Hernandez-Sladek Aff

1AC
Plan
The United States Federal Government should eliminate restrictions on oil drilling in the Alaskan National Wildlife Reserve. 

Economy Advantage 1AC
Economic collapse coming now – failure to resolve creates a sustained recession
Morici, 12 (Peter, July 26, 2012, economist and professor at the University of Maryland's Smith School of Business, “The coming economic collapse and what can – and cannot – be done”, http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2012-07-26/news/fl-pmcol-economics-fri0727-20120726_1_wall-street-banks-export-driven-growth-tax-cuts, 8/2/12, atl)

The US is key to the global recovery
Caploe, 09 (David, PhD in International political economy from Princeton, “Focus still on America to lead global recovery,” The Straits Times, 8/2/12)

Economic crisis causes war–strong statistical support
Royal, 10 (Jedediah, director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense, Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal, and Political Perspectives, pg 213-215)

Plan solves 2 ways:
 

1) Employment measures
Weidenbaum, 05 (Murray, Edward Mallinckrodt Distinguished University Professor and Honorary Chairman of the Murray Weidenbaum Center on the Economy, January, 2005, “The Case for Drilling”, http://www.crawfordsworld.com/rob/HEG/HEG_Economics/HEGHomework/Brief02ALASKAPRO.html, 8/3/12, atl)

Oil is key – it has a massive trickledown effect
Energy Security Leadership Council, 12 (May 8, 2012, Members: Admiral Dennis C. Blair, U.S. Navy (Ret.) Former Director of National Intelligence and Commander in Chief, U.S. Pacific Command General Bryan “Doug” Brown, U.S. Army (Ret.) Former Commander, U.S. Special Operations Command Steve Cahillane President and CEO, Coca-Cola Refreshments (CCR), The Coca-Cola Company Admiral Vern Clark, U.S. Navy (Ret.) Former Chief of Naval Operations General Richard A. Cody, U.S. Army (Ret.) Former Vice Chairman, U.S. Army General James Conway, U.S. Marine Corps (Ret.) 34th Commandant, United States Marine Corps Sam Gilliland Chairman and CEO, Sabre Holdings Adam M. Goldstein President and CEO, Royal Caribbean International General John A. Gordon, U.S. Air Force (Ret.) Former Homeland Security Advisor to the President Maurice R. Greenberg Chairman and CEO, C.V. Starr and Co., Inc General John W. Handy, U.S. Air Force (Ret.) Former Commander, U.S. Transportation and Air Mobility Command Admiral Gregory G. Johnson, U.S. Navy (Ret.) Former Commander, U.S. Naval Forces, Europe General John M. Keane, U.S. Army (Ret.) Former Vice Chief of Staff of the U.S. Army Admiral Timothy J. Keating, U.S. Navy (Ret.) Former Commander, U.S. Pacific Command Herbert D. Kelleher Founder and Chairman Emeritus, Southwest Airlines Co. John F. Lehman
Former Secretary to the U.S. Navy General Michael E. Ryan, U.S. Air Force (Ret.) 16th Chief of Staff, U.S. Air Force Eric S. Schwartz Former Co-CEO, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Michael R. Splinter President and CEO, Applied Materials, Inc. Jeffrey C. Sprecher Chairman and CEO, Intercontinental Exchange David P. Steiner CEO, Waste Management, Inc. Michael T. Strianese President, CEO and Director, L-3 Communications General Charles F. Wald, U.S. Air Force (Ret.) Former Deputy Commander, United States European Command Josh S. Weston Honorary Chairman, Automatic Data Processing, Inc. “The New American Oil Boom implications for energy security”, http://www.eenews.net/assets/2012/05/08/document_ew_01.pdf, 6/2/12, atl)

Failure to resolve unemployment independently guarantees collapse
Spicer, 12 (Jonathan, Reuters correspondent, April 8, 2012, “High unemployment may dog the US for years”, http://economywatch.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/04/08/11085339-high-unemployment-may-dog-the-us-for-years?lite, 6/2/12, atl)

2) Trade deficit
Latham, 09 (Roy, Degrees in Electrical Engineering, and in Aeronautics and Astronautics (M.I.T., 1969), Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Stony Brook), and Computer Science (University of Santa Clara).September 18, 2009, “Drilling Is Not About the Price of Oil, It is About Trade Deficits”, http://factspluslogic.com/articles/10/drilling-is-not-about-the-price-of-oil, 8/2/12, atl)

Deficit reduction is critical to sustained growth and outweighs alt causes
Tonelson, 11 (Alan, Research Fellow at the U.S. Business and Industry Educational Foundation, July 29, 2012, “Trade Deficit Reduction  America's Only Way Out”,
http://americaneconomicalert.org/view_art.asp?Prod_ID=4658, 8/3/12, atl)

ANWR economic relief happens immediately
Hastings, 11 (Richard Norman, Committee on Natural Resources Congressional Chairman, House Representative – Washington, House Nuclear Clean-Up Caucus (Chairman and founder) Northwest Energy Caucus (Co-chair) Rural Health Care Coalition Specialty Crop Caucus,  November 3, 2011, “Forget 10 YearsDrilling ANWR Would Pay Off Right Away”, http://www.usnews.com/debate-club/is-it-time-to-drill-in-the-arctic-refuge/forget-10-years~-~-drilling-anwr-would-pay-off-right-away, 6/23/12, atl)

And it doesn’t hurt the environment – government signal is critical to spur energy markets and prevent price spikes
Driessen, 12 (Paul, senior policy advisor – Congress of Racial Equality and Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, June 22, 2012, “Drill here. Drill now. Drill ANWR”, http://www.anwr.org/Latest-News/Drill-here.-Drill-now.-Drill-ANWR.php, 6/23/12, atl)

Oil Advantage 1AC
Despite overall increases in US energy production, oil dependence still remains relatively high
Mufson ’12 (Steven, Washington Post, “Iran’s saber rattling over oil shows that the energy crisis is still with us,” 2/15, http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/even-as-oil-costs-rise-irrational-exuberance-washes-over-energy-analysis/2012/02/12/gIQAnY93FR_story.html)

ANWR drilling would quickly solve oil dependence – it’s the most accessible and bountiful domestic well
Kreutzer ’08 (David W, Research Fellow in Energy Economics and Climate Change, Heritage Foundation, “The Economic Case for Drilling Oil Reserves,” 10/1, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2008/10/the-economic-case-for-drilling-oil-reserves, TGA)

ANWR drilling key to solving oil dependence and maintaining US hegemony
Corsi ’05 (Jerome, PhD and Senior Staff Reporter, World Net Daily, “Why ANWR Drilling Makes Sense,” 11/11, http://www.wnd.com/2005/11/33357/, TGA)

Oil dependence tanks leadership
Hornitschek ’06 (Michael J, Lieutenant Colonel in the United States Air Force, Air Force Journal of Logistics, “War Without Oil: Catalyst for Transformation Fuel Hedging: Lessons from the Airlines,” Fall, http://www.aflma.hq.af.mil/shared/media/document/AFD-100111-097.pdf, TGA)

Hegemony prevents multiple scenarios for nuclear war.
Kagan '07 (Robert, Senior associate  CEIP and co-Founder of the Project for the New American Century, 7-19, http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/07/end_of_dreams_return_of_histor.html)

Only U.S. primacy prevents conflict escalation – no other state could fill its gap
Joffe ‘09 – Josef, Senior Fellow at Stanford's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, ("The Default Power Subtitle: The False Prophecy of America's Decline", Foreign Affairs, Oct 2009)

    
Despite overall increases in US energy production, oil dependence still remains relatively high
Mufson ’12 (Steven, Washington Post, “Iran’s saber rattling over oil shows that the energy crisis is still with us,” 2/15, http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/even-as-oil-costs-rise-irrational-exuberance-washes-over-energy-analysis/2012/02/12/gIQAnY93FR_story.html)

US Iran Relations on the Brink
PRESS TV 01/06/2012 (PressTV, Iranian National Television Network, January 6, 2012, http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2013/01/06/282073/us-seeks-iranophobia-in-latin-america/)

Iran Willing to Close Strait of Hormuz to Stop Oil Flow to US
MOSTAFAVI 11 (Rahim Mostafavi for Reuters, December 27,2011, http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/27/us-iran-oil-hormuz-idUSTRE7BQ0I320111227)

Closing The Strait of Hormuz Will Lead to War With Iran
THOMPSON 11 (Mark Thompson, Time Magazine, December 28, 2011, http://nation.time.com/2011/12/28/can-iran-close-the-strait-of-hormuz/)

ANWR drilling would quickly solve oil dependence
Kreutzer ’08 (David W, Research Fellow in Energy Economics and Climate Change, Heritage Foundation, “The Economic Case for Drilling Oil Reserves,” 10/1, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2008/10/the-economic-case-for-drilling-oil-reserves, TGA)

ANWR drilling key to oil independence
Corsi ’05 (Jerome, PhD and Senior Staff Reporter, World Net Daily, “Why ANWR Drilling Makes Sense,” 11/11, http://www.wnd.com/2005/11/33357/, TGA)

War with Iran would begin WWIII and Extinction
Chossudovsky 10 (Michel Chossudovsky, August 1, 2010 Professor of Economics Emiritus at University of Ottawa, Global Research, http://www.globalresearch.ca/preparing-for-world-war-iii-targeting-iran/20403)