Tournament:  | Round: All | Opponent: All | Judge: All

Obama wins now – but it’s a slight lead

McParland, 9/4 (Kelly, “Kelly McParland: Polls show Obama losing, and winning, with disconsolate voters,” National Post, Sept. 4 2012, http:~/~/fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2012/09/04/kelly-mcparland-polls-show-obama-losing-and-winning-with-disconsolate-voters/http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2012/09/04/kelly-mcparland-polls-show-obama-losing-and-winning-with-disconsolate-voters/.)

One of the oddities of the U.S. ... Obama's lead in several crucial swing states.

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Approval ratings key – empirically determine election

Jones 12 (Jeffrey, “Thirteen States and D.C. Give Obama Majority Approval,” Gallup Politics, August 1, http:~/~/www.gallup.com/poll/156389/)

The 13 states and District of Columbia ... the balance in either candidate's favor

Romney would support Israel strikes against Iran – draws in U.S. and causes Mid East war

Merry 12 (Robert, ditor of The National Interest and the author of books on American history and foreign policy. , “Romney Edges U.S. toward War with Iran,” The National Interest, August 1, http:~/~/nationalinterest.org/commentary/)

Most significantly, while Obama talks ... that much closer to another Mideast war.