| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
Obama will win – key states
LOBE 9 – 8 – 12 Washington Bureau Chief of the international news agency Inter Press Service (IPS), JD Berkeley Jim Lobe, U.S.: Advantage Obama As Election Begins in Earnest, http://www.ipsnews.net/2012/09/u-s-advantage-obama-as-election-begins-in-earnest/
Despite persistent high levels of … was widely criticised, even by fellow-Republicans. Plan hurts obamas environmental lobby
Mick 10 6-19-10 Jason Daily Tech, Obama Fights For Nuclear, Environmentalists Label Him a Shill http://www.dailytech.com/Obama+Fights+For+Nuclear+Environmentalists+Label+Him+a+Shill/article18781.htm
Despite these small victories, President …. Obama's presidency noteworthy. That will swing the election
Huffington Post 6/11/2012 Eli Lehrer, President, R Street How Mitt Romney Can Win the Environmental Vote http://www.huffingtonpost.com/eli-lehrer/post_3484_b_1583319.html
A bit on Romney's great week first … over the top. So how can he do it? Romney will undermine Russia relations
LARISON 6 – 27 – 12 Columnist for the American Conservative Daniel Larison “U.S.-Russian Relations Would Get Much Worse Under Romney” http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/u-s-russian-relations-would-get-much-worse-under-romney/
Putin doesn’t actually want a … they have in the last year. Nuclear war – Terrorism, Prolif, multiple hotspots
ALLISON 11 Director @ Belfer Center for Science and Int’l Affairs @ Harvard’s Kennedy School, Former Assistant Secretary of Defense, Robert D. Blackwill, Senior Fellow – Council on Foreign Relations Graham Allison, “10 Reasons Why Russia Still Matters”, Politico -- October 31 -- http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=161EF282-72F9-4D48-8B9C-C5B3396CA0E6
That central point is that Russia …. U.N. Security Council resolutions. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
Electricity demand is driving Natgas to a price equilibrium that is sustainable for producers
Santos 4/24/12 - Independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert w/16 years of experience Pauol Santos, Natural Gas In 2012: Electric Generation Switch Implications, Seeking Alfa, April 24, 2012, pg. http://seekingalpha.com/article/524061-natural-gas-in-2012-electric-generation-switch-implications
There are several important observations to be made from this table:…), might have trouble with the depletion rates. Nuclear incentives discourage Natgas investments - Utilities will pursue fuel diversity if the price is right
C2ES 12 Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, “NATURAL GAS IN THE U.S. ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR,” May 2012
According to the latest Energy Information Administration (… natural gas in the coming years. Encourages shale gas markets key – Natgas can’t reach its equilibrium price to revitalize manufacturing without it
Magill 8/22/12 Jim Magill, “Manufacturers, producers see different futures for US natural gas supplies,” Platts, 22Aug2012/549 pm EDT/2149 GMT, pg. http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/NaturalGas/6582012
The rapid development of US ….equilibrium point and we can have it all." Manufacturing key to the industrial commons
Lind and Freedman 12 – Policy Director of Economic Growth Program and Policy analyst in the Economic Growth Program @ New America Foundation Michael Lind and Joshua Freedman “Value Added: America’s Manufacturing Future,” New America Foundation, April 2012
Manufacturing creates an industrial commons, …opened up or expanded RandD facilities¶ in China over the last few years. 22 pg. 4-5 1nc That sustains the earth’s carrying capacity – collapse risks extinction
Wilson 6/9/12 - Executive Director of the International Council for Science Steven Wilson (PhD in Chemistry from University of Bristol and Former Director of Earth Observation, Director of Science and Innovation, and Director of Strategy and Partnerships @ UK Natural Environment Research Council), “Science is key to our sustainable future,” Al Jazeera, Last Modified: 09 Jun 2012 15:41, pg. http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/06/20126211211472368.html
Paris, France - Scientific evidence for dangerous… and how to rethink social and economic models. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
Text: The United States federal government should phase out federal financial incentives for nuclear energy production and consumption and ban future nuclear energy incentives and subsidies. The United States federal government should encourage other states to open their energy sectors to any energy option. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
The Executive Branch of the United States federal government should follow through on Title V of the NPT by providing analysis of countries’ energy needs as a precondition for nuclear cooperative agreements.
The United States federal government should establish economics as the necessary justification for the provision of nuclear material, equipment, and technology under the NPT. The counterplan solves:
Economic rationale would bolster the NPT—if there is no clear economic justification, the tech wouldn’t be shared.
Sokolski 7—Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism and is editor of Falling Behind: International Scrutiny of the Peaceful Atom Aug 5, 2007, “Market-Fortified Nonproliferation,” this essay is one part of the Century Foundation's latest publication, “Breaking the Nuclear Impasse,” The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=173andtid=5
A More Sensible Reading… own up to the full costs of nuclear power. 2NC The U.S. de-subsidizing nuclear power would deter investment internationally.
Lovins 10—Amory B. Lovins is a physicist and Cofounder, Chairman, and Chief Scientist of Rocky Mountain Institute and Cofounder and Chairman Emeritus of Fiberforge, Inc. Published in 29 books and hundreds of papers. He has consulted for more than three decades for major firms and governments (including the U.S. DoE and DOD) on advanced energy and resource efficiency in 50 countries. [January 17, 2010, “Proliferation, oil, and climate: solving for pattern,” expanded version of 18 January 2010 Essay for Foreign Policy, Rocky Mountain Institute, http://www.rmi.org/Knowledge-Center/Library/2010-02_ProliferationOilClimatePattern]
These market realities present ….—an impeccably conservative notion. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
Energy production discourse traps us in a democratic-authoritarian bargain
Byrne and Toly 6 John Bryne Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware and Noah Toly Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 1-3
From climate change to acid rain, …conventional and sustainable energy futures. proliferation condemns the global South to violent intervention as the Western world attempts to control their actions
Behnke 2k—Andreas Behnke, Prof. of Poli Sci @ Towson January, International Journal of Peace Studies 5.1, “Inscriptions of the Imperial Order,” http://www.gmu.edu/academic/ijps/vol5_1/behnke.htm
David Mutimer (1997) has argued that the … other it is unwilling to listen to. The supply-side energy regime produces chronic failure. Energy becomes an end-in-itself with no ethical guidance.
Byrne and Toly 6 John Bryne Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware and Noah Toly Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 1-3 Gender paraphrased
The Technique of Modern Energy …. scientifically and technologically unassailable. Technocratic management makes extinction inevitable
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51
If mainstream environmentalism … economically and culturally, that needs to be changed. We must begin with a social critique and analysis of the modern energy regime. Ethical criticism cultivates alternatives to technocratic consumption.
Barry 12—John Barry, Reader Politics @ Queen’s University (Belfast) The Politics of Actually Existing Unsustainability p. 284-290
'Dissident' is perhaps a better and …. reading it are constitutive of that struggle. 2NC* Autonomy of technique – risks annihilation. Technical separation means we deploy technology without questioning its potential consequences
Andrew FEENBERG Philosophy of Technology @ Simon Fraser (Canada) ’10 Between Reason and Experience p. 69-72
For many critics of technological society, …. technologies, the threat to survival is clear. FRAMEWORK
We must begin with a social critique. Starting with incentives dodges the fundamental issue of social inequality and sustainability.
John BYRNE Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy & Public Policy @ Delaware AND Noah TOLY Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, & Glover p. 22-24
Transition without Change: A Failing … energy-society relations awaits.
Third, their framework produces worse policy making
Jones 9—Lecturer in International Politics in the School of Politics and International Relations at Queen Mary, University of London, former Rose Research Fellow in International Relations at Lady Margaret Hall at Oxford University, holds an MPhil and DPhil from Oxford University [2009, Lee Jones, “International Relations Scholarship and the Tyranny of Policy Relevance,” Journal of Critical Globalisation Studies, Volume 1, Issue 1, Available Online at http://criticalglobalisation.com/Issue%201/125_131_JCGS1_JONES_TYRANNYPOLICYRELEVANCE.pdf, Accessed 03-30-2011, p. 127-130]
Having conceded where Nye has a point, … for Security Assistance, Science, and Technology.
ALTERNATIVE
Reframing energy problems helps build hope, language, and values for change. Inevitability arguments crush the possibility. Ending slavery didn’t seem possible either.
Thomas PRINCEN School of Natural Resources and Environment @ Michigan ’10 Treading Softly p.184-193
The second prescription is to …. For whom? For what purpose?
PERM
Aff evidence suspect – energy incentives literature takes corporate interests as a given. Other avenues of social change and patterns of consumption need to be considered.
Elizabeth SHOVE Sociology @ Lancaster AND Gordon WALKER Geography @ Lancaster ‘7 “CAUTION! Transitions ahead: politics, practice, and sustainable transition management” Environment and Planning C 39 (4)
These questions imply that reflexively…. in the ordinary routines of daily life.
Perm fails – doing the plan undermines any ethical criticism – creates short-term but useless changes
Jonas ANSELM Technology & Social Change @ Linkoping (Sweden) AND Anders HANSSON Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research ’11 “Climate Change and the Convergence between ENGOs
and Business: On the Loss of Utopian Energies” Environmental Values 20 p. 90-91 [acronyms clarified – Turner]
Second, in terms of problems, it is unclear …the necessity of fundamental changes in society's relationship with nature have been avoided (Shellenberger and Nordhaus, 2004).
Proliferation discourse emphasizes inter-state stability—this obscures structural oppression.
Mutimer 94—David Mutimer is Deputy Director of YCISS and Associate Professor of Political Science at York University [August 1994, “Reimagining Security: The Metaphors of Proliferation,” Centre for International and Strategic Studies, York University, http://pi.library.yorku.ca/dspace/bitstream/handle/10315/1415/YCI0074.pdf?sequence=1]
There is, of course, a more politically … basis of their claims. Economic framing legitimizes environmental and social exploitation.
Clive SPASH Chair of Public Policy and Governance Department of Socio-Economics WU Vienna University of Economics and Business (Austria) ‘9 Environmental Values 18 p.253-256
However, the exact form in ….a cautionary tale as to where that road leads. Nuclear power evidence inherently suspect – institutionalized gatekeeping stops opposition to the nuclear regime.
Andrew ZIMMERMAN Researcher Center for Energy and Environmental Policy AND Kenneth BERGERON Physicist Former Safety Expert @ Sandia Nat’l Laboratory ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, & Glover p. 114-116
Nuclear Power as a Source of …. U.S. and international geopolitical security. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge: - Takes a long time—their becker bridge card assumes all electricity is powered by nuclear power
2. Loan guarantees can’t solve economic risk—05 bill proves.
Blake 10—Mariah Blake is an editor at the Washington Monthly. Her work has also appeared in Christian Science Monitor and Foreign Policy. January/February 2010, “The Bailout Goes Nuclear,” Mother Jones, http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2010/01/bailout-nuclear
The ceda provision builds on …foisting almost all of the risk on taxpayers. They don’t solve for jobs—their internal link card assumes green job growth—the nuclear sector is a subset of that 3. Loan guarantees can’t solve—uncertainty.
Sokolski 10—Testimony by Henry David Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center and serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, to the Domestic Policy Subcommittee of the Oversight and Government Reform Committee April 20, 2010, “Nuclear Power Federal Loan Guarantees: The Next Multi-Billion Dollar Bailout?” The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=39andtid=2 C. The value of federal loan guarantees is so … answers before authorizes such guarantees.
No economic collapse—there is no reason evidence that we would decommission plants if we don’t have a substitute—takes out Sullivan. Natural gas prices won’t rise anytime soon – more likely to decline further
Sokolski 10—Testimony by Henry David Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center and serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, to the Domestic Policy Subcommittee of the Oversight and Government Reform Committee April 20, 2010, “Nuclear Power Federal Loan Guarantees: The Next Multi-Billion Dollar Bailout?” The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=39andtid=2
Conclusion: What Should Guide Investments in Commercial Nuclear Power?.... quite possible; gains are not. 5. Economy’s rebounding - housing
Globe and Mail, 9-19-2012.
(“Housing puts US economy on firmer footing.” http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/economy-lab/housing-puts-us-economy-on-firmer-footing/article4553423/)
The next leg of the U.S. recovery will be run by the housing market…. product, rather than contracts. Nat gas prices will keep nuclear energy uncompetitive.
Domenici and Miller 12—Co-chaired by *Senator Pete Domenici, U.S. Senator, and Dr. Warren F. “Pete” Miller, Co-Chair, Nuclear Initiative; Former DOE Assistant Secretary for Nuclear Energy, Private consultant, Part time Research Professor at Texas A and M University, Responsible for oversight of the DOE-owned Idaho National Laboratory, Served as associate director of the Nuclear Security Science and Policy Institute at Texas A and M University as well as adjunct professor, Co-leader of the small team that successfully proposed establishing the Institute to the TAMU Board of Regents July 2012, “Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets,” A Report of the Bipartisan Policy Center’s Nuclear Initiative, http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Leadership%20in%20Nuclear%20Energy%20Markets.pdf
Prospects for new reactor construction in the United States … next decade, if not longer. The global economy is resilient – their impacts are empirically false
Zakaria, 09 – editor of Newsweek, former editor of Foreign Affairs, PhD from Harvard, serves on the board of Yale University, The Council on Foreign Relations, and The Trilateral Commission (Fareed, “The Secrets of Stability” Newsweek, 12/12, http://www.newsweek.com/id/226425
Beyond all this, though, I believe there's a fundamental …. And they know the price. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: GSU | Round: 3 | Opponent: NU LV | Judge:
123 agreements inhibit competitive US exports
Simmons 11—Brad Simmons, Staff Writer for International Affairs Review October 10, 2011, “America’s 123 Agreements: Inhibiting Trade and Nuclear Non-Proliferation Policy,” International Affairs Review, http://www.iar-gwu.org/node/351
Section 123 Agreements have …safeguarding against rogue proliferation. Nuclear power is decreasing globally—the CP provides additional uniqueness.
Fücks 10—Ralf Fücks, President of the Heinrich Böll Foundation, former member of the Bremen state parliament, served as Co-President for the national Green Party in 1989/90, served as Senator for Urban Development and Environmental Protection and as Deputy Mayor January 2010, “Nuclear Proliferation: A Civilian and a Military Dilemma,” Preface, Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, EU, Brussels, http://www.boell.org/downloads/HBS-Nassauer-Sokolski_web.pdf
Anyone following the statements expressed … to be just as expensive as it is risky. Spread of commercial nuclear tech makes weapons prolif inevitable—3 distinct internal links.
Nassauer 10—Otfried Nassauer is founding Director of the Berlin Information-center for Transatlantic Security (BITS) since 1991. For twenty years he also worked as a free-lance investigative journalist in military and international security affairs. September 2010, “Nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Energy – Siamese Twins or Double Zero Solution?” Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, EU, Brussels, http://www.boell.org/downloads/HBS-Nassauer-Sokolski_web.pdf
Even in the best case scenario, it is to be assumed that … us to sell it ourselves.” Turn— nuclear terrorism and miscalculation—the impact is qualitatively different than their prolif impact.
Sokolski 10—Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism and is editor of Falling Behind: International Scrutiny of the Peaceful Atom March 2010, “Nuclear Weapons Proliferation, Energy Security, and Carbon Emission Reduction: How to Overcome the Civilian-Military Nuclear Dilemma,” Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, European Union, Brussels, pg. 45-62, http://www.boell.org/downloads/HBS-Nassauer-Sokolski_web.pdf
Finally, in 20 years, there could be …. be highly explosive, but nuclear. Loan guarantees not enough – public opposition, economic risk and safety reviews prohibit expansion
Knowledge@Wharton 11—online business journal of the Wharton School at UPenn March 30, 2011, “U.S. Energy Policy after Japan: If Not Nuclear, Then What?” http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2743
Before the earthquake in Japan, a growing number of … option without supports." |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
Financial Incentives are tax credits, loans, rebates, and production incentives. The plan gives an incentive that isn’t one of those.
FERC 12 Staff Report – Office of Envorcement. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Energy Primer A Handbook of Energy Market Basics, July 2012, http://www.ferc.gov/market-oversight/guide/energy-primer.pdf#xml=http://search.atomz.com/search/pdfhelper.tk?sp_o=58,100000,0
Renewable development is … before the PTC expires. Energy Production is the production of electricity
NASA 2011 NASA Scientific and Technical Information. Scope and Subject Category Guide. http://www.scribd.com/doc/80662465/sscg
Energy Production - .. by renewable resources. For is exclusive – meaning the incentive must EXLUSIVELY be for the production of electricity.
Clegg, 95 - J.D., 1981 Yale Law School; the author is vice president and general counsel of the National Legal Center for the Public Interest. (Roger, “Reclaiming The Text of The Takings Clause,” 46 S.C. L. Rev. 531, Summer, lexis)
Even if it made no sense to .. that the phrase is narrowing the scope of the Amendment. n20 |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
Nuclear power discourse encourages the demo-authoritarian bargain
Ian WELSH Sociology @ Cardiff ‘2K Mobilising Modernity p. 3-9
I argue here that the implementation …. of science within western civilisation. Makes extinction inevitable
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51 If mainstream environmentalism is catching up with …and culturally, that needs to be changed.
We must begin with a social critique and analysis of the modern energy regime. Ethical criticism cultivates alternatives to technocratic consumption.
Barry 12—John Barry, Reader Politics @ Queen’s University (Belfast) The Politics of Actually Existing Unsustainability p. 284-290
'Dissident' is perhaps a better and more accurate term to ….it are constitutive of that struggle. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
Domestic Funding and ITER are zero sum
Cunningham 8/15 (“Fusion Budget on Hold’” http://americansecurityproject.org/blog/2012/fusion-budget-on-hold/)
However, U.S. funding for both … resume in early 2013. Flips the aff – independently solves extinction
Fedoroff, 08 - Science and Technology Adviser to the Secretary of State and the Administrator of USAID (Nina, Testimony Before the House Science Subcommittee on Research and Science Education, 4/2, http://www.state.gov/g/oes/rls/rm/102996.htm
Science by its nature facilitates diplomacy …. global partnerships, and create sustainability. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
Text—The fifty state governments and all relevant territories of the United States should form regional energy boards modeled after the Southern States Energy Compact, the Western Governors’ Association Renewable Energy Zones, the Southern State Energy Board, and all other preexisting regional governance structures with consolidated energy facility siting authority. The regional energy boards should substantially increase monetary support for fusion energy generation in the United States. The fifty state governments and all relevant territories of the United States should fund University Nuclear Science and Engineering programs. Their ev concedes that funding from other sources solves --- key to support existing DOE funding.
Miller 7 (Warren, Research Professor and Associate Director of the Nuclear Security Science and Policy Institute – Texas A%26M University, "Nuclear’s Human Element", A Report By the American Nuclear Society Special Committee on Federal Investment in Nuclear Education, February, http://www.ans.org/pi/fine/docs/finereport.pdf)
On the other hand, the DOE NSE … national laboratories, and¶ industry. Pg. 9 Regional governance institutions solve energy problems
Wiseman ‘11 Hannah Jacobs Wiseman, Assistant Professor @ University of Tulsa College of Law, “Expanding Regional Renewable Governance,” Harvard Environmental Law Review, 35 Harv. Envtl. L. Rev. 477, https://litigation-essentials.lexisnexis.com/webcd/app?action=DocumentDisplayandcrawlid=1anddoctype=citeanddocid=35+Harv.+Envtl.+L.+Rev.+477andsrctype=smiandsrcid=3B15andkey=0b1fdcee3cb0feca03ad4e55998ea105
While numerous entities hold …energy planning in America. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
No fusion solvency- so much math and so many arguments
Murphy 12 Associate Professor of Physics at University California, San Diego 2/3 (Tom, Member of CASS, the Center for Astrophysics and Space Sciences, Crunching the numbers for nuclear fusion, http://gigaom.com/cleantech/crunching-the-numbers-for-nuclear-fusion/)
Professor Tom Murphy crunches the numbers for nuclear ….But I’m not sure we can wait that long. Asian Development Bank and US loans prevent Pakistani economic collapse
AP 08 (10/4, Herald Tribune, “US$500 million loan to shore up Pakistan economy,” http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2008/10/04/business/AS-Pakistan-Economy.php Pakistan's central bank says it has received a … Pakistan is also seeking assistance from Saudi Arabia. No exports--regulations
Platts, 10/1/2012. “Export reform needed to increase US nuclear market share: NEI,” http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/ElectricPower/6666149.
Export controls on technology … the buyer looks elsewhere, he said. No water wars – other tensions overwhelm.
Victor ’07 (David G., professor of law at Stanford University, November/December. “What resource wars?” National Interest. Ebsco.) While there are many reasons to fear global warming, the risk that such dangers could cause violent conflict ranks extremely low on the list because it is highly unlikely to materialize. Despite decades …, where the moniker "climate" conveniently obscures the deeper causal forces. Alt caus to pakistan – Western financial crisis
Sheikh 08 (Nawal, 10/28, “Global financial recession and Pakistan,” The Nation http://www.nation.com.pk/pakistan-news-newspaper-daily-english-online/Opinions/Columns/29-Oct-2008/Global-financial-recession-and-Pakistan/1) It seems as if the world is going wayward. All across the … and a slowdown in the west means slowdown here as well. |
| 11/09/2012 | Tournament: KY | Round: | Opponent: MSU HR | Judge:
Lack of testing makes SSP retention impossible.
Kathleen Bailey, 1/15/1999. PhD @ U Illinois, Senior Fellow at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, former Assistant Director of the US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of Intelligence and Research, and Director of Research in the US Information Agency. “THE COMPREHENSIVE TEST BAN TREATY The Costs Outweigh the Benefits,” CATO Policy Analysis 330, www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa330.pdf. The directors of the two U.S. nuclear …. and financial support erodes.
Sustainment programs don’t send the signal of commitment to a robust deterrent --- this means people won’t stay.
Henry Chiles et al, September 2008. Former US Navy Admiral, former commander in chief, U.S. Strategic Command, Chairman of the Defense Science Board. “Nuclear Deterrence Skills,” www.acq.osd.mil/dsb/reports/2008-09-NDS.pdf.
The perception exists that there is … and with attention focused on other priorities. SSP doesn’t solve deterrence --- lack of testing means we cant publicly certify our stockpile regularly --- this is necessary to assure allies and dissuade enemies.
Kathleen Bailey, 1/15/1999. PhD @ U Illinois, Senior Fellow at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, former Assistant Director of the US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of Intelligence and Research, and Director of Research in the US Information Agency. “THE COMPREHENSIVE TEST BAN TREATY The Costs Outweigh the Benefits,” CATO Policy Analysis 330, www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa330.pdf.
CTBT opponents are unwilling to bet U… serious challenges and may fail. Nuclear deterrence not key --- conventional superiority is sufficient to deter conflict.
William J. Perry and Brent Scowcroft et al, 2009. Michael and Barbara Berberian Professor at Stanford University, co-director of the Preventive Defense Project, and national-security adviser to Presidents Gerald Ford and George H. W. Bush. “U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy,” Council on Foreign Relations Independent Task Force Report No. 62, http://www.cfr.org/content/publications/attachments/Nuclear_Weapons_TFR62.pdf.
During much of the Cold War, … intervening on their territories. Latent power sustains hegemony.
Wohlforth 7 (William, Olin Fellow in International Security Studies at Yale University, Unipolar Stability: The Rules of Power Analysis, A Tilted Balance, Vol. 29 (1), Spring)
US military forces are stretched thin, its budget and .. wellsprings of latent power. No nuke terrorism—Only causes small-scale destruction.
Mueller ‘10 (John, Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies at the Mershon Center for International Security Studies and a Professor of Political Science at The Ohio State University, A.B. from the University of Chicago, M.A. and Ph.D. @ UCLA, Atomic Obsession – Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda, Oxford University Press, Accessed @ Emory)
In the ensuing decades, massive … earthquake, one-thousandth the force of a hurricane." Public anxiety prevents retaliation
Huddy et al. 05 – Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY Leonie Huddy, Stanley Feldman (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY), Charles Taber (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY) and Gallya Lahav (Professor of political science @ Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY), “Threat, Anxiety, and Support of Antiterrorism Policies,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 49, No. 3, July 2005, Pp. 593–608
The findings from this study lend further .. one dominated by anxiety. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
nuclear power advocates perform scientific idolatry – the aff produces authoritarian politics
Brian WYNNE Science Studies and Research Director of the Centre for the Study of Environmental Change @ Lancaster (UK) ’11 Rationality and Ritual 2nd Edition p. 2-4 After almost 20 years of virtual … is a despotic politics of technology.
Technocratic management makes extinction inevitable
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51 If mainstream environmentalism is …., that needs to be changed. We must begin with a social critique and analysis of the modern energy regime. Ethical criticism cultivates alternatives to technocratic consumption.
Barry 12—John Barry, Reader Politics @ Queen’s University (Belfast) The Politics of Actually Existing Unsustainability p. 284-290 'Dissident' is perhaps a better and …. book and you reading it are constitutive of that struggle. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
Financial incentives for production are financial transfers for energy produced – NOT loans for equipment
MENZA 05 Faculty of Economics and Finance, School of Business, Clarkson University and Center for International Climate and Environmental Research in Oslo Fredric C. Menza, Energy Policy, Volume 33, Issue 18, December 2005, Pages 2398–2410 Rebate (or buy-down) programs are …t after a certain time period. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
Avoid the fiscal cliff now
POSTAL 11 – 8 – 12 veteran reporter covering Washington, D.C. and federal insurance regulation Arthur Postal, Credit Union Times, Dealmakers at Work on Fiscal Cliff, http://www.cutimes.com/2012/11/08/dealmakers-at-work-on-fiscal-cliff?ref=hp Washington is again … regular order next year. Capital key – Obama has it. Can get it done
KALB 11 – 8 – 12 Shorenstein Center's Founding Director, Edward R. Murrow Professor of Press and Public Policy, (both of Harvard) Guest Scholar in Foreign Policy – Brookings Marvin Kalb, An Overture to Romney, http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/up-front/posts/2012/11/08-romney-kalb Conservative critics, …. The stage, in fact, is set. Massive lobby opposition to SMRs- overwhelms any link turns
Szondy, 12 (David Szondy is a freelance writer based in Monroe, Washington. An award-winning playwright, he has contributed to Charged and iQ magazine and is the author of the website Tales of Future Past, Feature: Small modular nuclear reactors - the future of energy?, February 16, 2012, http://www.gizmag.com/small-modular-nuclear-reactors/20860/) Indeed, it is in government … victim to the bureaucrats' rule book. Impact is global econ collapse
MANDEL 12 Syracuse Business News Examiner Harold Mandel, Fitch says fiscal cliff could set off global recession, http://www.examiner.com/article/fitch-says-fiscal-cliff-could-set-off-global-recession Money News has reported on … be bad news for everyone. Nuclear war.
Kemp 10 Director of Regional Strategic Programs at The Nixon Center, served in the White House under Ronald Reagan, special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Near East and South Asian affairs on the National Security Council Staff, Former Director, Middle East Arms Control Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
(Geoffrey Kemp, The East Moves West: India, China, and Asia’s Growing Presence in the Middle East, p. 233-4) The second scenario, … of the planet’s population. Sequestration destroys US global military power---collapses deterrence and triggers multiple scenarios for nuclear war
HUNTER 9 – 30 – 12 U.S. Representative from Alaska Duncan Hunter, “SEQUESTRATION SENDS WRONG MESSAGE TO U.S. FRIENDS AND FOES ALIKE,” 2012, http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2012/sep/30/tp-sequestration-sends-wrong-message-to-us/?page=1#article Over the next 10 years, because of … interests against any threat. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
Text: The United States federal government should phase out federal financial incentives for nuclear energy production and consumption and ban future nuclear energy incentives and subsidies. The United States federal government should encourage other states to open their energy sectors to any energy option.
The Executive Branch of the United States federal government should follow through on Title V of the NPT by providing analysis of countries’ energy needs as a precondition for nuclear cooperative agreements.
The United States federal government should establish economics as the necessary justification for the provision of nuclear material, equipment, and technology under the NPT. The counterplan solves: Economic rationale would bolster the NPT—if there is no clear economic justification, the tech wouldn’t be shared.
Sokolski 7—Henry Sokolski, executive director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism and is editor of Falling Behind: International Scrutiny of the Peaceful Atom Aug 5, 2007, “Market-Fortified Nonproliferation,” this essay is one part of the Century Foundation's latest publication, “Breaking the Nuclear Impasse,” The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=173andtid=5 A More Sensible Reading
The first step we could make to … operators to own up to the full costs of nuclear power. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
Loan guarantees can’t solve—uncertainty.
Sokolski 10—Testimony by Henry David Sokolski, Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center and serves on the U.S. congressional Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, to the Domestic Policy Subcommittee of the Oversight and Government Reform Committee April 20, 2010, “Nuclear Power Federal Loan Guarantees: The Next Multi-Billion Dollar Bailout?” The Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, http://www.npolicy.org/article.php?aid=39andtid=2 C. The value of federal loan … answers before authorizes such guarantees. Export prevent advantage
Platts, 10/1/2012. “Export reform needed to increase US nuclear market share: NEI,” http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/ElectricPower/6666149. Export controls on … elsewhere, he said. U.S. manufacturing sustainable
PWC 9-21 – Pricewaterhouse Coopers, “A Homecoming For U.S. Manufacturing?,” 9/21/12, http://www.manufacturing.net/articles/2012/09/a-homecoming-for-us-manufacturing?et_cid=2861124andet_rid=279915960andlinkid=http%3a%2f%2fwww.manufacturing.net%2farticles%2f2012%2f09%2fa-homecoming-for-us-manufacturing NEW YORK― Consensus …. attractiveness of the U.S. markets.” Not key to the economy
Wessel 12 (David Wessel, economics editor of The Wall Street, “Manufacturing Industry Gained Momentum In 2011,” 1-19-12, http://www.npr.org/2012/01/19/145437593/are-more-u-s-manufacturing-jobs-being-created)
WESSEL: Well, that's a good question. So basically, factories have added more than 300,000 jobs in the past two years, and that's pretty good news - certainly better than losing jobs. But it would …, it's not enough to solve our unemployment problem. They can’t overcome a ill-prepared workforce
Ferris 8/22/12 - Writer based in Washington, DC David Ferris, “Why Manufacturers Can't Find the Workforce They Need,” Workforce, Published: August 22, 2012, pg. http://tinyurl.com/8f8mjq3 As the economy begins to climb out of the Great Recession, one sector—manufacturing—finds itself in a predicament. The country is awash in unemployed workers, but few …. high schools and colleges that feed them. Manufacturing not needed – Innovative industries solve
Porter 4/3/12 EDUARDO PORTER, “The Promise of Today’s Factory Jobs,” New York Times, April 3, 2012, pg. http://tinyurl.com/9bacg56 Yet a revolution in … and pay for the jobs of the rest of us.
Plan discourages nat gas investment
C2ES 12 Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, “NATURAL GAS IN THE U.S. ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR,” May 2012 According to the latest …the coming years.
Prevents equilibrium price
Magill 8/22/12 Jim Magill, “Manufacturers, producers see different futures for US natural gas supplies,” Platts, 22Aug2012/549 pm EDT/2149 GMT, pg. http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/NaturalGas/6582012 The rapid … we can have it all." Loan guarantees not enough – public opposition, economic risk and safety reviews prohibit expansion
Knowledge@Wharton 11—online business journal of the Wharton School at UPenn March 30, 2011, “U.S. Energy Policy after Japan: If Not Nuclear, Then What?” http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2743 Before the earthquake in Japan…without supports." |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
Nuclear decisions are not influenced by leverage— the U.S. Any leverage that might exist comes from the nature of our bilateral relationship and not exports.
Richard Cleary, 8/13/2012. Research assistant for the American Enterprise Institute's Program on Advanced Strategic Studies. “Persuading Countries to Forgo Nuclear Fuel-Making: What History Suggests,” In Nuclear Nonproliferation: Moving Beyond Pretense, http://npolicy.org/article.php?aid=1192andtid=30. In recent years, there has been a … and in the country considering fuel-making, can be influential. Multiple alt causes to nuclear leadership—that aff solves none of them.
Lieberman 11 November 15, 2011 Nonproliferation, Congress, and Nuclear Trade: Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose Jodi Lieberman Jodi Lieberman is senior government relations specialist at the American Physical Society in Washington, D.C, http://csis.org/files/publication/111116_nonproliferation_congress_and_nucleartrade.pdf Current Environment
Last year, GAO conducted … data to establish a direct link.
Already the world leader
Domenici and Miller 12 Pete, Former U.S. Senator and Bipartisan Policy Center Senior Fellow, and Dr Warren F, Former Department of energy Assistant Secretary for Nuclear energy, “Maintaining U.S. Leadership in Global Nuclear Energy Markets,” September, http://bipartisanpolicy.org/sites/default/files/Nuclear%20Report.PDF Nuclear power already plays an … issues. No widespread prolif
Hymans 12—Jacques E. C. Hymans is Associate Professor of IR at USC April 16, 2012, “North Korea's Lessons for (Not) Building an Atomic Bomb,” Foreign Affairs, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137408/jacques-e-c-hymans/north-koreas-lessons-for-not-building-an-atomic-bomb?page=show Washington's … supply networks. In short, as a struggling proliferator, North Korea has a lot of company. No nuclear terrorism—barriers too high No chance of Southeast war --- ASEAN solves.
Michael S. Malley, November 2006 Assistant professor of comparative politics in the Department of National Security Affairs @ Naval Postgraduate School. “PROSPECTS FOR NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION IN SOUTHEAST ASIA, 2006-2016,” The Nonproliferation Review 13.3, Informaworld. The possibility of nuclear … so, within a decade. No impact to nuclear meltdowns
Drum 11 Kevin, political blogger for Mother Jones, "Nukes and the Free Market", March 14, www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2011/03/nukes-and-free-market
We’re currently told …restrict the worst damage. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: Wake Forest | Round: 2 | Opponent: Liberty LS | Judge: Weiner, Sarah
we outweigh on timeframe and probability
CRAIG 9 – 24 – 12 Fox News Business Writer Victoria Craig, “Fiscal Pitfalls Hinge on Gridlocked Congress” http://www.foxbusiness.com/government/2012/09/20/fiscal-pitfalls-hinge-on-gridlocked-congress/ A fix for the national economy is … all comes down to politics.
we control uniqueness—crash coming now
MEANS 10 – 25 – 12 businessman, former assistant to Vice President Nelson Rockefeller and former economist at the U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare Grady Means, “US economy on schedule to crash March 2014.” The Washington Times, October 25, 2012. http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/oct/25/us-economy-on-schedule-to-crash-march-2014/ Those wild and crazy Mayans put … a good formula for sudden hyperinflation.
Iran influence
Ben-Meir 7 – Alon, professor of international relations at the Center for Global Affairs at NYU, UPI, February 6, Realpolitik: Ending Iran's defiance
That Iran stands today able to challenge or even defy …s of not halting its nuclear program.
Korean war
STRATFOR 10 – 5/26/10, “North Korea, South Korea: The Military Balance on the Peninsula,” http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20100526_north_korea_south_korea_military_balance_peninsula
So the real issue is the … might be if the situation escalates much further.
African instability
Glick 7 – senior ME Fellow @ Center for Security Policy in Washington DC
Caroline B. Glick, the senior Middle East fellow at the Center for Security Policy in Washington, D.C., The Center for Security Policy is a non-profit, non-partisan national security organization. 12/11/2007. “Condi's African holiday”. http://www.carolineglick.com/e/2007/12/condis-african-holiday.php?pf=yes
The Horn of Africa is a dangerous … actors and global powers.
Turns terrorism
Hellman 8 Martin E. Hellman, emeritus prof of engineering @ Stanford, “Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence” SPRING 2008 THE BENT OF TAU BETA PI, http://www.nuclearrisk.org/paper.pdf
The threat of nuclear … is a necessity—not an option.
Turns prolif
Lind 9—Michael Lind is Policy Director of the Economic Growth Program at the New America Foundation “How I learned to stop worrying and live with the bomb” October 13, http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/feature/2009/10/13/nuclear_weapons
Superior …of aircraft carriers. PERCEPTION MATTERS IMMEDIATELY - Markets will go crazy – not about economist or empirics – its how the market will respond
BROWN 11 – 9 – 12 New York City-based investment advisor Joshua M. Brown, The fiscal cliff isn't gradual, and it will matter, http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/The-Reformed-Broker/2012/1109/The-fiscal-cliff-isn-t-gradual-and-it-will-matter Let's not make this more … their fear turns out to be unfounded.
Even a short term extension requires compromise
BRANNEN 11 – 9 – 12 Politico Washington Staff Kate Brannen, Consensus grows, slowly, on 'down payment' for sequestration, Politico Pro “We should be .., including defense, Warner said.
Risk they’ll go over – delay bad
BOWLES 11 – 8 – 12 served as chief of staff to Clinton and was co-chair of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform Erskine Bowles, Going over the fiscal cliff is a losing bet for the nation, http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/11/08/4399456/going-over-the-fiscal-cliff-is.html With President Barack …a future debt-induced economic crisis.
And kills credit raiting
LA TIMES 11 – 7 – 12 Fitch Ratings warns of U.S. credit downgrade from fiscal cliff, http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-fitch-credit-rating-fiscal-cliff-obama-20121107,0,6939564.story Fitch Ratings said that …downgrade by Fitch," the company said. Sequestration is horrible—that’s huntsman
Sequestration ends US primacy---we’ll lose our advantage on land, sea, and air
Calvert 8/5 Ken is a writer at the Press Enterprise citing the House Armed Services Committee. "NATION: Obama, Congress must avert huge, automatic defense cuts," 2012, http://www.pe.com/opinion/local-views-headlines/20120805-nation-obama-congress-must-avert-huge-automatic-defense-cuts.ece
While the president has not instructed …on the land, sea and in the air. Political capital key—Obama leadership key to compromise to prevent brinkmanship
NEIBAUER 11 – 7 – 12 Biz Journals Staff - covers economic development, chambers of commerce, transportation and politics Michael Neibauer, Attention turns to sequestration in lame duck, http://www.bizjournals.com/washington/blog/fedbiz_daily/2012/11/attention-turns-to-sequestration-in.html?page=all As nothing has changed at … incentive to sit down.”
Obama has capital for the fiscal cliff fight
WSJ 11 – 9 – 12 The President's Cliff Walk; Boehner offers a fiscal olive branch to the White House. Anonymous. Wall Street Journal (Online) New York, N.Y 09 Nov 2012: n/a. There's little doubt that Mr. ….Republicans while getting nothing done. |
| 11/10/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Non-defense sequestration would kill growth, destroy preventive health care, destroy education and kill jobs.
Chu, 11-8-12 (Judy, Fiscal responsibility, not sequestration, is the goal, http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/campaign/266883-fiscal-responsibility-not-sequestration-is-the-goal) Democrats offered a responsible alternative that balances budget cuts with tax increases, so everyone
AND
, sequestration was never intended to happen – so let’s not let it.
Fitch and Moody will downgrade U.S. Credit rating unless solution is found, Gridlock ensures.
LA Times 11-7-12 (Jim Puzzanghera, Fitch Ratings warns of U.S. credit downgrade from fiscal cliff
http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-fitch-credit-rating-fiscal-cliff-obama-20121107,0,6939564.story) WASHINGTON -- Fitch Ratings said that there would be "no fiscal honeymoon" for
AND
likely result in a sovereign rating downgrade by Fitch," the company said.
Further downgrades would create a debt spiral, crippling the economy
Rowley 12 Charles Rowley, Professor Emeritus of Economics at George Mason University, 10/15/12, “Renewed threats to U.S. credit rating,” Charles Rowley’s blog, http://charlesrowley.wordpress.com/2012/06/15/renewed-threats-to-u-s-credit-rating/ If Moody’s downgrades and if S and P further downgrades U.S. credit
AND
downgrades that accelerates an already worsening fiscal situation. Greece here we come. Compromise now – confrontation gives Obama the motive to veto Lee and Hook 11-9 (Carol and Janet, WSJ, Obama, Boehner Open to Budget Bargain, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324439804578108971200674876.html)
President Barack Obama and House Speaker John Boehner signaled Friday a willingness to compromise on
AND
, we found out that the majority of Americans agree with my approach." winners win Winners don’t win - statistics
Bond and Fleisher, professor in Political Science - Texas AandM and Professor in Political Science. Fordham - 1996 (Jon R. and Richard. "The President in Legislation" p.223)ZE
Presidency-centered variables, however, provide an even weaker explanation of presidential success
AND
the polls has only a marginal impact on the probability of success or failure
1nc Cards
Obama needs to maintain his leadership to overcome partisan gridlock and solve the fiscal cliff. The Independent (UK) 11/10/12 “President Obama's first business of new term: tax the rich and avoid 'fiscal cliff'” http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/president-obamas-first-business-of-new-term-tax-the-rich-and-avoid-fiscal-cliff-8301360.html Fresh from an electoral triumph, President Obama began to spend some of his newly
AND
rekindled fears of partisan gridlock, something the President is attempting to avoid. Expanding nuclear power is massively contentious in Congress destroys Obamas political capital.
Industry Week, 12 (3/5/2012, “U.S. Energy Policies Stall As Partisan Gap Widens; Don't expect much movement during this election year, say CERA Week panelists,” http://www.industryweek.com/environment/us-energy-policies-stall-partisan-gap-widens )
Congress is progressing with bipartisan support for some energy issues, but wide rifts remain
AND
CEO Rex Tillerson and Dow Chemical's Andrew Liveris.Dow Chemical's Andrew Liveris. failure to deal with cliff ensures deep recession.
Cox, 10-19-12 (Jeff, CNBC senior Writer, Fiscal Cliff’ may be bigger threat than investors think, http://marketday.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/19/14560618-fiscal-cliff-may-be-bigger-threat-than-investors-think?lite)
As the deadline for fiscal peril in the U.S. nears, Wall
AND
posed by the U.S. presidential election and the fiscal cliff."
Global economic crisis causes war
Royal 10 (Jedediah Royal, Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, 2010, Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,? in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215 )
Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict
AND
such, the view presented here should be considered ancillary to those views. |
| 11/11/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
K The 1AC says “The academy is the central place for this struggle to take place” – This is a critique of the center-margin spatial model the 1AC uses.
A. Centrality. The center-margin model of academic space performed in the 1AC builds a model that excludes non-traditional scholarship and reinforces the pedagogical agenda and institutions of the privileged.
Registering criticism of the aff’s spatial practices is a pre-requisite for developing alternative pedagogical networks.
Shiela HONES Area Studies @ Tokyo University AND Julia LEYDA English Literature @ Sophia University ‘5 “Geographies of American Studies” American Quarterly 57 (4) p. 1019-1022 Our argument is made in … a strongly territorial geography.
B. The Royal We. The 1AC says “we need to express linkages of solidarity” without acknowledging our positionality.
Shiela HONES Area Studies @ Tokyo University AND Julia LEYDA English Literature @ Sophia University ‘5 “Geographies of American Studies” American Quarterly 57 (4) p.1026-1028 Who Are -We"? We … that relates specifically to U.S. American studies.
C. Alternative – Help make the academy one place in a network of spaces for building an ecopedagogy that supports a qualitative increase in energy production not a quantitative one. There is no central location for producing eco-pedagogy. Shiela HONES Area Studies @ Tokyo University AND Julia LEYDA English Literature @ Sophia University ‘5 “Geographies of American Studies” American Quarterly 57 (4) p.1022 An alternative, relational … American studies around the world. Re-place debate – this space isn’t central, but part of a network of solidarity. De-centering our position helps build everyday political connections. Shiela HONES Area Studies @ Tokyo University AND Julia LEYDA English Literature @ Sophia University ‘5 “Geographies of American Studies” American Quarterly 57 (4) p.1022-1023 A Relational …. for the "internationalizing" of American studies. D. Interrogating the spatial ordering invoked by the 1AC is crucial for breaking down dominant pedagogical and political formations.
Michael SHAPIRO Poli Sci @ Hawaii ’92 Reading the Postmodern Polity p. 88-89 The kind of ….through which everyday life is constructed. T A. Interpretation --- the aff has to defend USFG action on energy --- ‘resolved’ means to enact a policy by law.
Words and Phrases, 1964 (Permanent Edition) Definition of the word …establish by law”. B. Our interpretation is best --- - Predictability --- ignoring the resolution opens up an infinite number of frameworks --- this undermines our ability to have in-depth research on their arguments destroying the value of debate.
2. Ground --- the resolution exists to create fair division of aff and neg ground --- any alternative framework allows the aff to pick a moral high ground that destroys neg offense. 3. Education --- academics must learn to engage the public’s line of thinking --- abstract moralism without addressing how to get our policies passed is useless.
Jeffrey Isaac, Spring 2002. Professor of Political Science at Indiana University. “Ends, Means, and Politics,” Dissent, http://www.dissentmagazine.org/article/?article=601. What is striking about much of the …undermines political effectiveness. C. Prevents rigorous testing --- we need to research and isolate weaknesses and problems of the aff.
James Zappen, 2004. Professor of Language and Literature at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. “The Rebirth of Dialogue: Bakhtin, Socrates, and the Rhetorical Tradition,” p. 35-36. Finally, Bakhtin describes the … of Gorgias, Polus, and Callicles. D. Voting issue --- Limits are a prerequisite for meaningful political discussion Zygmunt BAUMAN Sociology @ Leeds ’99 In Search of Politics p. 74-75 The most conspicuous …aramount obstacle to its sanity. Neolib
You should reject the framing of “neoliberalism” its overly simplistic
Clive BARNETT Faculty of the Social Sciences @ Open University (UK) ‘5 “The Consolations of ‘Neoliberalism’” Geoforum 36 (1) p. Science Dirct 3. There is no such thing as …. “democracy” (see Barnett and Low, 2004). AND – relying on it dooms analysis – the framing means we can’t recognize other forms of analysis and understanding the world
Clive BARNETT Faculty of the Social Sciences @ Open University (UK) ‘5 “The Consolations of ‘Neoliberalism’” Geoforum 36 (1) p. Science Dirct Recent theories of “neoliberalism” … curiosity a little more widely. |
| 11/11/2012 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: 1NC
We endorse their methodology, with the exception of the requirement for narratve story-telling. In step four, they argue: “Human liberation begins with breaking the silence, ending the shame, and sharing our concerns and feelings. Story-telling leads to analysis.” Story-telling does not lead to analysis. Mandating narrative turns debate into a violent search and destroy mission targeted at identity. Repetition of emotional experience solidifies truths about what authentic oppression feels like and what politics it suggests, and to oppose it one must be cruel or a race traitor – the aff is totalitarian and silences members of the very identity groups the aff wants to liberate – turns the case.
Wendy Brown 1996, Co-Director of the Center for Cultural Studies at the University of California, Santa Cruz, Constitutions and 'Survivor Stories': In the 'folds of our own discourse' The Pleasures and Freedoms of Silence, 3 U Chi L Sch Roundtable 185
If, taken together, the two passages ….so little feminist writing on heterosexual pleasure?) The impact is the biopolitics of emotion. The correct emotional response becomes the object of violent policing and condemnation even among minority populations. Identity sticks to bodies because they must perform emotion to win ballots – turning populations and their histories into sentimental commodities that they cash in for victories.
Clough, 2007
Patricia J., Professor of sociology, …level of threat(Thacker 2005b, 228). Topicality Topical Financial Incentives must be FOR energy production –
A. FOR is exclusive
Clegg, 95 - J.D., 1981 Yale Law School; the author is vice president and general counsel of the National Legal Center for the Public Interest. (Roger, “Reclaiming The Text of The Takings Clause,” 46 S.C. L. Rev. 531, Summer, lexis) Even if it made no sense to … the scope of the Amendment. n20 B. Financial Incentives are tax credits, loans, rebates, and production incentives. The plan gives an incentive that isn’t one of those.
FERC 12 Staff Report – Office of Envorcement. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Energy Primer A Handbook of Energy Market Basics, July 2012, http://www.ferc.gov/market-oversight/guide/energy-primer.pdf#xml=http://search.atomz.com/search/pdfhelper.tk?sp_o=58,100000,0 Renewable …before the PTC expires. C. ‘resolved’ means to enact a policy by law.
Words and Phrases, 1964 (Permanent Edition) Definition of the … by law”. Violation --- The aff acts as allies toward individuals – that’s not a financial incentive. Our interpretation is best --- - Predictable limits --- ignoring the resolution opens up an infinite number of frameworks --- this undermines our ability to have in-depth research on their arguments destroying the value of debate. There are lots of negative things that energy production can produce – the aff shouldn’t get to reduce those negative externalities absent a clear coherent policy for doing so.
2. Ground --- the resolution exists to create fair division of aff and neg ground --- any alternative framework allows the aff to pick a moral high ground that destroys neg offense. AND restrictions not directly ON production give the affirmative random advantages like Trade and Exports that can’t be predicted or debated, and deny the negative core ground about energy markets. 3. Educational truth testing --- we need to research and isolate weaknesses and problems of the aff.
James Zappen, 2004. Professor of Language and Literature at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute. “The Rebirth of Dialogue: Bakhtin, Socrates, and the Rhetorical Tradition,” p. 35-36. Finally, Bakhtin describes the Socratic dialogue as a … Polus, and Callicles. It’s a voting issue --- limits are a prerequisite for meaningful political discussion Zygmunt BAUMAN Sociology @ Leeds ’99 In Search of Politics p. 74-75 The most conspicuous feature of … paramount obstacle to its sanity. You as a judge are responsible for intervening with your ballot—rules create the conditions of possibility for a game to exist—your ballot should go to whatever interpretation makes the game best. Carter, 2008 Leif A, Professor, The Colorado College, “Law and Politics as play” CHICAGO-KENT LAW REVIEW Vol 83:3, http://www.cklawreview.com/wp-content/uploads/vol83no3/Carter.pdf Precision of rules and unquestioned authority of … candidates slated by “Running Party.” Case The USFG has become an ally of marginalized populations --- it is their burden to prove how they are substantively different than the status quo
LA Times 12 Matea Gold and Joseph Tanfani “Tribal leaders bet on Obama
September 25, 2012, http://www.biyokulule.com/view_content.php?articleid=5228 At a July fundraiser in the elegant Mandarin … had to go hat in hand.” Multicultural environmental management appropriates and romanticizes indigenous communities. Even though the aff intends to question oppressive systems it supports the prior structural inequalities in knowledge production that oppress native communities.
Subhabrata Bobby BANERJEE Professor of Strategic Management and Director – PhD program at the International Graduate School of Management, University of South Australia, Adelaide AND Stephen LINSTEAD Director of Research and Professor of Organizational Analysis, Durham Business School, University of Durham ‘4 “Masking subversion: Neocolonial embeddedness in anthropological accounts of indigenous management” Human Relations 57 (2) p. 221-225 Sustainability and sound … of their own neocolonial embeddedness. Either the status quo will be seen as sufficient to meet the requirements of the plan or it is so vague that it will never be effective
USA Today 12 “Tribes give more than $1M to Obama campaign; Received more than any other federal candidate,” 5-15, http://www.biyokulule.com/view_content.php?articleid=5228 President Obama has gone …participate in the dialogue.” |
| 01/03/2013 | Tournament: USC | Round: Round 1 | Opponent: | Judge:
1NC
Debt Ceiling Politics Obama’s capital and preventing fights key to a debt solution
POLITICO 1 – 3 – 13 Obama's debt problem, By Glenn Thrush and Reid J. Epstein, http://www.politico.com/story/2013/01/obamas-debt-problem-85708.html President Barack Obama won’t …. trillions of debt in the kitty. Obama’s capital is key
HUNT 11 – 25 – 12 executive editor of Bloomberg News, directing coverage of the Washington bureau Albert R. Hunt, Lincoln’s Master Class in Politics, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-25/lincoln-s-master-class-in-politics.html?alcmpid=view Before scheduling any budget negotiations at the ….ime invite House Speaker John Boehner. Energy debates cost capital
Addison 12—Associate Editor of E and P Magazine Velda, Logjam Between Congress, Administration Hobbles Oil Policy, http://blogs.epmag.com/rebecca/2012/06/27/logjam-between-congress-administration-hobbles-oil-policy/ The continued bickering …. can’t wait for an emergency to create it. Debt ceiling would be catastrophic
SLATE 1 – 2 – 13 Obama Tells Congress He Will Not Tolerate Another Debt-Ceiling Debacle, http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2013/01/02/fiscal_cliff_obama_warns_congress_he_will_not_have_debt_ceiling_debate.html In a brief address Tuesday night…. fiscall cliff." Nuclear war.
Kemp 10 Director of Regional Strategic Programs at The Nixon Center, served in the White House under Ronald Reagan, special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Near East and South Asian affairs on the National Security Council Staff, Former Director, Middle East Arms Control Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
(Geoffrey Kemp, The East Moves West: India, China, and Asia’s Growing Presence in the Middle East, p. 233-4) The second scenario, called … two-thirds of the planet’s population. T—Financial Incentive A. interpretation and violation --- financial incentives are credits or subsidies --- feed in tariffs are a regulatory incentive
Brady 04 - A Thesis In The Department of Political Science Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts (Public Policy and Public Administration) at Concordia University Montreal, Quebec, Canada (Jonathan, “Wind Boom, Wind Bust: An Examination of the Conditions and Policies that Led to Gennany's Wind Industry and Canada's Lack Thereof,” December, http://spectrum.library.concordia.ca/8274/1/MR20699.pdf) Government employed … during the last decade. K—Energy Regime Solar production consolidates the energy regime that supports consumerism.
John BYRNE Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware AND Noah TOLY Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 17-19 Small-is-Beautiful Solar18 The second fastest growing ,…seamlessly tie it to the modernization project.20 The supply-side energy regime produces chronic failure. Energy becomes an end-in-itself with no social or ethical guidance.
John BYRNE Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware AND Noah TOLY Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 20-21 Gender paraphrased The Technique of Modern Energy Governance While moderns usually …. as scientifically and technologically unassailable.
Technocratic management makes extinction inevitable—no aff proposal can solve.
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51 If mainstream environmentalism is catching up with the …. that needs to be changed.
We must begin with a social critique and analysis of the modern energy regime. Ethical criticism cultivates alternatives to technocratic consumption.
Barry 12—John Barry, Reader Politics @ Queen’s University (Belfast) The Politics of Actually Existing Unsustainability p. 284-290 'Dissident' is perhaps a better and more … my writing this book and you reading it are constitutive of that struggle. CP—States Text: The fifty states should implement a feed in tariffs system for solar projects with a project size cap of 500 kilowatts, a program cap of 375 megawatts by 2020 at a "regular annual pace" with a term minimum of 20 years. The fifty states should expand their substance abuse, rape crisis and housing social services to better address women in need as per the Goodman evidence. States can do FIT programs
Gleason 2/29/12 (Jennifer, Environmental Law Alliance Worldwide, Adopting State Feed-in Tariff Laws without Federal Preemption, http://www.elaw.org/system/files/fed.preemption.feb_.29.2012.pdf
THE FEDERAL POWER ACT
The Federal Power Act (FPA) grants the federal …. Strong State Feed-in Tariffs. Better designed and expanded social services would help provide relief to homeless women
Goodman et.al. ’11 Lisa A. Goodman, Ph.D., Katya Fels, and Catherine Glenn, M.A. With contributions from Judy Benitez, No Safe Place: Sexual Assault in the Lives of Homeless Women Given that homeless women are raped more than ….position, is critical.
Solvency
Solar industry strong
Andrew 12 -- reporting and writing on a wide range of topics at the nexus of economics, technology, ecology/environment @ Clean Technica (8/27/12, "1H 2012 US Solar PV Installations Grow 120%; US Poised to be World’s 3rd-Largest Market," http://cleantechnica.com/2012/08/27/1h-2012-us-solar-pv-installations-grow-120-us-poised-to-be-worlds-3rd-largest-market/) Solar photovoltaic (PV) installations in …. some encouragement,” IMS’ Sharma elaborated. No spillover --- small scale solar won't scale up
Zehner 12 (Ozzie, visiting scholar at the University of California, Berkeley Ozzie Zehner graduated from Kettering University (BS - Engineering) and The University of Amsterdam (MS/Drs – Science and Technology Studies), Green Illusions: The Dirty Secrets of Clean, Energy and the Future of Environmentalism)
First, it is precarious to …. investment and divestment. Alt energy incentives kill the economy, raise electricity prices and don’t solve investor certainty
Thorning April 19, 12 ¶ (Margo, Senior Vice President and Chief Economist¶ American Council for Capital Formation¶ Before the¶ Subcommittees on Energy and Environment and Investigations and Oversight,¶ Committee on Science, Space and Technology¶ U.S. House of Representatives¶ Impact of Tax Policies on the Commercial Application of Renewable Energy Technology and on U.S. Economic Recovery¶ http://science.house.gov/sites/republicans.science.house.gov/files/documents/hearings/HHRG-112-SY21-WState-MThorning-20120419.pdf
Conclusions By …. stronger economic and job growth. Energy Bills Electricity prices declining
Burtraw 12 (one of the nation’s foremost experts on environmental regulation in the electricity sector. “Falling Emissions and Falling Prices: Expectations for the Domestic Natural Gas Boom” 8-21. http://common-resources.org/2012/falling-emissions-and-falling-prices-expectations-for-the-domestic-natural-gas-boom/) Moreover, the boom in …. in savings projected for 2020. FIT Raises electricity prices
Couture May 2009 (Toby, Karlynn Cory, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, State Clean Energy Policies¶ Analysis (SCEPA) Project: An¶ Analysis of Renewable Energy¶ Feed-in Tariffs in the United States¶ http://www.renewwisconsin.org/policy/ARTS/NREL%20Docs/NREL%20RE%20Feed-in%20Tariffs09%2045551.pdf 1.3 FIT Policy Challenges …. jeopardizing investor confidence (Klein et al. 2008). The cycle has started --- homelessness doesn't cause sexual abuse --- in many instances sexual abuse may precede or be a contributing factor of homelessness
Goodman et.al. ’11 Lisa A. Goodman, Ph.D., Katya Fels, and Catherine Glenn, M.A. With contributions from Judy Benitez, No Safe Place: Sexual Assault in the Lives of Homeless Women A number of studies have …. the abusive partner may also provide protection and companionship some of the time.
You have to assess consequences—they outweigh intent:
Issac, professor of political science at Indiana University, 2002 (Jeffrey, Dissent, Spring, ebsco) As writers such as Niccolo Machiavelli, …. political effectiveness. Politics
2NC—overview Disad outweighs and turns case—
economic collapse causes indo pak war and middle eastern instability resulting in nuclear war—that’s kemp. Immediate market freakout will result in the implosion of all economic conflicts broiling. We control timeframe—Debt limit fight coming, political capital is key to avert total market freak out
POLITICO 1 – 1 – 13 Enjoy the fiscal cliff debate? Just wait for the debt ceiling, http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=A4ED7193-AC63-44BA-A01C-31E5D9FC084B So while popular attention has been fixed on the fiscal cliff’s tax hikes and spending cuts — which economists said could lead to a recession — it’s the debt ceiling debate that is keeping investors awake at night, and that could tarnish the United States’ sterling reputation among creditors.
“Of all the so-called cliffs, only the debt ceiling is a real cliff because once you go off it you will plunge to your death,” said Jaret Seiberg, a policy analyst at Guggenheim Securities. “All of the other cliffs can be fixed retroactively, but once you default on the debt there is no taking that back.”
Obama has warned that he won’t allow 2013 to be a repeat of 2011, which brought the government within hours of a first-ever default, amid Republican demands that a debt ceiling hike be matched by equally large spending cuts. His stance has cheered liberals who felt the president got rolled two years ago.
And without mentioning the debt ceiling itself, Obama came out swinging Monday. In pointed remarks at the White House that angered many Republicans, the president warned that in the next round of deficit reduction talks, he will insist on a “balanced” approach that includes tax hikes, through a reform of the Tax Code, as well as entitlement changes.
“If Republicans think I will finish the job of deficit reduction through spending cuts alone,” Obama said, “then they’ve got another thing coming. That’s not how it’s going to work.”
The early debt ceiling maneuvering also underscores a bitter reality of the down-to-the-wire fiscal cliff fight: even after a 2012 election that was supposed to ease Washington’s divide on taxes and spending, the Capitol remains barely capable of making long-term policy.
Instead, Congress seems wedded to a deadline-to-deadline approach to policymaking.
For advocates of a grand bargain, the fiscal cliff deal itself is being derided as another kick of the proverbial can, though Obama tried to cast it in broader terms. “It may be we can do it in stages,” Obama said Monday. “We’re going to solve this problem instead in several steps.”
The debt ceiling fight will revolve around a host of bargaining chips left unresolved, and sitting on the table, in the fiscal cliff deal: the indiscriminate spending ax of the sequester, which Congress set up as part of the 2011 debt ceiling deal and delayed for two months in yesterday’s compromise, and which members of both parties want to replace; Republican demands for major changes to Medicare and Medicaid, and the inflation calculation used for Social Security benefits; and a tax reform process that members of both parties want to carry out next year.
Growth solves poverty—it is the essential foundation.
Ben-Ami 11 — Daniel Ben-Ami, journalist and author, regular contributor to spiked, has been published in the American, the Australian, Economist.com, Financial Times, the Guardian, the Independent, Novo (Germany), Ode (American and Dutch editions), Prospect, Shanghai Daily, the Sunday Telegraph, the Sunday Times, and Voltaire (Sweden), 2011 (“Growth is good,” Ode, June, Available Online at http://www.odemagazine.com/doc/print/75/growth-is-good, Accessed 08-16-2011)
We should never forget that economic progress has already improved our lives beyond recognition. The fact that many problems remain is an argument for more growth, not less. Restraining growth means accepting that many millions, even billions, of people will continue to live in dire poverty. Accelerating growth, in contrast, is an essential foundation for overcoming the remaining challenges facing humanity. Economic decline sparks regional conflicts—multiple flashpoints.
Lopez 98 — Bernardo V. Lopez, Freelance Journalist and Contributor to INQ7, 1998 (“Global recession phase two: Catastrophic,” BusinessWorld, September 10th, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Lexis-Nexis)
What would it be like if global recession becomes full bloom? The results will be catastrophic.
Certainly, global recession will spawn wars of all kinds. Ethnic wars can easily escalate in the grapple for dwindling food stocks as in India-Pakistan-Afghanistan, Yugoslavia, Ethiopia-Eritrea, Indonesia. Regional conflicts in key flashpoints can easily erupt such as in the Middle East, Korea, and Taiwan. In the Philippines, as in some Latin American countries, splintered insurgency forces may take advantage of the economic drought to regroup and reemerge in the countryside.
Unemployment worldwide will be in the billions. Famine can be triggered in key Third World nations with India, North Korea, Ethiopia and other African countries as first candidates. Food riots and the breakdown of law and order are possibilities.
2NC—uniqueness: fights coming Debt Ceiling fight coming
CNN MONEY 12 – 31 – 12 Debt ceiling is the next fiscal cliff, http://money.cnn.com/2012/12/31/news/economy/debt-ceiling-fiscal-cliff/?hpt=po_c2 No matter what happens with the fiscal cliff over the next few days, a potentially bigger budget mess is just around the corner.
Congress will have to raise the debt ceiling soon, probably by late February or early March.
The deadline sets the tables for another fight on Capitol Hill, where some Republican lawmakers view the debt limit as leverage in negotiations with President Obama over spending cuts and reforms to Medicare and Social Security.
The debt ceiling is a law that goes back to the early 1900s that caps how much debt the federal government can hold.
Last week, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner warned Congress that federal borrowing would hit the $16.394 trillion debt ceiling on Monday.
Treasury can then buy the government about $200 billion of borrowing headroom by employing "extraordinary measures" -- such as not reinvesting federal workers' retirement contributions in short-term bonds. With the public debt increasing about $100 billion a month, that gives Treasury about two more months to borrow and stay under the cap.
Geithner ruled out "fire sale" sales of stock it still owns in companies bailed out during the financial crisis; he also said it made no sense to raise money by selling gold held in U.S. reserves.
Last year, political brinksmanship over the debt limit led to the downgrade of the country's credit rating, roiled stock markets and raised questions about the country's willingness to pay all of its bills on time.
In fact, the debt ceiling has long pitted Congress against the White House, regardless which party controls each branch of government. 2NC—at: thumpers
More fights coming – will start IMMEDIATELY – Obama will have to work through them
LA TIMES 12 – 31 – 12 Obama wins 'fiscal cliff' victory, but at high cost, http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-fiscal-cliff-analysis-20130101,0,6417926.story?fb_ref=fb_widget The announcement Monday night of …. and gun control.
Fiscal fights first
AP 1 – 1 – 13 Cliffhanger no more? House pushing to final vote, http://www.boston.com/business/news/2013/01/01/not-solved-yet-gop-wants-more-cliff-spending-cuts/gbZkFKMqnw5uPC69jf4WrJ/story.html For all the …. benefit programs. Fiscal issues will thump everything else in the House
WEBER 1 – 1 – 13 Fox News Analyst Joseph Weber, Guns, immigration, fiscal issues emerge as top priorities for Obama, new Congress, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/01/01/gun-control-immigration-reform-fiscal-issues-emerge-as-top-issues-for-new/ Congressional leaders ….recurring debt ceiling issue. Issues don’t cost capital until they’re at the finish line
Drum 10 Kevin, Political Blogger, Mother Jones, http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2010/03/immigration-coming-back-burner Not to pick on Ezra or anything, ….But they will be soon. 2NC—link debate
Uniqueness determines the direction of the link—pol cap is necessary, but not sufficient.
Beckmann and Kumar 11—Professor of Political Science, UC, Irvine Matthew N. Beckmann and Vimal Kumar, How presidents push, when presidents win: A model of positive presidential power in US lawmaking, Journal of Theoretical Politics 2011 23: 3 Agreeing that presidents’ strategic … as Lyndon Johnson once put it. B. Media spin means only the bad parts will be discussed
Grunwald 8/14/12—Senior Nat'l Correspondent for Time Michael Grunwald, “The New New Deal,” http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/interrogation/2012/08/the_new_new_deal_a_book_argues_that_president_obama_s_stimulus_has_been_an_astonishing_success.2.html That said, the national media should have tried to look past that, but it didn’t, because the national media sucks at covering public policy. The stimulus …. of the stimulus. Energy policies overload the agenda.
Mann 9—Senior Fellow in Governance Studies at Brookings Thomas E., “From Campaigning to Governing: Politics and Policymaking in the New Obama Administration” New presidents …. for health technology, renewable energy and education. Pushing solar energy cost political capital
Las Vegas Review Journal 8 “Solar-power lobby's pressure has Ensign feeling alienated”, June 14, http://www.lvrj.com/business/19939644.html WASHINGTON -- Breaking with an industry that is …. solar will come to a halt, he said. 2NC—credit downgrade module Fights risks decline in credit ratings
POLITICO 1 – 1 – 13 Enjoy the fiscal cliff debate? Just wait for the debt ceiling, http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=A4ED7193-AC63-44BA-A01C-31E5D9FC084B Even if Congress ….address this issue.” |
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Immigration Ptx Disad
Immigration bill will pass
CSM 12 – 28 – 12 Immigration reform likely to be at the top of Congress’ agenda in 2013, www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/12/28/immigration-reform-likely-to-be-at-the-top-of-congress-agenda-in-2013 The momentum of President …. the initial terms for debate? Capital key
SHIFTER 12 – 27 – 12 PRESIDENT of the Inter-American Dialogue and adjunct professor of Latin American politics at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service Michael Shifter, Will Obama Kick the Can Down the Road?, http://www.thedialogue.org/page.cfm?pageID=32andpubID=3186 Not surprisingly, Obama has …. other priorities like immigration. Plan kills capital
China Daily 13 "US sees record Chinese investment," 1-1, http://www.china.org.cn/business/2013-01/01/content_27562067.htm But despite … their cash elsewhere. Immigration reform expands skilled labor --- spurs relations in China and India.
Los Angeles Times, 11/9/2012 (Other countries eagerly await U.S. immigration reform, p. http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/world_now/2012/11/us-immigration-reform-eagerly-awaited-by-source-countries.html) "Comprehensive … not," he said. US/India relations averts South Asian nuclear war.
Schaffer, Spring 2002 (Teresita – Director of the South Asia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Security, Washington Quarterly, p. Lexis) Washington's increased … with the United States. T- Restriction Interpretation—
On means directly in contact with and is exclusive—restrictions in the resolution must be ONLY on production, not tangentially related or broadly inclusive elements
Graham 16 (Arthur Butler, “Brief for Appellants – Wilson v. Dorflinger and Sons”, Court of Appeals – State of New York, Reg. 108, Fol. 387, 1916, p. 11-12)
The Standard Dictionary defines …. he may deem advisable.
Violation—The aff removes a restriction on something that might AFFECT production, but it is not a restriction ON production
Marchick, Plotkin and Fagan 5 David, Mark and David, “National Security Regulation of Foreign Investments and Acquistions in the United States,” China Law and Practice, June, pg 1 The US holds, unquestionably, the … deemed to be “critical infrastructure. Vote neg— - Limits—anything can restrict energy production. They open the floodgates
2. Balance of Ground—restrictions not directly ON production give the affirmative random advantages like that can’t be predicted
K—Consumption Energy production discourse traps us in a democratic-authoritarian bargain
Byrne and Toly 6 John Bryne Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware and Noah Toly Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 1-3 From climate change to acid rain, … and sustainable energy futures. Technocratic management makes extinction inevitable
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51 If mainstream environmentalism is … needs to be changed. We must begin with a social critique and analysis of the modern energy regime. Ethical criticism cultivates alternatives to technocratic consumption.
Barry 12—John Barry, Reader Politics @ Queen’s University (Belfast) The Politics of Actually Existing Unsustainability p. 284-290 'Dissident' is perhaps a better and more …. my writing this book and you reading it are constitutive of that struggle. Gulf DA State owned enterprises are arms of action for the CCP --- perceive oil rigs as part of their territory and as a strategic weapon
McCarthy 12 Shawn, “CNOOC’s bid for Nexen fuels security concerns,” 10-17, http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/cnoocs-bid-for-nexen-fuels-security-concerns/article4619564/ There are new warnings about national … should be carefully looked at,” he said. US investment would enable mobile Chinese territory in the Gulf of Mexico
Washington Times 12 “TRIPLETT: Obama’s war on American energy,” 9-6, http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/sep/6/obamas-war-on-american-energy/print/ Perhaps Mr. Romney had noticed this …. disowned by Beijing. Conflicts over oil near the US risk military conflict
Cerna 11 Michael, “China’s Growing Presence in Latin America: Implications for U.S. and Chinese Presence in the Region,” 4-15, http://www.chinacenter.net/chinas-growing-presence-in-latin-america-implications-for-u-s-and-chinese-presence-in-the-region/ As it stands, the Chinese are not … the U.S. versus China. AT: econ adv
Empirics prove no war.
Miller 1—Morris Miller is an adjunct economics professor at the University of Ottawa Jan.-Mar, 2001, “Poverty: A Cause of War?” Peace Magazine, http://peacemagazine.org/archive/v17n1p08.htm Economic Crises?
Some scholars have argued …. to abort another)." Trade rebounding
MB 12 “Modest Global Trade Rebound Seen,” 10-15, Manila Bulletin, http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/377271/modest-global-trade-rebound-seen#.UIWyv28701I Global trade is expected to … by 3.4 percent and 6.1 percent. Tons of alt causes --- solar tariffs, Buy America provisions and other countries domestic policies Protectionism IL is exaggerated --- fundamental economic trends are positive
Ross 12 John, visiting professor at Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, “Don't exaggerate range of global protectionism,” Global Times, 3-28, http://www.globaltimes.cn/DesktopModules/DnnForge%20-%20NewsArticles/Print.aspx?tabid=99andtabmoduleid=94andarticleId=702518andmoduleId=405andPortalID=0 But it is important not to … in the world economy. Dollar strengthening now
Seeking Alpha 10-23 “Crude Oil And Gold To Correct On A Strong Dollar,” http://seekingalpha.com/article/943501-crude-oil-and-gold-to-correct-on-a-strong-dollar This conclusion brings us to the next important …. "Risk Off" trade. Trade disputes don’t escalate – solidified international norms
Ikenson 12 March 5th, Daniel, Daniel Ikenson is director of the Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies at the Cato Institute,
http://www.cato.org/publications/free-trade-bulletin/trade-policy-priority-one-averting-uschina-trade-war
An emerging narrative in 2012 is that … and the recent trend reversible.1 AT: iran adv Opening up the US doesn’t prevent moves in Iran
Berman 12 Ilan, “Iran's Asian Lifeline,” 8-16, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443324404577592851646756614.html Yet so far, U.S. policy has not … market share. The review process gives us leverage over China that we can use to change their behavior
Downs 12 Erica S, fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, “China's Oil Investment Is Not a Threat,” 10-10, http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/10/10/China_Nexen_CNOOC_CFIUS One solution is to roll out the red carpet … the opportunity to do so. Sanctions aren’t enforced
Caravelli 11 Jack, Senior Visiting Fellow at the U.K. Defence Academy and Visiting Professor at Cranfield University, former Deputy Assistant Secretary at the U.S. Department of Energy, former member of the White House National Security Council, Beyond Sand and Oil: The Nuclear Middle East, p. 130-131 It can be argued that sanctions called … on the issue demonstrated by the U.S. government. Plan doesn’t encourage China cooperation fast enough to prevent Israeli strikes Iran isn’t developing nuclear weapons – qualified sources trump the constant threat of nuclearization
Cohen 11 Roger, columnist for the NYT and IHT, “Iran Without Nukes,” 6-13, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/14/opinion/14iht-edcohen14.html?_r=1 That’s largely because there’s another … Energy Agency inspection and allow rumors to swirl. No impact to a nuclear Iran – they will restrain themselves out of fear of retaliation by the US
Lindsay and Takeyh 10 James M., Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair, Council on Foreign Relations, and Ray, Senior Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations, "After Iran Gets the Bomb," Foreign Affairs; Mar/Apr2010, Vol. 89 Issue 2, p33-49, EBSCO A nuclear Iran might also be tempted to challenge its …United States are likely to deter Iran from acting impetuously.
AT: gas adv Exon-Florio can still block --- it’s the broad nature of the term national security, not energy production that chills investment Plan allows China to expand in the SCS
Rogers 12 Will, “CNOOC a Key Element in Beijing’s South China Sea Energy Strategy,” 8-6, http://www.cnas.org/blogs/naturalsecurity/2012/08/cnooc-key-element-beijing-s-south-china-sea-energy-strategy.html According to The Times of India, …offshore oil and natural gas drilling activities. Protests strengthen the regime
Wenfang Tang, 11/26/2012. Professor and C. Maxwell and Elizabeth M. Stanley Family and Hua Hsia Chair of Chinese Culture and Institutions and Comparative Politics @ Iowa. “Viewpoint: Are protests moving China backwards?” BBC, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-20405224. Every time a protest breaks out in China, … Chinese mob mentality may ultimately block the sun. IP blocks tech sharing
Platts 12 “FEATURE: US drillers take China's money, but deny access to technology,” 10-26, http://www.platts.com/RSSFeedDetailedNews/RSSFeed/Oil/8859078 Chinese oil and natural gas … foreign countries other than China. Tons of problems with Chinese development
Mandel 12 Jenny, EandE reporter, their author, “NATURAL GAS: Will U.S. shale technology make the leap across the Pacific?,” 7-17, http://www.eenews.net/public/energywire/2012/07/17/1 But despite extensive Chinese shale gas … investment could prove complicated. Natural gas doesn’t prevent water usage
Mandel 12 Jenny, EandE reporter, their author, “NATURAL GAS: Will U.S. shale technology make the leap across the Pacific?,” 7-17, http://www.eenews.net/public/energywire/2012/07/17/1 A much bigger issue is the industry's water … have staked prior claims (ClimateWire, Oct. 14, 2011). Resource nationalism will not lead to war – History is on our side
Hughes 11 - Professor of Political Science and International Affairs@ George Washington University Llewelyn Hughes, “Resource Nationalism in the Asia-Pacific: Why Does It Matter?,” Asia’s Rising Energy and Resource Nationalism: Implications for the United States, China, and the Asia-Pacific Region, National Bureau of Asian Research, NBR Special Report #31 | September 2011 The biggest concern about resource … other state-sponsored NOCs from oil-importing countries. Pg. 9-10 1nc No Russia-china impact
KARLIN 10 Runs Arctic Progress and Sublime Oblivion. San Fran based independent writer, political analyst and media critic focusing on the Russia, geopolitics and future global trends
Anatoly Karlin, Why Russia And China Won’t Fight, http://www.sublimeoblivion.com/2010/10/17/russia-china-no-war/ Every so often there appear …no matter what the sensationalists claim. China will not risk war—economics
Fravel, 12—Associate Professor of Political Science and member of the Security Studies Program at MIT. Taylor is a graduate of Middlebury College and Stanford University, where he received his PhD. He has been a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Olin Institute for Strategic Studies at Harvard University, a Predoctoral Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University, a Fellow with the Princeton-Harvard China and the World Program and a Visiting Scholar at the American Academy of Arts and Sciences(M. Taylor, “All Quiet in the South China Sea,” March 22nd, 2012, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137346/m-taylor-fravel/all-quiet-in-the-south-china-sea) Little noticed, however, has been … disputes into the U.S.-Chinese relationship. Other reviews would block or politicize
Jackson 12 James, Specialist in International Trade and Finance, “Foreign Direct Investment: Current Issues,” 2-11, http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/139257.pdf Much of the recent debate … less clearly defined. |
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2NC—overview
DA outweighs the case ---
Escalation is highly probable.
Geller 2005 (Daniel S. – Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science at Wayne State University, The India-Pakistan Conflict: An Enduring Rivalry, Ed. T. V. Paul, p. 99) In fact, both the May-July 1999 …. presence of nuclear weapons. Turns econ
Bush, McLarty and Alden, 09 – co-chairmen and director of a Council on Foreign Relations-sponsored Independent Task Force on U.S. Immigration Policy (7/21/09, Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and former White House Chief of Staff Thomas F. McLarty and Edward Alden, “Nation needs comprehensive, flexible immigration reform,” http://www.ajc.com/opinion/nation-needs-comprehensive-flexible-97393.html)
Our immigration system has been broken for too long, and …and citizenship. Turns trade
PAPARELLI 8 – 14 – 10 Partner - Immigration Practice Group of Seyfarth Shaw LLP. Certified Immigration Law Specialist J.D., Wayne State B.A., Michigan
Angelo A. Paparelli, Rethinking Immigration: Stop with the Protectionism, http://blogs.ilw.com/angelopaparelli/2010/08/yesterday-i-attended.html The border law is not a carefully …, the Russian émigré, sardonically observed: "What a country!" 2NC—uniqueness AND – here’s our framing issue – Capital insures the best bill possible and gets something passed. The more he has the better
DALLAS MORNING NEWS 1 – 2 – 13 (Editorial: Actions must match Obama’s immigration pledge, p. http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/editorials/20130102-editorial-actions-must-match-obamas-immigration-pledge.ece The president’s words to NBC’s David …. Meet the Press Sunday
Has momentum
Grant, 12/28/2012 (David, Immigration reform: Is 'amnesty' a possibility now?, Christian Science Monitor, p. http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2012/1228/Immigration-reform-Is-amnesty-a-possibility-now) The momentum of President … achievement of 2013. AND, there second uniqueness card concedes neg—many republicans like it. The article is about how republicans should take on the immigration debate without seeming obstructionist
Stanage and Easley 12/17/12 (Niall, Jonathan, staffwriters for the hill
"Republican leaders balance politics and principle on immigration reform" http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/273137-republican-leaders-balance-politics-and-principle-on-immigration-reform) Rep. James Lankford (R-Okla.), the … and social issues. 2NC—econ
That’s key to the economy and economic growth
Hinojosa-Ojeda 12 Founding Director of the North American Integration and Development Center at UCLA Raúl Hinojosa-Ojeda, The Economic Benefits of Comprehensive Immigration Reform Cato Journal, Vol. 32, No. 1 Winter 2012 The historical experience of …. pressure on wages.
Turns the aff
TUCKER 10 Pulitzer Prize winning Writer, Political and Economic Analyst Cynthia Tucker, We need immigrants to help pay the deficit, http://blogs.ajc.com/cynthia-tucker/2010/11/19/we-need-immigrants-to-help-pay-the-deficit/ If you’ve spent any time pondering those dense … workers with a path to legal status is in everyone’s best interest. 2NC—thumper Other issues don’t thump
FOLEY and STEIN 1 – 2 – 13 Huffington Post Staff Elise Foley and Sam Stein, Obama's Immigration Reform Push To Begin This Month, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/02/obama-immigration-reform_n_2398507.html Despite a bruising fiscal cliff battle … government and a debt ceiling that will soon be hit. Spending Capital on it now
TPM 1 – 3 – 13 Report: Obama To Make Push For Immigration Reform This Month, TOM KLUDT 7:11 AM EST, THURSDAY JANUARY 3, 2013, http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/report-obama-to-make-push-for-immigration-reform ¶ President Barack Obama is prepared … wing of his caucus. Bill being written – fight comes first. Gun control is months away
DAILY BEAST 1 – 2 – 13 http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2013/01/02/obama-set-to-tackle-immigration.html Obama Set to Tackle Immigration
Get ready for the next big fight. President … on until a few months later.
2NC—link
Politicians will freak at removing the national security requirements
Downs 10 Erica S., fellow at the John L. Thorton China Center at The Brookings Institution, Who’s Afraid of China’s Oil Companies?, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2010/7/china%20oil%20downs/07_china_oil_downs Who’s afraid of China’s … in, let alone win. Media spin means only the bad will be discussed
Grunwald 8/14/12—Senior Nat'l Correspondent for Time Michael Grunwald, “The New New Deal,” http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/interrogation/2012/08/the_new_new_deal_a_book_argues_that_president_obama_s_stimulus_has_been_an_astonishing_success.2.html That said, the national media should have tried to look … of the stimulus. Any risk of the link destroys aff solvency
Burke 11 John J, Partner at BakerHostetler, has over twenty years of practice in antidumping and countervailing duty proceedings before the U.S. Department of Commerce, the U.S. International Trade Commission, the U.S. Court of International Trade, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, NAFTA Bi-National Panels, the Canada Border Services Agency, the Canadian International Trade Tribunal, Mexico's Secretaria de Comercio y Fomento Industrial, Taiwan's Ministry of Finance and the World Trade Organization, Managing Editor of the practice's China-U.S. Trade Law blog, “The United States Welcomes Chinese Foreign Direct Investment - The Handful Of Deals Blocked By CFIUS Are Aberrant,” 2-7, http://www.chinaustradelawblog.com/2011/02/articles/investment/the-united-states-welcomes-chinese-foreign-direct-investment-the-handful-of-deals-blocked-by-cfius-are-aberrant/ Finally, CFIUS approval is not always the … in Congress can still stop one. Lots of opposition - and makes Obama a flip flop
PRG 2012 Gene Godley, Paul Nathanson and Josh Zive, Trade Policy and International Commerce, November 9, 2012 http://policyresolutiongroup.com/archives/1004 Foreign Investment Issues—Foreign investment in … and intellectual property rights. 2NC—winners win - Winners Lose and capital is finite – can’t replenish
BECKMANN and KUMAR 11 Professor of Political Science, UC, Irvine Matthew N. Beckmann and Vimal Kumar, How presidents push, when presidents win: A model of positive presidential power in US lawmaking, Journal of Theoretical Politics 2011 23: 3
As with all lobbyists, presidents looking to push …. systematically influence them. 2. Obama disproves
JACOBSON 11 distinguished professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego. Gary C. Jacobson, “Legislative Success and Political Failure: The Public’s Reaction to Barack Obama’s Early Presidency.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 41, no. 2 (June) The idea that a president’s legislative and … party that had won a sweeping victory just two years earlier. Congress is highly critical of CFIUS decisions and foreign acquisitions – will get involved – plan causes congressional backlash
Zaring 2010 David T., University of Pennsylvania - Legal Studies Department
CFIUS As A Congressional Notification Service, Southern California Law Review, Vol. 83, No. 1, 2010, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1585550 But the real story of CFIUS’s …. by the coordinate branches, CFIUS may offer a way forward.99 2NC—at: budget thumper Immigration is before economic issues – including budget battles
York, 1/2/2013 (Byron, For Obama, the Economy Never Comes First, Town Hall, p. http://townhall.com/columnists/byronyork/2013/01/02/for-obama-the-economy-never-comes-first-n1477781)
Many Republicans have … the economy second. |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Immigration bill will pass
CSM 12 – 28 – 12 Immigration reform likely to be at the top of Congress’ agenda in 2013, www.rawstory.com/rs/2012/12/28/immigration-reform-likely-to-be-at-the-top-of-congress-agenda-in-2013 The momentum of President Obama's …. Which party sets the initial terms for debate?
SMR’s are politically nuclear.
Fairley 10—IEEE Spectrum Peter, May, “Downsizing Nuclear Power Plants”, spectrum.ieee.org/energy/nuclear/downsizing-nuclear-power-plants/0 However, there are political …. as nuclear. Capital key
SHIFTER 12 – 27 – 12 PRESIDENT of the Inter-American Dialogue and adjunct professor of Latin American politics at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service Michael Shifter, Will Obama Kick the Can Down the Road?, http://www.thedialogue.org/page.cfm?pageID=32andpubID=3186 Not surprisingly, Obama has been …. take away energy and time from other priorities like immigration. CIR key to Latin American stability
Gittelson ‘9 (Citation: 23 Notre Dame J.L. Ethics and Pub. Pol'y 115 2009 THE CENTRISTS AGAINST THE IDEOLOGUES: WHAT ARE THE FALSEHOODS THAT DIVIDE AMERICANS ON THE ISSUE OF COMPREHENSIVE IMMIGRATION REFORM Robert Gittelson has been a garment manufacturer in the Los Angeles area for over twenty-five years. His wife, Patricia Gittelson, is an immigration attorney with offices in Van Nuys and Oxnard, California. Robert also works closely with Patricia on the administrative side of her immigration practice. Throughout his career, Mr. Gittelson has developed practical, first-hand experience in dealing with the immigration issues that are challenging our country today. In the alternative, should we fail to …. to secure our southern border? Extinction
Manwaring ‘5 (Max G., Retired U.S. Army colonel and an Adjunct Professor of International Politics at Dickinson College, venezuela’s hugo chávez, bolivarian socialism, and asymmetric warfare, October 2005, pg. PUB628.pdf) President Chávez also understands …. peace, and prosperity.65 |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Financial incentives are rebates, grants, loans, Tax Incentives, green building incentives, and industrial recruitment. Distinct from Community Investment and Rules and regulations
The aff isn’t an example of a topical incentive
Gouchoe 2k—North Carolina State University, National Renewable Energy Laboratory Susan, December 2000, Local Government and Community Programs and Incentives for Renewable Energy— National Report, http://seg.fsu.edu/Library/casestudy%20of%20incentives.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report presents a …. bibliography. VOTE NEGATIVE
PREDICTABLE LIMITS—the word incentives in the resolution is modified by financial to make it manageable. Going beyond makes the topic unpredictable. GROUND—financial incentives insure the aff has links to market disads and counterplans which are the only core negative ground across bi-directional energies. Holding the line key |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: The United States Federal Government should obtain, through Other Transactions authority, electricity from modular light water nuclear reactors with electrical output less than 300 megawatt electrical for its military bases in the United States.
The CP only incentivizes light water reactors. The plan’s open-ended incentive would be available for other SMR designs.
Companies are designing thorium SMRs for military installations.
Dan Yurman, 4/13/2012. Publishes a blog on nuclear energy titled 'Idaho Samizdat’ and is a frequent contributor to ANS Nuclear Café. “Nuclear start-ups have stretch goals,” The Energy Collective, http://theenergycollective.com/dan-yurman/82076/nuclear-start-ups-have-stretch-goals. On his website Kirk Sorensen writes …. authority and we would not be pursuing NRC licensing. DOD purchasing agreements are critical to get advanced SMR designs through the Valley of Death --- sparks broader commercialization.
Richard Andres and Hanna Breetz, 2011. Professor of National Security Strategy at the National War College and a Senior Fellow and Energy and Environmental Security and Policy Chair in the Center for Strategic Research, Institute for National Strategic Studies, at the National Defense University; and doctoral candidate in the Department of Political Science at The Massachusetts Institute of Technology. “Small Nuclear Reactors for Military Installations: Capabilities, Costs, and Technological Implications,” www.ndu.edu/press/lib/pdf/StrForum/SF-262.pdf. Thus far, this paper has reviewed two of DOD’s ….should pursue a leadership role now. Thorium would out-compete LWRs.
Megan Wait, 2/25/2011. “Thorium could trigger a nuclear renaissance, given its many advantages over uranium,” Mining Weekly, http://www.miningweekly.com/article/thorium-could-trigger-nuclear-renaissance-given-its-many-advantages-over-uranium-2011-02-25. Mulder differs: “The cost of mining …. last about 4 500 years. Undermines global uranium demand.
I.B Lambert, 2012. Geoscience Australia, Secretary General 34th IGC. “Global Uranium And Thorium Resources: Are They Adequate To Satisfy Demand Over The Next Half Century?” Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol 14, meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2012/EGU2012-2544.pdf. This presentation will consider the …. over the next half century. That destroys Kazakh economic modernization.
Gregory Gleason, 12/14/2011. Professor at the University of New Mexico and the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies. “KAZATOMPROM LOOKS EAST,” Central Asia Caucasus Institute Analyst, http://cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5683/print. BACKGROUND: Kazakhstan’s …. on China, India, Japan and Korea. Kazakh economic development is a key model for Central Asia --- instability would spread and trigger Central Asian conflict.
Margarita Assenova et al, 2008. Director of Institute for New Democracies @ CSIS; with Natalie Zajicova, Program Officer (IND); Janusz Bugajski, CSIS NEDP Director; Ilona Teleki, Deputy Director and Fellow (CSIS); Besian Bocka, Program Coordinator and Research Assistant (CSIS). “Kazakhstan’s Strategic Significance,” CSIS Institute for New Democracies, http://eurodialogue.org/Kazakhstan-Strategic-Significance. The decision by the …. has played a major role in exporting capital to its neighbors. |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Nuclear power not sustainable – Fukushima and overoptimistic forecasts
Schneider et al 12 Mycle, Antony Froggatt, independent consultants, and Julie Hazemann, Director of EnerWebWatch,“The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2012,” http://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/2012MSC-WorldNuclearReport-EN-V2-LQ.pdf Prior to the March 2011 (3/11) ……”. The statement is both crass and far from today’s reality.
Exports don't give leverage
Richard Cleary, 8/13/2012. Research assistant for the American Enterprise Institute's Program on Advanced Strategic Studies. “Persuading Countries to Forgo Nuclear Fuel-Making: What History Suggests,” In Nuclear Nonproliferation: Moving Beyond Pretense, http://npolicy.org/article.php?aid=1192andtid=30. In recent years, there has been a …. fuel-making, can be influential. Multiple alt causes to nuclear leadership
Lieberman 11 November 15, 2011 Nonproliferation, Congress, and Nuclear Trade: Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose Jodi Lieberman Jodi Lieberman is senior government relations specialist at the American Physical Society in Washington, D.C, http://csis.org/files/publication/111116_nonproliferation_congress_and_nucleartrade.pdf Current Environment
Last year, GAO conducted another …. little data to establish a direct link. Can’t solve norms and institutions – US has been the world leader since the 1950s – other countries haven’t developed extensive safety and security rules No widespread prolif
Hymans 12—Jacques E. C. Hymans is Associate Professor of IR at USC April 16, 2012, “North Korea's Lessons for (Not) Building an Atomic Bomb,” Foreign Affairs, http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/137408/jacques-e-c-hymans/north-koreas-lessons-for-not-building-an-atomic-bomb?page=show Washington's miscalculation is not just ….North Korea has a lot of company. Deterrence breakdowns don’t cause full-scale nuclear war
Waltz 3—Kenneth, Emeritus Professor of Political Science at UC Berkeley and Adjunct Senior Research Scholar at Columbia University, The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate Renewed, p. 34-35 States are deterred by the …. States during World War II. Turn meltdown
Lyman 8—Edwin Lyman is Senior Global Security Scientist with the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS). He specialises in nuclear proliferation, nuclear terrorism, and nuclear power safety. He has published many articles in journals and magazines and written many reports. Lyman was president of the Nuclear Control Institute. He has a Ph.D. in physics from Cornell University. September/October 2008, “Can nuclear plants be safer?” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 64, No. 4, pp. 34-37, http://www.psr.org/nuclear-bailout/resources/can-nuclear-plants-be-safer.pdf Even with subsidies provided by Congress… security that are needed. Risks all life on Earth
Adams 11 Mike, Editor of NaturalNews.com “Solar flare could unleash nuclear holocaust across planet Earth, forcing hundreds of nuclear power plants into total meltdowns,” 9-13, http://www.naturalnews.com/033564_solar_flares_nuclear_power_plants.html Forget about the 2012 Mayan calendar, comet … history of human civilization. |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
No grid risk
Clark 12 MA candidate – Intelligence Studies @ American Military University, senior analyst – Chenega Federal Systems, 4/28 (Paul, “The Risk of Disruption or Destruction of Critical U.S. Infrastructure by an Offensive Cyber Attack,” American Military University) This increased focus on cyber-security has led to … cannot be properly assessed. critical systems are air-gapped
Weimann 4 Gabriel Weimann, senior fellow at the United States Institute of Peace and professor of communication at the University of Haifa, Israel, 2004, Cyberterrorism How Real Is the Threat?, ttp://www.usip.org/files/resources/sr119.pdf Neither al Qaeda nor any other terrorist … as is the FBI’s entire computer system. No terminal impact—no incentive to attack us if our grid stopped working. The system is robust—they have learned from past experiences.
Cauley 11—President and Chief Executive Officer North American Electric Reliability Corporation Gerry Cauley, “HEADLINE: ELECTRIC GRID AND INFRASTRUCTURE SECURITY,” Committee on House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and Power, CQ Congressional Testimony, May 31, 2011 Tuesday The electricity being used in this room right now is … the bulk power system. No impact to sabotage
Newitz 10 ANNALEE NEWITZ, The US electrical grid is too crappy to be vulnerable to terrorist attack, say physicists,” IO9, October 13, 2010 8:30 AM, pg. http://io9.com/5662593/the-us-electrical-grid-is-too-crappy-to-be-vulnerable-to-terrorist-attack-say-physicists Last year, network theorists published …. in the eastern U.S. Hegemony doesn’t prevent war – its absence would have zero effect on international stability
Friedman 10 Ben, research fellow in defense and homeland security, Cato. PhD candidate in political science, MIT, Military Restraint and Defense Savings, 20 July 2010, http://www.cato.org/testimony/ct-bf-07202010.html Another argument for high military …. and threaten to drag us into wars, while providing no obvious benefit. |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Overview
Key to competitiveness
Bush and McLarty 9 (Jeb, Former Governor – Florida and Thomas F. III, President – McLarty Associates, et al., “U.S. Immigration Policy”, CFR Independent Task Force Report, 63, July, http://www.cfr.org/publication/20030/ us_immigration_policy.html) Immigrants are especially important … widely to such people. Competiveness key to economy and hegemony
Segal, 04 – Senior Fellow in China Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (Adam, Foreign Affairs, “Is America Losing Its Edge?” November / December 2004, http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20041101facomment83601/adam-segal/is-america-losing-its-edge.html)
The United States' global primacy …. entrepreneurship at home. Econ
Immigration reform boosts economic growth – multiple ways
BEADLE 12 – 10 – 12 Reporter/Blogger at ThinkProgress.org Amanda Peterson Beadle, Top 10 Reasons Why The U.S. Needs Comprehensive Immigration Reform, http://thinkprogress.org/justice/2012/12/10/1307561/top-10-reasons-why-the-us-needs-comprehensive-immigration-reform-that-includes-a-path-to-citizenship/?mobile=nc The nation needs a comprehensive immigration plan, …. For every immigrant who earns an advanced degree in one of these fields at a U.S. university, 2.62 American jobs are created. A2 Thumpers
Other issues don’t thump
FOLEY and STEIN 1 – 2 – 13 Huffington Post Staff Elise Foley and Sam Stein, Obama's Immigration Reform Push To Begin This Month, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/02/obama-immigration-reform_n_2398507.html Despite a bruising fiscal cliff battle that …. fund the government and a debt ceiling that will soon be hit.
Spending Capital on it now
TPM 1 – 3 – 13 Report: Obama To Make Push For Immigration Reform This Month, TOM KLUDT 7:11 AM EST, THURSDAY JANUARY 3, 2013, http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/report-obama-to-make-push-for-immigration-reform ¶ President Barack Obama is prepared to use his …. wing of his caucus. Bill being written – fight comes first. Gun control is months away
DAILY BEAST 1 – 2 – 13 http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2013/01/02/obama-set-to-tackle-immigration.html Obama Set to Tackle Immigration
Get ready for the next big fight. President … voted on until a few months later. Immigration is before economic issues – including budget battles
York, 1/2/2013 (Byron, For Obama, the Economy Never Comes First, Town Hall, p. http://townhall.com/columnists/byronyork/2013/01/02/for-obama-the-economy-never-comes-first-n1477781)
Many Republicans have accused Barack Obama of …. reform first, the economy second. Top of Agenda Immigration Reform top of the agenda
WEBER 1 – 1 – 13 Fox News Analyst Joseph Weber, Guns, immigration, fiscal issues emerge as top priorities for Obama, new Congress, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2013/01/01/gun-control-immigration-reform-fiscal-issues-emerge-as-top-issues-for-new/ After an election year in which legislative …. year to fix “our broken immigration system.” PC key Obama needs to spend capital to get CIR.
Hesson, 1/2/2013 (Ted, Analysis: 6 Things To Do for Immigration Reform, ABC News, p. http://abcnews.go.com/ABC_Univision/News/things-president-obama-immigration-reform/story?id=18103115#.UOSvpG88CSo) On Sunday, President Barack Obama …. to follow through. A2 Nominee Thumpers Obama avoiding nominee fights – Rice back down proves he’s saving capital
ZHOUIN 12 – 27 - 12 recent graduate of the International Relations Program at the University of Massachusetts Boston Dillon Zhouin, John Kerry Secretary of State: Obama Caved to GOP Pressure, http://www.policymic.com/articles/21365/john-kerry-secretary-of-state-obama-caved-to-gop-pressure Senator John Kerry is now President Obama's …. Kerry at the helms of the State Department. 2NC Wall—SMRs
Massive lobby opposition to SMRs—overwhelms any link turns
Szondy 12 David Szondy is a freelance writer based in Monroe, Washington. An award-winning playwright, he has contributed to Charged and iQ magazine and is the author of the website Tales of Future Past, Feature: Small modular nuclear reactors - the future of energy?, February 16, 2012, http://www.gizmag.com/small-modular-nuclear-reactors/20860/ Indeed, it is in government regulations …. red tape is still a very real thing. Everyone hates the plan—regs, lobbies, public, and recent accidents ensure a firestorm
Loudermilk 11 Micah J., Research Associate for the Energy and Environmental Security Policy program with the Institute for National Strategic Studies at National Defense University, contracted through ASE Inc; May 31, “Small Nuclear Reactors and US Energy Security: Concepts, Capabilities, and Costs,” http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_contentandview=articleandid=314:small-nuclear-reactors-and-us-energy-security-concepts-capabilities-and-costsandcatid=116:content0411andItemid=375 Path forward: Department of Defense ….: the US military. Military SMR’s cause fights in Congress
Parthemore and Rogers 10 Christine Parthemore and Will Rogers, Christine Parthemore is the Bacevich fellow at the Center for a New American Security. Will Rogers is a CNAS researcher. This piece is based on a recently released CNAS report on climate change, energy and the Department of Defense available, Nuclear Reactors on Military Bases May Be Risky, May 20, 2010 http://www.rollcall.com/news/-46456-1.html Are small nuclear reactors a smart …. be major concerns. AT: SMR Funding Now
SMR grants haven’t been appropriated by Congress yet.
Tomich 12—Energy and Environment Reporter for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch Jeffrey, Small nuclear reactors generate hype, questions about cost, 4/25 The Obama administration, which is …. the potential to be licensed and in commercial operation in a decade. A2 Dickinson / PC Irrelevant Their evidence is just that capital isn’t key 100% of the time – we don’t have to win that to win the disad. Our argument is that capital is occasionally key – and this bill is one of those times.
Capital theory is true – presidents act and change based on it. Influences the agenda
Marshall and Prins 11 BRYAN W. MARSHALL Miami University BRANDON C. PRINS University of Tennessee and Howard H. Baker, Jr. Center for Public Policy Power or Posturing? Policy Availability and Congressional Influence on U.S. Presidential Decisions to Use Force Presidential Studies Quarterly 41, no. 3 (September) 2011 We argue that the more important effect … to build and protect their relationship with Congress.
Even if capital isn’t key – NO CAPITAL destroys an agenda
BECKMANN and KUMAR 11 Professor of Political Science, UC, Irvine Matthew N. Beckmann and Vimal Kumar, How presidents push, when presidents win: A model of positive presidential power in US lawmaking, Journal of Theoretical Politics 2011 23: 3 Before developing presidents’ lobbying …. lobbying, then, is not much influence at all.11 A2 Winners-Win - Winners Lose and capital is finite – can’t replenish
BECKMANN and KUMAR 11 Professor of Political Science, UC, Irvine Matthew N. Beckmann and Vimal Kumar, How presidents push, when presidents win: A model of positive presidential power in US lawmaking, Journal of Theoretical Politics 2011 23: 3
As with all lobbyists, presidents …. influence them. 2. Obama disproves
JACOBSON 11 distinguished professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego. Gary C. Jacobson, “Legislative Success and Political Failure: The Public’s Reaction to Barack Obama’s Early Presidency.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 41, no. 2 (June) The idea that a president’s …. victory just two years earlier. |
| 01/07/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
2NC CP Commercialized thorium would outcompete light-water designs because of cheaper fuel inputs.
Richard Martin, 5/8/2012. Contributing editor for Wired since 2002, he has written about energy, for Time, Fortune, The Atlantic, and the Asian Wall Street Journal, editorial director for Pike Research, the leading cleantech research and analysis firm. “SuperFuel: Thorium, the Green Energy Source for the Future,” ISBN 978—0»230-116474. SO, IF YOU WERE GOING TO DESIGN and .... electricity on a cost-per-kilowatt basis. Education --- discussions of nuclear power are meaningless without considering reactor specifics and fuel cycle.
MIT, 2011. “The Future of Nuclear Power”, Chapter 4 – Fuel Cycles, 2011, http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/pdf/nuclearpower-ch4-9.pdf. The description of a possible global .... of the nuclear waste.4 *And, the military has already expressed interest in thorium reactors.
Kalee Thompson, 6/27/2011. freelance writer who covers science, the environment, and the outdoors. She was formerly an editor at Popular Science and National Geographic . “Concepts and Prototypes: Two Next-Gen Nukes,” Popular Science, http://www.popsci.com/technology/article/2011-06/next-gen-nuke-designs-promise-safe-efficient-emissions-free-energy. MSRs were developed at ....sitting next door to a data center,” Kutsch says. DOD support can push new designs through NRC licensing. Also, deployment on military bases can provide information to make licensing easier and reduce fears of deployment.
Loudermilk 11 Micah K. Loudermilk, Contributor Micah J. Loudermilk is a Research Associate for the Energy and Environmental Security Policy program with the Institute for National Strategic Studies at National Defense University, contracted through ASE Inc, “Small Nuclear Reactors and US Energy Security: Concepts, Capabilities, and Costs”, http://www.ensec.org/index.php?option=com_contentandview=articleandid=314:small-nuclear-reactors-and-us-energy-security-concepts-capabilities-and-costsandcatid=116:content0411andItemid=375, May 31, 2011,
Concerns over reactor safety and security are ....to their wide-scale adoption. Central Asia conflict will escalate to US-Russian nuclear war --- network-centric warfare compresses decision-making times and triggers miscalculation.
Roger McDermott, 12/6/2011. Honorary senior fellow, department of politics and international relations, university of Kent at Canterbury and senior fellow in Eurasian military studies, Jamestown Foundation. “General Makarov Highlights the “Risk” of Nuclear Conflict,” Eurasia Daily Monitor, http://www.jamestown.org/programs/edm/single/?tx_ttnews%5Btt_news%5D=38748andtx_ttnews%5BbackPid%5D=27andcHash=dfb6e8da90b34a10f50382157e9bc117. In the current election season the Russian ... of the Cold War would wish to chew on. only existential risk.
Nick Bostrom, 2002. Gannon Award winner, Professor of philosophy at Oxford University. http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html. A much greater existential risk ...that we will encounter in the 21st century.
K Can’t solve – eliminating every coal plant would only be a POINT 2 degree change
RAPIER 12 Chief Technology Officer at Merica International – a Renewable Energy Company, Master’s in Chemical Engineering from Texas AandM University Robert Rapier, Study: Eliminating Coal-Fired Power is Worth 0.2 Degrees in 100 Years, http://www.consumerenergyreport.com/2012/03/05/study-eliminating-coal-fired-power-is-worth-0-2-degrees-in-100-years/ Who could have dreamed solving climate change would be so easy? .... see how the West can possibly do anything about it. grid The risk of nuclear terrorism is vanishingly small --- terrorists must succeed at each of twenty plus stages --- failing at one means zero risk.
Mueller ‘10 (John, Woody Hayes Chair of National Security Studies at the Mershon Center for International Security Studies and a Professor of Political Science at The Ohio State University, A.B. from the University of Chicago, M.A. and Ph.D. @ UCLA, Atomic Obsession – Nuclear Alarmism from Hiroshima to Al-Qaeda, Oxford University Press, Accessed @ Emory) LIKELIHOOD In his thoughtful, influential, ....uninspiring or even terminally dispiriting. "
Hegemony is useless – multiple failures
Nye 11 Joseph S., professor at Harvard, "American power after bin Laden," 5-9, Korea Times, Lexis When one state is preponderant in .... resources forever. 2NC --- Proliferation U China doesn't overcome world trends --- long construction times
Schneider et al 12 Mycle, Antony Froggatt, independent consultants, and Julie Hazemann, Director of EnerWebWatch,“The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2012,” http://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/2012MSC-WorldNuclearReport-EN-V2-LQ.pdf The lifetime projections make possible ...., including those under development.). Nuclear energy does not cause states to seek weapons – causality goes in the opposite direction – means that current risk of proliferation is low
Bluth 10 (Christopher, Professor of International Studies at the University of Leeds. “Correspondence: Civilian Nuclear Cooperation and the Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.” International Security 35.1: Summer 2010. http://www.matthewkroenig.com/resources/Publications/Kroenig_Correspondence.pdf.) Hypothesis 1: Countries receiving peaceful .... risks of proliferation. Plus the US is seen as a hypocrite when setting nonproliferation standards
Moltz 5 James Clay, Deputy Director at Monterey Institute of International Studies, “Practical Steps for Improving U.S. Nonproliferation Leadership,” 6-1, http://www.nti.org/analysis/articles/improving-us-nonproliferation-leadership/ At the same time, however, as states ponder the failure of the ....the nonproliferation field? |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: mich ap | Judge: mio-chin, murray, duffy
Will pass – capital key – issues will be worked out
CT POST 3 – 28 – 13 Connecticut Post http://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Immigration-reform-gaining-support-in-Congress-4393187.php A Republican Party in desperate search for relevance to Latino voters. An expanded Democratic
AND
experiences along the way," said Frank Sharry, America's Voice executive director. Plan forces political energy fights—saps capital—also proves rollback
Geman 10 Ben, The Hill, April 1, 2010, http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/90137-drilling-push-shakes-up-climate-fight- While most of the drilling proposal can be undertaken using executive power, expanded drilling
AND
Sierra Club and the Natural Resources Defense Council — also slammed the proposal. Capital is the lynchpin – has enough now
THE ATLANTIC 2 – 21 – 13 There's Reason to Be Optimistic About Congress—Seriously, http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/02/theres-reason-to-be-optimistic-about-congress-seriously/273393/ Nevertheless, this is a new congressional session, and Boren's pessimism might possibly be
AND
Washington's top leaders -- discussion of a deal being cut becomes sharply pessimistic. Shortage of skilled workers in cyber fields undermines defense against attacks.
Reuters, 6/13/2012. “Experts warn of shortage of U.S. cyber pros,” http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/13/us-media-tech-summit-symantec-idUSBRE85B1E220120613. Leading cyber experts warned of a shortage of talented computer security experts in the United
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U.S. universities do not produce enough math and science graduates. Cyberterrorists will obtain or launch nukes – guarantees great power escalation.
Jason Fritz, July 2009. Researcher for International Commission on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament, former Army officer and consultant, and has a master of international relations at Bond University. “Hacking Nuclear Command and Control,” http://www.icnnd.org/latest/research/Jason_Fritz_Hacking_NC2.pdf. This paper will analyse the threat of cyber terrorism in regard to nuclear weapons.
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its own, without the need for compromising command and control centres directly. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: mich ap | Judge: miro-chin, murray, duffy
Text: The United States federal government should reduce the corporate tax rate to 25%. The United States Bureau of Land Management should gradually increase helium stockpile prices to a market level, up to 50 times higher than it currently is over the next year. Solves helium
Metcalfe 12 Tom, "The end of helium?," 12-4, http://www.kidela.com/resources/the-end-of-helium/ But extracting helium from natural gas and refining it is expensive, and by 1995
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year, and is forecast to increase 30 percent by 2020.8 Solves economic growth
Fichtner 12 Jason, senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center, “Increasing America’s Competitiveness by Lowering the Corporate Tax Rate and Simplifying the Tax Code,” 1-31, http://mercatus.org/publication/increasing-america-s-competitiveness-lowering-corporate-tax-rate-and-simplifying-tax WHAT REFORMS ARE MOST LIKELY TO ADVANCE THESE GOALS? There is broad consensus across
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are biased against saving, investment, job creation, and economic growth. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: mich ap | Judge: miro-chin, duffy, murray
Text: The Secretary of the Department of the Interior should mandate that companies who lease federal lands for conventional natural gas production submit plans to diligently develop federal land and water and levy an extra 4 dollar fee per year on acres of federal land or water that go unused. Undeveloped leases now—don’t need additional lands
Goldfuss 12 Christy, Public Lands Project Director at the Center for American Progress Action Fund, “The American Energy Initiative: A Focus on Growing Differences for Energy Development on Federal vs. Non-Federal Lands,” 8-2 http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2012/08/goldfuss_testimony.html These efforts to improve the process for the oil and gas industry have continued,
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resources are and the best resources have recently been on private lands. ¶ |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: mich ap | Judge: miro-chin, duffy, murray
Drilling risks US militarization to protect economic interests
Backus tech staff @ Sandia National Lab 12 - Principal member of technical staff at Sandia National Laboratories and uses behavioral and physical simulation methods to access security risks associated with climate change George Backus (Director of environmental and energy research at Cambridge Econometrics), “Arctic 2030: What are the consequences of climate change? The US response,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists July/August 2012 vol. 68 no. 4 9-16 Because no entity, other than perhaps the Russian government, has the military bases
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, unless national security forces have the ability to readily manage the situation. Capabilities will include ballistic missile defense and increase the risk of conflict escalation
Al-Achkar Researcher at Harvard 12 - Data Collection and Analysis Coordinator @ Harvard University Ziad Al-Achkar (Co-Founder of Internationalist at Hawk) , “The Implications of a melting Arctic: Militarization, Security Concerns, Power and Policy,” The Internationalist at Hawk, August 7, 2012 at 8:26 pm, pg. http://www.theinternationalistathawk.com/the-implications-of-a-melting-arctic-militarization-security-concerns-power-and-policy/ In 2009, The United States Navy released a roadmap for the Artic in which
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may be required for the Navy to increase its engagement in this region.”
Compared to Russia; The navy roadmap indicated the U.S is dragging behind
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the context of regional security and increased interaction in the Arctic.”. That risks war
Blunden Professor of IR 09 – Professor of International Affairs @ University of Westminster Margaret Blunden, “The New Problem of Arctic Stability,” Survival | vol. 51 no. 5 | Oct–Nov 2009 | pp. 121–142 The Arctic region remains stable for the moment but there is a risk that it
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caused by the Georgia crisis in 2008 offers a new opportunity for progress. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: mich ap | Judge: miro-chin, murray, duffy
Nuclear power demand increasing now and will buoy uranium prices, but gains could be reversed if natgas undercuts nuclear.
Brett Arends, 1/18/2013. “Uranium: Mining a Contrarian Play With Big Potential,” Wall Street Journal, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323783704578245791855437054.html. Investors looking for a bold contrarian bet should consider the stocks of companies exposed to
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gas or solar power, might prove cheaper or more abundant than expected. That destroys Kazakh economic modernization.
Gregory Gleason, 12/14/2011. Professor at the University of New Mexico and the George C. Marshall European Center for Security Studies. “KAZATOMPROM LOOKS EAST,” Central Asia Caucasus Institute Analyst, http://cacianalyst.org/?q=node/5683/print. BACKGROUND: Kazakhstan’s uranium industry is a key part of the country’s diversification and modernization
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market in Asia, focusing on China, India, Japan and Korea. Kazakh economic development is a key model for Central Asia—instability would spread and trigger Central Asian conflict.
Margarita Assenova et al, 2008. Director of Institute for New Democracies @ CSIS; with Natalie Zajicova, Program Officer (IND); Janusz Bugajski, CSIS NEDP Director; Ilona Teleki, Deputy Director and Fellow (CSIS); Besian Bocka, Program Coordinator and Research Assistant (CSIS). “Kazakhstan’s Strategic Significance,” CSIS Institute for New Democracies, http://eurodialogue.org/Kazakhstan-Strategic-Significance. The decision by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) to
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as Kazakhstan has played a major role in exporting capital to its neighbors. Central Asia conflict will escalate
Ahrari Professor of National Security 1 (M. Ehsan, Professor of National Security and Strategy of the Joint and Combined Warfighting School at the Armed Forces Staff College, August 2001, “Jihadi Groups, Nuclear Pakistan and the New Great Game,” http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub112.pdf) South and Central Asia constitute a part of the world where a well-designed
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partners for the United States, thus representing a gain for all concerned. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: ndt | Round: 2 | Opponent: | Judge:
Economy Drilling will destroy numerous biological hotspots
Gravitz Environment America 9—Oceans Advocate for Environment America Michael Gravitz, Statement at the Department of Interior Hearing On Offshore Ocean Energy Development in Atlantic City, New Jersey, April 6, 2009, pg. http://tinyurl.com/cxkzanz 3. When deciding whether to approve seismic testing or exploration and production off the
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off New Jersey support a large and economically important clam and scallop industry. Human survival is at risk
Nautiyal Centre for Ecological Economics 10—Centre for Ecological Economics and Natural Resources @ Institute for Social and Economic Change and Department of Earth and Space Sciences @ Indian Institute of Space Science and Technology SUNIL NAUTIYAL1 and RAMA RAO NIDAMANURI “Conserving Biodiversity in Protected Area of Biodiversity Hotspot in India: A Case Study,” International Journal of Ecology and Environmental Sciences 36 (2-3): 195-200, 2010 The hotspots are the world’s most biologically rich areas hence recognized as important ecosystems not
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sustainable ecosystem management in such areas is therefore supported by this¶ study.
No card that US economy affects the global economy Cheap US production isn’t key --- rising costs in other countries is driving reshoring.
Uttara Choudhury, 3/29/2013. “US firms ‘reshore’ manufacturing as costs rise in China, India,” FirstPost, http://www.firstpost.com/world/us-firms-reshore-manufacturing-as-costs-rise-in-china-india-678613.html. A growing number of American companies are moving their manufacturing back to the US,
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costs, is making manufacturing in the US less expensive for American companies. Shale sustainable --- peer reviewed, thorough, comprehensive and contains control variables
UT 2-28 "New, Rigorous Assessment of Shale Gas Reserves Forecasts Reliable Supply from Barnett Shale Through 2030," 2-28, http://www.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/28/new-rigorous-assessment-of-shale-gas-reserves-forecasts-reliable-supply-from-barnett-shale-through-2030/ AUSTIN, Texas — A new study, believed to be the most thorough assessment
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is potentially analogous to offshore oil in terms of impact,” Tinker says. Natural gas prices rising slowly --- won't spike
EIA 2-12 most recent report, "SHORT-TERM ENERGY OUTLOOK," http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/natgas.cfm Natural gas spot prices averaged $3.33 per MMBtu at the Henry Hub
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$1.83 per MMBtu and $4.31 per MMBtu. No investment in natural gas only leases
MarEx 11 (Maritime Executive , “Gas-Only Drilling in Offshore Moratorium Areas Suggested”, 1/19, http://www.maritime-executive.com/article/2005-10-20gas-only-drilling-in-offshore-moratori)
Oil and gas industry groups are criticizing a provision in House offshore drilling legislation that
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, only to be forced to abandon the resource, stranding substantial investments." Gas prices are always volatile --- no matter the source
Thomas W. Overton, JD, 3/4/2013. POWER’s gas technology editor. “Why We Need to Be Cautious in the Shift to Gas,” Power Magazine, http://www.powermag.com/gas/gas_power_direct/Why-We-Need-to-Be-Cautious-in-the-Shift-to-Gas_5413.html. U.S. natural gas production is remaining stubbornly high, and the Energy
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end up forcing even more coal plants into retirement than current projections estimate. No econ impact
Robert Jervis 11, Professor in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, December 2011, “Force in Our Times,” Survival, Vol. 25, No. 4, p. 403-425 Even if war is still seen as evil, the security community could be dissolved
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bad times bring about greater economic conflict, it will not make war thinkable Helium
No particle acceleration—evidence is from Citation News. No particle acceleration solvency—ban now
Substitutes solve Natural gas doesn't mean more helium
Kammerzell 11 Jaime – Energy Writer, “Helium to Move from Byproduct to Primary Drilling Target“, 11/18, http://rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=112735 "Virtually all of the commercially extractable helium in the U.S. is
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missing, there will be no accumulation of helium," Bo Sears said. Helium not key to nuclear testing—people in Arizona are already pursuing the technology. Also, their evidence says that we would need additional RandD
No production --- not economical
Ross 12 Robert, Junior Analyst at Casey Research, a financial consulting firm, "Where Has All the Helium Gone?," 5-3, http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/where-has-all-helium-gone Much of the helium( as radioactive by-product formed in the Earth's crust
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finite helium supply will be wasted until the federal government alters its policy. Tons of supply now
Worstall 12 - Fellow @ Adam Smith Institute in London Tim Worstall, “What Great Helium Shortage?,” Forbes 8/27/12, pg. http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2012/08/27/what-great-helium-shortage/
We’re being regaled again with stories about how the world is running out of a
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over whether our great great grandchildren will still be able to have them. Sub solve
Board on Physics and Astronomy 10 Selling the Nation's Helium Reserve, The National Academies Press, http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=12844andpage=R1 For some applications, other gases can replace helium, but other applications rely critically
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thermal conductivity is the important property. Often, hydrogen may be substituted. Science/Transformation
Heg doesn’t prevent war
Friedman 10 Ben, research fellow in defense and
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and threaten to drag us into wars, while providing no obvious benefit. Science diplomacy ineffective
Dickson 09 - Director of SciDev.Net David Dickson, “The limits of science diplomacy,” Scidev.net, 4 June 2009, pg. http://www.scidev.net/en/editorials/the-limits-of-science-diplomacy.html Some scientific collaboration clearly demonstrates what countries can achieve by working together. For example
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abroad to lie for his country". But he touched a raw nerve. No emp attack
NYT 11 "Among Gingrich’s Passions, a Doomsday Vision," 12-12, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/12/us/politics/gingrichs-electromagnetic-pulse-warning-has-skeptics.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0 But it is to the risk of an EMP attack that Mr. Gingrich has
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missile, these experts argue — United States defenses would spring into action. No impact to meltdowns
Cravens 2 Gwyneth, Novelist and Journalist, “Terrorism and Nuclear Energy: Understanding the Risks”, http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2002/spring_weapons_cravens.aspx
Could any of the 103 nuclear reactors in the United States be turned into a
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hundreds of miles square. Any release of radioactivity would remain on site. Even if had semiconductors --- not hardening systems now because of time and expense
Global Security 11 "High-power microwave (HPM) / E-Bomb," http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/munitions/hpm.htm A difficulty is determining the appropriate level of energy to achieve the desired effects.
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of commercial and military equipment will be susceptible to this type of attack. |
| 03/29/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
T
ON indicates the object of the action that’s American Heritage 00 The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition copyright ©2000 Used to indicate ..... meditated on his actions. Restrictions on production must mandate a decrease in the quantity produced
Anell 89 Chairman, WTO panel "To examine, in the light of the relevant GATT provisions, the matter referred to the CONTRACTING PARTIES by the United States in document L/6445 and to make such findings as will assist the CONTRACTING PARTIES in making the recommendations or in giving the rulings provided for in Article XXIII:2." 3. On 3 April 1989, the Council was informed that agreement had been reached on the following composition of the Panel (C/164): Composition Chairman: Mr. Lars E.R. Anell Members: Mr. Hugh W. Bartlett Mrs. Carmen Luz Guarda CANADA - IMPORT RESTRICTIONS ON ICE CREAM AND YOGHURT Report of the Panel adopted at the Forty-fifth Session of the CONTRACTING PARTIES on 5 December 1989 (L/6568 - 36S/68), http://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/88icecrm.pdf The United States argued that absence of all government measures. 1NC Text: The United States federal government should eliminate its nuclear weapons arsenal and should down-blend its stock of Highly Enriched Uranium into Low Enriched Uranium. The United States federal government should not reduce restrictions on civilian energy production processes. More is less. Framing energy policy in terms of production increases inequality and militarization.
John BYRNE Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware AND Noah TOLY Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 7-8 Describing the ideal ....to militarize its operations. Nuclear energy encourages faith in progress while sacrificing vulnerable populations to state interests.
Welsh 2k—Ian Welsh, Sociology @ Cardiff Mobilising Modernity p. 3-9 I argue here that ....consolidation of science within western civilisation. Faith in nuclear progress is scientific idolatry—the affirmative’s advocacy of nuclear power produces authoritarian technology and politics.
Wynne 11—Brian Wynne Science Studies and Research Director of the Centre for the Study of Environmental Change @ Lancaster (UK) Rationality and Ritual 2nd Edition p. 2-4 After almost 20 years of virtual global moratorium, .... This is a despotic politics of technology. The aff’s politics of risk result in inevitable extinction through technocratic management.
Crist 7 Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, “Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse,” Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51 If mainstream environmentalism ... and culturally, that needs to be changed. The nuclear industrial complex rests genocidal nuclear colonialism of indigenous peoples. Refusal to consider the impacts of mining, disposal, and testing justifies the destruction of entire peoples for energy luxury.
Endres 9—Danielle Endres, Communication at Utah “The Rhetoric of Nuclear Colonialism” Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies 6 (1) p. 39-42 Since the Manhattan Project, we have seen ..... and water, which could harm animal and plant life.15 Colonialism must be rejected in each instance.
Nermeen Shaikh, @ Asia Source, ‘7 Development 50, “Interrogating Charity and the Benevolence of Empire,” palgrave-journals
It would probably be incorrect to ....the Mediterranean generally (Anidjar, 2003, 2007). The technopolitics of the nuclear fuel cycle necessitate colonial hierarchy. The aff is imperial domination pursued by technical market means.
Gabrielle HECHT History @ Michigan ’11 in Entangle Geographies: Empire and Technopolitics in the Cold War ed. Gabrielle Hecht p. 3-8 Underlying much of our analysis is ... reverberate into the present. They’re using strategic silence on fuel cycle to avoid complicity with colonialism.
Danielle ENDRES Communication @ Utah ‘9 “The Rhetoric of Nuclear Colonialism” Communication and Critical/Cultural Studies 6 (1) p. 53-54 Strategic Silence In addition to .... silence, we are told, is never complete.’’82
2NC RESTRICTIONS --- feeds into de-politicization energy production. Consolidating the existing energy regime guarantees policy failure.
John BYRNE Director Center for Energy and Environmental Policy and Public Policy @ Delaware AND Noah TOLY Research Associate Center for Energy and Environmental Policy ‘6 in Transforming Power eds. Byrne, Toly, and Glover p. 10-12 Immaterial techniques Repair of the existing ....nuclear energy systems in wide use. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: US-EU FTA coming now --- removing barriers on natural gas exports decimates it
Kilisek 13 Roman, M.A. in Diplomacy and International Relations, "EU-U.S. Free Trade Agreement – Why the American Push Forward Now?," 2-27, http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2013/02/27/eu-us-free-trade-agreement-why-the-american-push-forward-now/ Thus, to answer the question ....natural gas of just $3.45 as of today (Henry Hub spot price). FTA boosts the economy, trade and relations
Daniel S. Hamilton and Joseph P. Quinlan 13 Director and Senior Fellow at the Center for Transatlantic Relations at Johns Hopkins University, "U.S.-EU Free Trade Agreement: Global Game-Changer?," 2-23, http://pjmedia.com/blog/u-s-eu-free-trade-agreement-global-game-changer/?singlepage=true Momentum is building for .....s like China is by working together, not apart. Strategic alliance solves all problems
Stivachtis 10 – Director of International Studies Program @ Virginia Polytechnic Institute Dr. Yannis. A. Stivachtis (Professor of Poli Sci @ Virginia Polytechnic Institute and Ph.D. in Politics and International Relations from Lancaster University), THE IMPERATIVE FOR TRANSATLANTIC COOPERATION,” The Research Institute for European and American Studies, 2010, pg. http://www.rieas.gr/research-areas/global-issues/transatlantic-studies/78.html
There is no doubt that ....against those who do not share that vision. Econ collapse causes nuclear war.
Kemp 10 Director of Regional Strategic Programs at The Nixon Center, served in the White House under Ronald Reagan, special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Near East and South Asian affairs on the National Security Council Staff, Former Director, Middle East Arms Control Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
(Geoffrey Kemp, The East Moves West: India, China, and Asia’s Growing Presence in the Middle East, p. 233-4) The second scenario, called Mayhem ... two-thirds of the planet’s population. Extinction
Copley News Service 99 (December 1, L/N) For decades, many children .... the specter of nuclear winter. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Drilling risks US militarization to protect economic interests
Backus tech staff @ Sandia National Lab 12 - Principal member of technical staff at Sandia National Laboratories and uses behavioral and physical simulation methods to access security risks associated with climate change George Backus (Director of environmental and energy research at Cambridge Econometrics), “Arctic 2030: What are the consequences of climate change? The US response,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists July/August 2012 vol. 68 no. 4 9-16 Because no entity, other than perhaps the ...the ability to readily manage the situation. Capabilities will include ballistic missile defense and increase the risk of conflict escalation
Al-Achkar Researcher at Harvard 12 - Data Collection and Analysis Coordinator @ Harvard University Ziad Al-Achkar (Co-Founder of Internationalist at Hawk) , “The Implications of a melting Arctic: Militarization, Security Concerns, Power and Policy,” The Internationalist at Hawk, August 7, 2012 at 8:26 pm, pg. http://www.theinternationalistathawk.com/the-implications-of-a-melting-arctic-militarization-security-concerns-power-and-policy/ In 2009, The United States Navy released a ... regional security and increased interaction in the Arctic.”. That risks war
Blunden Professor of IR 09 – Professor of International Affairs @ University of Westminster Margaret Blunden, “The New Problem of Arctic Stability,” Survival | vol. 51 no. 5 | Oct–Nov 2009 | pp. 121–142 The Arctic region remains stable .... crisis in 2008 offers a new opportunity for progress. Shipbuilders are doing well – Our ev is predictive
SF Chronicle 2/8/13 “Global Military Shipbuilding and Submarines Industry Market Research Report from IBISWorld has Been Updated,” Published 9:00 am, Friday, February 8, 2013 http://www.sfgate.com/business/prweb/article/Global-Military-Shipbuilding-and-Submarines-4262420.php#ixzz2Kb40wAn7 Despite the massive effect of the ... Global Military Shipbuilding and Submarines industry report page. Naval power unneccessary for current challenges
Ollivant 12 Douglas, Senior National Security Fellow with the New America Foundation, "Go Army, Beat Navy," 9-28, http://newamerica.net/publications/articles/2012/go_army_beat_navy_72057 The fact is that there are ... operates remotely piloted vehicles and cargo aircraft. Death tolls are massively exaggerated.
Leitenberg ‘6 (Milton, Senior research scholar at the University of Maryland, Trained as a Scientist and Moved into the Field of Arms Control in 1966, First American Recruited to Work at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Affiliated with the Swedish Institute of International Affairs and the Center for International Studies Peace Program at Cornell University, Senior Fellow at CISSM, http://www.commondreams.org/views06/0217-27.htm) The United States has spent at least $..., measles and cholera, which kill more than 11 million people each year? |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Accidental methane hydrate release
Morningstar 11 Cory Morningstar, “Destination—Hell. Are we there yet?,” Huntington News, Sunday, March 27, 2011—01:09, pg. http://www.huntingtonnews.net/2768 US Department of Energy meeting summary... increase of 30°F." Causes dead zones
Yamamoto et al 9 A., Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, Y. Yamanakaa, b, E. Tajika,c “Modeling of methane bubbles released from large sea-floor area: Condition required for methane emission to the atmosphere,” 6-21, Ebsco Applying our results to PETM, it ....released into the atmosphere. Extinction
Maglir 10 Fand, “Consider the Global Effects of Oil Spill on Oxygen Supply,” 9-6, http://www.naturalnews.com/029666_oil_spill_oxygen_supply.html
Open-ocean microalgae ....oxygen supply, is killed off. Shale sustainable --- peer reviewed, thorough, comprehensive and contains control variables
UT 2-28 "New, Rigorous Assessment of Shale Gas Reserves Forecasts Reliable Supply from Barnett Shale Through 2030," 2-28, http://www.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/28/new-rigorous-assessment-of-shale-gas-reserves-forecasts-reliable-supply-from-barnett-shale-through-2030/ AUSTIN, Texas — A new study, believed to be .... oil in terms of impact,” Tinker says. Natural gas prices rising slowly --- won't spike
EIA 2-12 most recent report, "SHORT-TERM ENERGY OUTLOOK," http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/natgas.cfm Natural gas spot prices averaged .... $1.83 per MMBtu and $4.31 per MMBtu. No exports --- too expensive, spread of shale boom and local opposition
Krauss 13 Clifford, reporter for the NYT, "Exports of American Natural Gas May Fall Short of High Hopes," 1-5, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/05/business/energy-environment/exports-of-us-gas-may-fall-short-of-high-hopes.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0 Countries around the world are .... permits and financing. Increases coal exports --- not natural gas
Science Daily 12 "US Shale Gas Drives Up Coal Exports," 10-26, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/10/121029082223.htm A report by researchers at The .... from genuinely low and zero carbon alternatives" Status quo solves
Rosen 12 Yereth, "ConocoPhillips restarts LNG exports from Alaska," 6-14, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/14/us-conoco-lng-idUSBRE85D06C20120614 ConocoPhillips (COP.N) has resumed ... ownership of the facility. Cronin evidence isn't reverse causal --- alliance won't collapse now
Nan 13 Zhao, reporter for the Global Times, "US won’t let Japan go its own way," 1-16, http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/756349.shtml Although the Japan-US .... and its larger plan. Alliance sustainable --- fundamental agreements allow cooperation --- anything else is media hype
Yokota 10 Takashi, NEWSWEEK’s correspondent in Tokyo and the editor-in-chief of NEWSWEEK Nihonban, "The Japan-U.S. alliance is still strong.," 1-21, http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/01/21/a-pacific-squall.html In the run-up to the 50th anniversary of .... believe any hype about a crisis. Doesn't prevent china rise
Harner 12 Stephen, "The U.S.-Japan Alliance is on the Wrong Side of History," 11-28, http://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenharner/2012/11/28/the-u-s-japan-alliance-is-on-the-wrong-side-of-history/ This is the reality: responding to ...and other countries in the region and globally. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Accidental methane hydrate release
Morningstar 11 Cory Morningstar, “Destination—Hell. Are we there yet?,” Huntington News, Sunday, March 27, 2011—01:09, pg. http://www.huntingtonnews.net/2768 US Department of Energy meeting summary... increase of 30°F." Causes dead zones
Yamamoto et al 9 A., Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, Y. Yamanakaa, b, E. Tajika,c “Modeling of methane bubbles released from large sea-floor area: Condition required for methane emission to the atmosphere,” 6-21, Ebsco Applying our results to PETM, it ....released into the atmosphere. Extinction
Maglir 10 Fand, “Consider the Global Effects of Oil Spill on Oxygen Supply,” 9-6, http://www.naturalnews.com/029666_oil_spill_oxygen_supply.html
Open-ocean microalgae ....oxygen supply, is killed off. Shale sustainable --- peer reviewed, thorough, comprehensive and contains control variables
UT 2-28 "New, Rigorous Assessment of Shale Gas Reserves Forecasts Reliable Supply from Barnett Shale Through 2030," 2-28, http://www.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/28/new-rigorous-assessment-of-shale-gas-reserves-forecasts-reliable-supply-from-barnett-shale-through-2030/ AUSTIN, Texas — A new study, believed to be .... oil in terms of impact,” Tinker says. Natural gas prices rising slowly --- won't spike
EIA 2-12 most recent report, "SHORT-TERM ENERGY OUTLOOK," http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/natgas.cfm Natural gas spot prices averaged .... $1.83 per MMBtu and $4.31 per MMBtu. No exports --- too expensive, spread of shale boom and local opposition
Krauss 13 Clifford, reporter for the NYT, "Exports of American Natural Gas May Fall Short of High Hopes," 1-5, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/05/business/energy-environment/exports-of-us-gas-may-fall-short-of-high-hopes.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0 Countries around the world are .... permits and financing. Increases coal exports --- not natural gas
Science Daily 12 "US Shale Gas Drives Up Coal Exports," 10-26, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/10/121029082223.htm A report by researchers at The .... from genuinely low and zero carbon alternatives" Status quo solves
Rosen 12 Yereth, "ConocoPhillips restarts LNG exports from Alaska," 6-14, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/14/us-conoco-lng-idUSBRE85D06C20120614 ConocoPhillips (COP.N) has resumed ... ownership of the facility. Cronin evidence isn't reverse causal --- alliance won't collapse now
Nan 13 Zhao, reporter for the Global Times, "US won’t let Japan go its own way," 1-16, http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/756349.shtml Although the Japan-US .... and its larger plan. Alliance sustainable --- fundamental agreements allow cooperation --- anything else is media hype
Yokota 10 Takashi, NEWSWEEK’s correspondent in Tokyo and the editor-in-chief of NEWSWEEK Nihonban, "The Japan-U.S. alliance is still strong.," 1-21, http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/01/21/a-pacific-squall.html In the run-up to the 50th anniversary of .... believe any hype about a crisis. Doesn't prevent china rise
Harner 12 Stephen, "The U.S.-Japan Alliance is on the Wrong Side of History," 11-28, http://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenharner/2012/11/28/the-u-s-japan-alliance-is-on-the-wrong-side-of-history/ This is the reality: responding to ...and other countries in the region and globally. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Accidental methane hydrate release
Morningstar 11 Cory Morningstar, “Destination—Hell. Are we there yet?,” Huntington News, Sunday, March 27, 2011—01:09, pg. http://www.huntingtonnews.net/2768 US Department of Energy meeting summary... increase of 30°F." Causes dead zones
Yamamoto et al 9 A., Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, Y. Yamanakaa, b, E. Tajika,c “Modeling of methane bubbles released from large sea-floor area: Condition required for methane emission to the atmosphere,” 6-21, Ebsco Applying our results to PETM, it ....released into the atmosphere. Extinction
Maglir 10 Fand, “Consider the Global Effects of Oil Spill on Oxygen Supply,” 9-6, http://www.naturalnews.com/029666_oil_spill_oxygen_supply.html
Open-ocean microalgae ....oxygen supply, is killed off. Shale sustainable --- peer reviewed, thorough, comprehensive and contains control variables
UT 2-28 "New, Rigorous Assessment of Shale Gas Reserves Forecasts Reliable Supply from Barnett Shale Through 2030," 2-28, http://www.utexas.edu/news/2013/02/28/new-rigorous-assessment-of-shale-gas-reserves-forecasts-reliable-supply-from-barnett-shale-through-2030/ AUSTIN, Texas — A new study, believed to be .... oil in terms of impact,” Tinker says. Natural gas prices rising slowly --- won't spike
EIA 2-12 most recent report, "SHORT-TERM ENERGY OUTLOOK," http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/natgas.cfm Natural gas spot prices averaged .... $1.83 per MMBtu and $4.31 per MMBtu. No exports --- too expensive, spread of shale boom and local opposition
Krauss 13 Clifford, reporter for the NYT, "Exports of American Natural Gas May Fall Short of High Hopes," 1-5, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/05/business/energy-environment/exports-of-us-gas-may-fall-short-of-high-hopes.html?pagewanted=alland_r=0 Countries around the world are .... permits and financing. Increases coal exports --- not natural gas
Science Daily 12 "US Shale Gas Drives Up Coal Exports," 10-26, http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/10/121029082223.htm A report by researchers at The .... from genuinely low and zero carbon alternatives" Status quo solves
Rosen 12 Yereth, "ConocoPhillips restarts LNG exports from Alaska," 6-14, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/14/us-conoco-lng-idUSBRE85D06C20120614 ConocoPhillips (COP.N) has resumed ... ownership of the facility. Cronin evidence isn't reverse causal --- alliance won't collapse now
Nan 13 Zhao, reporter for the Global Times, "US won’t let Japan go its own way," 1-16, http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/756349.shtml Although the Japan-US .... and its larger plan. Alliance sustainable --- fundamental agreements allow cooperation --- anything else is media hype
Yokota 10 Takashi, NEWSWEEK’s correspondent in Tokyo and the editor-in-chief of NEWSWEEK Nihonban, "The Japan-U.S. alliance is still strong.," 1-21, http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/01/21/a-pacific-squall.html In the run-up to the 50th anniversary of .... believe any hype about a crisis. Doesn't prevent china rise
Harner 12 Stephen, "The U.S.-Japan Alliance is on the Wrong Side of History," 11-28, http://www.forbes.com/sites/stephenharner/2012/11/28/the-u-s-japan-alliance-is-on-the-wrong-side-of-history/ This is the reality: responding to ...and other countries in the region and globally. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
2NC Shipbuilding Now Lack of commercial orders does not affect military
Baczkowski 2 Robert, LtCol in the USMC and other US armed forces personnel, "2002 Industry Studies: Shipbuilding," The Industrial College of the Armed Forces National Defense University Fort McNair Washington, DC The US shipbuilding industry has .... ship is sufficiently robust to complement US domestic production Won't build new ships --- too expensive
Hansen 12 Michael, "US-Build requirement for ships: Dilemma for Hawaii, Guam, Alaska, and Puerto Rico," 1-26, http://www.hawaiifreepress.com/ArticlesMain/tabid/56/articleType/ArticleView/articleId/5974/USBuild-requirement-for-ships-Dilemma-for-Hawaii-Guam-Alaska-and-Puerto-Rico.aspx A dilemma is facing the .... of service as older ships are withheld from service and not replaced. No Exports 2nc Doesn't solve anything
DiFilippo 2 Anthony, Prof. Sociology at Lincoln University, “The Challenges of the U.S.-Japan Military Arrangement: Competing Security Transitions in a Changing International Environment,” pg. 13 One thing that has not changed about the U.S.-... it perceives from the other nuclear powers. Shale Sustainable 2NC Shale is sustainable for decades, cyclical rise and fall doesn’t mean it’s a bubble
Hanger 11/26/12—John Hanger, expert on energy, electric markets, and utility regulation with unique experience in and out of government, Special Counsel at the law firm Eckert Seamans and a Democratic candidate for Governor of PA, former Secretary of the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection and Commissioner of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission 11/26/12, “Debunking Latest Attacks On Shale Gas As Bubble/Ponzi Scheme and Systemic Threat To Economy,” http://johnhanger.blogspot.com/2012/11/debunking-latest-attacks-on-shale-gas.html Shale gas production for nearly ....supply certainly totals many decades more. We'll go through their warrants here ---
Yes it declines rapidly after the first year --- but lasts significantly longer
Maize 12 Kennedy, executive editor of MANAGING POWER, "Is Shale Gas Shallow or the Real Deal?," Power, Dec2012, Vol. 156, Issue 12, EBSCO Bullish on Gas
But Perm State geologist Terry .... for conventional gas wells. Consolidation - not collapse
Brooks 3-5 G. Allen Brooks works as the Managing Director at PPHB LP, "Musings: Will Barnett Shale Study End Debate Over Gas Outlook?," http://www.rigzone.com/news/oil_gas/a/124801/Musings_Will_Barnett_Shale_Study_End_Debate_Over_Gas_Outlook The larger, aggressive independents .... support the shale gas economics. Berman’s wrong---flawed data, ignores new highly productive plays
Hurdle 12 – Jon Hurdle, December 5th, 2012, "Are US Shale Gas Resources Overstated? Part 2" energy.aol.com/2012/12/05/are-us-shale-gas-resources-overstated-part-2/ Enthusiasm over the US ...abundance of natural gas." The US uses 24tcf per year – means the plan is only good for 3 years
Energy Information Administration, 8-29-2012, “Frequently Asked Questions,” http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=58andt=8
EIA estimates that there are 2,203 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas that is technically recoverable in the United States. At the ... 92 years. Even a single onshore shale field is six times bigger than all OCS resources
Inman 12 Mason, National Geographic News, Feb 29, "Estimates Clash for How Much Natural Gas in the United States", news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2012/03/120301-natural-gas-reserves-united-states/
Engelder is often given ... as the EIA's 2011 estimate. |
| 03/30/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge:
Diversification now
RT 13 "Fitch: Gazprom’s sales to Europe likely to stay weak in 2013," http://rt.com/business/news/fitch-gazprom-weak-sales-europe-995/ Gazprom’s sales are predicted .... compete with Russian natural gas supplies. Plan's full removal of our export policy reduces US leverage in FTAs
Levi 12 Michael, Senior Fellow for Energy and Environment – Council on Foreign Relations, “A Strategy for U.S. Natural Gas Exports,” Hamilton Project – Brookings Institute, June, Discussion Paper 2012-04, http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2012/6/13%20exports%20levi/06_exports_levi U.S. law distinguishes between ... and market-based pricing. Exports are a key bargaining chip in the negotiations
Berzins 13 Kristine, Berlin-based consultant who writes about energy policy, climate change, and transatlantic relations for European and American policymakers, M.A. in international relations from Cambridge University, American Clear Skies Foundation "euroPean ViewS on american natural gaS exPortS," Feb, http://www.cleanskies.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/EuropeReport_FINAL.pdf LNG exports are also likely to factor ....is discussed further in Chapter 6 of this report). |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Will pass – capital key – issues will be worked out
CT POST 3 – 28 – 13 Connecticut Post http://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Immigration-reform-gaining-support-in-Congress-4393187.php-http://www.ctpost.com/local/article/Immigration-reform-gaining-support-in-Congress-4393187.php A Republican Party in desperate search for relevance to Latino voters. An expanded Democratic advantage in the Senate. A second-term President with his legacy on the line.
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"We will have not only a few potholes, but a few near-death experiences along the way," said Frank Sharry, America’s Voice executive director. Nuclear power in space extremely unpopular and costs PC
Lemos 07 – Science Journalist, BS from Cornell University
~Robert "Space Industry Wants Nuke Power, but Public Fear Persists",http://www.wired.com/print/science/space/news/2007/09/space_nukes~~ Yet, concerns that an accident at launch would expose people to radioactivity have caused some citizens to staunchly oppose the technology.
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"I went down to get a cup of coffee at a cafe before the New Horizons mission, and the lady behind the counter wanted to know what time she should get underneath the table," May said. Capital is the lynchpin – has enough now
THE ATLANTIC 2 – 21 – 13 ~There’s Reason to Be Optimistic About Congress—Seriously, http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/02/theres-reason-to-be-optimistic-about-congress-seriously/273393/-http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/02/theres-reason-to-be-optimistic-about-congress-seriously/273393/~~ Nevertheless, this is a new congressional session, and Boren’s pessimism might possibly be
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And on this subject — the relationships among Washington’s top leaders — discussion of a deal being cut becomes sharply pessimistic. Shortage of skilled workers in cyber fields undermines defense against attacks.
Reuters, 6/13/2012. "Experts warn of shortage of U.S. cyber pros," http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/13/us-media-tech-summit-symantec-idUSBRE85B1E220120613. Leading cyber experts warned of a shortage of talented computer security experts in the United States,
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The comments echo those of other technology industry executives who complain U.S. universities do not produce enough math and science graduates. Cyberterrorists will obtain or launch nukes – guarantees great power escalation.
Jason Fritz, July 2009. Researcher for International Commission on Nuclear Nonproliferation and Disarmament, former Army officer and consultant, and has a master of international relations at Bond University. "Hacking Nuclear Command and Control," http://www.icnnd.org/latest/research/Jason_Fritz_Hacking_NC2.pdf-http://www.icnnd.org/latest/research/Jason_Fritz_Hacking_NC2.pdf. This paper will analyse the threat of cyber terrorism in regard to nuclear weapons.
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its own, without the need for compromising command and control centres directly. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: A. Interpretation —- Energy production in the context of nuclear power means net electricity generation.
Energici, February 2012. Provides business intelligence and decision support services to companies and investors active in the wind, solar, hydro, geothermal and bioenergy industries. Specializes in providing robust research, analysis and intelligence coverage of trends and developments. *All information sourced from EIA. "PRIMARY ENERGY PRODUCTION (MONTHLY)," http://www.energici.com/energy-profiles/by-country/europe-m-z/sweden/49-countries/north-america/usa/usa-geothermal/449-primary-energy-production-http://www.energici.com/energy-profiles/by-country/europe-m-z/sweden/49-countries/north-america/usa/usa-geothermal/449-primary-energy-production. Definition : Primary Energy Production is the amount of energy converted from a primary energy
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and wood-derived fuels consumption; biomass waste consumption and biofuels feedstock. B. Violation —- plan provides incentives for nuclear propulsion. That generates heat and thrust, not electricity.
Brian Dodson, 1/21/2013. PhD Physics @ U Illinois. "NASA team pushing towards thermal nuclear propulsion systems," GizMag, http://www.gizmag.com/nasa-nuclear-cryogenic-propulsion/25772/. A thermal nuclear rocket engine uses a nuclear reactor to heat hydrogen to very high
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-g acceleration), but do so with roughly half the fuel requirement. C. Vote negative. - Limits —- they would open up the floodgates to allow any number of applications of nuclear energy outside the context of power production —- testing affs, radioisotopes, numerous research and medical applications.
2. Ground —- they exclude core DAs to energy production, like electricity prices and energy trade-off DAs. A. Interpretation —- Financial incentives are tax incentives, grants, loans, rebates, industry recruitment, bonds, and production incentives.
DSIRE 12—Database of State Incentives for Renewables and Efficiency ~DSIRE Clickable Incentives and Efficiency Map, http://www.mrsolar.com/content/dsire.php~~%23.UBAIwrRCapW~~ What types of renewable energy incentives does DSIRE track?
The DSIRE project tracks information on state, utility, local, and selected federal incentives that promote the use of renewable energy technologies. For more information on federal incentives, see What federal incentives does DSIRE track. On the DSIRE website, incentives are grouped into two categories as follows:
(1) Financial Incentives: tax incentives, grants, loans, rebates, industry recruitment, bond programs, and production incentives.
(2) Rules, Regulations, %26 Policies: public benefits funds, renewables portfolio standards, net metering, interconnection, extension analysis, generation disclosure, contractor licensing, equipment certification, solar/wind access laws, and construction %26 design standards (including building energy codes and energy standards for public buildings), required utility green power options, and green power purchasing/aggregation policies. B. Violation —- R%26D isn’t tied to energy production —- plan is at best an indirect incentive.
EIA, 1992. Energy Information Administration, Office of Energy Markets and End Use, U.S. DOE. "Federal Energy Subsidies: Direct and Indirect Interventions in Energy Markets," ftp://tonto.eia.doe.gov/service/emeu9202.pdf-ftp://tonto.eia.doe.gov/service/emeu9202.pdf. Research and development. The budgetary cost of Government-funded research and development (
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energy prices and costs, and so could be considered an indirect subsidy. C. Vote negative —- - Limits —- almost any government action can indirectly impact energy markets —- only direct financial disbursements for production provide a stable topic.
2. Ground —- they can avoid core production DAs like natural gas or electricity prices —- indirect R%26D allows affs to be constructed around research spin-offs while spiking out of core generics.
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| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Text: The National Aeronautics and Space Association should create and implement a prize to demonstrate a hybrid chemical/solar-electric propulsion system in the United States. CP solves exploration —- accesses all of their travel speed warrants. Shortcomings of pure solar-propulsion don’t apply.
David Szondy, 11/5/2012. Freelance writer based in Monroe, Washington. "NASA examines hybrid solar-electric propulsion for manned space missions," GizMag, http://www.gizmag.com/hybrid-solar-electric-space-nasa/24791/. A marriage of the tortoise and the hare may be the key to exploring the Solar System. At least, that’s the belief of Nathan Strange, a mission formulation systems engineer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, who has outlined a plan to use hybrid chemical/solar-electric propulsion systems for the manned exploration of the Moon, Mars and the asteroids.
Getting around space is a matter of velocities. To get from Earth to Mars, for example, you need to change your velocity from that of Earth’s orbit to that of Mars. This change, or "delta-v," is what space travel is. Everything else is just details. The problem is, how to change that velocity without expending enormous amounts or energy or taking forever to get where you’re going.
Currently, we rely almost entirely on chemical rockets for space travel. They do
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large rocket, but not much of it gets to the other end.
Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP) systems such as ion drives-http://www.gizmag.com/ad-astra-ion-engine-mars-39-days/12342/ and Hall thrusters-http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hall_effect_thruster seem
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only ten percent payload, an SEP vehicle can be 60 percent payload.
All that sounds great, but SEPs suffer from extremely low thrust – about the
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radiation shielding, more time wasted in travel and less at the destination.
Strange and his team believe that the answer lies in combining these methods into a
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. After that, the SEP would propel the ship to its destination.
This combination reduces the travel time and the SEP allows for ships and supplies to be pre-positioned while the crew rendezvouses later. It also produces a net reduction in the amount of energy, though it would require flexibility as to destination and departure time. Indeed, where you would go with such a hybrid system would be a question of opportunities – which targets you could reach at a particular time and the particular state of technology. Nuclear propulsion risks accidents that would spread lethal radiation across the globe.
Karl Grossman, 7/21/2011. Professor of journalism at the State University of New York/College at Old Westbury. "What Could Truly End the Space Program: A Nuclear Disaster Overhead," OpEd News, http://www.opednews.com/articles/What-Could-Truly-End-the-S-by-Karl-Grossman-110721-80.html. NASA’s Final Environmental Impact statement admits that a large swath of Earth could be impacted by plutonium in an accident involving it. The document’s section on "Impacts of Radiological Releases" says "the affected environment" could include "the regional area near the Cape Canaveral Air Force Station and the global area."
"Launch area accidents would initially release material into the regional area, defined"to be within "62 miles of the launch pad," says the document. This is an area from Cape Canaveral west to Orlando.
But "since some of the accidents result in the release of very fine particles
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and China Hawaii and other Pacific islands, and Mexico and southern Texas.
Then, as the rocket carrying Curiosity up gains altitude, the impacts of an accident in which plutonium is released would be even broader. The plutonium could affect people "anywhere between 28-degrees north and 28-degrees south latitude," says the NASA document. That’s a band around the mid-section of the Earth including much of South America, Africa and Australia.
Dr. Helen Caldicott, president emeritus of Physicians for Social Responsibility, has long
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dose. The pathway of greatest concern is the breathing in plutonium particle. NASA has a high historical launch failure rate —- nuclear propulsion means those accidents would cause extinction through global ecosystem destruction and would turn the case by triggering backlash against the space program.
Bruce Gagnon, 1/27/2003. Coordinator of the Global Network Against Weapons %26 Nuclear Power in Space. "Nuclear Power In Space And The Impact On Earth’s Ecosystem," Space Daily, http://www.spacedaily.com/news/nuclearspace-03b.html. After a 30-year shutdown of plans for the nuclear rocket, the Bush administration has resuscitated the technology by giving NASA nearly %241 billion in the next five years to expand its space nuclear and propulsion research and development program
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has come for vigorous global public debate around the space nuclear power issue. |
| 03/31/2013 | Tournament: | Round: | Opponent: | Judge: Nuclear power discourse encourages sacrifices vulnerable populations to state interests.
Welsh 2k—Ian Welsh, Sociology @ Cardiff ~Mobilising Modernity p. 3-9~ I argue here that the implementation of nuclear power recasts state citizen relations, weakening
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which has been central to the institutional consolidation of science within western civilisation. Nuclear power advocates perform scientific idolatry – the aff produces authoritarian technology and politics.
Brian WYNNE Science Studies and Research Director of the Centre for the Study of Environmental Change @ Lancaster (UK) ’11 Rationality and Ritual 2nd Edition p. 2-4 After almost 20 years of virtual global moratorium, civil nuclear energy is being promoted
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worthiness of collective respect.4 This is a despotic politics of technology. The aff’s politics of risk result in inevitable extinction through technocratic management.
Crist 7 ~Eileen Crist, Associate Professor of Science and Technology in Society at Virginia Tech University, 2007, "Beyond the Climate Crisis: A Critique of Climate Change Discourse," Telos, Volume 141, Winter, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via Telos Press, p. 49-51~ If mainstream environmentalism is catching up with the solution promoted by Teller, and perhaps
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project of colonizing the Earth, of what critical theorists called world domination.
Domination comes at a huge cost for the human spirit, a cost that may
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what largely will enable more climate-change-driven damage to occur.
Human alienation from the biosphere further manifests in the recalcitrance of instrumental rationality, which
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civilization as presently configured economically and culturally, that needs to be changed. Alternative - We have an obligation to critique the gate-keeping that occurs in nuclear policy debates.
Taylor and Kinsella 7—Bryan Taylor Communications @ UC Boulder and William Kinsella Communication @ NC State ~Nuclear Legacies eds. Taylor and Kinsella p. 6-10~ Third is a closely associated tradition of argumentation theory and analy¬sis. This tradition extends
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their evaluation of controversial nuclear-scientific data; see also Gusterson 1996). |
