beijing and Washington

Kent Ewing 10/26/12 “Chinese bogey--man-- resurfaces in US“ Hong Kong-based teacher and writer. http:~/~/www.atimes.com/atimes/China/html

HONG KONG - Are wind farms in the US state of Oregon part of a secret Chinese plot to take over America? Are other Chinese machinations - currency manipulation, intellectual-property theft and the dumping of cheap goods on US shores - also key components of this dastardly scheme?

¶ As a threat both internal and external, China - largely ignored in the

AND

president as justification to block a Chinese company from investing in the country.

Conflict with China will escalate to global nuclear war

Lee Hunkovic (Professor of Political Science at the American Military University) 2009 “The Chinese-Taiwanese Conflict: Possible Futures of a Confrontation between China, Taiwan and the United States of America”, http:~/~/www.lamp-method.org/eCommons/ pdf(% style="font-size:8.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt" %))

A war between China, Taiwan and the United States has the potential to escalate

AND

outcome, therefore, other countries will not be considered in this study.

And, Economic decline causes nuclear war

Burrows and Harris ‘09 (Mathew J. Burrows, counselor in the National Intelligence Council, PhD in European History from Cambridge University, and Jennifer Harris, a member of the NIC’s Long Range Analysis Unit, April 2009 “Revisiting the Future: Geopolitical Effects of the Financial Crisis” http://www.twq.com/09april/docs/09apr_Burrows.pdf)

Of course, the report encompasses more than economics and indeed believes the future is

AND

within and between states in a more dog-eat-dog world.

more liberal laws.5

Further, rejection of foreign investment in this case sets a terrible precedent and creates widespread protectionism.

Georgiev, 2008 George Stephanov The Reformed Cfius Regulatory Framework: Mediating Between Continued Openness to Foreign Investment and National Security Yale Journal on Regulation › Vol. 25 Nbr. 1, January 2008

The regulatory regime that governs the national security review of foreign acquisitions of U.

AND

away from the U.S. economy through more liberal laws.5

And, protectionism spirals out of control and causes nuclear war

Panzner 8 – faculty at the New York Institute of Finance, 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets who has worked in New York and London for HSBC, Soros Funds, ABN Amro, Dresdner Bank, and JPMorgan Chase (Michael, “Financial Armageddon: Protect Your Future from Economic Collapse,” p. 136-138)

Continuing calls for curbs on the flow of finance and trade will inspire the United

AND

between Muslims and Western societies as the beginnings of a new world war.

Adv 2 - Relations

The restriction on Chinese development singles out China and destroys relations.

Edward Alden 10/2/12 Council on Foreign Relations The Changing Politics of Chinese Trade and Investment http:~/~/blogs.cfr.org/renewing-america/2012/10/02/the-changing-politics-of-chinese-trade-and-investment/http://blogs.cfr.org/renewing-america/2012/10/02/the-changing-politics-of-chinese-trade-and-investment/

On the same day last week that President Obama was issuing an order blocking a

AND

getting harder – is to figure out whether both can be done simultaneously.

The ban is atypical – none of the usual concerns were brought up.

Baker Botts LLP 10/1/12 “Update 2012 10 Intl Trade-President Obama Blocks Chinese-Owned Wind-Farm Development 2“  http:~/~/www.bakerbotts.com/file_upload/htm

The U.S. Government maintains that the CFIUS process does not single out

AND

because they may be classified or otherwise difficult for an outsider to discern.

And, the restriction irritates already fragile China-US tensions.

CS Monitor 10/3/12 Obama blocks Chinese wind farm ownership in Oregon

The decision marks the first time in more than 22 years that an American president

AND

Treasury Department statement attempted to play down the political gravity of the decision.

Restricting energy development on the basis that foreign investment is a threat to national security sends the signal that the US energy market is off limits and stifles US-China energy cooperation

Claudia Mahn 10/1/12 Global Insight October 1, 2012 President Obama blocks Chinese wind farm ambitions Lexis

However, in a statement on Friday, the Department of Treasury said the president's

AND

terminals currently under regulatory review (seeUnited States: 22 August 2012 .

Cooperation on energy spills over and solves broader US-China relations

Cronin 8/27 (2012, Dr. Patrick M. Cronin is Senior Advisor and Senior Director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security in Washington, D.C.  He is also the editor and co-author of Cooperation from Strength: The United States, China and the South China, “Averting Conflict in the South China Sea,” http://www.chinausfocus.com/foreign-policy/averting-conflict-in-the-south-china-sea/)  Geostrategic and globalization interests will both persist, forcing an uncomfortable mixture of competition and cooperation.

Cooperative schemes have foundered on distrust, and can be viewed cynically as seeking to

AND

the South China Sea will only be harnessed when there is such cooperation.

And, Cooperative Clean-energy investment between the US and China is critical to green-tech diffusion and solving climate change.

Lin 11 ~Justin Yifu Lin, Former World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice President, "China, the US and clean energy cooperation," Jan 21 2011, http://blogs.worldbank.org/developmenttalk/china-the-us-and-clean-energy-cooperation~~

Second, there are also major long-term global benefits from clean energy cooperation

AND

planet’s resources and safeguard future generations from the damaging effects of climate change.

Only US-China cooperation and investment solves.

Woetzel 9 ~Dr. Jonathan Woetzel, Ph.D. in political science from USC, Director in McKinsey %26 Company’s Greater China Office, August 2009, "China and the US: The potential of a clean-tech partnership,"  http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/China_and_the_US_The_potential_of_a_clean-tech_partnership_2419~~

China and the United States, the world’s dominant producers of carbon emissions, have

AND

all of these technologies, they cannot achieve separately what they could jointly.

And, unchecked global warming results in human extinction.

Ahmed 2010 (Nafeez Ahmed, Executive Director of the Institute for Policy Research and Development, professor of International Relations and globalization at Brunel University and the University of Sussex, Spring/Summer 2010, “Globalizing Insecurity: The Convergence of Interdependent Ecological, Energy, and Economic Crises,” Spotlight on Security, Volume 5, Issue 2, online)

Perhaps the most notorious indicator is anthropogenic global warmings warming. The landmark 2007 Fourth

AND

– a situation endangering the survival of all life on earth.xi

No adaption to worst case – the impact is extinction

Tickell 8 (Oliver, Environmental Researcher, The Guardian, August 11, http:~/~/www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/11/climatechange(%%), JMB, accessed 6-23-11)

We need to get prepared for four degrees of global warming, Bob Watson told

AND

the warming caused by human emissions could propel us towards a similar hothouse Earth

Scientific consensus on anthropogenic warming

Anderegg et al 10 William, Professor of Biology at Stanford University; James W. Prall, Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Toronto; Jacob Harold, William and Flora Hewlett Foundation; Stephen H. Schneider, Professor of Biology at Stanford University, Senior Fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment, "Expert credibility in climate change," 5-9, PNAS, vol 107, no 27, http://www.pnas.org/content/107/27/12107.full.pdf+html

Preliminary reviews of scientific literature and surveys of climate scientists indicate striking agreement with the

AND

discussions in media, policy, and public forums regarding anthropogenic climate change.

Solvency

Plan

The United States federal government should limit the review of foreign investment in wind power by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States to cases in which national security, not economic competition is a factor.

Reversal of the CFIUS decision on wind energy is critical to send a signal that the US is open to investment.

Vigdor, Elwood and Marwell 10/22/12 Billy Vigdor and John Elwood are partners, and Jeremy Marwell is an associate at Vinson and Elkins' Washington, D.C., office. “Blocking Ore. Wind Farms: Overstepping Authority?” http://www.velaw.com/uploadedFiles/VEsite/Resources/BlockingOreWindFarmsOversteppingAuthority.pdf

CFIUS practitioners and the business community should watch this case closely. The plaintiffs will

AND

for interested parties to express their views through amicus filings with the court.

Only a narrow wind-energy specific Limit to national security solves, the plan creates clarity and predictability.

David Marchick 2008 Sovereign Wealth Funds And National Security OECD/City of London ConferenceMarch 31, 2008 www.oecd.org/investment/investmentpolicy/40395077.pdf

How Should National Security Review Mechanisms be Structured? ➢ Narrowly tailored ▪ The investment

AND

requiring investment reviews, the lists should be drafted as narrowly as possible.

The broad interpretation of national security fails – creates economic uncertainty, protectionism and hampers US foreign policy goals.

Carroll-Emory International Law Review-09 (Jamie FF, COMMENT: BACK TO THE FUTURE: REDEFINING THE FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND NATIONAL SECURITY ACT'S CONCEPTION OF NATIONAL SECURITY, 23 Emory Int'l L. Rev. 167)

The broad and vague interpretation of national security by the CFIUS creates four distinct problems

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foreign policy goals, just when such cooperation is essential to global peace.

Only explicitly removing economic competition from the scope of investment review solves.

David M. Marchick and Matthew J. Slaughter 2008 The Bernard and Irene Schwartz Series on American Competitiveness Global FDI Policy Correcting a Protectionist Drift CSR NO. 34, JUNE 2008 COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS

Principle 1: The investment review law should be narrowly tailored and focused on national

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investment in transactions that do not raise national security or other governmental interests.

Only the plan solves – courts can’t review the decision and only limiting the scope of review for CFIUS solves.

Stan Abrams 10/1/12 Beijing-based IP/IT lawyer and law professor. Obama Shoots Down Ralls Deal. What Happens Next? http://www.chinahearsay.com/obama-shoots-down-ralls-deal-what-happens-next/

So what happens next? If Ralls goes ahead with a lawsuit, it will

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deals, such as Nexen, will be somehow influenced by this case.

Tournament:  | Round:  | Opponent:  | Judge:
Case Outweighs – Global Warming is a more important impact than _. Because everyone dies. Extinction is like a diamond it’s forever.
Protectionism Outweighs – Avoiding a trade war with China is the most important thing to prevent a collapse of the economy.
Wind energy policy will cause controversy in the lame duck now – no link uniqueness.

Laura DiMugno 11/8/2012 “Does The Wind Energy PTC Stand A Chance In Lame-Duck Congress?” http://www.nawindpower.com/naw/e107_plugins/content/content.php?content.10660
According to Bode, a PTC extension has a solid chance of passing in the
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energy development in the U.S., including a clean energy standard.

No fiscal cliff compromise will ever pass – even if it’s acceptable to GOP leadership, they can’t corral the necessary votes from their caucus – this is empirically proves by the farm bill

Pergram 11/10/12 (Chad, http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2012/11/10/political-ice-caps)
The line was buried deep in the16th paragraph of a missive dashed off from the
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Republican leadership has never conjured up the votes to okay a farm bill.

No link - The president is insulated from blame because of CFIUS’ structure – Zero – link.

Jon D. Michaels 2011 Acting Professor, UCLA School of Law Virginia Law Review Vol. 97:4 THE (WILLINGLY) FETTERED EXECUTIVE: PRESIDENTIAL SPINOFFS IN NATIONAL SECURITY DOMAINS AND BEYOND

Up until now, I have addressed the way in which the President voluntarily forgoes
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turned out, CFIUS bore the brunt of the ensuing political backlash.325

Controversy over Chinese Wind Investment is inevitable. China is going to fight the decision to the end – will take it to the Supreme Court. Hearing later this month should trigger the link.

Hindustan Times 11/10/12 “Will 'fight to the end' to sue Obama: Chinese firm”
http://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/China/Will-fight-to-the-end-to-sue-Obama-Chinese-firm/Article1-957846.aspx

Will 'fight to the end' to sue Obama: Chinese firm A Chinese firm on
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National Congress of the Communist Party of China, which opened on Thursday.

Link Turn - The plan is popular because it creates jobs – there will not be a “global recession”.
Fagan 6-14-12 (David, Partner, Covington and Burling LLP, “Hearing on “The Evolving U.S.-China Trade and Investment Relationship”Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2012hearings/written_testimonies/12_6_14/Fagan.pdf)

FDI has received long-standing, bi-partisan policy backing: every Administration
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of total U.S. private RandD ¶ investment.¶ 2

China hires lobbyists to quell opposition - even those that don’t like Chinese investment won’t necessarily push to block deals.

Financial Post 7-27- 12 (CNOOC’s bid for Nexen raises political hackles in Washington, http://business.financialpost.com/2012/07/27/cnoocs-bid-for-nexen-raises-political-hackles-in-washington/)

CNOOC and Nexen said in a July 24 filing with the U.S.
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they stopped short of saying that the U.S. government should intervene
No spillover - Obama arm twisting doesn’t move the Senate. Once the agenda is set, it doesn’t matter what he does

Matthew Dickinson, Professor of political science at Middlebury College. He taught previously at Harvard University, where he also received his Ph.D., working under the supervision of presidential scholar Richard Neustadt, 5/29/2009, “Sotomayor, Obama and Presidential Power” http://blogs.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2009/05/26/sotamayor-obama-and-presidential-power/

Despite the much publicized and celebrated instances of presidential arm-twisting during the legislative
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has already occurred, in the decision to present Sotomayor as his nominee.

No Link uniqueness - contentious energy policy will happen in the lame duck.
EPIC 11/7/12 The Energy Policy Information Center (EPIC) provides reliable, topical news and analysis for policymakers, opinion leaders, stakeholders, and all individuals involved in our nation's energy policy debate. http://energypolicyinfo.com/2012/11/post-election-energy-policy/

With the results of the presidential and congressional elections resolved, now is the time
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November 13th deadline imposed when Arkansas Governor Mike Beebe filed the waiver request.